Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
ASPI Derived helium_annual_revenue_m_at600 = 15.33
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
15.33. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived helium_daily_revenue_at600 = 42000
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
42000. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
FRO 04UTC due-monitor primary five-carrier reread = 5
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
Sep8participantreleaseunchangedread04:07UTC. NamesKaviz,Charminar,Horizon1,Riesco,GulfOman;DeryanearKharg. NoIMO/cargoloadings/survival/insurance/paidreplacementfixture provided. Sameoriginnotnewindependentcorroboration. Noallocationfromclaim. https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4593050/us-destroys-5-irgc-tankers-after-iran-targets-another-american-warship/
USGS 2025 estimated production and base price = 190
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
Feb2026reportcovers2025: world190millionm3,US81,Qatar63,Russia18;producerbase330USD/Mcf excludestransport/surcharges. Conversion27.737m3=1000cf=4.7kg. NewUS6operations andcavernstartupsin2025. NotcurrentSeptavailability; counterpart toissuerJune23claimRussia20%globalUSGS2025, differentdefinitionorerrorunresolved. No assumedcurrentexport-lawfindingfromissuerretelling. https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf
ASPI CMD forecast wording versus accepted helium
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
Original99pagePDFretrievedexacthref200; browsernormalizedpluspath403isretrievalerror. Sep8p12firstheliumweeksaway andapproximately27mcombinedannualrevenue; p93Septemberdelivery/2Hnameplateexpected. p57conditionalDFC/SB notbinding. NoacceptedSeptemberheliumcashdisclosedinreadpages. Video linkASPVideoV5.mp4 notconfirmedfullQ&A; webcastJSregistrationnoaccessibletranscriptyet. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/capital-markets-day
ASPI Annual supplier and customer concentration risks
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
Apr10annual2025 riskfactorsoriginalread: Virginiaplantsemiconductorslimited/singlesourcewithpastshortages;limitedenrichmentcomponentvendorsbutnosignificantdelaystodate;fewRenergencustomersweakennegotiatingleverage;onlylocalLNGsourcecan deterfuelconversion;sitehazardousstoragelimitsincreasedeliverycomplexity. Historicalrisknotcurrentoutage. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526151294/aspi-20251231.htm
ASPI Q2 versus H1 segment operating bridge = 1.248
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
Aug14filing, June30period; originaltablesread. H1Helium/LNGrevenue1.248m,costsales2.314m,grossloss1.066m,operatingloss9.797m,netbeforeNCI-15.990m. Q2onlyrevenue.654m,costsales1.494m,grossloss.840m,personnel1.085m,professional.692m,other3.181m,operatingloss5.798m,netbeforeNCI-5.987m. AnnualizingQ2expenseillustration notsteadycashcostforecast. Historicalmemory343's.654/-5.987areQ2notH1. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm
ASPI Aug6 priced LNG tranche and total contracted volume = 10
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
IssuerAug6: fiveyear domesticfoodprocessorcontract >16USD/GJ atthenFX, all-inplantgate,10%plannedcapacity. TotalLNG75%contracted. Do not applythisonepricefloor toentire75%;customerunnamed,fulfillment/FXtermsunread. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/116/asp-isotopes-inc-announces-that-renergen-limiteds
APD July30 FY2026Q3 helium volume and adjusted guidance = 3.47
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. Issuer July30 coversJune30quarter: adjEPS3.47, guide13.39-13.49,capex3.5bn; heliumvolume improvement contributesAsia growth butsegment256mprofit includeson-sites/depreciationchanges. GAAPoperatingloss2.1bn drivenbusiness/assetactions. Cannot attribute entirebeat to helium. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2969/000000296926000034/exhibit99130jun26.htm
APD FY2025 contract duration and container fleet disclosure = 90
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. FY2026Q2 issuer slide18 describesFY2025:~90%heliumvolumecontracts>1year,~500ISOcontainers, highsingle-digit%sales; electronics35/medical18/aerospace16/other31%volume. Q2FY26heliumEPSYoYdrag$.06 and lowerprice partlyoffsetvolumegrowth. Different period from LindeQ2June; not blanketspotpricebeta. https://investors.airproducts.com/static-files/1c55c69d-3196-4a46-b646-fd85adeec0f2
LIN Q2 2026 helium positive dollars but margin dilution
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. Issuer hosted transcript Q2: management says newlongtermcustomers, higherpricing, diversefeed/cavern/tanks; positive incremental dollar contribution but higherdislocationcost makes margin% dilutive; guidancehelium assumption unchanged. Same source already in345, reverified not new independentcorroboration; no exact helium profit dollars. https://assets.linde.com/-/media/global/corporate/corporate/documents/investors/quarterly-earnings/investor-call-transcript-2q26.pdf
ASPI Historical H1 FY2026 helium delivery followed by halt = 52.6
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. Issuer Oct29 2025 interim covers six months endingAug31 2025, despite FY2026 label:52.6kg helium/2287t LNG production; first helium deliveryMarch2025 then helium halted until economic feed-gas threshold. Revenue29.1mZAR/costsales57.8m/grossloss28.7m. Historical not current operating rate. Supports distinction initial smalldelivery vs sustained2026commercial ramp. https://www.renergen.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/4D-31-August-2025-29-Oct-2025-Final-signed.pdf
ASPI Aug20 LNG/helium contracted shares and revenue assumption = 75
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. Issuer Aug20 commissioning: LNG75%, helium15% under take-or-pay. 2500GJ/day LNG/$15-18GJ and70Mcf/day/$600Mcf yield >27m annual revenue wording; not exactly27m. Nameplate fullcalendar arithmetic to follow. September planned customer shipments remain forecasts. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI June23 plant-gate helium contract = 15
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:04
Retrieved Sep9 ~04:09UTC. Issuer June23 2026: five-year take-or-pay Asian industrial-gas customer, initial base >$600/Mcf all-in plant gate, ~15% planned70Mcf/day. Signed contract claim not independently accepted cash. Production ramp matched to customers ability to offtake. Earlier memory720 treated price as illustrative; actual June23 supports >600 for this tranche, not all output. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000147793226003952/aspi_ex991.htm
Job116 first saved 15-panel footer verified; monitor consolidation accepted = 15
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:18
At02:18UTC list_jobs confirms116 first run02:15:16, outputtimestamp02:15:30,exit0,all15panels plusENDfooter. Replacescancelled111 whose13panel01:45footer wasalsoverified. CENTCOMHTTPerror andBombardierchallenge remainexplicitmissingcoverage. SEI/OESXhomepages partialnotfullfilings. Newmonitors106ASPI/107FRO04UTC,110combinedSEI/OESX12:30,111Nordic+Oct8Maersk12:30accepted. InitialtwoMaerskmonitorsrejected422at20cap; administrativeconsolidation108/109→110 freedslot, nofuturecheck falselydeclaredcompleted. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
MAERSK-B.CO Sep8 announced Oct8 dry-container PSS
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:15
Fetched02:10UTC Sep9. Carrier announcement, commercially interested source. Brazil/Paraguay/Uruguay/Argentina to west-coast South America USD1000/container; Caribbean/US Gulf USD500/container. Effective Oct8 PCD; booking and FMC/non-FMC/spot definitions require exact scope. Not collected revenue or margin; base-rate discounts, eligible paid boxes and incremental costs unknown. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/08/pss-east-coast-south-america-west-coast-caribbean-us-gulf
MAERSK-B.CO Sep8 carrier announced Nordic fuel surcharge effective Sep9 PCD
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:15
Fetched 02:10UTC Sep9. Carrier primary participant, not independent payer evidence. All StoreDoor Denmark13%, Sweden9%, Norway0%, Finland5%, Lithuania4%, Latvia12%, Estonia20%; EV trucks and rail currently unaffected; updates weekly. Rate percentages need base inland charge, actual paid moves and fuel costs to estimate net earnings; none measured. Not pure incremental margin. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/08/emergency-inland-fuel-energy-surcharge-nordic-region
LIN Derived arithmetic LIN_forward_adjusted_PE = 26.313483146067416
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CW Derived arithmetic CW_forward_adjusted_PE = 37.55475409836066
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
ALM Derived arithmetic ALM_annual_new_MTU = 210000
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1670061/000149315226033123/ex99-1.htm
ALM Derived arithmetic ALM_annual_old_MTU = 210000
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1670061/000149315226033123/ex99-1.htm
CCJ Derived arithmetic CCJ_fuel_market_related_pct = 7.580623930498881
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://www.cameco.com/sites/default/files/documents/2026-Q2-MDA-FS-Notes_0.pdf
CCJ Derived arithmetic CCJ_uranium_market_related_pct = 76.9029680243988
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://www.cameco.com/sites/default/files/documents/2026-Q2-MDA-FS-Notes_0.pdf
SEI Derived arithmetic SEI_EV_proxy_m = 6371.8020400000005
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://ir.solaris-energy.com/~/media/Files/S/Solaris-IR/reports-and-presentations/10-q-2q26.pdf
SEI Derived arithmetic SEI_book_netdebt_m = 1667.6080000000002
Supply chain2026-09-09 02:11
PythonSep9~02:10. Sourceinputobservations16106–16118/16264/16268 andSIPprices. SEIJune30share/convertiblesproxy plusSep8price excludeslaterM&A/leases/NCI/TexReceivable adjustment andconvertible dilution; notfairvalue. H2guidance source https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510 . CW/LINguidanceprimarysources in16116/16115; computedforwardadjustedPEnotGAAP. https://ir.solaris-energy.com/~/media/Files/S/Solaris-IR/reports-and-presentations/10-q-2q26.pdf
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