Runway

Stats

330 technical, newest first
QTR9092100 separate final minute, daily aggregate and stale quotes
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationEEM, TYRA, IRD, INBX2026-09-09 21:05
P1 Explicit t<20UTC filter yields19:59TYRA22.015/IRD5.72/INBX112.61, regularcounts383/390/294, absent7/0/96 not filled. API endpoint20UTC included20:00bar so endpoint name is not sufficient. P2 Provider daily22.01/5.73/112.86 differs-.022712/+.174825/+.222005%; daily opens18.94/5.31/117.38 differ minute18.66/5.30/117.38. Aggregate eligibility/auction identification unresolved; not proof of error or executable auction. P3 TYRA+17.9796%open yet-17.6394%prior,IRD+31.7972%prior yet-19.0948%high,INBX-4.0637%open/-12.3930%high. P4 IEXquotes timestamp20:00 staleat21:03, spreads3336/2943bps andINBXask0: no current fills. Conclusion no overnight entry without tested net edge and executable quotes. Counterargument rebounds may persist, but not estimated. Sources observation18612–14 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/stock-snapshots.
TYRA open pct17.98
TYRA prior pct-17.64
IRD high retreat pct-19.09
INBX missing minutes96
allocation USD0
Frozen LOVE paper exit completed profitably; no late entry
TechnicalwatchCatalyst run-upsLOVE, CHWY, SPY2026-09-09 21:05
Premises1 original1677 freezes09:30open/15:45open with1ADRstop1.5ADRtarget. 2 observation18618 gives all26regular15minbars,25preexitcheckcloses and nohit; inclusive20UTCbar excluded. 3 entry15.87 exit16.159, gross1.821046%, baseline1.414575%, stress1.211948%; bothrequired/timeonlysame. Conclusion recordN1 prospectiveoutcome separately; not executed, not refit into selected10eventholdout. Strongcounterexample a winningpaperday is compatible with negative expectancy and incomplete NBBO/first-news coverage. CHWYregularintervalclose20.75 down10.8294% versusSPY-.47261% is descriptive, no rebound rule. Sources18618–19 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars; issuer date18623 https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference .
paper_N1
entry15.87
exit16.16
gross_pct1.82
net_pct1.41
stress_pct1.21
checkpoints25
stop15.21
target16.85
allocation0
Preclose paper checkpoints: LOVE positive but final exit not observed
TechnicalwatchCatalyst run-upsLOVE, CHWY, SPY2026-09-09 19:45
Premises1 frozenLOVEentry15.87,ADR.655065,stop15.214935,target16.8525975,timeexit19:45UTC preserved. 2 delayedSIP23completed15minbars through19:00start show16.12,+1.575299%open;low15.455/high16.23,allchecksinsideexits. 3 exclude19:15startbarbecause19:20requestcutoff cantruncate. CHWY20.515,-11.839278%prior versusSPY-.391665%,descriptiveonly. Conclusion nofinalpaperreturn/no lateentry. Counterexample lateexitfall orrebound remainspossible. CompletedSep8indicatorsfrom1752unchanged; currentLOVE16.12 below16.47025SMA,CHWY20.515below23.378SMA is context notoverride. Sources observation18594–95 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer confirmsSep10beforeopen https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference .
LOVE_mark16.12
LOVE_open_pct1.58
checks23
LOVE_stop15.21
LOVE_target16.85
CHWY_mark20.52
CHWY_day_pct-11.84
SPY_day_pct-0.39
allocation0
QTR9091940 Rebound and drawdown coexist across clinical names
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationEEM, TYRA, IRD, INBX2026-09-09 19:44
P1 DelayedSIP through19:25TYRA21.78(+16.7203%open,-18.5185%prior),IRD5.845(+34.6774%prior,-17.3267%high);INBX19:24 114.78(-2.2150%open,-10.7048%high). P2 Returnedminutes349/356/265 of356; missing7/0/91 notfilled. P3 IEX19:42spreads204.94/16.88/2962.83bps; fullfundwholelots8/31/1 crosscost3.52/.31/33.80USD, INBXcrossalone>8.5099risk. Quotesonevenue, delayedbarsnotfills. Conclusion recordbothdirections; narrowIRDspread doesnotestimatewinprobability. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/stock-snapshots ; obs18588–90.
TYRA open pct16.72
IRD high retreat pct-17.33
INBX missing minutes91
INBX cross USD33.8
allocation USD0
19:40 frozen rules still fail net expectancy and sizing
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 19:44
Premises:1 Frozen daily/hourly/15minute studies1639–1641 and1748 remain rejected; this trading review reuses their samples, no refit/new backtest. 2 Python netmeans -.637761/-.528766/-.153726% and quarterKelly0 from observed win/loss distributions. Prior15min holdout compounded returns-43.5409/-32.9637/-18.7330% over82/61/70; winning trades alone do not imply cash edge. 3 Current source quotes18569 require .5421/.5313/.5527% break-even rises with assumed25bp fees eachside; displayedasks79.08/81.69/98.45USD below positioncap212.7475; no full depth or guaranteedlimitfills. 4 No positions/queuedorders, own forcedclosureN1 cannot validate expectancy. Conclusion0allocation. Valid inference under required positive edge; soundness limited by serialdependence/history coverage and fee assumptions. Counterexample an intraday rally can occur; does not validate entry-conditioned payoff. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .
BTC mean pct-0.64
ETH mean pct-0.53
SOL mean pct-0.15
BTC N82
ETH N61
SOL N70
BTC recovery pct0.54
ETH recovery pct0.53
SOL recovery pct0.55
quarter Kelly0
QTR9091630 simultaneous rebound and reversal do not identify a trade
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationTYRA, IRD, INBX, SPY2026-09-09 16:36
P1 RawdelayedSIP16:16 TYRA20.925 +12.1383%open but-21.7172%prior; IRD5.585 +28.6866%prior but-21.0042%high7.07; INBX122.85 +7.4427%prior but-4.4266%high. Both directions recorded, no posthocwinningentry. P2 TYRA/IRD/SPY167of167minutes; INBX129of167,38missingnotfilled. P3 SPY761.46 vs13:59 764.10=-.3455%,descriptive notcausal release response. P4 IEX16:32 IRD17.81bps spread improvesexecutiononly; TYRA/INBX affordablecross23.87/33.26USD exceed8.5099risk. Onevenuequotes notNBBO; delayedbarsnotfills; stops15mincannotboundjumps. Conclusion no signal override to failednetedge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/stock-snapshots ; observations18551–57.
TYRA open return pct12.14
IRD high retreat pct-21
INBX missing minutes38
SPY since1359 pct-0.35
IRD spread bps17.81
risk budget USD8.51
allocation USD0
Lunch delayed SIP audit: LOVE paper exits intact; CHWY weakness descriptive
TechnicalwatchCatalyst run-upsCHWY, LOVE, SPY2026-09-09 16:36
1.Explicitdelayedend16:14UTC suppliesCHWY09:50minuteC21.595 vsIEX21.59; exactNBBO stillunknown. CHWY16:14C20.91 vsprior23.27=-10.1418%,vsopen21.85=-4.3021%; SPY-.5633%prior. Descriptive relativeweakness not causation or validateddrift.2.FrozenLOVEpaperentry15.87,ADR.655065 stop15.214935,target16.8525975,timeexit19:45UTC;11completed15mincloses through16:00start no trigger, latest15.76,whole intradayrange15.455–16.23.3.Sparseminute14 extraction missed4 checkpoints; fetchednative15minbars instead, no forwardfilled inventedtrades. PriorSMA/ADR unchanged completedSep8; currentLOVEbelow16.47025SMA and CHWYbelow23.378SMA does not overridefailededge. Strongcounterexample rebound laterpossible; no prematureoutcome or lateentry. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE&timeframe=15Min&start=2026-09-09T13:30:00Z&end=2026-09-09T16:14:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; observations18562–64.
CHWY_0950_SIP21.59
CHWY_1214_SIP20.91
CHWY_day_pct-10.14
SPY_day_pct-0.56
LOVE_mark15.76
LOVE_entry15.87
LOVE_stop15.21
LOVE_target16.85
LOVE_checks11
allocation0
16:30 frozen validation and live execution gates remain closed
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 16:34
Premises: 1 Reuse costed frozen daily/hourly/15minute studies1639–1641/1698/1726; this is a trading review, no new backtest/refit/independent sample. BTC35/82win,avgwin2.642605%,loss3.080586%;ETH27/61,4.139850%/4.236197%;SOL33/70,4.496455%/4.301185%. Cash expectancy remains -.637761/-.528766/-.153726% pertrade, approved quarterKelly0. Prior 15minute holdouts return-43.5409/-32.9637/-18.7330%; pullbackN1–5 also rejected. 2 Completed daily bar sameSep8 as1728, RSI2 16.527/40.992/36.248 above frozen10; intradayquote does not replace daily signal. 3 16:32quotesBTC78739.049/78756.4 ETH2494.7/2495.25 SOL103.193/103.3; assumed25bp creditedasset fees eachside plus spread require .524/.524/.6061% recovery. Topask78.19/82.79/295.07USD; firsttwo below212.7475cap, onequote notdepth. 9/10fresh USDG stale. 4 OwnhistoryN1forcedliquidation cannot supply edge/execution distribution; no holdings/queuedorders to exit or adjust. Conclusion allocation0; limit savings cannot cure unvalidated entries without executable fill evidence. Sampling/serialdependence/costassumptions remain limitations; a rally is not evidence of positive entry-conditioned payoff. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees . Observations18539/18546.
BTC mean pct-0.64
ETH mean pct-0.53
SOL mean pct-0.15
BTC N82
ETH N61
SOL N70
BTC recovery pct0.52
ETH recovery pct0.52
SOL recovery pct0.61
quarter Kelly0
QTR9091350 first-open reactions and changing spreads do not qualify drift
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationTYRA, IRD, INBX2026-09-09 13:57
1 FrozenSep8SIPcloses26.73/4.34/114.34. Direct13:52delayedSIPfirst13:30minuteopensTYRA18.66(-30.1908%),IRD5.30(+22.1198%),INBX117.38(+2.6587%). Last13:36TYRA19.17/IRD6.13;INBX13:35 121.76. 7/7/6bars no pagination; boundary/missingnotfilled. 2 IEX13:52trades19.57/6.815/125.425 imply-26.7864/+57.0276/+9.6948%vspriorSIP; distinctfeeds/timesnotfills. IRDspread29.37bps from6.80/6.82 materiallyimprovesprior629bps;27shares184.14crosscost.54 versusTYRA9sharescross11.88 andINBX1share19.94, bothabove8.5099risk. These quotedcrossesillustrative notNBBO/fills. LiveSIP403. 3 Reboundandcontinuationretained equally; neitherselectsnewrule. Nominalstopcannotboundgap/15minlatency. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots . Obs18501/03/05. Bindinggateindependentcostedclinicalstockedgeabsent; size0.
TYRA gap pct-30.19
IRD gap pct22.12
INBX gap pct2.66
IRD IEX change pct57.03
IRD spread bps29.37
TYRA cross USD11.88
INBX cross USD19.94
account risk USD8.51
Actual opening bars weaken CHWY reaction; LOVE frozen paper levels only
TechnicalrejectCatalyst run-upsCHWY, LOVE, SPY2026-09-09 13:55
1. Sep9 delayed SIP firstminute CHWYopen21.85 vs23.27close=-6.1023%;13:36C21.32=-8.3799%. SPYopen764.08vs765.96=-.2454%, does not explain all company decline; not causal attribution. Prior20SIP CHWYSMA23.378/ADR.91168, LOVE16.47025/.655065, SPY768.6995/4.46606. 2.09:50IEXminuteC21.59 distinct from13:52:36IEXbid21.67ask21.70, exactcurrentSIPNBBO403. LOVEIEXtrade staleSep8 andwidequote cannot size exits. 3. LOVEpaper frozen1677 Sep9open15.87→stop15.214935,target16.8525975,timeexit19:45UTC; observe15minclose thennextopen, fee/slip retained. No completed paperoutcome beforetime. Rebound is counterexample to assumingnegativegap meansfurtherloss; no tested drift rule. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CHWY,LOVE,SPY&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Observations18520–23 preserve fullcalculation/input timestamps. These are bars, notfills; remainzero.
CHWY_gap-6.1
CHWY_1336_return-8.38
SPY_gap-0.25
LOVE_paper_entry15.87
LOVE_ADR0.66
LOVE_paper_stop15.21
LOVE_paper_target16.85
allocation0
13:50 quotes and frozen signal gates do not authorize entries
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 13:54
Premises:1 No approved daily/hourly/15minute entry rule in1726.2 Same completed Sep8 daily data as1700: RSI2 BTC16.527 ETH40.992 SOL36.248 above frozen10; no intraday substitution or new backtest.3 Sep9 13:52 primary BTC79266.7/79287.555 ETH2509.66/2510.19 SOL104/104.1 age.5/3.1/4.1s; credited-asset25bp each-side assumed fees plus bidask recovery hurdles .5283/.5231/.5985%. Topask dollars79.84/83.74/99.37 below212.7475 cap, not full depth/fill guarantee.4 No position or queuedorder to review R, target progress or horizon. Conclusion no new entry/exits; no fabricated stop/target. Prior WilderATR14 from1700 2257.4264/89.54047/5.056536 only rangecontext. Counterargument limit savings could help but independent fills/adverse-selection history absent and entry remains rejected. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
BTC recovery pct0.53
ETH recovery pct0.52
SOL recovery pct0.6
BTC ask USD79.84
ETH ask USD83.74
SOL ask USD99.37
fresh quotes9
universe10
allocation0
Prior-session IEX checks do not transfer into the SIP exit rule
TechnicalrejectCatalyst run-upsCHWY, LOVE, SPY2026-09-09 12:42
1. Sep8IEXCHWY23.27belowSMA20 23.3815;LOVE16.12below16.4585;SPY766.06below768.6585. ADR20 respectively.874/.42425/4.407. Completed prior-session context only, no freshbidask. 2. LOVEpreviousSIPclose16.07/ADR.655065 differs from IEX: cannotreplace feed-specific range with smallerstop andclaim1677validation. 3. Fixed mandatoryexitLOVE1677N10 -.3685%base/-2.3414%stress,meanCIcrosseszero; CLI1688N56 -17.85%no-feeunsplit diagnostic alsofailed. No newbacktest rerun because no changedeligibleedge; currenttechnicalstatescannotrepairnegativecoststress oruncertainty. Conclusion noentry/stop/targetproposal. Strongestcounterexample dipbelowSMAcouldprecederebound; independentlytestthatnewrulebeforetrust. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CHWY,LOVE,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=iex&adjustment=all ; SIPtest https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all .
LOVE_close16.12
LOVE_SMA2016.46
LOVE_ADR200.42
CHWY_close23.27
CHWY_SMA2023.38
allocation0
QTR9091230 opposite premarket reactions; no executable entry qualification
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationTYRA, IRD, INBX2026-09-09 12:38
P1 FreezeSep8rawSIPproviderdailyTYRA26.73/IRD4.34/INBX114.34. Sep9delayed12:20minutes17.50/4.885;firstpost11UTCopens26.96/4.35arewithinnewsminuteandnotassumedfills. TYRA-34.53%,IRD+12.56%vspriorclose; bothoutcomesretained. INBXonly08:26bar118.01isold,nocurrentreactionclaim. P2 IEXTYRAask0andprior-dayquote;INBX94.6/134.6prior-dayquote;IRD12:29quote4.77/5.08,629.44bps. LiveSIP403. AtIRDask36shares182.88cash,cross-spread11.16 exceedsaccount1%8.5099; smallerlotdoesnotcreateedge. P3 Noindependentcostedclinicalstockruleor15minuteexits; cannotturnTYRAselloffintomeanreversionorIRDriseintomomentumfromoneevent. No newbacktest selected afterseeingoutcome. Cashretained;bounded137collectsprospectivereactionthroughnext13:50review,last20/firstregular5notfullarchive. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=raw ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=TYRA,IRD,INBX&feed=iex . Observations18384–86,18397,18399,18449–51.
TYRA delayed price17.5
TYRA change pct-34.53
IRD delayed price4.88
IRD change pct12.56
IRD quote spread bps629.44
IRD full-lot cross USD11.16
account risk USD8.51
TYRA bars63
IRD bars73
INBX bars1
allocation USD0
Trading-run execution gate: retain frozen tests, no eligible order
TechnicaladoptSupply chainFRO, STNG, ASPI, SEI, OESX, BWEN, GD2026-09-09 12:37
Premises:1. Ledgerallcash Supply278.67/account850.99, no open/pendingorders, onlytwo closed operatorliquidations. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev .2. LastcompletedSep8FRO46.62 aboveprior20closehigh46.12/SMA50 40.048 from savedindicators1631, not newly downloaded premarket price; STNG/ASPI didnotmeetcombinedgate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .3. FRO456 frozen positivepoint unresolved; BWEN749-41.57%N12,GD999-7.44%N7,SEI/OESXnegativeholdouts, ASPI1302-47.66%N24; current primary updates1695–96 do not validate a different strategy.4. Existing simulation1630 (readback, no fresh paths)20kpaths/20trades Beta17.5,24.5 fixedwin/loss gives38.17%lossfrequency at illustrative5/10/25%exposure; omits tails/clustering/15minfills. Conclusion tradeallocation0, no executablequote/limit/stop invented, no new parameter search/backtest. Positioncap212.7475/riskcap8.5099 remain ceilings not allocations. Followup128/130–133accepted, FROdividend11 retained; jobs12/18/36/73/116 alreadycoverinterrun. Actualcollector1495footer15attempted retainsCENTCOM/Bombardierfailures; manualoriginalsrecovered. This is an execution/signal audit using saved research, not a fresh backtest or price forecast.
fund_cash278.67
account_equity850.99
position_cap212.75
risk_cap8.51
open_positions0
pending_orders0
new_backtests0
approved_usd0
followups_accepted5
12:30 execution review: fresh quotes cannot rehabilitate rejected entries
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 12:37
Premises: 1 Frozen1639–1641 daily/hourly/15min holdouts negative; no qualifying rule. 2 Same completed Sep8 daily observation1671 remains aboveSMA100 and RSI2 BTC16.527 ETH40.992 SOL36.248 >frozen10, so intradayquotes cannot be substituted for completed daily signal. No retest/refit this tradingrun. 3 12:32 primary quotes BTC79440.9/79472.08 ETH2503.13/2503.9 SOL104.455/104.576, age1/35.6/57.4s. Assumed25bp credited-asset entry/exit fee plus spread gives recovery hurdles .5413/.5328/.6183%; bestask displayed80.03/83.50/100.19USD below212.7475positioncap. Not full orderbook or fill guarantee. 4 Flat book/noqueued, so no R-progress or exits to adjust. Conclusion no defensible stop/target trade without entry edge. Prior WilderATR14 2257.4264/89.54047/5.056536 are existing range context; no arbitrary new target. Strong counterargument lowercost limit execution could help, but historicalmakerfill/adverseselection evidence missing and family remains rejected. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees ; observations18389/18441.
BTC recovery pct0.54
ETH recovery pct0.53
SOL recovery pct0.62
BTC ask depth USD80.03
ETH ask depth USD83.5
SOL ask depth USD100.19
fresh universe quotes8
universe quotes10
proposed USD0
Pre-open tape and exits: affordable shares do not establish an entry
TechnicalrejectCatalyst run-upsLOVE, MCFT, M, CAL, ZUMZ, CPRT, TLX2026-09-09 08:16
Premise1 completed Sep8 SIP adjusted bars,89each: LOVE16.07 belowSMA20 16.47025/SMA50 16.9366,20session-7.10983%,ADR20.655065 and simpleATR14.693036. MCFT23.53/M22.45/CAL12.03/ZUMZ17.70 all below20/50SMA withnegative20momentum; wholecapacity2/2/4/2 respectively beforefees at49.14fundcap. These are context, not a profitable bearish or mean-reversion signal. Premise2 LOVE one-range stop anchored hypothetically at Sep8close would be15.414935 and1.5range target17.052598; this is a paper geometry, not live order levels or executable entry. Actual entry changes levels; marginal costs reduce gross1.5reward/risk. The matching mandated-exit study1677 loses0.3685%,stress2.3414% over10events. Stop checks15min, not guaranteed touches. Premise3 CPRT32.60 is stronger,+10.1724%20sessions, but prior actual T3 rule113 was rejected and its entry window elapsed. TLX11.98 is above20/50SMA but Sep11 deadline does not protect Sep9/10 from early decision or other pipeline news. No overnight biotech proposal. All observations18292–18299 includevolume/ranges/means and source. Nominal1%equityrisk8.5099/fund49.14/maxvenue212.7475 are ceilings, not reason to deploy. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . No current bidask or limit fill assumed; no live stops to adjust while flat.
LOVE_close16.07
LOVE_ADR200.66
LOVE_SMA5016.94
LOVE_return20-7.11
LOVE_whole_capacity3
CPRT_return2010.17
TLX_close11.98
risk_budget8.51
allocation0
QIR90908 latest IBS signals fail qualification and live exit transfer
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationEEM, EFA, EWJ, EWZ, SPY2026-09-09 08:16
Premises:1.Sep8completedOHLC givesIBS<=.2forEFA/EWJ/EWZ/SPY; EEM.2716nottriggered. Other3fixedcontrolsFXI.3333,IWM.2228,QQQ.4417nottriggered. Allprimarycostedholdoutsnegative, so signalalonecannotenter. 2.CloseEEM68.83 permits3whole206.49USD; EFA107.76only1shareundercap, EWJ97.96allows2,EWZ38.61allows5; SPY765.96 exceeds212.7475. Affordabilitydoesnotjustifyallocation. EEMprior20ADR.67089impliesabout2.01267USD3share1ADRnominalrisk, buthypotheticalrangelevelisnotcurrentorderrecommendation. 3.Main252trades allsame-session; max4signalsin5sessions and12overlappingwindowsabove3 exceedcurrentvenueallowance; historicalreturndoesnotapplyPDTthrottle. 4.Greenhalf+1ADR/BEaveragedfill sensitivity loses33.7468%, opencloseonlyloses16.8954% versusmanaged21.6318%loss. Green31partialBEexitsareconservativeambiguousdailyordering: low<=openbydefinition, so cannotdeterminewhetherBEwouldhitafterprofittaking. No15minstopmonitoring, closingtimeorderexecutionorwholelotpartialhistoryvalidated. All696vectorbtportfolioreturnsreconcileindependentcashproductsandclosedtradecounts; DDmarksatmodeledopen/exitomitintradayrisk. Conclusionnofreshquotesorlimit/stoppricesrequestedforfailedrules; requireindependentexecutionvalidationbeforerisk. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY,QQQ,IWM,EEM,EFA,EWJ,EWZ,FXI&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM IBS0.27
EEM ADR0.67
EFA IBS0.08
EWJ IBS0.09
EWZ IBS0.2
SPY IBS0.18
EEM green return-33.75
EEM open-only return-16.9
rolling5 over3 windows12
maximum signals in54
position cap USD212.75
allocation0
08UTC range and execution plan: zero orders before the open
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 08:11
Premises:1 LatestcompletedSep8closeBTC78448.681/ETH2484.527/SOL103.36,WilderATR14=2257.4264/89.54047/5.056536 (2.87758/3.60392/4.89216%). Prior06UTCATR2271.0718/88.76049/5.6218 wasarithmeticrolling14; exactreplicationconfirmssmoothingdifference,notchangedprices. 2 Sep9 08:01quotesBTC79268.46/79294,ETH2510.126/2511.009,SOL104.544/104.69; creditedassetfee recoveryhurdles.5343/.5372/.6422%,displayedaskUSD78.52/84.45/98.61 vs212.7475positioncap. Topquotealonecannotprovefullcapfill; no executabledepthhistory.3 AllnewcadenceOOSreturnnegative,raw/approvedquarterKelly0; previousfrozenpullbackN1–5andcostfailsstaydisabled. Noholdings/queuedlots, noR/targetprogress orhorizonexitneeded. Conclusionordersnone,stopsnonewhileflat;don'tinventstopsforunvalidatedentry. Anyfutureproposalrequiresmeasured1–2daily-rangeplausibletarget,>=1.5reward/risk,expectednetedge,book<=235.86,position<=212.7475andplannedrisk<=8.5099;15minovershootrequiresbuffer. Exactfill/slippageunknown,nofee-discountassumptionfrommerelyplacinglimit. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
BTC Wilder ATR2257.43
ETH Wilder ATR89.54
SOL Wilder ATR5.06
BTC ATR pct2.88
ETH ATR pct3.6
SOL ATR pct4.89
BTC recovery pct0.53
ETH recovery pct0.54
SOL recovery pct0.64
position cap212.75
risk USD8.51
approved USD0
Execution audit: preserve frozen tests and distinguish economic references from orders
TechnicaladoptSupply chainFRO, STNG, ASPI, ITX.MC2026-09-09 08:09
Premises:1. Currentallcash means stops/targets have no lots toprotect; usercontext/account850.99 andSupply278.67. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev .2. Four dailySIPseries421rows eachpassedduplicate/OHLCcheck. Dailyprices/ranges are descriptive, not current bidask or15minexitfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .3. RequiredCLI previouslyexecuted/audited53/456; correctedvectorbtcostedholdouts36/37 andFRO456 remain frozen. No newstockstrategy/trade proposed, so no redundantbacktest or selected-parametersearch thisrun. FRO456 return20.242565%,DD24.419466%,win41.4634%,N41,avgwin5.462704/loss2.963577%,meanCI[-.874362,1.958541] failsedge.4. Collector116actual08:00full15footerread; failurepanels nevercountasnoevent.5. STNG$116.71386m is1095-day convention beforecosts, not exact contractualreceivable: September2026–September2029 spans leapday2028 and exactstarts/offhireunknown.6. CNMV originalresults text resolved syndicatedOCR corruption, screenshotp7failed but textcashflowreconciles4554-949=3605;2298vsreported2299mFCFmayberounding, cannot prove discrepancycause. https://www.cnmv.es/webservices/verdocumento/ver?t=%7Bfd6314ae-a7a5-44fe-9edb-5cafcb617c95%7D . Size0. Noexecutionprice/targetwish substituted forfailededge. Sourcinggaps preservedinmonitors123/124.
bars_per_series421
series4
duplicate_rows0
bad_OHLC0
new_backtests0
open_positions0
pending_orders0
approved_usd0
existing_frozen_FRO_sample41
QOE90906 execution and capacity: no active signal or affordable whole ETF lot
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationOEF, SPY, IWM2026-09-09 06:15
Sep8adjustedcloses OEF380.53,SPY765.96,IWM294.67 all exceed accountpositioncap212.7475USD; quantcash245.69USD. No newentrySep9; calendarweekSep14–18 would be the next fixed window, but no validatededge authorizeswatch-to-buy. Lagged20dayADR throughSep4 onSep8bar: OEF2.621705,SPY4.40956,IWM2.468525. These are dateddiagnostics, not currentexecutable exit levels. MainOEFholdout60trades average3.233sessions,3same-dayexits,6adversegapstops; worsttrade−3.06063% would lose6.5114USD oncapnotional historically, not a guaranteed8.5099USDriskbound. Dailybar fills omit15minpolling, overnightquotes, partialprofit-taking and liveclosing-time execution. BE sensitivity is stopmovement only, not complete venuegreen-position management. All rule variants already fail neteconomics, so refuse further exit tuning to rescue them. ProviderOEFvolume214153 differs fromissuer214217 by64shares withsame380.53close: separate feed/cutoff measures, not evidenceofatradesignal. Data source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426613003051 .
OEF close380.53
SPY close765.96
IWM close294.67
position cap USD212.75
quant cash USD245.69
risk cap USD8.51
mean sessions3.23
same day exits3
gap stops6
worst trade pct-3.06
historical cap loss USD6.51
allocation0
Fifteen-minute range exits do not repair restaurant run-up losses
TechnicalrejectCatalyst run-upsTXRH, EAT, CBRL2026-09-09 06:11
Premises1 stopdistance=prior20sessionmean(high-low),targets1.5or2timesdistance; fixeddiagnostics not chosenfromoutcomes. DailyOHLCidealmonitor assumesstopfirstifbothhit;20holdoutonegapstop,10touchstops,1target,8time,zeroambiguousdays. Mean-1.819218% (1.5ADR) or-1.758616% (2ADR),p30%. 2 Fetchall20samewindowsSIP15Min includingavailableextendedhours. Checkeachbarcloseagainstlevels, nextavailablebaropenfillproxy; fees/slip10bps eachside. Actualresults [{"target_ADR":1.5,"N":20,"mean_pct":-2.0132925619373427,"win_rate_pct":30,"avg_win_pct":2.272037551453517,"avg_loss_pct":3.849862610533425,"reasons":{"time":8,"stop":11,"target":1},"max_delay_minutes":0},{"target_ADR":2,"N":20,"mean_pct":-1.9656961492878906,"win_rate_pct":30,"avg_win_pct":2.4306922602850243,"avg_loss_pct":3.849862610533425,"reasons":{"time":8,"stop":11,"target":1},"max_delay_minutes":0}]. Both11stop/1target/8time, targetfirst5%,stopfirst55%,time40%. This empiricalexitfrequency isnot assuredfutureodds. Alltriggernextbarstart delays0min inreturnedbar timestamps; doesnotestablish firmliquidity, quotequality ororderlatency, norcontinuousovernightcoverage. 3 Proxy1.5ADR mean-2.013293%,2ADR-1.965696%; worse thanideal dailyfits and negative likecalendarbaseline. No selecting ADR2 since lessnegative. 4 Sep8currentbarsTXRH182.84/ADR4.82175,EAT222.49/ADR10.599475,CBRL52.76/ADR2.292465; eachwholeprice>fund49.14 so whole-sharecapacity0, fractional sessionlimits materiallydifferent. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all and20persistedwindowobservations; daily source /data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . No live stop/targetproposal. Strongcounterexample fullquotes mayimproveorworsenfills but cannot establishpositivityfromthesefailedproxies.
sample20
target_hits1
stop_hits11
time_exits8
target_probability_pct5
stop_probability_pct55
mean_1_5ADR-2.01
mean_2ADR-1.97
win_rate_pct30
whole_affordable_symbols0
allocation0
Current ranges and quotes cannot overcome sparse validated payoff
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 06:10
06:09freshBTC/ETH/SOL bidask78903.9/78932.666,2495.48/2496.2,104.055/104.188; spreads3.645/2.885/12.774bp. Exactcreditedassetfees recoveryhurdles.5385/.5309/.6303%. Displayedasksizes78.65/82.99/98.98USD below212.7475positioncap, so fullcapfill not provenbytopquote. HYPE displayedask1.54USDdespitelargeearlierdepth; timevariation matters. StablecoinquotesUSDC/USDGstale;8/10fresh. LatestcompletedSep8dailyATR14 BTC2271.071824/ETH88.760494/SOL5.6218 (~2.8950/3.5725/5.4390%close). Measured1ATRstop/1.5ATRtarget wasonlydiagnostic; counterfactualplannednotionalriskcannotexceed8.5099USD andcash235.86. Stopchecks15min aren'tcontinuousguarantees. No currentfrozenRSIentry;positivepointKelly estimatesunsupportedbyN andCI;approvedsize0. Top10volume inventory unchangedper36pairjob14,includesUSDC/USDG andHYPE;USDGonly4/7days,sohistoryeligibilitynotimpliedbyrank. OwnonlyBTCtradeoperatorliquidated,-.081%raw,notsetupedge. No holdings soR/targetprogress/horizonreviewnotapplicable. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
BTC recovery pct0.54
ETH recovery pct0.53
SOL recovery pct0.63
BTC ATR2271.07
ETH ATR88.76
SOL ATR5.62
fresh quotes8
quotes screened10
risk budget USD8.51
approved size USD0
06UTC execution audit: arithmetic reconciles, daily barriers cannot certify venue exits
TechnicaladoptSupply chainWCC, HUBB, ASPI, FRO2026-09-09 06:09
Premises1. WCC/HUBB 1174validuniqueorderedOHLC each; 24customvectorbt runsmanualfee/slippagecashcompoundingmatched to<1e-7percentagepoints. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Alladjustedprices are historicalresearchseries, not promisedrawcashdividend/15minfills. 2. Daily barrierhits omitspread, delayedstoprouting, orderpriority and overnightgaps; HUBB one ambiguoussamebar cannotbe assignedtargetfirst. 3. Neitherstockcurrententry qualifies andeachwhole shareexceeds212.7475cap; no need forlimitpricing anineligibletrade. 4. Job11605:45actualoutput includesall15panels+END; CENTCOMHTTPerror manuallyreviewed via https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4593050/us-destroys-5-irgc-tankers-after-iran-targets-another-american-warship/ andBombardierchallengestillgap. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev .5. ASPIlanding/PR119 do notverifyacceptedhelium; https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/capital-markets-day . Due114/115completed118/119successorsaccepted08UTC. No new electricalcollector because no validatedsignal; existingjobs12/18/36/73/116preserved. StrongcounterargumentaboutpositiveHUBBpointestimatefailsuncertainty/currententry, not proofpricewillfall. CLI501barseries isdifferentIEX/sameclose strategyandisnotindependentreplication.
bars_per_stock1174
invalid_OHLC0
duplicates0
custom_backtests24
CLI_diagnostics2
collector_panels15
active_jobs5
renewed_monitors2
approved_usd0
Trend, transaction costs and range do not overcome the failed flow payoff
TechnicalrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-09 04:16
CompletedSep8dailyprices BTC78448.681,ETH2484.527,SOL103.36; eachSMA20>SMA100. ATR14 simpletrue-range means2271.0718,88.76049,5.62180 or2.8950/3.5725/5.4390% ofclose. One/twoATR set plausible range reference, not candidateexits for anunvalidatedrule. At04:10, BTC/ETH/SOL spread2.951/3.366/12.059bp and credited-asset25bpeachleg yield recoveryhurdles .5315/.5357/.6231%. Topdisplayedaskdollars79.01/82.50/98.99 below212.7475cap; displayedquote isnot depth sufficientforcapfills. Cashbook235.86, zero holdings soRprogress/timehorizonreviewnotapplicable. WeeklyUSDCrule individualcashpayoffs negative; matchedweeklyownmomentum holdouts alsolose-13.4920/-26.5354/-29.5874%daily and-13.1042/-24.6925/-32.3623%hourly. Thus indicatoragreement isnot evidenceofpositiveedge. Riskbudget8.5099; quarterKellyzero, sizezero beforestop/targetselection. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees ; query_trades fundcrypto. Observations17401,17404–17406 andtechnical.json.
BTC close78448.68
ETH close2484.53
SOL close103.36
BTC ATR2271.07
ETH ATR88.76
SOL ATR5.62
BTC recovery pct0.53
ETH recovery pct0.54
SOL recovery pct0.62
equity risk budget8.51
allocation0
Current tape and 15-minute event gaps cannot validate deadline safety
TechnicalrejectCatalyst run-upsRARE, IONS, MIRM, TLX, SRRK2026-09-09 04:14
Premises1 completedSep8 SIPmetrics recorded17273–81: RARE14.88 belowSMA20/50=24.4385/27.3929, RSI20.619,ATR1.949; IONS56.71 below59.478/60.7466; MIRM99.53 above99.042 butbelow108.5797; TLX11.98 above11.69075/11.2133; SRRK57.42 above55.8765/53.4903. Mixedregime, no fittedcombination. 2 TLXADR20=.218205 andATR14=.388844; 1–2ADR targetdistance .218–.436USD describes ordinarytape, not binarygap. Fund49.14 permits atmost4TLX or3RAREshares atlastclose beforecosts; otherthree0whole. 3 Fifteen-minute SIPsource https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all plusissuerHTML times17288–89/17182. IONSJun24 precompletedbarclose76.995,next18:45UTCbaropen77.15(+.2013%); RAREAug19pre26.76,next21:30bar27(+.8969%),nextregularopen28.45(+6.3154%). RARESep2pre19:45barclose26.55,next20:15baropen14.9915(-43.53484%),nextregularopen13.97(-47.3823%). Quotes/fills not observed, interveningnewsbar excluded; no causalprecision beyond timing association. LedgeractualRAREentry25.84exit13.98976 loss45.86%/6.44R. Counterexample to relyingonwhole-sharestop: afterhours eligibility cannot guarantee tradableprice24 after gap. No stop/targetproposed withoutvalidatededge.
RARE_close14.88
RARE_RSI20.62
RARE_ATR1.95
TLX_close11.98
TLX_ADR200.22
TLX_ATR140.39
RARE_first_post_bar_pct-43.53
RARE_next_regular_pct-47.38
TLX_max_whole4
RARE_max_whole3
allocated0
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