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QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday managed base train had frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal was intraday with a lookback of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and it was managed with a base cost. The period was a training period, and the return percentage was -2.351343063306033. The drawdown percentage was 47.64123339705238, and there were 222 trades with a win percentage of 52.702702702702695. The average win percentage was 1.7354252393032972, and the average loss percentage was 1.9023278138156476. The mean percentage was 0.014866362828120516, and the quarter Kelly was 0.0021416023132878603. The reconciliation in USD was 5.4569682106375694e-12, and there were 9 skipped overlaps and 34 day trades. The Country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy was to enter on the first weekly session open with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and to close on the fifth session. The signal was prior close, and the stop was set at 1 ATR with a target of 1.5 ATR. The daily bar stop was set first, and the opening gap stop was set at the open. The target was capped, and the same bar partial and breakeven were conservative. The fill was zero or base with a 5 basis point fee and a 5 basis point slip, and the stress was 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-2.35
drawdown47.64
win rate52.7
sample222
average win1.74
average loss1.9
mean trade0.01
quarter Kelly0
day trades34
overlaps skipped9
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent stress recent report shows frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal is intraday with a lookback of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and it is not managed, with a cost of stress, over a recent period. The return percentage is -15.52% and the drawdown percentage is 32.41%. There were 28 trades, with a win percentage of 53.57%, an average win percentage of 2.02%, and an average loss percentage of 3.51%. The mean percentage is -0.55%. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with no overlapping entry, and the fifth session close was used as the signal prior close. The parent has a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill is zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points slip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. A news scan found the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. This report does not include a proposal based on this individual cell.
return-15.52
drawdown32.41
win rate53.57
sample28
average win2.02
average loss3.51
mean trade-0.55
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent stress holdout analysis started with frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The results showed a signal for intraday trading with a 5-day lookback and horizon, but it was not managed and had a high cost due to stress. The period was a holdout, resulting in a return percentage of -25.9849% and a drawdown percentage of 53.1805%. There were 192 trades, with a win percentage of 48.4375%, an average win percentage of 2.5441%, and an average loss percentage of 2.5773%. The mean percentage was -0.0966%. The quarter Kelly was 0, and the reconciliation in USD was 5.4569e-12. The strategy skipped 37 overlapping trades and had 0 day trades. The country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skip overlapping entry and a fifth session close. The signal was prior close. The parent strategy has a time exit only and is not venue-ready with a stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-25.98
drawdown53.18
win rate48.44
sample192
average win2.54
average loss2.58
mean trade-0.1
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent stress train had frozen notes from 920 to 924, with original protocol analysis on 926. The signal was intraday with a 5-day lookback and horizon, not managed, with a stress cost, and a training period, resulting in a 3.4249354802157628% return and 54.6296543356668% drawdown. The win percentage was 46.464646464646464%, with an average win of 2.5689925239825833% and average loss of 2.094367644776468%. The mean percentage was 0.07244617101056595, and the quarter Kelly was 0.0070500566208592935. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy was to enter on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and exiting on the fifth session close. The signal was based on the prior close. The parent strategy had a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and a recent period from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return3.42
drawdown54.63
win rate46.46
sample198
average win2.57
average loss2.09
mean trade0.07
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades0
overlaps skipped35
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent base recent report shows frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal is intraday with a 5-day lookback and horizon, and the cost is base. The period is recent and the return percentage is -8.115845616070306. The drawdown percentage is 29.091336289654734. There were 28 trades with a win percentage of 53.57142857142857. The average win percentage is 2.3293191622449383 and the average loss percentage is 3.2204168148812924. The mean percentage is -0.24734396999224034. A news scan found the headline is not applicable here, instead, a data line shows the country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among prior 20 day median dollar volume greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skip overlapping entry and a fifth session close. The signal was prior close. The parent has a time exit only and not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill is zero or base 5 basis points fee plus 5 basis points lip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minutes, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data is from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. The recent positive cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-8.12
drawdown29.09
win rate53.57
sample28
average win2.33
average loss3.22
mean trade-0.25
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent base holdout analysis started with frozen notes from 920 to 924 and used the original protocol analysis from 926. The trading signal was intraday with a 5-day lookback and horizon, and it was not managed, with base costs, during the holdout period. The return percentage was 31.666176019651537%, and the drawdown percentage was 40.308013308002074%. There were 192 trades, with a win percentage of 51.041666666666664%, an average win percentage of 2.715957132854908%, and an average loss percentage of 2.4158202250728835%. The mean percentage was 0.20352446803609334%, and the quarter Kelly was 0.01873413847130169%. The reconciliation in USD was 7.275957614183426e-12, and 37 trades were skipped due to overlapping entries. The strategy involved day trades, with the first weekly session open, one lot, and a fifth session close. The signal was based on the prior close, and the parent had a time exit only, without a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fees were zero or base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with stress 5+20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, without validation for whole shares, PDT, 15-minute, or cash dividend. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The data source was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return31.67
drawdown40.31
win rate51.04
sample192
average win2.72
average loss2.42
mean trade0.2
quarter Kelly0.02
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday parent base train had frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal was intraday with a lookback of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and it was not managed with a base cost. The period was for training and the return percentage was 87.32538434780786, with a drawdown percentage of 37.86009014691455. There were 198 trades with a win percentage of 52.52525252525253, an average win percentage of 2.563886030968309, and an average loss percentage of 2.050717172509798. The mean percentage was 0.3731148131554702 and the quarter Kelly was 0.0363817666472635. The reconciliation in USD was 7.275957614183426e-12 and there were 35 skipped overlaps with no day trades. The country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skipped overlapping entry and a fifth session close. The signal was prior close. The parent had a time exit only and not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return87.33
drawdown37.86
win rate52.53
sample198
average win2.56
average loss2.05
mean trade0.37
quarter Kelly0.04
day trades0
overlaps skipped35
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total managed stress recent report includes frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal analysis shows a total lookback of 5 days, a horizon of 5 days, and managed cost of stress over a recent period. The results include a return percentage of -29.53%, a drawdown percentage of 34.71%, and a win percentage of 40%. The average win percentage is 1.44% and the average loss percentage is 2.83%. The mean percentage is -1.12%. The analysis also includes a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume of $5 million or more. The strategy involves opening one lot on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The stop loss is set at 1 ATR and the target is set at 1.5 ATR. The daily bar stop is set at the first bar and the opening gap stop is set at the open. The target is capped and the same bar partial and breakeven are conservative. The fill is zero or a base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training data is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data is from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. This report does not include a proposal based on this individual cell.
return-29.53
drawdown34.71
win rate40
sample30
average win1.44
average loss2.83
mean trade-1.12
quarter Kelly0
day trades3
overlaps skipped2
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total managed stress holdout analysis started with frozen notes from 920 to 924 and used the original protocol analysis from 926. The analysis found the following results: the signal was total, the lookback period was 5 days, the horizon was 5 days, the managed cost was stress, the period was holdout, the return percentage was -71.2688559611813, the drawdown percentage was 72.43363203647814, there were 216 trades, the win percentage was 46.2962962962963, the average win percentage was 1.4554054408074064, the average loss percentage was 2.2834580153434705, and the mean percentage was -0.5525027115699164. The analysis also found that the quarter Kelly was 0, the reconciliation in USD was 3.637978807091713e-12, and 13 trades were skipped due to overlap. The strategy used a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries. The fifth session close was used as the signal prior close. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and half of the position was closed at a profit of 1R, with the remaining position set to breakeven. The daily bar stop was used first, followed by an opening gap stop at the open, and the target was capped. The same bar partial and breakeven were used conservatively. The fill was zero or a base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-71.27
drawdown72.43
win rate46.3
sample216
average win1.46
average loss2.28
mean trade-0.55
quarter Kelly0
day trades22
overlaps skipped13
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The automated trading fund manager's notes from the QREV90804 primary total managed stress train are as follows: the frozen notes are from 920 to 924, and the original protocol analysis is from 926. The signal is total, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and the cost is stress, with the period being train. The return percentage is -51.03150371008547, the drawdown percentage is 58.87860903093265, and the number of trades is 207. The win percentage is 48.792270531400966, the average win percentage is 1.5377661837855563, and the average loss percentage is 2.084472033867475. The mean percentage is -0.3170997634184112. A news scan found the data line with the following details: the country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy is to enter on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal is based on the prior close, with a stop loss at 1 ATR and a target at 1.5 ATR. The daily bar stop is at the first bar, and the opening gap stop is at the open. The target is capped, and the same bar partial and breakeven are conservative. The fill is zero or base 5 basis points fee plus 5 basis points slip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minutes, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period is from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-51.03
drawdown58.88
win rate48.79
sample207
average win1.54
average loss2.08
mean trade-0.32
quarter Kelly0
day trades34
overlaps skipped14
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total managed base recent report includes frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal analysis shows a total signal with a 5-day lookback and horizon, and the managed cost is based on the recent period. The return percentage is -22.89% and the drawdown percentage is 31.40%. The analysis is based on 30 data points, with a win percentage of 40%, average win percentage of 1.75%, and average loss percentage of 2.54%. The mean percentage is -0.82%. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to $5 million. The first weekly session open was used, with one lot and skipping overlapping entry, and the fifth session close was used as the signal prior close. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and half of the position was closed at 1R, with the remaining position set to breakeven. Daily bar stop was used first, followed by opening gap stop at open, and target capped. Same bar partial and breakeven were used conservatively. The fill was zero or base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with stress 5+20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, with holdout from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A news scan found the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. No proposal is based on this individual cell.
return-22.9
drawdown31.4
win rate40
sample30
average win1.75
average loss2.54
mean trade-0.82
quarter Kelly0
day trades3
overlaps skipped2
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The notes from the QREV90804 primary total managed base holdout are as follows: the original protocol analysis was done on 926, and the frozen notes are from 920 to 924. The trading results are: a signal to manage the total portfolio, with a 5-day lookback period and a 5-day horizon, and the cost is based on the total managed portfolio, which is in the holdout period. The return percentage is -45.07421960433745, and the drawdown percentage is 48.48517810909432, with 216 trades, a win percentage of 48.148148148148145, an average win percentage of 1.7006008147144807, and an average loss percentage of 2.068430530098789. The mean percentage is -0.2537117344479556. A country ETF had the lowest negative signal among the prior 5 sessions, with a signal prior to the close, and the first weekly session open was traded with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and the fifth session close was used. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and half of the position was closed at 1R, then the stop loss was moved to breakeven. The daily bar stop was used first, and the opening gap stop was used at the open, with a capped target, and the same bar partial and breakeven were used conservatively. The fill was zero or a base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data is from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-45.07
drawdown48.49
win rate48.15
sample216
average win1.7
average loss2.07
mean trade-0.25
quarter Kelly0
day trades22
overlaps skipped13
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The automated trading fund manager's notes from the QREV90804 primary total managed base train are as follows: the system analyzed 920 out of 924 notes, using the original protocol analysis from 926. The analysis resulted in a signal with the following parameters: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, managed, base cost, train period, with a return percentage of -8.879915614136602, drawdown percentage of 39.823020909845766, 207 trades, win percentage of 53.14009661835749, average win percentage of 1.7047714807843874, average loss percentage of 1.9708080068552891, and mean percentage of -0.01760151583903589. A news scan found the headline was not applicable in this case, instead, the system used a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The system entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was based on the prior close, with a stop-loss set at 1 ATR, or average true range, and a target of 1.5 ATR, with half of the position sized at 1 R, then moving to breakeven. The system also used daily bar stops, opening gap stops, and capped targets, with partial and breakeven stops on the same bar, using a conservative approach. The system used a fill of zero or a base fee of 5 basis points plus a 5-basis-point slip, with stress testing of 5 and 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, with fractional diagnostics, whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The system noted that recent positive results cannot rescue failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-8.88
drawdown39.82
win rate53.14
sample207
average win1.7
average loss1.97
mean trade-0.02
quarter Kelly0
day trades34
overlaps skipped14
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Stress
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total parent stress recent report shows frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal analysis shows a total lookback of 5 days, a horizon of 5 days, and a recent return percentage of -17.918379012512087. The drawdown percentage is 27.12353817405484, with 28 observations, a win percentage of 42.857142857142854, and an average win percentage of 2.191219379083653. The average loss percentage is 2.7842271167578376, and the mean percentage is -0.6518929042543415. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy involves opening one lot on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal is based on the prior close, and the parent has a time exit only, without a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The cost includes a 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training data is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data is from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-17.92
drawdown27.12
win rate42.86
sample28
average win2.19
average loss2.78
mean trade-0.65
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total parent stress holdout analysis was based on frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The analysis showed a signal with the following characteristics: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, not managed, stress cost, holdout period, -20.39% return percentage, 42.79% drawdown percentage, 192 data points, 44.79% win percentage, 2.74% average win percentage, 2.34% average loss percentage, and -0.062% mean percentage. The analysis also considered a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to $5 million. The strategy involved opening one lot on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was based on the prior close, and the parent strategy had a time exit only, without a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fees were either zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, without validation for whole shares, PDT, 15-minute, or cash dividends. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-20.39
drawdown42.79
win rate44.79
sample192
average win2.74
average loss2.34
mean trade-0.06
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped39
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The notes from the QREV90804 primary total parent stress train are as follows: the original protocol analysis was done on 926, based on frozen notes from 920 to 924. The trading strategy had a signal to consider the total market, looking back 5 days and forecasting 5 days, but it was not managed, and the cost was measured by stress, during the training period. The return was -28.284508150767884 percent, with a drawdown of 59.872464584277616 percent, over 191 trades, with 46.07329842931937 percent of them being wins, and an average win of 2.461880667607956 percent, and an average loss of 2.327642186371886 percent. The mean return was -0.1209510285172991 percent. A country ETF had the lowest negative signal in the prior 5 sessions among those with a median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The strategy was to enter on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was based on the prior close. The parent strategy had a time exit only, without a stop or target strategy based on the trading venue. The fees were either zero or a base fee of 5 basis points plus a 5 basis point slippage, with a stress factor of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy, not on account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, without validation for whole shares, PDT, 15-minute intervals, or cash dividends. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 to September 4. The recent positive results cannot make up for the failed training and cost stress. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell. A news scan found the source of this information.
return-28.28
drawdown59.87
win rate46.07
sample191
average win2.46
average loss2.33
mean trade-0.12
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped35
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total parent base recent report includes frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal analysis shows a total signal with a 5-day lookback and horizon, and the managed cost is base, with a recent period return of -10.72564423998158 percent and a drawdown of 24.452185017037387 percent. The analysis also shows a win percentage of 46.42857142857143 percent and an average win percentage of 2.3186387007388305 percent. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The strategy involves opening one lot on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal is based on the prior close. The parent strategy has a time exit only and does not include a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The cost includes a 5 basis point fee and a 5 basis point slip, with a stress test of 5 and 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training data covers 2016-2020, the holdout period is 2021-2025, and the recent period is 2026 through September 4. The report notes that a recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. No proposal is based on this individual cell.
return-10.73
drawdown24.45
win rate46.43
sample28
average win2.32
average loss2.67
mean trade-0.35
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total parent base holdout analysis was based on frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The analysis showed a signal with the following parameters: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, not managed, base cost, holdout period, 41.61351369746931% return, 24.575618434527424% drawdown, 192 data points, 47.91666666666667% win rate, 2.8651786412410325% average win, 2.179352471289304% average loss, 0.2378186867981489% mean return, and a quarter Kelly criterion of 0.020750773038634998. The reconciliation in USD was 7.275957614183426e-12, with 39 skipped overlaps and 0 day trades. The strategy was based on the Country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The signal was generated on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was based on the prior close. The parent strategy has a time exit only, without a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or base, with a 5 basis point fee and 5 basis point slip, and stress tested with 5 and 20 parameters. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, with fractional diagnostic and whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return41.61
drawdown24.58
win rate47.92
sample192
average win2.87
average loss2.18
mean trade0.24
quarter Kelly0.02
day trades0
overlaps skipped39
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary total parent base train had frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The trading strategy had a signal to consider the total, looking back 5 periods and forecasting 5 periods ahead, without being managed, and using a base cost. This was during the training period. The return percentage was 27.19327650733161 and the drawdown percentage was 40.721617175904576. There were 191 trades, with a win percentage of 49.73821989528796. The average win percentage was 2.576847049542439 and the average loss percentage was 2.19359779879941. The mean percentage was 0.17913654985229488. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among those with a prior 20 day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The strategy was to enter on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was based on the prior close. The parent strategy has a time exit only, without a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The data source was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return27.19
drawdown40.72
win rate49.74
sample191
average win2.58
average loss2.19
mean trade0.18
quarter Kelly0.02
day trades0
overlaps skipped35
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
Trend Analysis
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-08 04:09
A news scan found the following information: on September 7, the prices of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana were $79,096.805, $2,490.4615, and $103.8095, respectively. These prices are above their 20-day Simple Moving Average, which is a calculation of the average price over a 20-day period, of $77,975.582, $2,448.372, and $99.859, and also above their 100-day Simple Moving Average of $66,525.035, $1,925.063, and $79.152. The 30-day returns for these cryptocurrencies were 21.884%, 29.971%, and 36.685%, and the 7-day returns were 0.674%, 0.933%, and 0.741%. The Average True Range, a measure of price volatility, over 14 days was 2.014% for Bitcoin, 3.751% for Ethereum, and 5.787% for Solana. The Average True Range is a measure of the range of price movement. A fresh snapshot of data was collected at approximately 04:05, with quotes timestamped at 04:04:41, 04:04:28, and 04:02:33. A 25 basis point taker fee, which is a fee charged for taking liquidity, was displayed, along with a roundtrip spread of 0.5267%, 0.5123%, and 0.5476%. The ask price, which is the price at which someone is willing to sell, for Bitcoin was $78.72 and for Ethereum was $82.30, both below the $212.75 cap. The current trend remains positive, but neither the trend nor the repair headline provides a validated entry. The current cost is greater than Bitcoin's observed 0.265% four-hour post-return move. Prior recorded hourly RSI, a measure of the magnitude of recent price changes, 2 pullback family all seven holdouts loss was 41.8-51.8%. No stop or target is inferred from round numbers, and 1-2 ADRs, which is a measure of the average daily range, roughly 3-6% is range context only, not a promised move or independently calibrated exit. A counterexample trend reacceleration could pay, but it needs an independent entry and actual 15-minute exit model. The data sources are https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots, and https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees. The observations were made between 12407-12409 and 12418-12420.
BTC ADR14 percent3.01
ETH ADR14 percent3.75
SOL ADR14 percent5.79
BTC 30d percent21.88
ETH 30d percent29.97
SOL 30d percent36.68
BTC roundtrip percent0.53
ETH roundtrip percent0.51
SOL roundtrip percent0.55
allocation0
BTC Risk Exceeds Limit
SimulationsrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD2026-09-08 04:09
A news scan found the headline 'Unconditional BTC 48-hour tails exceed account risk at the venue position cap'. This refers to a situation where the potential losses from investing in Bitcoin, or BTC, over a 48-hour period, are greater than the allowed risk. To understand this, we need to look at some data. The data used is from June to August and includes 2206 hourly returns for BTC. A type of statistical analysis called empirical moving block bootstrap was used, which involves creating many random samples of data to understand possible outcomes. In this case, 20000 samples of 48-hour periods were created from 2183 overlapping 24-hour blocks. The analysis was started with a seed date of September 8, 2026. Each buy and sell transaction was charged a 0.25% fee, but the impact of the transaction on the market price was not considered, making the results optimistic. The results showed that the potential losses could be as high as 7.3666% at the lowest, and the potential gains could be as high as 9.1826% at the highest. The probability of a positive outcome was 44.55%, but this does not mean that 44.55% of trades would be winners. The 95th percentile of potential losses was 6.3012%, which would be a loss of $13.4056 at the current position cap of $212.7475, exceeding the planned risk of $8.5099. This does not mean that the maximum loss would be $13.4056, but rather that there is a 5% chance that the loss could be greater than this amount. The analysis did not include any stop-loss or profit-taking policies and did not calculate the optimal amount to invest. The results are limited because they are based on a single historical period and do not account for all possible outcomes. The data used for the analysis came from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars and https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees, and the analysis was done using a local Python script called analyze.py, with the observation number being 12417.
paths20000
block hours24
horizon hours48
median terminal percent-0.33
terminal fifth percentile percent-5.16
positive path fraction0.45
95pct adverse excursion percent6.3
cap adverse USD13.41
risk budget USD8.51
illustrative risk notional135.05
approved size0
BTC Return Study
StatisticalinconclusiveCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-08 04:09
A study of Bitcoin returns found that after a certain event, the return on Bitcoin was ordinary after adjusting for the overall market. The study used data from June 1 to September 8, with 2380 hourly bars and 615 daily bars, and no gaps or duplicates in the data. It used a statistical method called ordinary least squares to fit the data, and found that the relationship between Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, Ethereum and Solana, was strong. On September 7, between 17 and 21 UTC, the return on Bitcoin was 0.264963%, which is not unusual. The study also looked at other time periods and found that the returns on Bitcoin were all within the normal range. The conclusion is that there is no distinct edge or effect from the event, but this does not prove that the event had no effect. The study has limitations, including that it only looked at one event and the data may be affected by other factors. The data and code used in the study are available online.
training hourly returns2206
ETH beta0.46
SOL beta0.21
R squared0.79
independent incidents1
return window BTC percent0.26
return window residual log percent-0.01
placebo percentile49.52
patch 4h residual log percent-0.29
restart 1h residual log percent-0.07
allocation0
EGTX Event
ConsequenceswatchCatalyst run-upsEGTX.ST2026-09-08 04:08
A news scan found the headline that Egetis Therapeutics will participate in upcoming investor conferences in September. According to the company's website and a Nasdaq attachment, there are potential consequences and beneficiaries of an EGTX event. If the event is positive, there are three possible outcomes: 1) FDA authorization opens up paid US access and possible voucher; 2) payer coverage and distribution and monetization convert opportunity to cash; 3) reduced future equity need may benefit common holders. However, if the event is negative, there are also three possible outcomes: 1) delay or CRL pushes cash receipts out; 2) preparatory spend continues or cuts slow launch; 3) refinancing or dilution can transfer upside away from existing holders. The beneficiaries of a positive event could be patients from effective care, distribution partners from paid volume, RTT sellers from contractual voucher share, and investors from residual cash, but none of this is guaranteed. The event structure is complex, with public abstracts already preceding presentations, so the September 8 poster is not the first readout. The first two regulatory branches can occur before the September 28 deadline. A third-order possibility does not assign stock probability. On the other hand, approval and a profitable launch could outweigh all frictions, but observed price and net payoff evidence is needed, not narrative ordering.
chain_depth3
conditional_branches2
automatic_allocation0
EGTX Funding
FundamentalwatchCatalyst run-upsEGTX.ST2026-09-08 04:08
A news scan found the report on EGTX cash bridge and valuation scenarios. The report is based on data from https://attachment.news.eu.nasdaq.com/aa8bae6e3da62b95404c23eb6ec2cc25a and a stale price from September 4, found at https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/EGTX.ST. The cash divided by the operating and investing burn from the second quarter gives 11.75 months from June 30. Including the debt and lease rate from the second quarter, this number is 10.78 months, which is not the same as the management's guidance on the funding runway. If the costs for the next quarter are the same, the costs would be 273.1 million SEK after the third quarter, but actual costs, receivables, discounts, and launch may differ. The ordinary share growth was 17.66% for the year up to June 30, and the raise fee was 5.4%. The ordinary equity was 3.580 billion SEK, which is approximately 51.44 times the annualized second-quarter sales of 69.6 million SEK. This is neither an enterprise value nor a forward revenue valuation. No conversion from SEK to USD was included. If the voucher nets sales of 100, 150, or 200 million USD, the company would retain 50, 75, or 100 million USD before taxes and timing, but this is a contingent scenario, not a sales quote. The premises are that the positive cash is mostly from financing, the launch value is already required by the high current sales multiple, and there is a benefit from the share split. The conclusion is that there is not a near-term cash crisis at a flat burn, and there is not a free voucher arbitrage. The strongest bull future would be US sales plus voucher, which could transform the cash, but the value cannot be priced or predicted before the event. There are gaps in the confidential US net price, payer uptake, and final survival package that prevent a precise discounted cash flow analysis.
runway_months10.78
monthly_burn_MSEK32.2
scenario_Q3cash_MSEK273.1
share_growth_pct17.66
equity_MSEK3580.09
sales_runrate_MSEK69.6
price_sales_runrate51.44
voucher_retention0.5
allocation0
EGTX Simulation
SimulationsrejectCatalyst run-upsEGTX.ST2026-09-08 04:08
A news scan found the text: Python numpy seed 20260908 following backtests, which means a computer program used a specific starting point for random number generation on September 8, 2026, to analyze past trades. The program used 836 daily high, low, open, and close price vectors, or sets of numbers, for the stock EGTX, which were normalized, or adjusted, to the prior day's close price. It then randomly resampled, or reorganized, these sets of numbers into 10 sessions out of 100,000 possible paths, using data from the website https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/EGTX.ST. The simulation started with a stock price of 7.70, stopped trading at 7.34429, and had a target price of 8.23357, with specific rules for when to stop trading or take profits. The simulation included fees of 10 basis points, or 0.1%, and a potential loss of 25 basis points, or 0.25%, per trade. The results showed a mean return of -1.21410%, a win rate of 37.666%, and a 5% loss rate of -5.69831%, with 62.245% of trades stopped and 37.570% reaching the target price. These results are based on historical volatility, or price fluctuations, and do not represent actual probabilities of future events. The simulation also assumed a potential loss of 49.14% for the fund, with a 30% gap of 14.742 and a 50% gap of 24.57, both of which exceeded the risk cap of 8.5099. The full loss bound was 8.5099, and the binding edge failed, so the adopted notional, or potential loss, was 0, regardless of stress capacity, and no estimated regulatory win probability was determined.
paths100000
training_days836
mean_pct-1.21
win_rate_pct37.67
p05_pct-5.7
p95_pct6.18
stop_pct62.24
target_pct37.57
full_fund_gap30_loss14.74
full_fund_gap50_loss24.57
risk_cap8.51
allocation0
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