Stats

Premises:1 Sep10SIPclose27 belowSMA20 27.6525 andSMA20029.80075, aboveSMA50 25.5096;20sessionreturn+10.1591%,RSI47.6074,RV72.367%annualized,ADR1.872145,ATR2.054136. SPY757.83>711.49165SMA200. These aremixedsignals,notacatalystedge. 2 IllustrativeE27/stop25.127855/target32.616435 hasgross3Rbutnet2.680557R at5bpfees+25bpslip/side; levelsnotliveordersandsourceisadjustedclose,notcurrentquote. 3 One27sharefits49.14fundbutfullsingle-shareloss3.172775%of850.99account; wholefundloss5.7745%. Observedworstdailygap-21.4830%notmaximumrisk. Twentydayaveragedollarvolume35.515mdoesnotguaranteelimitfill. Conclusionnoentry/levelsnotadopted; cannotjustifytargetfromneedfor349.01profit. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

1 Sep11 03UTChour completed04UTC closesBTC76864.9/ETH2445.725/SOL99.29365; prior480hourhighs equal20completeddayhighs82233.502538071/2565.9/110.5357. Allfalse; distance6.984466/4.913676/11.322023%. 2 Completednative14dayATR2283.570431/88.013494/4.975069,2ATRrisk5.941777/7.197334/10.020922%atcurrentmarks. Stop should come fromthisrisk/thesis, notmonthlyshortfall; currentmarksnotentries. 3 04:05:30snapshotBTCspread+25bpeachfee hurdle.525%,ETH.523%,SOL.609%,freshby<=300s;topaskUSD76.5/81/93.9 below212.7475venuepositioncap. Displayeddepth notentirebook, but fullcappurchasewouldneedadditionaldepthvalidation; potential29.4825ETHprobe belowdisplayedaskdepth atobservationonly. Conclusion zeroentrydespitehourlywatch; daily/hourlybothbacktested withoutrequiring identical returns fromdifferentpolicies. All36USD inventoryprevious03UTCcensusno20closebreakouts,toptenUSDC/USDG/BTC/ETH/XRP/LTC/SOL/LINK/HYPE/UNI,stablecoinsincluded; USDG3/7daysincomplete, volumevenue-specific, notglobal ranking. Fullbarhistory18panels9.13MB. Validity: completedprice/threshold arithmetic; soundness: quoteage/depth onlysnapshot, notguaranteedfill. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Premises:1 Primary stress holdout255 trades wins44.3137%,meanwin2.30310%,meanloss1.88218% => realized payoff1.22364, despite nominal3Rbarrier. Only9target/gaptarget exits;123time exits,106stops,17gapstops;35quarterpartials. Meanholding3.6784sessions,30same-dayfinalexits and31firstdaypartial-or-finalexits. Mediantrade−0.91748%,worst−5.56926%,best+8.43914%,maxlossstreak7.2 Signals use priorcompletebars. Currentweek modelcandidateXLY atSep8open114.47,stressentry114.641705,priorATR1.486295,stop113.155410,target119.100590; these are hypothetical historicallevels, notneworders orprospective success. Currentincompleteweekexcludedfromscoredbacktests.3 Sep10 ranks XLV−4.21509%,XLB−4.13598%,XLY−2.52481%; closes165.66/50.76/111.96. SPY20vol8.53648%below20%gate. No midweekcatchup; nextweekrank requiresSep11close.4 $187.22 buys atmost1XLV/1XLY or3XLB beforefees; quarterlyfractionalpartial cannotpreservewhole-shareafterhourlot. ADV20USD allnine>571m; smallnotionalimpactisnotbinding,but spreads,15minpolls,quarterexits,andaccountPDT sharedwithotherfundsare. Conclusion no liveentry: frequencylimitedweekly stillhasentrydayexit risk; exact15minexitpolicy andinteger sizing untested. Strongestcounterargument9tailwinsmaypay; recorded costsandmeanexpectancyrejectthatclaimfor thisrule. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/inference.json.

Numbered premises: 1. September 10 completed SIP all-adjusted closes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all are AA48.30, CENX44.36, CSTM25.99, KALU158.42. 2. Each is below both its prior20 close high (51.85/48.17/29.92/189.49) and SMA50 (48.5086/45.6681/28.4026/166.195). 3. ADR20 is 1.972495/2.333405/0.97824/7.1416, and 20-day returns are -5.70/-7.91/-11.90/-16.40%. RV20 annualized is45.88/42.93/39.99/60.78%. These are adjusted daily measurements, not executable after-hours quotes or stop fills. Conclusion: no breakout entry tonight, even if operating margins are favorable. Counterexample: a falling stock can become undervalued, but this screen does not test a value/reversal entry and cannot authorize one. Stops and targets require an actual future entry plus independently justified payoff; no anticipatory limit is queued. Source observations contain every symbol's numbers.

Edge test frozen Sep11: BB S7.54, Oct2C8 close.40 requires+11.405836%, covers3/12 (25%); Oct2P7 close.32 requires-11.405836%, covers2/12 (16.67%). Twelve consecutive quarterly releases Sep2023-Jun2026, pre-newsclose to firstpost-newsclose, medianabsolute9.987505%; first8 C2/P1, last4 C1/P1. Neither40%gate nor documented3xexpectedoptionpayout passes. Oct2expiry8daysafter Sep24event; defaultSep23RTHexit, hurdleexceedsmedian1.418331pp so noholdthrough exception. Sources: issuer-dated event observations24113–24126, https://investors.blackberry.com/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/option-bars. 1. Sep10SIPadjustmentall925bars; WilderEWMA14 RSI38.0472,ATR.397676(5.2742%ofS),SMA20 8.0955/SMA50 8.968; current7.54belowboth. RV20 55.2129%annual/RV60 76.3078%;last20return-14.0251%,20dayrange7.47–9.08. 2. CombinedlowertrendandRSIbelow50 signalsweakness; fallingRVmeansrecent realizedvolslowerthan60dayregime. These are descriptive, no fittedputwinprobability. 3. Aputbreak-even6.68lies10.5756%below20daylow7.47; near7.5put.52cost52>51.0594cap. ATRstop cannotboundoptionpremiumor overnightgap; at3Rnetfullrisk targets call1.60/put1.28 would need majorrepricing, no evidencecurrentpricedtailsreachthese. 4. Strongcountercase istrendturn aftergoodresults; call stockupside doesnotmeanexpensivecallprofitable. Indicatorsdo not override3/12and2/12.

Sep10SIPclose1.46 belowSMA20 1.47875,above50/200 1.2745/.9915795;RSI53.44. 20session+16.8%,ADR.110055=7.54%price,ATR.10703,annualRV55.82%;20dayaverage$volume1.080m. Mixedtrendstate, nottechnicalbreakdownorpositiveeventedge. Illustrative1ADRrisk/3ADRreward gives1.349945/1.790165 around1.46; notlivelevels because no support/valuationbased3RtargetorindependentFDApayoff. Dailyworstgap-21.74%since2022 isobservedtail,notmaximumpossibleloss. CLI1460dayIEXunadjusteddiagnosticreturn-30.1333%,DD70.606%,N124/win27.419%;rawsplitdiscontinuitymeansnotcomparabletoadjustedSIP; noCLIedgeadopted. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .

Edge test: PLAY S8.17 Oct16C10 .40/P7 .50 require +27.294982%/-20.440636%,0/12 each, medianabs10.624339%; VRA S3.05 Oct16P2.5 .10 requires-21.311475%,0/12,medianabs10.350471%; SFIX S2.85 Oct16P2.5 .15 requires-17.543860%,2/8,medianabs16.578014%; TCOM S38.70 Oct16C45 .32/P35 .48 require+17.105943%/-10.801034%,0/8 and2/8,medianabs4.590973%. All fail40%; no documented actual-option expectedpayout>=3x. Sources: issuer schedules in event observations and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/option-bars; catalog closes datedSep9 checked withSep10 delayed bars. 1. September10 SIPadjustmentall close, Wilder14 RSI/ATR,20/50SMA and20day annualizedlogRV calculatedon925dailybars from2023. [{"symbol":"PLAY","S":8.17,"SMA20":9.462499999999999,"SMA50":10.0246,"RSI14":35.73768198709139,"ATR14":0.5767722089866175,"prior20low":8.045,"prior20high":11.1,"RV20_ann_pct":69.80237704694696},{"symbol":"TCOM","S":38.7,"SMA20":43.9245,"SMA50":43.9968,"RSI14":22.724174520833685,"ATR14":1.0784470869839355,"prior20low":39,"prior20high":46.665,"RV20_ann_pct":29.064910855065957},{"symbol":"VRA","S":3.05,"SMA20":3.2239999999999993,"SMA50":3.4952000000000005,"RSI14":38.175466344680615,"ATR14":0.16408705048172534,"prior20low":3.04,"prior20high":3.47,"RV20_ann_pct":51.83765867720069},{"symbol":"SFIX","S":2.85,"SMA20":3.1922499999999996,"SMA50":3.600799999999999,"RSI14":29.483216244943506,"ATR14":0.1491626120601394,"prior20low":2.88,"prior20high":3.775,"RV20_ann_pct":41.72599346668795}] 2. Allbelow20/50SMA; TCOM38.70 belowprior20low39 andSFIX2.85 below2.88; oversoldRSI22.72/29.48 cancontinue orreverse. No prediction assigned from descriptiveconfluence. 3. Range/RSI is not an eventmove distribution and cannot substitute for8samekindevents or executableoptionbacktest. Counterexampleoversoldbounces harmputs. Targets wouldneed>=4xpremium gross for3Rnet fullpremiumrisk, and empiricalmedians do notsupportthepurchasedstrikes. No stop/target invented for rejected orders.

SIPallSep10daily https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . VIST78.95>prior77.03/SMA67.9826,SWKS84.03>76.54/65.52588,QRVO112.36>105.24/93.0334 => signals true but traininghalfKellyzero for allthree. LPG54.41<55.20,CCJ97.42<107.36,LEU165.87<194.78,ALM16.57<19.12 => entryfalse. SKHY44bars=>50SMAinvalid,notfalse. IllustrativeVIST2ADRrisk5.57638:stop73.37362,target95.67914;LPG3.38055:51.02945/64.55165. Referencecloselevelsnotactualnextopenororders;rangeinvalidationnotfundamentalthesisproof. CandidatepricesandIEXscreenclosesdifferbyfeedandlastprint;nevermixentry/SMAfeed. Fixedtargetsnotvalidated15min+2Rtrailing;rawdividendexecutionLPGgapremains. NoR/daysheldreviewrequiredemptybook;noexitschanged.

Premises1 27symbol/year/timeframepanelsfullypaginated; BTC/ETH984dailybars,SOL746; hourly23614/23614/17883missing4/4/7;15min94321/94326/71464missing151/146/96. 2 15mincoverage99.840/99.845/99.866%,butzero-volume21891/35494/32053andmaxgaps195/195/150min. 3 Pricebaravailabilityisnotexecutablequotehistory. Conclusion15minnextactualopenbacktestsarebettercadencediagnostics,notfillproof; usegapsandzero-volumeauditbeforeanyorder. Newdynamic+2Rbreakeven/absolute2ATRtrail alsodiffersfromstaticvenuepercentage trail andrequiresverifiedoff-runimplementation; no suchautomationauthorizedbycollectoroutput. Validity: donotfillmissingprices; soundness: historicalmarksandrecordedvolume maymisspotentialquoteexecutionbothways. Counterexamplezeroexecutedvolumedoesnotmeanzerobidaskliquidity. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots . Pandasmicrosecond.asi8labelbugfixedusingexplicitnsbeforepublishedmetrics. No risk added.

Premises:1 Sep10completedSIP/alltopsector12-1scoresXLE43.466%,XLK40.999%,XLI25.185%; respectiveprices64.93/185.22/170.55,ATR201.140475/3.0465/2.204745. XLIbelow200SMAwhilelongmomentumpositive: differenthorizons, notcontradiction.2 Reference2ATRstop/6ATRtargetXLE62.64905/71.77285,XLK179.127/203.499,XLI166.14051/183.77847 are3Rraw, not executableentryprices. Monthlyfrozenruleonlyfirstsession; nofreshmidmonthentry.3 Threeequalsleeveswouldbe62.4067USD each; evenoneXLE64.93 doesn'tfitindividualsleeve, whiletotalfund187.22couldhold2XLEor1XLKbutthosearedifferentportfolios.4 BTC/ETH/SOL12-1negative44.253/56.753/65.970%,90daypositive20.465/46.371/47.621%; zeroSep10closebreakouts above82233.50/2565.9/110.5357. Conclusion noforcedcatchup orcryptoentry. Strongestcounterargument longmomentumcanpersist; currenttimingandwhole-shareimplementationstillneedseparatevalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; observations23916–27; frozen2124.

1 Sep10SIP TBN39.33 aboveSMA20/50 38.107/34.9384,RSI61.18,volume1.227xprior20 supports positive trend. ATR14 1.62561 versusADR20 1.442955 warns gaps matter. Hypothetical1ADRstop37.887045/3ADRtarget43.658865 from latestclose is sensitivity, not executableorder or frozenfutureentry; grossrisk3.669%,grossreward11.006%,netreward/risk2.4363 with30bp/side. Onewhole share39.33 fits49.14cap; complete loss4.622% of850.99account, so whole-share size cannot be called a small quarter-sized probe. No currententry becauseT-5Sep18notnow and edgeuncertain. 2 EPM afterhoursquery end01:45UTC still13post20:01bars,V14509,H3.85/L3.80,last22:41 3.8113; frozenpaper3.73/3.61876/3.89686 untouched,close3.84=.98885R,AH=.73085R. No new print !=currentquote; oldvolume discrepancy remains. 3 CNXC27<SMA20 27.6525;BB7.54<SMA20/50 8.0955/8.968. Moving averages,RSI,returns are correlated transforms notindependentconfirmation. Conclusion preservepaper, noexitsmoved/noorders. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TBN,EPM,CNXC,BB&feed=sip&adjustment=all .

Premises1 scanned13209NASDAQ/otherlistingsecuritynames,165crypto-keywordmatches plusissuer-linkedSLE. 166barrequests,165with>=21bars,HBIT10bars;4staleBIXI/BIXIW/KOYNW/KOYNU. 2 LiquidityleadersMSTR128.56/prior20high144.92,IBIT43.68/46.37,IREN43.64/49.29,COIN172.28/195.85,BMNR24.20/26.91,ETHA18.56/19.135; no breakout. 3 OnlyrawsignalsWTIB36.3428>35.16,DAAQU11.76>11.50,KOYNW.236>.22; prior20mean$volume13478.91/4307.34/1536.41,KOYNWstaleSep9. Conclusion no liquidmajor-linkedentry; ETFWTIBbundlesoilandbitcoinusingleverage perissuer,notisolatedcryptoedge; units/warrantsdifferfromunderlyingandnoindependentnettests. Thisnewcensus reachesbeyondholdingsbutnamefilterisnotexhaustivebusinessclassification. Counterexampleaquietproductcanhaveunderlyingliquidity; executablequote/spreadandhistorywouldberequired,notsimplyassumedfromETFwrapper. Rejectallcurrentorders,retainBTC/ETHdirectwatch. Source https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.uscfinvestments.com/wtib .

Premises1 Sep10completeUTC dailyfalls BTC-2.2323%,ETH-1.2519%,SOL-2.9059%; closes76535.875/2436.8075/98.6025 remainaboveSMA50and200. 2 Prior20dayhighs82233.5025/2565.9/110.5357 exceedcurrentcloses; dailyandlatestcompletedhourlysignalsfalse. 3 ATR14percent2.98366/3.61184/5.04558%; a2ATRriskunitimpliesstopdistances5.9673/7.2237/10.0912%, targets6ATR17.902/21.671/30.273%gross. Conclusion bullishlongerregime can coexistwithshorterweakness; noactualentryorstopreset. Strongestbearcase loss ofrecent10daylows76222.3285/2355.79/97.132857 could extenddrawdown; thesearetechnicalcontext,notauthorizedstoporders. Soundness: range/sourceaggregation andmissinghours matter; target3Rgrossbelow3Rnetaftercosts, andtrailingpolicyunvalidated. 2026dailycorrelations .879–.912 mean3positionswould largely be one riskfactor. NohalfKellydeploymentwithoutpresentruleandsoundexecution. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Sep10completedSIPall dailybar https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Last54.41>50SMA45.5232, but belowprior20closehigh55.20 by1.431159%;20ADR1.690275,20RV36.0464%annual. Combinedrule requiresboth conditions; positive trendalone doesnottrigger. Illustrative reference at54.41 uses2ADRrisk3.38055,stop51.02945,target64.55165 for3R; not an orderandmustrecompute from actualnextopen ifsignal. Stopbasedonrange is strategyinvalidation, not proof physicalcanal thesisbreak. At+2R requiretrail/atmostquarter policytested15min beforelive. Actualbookempty,daysheld/Rnotapplicable; no stopor targetmoved. MarkdailyOHLC/split-dividend adjustment and intradaymarkinglimitations; missing executablehistory isunknown.

Edge test: MLKN Oct16 P17.5 reference .28 Sep9, S20.80 Sep10: requires -17.211538%; eight issuer-dated earnings close moves, median absolute10.745876%, coverage1/8=12.5% (<40%), intraday lows also1/8. HITI frozen N9 medianabs5.494505%, C.31/P.16 atS2.56 require+9.765625/-8.593750%; closecoverage1/9each, putdaily-low4/9 is hindsight path only. Neither documents expected optionpayoff>=3x premium. Premises: Sep10completedSIP daily descriptors storedfor9symbols inobservations23025–33. MLKN20.8 belowSMA20 22.71575, day-3.9261%, ADR20 .79, ATR14simple .8025; putstrike17.5 is4.1772ADRbelowspot, break-even17.22 is4.5316ADRbelow. HITI2.56 aboveSMA20 2.4905 despite-.3891%day; ADR.07847 andannualRV20 35.764%, so trend alone doesnotchooseputdirection. HAINannualRV141.625% doesnotremove standardputK1/.37 maximum2.7027xpayout. ZUMZclosed16.71 belowSMA18.02175 beforeAH13.925, but fallalreadyoccurred. GRAL77.56 nearSMA77.2225/ADR4.4487; affordableK40P.35 requires48.8783%fall, which indicatorvolatilitydoesnotestablish. SRRK55.67 day+1.9224%, nearestK55put3.70/call4.30 cost370/430, beyondcap. EPM3.84 day+4.0650%; cheapK5C.03 requires30.9896%rise. ACB3.73 andSNDL1.34 belowSMA3.891/1.34875; verifieddatedeventmissing. Validity: technicalregimes are context, not8eventedge; counterexample: pricedbinaryevent dwarfs normalADR. No stops/targetsreset because noholdings; no technicalruletraded. Data https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; option_contracts.

Premises: 1 Fresh SIP/all daily history throughSep10 23UTC returns sameSep4/10 closes AVAV144.65/147.065 andSPY770.19/757.83. 2 Return difference remains+3.274345999percentagepoints; preceding20session high-low mean8.759085USD. 3 Original issuerSep9release hashunchanged and no actualSep11open yet. Conclusion preserve paper229 exactly: Sep11actualopen E, stopE-8.759085,targetE+13.1386275, +1ADRhalf/BEfollowingday dailyproxy, forceSep17close; separate15minoutcomes. No live stops or targets reset because holdings0. SavedN9 dailyCI[-.8066,4.6100]% and15minCI[-.7874,5.5167]% crosszero, and old1.5Rpaper differs current>=3R/+2Rquarter instructions. Validity follows frozen protocol; soundness conditionalon adjustedvendorhistory/possiblecorrections. Bearcounterexample positive relative return can occur without positive sustainable cash-driven drift. Do not change originalvintage or retrofit live3Rtarget. Source freshJSON plusobs22964 andpaper1683; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391 .

1 Sep10daily unchangedO3.73/H3.87/L3.675/C3.84; positiveclose aboveSMA20/50 withRSI59.71supports improvingprice. 2 Volume.831xprior20average doesnotconfirm unusualparticipation;13postauction1minbars total14509shares end22:41at3.8113 sparseanddelayed. 3 Frozenpaper3.73/stop3.61876/target3.89686/Sep14close remainsunchanged,noobservedhit; afterhoursnotsplicedintoRTHexperiment. Conclusion preservepaper; do not reset liveexits because noneexist. Strongbullcountercase trendmaycontinue; indicatorconfluence isnotbacktest ofnew>=3R rule. SIPend23:40UTCsucceededwherecurrentend403; old13182volumediscrepancy unresolved. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all .

1 Frozenentry3.73/ADR.11124/stop3.61876/target3.89686/forcedSep14close beforeSep15AMC. 2 Sep10SIPdailyO3.73H3.87L3.675C3.84;return2.94906%,+.988853R,MFE1.25854R,MAE-.494426R,no thresholdhit. 226RTHminute bars plus20UTCauction corroborate ranges;volume13182different fromdaily,scope/corrections unresolved, missingminute notzero. Dailytimestamp04UTC requires startbefore04;13:30dailyqueryempty. 3 New21:01:12dividendnews followsRTH and mustannotate prospectively;notearlyearnings. Conclusionpreservepaper,no addedvalidationoutcome/no retuning. Strongcountercaseprice/unchangeddividend supportsconfidence, notestimated3Rodds. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-declares-012-share-cash-dividend-fiscal-q1 ; https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-schedules-fiscal-q4-and-full-year-2026 .

Premises: (1) Frozen note1683 sets t=Sep9 issuer release16:10EDT, t-2=Sep4 (Sep7 holiday), t+1=Sep10, t+2=Sep11. (2) SIP adjustmentall 28bars each, no pagination, end20:30Z obtained afterclose; Sep4/10 AVAV144.65/147.065 and SPY770.19/757.83 imply +1.669547% minus -1.604799%=+3.274346pp EAR. (3) Prior20session ADR Aug13–Sep10=8.759085. Conclusion: freeze prospective Sep11actualopen paper entry, stop entry-8.759085, target entry+13.1386275; half at+8.759085 then BE following session for dailyproxy, five-session horizon exitSep17close if not exited earlier. No entry price yet exists. Keep historical44cells and cost assumptions1bpfee+5bpslippage eachside/stress1+15 unchanged. These are paper rules, not current live exit instructions: original1.5R target and+1Rhalf differ from current>=3R and+2Rquarter. Saved N9dailyCI[-.8066,4.6100]%/15min[-.7874,5.5167]% cross0; no independently validated live sizing. Validity positiveEAR->paper follows frozen rule; soundness conditional on vendor daily corrections, no inferred execution. A positive event could drift but cannot calibrate success probability from one observation. Initial future-ended SIP request403 fixed by delayed cutoff with samefeed. Sources obs22964/22965; https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .

HITI Oct16 K2.5 call/put close .31/.18 (Sep9); underlying2.555 throughSep10 19:20UTC. N9 issuer-dated AMC earnings: directional break-even +9.98043%/-9.19765%, coverage1/9=11.111% each (<40%); medianabs close5.494505%, medianabs gap2.34375%. Thresholds exceed close median by4.485925/3.703146pp, so no hold-through exception. Recent put .16 still1/9 at8.414873%. Intrinsic-only mean payoff .166696/.471908x premium, NOT option expected value; no documented >=3x mispricing. Premises: completed Sep9close2.57 exceeds SMA20 2.479 and SMA50 2.3148; RSI14 Wilder60.1984, ATR14 .0859326, annualRV20 .357765, 20sessionreturn+9.8291%. Prior20session range2.305–2.70. Combining indicators describes upward trend with positive momentum, not measured option edge. Delayed Sep10 2.555 below Sep9close, still above averages. Call intrinsic breakeven2.81 above recent2.70 high; put2.32 near2.305 low. Counterexample: earnings could break either range; untested levels cannot replace N9coverage. No indicator-selected variant traded or claimed validated. Arithmetic is descriptive, trading inference unsound without independent option history. Primary date https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/; daily SIP bars2022–Sep9 for indicators, Sep10partial excluded.

1 Frozen entry3.73/ADR.11124,stop3.61876,target3.89686 andSep14closeexit from1734/1928. 2 Delayed194SIPminutes through19:18 C3.825/H3.83/L3.675; PythonMFE.898957R/MAE-.494426R, neitherthresholdhit inemittedbars. 3 No interpolation, liveNBBO, dailycompletion or15minpartials inferred. Conclusion preservepaper; +2.5469%mark is neitherclosedwin nornewsetup. Counterexamplepricecouldreverseorhiddenearlynewscontaminate; checkcompleteclosingdata21UTC. New>=3Rtarget cannot inheritold1.5Rodds. Sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; runway:query_research?fund=catalyst .

Premises:1.Frozen note1683/monitor161 requires AVAV(Sep10close/Sep4close-1)-SPYsame withSep7holiday. Current19:42UTC precedes20UTCclose; no currentclose orEAR observed.2.PositiveEAR makesprospectiveSep11openfive-sessionpaper candidate; nonpositive makescontrol. Existing15minN9CI[-.7874,5.5167]%crosseszero, whole-share/exactvenuegreenexit unresolved.3.Paper1ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget cannot be promoted into current3Ractualtrade; targetchange needsnewvalidation.4.Job15 all19eligible0, top3EWY/EWT/EWP onlymonthlywatch,nocatchup. Conclusionretain21UTCmonitor161. Issuernews/intradayconference doesnotreplaceclosinginput. Sources saved2270,obs22899; https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .

1 IssuerSep8 notice reverified Sep15AMC; paperexitSep14close.2 DelayedSIP147emittedminutes through18:10 shows3.795,H3.82,L3.675; frozenentry3.73,ADR.11124,stop3.61876,target3.89686 remainuntouched.3 Paper1.5Rtarget andprior stressed1.08023netRR do not meet current>=3Rlive mandate; arithmetic4.06372 is not economicallyvalidated and must not replacefrozen target. Conclusion noorder. Validity follows failedprerequisite; soundness limitedhistoricalbars,dailyproxy,unverifiedcorporateactions. Strongcountercase profitable commodity exposure could carryrunup, but risingtape doesnot validate farther target. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-schedules-fiscal-q4-and-full-year-2026 .

Premises:1.Frozen note1683/monitor161 requires EAR=AVAV(Sep10close/Sep4close-1)-SPYsame,Sep7holiday. At18:30UTC Sep10close unavailable, regardless of currentdroneheadlines.2.PositiveEAR createsSep11openfive-sessionpaper candidate,not validatedtrade; nonpositiveEAR createscontrol.3.Existingcosted15minN9CI[-.7874,5.5167]%crosses0 andwhole-share/greenexit reproduction unresolved. Paper1ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget doesnotmeet currentactualtrade>=3Rtarget requirement, so it cannot silentlybe promoted.4.Countryrankcollector15 haseligible0,no monthlycatchup. Conclusion preserve21UTCmonitor161, no order or inventedintradayprice. A higher target would constitute a different rule needing validation, not a freefix. Sources obs22876/AVAVoriginal; https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; prior2256.

Premises1 originalSep8issuer retainsSep15AMCresults, paperexitSep14close.2 Sep10delayedSIP96emittedminutes13:30–16:15:entry3.73,last3.805,H3.805/L3.675,no observedthresholdhit. Pythonmark+2.010724%=.674218R and44.94786%grossdistance to target3.89686; stop3.61876 unchanged.3 ActualpaperADR.11124, frozen2246stressfees5bp/slip25bp nettarget3.848493%/loss3.562670%,RR1.080227<1.5. Conclusion paperongoing, notpermissionforentryorpartialexit. Dailyproxy1734/1928unchanged, do notconvertminuteobservationto15minvenuevalidation. Validity necessaryRRgatefails; soundnesslimiteddelayedemittedbars andcostassumptions, nofullcorporateactionaudit orNBBO. Countercase upwardtape mayfinishprofitably; N1winwouldnotfixnegative training. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&timeframe=1Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-schedules-fiscal-q4-and-full-year-2026 .