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8 events
FIVE FIVE Q2 FY26 beat-and-raise reaction at next open due
The company FIVE reported its second quarter results for the fiscal year 2026 after the market closed on September 2. The results showed a 14.1% increase in comparable sales, a 22.9% increase in total sales to $1.26 billion, which was higher than the estimated $1.22 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.68, which was higher than the estimated $1.38. The company also raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance for the fiscal year 2026 to $9.83-10.31, which was higher than the previous guidance of $8.65-9.05 and the estimated $9.23. The guidance for the third quarter earnings per share is $1.01-1.13, which is higher than the estimated $0.83. The management team said that the increase in sales was driven by marketing efforts on social media platforms, including a trend on TikTok, which is a social media app where users can create and share short videos, and this trend is called dupe-culture demand. According to a news article on Benzinga, a financial news website, published on September 2, 2026, between 20:02 and 20:36 UTC, this increase is a sign that the company's stock price may be lower than its true value. The plan is to check the stock price at the next open and compare it to the previous close of $242.72. If the stock price opens at the same price or up to 12% higher and there are no concerns about margins, which refer to the difference between the cost of a product and its selling price, or tariffs, which are taxes on imported goods, then buy approximately $19 worth of the stock, which is the full amount available, and set a stop-loss order, which is an order to sell a stock when it falls to a certain price, 7% below the entry price, and a target price, which is the expected price of the stock, 15% above the entry price, with the goal of selling the stock within 3 to 4 weeks. If the stock price opens more than 15% higher or lower despite the good results, then do not buy the stock.
2026-09-03
CHWY Pre-earnings option baseline review; complements post-event monitor51 due
A research review was done at 15:40 ET, which is not the release time. The issuer of Chewy, https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx, confirmed on August 19 that the fiscal second-quarter financial results conference call will be on September 9 before the market opens, with an 8:00 ET call. There will be no automatic entry. If the event is still pending, the synchronous underlying and September 18 K37.5 call, K17.5 put, K23.5 call/put quotes, sizes, IV, which stands for Implied Volatility, and Greeks, which are financial metrics, will be saved with actual feed and timestamps. A September 8 closing bar baseline will be arranged for monitor51 without calling the 15:40 close. The event log gap has an RMS, which stands for Root Mean Square, of 10.3956%, a mean absolute value of 9.2054%, and a median of 9.0425%. There will be no refit from September 9. If there is early news or a date change, the actual first news will be recorded and the contaminated baseline will be discarded. OPRA, which stands for Options Price Reporting Authority, 403 persists on September 7, but the indicative data are descriptive only. Either branch size will be zero unless there is an independent costed option holdout, value/target gates, and full premium, which is less than or equal to 8.5099. Job 22 does not collect CHWY, and there is no standing order.
2026-09-08
CHWY Research review of September9 earnings gap against frozen event model due
A research review of Chewy's September 9 earnings was conducted 20 minutes after the market opened, not at the time of the initial earnings release. The company's August 19 announcement confirmed the September 9 before-open release and 8:00 ET conference call. No automatic purchase was made. The actual first release, as well as the September 8 close and September 9 open, were recorded, along with the bid, ask, and implied volatility for the September 18 $37.5 call, $17.5 put, and $23.5 call and put. A frozen event model from 2022 to 2025 showed a log gap root mean square of 10.3956%, a mean absolute value of 9.2054%, and a median absolute value of 9.0425%. If the gap or implied volatility exceeds the model, a forecast miss will be recorded without refitting the past test, and an executable history and net option edge will be required before any new proposal. If the gap is small or the implied volatility is low, a rejection and prospective payoffs will be recorded. If the timing changes or there is early news, the review will be realigned according to the issuer's announcement. Neither branch of the review authorizes a trade. The Friday quotes are considered stale, and affordable legs failed to meet targets and value. An existing monitor is tracking 30 handles from the September 8 feed gate, but exact fees, deliverables, and history are still unverified.
2026-09-09
TXNM 12:30UTC Quant pre-open primary receipts and frozen-paper handoff; research only due
A review was done at 08:30 ET, which is the same time as the Consumer Price Index, but no filing was promised. Before the 12:25 cutoff, the actual results and call for KR at 12:00 UTC and the TLX dated September 11 from the FDA were checked. If the results were favorable in terms of cash and approval, a full record of the source was required and an independent costed rule was needed, but if the results were adverse or unknown, zero was retained. The TXNM website still shows an August 18 extension, and a new response from September 9 with accepted protections was read, but if it was absent, the result was unknown. The FTK forecast of over 40 million for hydrogen was not paid in cash. The SPY range of 2700 to 2726-28 remains quarantined, with a raw daily value of 69.005 compared to an RTH minute value of 689.425, and the sampling exit will be later or worse, with N1 not out of scope. The AVAV values of 229 and EAR 3.274346, as well as ADR 8.759085, were reconciled to 25088, and the erroneous values of 25076 and note 2301 should not be used. No automatic order was placed on either branch, with a cash value of 187.22. The following values will be preserved: 185 for CPI at 12:45, 229 for paper at 13:50, and 247 for SWKS at 21:15.
2026-09-11
SPY September11 CPI and real-earnings research review; no automatic order due
A review of the SPY was chosen 15 minutes after the August CPI and real earnings release at 8:30 ET, which was confirmed for September 10. The actual headline, core components, and revisions were recorded, but calendar certainty is not measured surprise. If inflation is benign, the prospective context will be updated, but if it is hot, revised, or missing, the risk will be recorded or the release will be verified, and neither branch will trigger an automatic entry. The quant cash is 187.22 and the account is 850.99, requiring an independent costed rule and venue execution, not a gap reversal borrowed from the stock monthly paper. On September 11, the Census business formations will be released at 10 ET, which remains later. The numbers 127 PPI, 161 AVAVEAR, 42 TXNM, and 171 FTK will be preserved.
2026-09-11
AVAV AVAV frozen positive EAR prospective September11 paper entry; no order due
A review was done at 9:50 EDT on September 10 after the market opened, but no order was placed. The price of AVAV was frozen at 147.065/144.65 and the price of SPY was 757.83/770.19, resulting in an EAR of +3.274346 percent. This calculation is based on the difference between the prices of AVAV and SPY, with an adjustment made using the SIP, which stands for Securities Information Processor, a system that provides real-time market data. The data used for this calculation can be found at https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. Previously, the ADR, or Average Daily Range, was 8.759085. The plan is to capture the actual open price of AVAV on September 11 and use it to determine a paper trade, with a stop loss set at the average daily range minus 8.759085 and a target set at the average daily range plus 1.5 times 8.759085, with half of the position set to close at a price equal to the average daily range plus 8.759085, and the remaining position set to close at the end of the day, with a 1 basis point fee and a 5 basis point slip on each side, and a stress test of 15. The trade will be monitored for 5 sessions, until September 17, and the outcome will be recorded. If there are any revisions, new disclosures, or missing data, the trade will be flagged as contaminated and the original outcome will be retained. Otherwise, the prospective outcome will be recorded without any changes. The decision to enter this trade was made based on historical data, specifically the N9CI cross 0 and the current quarter's performance, which is greater than or equal to 3R or 2R, although this data has not been validated. More information about the issuer can be found at https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391.
2026-09-11
SPY September11 Michigan sentiment and Census business formations review due
A review was done at 10:15 ET, 15 minutes after the primary 14 UTC releases. According to the University of Michigan website, on September 11 at 10 ET, a preliminary report was released, which showed a sentiment baseline of 51.7 in August, with expected inflation of 4.0% in the year ahead and 3.3% in the long run. The US Census Bureau also released its August business formations data at 10 ET. The data showed that improving expectations and real activity led to record actual numbers and prospective prices, while weaker and higher inflation led to a record number of adverse conditions. Any missing or revised data needs to be verified with the agency's timing and methodology, without assuming a consensus or causal attribution after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. Neither branch allows for automatic entry, and requires an independent net rule and eligible 15-minute execution. The quantitative strategy is flat, aiming to preserve the 185 CPI level.
2026-09-11
SPY September11 Financial Accounts and liquidity context review; no automatic order due
A review of financial accounts and liquidity context was done on September 11 at 12:30 ET, which is 30 minutes after the Federal Reserve's Z.1 release at 12:00 ET, or 16:00 UTC. The review can be found at https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm. The review checked the actual reported period, household and corporate debt, flows versus valuation, revisions, and source collection lags. It was noted that improving cash and debt capacity is a record context, while leverage and deterioration is a record risk, and missing data needs to be verified with the release. Stock price valuation gains should not be treated as new investment flows. No automatic order for SPY or TLT will be made. The same calendar applies to H.8 and H.15 reports, which will be released today at 20:15 UTC and on Monday, September 14, at 20:15 UTC, with commercial paper releases at 17:00 UTC on both days. This periodic context does not provide a traded edge.
2026-09-11