LIN Frozen distributor 2026 holdout baseline = -5.579722265254931
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:10
{"return_pct":-5.579722265254931,"drawdown_pct":15.673481894169349,"win_rate_pct":37.5,"avg_win_pct":2.676755871309582,"avg_loss_pct":2.6925113042631543,"sample":8,"mean_pct":-0.6790361134233781,"quarter_Kelly":0,"returns":[0.016419087556016388,0.024465811528306097,0.03941777705496498,-0.02182739715422232,-0.035970925051279745,-0.031246470533870974,-0.016888047858745654,-0.028692724615039022]}. Rule1346: prior20closehigh -> nextopen10sessions; train2022–25,holdout2026throughSep8; fees10bpsperside,slippage10bpsperside. No15minvenueexitmodel; exploratorypriceedge notheliumcausaltest.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
ASPI Derived full_utilization_flatcost_op_result_m
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[3.2094999999999985,5.947000000000003]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived 75pct_utilization_flatcost_op_result_m
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[-4.044875000000001,-1.9917499999999961]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived flatcost_operating_breakeven_joint_utilization_pct
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[88.93943310071509,81.27224059203274]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Q2_gross_margin_pct = -128.44036697247705
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
-128.44036697247705. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Q2_annualized_total_operating_cost_m = 25.808
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
25.808. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Q2_annualized_segment_COGS_m = 5.976
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
5.976. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Q2_annualized_segment_opex_m = 19.832
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
19.832. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Q2_2026_segment_revenue_m = 0.654
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
0.654. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived H1_2026_segment_revenue_m = 1.248
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
1.248. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived H1_2025_helium_equiv_nameplate_days = 0.15987841945288753
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
0.15987841945288753. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived H1_2025_helium52_6kg_Mcf_USGS_conversion = 11.191489361702127
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
11.191489361702127. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived Russia2025world_pct = 9.473684210526317
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
9.473684210526317. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived USplusQatar2025world_pct = 75.78947368421053
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
75.78947368421053. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived phase1_pct2025Qatar = 1.1248894444444444
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
1.1248894444444444. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived phase1_pct2025world = 0.3729896578947368
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
0.3729896578947368. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived phase1_annual_million_m3_USGS_conversion = 0.70868035
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
0.70868035. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived phase1_annual_mcf = 25550
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
25550. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived 75pct_LNG_plus15pct_He_volume_price_scenario_m
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[12.565125,14.618250000000002]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived 10pct_LNG_tranche_annual_at16_m = 1.46
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
1.46. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived 15pct_He_tranche_annual_at600_m = 2.2995
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
2.2995. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived 75pct_joint_utilization_revenue_m
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[21.763125,23.816250000000004]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived utilization_implied_by27m_at_disclosed_prices_pct
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[93.04729904368054,85.02598016060462]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived combined_annual_revenue_m
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[29.0175,31.755000000000003]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm
ASPI Derived LNG_annual_revenue_m_at15_18
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:09
[13.6875,16.425]. Python helium_math.py Sep9; inputs17159–64,17189–93. USGS conversion/worldbaseline https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-helium.pdf ; costs https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm . Nameplate and flatcost scenarios, NOT realizedcash/guaranteedcontractreceipts/currentmarketdeficit. 75%contracting not physicalcap; USGSconditions may differfromissuerMCFstandard.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001193125-26-358072/aspi-ex99_1.htm