Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
HUBB Training lookback10 hold3 costed = -60.056162961544146
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":3,"return_pct":-60.056162961544146,"drawdown_pct":62.01930908350705,"sample":78,"win_rate_pct":34.61538461538461,"avg_win_pct":1.711035792699132,"avg_loss_pct":2.6249080677131817,"mean_pct":-1.1240044237243034,"manual_return_pct":-60.05616296154408}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC 2026 ablation_no_sma electrical breakout = 1.9043745633779146
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. SMA50 omitted for descriptive ablation; no retune. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.1% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":1.9043745633779146,"drawdown_pct":14.148690231859074,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":3.03986500607782,"avg_loss_pct":3.1617975764482553,"mean_pct":0.2835705249551198,"manual_return_pct":1.9043745633779752}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-29","2026-02-05"],["2026-02-09","2026-02-17"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-20","2026-04-27"],["2026-05-01","2026-05-08"],["2026-05-12","2026-05-19"],["2026-05-27","2026-06-03"],["2026-08-03","2026-08-10"]] [0.04054654709680072,0.004249067602338341,-0.0369323067239169,0.04247766240800499,-0.00483861093495408,0.006680007668730781,-0.06889923281045973,-0.015801752588599505,0.07055747329566597]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-2.1918036650942527,3.061479355934164]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC 2026 stress electrical breakout = -0.5359649712356804
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.3% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":-0.5359649712356804,"drawdown_pct":16.184601826214973,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":2.8778777386184373,"avg_loss_pct":3.5483783842692462,"mean_pct":0.0217639062239113,"manual_return_pct":-0.5359649712357029}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-29","2026-02-05"],["2026-02-09","2026-02-17"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-20","2026-04-27"],["2026-05-01","2026-05-08"],["2026-05-12","2026-05-19"],["2026-05-27","2026-06-03"],["2026-08-03","2026-08-10"]] [0.04054654709680072,0.004249067602338341,-0.0369323067239169,0.04247766240800499,-0.00483861093495408,0.006680007668730781,-0.06889923281045973,-0.015801752588599505,0.07055747329566597]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-2.1918036650942527,3.061479355934164]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC 2026 holdout electrical breakout = 3.109989513393539
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.1% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":3.109989513393539,"drawdown_pct":14.148690231859074,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":3.2902151614308166,"avg_loss_pct":3.1617975764482553,"mean_pct":0.4226539445956733,"manual_return_pct":3.1099895133936073}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-29","2026-02-05"],["2026-02-09","2026-02-17"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-20","2026-04-27"],["2026-05-01","2026-05-08"],["2026-05-12","2026-05-19"],["2026-05-27","2026-06-03"],["2026-08-03","2026-08-10"]] [0.04054654709680072,0.004249067602338341,-0.0369323067239169,0.04247766240800499,-0.00483861093495408,0.006680007668730781,-0.06889923281045973,-0.015801752588599505,0.07055747329566597]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-2.1918036650942527,3.061479355934164]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback40 hold10 costed = -65.23281734358154
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":10,"return_pct":-65.23281734358154,"drawdown_pct":69.84442400774591,"sample":29,"win_rate_pct":44.827586206896555,"avg_win_pct":5.395621235581468,"avg_loss_pct":9.838224714708968,"mean_pct":-3.009259288716703,"manual_return_pct":-65.2328173435815}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback40 hold5 costed = -40.51534305580721
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":5,"return_pct":-40.51534305580721,"drawdown_pct":45.17591328612437,"sample":36,"win_rate_pct":52.77777777777778,"avg_win_pct":3.5412224033743422,"avg_loss_pct":6.541450876641782,"mean_pct":-1.2200399788554936,"manual_return_pct":-40.51534305580721}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback40 hold3 costed = -49.69990360078144
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":3,"return_pct":-49.69990360078144,"drawdown_pct":51.63678902335472,"sample":43,"win_rate_pct":53.48837209302325,"avg_win_pct":2.160598523807327,"avg_loss_pct":5.502937579538042,"mean_pct":-1.4038368730974955,"manual_return_pct":-49.69990360078137}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback20 hold10 costed = -60.21355469848797
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":10,"return_pct":-60.21355469848797,"drawdown_pct":67.13133047875914,"sample":36,"win_rate_pct":44.44444444444444,"avg_win_pct":6.699693306868479,"avg_loss_pct":8.963492382978082,"mean_pct":-2.0020765208240547,"manual_return_pct":-60.21355469848797}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback20 hold5 costed = -37.55373038338062
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":5,"return_pct":-37.55373038338062,"drawdown_pct":45.21697039970043,"sample":47,"win_rate_pct":51.06382978723404,"avg_win_pct":3.9084366244948883,"avg_loss_pct":5.710621567648203,"mean_pct":-0.7987620652772625,"manual_return_pct":-37.5537303833806}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback20 hold3 costed = -58.344601017836254
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":3,"return_pct":-58.344601017836254,"drawdown_pct":59.948608581155405,"sample":56,"win_rate_pct":50,"avg_win_pct":2.6298076948016464,"avg_loss_pct":5.360106346303362,"mean_pct":-1.3651493257508576,"manual_return_pct":-58.344601017836226}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback10 hold10 costed = -57.02468745017117
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":10,"return_pct":-57.02468745017117,"drawdown_pct":68.97589349151562,"sample":43,"win_rate_pct":41.86046511627907,"avg_win_pct":6.904531447473363,"avg_loss_pct":7.604555314343145,"mean_pct":-1.530984111722282,"manual_return_pct":-57.0246874501712}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback10 hold5 costed = -40.57815190900065
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":5,"return_pct":-40.57815190900065,"drawdown_pct":45.624296974993726,"sample":55,"win_rate_pct":49.09090909090909,"avg_win_pct":4.108344773287125,"avg_loss_pct":5.431874562324664,"mean_pct":-0.7484941612061498,"manual_return_pct":-40.57815190900056}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Training lookback10 hold3 costed = -64.45240571366317
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":3,"return_pct":-64.45240571366317,"drawdown_pct":65.82122251739845,"sample":65,"win_rate_pct":49.23076923076923,"avg_win_pct":2.724789530810086,"avg_loss_pct":5.380708029812595,"mean_pct":-1.3903092307368137,"manual_return_pct":-64.45240571366315}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Trade-ledger edge sample = 2
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
query_trades fund=supply Sep9: FRO44.49→46.182917, STNG79.76→80.36, bothSep2–4 operatorliquidations; 2/2wins but zero observedlosses and no contemporaneousquote/slippagebaseline. Contextcash278.67 fund/850.99account, open/pending0; cannot calibrate stop/target odds from liquidationwins. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
ASPI Due114 CMD landing and PR remain forecast materials
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
ReadSep9~06:03UTC. Landing linksSep8PR119, presentation/webcast/video; PR operationalupdate delegates detailedbusinessupdates to presentation. No newlyverified acceptedSeptemberhelium, paidvolumes/purity/funding from pagesread. Previous1475throughputbridge/1302rejectedholdout unchanged; originalQ&Aunread. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/capital-markets-day
FRO Due115 military source unchanged; cash bridge unverified = 5
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
ReadSep9~06:03UTC: Sep8CENTCOM combatantprimary claim five Iranian carriers renderedinoperable; sameeventaspriorrun. Ships named but no IMO,cargovolume,insurancecash or paidreplacementfixtures inthissource. Militaryclaim not chartermarket realization. Headline about retaliation not independentlyvalidatedhere. https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4593050/us-destroys-5-irgc-tankers-after-iran-targets-another-american-warship/
HUBB 2025 annual supplier dependency risk
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
2025 10K filedFeb12 2026 primary issuer says not materially dependent on one rawmaterialsupplier; materials/components/sourcedgoodsavailability andcost disruptions remainrisks. Does not prove each component has substitutes or establish currentleadtime. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/48898/000162828026007500/hubb-20251231.htm
HUBB Q2 2026 growth and cash versus adjusted margins = 23.9
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
Issuer July28 June30quarter: sales+15%, organic+10%, acquisition+5%; adjustedoperatingmargin23.9% down50bps, GAAP20.4%; OCF250m vs261m, FCF213m vs221m. AdjustedFY EPS20.25–20.55 versusGAAP17.25–17.55. NSIacquisition~3bn fundedwith900mtermloan/1.9bnnotes/commercialpaper. Growth and lower margin can coexist through acquisitionmix/integration. https://hubbell.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/hubbell-reports-second-quarter-2026-results
WCC 2025 supplier concentration and contract termination = 32
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
2025 10K filedFeb13 2026 primary audited issuer: top10supplier32% purchases, none>6%; top10customer15%, none>5%; mostsupplieragreements terminate<=60days. Supplier rebates1.4% sales, receivable264m vs210m (+25.714%); 450preferredsupplier agreements cover68%purchases. Rebates conditional and renegotiable; access is not ownedcapacity. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/929008/000092900826000008/wcc-20251231.htm
WCC Q2 segment volume/price/margin decomposition = 3
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
Issuer July30 Q2slides: CSS volume17% price1%, EBITDAmargin10.2% +140bps, backlog~95%; EES volume6 price5, margin9.2 +110bps backlog~30%; UBSvolume4 price3 margin10.0 -40bps backlog~80%, publicpower competition. Same issuer not independent corroboration. Pricegrowth does not equal margin capture. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/929008/000092900826000021/wcc-2q2026slides.htm
WCC Q2 2026 sales/backlog versus cash conversion = 60
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:04
Issuer July30 for June30 quarter, promotional primary. Sales~6.7bn +13%, data center1.5bn +~45%, backlog+~60%; OCF53.7m versus107.8m (-50.19% calculated), H1OCF275.1m versus135.8m (+102.58%). Q2 receivables impact-182.8m, otherassets-155.3m chiefly supplier prepayments, otherliabilities+129.9m chiefly deferredrevenue. Quarterly deterioration and H1 improvement cover distinct periods. https://investors.wesco.com/news-releases/news-release-details/wesco-international-reports-second-quarter-2026-results
Backtest arithmetic and collector saved-output audit = 15
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:14
On September 9 at 04:11 UTC, a backtest was run on LIN and APD with 1174 bars each, where the dates were unique and ordered, and the Open, High, Low, and Close prices were positive and valid. A manual fee and slippage cash ratio was applied, which compounded to -5.579722265254938% and -2.6455982442977755%, matching the results from vectorbt. The job, numbered 116, was saved on September 3 at 15:00 with all 15 panels and ended successfully, but there was a CENTCOM HTTP error and a Bombardier challenge that persisted. The active jobs are numbered 12, 18, 36, 73, and 116, and no new job is required. The latest RSS feed from ASPI was from September 8, and the links from FRO on August 28 and STNG on September 3 remain unchanged. No shipment or fixture was accepted or inferred. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
APD Required CLI breakout diagnostic = 1.7990376141840292
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:14
A diagnostic test was run on the stock symbol APD. The test used 501 data points and found a return percentage of 1.7990376141840292. For comparison, a buy and hold strategy would have given a return of 8.727246170418645 percent. The biggest loss during the test was 9.92688947378435 percent. The test made successful trades 35.294117647058826 percent of the time, with an average gain of 0.06768413949676041 percent per trade. This was based on a sample of 34 trades. A command was run using a script called backtest.js with the following settings: it looked at the stocks LIN and APD, used a breakout strategy, looked back 20 days, and ran the test for 730 days. The command also set a stop loss at 3 percent and a target gain at 6 percent. The command was run with spaces between the flags and values, and it used a same-close implementation from IEX without costs, which is different from a next-open implementation that includes costs from SIP. The test did not validate entries. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LIN Required CLI breakout diagnostic = -1.16069880047881
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:14
A news scan found the headline 'LIN Required CLI breakout diagnostic'. The diagnostic results for the stock symbol LIN are as follows: the return percentage is -1.16069880047881, the buy and hold percentage is 1.0794706276042287, the maximum drawdown percentage is 8.752398381628264, the win rate is 36.11111111111111, and the average trade percentage is -0.022644835699121693, based on a sample of 36 trades and 501 bars. A command was run with the following parameters: the symbols LIN and APD, the breakout strategy, a lookback of 20, 730 days, a stop percentage of 3, and a target percentage of 6. The command was implemented using the same-close method from the IEX exchange, without considering costs, which is different from the next-open method that takes into account costs from the SIP exchange, and does not include entry validation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
APD Empirical20trade Monte Carlo 10pct hypothetical exposure = 69.025
Supply chain2026-09-09 04:13
A news scan found the following data line: {"loss_probability_pct":69.025,"median_return_pct":-0.6562885585049361,"p95_drawdown_pct":3.207832724513188}. This is a result of a Monte Carlo simulation, which is a method of estimating possible outcomes, with 20,000 paths resampled to estimate 2026 trade returns, using a seed of 2026090904 after bootstrap draws, which is a way of reusing data to make new estimates. The results are based on independent and identically distributed, or iid, conditional small sample size, and do not represent future event probabilities or actual planned positions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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