Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
FRO 08UTC conflict primary review = 5
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:03
Accessed Sep9 ~08:02UTC. Sep8 CENTCOM says five named Iranian crude carriers rendered inoperable. Combatant primary claim, not independent verification. No IMO numbers, paid replacement fixture, surviving cargo volumes or insurance cost bridge in statement. UKMTO direct homepage/recent-incidents renders no incident payload this access; cached Sep2 search item cannot corroborate Sep8. Neither missing coverage nor absent commercial detail means no event. https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4593050/us-destroys-5-irgc-tankers-after-iran-targets-another-american-warship/
06UTC execution and saved collector audit = 15
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:09
Sep9~06:07UTC. WCC/HUBB each1174 unique ordered validOHLC bars; vectorbt all24 custom runs independentlymatched manualfee/slippagecashcompounding<1e-7percentagepoints. CLI completed2diagnostics. Job116actual05:45exit0all15panels+END, CENTCOMHTTPerror/Bombardierchallenge remainmissingcoverage. Activejobs12/18/36/73/116, next11606:45and07:45 before08run. No new jobneeded for absent electricalsignal. Monitor114/115resolved; successors118/119accepted08UTC. No open/queuedholdings incontext/tradeledger. Toolcurr_time06:07:38; priorcommentary6minwasoverestimate correctedat06:04. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
HUBB Required CLI breakout diagnostic = -10.145466768734279
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:07
Required CLI: node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols WCC,HUBB --strategy breakout --lookback 20 --days 730 --stop-pct 3 --target-pct 4.5 . {"symbol":"HUBB","bars":501,"returnPct":-10.145466768734279,"buyAndHoldPct":22.815309665579676,"maxDrawdownPct":19.79928237068317,"winRate":34.21052631578947,"avgTradePct":-0.259323123205802,"sample":38}. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . CLI sameclose/IEX differing exits and no explicitly modeledcosts; not validation of nextopen5sessionSIP costedholdout. Recorddiagnostic separately; qualification remains rejected. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
WCC Required CLI breakout diagnostic = -17.518801021683185
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:07
Required CLI: node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols WCC,HUBB --strategy breakout --lookback 20 --days 730 --stop-pct 3 --target-pct 4.5 . {"symbol":"WCC","bars":501,"returnPct":-17.518801021683185,"buyAndHoldPct":135.55177824267784,"maxDrawdownPct":21.152091605518407,"winRate":31.818181818181817,"avgTradePct":-0.4154947736679606,"sample":44}. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . CLI sameclose/IEX differing exits and no explicitly modeledcosts; not validation of nextopen5sessionSIP costedholdout. Recorddiagnostic separately; qualification remains rejected. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HUBB Five-session historical barrier-touch bounds = 2
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:07
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"counts":{"target_first":2,"stop_first":1,"ambiguous":1,"neither":5},"MFE_pct":[2.8437148055098227,3.404353382356029,4.1147718673947065,5.955384676999476,1.5037738385603516,4.434789266163919,3.407292931522976,6.694577273358604,3.4240719015330656]}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Monte Carlo exposure scenarios = 0.11297507525609742
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"iid_mc":{"0.05":{"loss_probability_pct":0.49500000000000005,"median_return_pct":1.088571827057161,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.2614209651700006},"0.1":{"loss_probability_pct":0.49500000000000005,"median_return_pct":2.194427266467913,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.5223744871278302},"0.25":{"loss_probability_pct":0.515,"median_return_pct":5.534290529286001,"p95_drawdown_pct":1.3098767148892225}},"hierarchical":{"loss_probability_pct":7.580000000000001,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.759148051643022},"raw_quarter_kelly":0.11297507525609742,"hypothetical":{"stop_1ADR":453.540375,"target_1p5ADR":481.5644375,"quarter_kelly_raw_usd":96.14065929218634,"approved_usd":0}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Regime and OLS interplay = 1.1197039983882822
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"regimes":{"above_SPY200":{"sample":9,"mean_pct":1.0967150766317566}},"OLS":{"sample":171,"daily_alpha_pct":-0.028969605559672994,"market_beta":1.1197039983882822,"r_squared":0.19447913987568277},"correlations":{"WCC":0.5153584779443469,"HUBB":1,"SPY":0.44099789101047054}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Indicator levels and integrity = 464.75
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"close":464.75,"date":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","SMA50":482.70419999999996,"prior20":518.01,"ADR20":11.209624999999994,"RV20_pct":27.161095596834254,"signal":false,"bars":1174,"invalid":0,"duplicates":0}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Bootstrap mean confidence interval = -0.15619409475090745
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"ci_pct":[-0.15619409475090745,2.4420381181021766],"nonpositive_bootstrap_mean_pct":4.415}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Five-session historical barrier-touch bounds = 4
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"counts":{"target_first":4,"stop_first":4,"ambiguous":0,"neither":1},"MFE_pct":[4.685855322855814,8.294709376180176,1.4101094983447693,6.8012752391073406,3.736817251692126,4.692340486002555,2.3009916178162504,0.6035357581584355,12.981881614823077]}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Monte Carlo exposure scenarios = 0.032114460898347005
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"iid_mc":{"0.05":{"loss_probability_pct":32.23,"median_return_pct":0.4263468601591325,"p95_drawdown_pct":1.529674853858261},"0.1":{"loss_probability_pct":32.745000000000005,"median_return_pct":0.8355712749116062,"p95_drawdown_pct":3.0514255549864746},"0.25":{"loss_probability_pct":33.23,"median_return_pct":1.9973364057668808,"p95_drawdown_pct":7.373785088017075}},"hierarchical":{"loss_probability_pct":39.505,"p95_drawdown_pct":4.710430496330695},"raw_quarter_kelly":0.032114460898347005,"hypothetical":{"stop_1ADR":349.29744500000004,"target_1p5ADR":376.4788325,"quarter_kelly_raw_usd":27.32908507988432,"approved_usd":0}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Regime and OLS interplay = 2.0673477285826802
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"regimes":{"above_SPY200":{"sample":9,"mean_pct":0.4226539445956733}},"OLS":{"sample":171,"daily_alpha_pct":0.1179413135865879,"market_beta":2.0673477285826802,"r_squared":0.3398358653773208},"correlations":{"WCC":1,"HUBB":0.5153584779443469,"SPY":0.5829544282165809}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Indicator levels and integrity = 360.17
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"close":360.17,"date":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","SMA50":341.4328,"prior20":372.96,"ADR20":10.872555000000006,"RV20_pct":42.94572982683698,"signal":false,"bars":1174,"invalid":0,"duplicates":0}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
WCC Bootstrap mean confidence interval = -2.1918036650942527
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"ci_pct":[-2.1918036650942527,3.061479355934164],"nonpositive_bootstrap_mean_pct":37.614999999999995}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB 2026 ablation_no_sma electrical breakout = 7.3594412063739405
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. SMA50 omitted for descriptive ablation; no retune. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.1% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":7.3594412063739405,"drawdown_pct":6.444767464595802,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":1.9044055710644336,"avg_loss_pct":0.5660111983929988,"mean_pct":0.8064425624166859,"manual_return_pct":7.3594412063738845}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-05","2026-01-12"],["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-30","2026-02-06"],["2026-02-10","2026-02-18"],["2026-02-20","2026-02-27"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-21","2026-04-28"],["2026-06-17","2026-06-25"],["2026-08-05","2026-08-12"]] [-0.0009072605700398695,0.008819856212863186,0.00006152074017973241,0.030373035942439675,-0.016980343310967982,-0.003362906146165745,-0.001389937908546357,0.04130353571598655,0.04078685622110889]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-0.15619409475090745,2.4420381181021766]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB 2026 stress electrical breakout = 6.228313576915425
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.3% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":6.228313576915425,"drawdown_pct":5.456371345681776,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":44.44444444444444,"avg_win_pct":2.620775153876742,"avg_loss_pct":0.848978621779648,"mean_pct":0.6931341674009699,"manual_return_pct":6.22831357691549}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-05","2026-01-12"],["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-30","2026-02-06"],["2026-02-10","2026-02-18"],["2026-02-20","2026-02-27"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-21","2026-04-28"],["2026-06-17","2026-06-25"],["2026-08-05","2026-08-12"]] [-0.0009072605700398695,0.008819856212863186,0.00006152074017973241,0.030373035942439675,-0.016980343310967982,-0.003362906146165745,-0.001389937908546357,0.04130353571598655,0.04078685622110889]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-0.15619409475090745,2.4420381181021766]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB 2026 holdout electrical breakout = 10.12221951154137
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
Preregister1385, untouched chronological2026 toSep8; fixed20closehigh/SMA50 nextopen hold5sessions exitopen, nooverlap. Costs fee0.1% plus slippage0.1% eachside. SIPadjustmentall daily; vectorbt manualcompounding verified. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. {"return_pct":10.12221951154137,"drawdown_pct":5.456371345681776,"sample":9,"win_rate_pct":55.55555555555556,"avg_win_pct":2.4268960966515607,"avg_loss_pct":0.5660111983929988,"mean_pct":1.0967150766317566,"manual_return_pct":10.122219511541353}. Baseline trade dates/returns [["2026-01-05","2026-01-12"],["2026-01-14","2026-01-22"],["2026-01-30","2026-02-06"],["2026-02-10","2026-02-18"],["2026-02-20","2026-02-27"],["2026-04-09","2026-04-16"],["2026-04-21","2026-04-28"],["2026-06-17","2026-06-25"],["2026-08-05","2026-08-12"]] [-0.0009072605700398695,0.008819856212863186,0.00006152074017973241,0.030373035942439675,-0.016980343310967982,-0.003362906146165745,-0.001389937908546357,0.04130353571598655,0.04078685622110889]. Baseline95%bootstrapmeanCI [-0.15619409475090745,2.4420381181021766]%; N9, selectedsurvivingstocks, no eventcausalidentification and no15minrouting. Trainingfrozenrule deeplynegative; noapproval despite positivepointestimate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback40 hold10 costed = -12.464642386201467
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":10,"return_pct":-12.464642386201467,"drawdown_pct":26.43425113097684,"sample":36,"win_rate_pct":58.333333333333336,"avg_win_pct":3.402503830801059,"avg_loss_pct":5.338139378189855,"mean_pct":-0.2394308396118221,"manual_return_pct":-12.464642386201541}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback40 hold5 costed = -28.677303918982446
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":5,"return_pct":-28.677303918982446,"drawdown_pct":29.37757953169712,"sample":47,"win_rate_pct":46.808510638297875,"avg_win_pct":2.6109345331568967,"avg_loss_pct":3.5085968306064896,"mean_pct":-0.6441353411853302,"manual_return_pct":-28.677303918982478}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback40 hold3 costed = -39.878542918089444
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback40, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":40,"hold":3,"return_pct":-39.878542918089444,"drawdown_pct":40.6247628177573,"sample":57,"win_rate_pct":35.08771929824561,"avg_win_pct":1.929700088122548,"avg_loss_pct":2.356086658813881,"mean_pct":-0.8523018353274148,"manual_return_pct":-39.87854291808942}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback20 hold10 costed = 0.21514402459439225
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":10,"return_pct":0.21514402459439225,"drawdown_pct":22.189756482393484,"sample":41,"win_rate_pct":60.97560975609756,"avg_win_pct":3.750598094495841,"avg_loss_pct":5.449989033369523,"mean_pct":0.1601250689874067,"manual_return_pct":0.21514402459432702}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback20 hold5 costed = -43.21660677756542
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":5,"return_pct":-43.21660677756542,"drawdown_pct":45.60494180884582,"sample":58,"win_rate_pct":46.55172413793103,"avg_win_pct":2.549802236896665,"avg_loss_pct":3.8933529909847167,"mean_pct":-0.8939531435226941,"manual_return_pct":-43.21660677756544}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback20 hold3 costed = -48.86986009192506
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback20, hold3; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":20,"hold":3,"return_pct":-48.86986009192506,"drawdown_pct":49.432755598638444,"sample":71,"win_rate_pct":32.3943661971831,"avg_win_pct":1.8972542638956869,"avg_loss_pct":2.245639844020385,"mean_pct":-0.9035755555405306,"manual_return_pct":-48.869860091925034}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback10 hold10 costed = -18.477481231956208
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold10; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":10,"return_pct":-18.477481231956208,"drawdown_pct":31.933645441298108,"sample":45,"win_rate_pct":53.333333333333336,"avg_win_pct":4.107235130506873,"avg_loss_pct":5.290730553172541,"mean_pct":-0.27848218854352047,"manual_return_pct":-18.477481231956226}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Training lookback10 hold5 costed = -53.88979056489131
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:05
Preregister1385 training-only 2022–25, lookback10, hold5; close>prior rollinghigh AND SMA50, nextopen enter, exitopen h sessions later; nooverlap, no crossyear trades. SIP adjustmentall; vectorbt fee0.1% slippage0.1% eachside. Allcash betweenpositions, compounded fullnotional pername, NOT accountallocation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all. Exact metrics {"lookback":10,"hold":5,"return_pct":-53.88979056489131,"drawdown_pct":56.56426788036178,"sample":65,"win_rate_pct":41.53846153846154,"avg_win_pct":2.346938080995159,"avg_loss_pct":3.573191441221825,"mean_pct":-1.1140607166086158,"manual_return_pct":-53.889790564891335}. Manual compounded cash matched. Frozen20/5 unchanged despite ranking; this is training sensitivity, NOT holdout evidence. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
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