Runway

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3882 analyses, newest first
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress recent'. The trading fund manager's notes are as follows: the fund's performance was analyzed using the original protocol from 926. The analysis showed the following results: the signal was intraday, the lookback period was 5 days, the horizon was 5 days, the fund was not managed, the cost was stress, the period was recent, the return percentage was 19.824254694571096, the drawdown percentage was 13.053110923837696, the number of trades was 26, the win percentage was 57.692307692307686, the average win percentage was 2.7974367058143366, the average loss percentage was 2.0487054393374917, the mean percentage was 0.7471457982501014, the quarter Kelly was 0.06677057220787114, the reconciliation in USD was 3.637978807091713e-12, the skipped overlap was 6, the day trades were 0, and the lag was 2. The fund's strategy was to buy a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume greater than or equal to 5 million. The entry was on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and the fifth session close. The signal was two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent fund has a time exit only, not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points lip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, with a fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15 minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return19.82
drawdown13.05
win rate57.69
sample26
average win2.8
average loss2.05
mean trade0.75
quarter Kelly0.07
day trades0
overlaps skipped6
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress holdout'. The automated trading fund manager's notes are as follows: the fund's performance was analyzed from September 20 to September 24, and the original protocol analysis was done on September 26. The analysis showed that the signal was intraday, meaning it was based on prices within a single trading day, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days. The cost was stress, and the period was holdout, meaning it was a period of testing. The return percentage was -40.33%, and the drawdown percentage was 56.98%. The number of trades was 191, with a win percentage of 47.12%. The average win percentage was 2.66%, and the average loss percentage was 2.76%. The mean percentage was -0.20%. The quarter Kelly criterion, a measure of risk, was 0. The reconciliation in US dollars was 5.46e-12. There were 37 skipped overlaps, and 0 day trades. The lag was 2. The country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skip overlapping entry, and the fifth session close. The signal was two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent had a time exit only, not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points lip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was 2016-2020, the holdout period was 2021-2025, and the recent period was 2026 through September 4. The source of the data was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There was no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-40.33
drawdown56.98
win rate47.12
sample191
average win2.66
average loss2.76
mean trade-0.2
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress train'. The original protocol analysis was done on date 926. The results of the analysis are as follows: the signal was intraday, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and the strategy was not managed, with a cost of stress, during the training period. The return percentage was -55.327371019122126, the drawdown percentage was 64.61808586632517, and the win percentage was 46.596858638743456. The average win percentage was 2.0579540905413096, and the average loss percentage was 2.4964007033982627. The mean percentage was -0.37421443815940436. A country ETF had the lowest negative signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy was to enter on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skip overlapping entries, and to exit on the fifth session close. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent strategy has a time exit only, and not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fees were either zero or a base fee of 5 basis points plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, and not on account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-55.33
drawdown64.62
win rate46.6
sample191
average win2.06
average loss2.5
mean trade-0.37
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay intraday parent base recent'. The automated trading fund manager's notes are as follows: the fund's performance was analyzed using the original protocol from 920 to 924, and the results from 926 were used. The analysis showed a signal to buy or sell during the day, looking back 5 days and forward 5 days, with a return percentage of 29.54%, a drawdown percentage of 10.32%, and a win percentage of 61.54%. The average win percentage was 2.93% and the average loss percentage was 1.95%. The fund's strategy is based on a country ETF with a low negative signal in the prior 5 sessions, and the first weekly session open is used as an entry point. The parent fund has a time-based exit strategy but does not have a stop or target strategy based on the trading venue. The fund's costs include a 5 basis point fee and a 5 basis point slip, with a stress test of 5 and 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events, which is a backtesting framework, and the returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy, not account allocation. The training data used was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 to September 4. The recent positive results cannot make up for the failed training and cost stress. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return29.54
drawdown10.32
win rate61.54
sample26
average win2.93
average loss1.95
mean trade1.05
quarter Kelly0.09
day trades0
overlaps skipped6
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from a trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a delay in the QREV90804 system. The system's performance was analyzed from 920 to 924, and the original protocol was analyzed on 926. The analysis showed the following results: the system had a 5.824774831534096 percent return, a 45.257728879512406 percent drawdown, and a 50.26178010471204 percent win rate. The system also had an average win of 2.7956042643107883 percent and an average loss of 2.6305774157315547 percent. The mean return was 0.09671808837349746 percent. The system used a country ETF with a low negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The system entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries. The system had a signal two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent system has a time exit only, and not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The system used a fee of 5 basis points, a slip of 5 basis points, and a stress test of 5 and 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The system was trained from 2016 to 2020, and the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025. The recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The system's recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The data source was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return5.82
drawdown45.26
win rate50.26
sample191
average win2.8
average loss2.63
mean trade0.1
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from an automated trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a delay in the QREV90804, which had frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The manager provided data on the performance of the fund, including a return percentage of -20.769447384957964 and a drawdown percentage of 42.91665420056017 over 191 periods. The data also showed a win percentage of 51.832460732984295 and an average win percentage of 2.142545142650252. The manager used a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The manager entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closed on the fifth session. The signal to enter the trade was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent fund has a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The manager used a fee of 5 basis points plus a 5-basis-point slip, with a stress test of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The manager noted that recent positive results cannot rescue failed training or cost stress. The source of the data was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The manager did not make a proposal based on this individual cell.
return-20.77
drawdown42.92
win rate51.83
sample191
average win2.14
average loss2.46
mean trade-0.07
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay total managed stress recent'. The automated trading fund manager's notes are as follows: the fund's performance was analyzed from September 20 to September 24, and the original protocol analysis was done on September 26. The analysis showed a signal with a total lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, with managed cost being stress over a recent period. The return percentage was 1.3604070565877535, the drawdown percentage was 11.262384237747414, and the win percentage was 55.172413793103445. The average win percentage was 1.6895017579455593 and the average loss percentage was 1.9166946729614924. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was used to enter a trade, with one lot and skipping overlapping entries, and the fifth session close was used to exit. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and half of the position was closed at 1R, with the rest being moved to breakeven. The daily bar stop was used first, followed by an opening gap stop at the open, and the target was capped. The same bar partial and breakeven were used conservatively. The fill was zero or a base 5 bp fee plus 5 bp slip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return1.36
drawdown11.26
win rate55.17
sample29
average win1.69
average loss1.92
mean trade0.07
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades2
overlaps skipped2
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
The automated trading fund manager's notes show a delay in the QREV90804 system. The notes are based on an analysis from September 26, which was frozen on September 20 out of 24 total notes. The analysis shows a signal with the following parameters: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, managed, stress cost, holdout period, -75.92% return percentage, 76.85% drawdown percentage, 217 data points, 43.32% win percentage, 1.55% average win percentage, 2.29% average loss percentage, and -0.63% mean percentage. The system also shows a quarter Kelly value of 0, a reconciliation value of $3.64e-12, 9 skipped overlaps, 20 day trades, and a lag of 2. The system is based on a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among those with a prior 20-day median dollar volume of $5 million or more. The system enters a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closes on the fifth session. The signal is given two sessions before entry, with a stop loss of 1 ATR and a target of 1.5 ATR. The system also uses a daily bar stop, opening gap stop, and target cap. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The system was trained on data from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. A news scan found the source of the data to be https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The notes do not propose any changes based on this individual cell.
return-75.92
drawdown76.85
win rate43.32
sample217
average win1.55
average loss2.29
mean trade-0.63
quarter Kelly0
day trades20
overlaps skipped9
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from a trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a delay in the QREV90804 system, which had a total managed stress of -65.21398190313406 percent return and 68.00693525199648 percent drawdown. The system used a signal with a 5-day lookback and horizon period, and the cost was measured by stress during the training period. The notes also mentioned a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The system entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries, with a target set at the fifth session close. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and the system would move to breakeven after half of the target was reached. The system also used daily bar stops, opening gap stops, and target capping, with partial closes and breakeven points. The notes mentioned a cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events, with returns based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The notes stated that recent positive results cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The notes concluded that there was no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-65.21
drawdown68.01
win rate46.23
sample199
average win1.53
average loss2.25
mean trade-0.5
quarter Kelly0
day trades28
overlaps skipped13
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
Q4 Update
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'Q4 Update'. The automated trading fund manager has made notes about the performance of a trading strategy. The notes start with some numbers: 920/924 and 926, which seem to refer to a protocol analysis. The manager then shares some data in a format that looks like a computer code. This data includes a signal to manage the total portfolio, looking back at 5 periods and forward to 5 periods, with a return percentage of 10.57% and a drawdown percentage of 9.21%. The data also mentions a win percentage of 58.62% and an average win percentage of 1.88%. The manager explains that the strategy is based on a country ETF with a low negative signal in the prior 5 sessions, and the first weekly session open is used to enter a trade. The manager also mentions a stop-loss strategy based on the average true range, or ATR, which is a measure of how much a stock's price moves. The ATR is used to set a stop-loss at 1 ATR and a target at 1.5 ATR. The manager also talks about a cash ledger that is reconciled to some events, and mentions that the returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy, not the actual account allocation. The strategy was trained on data from 2016 to 2020, and the manager notes that the recent positive performance cannot make up for failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is a website.
return10.57
drawdown9.21
win rate58.62
sample29
average win1.88
average loss1.76
mean trade0.37
quarter Kelly0.05
day trades2
overlaps skipped2
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes for QREV90804, which include frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The notes contain a signal with the following parameters: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, managed, base cost, holdout period, -53.82508991763504% return, 56.180358581011106% drawdown, 217 trades, 46.08294930875576% win rate, 1.7538384477102555% average win, 2.112766405091792% average loss, and -0.33092085080513384% mean return. The signal is for a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among those with a prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least $5 million. The entry strategy is to open one lot at the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing at the fifth session. The stop-loss is set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and the position is adjusted to breakeven after half of the target is reached. The daily bar stop is used first, followed by an opening gap stop at the open, and the target is capped. The fill is set to zero or a base fee of 5 basis points plus a 5-basis-point slip, with a stress test of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period is from 2026 to September 4. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-53.83
drawdown56.18
win rate46.08
sample217
average win1.75
average loss2.11
mean trade-0.33
quarter Kelly0
day trades20
overlaps skipped9
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay total managed base train'. The automated trading fund manager's notes are as follows: Frozen notes 920/924, with original protocol analysis 926. The manager used a signal with a lookback of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, with a total managed base and a cost of 5 basis points fee plus 5 basis points lip, and a stress test of 5 plus 20. The results showed a return percentage of -36.80554424099195 and a drawdown percentage of 43.98082471696424, with 199 trades, a win percentage of 49.246231155778894, an average win percentage of 1.739530015157227, and an average loss percentage of 2.085063829769727. The mean percentage was -0.2015955041273075. The manager also used a quarter Kelly criterion of 0 and a reconciliation of 5.4569682106375694e-12 USD. The strategy was applied to a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume of 5 million or more. The manager entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closed on the fifth session. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with a stop loss of 1 ATR and a target of 1.5 ATR. The manager also used a daily bar stop, an opening gap stop, and a target cap. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, with a holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-36.81
drawdown43.98
win rate49.25
sample199
average win1.74
average loss2.09
mean trade-0.2
quarter Kelly0
day trades28
overlaps skipped13
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
Q4 Trading Update
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from a trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a protocol analysis from September 26 and a signal from September 20 to September 24. The signal had a 5-day lookback period and a 5-day horizon, and it was not managed. The cost was based on stress, and the period was recent. The return percentage was 1.0393441865186537, and the drawdown percentage was 18.230876399710606. There were 26 trades, with a win percentage of 50. The average win percentage was 2.254761679969384, and the average loss percentage was 2.0933881645918384. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skipped overlapping entry, and the fifth session close. The signal was two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent had a time exit only, not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points slip, with stress 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive result cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The source of the data was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There was no proposal based on this individual cell.
return1.04
drawdown18.23
win rate50
sample26
average win2.25
average loss2.09
mean trade0.08
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
Q4 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from a trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a protocol analysis from September 26, 2026, and a signal from September 20, 2026, to September 24, 2026. The signal had a 5-day lookback and horizon, and it was not managed, with a stress cost, during a holdout period. The return percentage was -36.976736705474245, and the drawdown percentage was 49.30964550500777, with 190 data points, a win percentage of 44.21052631578947, an average win percentage of 2.8212294177669786, and an average loss percentage of 2.5517446044152163. The mean percentage was -0.17632451039782457. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skipped overlapping entry, and the fifth session close. The signal was two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent had a time exit only, not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fees were zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, with a fractional diagnostic, whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive data cannot rescue the failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-36.98
drawdown49.31
win rate44.21
sample190
average win2.82
average loss2.55
mean trade-0.18
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped39
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the notes from a trading fund manager. The notes mentioned a protocol analysis from 926 and frozen notes from 920 to 924. The manager used a signal with a 5-day lookback and horizon, and the results showed a return percentage of -59.39769667601406 and a drawdown percentage of 67.51256800645362 over 184 periods. The win percentage was 44.565217391304344, with an average win percentage of 2.246840359881174 and an average loss percentage of 2.587386396691832. The mean percentage was -0.43300273343647055. The manager also mentioned a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The manager entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries, closing on the fifth session. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent strategy had a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The manager used a fee of 0 or a base 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The manager noted that a recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The data source was https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The manager did not propose anything based on this individual cell.
return-59.4
drawdown67.51
win rate44.57
sample184
average win2.25
average loss2.59
mean trade-0.43
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
Q4 Update
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
The automated trading fund manager's notes from September 4, 2026, show a total return of 9.235939327952082 percent and a drawdown of 15.74063142504859 percent over a recent period. The manager used a protocol analysis from September 26 to make decisions. A signal was generated based on a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among those with a prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The manager entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries, closing on the fifth session. The signal was given two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent strategy has a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The manager used a fee of zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress test of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The model was trained on data from 2016 to 2020 and held out from 2021 to 2025, with a recent period from 2026 through September 4. The manager notes that a recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. No proposal is based on this individual cell.
return9.24
drawdown15.74
win rate57.69
sample26
average win2.23
average loss2.15
mean trade0.38
quarter Kelly0.04
day trades0
overlaps skipped5
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 delay total parent base holdout'. The notes from the automated trading fund manager are as follows: Frozen notes 920/924, with original protocol analysis 926. The manager used a signal with a lookback of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, which was not managed, had a base cost, and was in the holdout period. The return percentage was 11.44%, the drawdown percentage was 35.72%, and the win percentage was 47.89%. The average win percentage was 2.90% and the average loss percentage was 2.43%. The mean percentage was 0.12% and the quarter Kelly was 0.01%. The reconciliation in USD was 5.46e-12. The manager skipped 39 overlapping entries and had 0 day trades, with a lag of 2. The country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The manager entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries, closing on the fifth session. The signal was two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent had a time exit only, not a venue-ready stop or target strategy. The fill was zero or a base 5 basis point fee plus 5 basis points lip, with stress 5 and 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events, which is a backtesting framework. The returns were on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return11.44
drawdown35.72
win rate47.89
sample190
average win2.9
average loss2.43
mean trade0.12
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades0
overlaps skipped39
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Delay
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
The notes from the automated trading fund manager are as follows: the original protocol analysis was done on the 926th day. A signal was generated with the following parameters: total signal, 5-day lookback, 5-day horizon, not managed, base cost, training period, with a return percentage of -29.484978142143003 and a drawdown percentage of 49.94184042713405. The number of trades was 184, with a win percentage of 49.45652173913043, an average win percentage of 2.317963659019453, and an average loss percentage of 2.532941860042203. The mean percentage was -0.13385271746279684. A country ETF had the lowest negative signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was used to enter a trade, with one lot, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal was generated two sessions before entry, with one full skipped session. The parent strategy has a time exit only, with no venue-ready stop or target strategy. The cost was either zero or a base fee of 5 basis points plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress test of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-29.48
drawdown49.94
win rate49.46
sample184
average win2.32
average loss2.53
mean trade-0.13
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday managed stress recent report includes frozen notes from 920 to 924 and original protocol analysis from 926. The signal for this report is intraday, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and it is managed with a cost of stress over a recent period. The return percentage is -16.74213253388731, the drawdown percentage is 31.235249486976446, and there are 31 data points, with a win percentage of 48.38709677419355. The average win percentage is 1.7318792186366745 and the average loss percentage is 2.685038819370337. A country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among those with a prior 20 day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The strategy involves opening one lot on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The signal is based on the prior close, with a stop at 1 ATR and a target at 1.5 ATR. The daily bar stop is first, followed by an opening gap stop at the open, with a capped target and a same bar partial or breakeven strategy. The fill is zero or a base 5 bp fee plus 5 bp slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger is reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and are fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period is from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period is from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period is from 2026 through September 4. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. This report does not include a proposal based on this individual cell.
return-16.74
drawdown31.24
win rate48.39
sample31
average win1.73
average loss2.69
mean trade-0.55
quarter Kelly0
day trades3
overlaps skipped1
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
EGTX Analysis
IndicatorsrejectCatalyst run-upsEGTX.ST2026-09-08 04:09
A news scan found the headline that Egetis Therapeutics will participate in upcoming investor conferences in September, which was verified on September 28. The first decision minute is unconfirmed. The price of EGTX is greater than its 50 and 20 day Simple Moving Average, or SMA, which is a calculation to determine the direction of a stock's price, and the momentum is positive, based on observation 12356, passing the descriptive joint trend test. However, the freshness test fails due to missing Open, High, Low, Close, or OHLC, data from September 7. The out of sample test, which is a method to evaluate the performance of a model, shows 56 trades with negative results and 18 out of 18 variants with negative results, according to analysis 931. The range based cost, which is a measure of the cost of a trade, has a Risk Reward ratio, or RR, of 1.17, which is less than 1.5, based on calculation 932. The Command Line Interface, or CLI, shows 0 foreign bars, and the venue and foreign exchange fees are unverified. The early binary test, which is a method to evaluate the performance of a model, is not bounded by a stop, according to calculation 933. In conclusion, the overall entry decision is FALSE, as no weighted score can compensate for a necessary gate failure. A strong counterargument is that the current pre FDA regime differs from the historical trend, which requires new independent validation rather than a generic backtest transfer. The facts end at dated disclosures and price data, and the FDA outcome, US sales, and run up demand remain assumptions.
date_gate1
descriptive_trend_gate1
net_edge_gate0
freshness_gate0
RR_gate0
venue_gate_verified0
entry0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday managed stress holdout analysis started with frozen notes from 920 to 924 and used the original protocol analysis from 926. The analysis found the following results: the signal was intraday, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and the strategy was managed with a cost of stress during the holdout period. The return percentage was -72.96511939062655, the drawdown percentage was 73.57239554301023, and there were 214 trades with a win percentage of 47.66355140186916. The average win percentage was 1.294579716528172, the average loss percentage was 2.3027721599953983, and the mean percentage was -0.5881464992224815. The quarter Kelly was 0, and the reconciliation in USD was 5.4569682106375694e-12. The strategy skipped 11 overlapping trades and made 33 day trades. The country ETF had the lowest negative prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The strategy entered a trade on the first weekly session open, with one lot, and skipped overlapping entries. The signal was based on the prior close, and the stop was set at 1 ATR with a target of 1.5 ATR. The strategy also used a daily bar stop, an opening gap stop, and a target cap. The same bar partial and breakeven were conservative. The fill was zero or a base 5bp fee plus 5bps lip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic. The strategy used whole shares, PDT, 15-minute intervals, and cash dividends, but these were unvalidated. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The periods were previously inspected for other strategies. A recent positive result cannot rescue a failed training or cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell. A news scan found the headline, but it is not provided. The data is from a JSON output, which is a format for storing and exchanging data.
return-72.97
drawdown73.57
win rate47.66
sample214
average win1.29
average loss2.3
mean trade-0.59
quarter Kelly0
day trades33
overlaps skipped11
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
No Event Edge
StatisticalrejectCatalyst run-upsEGTX.ST, RARE, MIRM, IONS2026-09-08 04:09
A news scan found the headline 'No allocatable event edge from three censored live losses or clinical significance'. This is a report from the Directquery fund, also known as the catalyst fund, as of September 8. The report can be found at https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev, specifically at the query_trades page for the catalyst fund. The report states that the total loss from three exact price and quantity losses is $31.9373 USD, with a mean loss of 16.3806%. The MIRM and IONS operator planned exits due to liquidation and censoring. One notable loss was 6.440R, using an entry price of 25.84 and an original stop price of 24, with an exit price of 13.98976. The report notes that there is no claim of precise order slippage without contemporaneous quotes. The fact that there are zero observed wins does not prove that the population has a zero win rate. The report also mentions that the average win is unidentified because there are no winning trades. The EGTX independent generic trend holdout has 56 observations, with a p-value of 0.375, a win rate of 7.383%, and a loss rate of 6.091%, resulting in a negative Kelly criterion that is clipped to 0. This means that the EGTX trend cannot be pooled with FDA trades. The report includes a descriptive one-day autocorrelation of 0.0460. A survival cohort analysis found that 228 out of 484, or 47.107%, of the cohort was retained. The selected older cohort had a hazard ratio of 0.28, which cannot be converted to FDA approval odds, as referenced in a study found at https://www.endocrine-abstracts.org/ea/0101/ea0101op-03-04. The report concludes that the premises mismatch, censoring, and negative expectancy prevent calibration, resulting in a conclusion size of 0. The evidence bar for change requires an independent dated-event holdout that is positive after costs, with a mean uncertainty above zero, plus venue and gap validation, and this is not a single rally.
live_sample3
live_win_rate0
live_mean_pct-16.38
live_pnl_USD-31.94
operator_censored2
RARE_loss_R6.44
EGTX_holdout_win_pct37.5
EGTX_avg_win_pct7.38
EGTX_avg_loss_pct6.09
survival_retained_pct47.11
adopted_Kelly0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The automated trading fund manager's notes from the primary intraday managed stress train, also known as QREV90804, are as follows: the original protocol analysis was done on notes 920 through 924, and the analysis itself was done on note 926. The analysis found that the signal was for an intraday trade, with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and the trade was managed with a cost of stress during the training period. The return percentage was -49.83213221076598, the drawdown percentage was 64.83902029350193, and there were 222 trades, with a win percentage of 48.64864864864865. The average win percentage was 1.5593162934500748, and the average loss percentage was 2.0317195556956738. The mean percentage was -0.28472914259774196. A news scan found the data line with the following information: {signal:intraday, lookback:5, horizon:5, managed:true, cost:stress, period:train, return_pct:-49.83213221076598, drawdown_pct:64.83902029350193, n:222, win_pct:48.64864864864865, avgwin_pct:1.5593162934500748, avgloss_pct:2.0317195556956738, mean_pct:-0.28472914259774196, quarterKelly:0, reconciliation_usd:5.4569682106375694e-12, skipped_overlap:9, daytrades:34}. This data line shows the results of the trading strategy, including the return percentage and drawdown percentage. The strategy was based on a country ETF with the lowest negative prior 5 session signal among the prior 20 day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session was opened with one lot, and overlapping entries were skipped. The signal was based on the prior close, and the stop was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR. The daily bar stop was set at the first bar, and the opening gap stop was set at the open. The target was capped, and the same bar partial and breakeven were conservative. The fill was zero or a base 5 bp fee plus 5 bp slip, with a stress of 5 plus 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic, with whole-share, PDT, 15-minute, and cash dividend unvalidated. The training period was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout period was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent period was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-49.83
drawdown64.84
win rate48.65
sample222
average win1.56
average loss2.03
mean trade-0.28
quarter Kelly0
day trades34
overlaps skipped9
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Update
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday managed base recent notes are as follows: the original protocol analysis was done on 926. The signal for this analysis is an intraday signal with a lookback period of 5 days and a horizon of 5 days, and it is a managed signal with a base cost. The period of analysis is recent. The return percentage is -8.6277%, the drawdown percentage is 27.6373%, and there are 31 data points. The win percentage is 51.6129%, the average win percentage is 1.9207%, and the average loss percentage is 2.5634%. The mean percentage is -0.2490%. A country ETF had the lowest negative signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume, which was greater than or equal to 5 million. The first weekly session open was one lot, with a skipped overlapping entry, and the fifth session close was the signal prior close. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and half of the position was closed at 1R, then the stop loss was moved to breakeven. The daily bar stop was set at the first bar, and the opening gap stop was set at the open. The target was capped, and the same bar partial and breakeven were conservative. The fill was zero or base, with a 5bp fee and a 5bp slip, and stress was 5 and 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns are based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, the holdout data was from 2021 to 2025, and the recent data was from 2026 through September 4. The recent positive results cannot rescue the failed training and cost stress. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell. A news scan found the headline 'Frozen notes 920/924'.
return-8.63
drawdown27.64
win rate51.61
sample31
average win1.92
average loss2.56
mean trade-0.25
quarter Kelly0
day trades3
overlaps skipped1
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 Report
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:09
The QREV90804 primary intraday managed base holdout notes are based on an analysis from 920 to 924, with the original protocol analysis from 926. The trading strategy had a return percentage of -48.626163252452095 and a drawdown percentage of 53.41515686636533, with 214 trades and a win percentage of 50.467289719626166. The average win percentage was 1.5224578927170382 and the average loss percentage was 2.135570300510461. The strategy was applied to a country ETF with a prior 5-session signal among the prior 20-day median dollar volume of at least 5 million. The strategy involved opening a position on the first weekly session, skipping overlapping entries, and closing on the fifth session. The stop loss was set at 1 ATR, with a target of 1.5 ATR, and the position was adjusted to breakeven after half of the target was reached. A news scan found the headline was not applicable in this case, as this is a raw data output. The data includes a signal prior to the close, with a stop loss set at the prior ATR 14. The daily bar stop was set at the first bar, with an opening gap stop at the open, and the target was capped. The same bar partial and breakeven were conservative. The fill was zero or base, with a 5 basis point fee and a 5 basis point slip, and stress was set at 5 and 20. The cash ledger was reconciled to vectorbt events. The returns were based on a fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation, and were fractional and diagnostic. The training data was from 2016 to 2020, with the holdout period from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 through September 4. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. There is no proposal based on this individual cell.
return-48.63
drawdown53.42
win rate50.47
sample214
average win1.52
average loss2.14
mean trade-0.29
quarter Kelly0
day trades33
overlaps skipped11
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
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