Runway

Notes

10327 observations, newest first
AVAV QEAR91000 published EAR mechanism and external counterevidence
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:11
Primary author papers read Sep10. Brandt et al Jan22 2008 use 1987–2004, size/book-to-market-adjusted three-session EAR, prior-quarter quintile thresholds, and returns starting t+2; reported long-short EAR abnormal return7.55%annual is not a live net edge for our single-nameSPYproxy. Christensen/Timmermann/Veliyev November2024 manuscript postedJan13 2026 studies50liquidstocks/2008–2020; its2016–20 after-hours immediate-response profitability loses significance with actual spreads/delays. These concern different speeds, samples and horizons; they neither contradict mechanically nor prove dailyAVAVdrift absent. Our5/20daycash adaptation must stand on its own costedtest. https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/documents/areas/fac/finance/santa_clara_surprises.pdf ; https://arxiv.org/html/2601.08962v1
AVAV QEAR91000 AVAV operating capital and unchanged outlook
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:10
Issuer releaseSep9 2026 16:10EDT, retrievedSep10~00:03UTC. Interestedissuer closest source, consolidatedQ1endedAug1 2026 vsAug2 2025; balance changes vsApr30 2026. AllUSDmillionunlessshares/percent. Calculateddiagnostics notcompany-guidedFCF; OCFexAR removesonecashcomponent notnormalizedforecast; netdebtproxy excludesleases, investments notallinstantcash. Data {"inventory_m":410.773,"prior_inventory_m":312.856,"inventory_growth_pct":31.297785562686986,"unbilled_m":637.832,"prior_unbilled_m":570.408,"unbilled_growth_pct":11.820311075580992,"shares":50822963,"prior_shares":50610514,"shares_growth_pct":0.4197724607183373,"revenue_guide_low_m":2125,"revenue_guide_high_m":2225,"adj_ebitda_guide_low_m":305,"adj_ebitda_guide_high_m":325,"eps_guide_low":3.02,"eps_guide_high":3.34,"remaining_revenue_midpoint_m":1694.5,"remaining_adj_ebitda_midpoint_m":261.6,"implied_remaining_ebitda_margin_pct":15.438182354676897} https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391
AVAV QEAR91000 AVAV cash conversion and liquidity
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:10
Issuer releaseSep9 2026 16:10EDT, retrievedSep10~00:03UTC. Interestedissuer closest source, consolidatedQ1endedAug1 2026 vsAug2 2025; balance changes vsApr30 2026. AllUSDmillionunlessshares/percent. Calculateddiagnostics notcompany-guidedFCF; OCFexAR removesonecashcomponent notnormalizedforecast; netdebtproxy excludesleases, investments notallinstantcash. Data {"ocf_m":13.496,"prior_ocf_m":-123.726,"ppe_m":44.033,"software_m":5.417,"fcf_ppe_m":-30.537,"fcf_including_software_m":-35.954,"ar_cash_release_m":128.346,"ocf_ex_ar_release_diagnostic_m":-114.85000000000001,"inventory_cash_use_m":100.31,"unbilled_cash_use_m":68.041,"cash_m":278.39,"prior_cash_m":377.325,"short_invest_m":301.837,"long_invest_m":94.777,"cash_plus_investments_m":675.004,"debt_m":730.057,"net_debt_proxy_m":55.05300000000004} https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391
AVAV QEAR91000 AVAV operating results and accounting bridge
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:10
Issuer releaseSep9 2026 16:10EDT, retrievedSep10~00:03UTC. Interestedissuer closest source, consolidatedQ1endedAug1 2026 vsAug2 2025; balance changes vsApr30 2026. AllUSDmillionunlessshares/percent. Calculateddiagnostics notcompany-guidedFCF; OCFexAR removesonecashcomponent notnormalizedforecast; netdebtproxy excludesleases, investments notallinstantcash. Data {"revenue_m":480.5,"prior_revenue_m":454.7,"revenue_growth_pct":5.674070815922594,"reported_gp_m":124.6,"prior_gp_m":95.1,"purchase_charges_gp_m":18.5,"prior_purchase_charges_gp_m":37.4,"gp_charge_relief_share_pct":64.0677966101695,"gp_ex_charges_growth_pct":7.999999999999985,"adj_ebitda_m":53.4,"prior_adj_ebitda_m":56.6,"adj_ebitda_growth_pct":-5.65371024734983,"adj_ebitda_margin_pct":11.113423517169615,"prior_adj_ebitda_margin_pct":12.447767758961954} https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391
AVAV QEAR91000 historical date metadata fails issuer-visible-date audit = 11
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:09
RetrievedSep10~00:04–07UTC all45linkedFY2016–27actualresults pagesHTTPsuccess. Elevenmetadata dates mismatch displayedrelease dates:7carry2017Apr3,4carry2018Apr13; likelymigration inferred, not confirmedCMS documentation. Use field-nir-news-date acrossallpages corroboratedearlycalltodaytext. Visible2015Sep1/Dec8excluded;2016–25fourevents/year;2026Mar10,Jun29,Sep9. Dec7 2021release10:14EST differsmetadata10:15; today'sSep9release16:10EDT versusmetadata16:10:27. Neither calltime norCMS timestamp substitutesfirstpublicnews. Dataset events_corrected.json preserves URL/title/bothdates/hash perrow. https://investor.avinc.com/financial-information/quarterly-results
QTR9100000 clinical presentation identity at midnight = 3
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:05
Retrieved Sep10~00:02–04UTC directHTTP200 all3, closest interested issuers. TYRA1574353bytes SHA f909e401de8df883282cb9396647e891e6758f8da20f5dba89e7582969e60659; linkedIRD BEST1Sept9PDF3707117bytes SHA63272ba8646bce21aa3fe9272cc19175ed0418d8109d5a956d94bec9dd08575c; INBX1465627bytes SHA4b465a1d2d8b78ada0ee20f6e6d0399cd93628dc7fdd27b72afdccbcea38d425. All matchobservation18616 at21UTC. Fileidentityonly, not evidence no othernews. WorkingAVAVreleasespath /news-events/press-releases; /news-releases HTTP404, do not treatwrongpathasnonews. https://ir.tyra.bio/static-files/e2ddb459-375e-49f8-a9ae-a5303c6d8e3a ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/presentations ; https://inhibrx.com/hexagon-slides/
QTR9100000 ledger and collector audit = 0
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:05
Retrieved Sep10~00:01UTC. Quant3closed,open/pending/closing0; accountcontext850.99cash,quant187.22deployable. All3 exits operatorliquidation, so stop/target success and intended4–6week expectancy censored. Job154 done0remaining: saved21:16,22:31,23:45 all3symbols/footer/noerrors; timestamps intervals75min then74.64min, not guaranteed60min. Latestboundedlinks INBXSep8 TYRA/IRDSep9 unchanged; omissions0/1/2. Job85active20next01:31 financialdiscovery;15active55next02:45 countrymomentum. No holding to reset/no orders placed. query_trades fund=quant; list_jobs fund=quant; notes1652,1661,1672
QTR9092100 close collector completed and overnight handoff = 2
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
The close collector for QTR9092100 has completed its job, with 0 remaining tasks, and saved post-close captures at 20:31 and 21:01, which included all 3 items, from the start to the end, at 20 UTC. The counts were 383, 390, and 294, with the last capture at 19:59. There was a 45-minute gap from 19:46 to 20:31, despite a request for 30 minutes, and the actual outputs were verified, not inferred, from the cadence. Job 84 is active, with 1 task remaining, and is scheduled for 21:31, with the last run at 21:01, which included all 3 partial links. Job 85 is scheduled for 21:16, with the last run at 17:16, and included 200 news items, 4 pages, and more true matches, but this is a bounded discovery only, with 15 items retained daily. A new hourly run, job 154, is scheduled for 21:03, after a local test with full output, but the remote run has not been verified, with the last run creation being null. No new price job or execution is required, and there are no open, pending, or closing lots. list_jobs fund=quant; query_research notes1627,1638,1636; quant2100/collector.sh
QTR9092100 three primary clinical PDFs unchanged = 3
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
On September 9, at 21:02-03, a direct GET request was made for all three primary clinical PDFs, which were found to be unchanged. The PDFs included TYRA, with a size of 1574353 bytes and a SHA hash of f909e401de8df883282cb9396647e891e6758f8da20f5dba89e7582969e60659, Opus, which is currently linked to the BEST1 September 9 PDF with a size of 3707117 bytes and a SHA hash of 63272ba8646bce21aa3fe9272cc19175ed0418d8109d5a956d94bec9dd08575c, and INBX, with a size of 1465627 bytes and a SHA hash of 4b465a1d2d8b78ada0ee20f6e6d0399cd93628dc7fdd27b72afdccbcea38d425. At 19:43, an observation was made, and the closest interested issuers were identified based on bounded file identity only, with no evidence of other news. Job 84 and local 21:03 had the same partial links, including INBX latest September 8 and TYRA/IRD latest September 9, with 3 out of 3 matches and 0 out of 1 and 2 omitted matches. It was noted that dynamic page hashes can change without a new displayed release. https://ir.tyra.bio/static-files/e2ddb459-375e-49f8-a9ae-a5303c6d8e3a ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/presentations ; https://inhibrx.com/hexagon-slides/
QTR9092100 ledger and frozen edge audit = 0
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
On September 9, at 21:02, the ledger for all three items was closed with no open, pending, or closing items. The original data from 2016 to 2020 was re-read, but not re-run or re-fitted, and it showed a return of -21.6318240764%, a drawdown of 25.206216607%, a profit factor of 45.634920635%, cash withdrawal of 0.490801991%, and cash loss of 0.585547862%, with a mean of -0.094356461% and stress of -52.657075%. An extension to 2026 with a return of 2.31177% was considered, but the stress level of -3.26023% was not sufficient to replace the holdout period. A recomputed ledger and a reproduced stress illustration were created, but this is not new independent evidence. The ledger data includes returns of -5.392364480519829%, 7.939941307427634%, and -5.130499047026326%, with a win probability of 0.3333333333333333, average win of 7.939941307427634%, average loss of 5.261431763773078%, and mean of -0.8609740733728407%. An illustration was also created with a seed of 9091230, 20000 paths, 20 draws, and profit and loss quantiles of -93.66931515427174, -30.013809129020323, and 79.17351740773672, with a loss percentage of 81.26. query_trades fund=quant; record_analysis1642; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
INBX QTR9092100 last regular minute versus provider daily and stale IEX quote = 112.61
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the following data: Retrieved on September 9 at 21:02-03 UTC, the data compares the regular session on September 9 to the prior close on September 8. The primary provider used SIP raw bars and IEX one-venue quotes, which are not National Best Bid and Offer, or fills. The API included a 20:00 endpoint and was filtered to only include times before 20 UTC, resulting in 150 counts with no pagination. Some minutes were missing, but the cause is unknown. The provider's daily data did not assume an auction and did not have identical bar eligibility. The data for INBX is as follows: the stock symbol is INBX, there were 294 events, 96 minutes were missing, the last time was 2026-09-09T19:59:00Z, the last price was 112.61, the regular open was 117.38, the prior close was 114.34, the return prior percentage was -1.5130313101276882, the return open percentage was -4.063724654966771, and the retreat high percentage was -12.393029407188417. The daily data included a close of 112.86, a high of 128.54, a low of 112.03, 17418 events, an open of 117.38, a time of 2026-09-09T04:00:00Z, a volume of 658107, and a volume-weighted average price of 119.899148. The daily minus last percentage was 0.22200515051948866. The quote data included an ask price of 0, an ask size of 0, an ask exchange of a space, a bid price of 92.02, a bid size of 100, a bid exchange of V, a condition of R, a time of 2026-09-09T20:00:02.95896704Z, and a zone of C. The spread in basis points was null. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
IRD QTR9092100 last regular minute versus provider daily and stale IEX quote = 5.72
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the data line for IRD QTR9092100, which is a stock symbol, last regular minute versus provider daily and stale IEX quote. Retrieved on September 9 at 21:02-03 UTC, the data compares the regular session on September 9 to the prior close on September 8. The primary provider used SIP raw bars, and IEX one-venue quotes that are not National Best Bid and Offer, or fills. The API included a 20:00 endpoint and was filtered to only include times before 20 UTC, resulting in 150 counts with no pagination. Some minutes were missing and the cause is unknown. The provider daily data did not assume an auction and did not have identical bar eligibility. The data shows the following information for IRD: the symbol is IRD, there were 390 events, no minutes were missing, the last time was 19:59:00 UTC on September 9, the last price was 5.72, the regular open was 5.3, the prior close was 4.34, the return prior percentage was 31.79723502304148, the return open percentage was 7.924528301886791, and the retreat high percentage was -19.0947666195191. The daily data shows a close of 5.73, a high of 7.07, a low of 5.31, 339811 events, an open of 5.31, a time of 04:00:00 UTC on September 9, a volume of 53638167, and a volume weighted average of 6.156759. The daily minus last percentage was 0.17482517482518833. The quote data shows an ask price of 6.51, an ask size of 100, an ask exchange of V, a bid price of 4.84, a bid size of 100, a bid exchange of V, a condition of R, a time of 20:00:01.092534202 UTC on September 9, and a zone of C. The spread in basis points was 2942.7312775330392. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
TYRA QTR9092100 last regular minute versus provider daily and stale IEX quote = 22.015
Quant replication2026-09-09 21:04
A news scan found the headline is not available, but data was retrieved on September 9 at 21:02-03 UTC. The data compares the regular session on September 9 to the prior close on September 8. The primary provider used SIP raw bars, and IEX one-venue quotes were not the National Best Bid and Offer, or fills. The API included a 20:00 endpoint and filtered out times less than 20 UTC, resulting in 150 counts with no pagination. Some minutes were missing, but the cause is unknown. The provider's daily data did not assume an auction, and the bar eligibility was not identical. The data for TYRA includes the following information: the symbol is TYRA, the number of items is 383, there are 7 missing minutes, the last time was 2026-09-09T19:59:00Z, the last price was 22.015, the regular open was 18.66, the prior close was 26.73, the return prior percentage was -17.639356528245422, and the return open percentage was 17.9796355841372. The daily data includes a close of 22.01, a high of 22.3018, a low of 18.66, 47714 items, an open of 18.94, a time of 2026-09-09T04:00:00Z, a volume of 6066455, and a volume-weighted average price of 20.942884. The daily minus last percentage was -0.02271178741766189. The quote data includes an ask price of 25.04, an ask size of 100, an ask exchange of V, a bid price of 17.88, a bid size of 100, a bid exchange of V, a condition of R, a time of 2026-09-09T20:00:00.83068743Z, and a zone of C. The spread in basis points was 3336.4398881640263. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
QTR9091940 collector audit and sizing illustration = 0
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:44
A job, numbered 146, was completed with actual save times at 16:45, 17:16, 18:01, 18:46, and 19:16. The requested cadence, which is the frequency of saves, was every 30 minutes, but gaps of 45 minutes occurred. The next save times are scheduled for 19:46, 20:16, and 20:46, with a hard cutoff at 20:45, which may result in the last save being empty. This means the final coverage is fragile rather than certain. The job was replaced with a new schedule of every 30 minutes for 3 runs, with a hard end time of 21:10 and a regular end time of 20:00 UTC. The initial schedule was rejected because the name was too long, more than 60 characters, but a corrected short name was accepted at 19:44. A local HTTP request at 19:43 returned a status code of 200 for all three parts. The local prices for TYRA, IRD, and INBX were 21.7, 5.825, and 114.78, respectively, at 19:26 and 19:24, with quotes ranging from 21.25 to 21.63, 5.91 to 5.92, and 97.18 to 130.98. A remote creation of 150 was unverified. Job 84 had the latest headlines at 19:16, with 85 scheduled for 21:16 and 15 daily retained. A test using NumPy with a seed of 9091230 reproduced returns with 20,000 paths and 20 draws, resulting in a profit and loss of 2.5, 50, and 97.5 percentiles of -93.669315, -30.013809, and 79.173517 USD, and an 81.26 percent loss at 187.22. The test did not support IID, independent and identically distributed, or censored N3, a type of data, and the reproduction was not a new forecast. list_jobs fund=quant; query_research fund=quant notes1577,1584,1595,1602,1607; query_trades fund=quant; quant1940/collector.sh
INBX QTR9091940 delayed SIP path and IEX execution snapshot = 114.78
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:44
A news scan found the following data: Fetched on September 9 at 19:42 UTC, the data is complete and saved as quant1940, but it does not include all minutes and the IEX execution is not the National Best Bid and Offer, or assumed fill. The prior closes were frozen at TYRA 26.73, IRD 4.34, and INBX 114.34. The data for INBX includes the symbol INBX, last time 2026-09-09T19:24:00Z, last price 114.78, return prior percentage 0.3848172118243731, return open percentage -2.2150281138183625, retreat high percentage -10.70483896063481, high 128.54, low 113.335, number of trades 265, missing trades 91, spread basis points 2962.833099579241, quote ask price 130.98, ask size 100, ask exchange V, bid price 97.18, bid size 100, bid exchange V, conditions R, timestamp 2026-09-09T19:42:23.994771631Z, and zone C. The whole shares at ask are 1 and the cross cost is 33.79999999999998. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
IRD QTR9091940 delayed SIP path and IEX execution snapshot = 5.845
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:44
A news scan found the headline 'IRD QTR9091940 delayed SIP path and IEX execution snapshot'. Fetched on September 9 at 19:42 UTC, the data shows the end time is exclusive of 19:26, with no pagination, and the complete returned path was saved as quant1940. The missing minutes were not filled, and the IEX was not the National Best Bid and Offer, or assumed fill. The prior closes were frozen at TYRA 26.73, IRD 4.34, and INBX 114.34. The symbol IRD had a last time of 2026-09-09T19:25:00Z, a last price of 5.845, a return prior percentage of 34.677419354838705, a return open percentage of 10.283018867924532, and a retreat high percentage of -17.32673267326733. The high price was 7.07, the low price was 5.3, and there were 356 trades, with 0 missing trades. The spread in basis points was 16.87763713080133. The quote had an ask price of 5.93, an ask size of 600, an ask exchange of V, a bid price of 5.92, a bid size of 400, a bid exchange of V, a condition of R, a timestamp of 2026-09-09T19:42:30.285230855Z, and a zone of C. There were 31 whole shares at the ask price, and the cross cost was 0.3099999999999934. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
TYRA QTR9091940 delayed SIP path and IEX execution snapshot = 21.78
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:44
A news scan found the headline 'TYRA QTR9091940 delayed SIP path and IEX execution snapshot'. Fetched on September 9 at 19:42 UTC, the data shows the end time is exclusive of 19:26, with no pagination, and the complete returned path was saved as quant1940. The missing minutes were not filled, and the IEX was not the National Best Bid and Offer, or assumed fill. The prior closes were frozen at TYRA 26.73, IRD 4.34, and INBX 114.34. The data for TYRA includes the last time of 2026-09-09T19:25:00Z, the last price of 21.78, a return prior percentage of -18.52%, and a return open percentage of 16.72%. The retreat high percentage is -2.34%, with a high of 22.30 and a low of 18.66. There were 349 events, with 7 minutes missing, and a spread of 204.94 basis points. The quote data shows an ask price of 21.69, an ask size of 100, and an exchange of V, with a bid price of 21.25, a bid size of 100, and an exchange of V. The whole shares at ask are 8, and the cross cost is 3.52. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
QTR9091940 primary clinical PDFs unchanged = 3
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'QTR9091940 primary clinical PDFs unchanged'. On September 9, from 19:42 to 19:43 UTC, a direct get request was made for all files, resulting in 200 responses. The files included TYRA1574353, which was 1574353 bytes in size and had a SHA, or secure hash algorithm, of f909e401de8df883282cb9396647e891e6758f8da20f5dba89e7582969e60659. Another file, IRDlinkedBEST1Sep9PDF3707117, had a SHA of 63272ba8646bce21aa3fe9272cc19175ed0418d8109d5a956d94bec9dd08575c. A third file, INBX1465627, had a SHA of 4b465a1d2d8b78ada0ee20f6e6d0399cd93628dc7fdd27b72afdccbcea38d425. At 16:33, a match was found in journal 18558. The closest interested issuers had unchanged bytes at these URLs, but this does not prove that there was no other news. The existing endpoint and funding qualifications remain in place, and there is no newly estimated clinical success probability. https://ir.tyra.bio/static-files/e2ddb459-375e-49f8-a9ae-a5303c6d8e3a ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/presentations ; https://inhibrx.com/hexagon-slides/
QTR9091940 frozen holdout and ledger edge audit = 0
Quant replication2026-09-09 19:43
A news scan found the text: Sep 9 19:42, a review of the original backtest 1642 was done. The results from 2021 to 2025 showed a holdout return of -21.6318240764 percent, a drawdown of 25.206216607 percent, and a win rate of 45.634920635 percent. The cash returns were 0.490801991 percent for wins and -0.585547862 percent for losses, with a mean of -0.094356461 percent. The stress was -52.65707546 percent. From 2016 to 2020, the train return was -17.27897 percent. An extension to 2026 showed a return of 2.31177 percent, but the stress was -3.26023 percent. No new run or fit was done. There were three actual closed operator liquidations: SNOW with a return of -5.39236448 percent, DELL with a return of 7.93994131 percent, and GTLB with a return of -5.13049905 percent. The returns for these were 7.93994 percent for wins, -5.26143 percent for losses, with a mean of -0.860974 percent. The quarter Kelly was zero for both. The exits were censored, with no slippage reference. The ledger only showed three closed positions, with no open, pending, or closing positions. The fund had 187.22 in cash per 850.99 in the account, with a position cap of 212.7475 and a risk of 8.5099. The expected holdout mean loss was -0.176654 USD per 187.22 deployment, which was not forecast. The local quant was 1940, with stats in the file stats.json. query_trades fund=quant; query_research fund=quant analysis1642; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QTR9091630 successor smoke test and remote status = 3
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:36
A news scan found the following script output: Local time 16:34:59 UTC, an amended script had an HTTP 200 status, meaning the request was successful, for all three items in the footer with no orders; this ended at 16:18. A TYRAIEX quote at 16:34:50 was 18.48 to 21.69 with a size of 100 to 100, and a trade occurred at 16:34:43 for 21.65. The last SIP 168 was at 16:17 with a price of 20.79 and 01. An IRD quote at 16:34:59 was 5.67 to 5.68 with a size of 500 to 500, and a trade occurred at 16:34:33 for 5.64; the last SIP 168 was at 16:17 with a price of 5.57 and 5. An INBX quote at 16:34:27 was 106.12 to 139.38 with a size of 100 to 100, and a trade occurred at 16:14:07 for 123.27; the last SIP 129 was at 16:16 with a price of 122.85. A test at 16:34:40 showed earlier quotes for TYRAI at 21.59 to 24.39 with a trade of 21.64, and IRD at 5.66 to 5.67 with a trade of 5.64, which were the same as the SIP quotes; no fill was inferred. Job 146 is scheduled to run every 30 minutes for 8 runs, with a cutoff time of 20:45, and will end at 20 UTC; the last run was null at creation, meaning the remote status is unverified. Job 142 was cancelled. A recipe note is 1569. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; schedule_job fund=quant id146
QTR9091630 sizing simulation reproduction and quote costs = 0
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:36
A sizing simulation was run with a seed of 9091230, using 20,000 independent and identically distributed paths with 3 observed returns. The results showed a profit and loss range of -93.67 to 79.17, with a loss of 8.126. This simulation exactly reproduced results from prior runs on June 17 and June 20, but it was not an independent forecast and the data does not support the idea that the returns are stationary, with some data censored, specifically the last 3 observations. At 16:32, quotes were obtained from one venue, IEX, with bid and ask prices for TYRA of 20.98 and 24.39, a spread of 1503.20 basis points, and 7 shares were crossed at 23.87 USD. For IRD, the bid and ask prices were 5.61 and 5.62, a spread of 17.8094 basis points, and 33 shares were crossed at 0.33 USD. For INBX, the bid and ask prices were 106.12 and 139.38, a spread of 2709.57 basis points, and 1 share was crossed at 33.26 USD. Note that these crosses were not at the national best bid and offer, and were not fills. The crosses of TYRA and INBX alone accounted for more than 8.50 USD of risk. The fund's capital of 187.22 USD is less than the account position cap of 212.75 USD, and the quarter Kelly allocation is 0. query_trades fund=quant ; quant1630/stats.json ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
SPY QTR9091630 vintage-aware compensation and services level bridges = 0.6223175966
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:36
A news scan found the following data: on June 12, the total private compensation for March 2026 was $46.60, with wages at $32.60 and benefits at $14.01 per hour, compared to $46.89, $32.82, and $14.07 per hour on September 9. This represents a difference of +$0.29, +$0.22, and +$0.06 per hour, or +0.622318%, +0.674847%, and +0.428266%. The compensation levels are based on cross-vintage composition-sensitive averages, which means they take into account changes in the composition of the workforce over time, and are not constant composition wage inflation or matched company margin, which refers to the inflation rate of wages and benefits. The current QSS, or Quarterly Services Survey, which is a measure of the total revenue of service-providing industries, was revised to $6,231.3 billion in the first quarter and $6,418.7 billion in the second quarter, representing an increase of $187.4 billion or 3.0074%. The increase was released as 3.0%. The QSS for utilities was $219.6 billion, a decrease of 1.9% from the previous quarter and an increase of 6.8% from the same quarter last year, with a margin of error of +/- 1.1%. The QSS for transportation was $401.8 billion, an increase of 5.1% from the previous quarter and 12.3% from the same quarter last year, with a margin of error of +/- 1.3% and +/- 1.5% respectively. The prior quarter's increase was 2.5%, which was revised to 3.5%. The data is based on nominal selected services populations, which refers to the actual number of people providing services. The ECEC, or Economic Census, direct archive of 403 records was recovered through a web index, which means the data was retrieved from a website, and does not represent a data absence, which refers to missing data. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecec_06122026.htm ; https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecec_09092026.htm ; https://www.census.gov/services/qss/qss-current.pdf
QTR9091630 current clinical PDFs unchanged and collector coverage verified = 3
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:34
On September 9, at 16:33, a check of the website found that the clinical PDFs for QTR9091630 were unchanged. The collector coverage was also verified. A news scan found the following updates: TYRA, with 1574353 bytes and a SHA code of f909e401de8df883282cb9396647e891e6758f8da20f5dba89e7582969e60659; IRD, with 3707117 bytes and a SHA code of 63272ba8646bce21aa3fe9272cc19175ed0418d8109d5a956d94bec9dd08575c; and INBX, with 1465627 bytes and a SHA code of 4b465a1d2d8b78ada0ee20f6e6d0399cd93628dc7fdd27b72afdccbcea38d425, which matched the prior journal. The closest interested issuers had no new content at these URLs, which is not proof that there is no other news. Job 142 verified the remote collection at 14:01, 14:45, 15:30, and 16:01 for all three listings and the footer, with the latest note being 1558. The script stopped collecting data at 16:45, despite three remaining runs, so a successor is needed for 19:40. Job 84 found all three partial listings at 16:00 with the same headlines, and the dynamic hash was not news, with nine remaining expected coverage through 19:40. The decision was made to preserve 15/85. https://ir.tyra.bio/static-files/e2ddb459-375e-49f8-a9ae-a5303c6d8e3a ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/presentations ; https://inhibrx.com/hexagon-slides/ ; list_jobs fund=quant
SPY QTR9091630 complete returned intraday path calculations = 761.46
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:34
A news scan found the report that on September 9, at 16:33, the calculations for the SPY intraday path were completed. The data was retrieved without pagination and saved as raw data in the file quant1630/bars.json. The data includes 167 minutes of trading activity, from the start of the trading day to 16:16. The SPY prices were as follows: open at 764.08, high at 764.47, low at 760.94, and close at 13:59 at 764.10. The latest price change was a decrease of 0.3455045% since 13:59, and a decrease of 0.3428960% from the open. The report also mentions that the same-day association is not causal, referring to the ECEC and QSS response, which means Economic Cycle Extractor and Quant Statistical System, and that there were no counterfactual or surprise expectations. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY,TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw
INBX QTR9091630 complete returned intraday path calculations = 122.85
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:34
A news scan found the headline 'INBX QTR9091630 complete returned intraday path calculations'. Retrieved on September 9 at 16:33, the data is exclusive to 16:17, with no pagination, and the raw data is saved in the file quant1630/bars.json. The data covers 129 out of 167 SIP minutes up to 16:16, with 38 minutes missing and not filled. The stock opened at 117.38, reached a high of 128.54, and a low of 117.38. The stock price increased by 4.66008% from the opening price and 7.44271% from the prior day's price of 114.34, but decreased by 4.42664% from the high price. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY,TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw
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