APD Completed September8 distributor indicators = 297.71
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:13
On September 8, 2026, the closing price of APD was 297.71. A daily bar review was done, with the timestamp based on the daily bucket, not the regular open trade time. The prior 20-day close was 309.46, and the Simple Moving Average, or SMA, over 50 days was 300.50. The Average Daily Range, or ADR, over 20 days was 5.72, and the Realized Volatility, or RV, over 20 days was 18.78. The signal was false. The prior 20-day close breakout was tested, and the SMA50 was used separately for diagnosis, without being added retrospectively.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
More LIN Empirical20trade Monte Carlo 10pct hypothetical exposure = 86.36500000000001
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:13
A news scan found the following data line: a LIN Empirical20trade Monte Carlo simulation with 10 percent hypothetical exposure showed a loss probability of 86.365 percent, a median return of -1.3836 percent, and a 95th percentile drawdown of 3.4932 percent. This result is based on 20,000 paths resampled from 2026 trade returns, using a seed of 2026090904 after bootstrap draws, and assumes independent and identically distributed, or iid, conditional small sample size, which does not represent future event probabilities or actual planned positions.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Completed September8 distributor indicators = 468.38
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:13
A news scan found the headline 'LIN Completed September 8 distributor indicators'. The data for LIN on September 8, 2026, at 04:00:00+00:00 shows a close price of 468.38. The prior 20-day average close price was 490.84. The Simple Moving Average, or SMA, over 50 days was 498.94. The Average Daily Range, or ADR, over 20 days was 7.18, and the Realized Volatility, or RV, over 20 days was 16.09. The signal, which is a decision to buy or sell, is false. This data is based on a daily bar, which is a summary of price movements over a day, and the timestamp refers to the end of the trading day, not the regular trading hours. The prior 20-day close price breakout was tested, and the SMA50 was used separately for diagnosis, not added after the fact.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
More ASPI Explicit arbitrary-prior helium economics sensitivity simulation = 11.452
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:12
A news scan found the headline 'ASPI Explicit arbitrary-prior helium economics sensitivity simulation'. The simulation used 100,000 numpy draws with a seed of 2026090904. The results showed revenue ranges of 11.30 to 27.94, and operating ranges of -17.03 to 2.42. The share of positive operating scenarios was 11.45 percent, and the share of revenue above 27 was 7.46 percent. Correlations were 0.79 for utilization and operating, 0.30 for uncontracted helium price and operating, and -0.53 for cost and operating. The simulation used independent triangular distributions for utilization, uncontracted helium price, LNG price, and annual operating cost. The model did not account for joint endogeneity, gaps, capital expenditures, taxes, interest, or non-controlling interest, and could not justify the Kelly criterion.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1921865/000119312526352603/aspi-20260630.htm
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H20 = -26.641487433706722
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":20,"return_pct":-26.641487433706722,"drawdown_pct":31.341153566635406,"win_rate_pct":29.411764705882355,"avg_win_pct":7.992894749780925,"avg_loss_pct":5.531170426731582,"sample":17,"mean_pct":-1.55350419834555,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H10 = -15.90832655761591
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":10,"return_pct":-15.90832655761591,"drawdown_pct":22.917039943337326,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":4.300591269337202,"avg_loss_pct":4.117713681379697,"sample":20,"mean_pct":-0.7503917010929376,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H5 = -11.75449386122178
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":5,"return_pct":-11.75449386122178,"drawdown_pct":18.70927757466876,"win_rate_pct":53.57142857142857,"avg_win_pct":2.1604583643163666,"avg_loss_pct":3.3274033821603046,"sample":28,"mean_pct":-0.3874774465478021,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H20 = -21.791169010157667
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":20,"return_pct":-21.791169010157667,"drawdown_pct":44.17412119283325,"win_rate_pct":41.66666666666667,"avg_win_pct":5.9586308985861525,"avg_loss_pct":5.5349541536452795,"sample":24,"mean_pct":-0.7459603818821836,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H10 = -12.432149251989376
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":10,"return_pct":-12.432149251989376,"drawdown_pct":34.72148454626669,"win_rate_pct":45.45454545454545,"avg_win_pct":4.174643338898468,"avg_loss_pct":3.999957315917777,"sample":33,"mean_pct":-0.284229745546757,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H5 = -7.375662785718904
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":5,"return_pct":-7.375662785718904,"drawdown_pct":20.42229777243616,"win_rate_pct":56.81818181818182,"avg_win_pct":2.4288687344333324,"avg_loss_pct":3.4464970563847395,"sample":44,"mean_pct":-0.10822103887447108,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H20 = -5.188465269371554
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":20,"return_pct":-5.188465269371554,"drawdown_pct":36.85076356695909,"win_rate_pct":45.16129032258064,"avg_win_pct":6.2719794650724285,"avg_loss_pct":5.034684937908549,"sample":31,"mean_pct":0.07155059892156904,"quarter_Kelly":0.0028519943073802567}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H10 = -30.317463956351787
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":10,"return_pct":-30.317463956351787,"drawdown_pct":48.19066423191016,"win_rate_pct":45.09803921568628,"avg_win_pct":4.245228611401689,"avg_loss_pct":4.51172806400936,"sample":51,"mean_pct":-0.5625123084318275,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H5 = -8.954063612187165
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":5,"return_pct":-8.954063612187165,"drawdown_pct":27.89129971036093,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":2.316930952947609,"avg_loss_pct":3.098705762851648,"sample":63,"mean_pct":-0.09001869851872758,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More APD Frozen distributor 2026 holdout stress = -5.3337237620999804
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"return_pct":-5.3337237620999804,"drawdown_pct":13.038577502186953,"win_rate_pct":28.57142857142857,"avg_win_pct":2.768922374957536,"avg_loss_pct":2.1388967060732864,"sample":7,"mean_pct":-0.7366626829216228,"quarter_Kelly":0,"returns":[-0.003270522485016153,0.03521992914271023,0.020158518356440485,-0.031042024857537855,-0.06144054297913838,-0.005044987976761597,-0.006146757005210338]}. Rule1346: prior20closehigh -> nextopen10sessions; train2022–25,holdout2026throughSep8; fees10bpsperside,slippage30bpsperside. No15minvenueexitmodel; exploratorypriceedge notheliumcausaltest.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More APD Frozen distributor 2026 holdout baseline = -2.645598244297762
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"return_pct":-2.645598244297762,"drawdown_pct":11.28183254814774,"win_rate_pct":42.857142857142854,"avg_win_pct":2.145096112192302,"avg_loss_pct":2.201042448558124,"sample":7,"mean_pct":-0.3384116368079417,"quarter_Kelly":0,"returns":[0.0007284052773516221,0.039373127716023505,0.024251350372393926,-0.02715440605650954,-0.05767476229233934,-0.0010531723219116148,-0.0021593572715644786]}. Rule1346: prior20closehigh -> nextopen10sessions; train2022–25,holdout2026throughSep8; fees10bpsperside,slippage10bpsperside. No15minvenueexitmodel; exploratorypriceedge notheliumcausaltest.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H20 = -3.251482795766096
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":20,"return_pct":-3.251482795766096,"drawdown_pct":25.52943551982135,"win_rate_pct":66.66666666666666,"avg_win_pct":2.9616269437458063,"avg_loss_pct":5.889807921806323,"sample":21,"mean_pct":0.011148655228429323,"quarter_Kelly":0.000941092129443627}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H10 = -20.220479273479086
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":10,"return_pct":-20.220479273479086,"drawdown_pct":23.079559623208034,"win_rate_pct":38.70967741935484,"avg_win_pct":3.223911540552905,"avg_loss_pct":3.094754031539854,"sample":31,"mean_pct":-0.6488189713749147,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L40 H5 = -24.8045615311039
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":40,"hold":5,"return_pct":-24.8045615311039,"drawdown_pct":26.35194725586044,"win_rate_pct":47.5,"avg_win_pct":1.6330023678314198,"avg_loss_pct":2.7396028960037437,"sample":40,"mean_pct":-0.6626153956820408,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H20 = 8.389243229303593
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":20,"return_pct":8.389243229303593,"drawdown_pct":23.896852489390476,"win_rate_pct":53.84615384615385,"avg_win_pct":3.6622047255392145,"avg_loss_pct":3.3403941365876424,"sample":26,"mean_pct":0.43023601994220384,"quarter_Kelly":0.029370014252743354}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H10 = -12.662756189904432
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":10,"return_pct":-12.662756189904432,"drawdown_pct":22.52394542725973,"win_rate_pct":48.717948717948715,"avg_win_pct":2.553488553158216,"avg_loss_pct":2.978894876056644,"sample":39,"mean_pct":-0.2836311541314559,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L20 H5 = -18.02368435876111
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":20,"hold":5,"return_pct":-18.02368435876111,"drawdown_pct":24.980144386774196,"win_rate_pct":40.74074074074074,"avg_win_pct":1.872858924095059,"avg_loss_pct":1.845033160628845,"sample":54,"mean_pct":-0.33033638537095816,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H20 = -1.036877826513628
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":20,"return_pct":-1.036877826513628,"drawdown_pct":26.654842999112617,"win_rate_pct":60.60606060606061,"avg_win_pct":3.331932570544688,"avg_loss_pct":4.850445775259767,"sample":33,"mean_pct":0.10857140401566011,"quarter_Kelly":0.008146278602354146}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H10 = -2.912028394204244
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":10,"return_pct":-2.912028394204244,"drawdown_pct":19.28402721535206,"win_rate_pct":47.16981132075472,"avg_win_pct":2.7030053392487616,"avg_loss_pct":2.4206664814486025,"sample":53,"mean_pct":-0.003840150930977718,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Training only distributor sensitivity L10 H5 = -19.761600491296278
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"lookback":10,"hold":5,"return_pct":-19.761600491296278,"drawdown_pct":26.86489961989773,"win_rate_pct":52.85714285714286,"avg_win_pct":1.532830878354117,"avg_loss_pct":2.3156834111566207,"sample":70,"mean_pct":-0.28146871527237377,"quarter_Kelly":0}. 2022–25 only;9correlatedvariants,fee10bps+slip10bpsperside; baseline20/10remainedfixed,notselectedbyholdout. Fulltradevectorslocaldistributors_results.json.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More LIN Frozen distributor 2026 holdout stress = -8.553352212826976
Supply chain 2026-09-09 04:10
{"return_pct":-8.553352212826976,"drawdown_pct":17.343265991710734,"win_rate_pct":37.5,"avg_win_pct":2.2664681923192864,"avg_loss_pct":3.081364718777312,"sample":8,"mean_pct":-1.0759273771160878,"quarter_Kelly":0,"returns":[0.012357522151904322,0.0203721233774302,0.03526440024024407,-0.025736281523519824,-0.03982334806232166,-0.035117753699254343,-0.020816650248338637,-0.03257420240543115]}. Rule1346: prior20closehigh -> nextopen10sessions; train2022–25,holdout2026throughSep8; fees10bpsperside,slippage30bpsperside. No15minvenueexitmodel; exploratorypriceedge notheliumcausaltest.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More