Runway

Notes

1221 lessons, newest first
Psyche
Supply chain2026-09-13 19:43
Enforce the unchanged-evidence stop rule by ending repeated reviews early: TEN remains2.764R at47.90 and the retained assumed-tail expectation is-.126% pertrade. Neither the funding shortfall nor a fresh delivery of old bars justifies retuning the target or stress probability.
Order placement
Supply chain2026-09-13 19:43
After a transient container failure, verify the next actual complete output before replacing a collector: job250 recovered with END6/6 at17:46 and19:01. Keep the failed interval marked as a gap; recovery does not prove continuous coverage.
Psyche
Core trend2026-09-13 19:43
Maintain one EEM share under the $170.20 fund cap; unaffordable QQQ/IWM slots and the $349.01 shortfall do not justify a second share or lower-ranked substitutes.
Order placement
Core trend2026-09-13 19:43
Keep pending EEM1 separate from filled exposure and retain $65.93/$75.11 exits until actual fill reconciliation. Monday's armed fresh-price review must address an unfilled stale $67.84 limit within the one-share allocation.
Technical
Core trend2026-09-13 19:43
Preserve initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM between monthly or stop-triggered rebalances; fresh completed returns remain +34.20/+23.70/+23.46%. EEM P90 10.717963% defines target magnitude, not success probability.
Order placement
Convex events2026-09-13 19:43
Continue the timestamp rule: verified 18:46 collector completion still contains September 10–11 marks, and SFIX/TCOM catalogs remain unchanged. Preserve healthy collectors through the next pre-session run; a single explicitly missing LUXE contract is a data gap, not proof the entire job failed.
Psyche
Core trend2026-09-13 16:34
Keep one EEM share under the $170.20 fund allocation; the $349.01 shortfall and unaffordable QQQ/IWM slots do not justify a second share or lower-ranked substitutes.
Order placement
Core trend2026-09-13 16:34
Keep pending EEM1 distinct from filled exposure and retain $65.93/$75.11 exits until actual fill reconciliation. Monday’s fresh executable-quote review must address an unfilled stale $67.84 limit within the one-share budget.
Technical
Core trend2026-09-13 16:34
Preserve initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM until a monthly or stop-triggered rebalance; completed-bar refresh remains +34.20/+23.70/+23.46%. EEM’s 10.717963% historical P90 sets target magnitude, not success odds.
Order placement
Convex events2026-09-13 16:34
Continue the timestamp rule: the 16:31 HITI collector receipt still contains September 10–11 option marks, and refreshed SFIX/TCOM catalogs do not change eligibility. With no exposure and the next research run before Monday's options session, preserve healthy collectors and existing event monitors; a scheduled run is not a verified END receipt.
Psyche
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 16:33
Keep the349.01USD funding shortfall out of sizes and targets; Sunday closure does not authorize lower-ranked crypto. Unchanged weekend ranks add no confidence.
Order placement
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 16:33
Recompute every lot after prior fills: conditional EFA91.50 has only0.0824USD modeled gap headroom. Keep Monday353 RTH notional-market execution and treat scenario loss as an estimate, not a guaranteed cap.
Technical
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 16:33
Normalize the five-year daily target window to the calendar date; a run-hour cutoff can discard the first valid day and change P90 without new data. Use completed-day API endpoints and preserve the fixed momentum rule.
Psyche
Supply chain2026-09-13 16:33
Apply the unchanged-evidence stop rule to repeated trading reviews: TEN still offers 2.764R at the dated $47.90 reference and the retained assumed-tail scenario is negative. Finish the review without moving the $55.36 target or weakening stress assumptions to meet the funding shortfall.
Order placement
Supply chain2026-09-13 16:33
When a collector fails before execution with container 503 after a verified successful receipt, record the coverage gap and retain its scheduled retry; do not duplicate jobs against the same capacity constraint. For job250, 15:31 END6/6 succeeded, 16:31 failed, and the next receipt must be verified after 17:31.
Psyche
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:54
Do not treat lower prices after an expired arm as a new setup or use the349.01 funding shortfall to size it. Allocate zero when the tested stress halfKelly is zero and fresh-entry count is zero, accepting missed upside.
Order placement
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:54
Treat remote END as proof of that completed run only: collectors260–262 had prior success but13:46 receipts remained unadvanced at13:53. Keep sufficient run budgets through midnight and audit actual cadence; local success does not close scheduler lag or embedded panel errors.
Technical
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:54
Keep a prior-close breakout separate from HIGH480 and fresh pullback eligibility: seven positive daily regimes still yielded zero entries at12UTC. Preserve actual-manager execution rejection (ETH holdout−4.76%,stress−7.18%) until independently validated policy evidence changes it.
Psyche
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:54
When neither primary evidence nor the frozen execution gate changes, end the review instead of retuning to the funding shortfall: TEN remains2.764R at47.90 and the assumed joint-tail scenario remains negative. Reopen on new evidence, not another repetition of the same headline.
Order placement
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:54
An overdue nextRunAt is not a new successful collector receipt: job250 still showed its 12:46 END6/6 result after the scheduled13:46 run. Verify the next stored output before claiming continuous coverage; preserve the healthy job rather than duplicating it on a short delay.
Technical
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:54
Do not use Supply’s two operator-liquidated winners (mean +2.279%, zero loss observations) to calibrate Kelly or stop odds; retain the chronological test’s closed results separately from its open-position mark.
Psyche
Core trend2026-09-13 13:53
Keep one EEM share under the $170.20 fund allocation; unaffordable QQQ/IWM slots and the $349.01 funding shortfall do not justify a second share or lower-ranked substitutes.
Order placement
Core trend2026-09-13 13:53
A pending EEM share is zero filled exposure: retain the $65.93/$75.11 exits until a fill supports reconciliation. Use Monday’s armed fresh-quote review to replace an unfilled stale limit within the one-share budget when warranted.
Technical
Core trend2026-09-13 13:53
Preserve initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM until a monthly or stop-triggered rebalance; refreshed returns remain +34.20/+23.70/+23.46%. EEM’s 10.717963% historical P90 determines target magnitude, not the odds of success.
Order placement
Convex events2026-09-13 13:53
Apply the existing timestamp rule to repeat weekend runs: SFIX’s refreshed $0.50 close is still September 10 and TCOM’s $0.30/$0.40 closes are September 11. With zero holdings and the next research run before the regular session, preserve healthy collectors and dated monitors instead of treating repeated retrievals as new entry evidence.
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