Startstatefund235.86cash/system850.99equity,zeroopen/queued; goalrepeatablenetprofit; bindingconstraint independentlypositive executable entry payoff. Premises:1 Technical1766 preserves rejected daily/hourly/15min tests and quarterKelly0; currentquotes cannot reverse historical expectancy.2 Fundamental1767 and consequences1768 offer no newly identified flow/timing edge.3 OwnonlyN1forcedclosure cannot estimate probability or slippage.4 Collector18598 coverage gaps explicitly retained, renewals locallytested but remoteoutputpending. Conclusion No proposals, no orders. Validity: unmet requiredpositiveedge implieszeroeligible size. Soundness limited by history,serialdependence,costassumptions and disclosurelatency; an unobservedbuyingwave/rally is strongestcounterexample but makes cash opportunitycost, not an approvedentry. Prior remains cash; independentpositivecoststressed prospective samples with matching15minexecution could move allocation above0, monthlyshortfall cannot. No new backtest or MonteCarlo: reuse frozen studies and simulation1652 sensitivity rather than duplicate failededge. Monitor143resolved,next21UTCset,14/25jobs122/104monitorspreserved.147–149renewedcutoff21:01, firstsavedoutputunverified. Allthree lessonkindsrecorded. Elapsed~4minutes within33planned/45hard; finishingrecords/report. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks .
crypto cash235.86
equity850.99
BTC mean pct-0.64
ETH mean pct-0.53
SOL mean pct-0.15
quarter Kelly0
proposed USD0
position cap USD212.75
risk cap USD8.51
open0
queued0
19:40 decision: retain Supply cash; EIA and collector monitors completed
Numbered premises:1. Supplied account850.99cash/Supply278.67deployable; query_trades supply shows only2closedoperatorliquidations, no open/pending/closing lots https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev .2. New1743fundamental/1745consequences: Census Q2transport nominal revenue401.8bn+5.1%q/q https://www.census.gov/services/qss/qss-current.pdf and BLSJune49.86/hour https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecec.t04.htm do not establish issuer margins; monitored originals have no verified new acceptedcash within bounded review.3. Statistical1744 preserves frozenFRO41meanCI[-.874362,1.958541]% and rawquarterKelly.024266693704,approved0 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .MATX1144 -1.1617%N13,ASPI-47.66%N24,SEI-48.92%N6,OESX-31.81%N4 remain rejected per saved1729 and monitors.4. No admissible stockedge -> no quote/lot/exit proposal constructed, no new backtest or refit. Conclusion no PROPOSE/EXIT/ADJUST/FUND. Valid under numericaledge requirement; counterexample truepositiveFROedge possible but independent prospective validation needed. Constraints cashonly,position212.7475,risk8.5099,fund278.67; approved0. Monitors78/139 resolved, successor142accepted19:40; preserve49EIA and11/133. Fiveexistingjobs active;116next17:00:45,11runs. Lessons540–542 recorded. Start16:30:42, closingphase16:33, ~4minutes total within35allowance/hard45; no overruns, finish reserve intact. Gaps ASPIQ&A,matchedhistoricalcost/marginbridge,CENTCOM/ACP/Bombardiercollectorfailures. No claim of complete news coverage.
fund_cash278.67
account_equity850.99
position_cap212.75
risk_cap8.51
approved_usd0
new_orders0
new_backtests0
resolved_monitors2
successor_monitor142
active_jobs5
QTR9091350 final trading decision: retain Quant $187.22 cash
Numbered premises:1. Supply ledger allcash278.67, account850.99, no open/pending/closing lots; only2closedoperatorliquidations https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev .2. Fresh fundamental1723/consequences1724 and observations18500–11 include original URLs: no new accepted cash verified in bounded FRO/ASPI/SEI/OESX review.3. Statistical1725 preserves frozenFRO41meanCI[-.874362,1.958541]% and rawquarterKelly2.4267%,approved0; ASPI-47.66%N24,SEI-48.92%N6,OESX-31.81%N4 remain rejected from prior1702/monitor128. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .4. Technical1702/indicators1631 and simulation1630 reused as saved research, not fresh indicators/path runs; positive trigger does not repair uncertainty. Conclusion no PROPOSE/EXIT/ADJUST/FUND; holdcash. Valid under quantified-edge mandate; soundness limited by issuer bias, missing Q&A/fixtures and15minute fill uncertainties. Strongest counterexample truepositiveFROexpectancy is plausible, requiring independentprospectivecosted evidence rather than reoptimization. No candidate qualifies for quote/stop/target/lot construction. Monitor128 completed; initial successor request422at20monitorcap, retried afterresolution and139accepted16:30UTC. Fiveexistingjobs retained including116hourly; no newjob needed. Preserve78macro,11FROdividend,133ASPIquarterend. Finishphase13:53 (~2.3min elapsed), completed within42minute allowance/hard45 with entire5minfinish reserve available; no thread overran. Lessons528–530 saved.
fund_cash278.67
account_equity850.99
position_cap212.75
risk_cap8.51
proposed_usd0
new_orders0
new_backtests0
active_jobs5
successor_monitor139
12:30 trading decision: no proposals; $49.14 remains cash
Premises1 no new primary-confirmed Sep9/10 PDUFA decision found in bounded search; not a claim none exist. TLX Pixclara Sep11 goal may produce early news: https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/ ; latest RSSSep1, no current entry. TYRA Sep9 08ET SURF302 clinical call https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/2026-09-04-Tyra-Biosciences-to-Host-Conference-Call-on-Initial-Results-of-Oral-Dabogratinib-from-the-SURF302-Phase-2-Study-for-IR-NMIBC-on-September-9%2C-2026 andIRD Sep9 08ET OPGx-BEST1 call https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases/detail/542/opus-genetics-to-present-opgx-best1-cohort-1-clinical-data-in-investor-webcast-and-at-upcoming-leading-ophthalmology-conferences are not approval deadlines or guaranteed first-news times; quant47/48 alreadycover, no cross-fund resolution. Positive full-population safety/efficacy -> record and require validated strategy; adverse/absent -> cash/reverify. 2 BLS https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm Sep9 10ET JuneECEC, Sep10 08:30ET AugustPPI; CPI Sep11. Census https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html Sep9 10ET Q2services andSep10 10ET Julywholesale. EIA https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/outlook.php SeptemberSTEO dateSep9, hourunknown; https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php weeklypetroleumSep10 noonET dueholiday. ECB https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/weekly/html/index.fr.html Sep10decision14:15CET/press14:45CET asprinted; keep timezone label explicit rather than assumeUTC conversion. Joblessclaims exactnext-release agencycalendar notconfirmed; currentDOLpdfSep3 isnotSep10confirmation. 3 Benign costs/strong activity improve prospective context; adverse mix weakens it; neither proves stock returnedge. FDA townhalls/comment deadlines are not product decisions. ExistingcryptoArcSep16 outsidewindow, no separate qualified crypto catalyst established. Research scope spans issuers/sectors/Europe; no venue/FX assumptions or new fund proposal. Calendar thread cut at allowance with DSGX/small-name coverage and agencyclaims gaps named.
qualified_FDA_entries0
allocation0
next_run2026-09-09T12:30:00Z
2026-09-10 primary earnings calendar and pre-open action branches
StrategieswatchCatalyst run-upsLOVE, MCFT, CAL, M, CPRT, ORCL, ADBE, ZUMZ2026-09-09 08:18
Premise1 call times are distinct from first news; exact release minutes are unverified unless stated. Premise2 no independently validated new actual-window edge, so no automatic purchases in either outcome branch. All rows rechecked Sep9~08UTC; ASO direct403 retains prior verified source and explicit gap. Source rows:
LOVE: Before open; call08:30ET. Issuer 2026-08-27. https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference
MCFT: Before open; call08:30ET; overrides aggregator after-close error. Issuer 2026-08-24. https://investors.mcbh.com/news/news-details/2026/MasterCraft-Boat-Holdings-Inc--to-Webcast-Fiscal-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2026-Earnings-Conference-Call-Thursday-September-10-2026/default.aspx
CAL: Before open; call10:00ET. Issuer 2026-08-19. https://investor.caleres.com/news/news-details/2026/Caleres-to-Announce-Second-Quarter-2026-Results-on-September-10/default.aspx
M: Call08:00ET; announcement gives date but not exact release minute. Issuer 2026-08-19. https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2026/Macys-Inc--to-Report-Second-Quarter-2026-Results-on-September-10-2026/default.aspx
CPRT: After16:00ET; call17:30ET. Issuer 2026-09-01. https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2026-results
ORCL: After close; call16:00Central. Issuer 2026-09-02. https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-Sets-the-Date-for-its-First-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2027-Earnings-Announcement/default.aspx
ADBE: Call14:00Pacific; exact first release minute unverified. Issuer retrieved2026-09-09. https://www.adobe.com/investor-relations.html
ZUMZ: After close; call17:00ET. Issuer 2026-08-27. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/08/27/3352391/0/en/zumiez-inc-to-report-fiscal-2026-second-quarter-results.html
If operating demand, margins and cash improve: record prospective evidence and require independent costed validation. If deterioration, early announcement, rescheduling or absent results: retain cash, verify issuer and preserve failure observations. Flat book; no stops needed. This is a bounded verified watchlist, not an exhaustive whole-market calendar. Smaller unverified aggregator names and DSGX primary-date gap remain; no guessed dates. Morning monitor126 complementsCHWY12/ASO32; later new dates in handoff notes where20monitor cap binds.
verified_issuer_rows8
allocation0
2026-09-09 primary earnings calendar and pre-open action branches
Premise1 call times are distinct from first news; exact release minutes are unverified unless stated. Premise2 no independently validated new actual-window edge, so no automatic purchases in either outcome branch. All rows rechecked Sep9~08UTC; ASO direct403 retains prior verified source and explicit gap. Source rows:
CHWY: Before open; call08:00ET. Issuer 2026-08-19. https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx
ASO: Before open; call10:00ET; prior primary confirmation, direct recheck403. Issuer 2026-08-26. https://investors.academy.com/news-releases/news-release-details/academy-sports-outdoors-announces-second-quarter-fiscal-2026
SAIL: Before open; call08:30ET. Issuer 2026-08-13. https://investor.sailpoint.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sailpoint-announces-date-fiscal-second-quarter-2027-earnings
CNM: Before open; call08:30ET. Issuer 2026-08-26. https://coreandmain.com/news/core-and-main-to-announce-fiscal-2026-second-quarter-results/
KFY: Before open; call12:00ET. Issuer 2026-09-02. https://www.kornferry.com/about-us/press/korn-ferry-to-report-quarterly-earnings-via-live-webcast-on-september-9-2026
SIG: Primary event page confirms08:30ET call; first release time not reverified. Issuer retrieved2026-09-09. https://www.signetjewelers.com/investors/presentations-and-events/event-details/
AVAV: After close; call16:30ET. Issuer 2026-08-26. https://www.avinc.com/2026/08/26/aerovironment-inc-to-announce-first-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2027-earnings-and-host-conference-call/
NAVN: After close; call17:00ET. Issuer 2026-08-26. https://investors.navan.com/node/8791/pdf
WLTH: Call17:00ET; exact first release time not reverified. Issuer 2026-08-19. https://ir.wealthfront.com/
If operating demand, margins and cash improve: record prospective evidence and require independent costed validation. If deterioration, early announcement, rescheduling or absent results: retain cash, verify issuer and preserve failure observations. Flat book; no stops needed. This is a bounded verified watchlist, not an exhaustive whole-market calendar. Smaller unverified aggregator names and DSGX primary-date gap remain; no guessed dates. Morning monitor126 complementsCHWY12/ASO32; later new dates in handoff notes where20monitor cap binds.
verified_issuer_rows9
allocation0
QIR90908 final pre-open decision: no validated IBS allocation; retain245.69USD cash
Correction to new final-session records1676–78 and1682, observations18280–18291: their field quarterKelly=p-(1-p)/(W/L), divided4, is in loss-risk units. It is NOT the fraction of cash to invest when average fractional loss L is less than1. The statement in1682 multiplying.0439428 directly by49.14 to obtain a permissible~2.16USD position is withdrawn. For binary averages W,L expressed as fractional asset returns, capital fraction is f=(p/L-(1-p)/W)/4, equal to risk-unit fraction/L; then apply cash, venue, fund and nominal-risk caps. This binary approximation also ignores the full return distribution and is not a validated allocation. Reproducible love_test.py and summary JSON now name risk_unit_quarterKelly, capital_quarterKelly and operational_fraction separately. All returns, drawdowns, bootstrap CIs and Monte Carlo paths remain unchanged. Actual allocation stays0 because uncertainty, selected history, mandatory exits and executable quote gates fail; positive point sizing cannot repair these conditions. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE,SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Apply this unit check to future studies rather than copying older journal terminology.
timeonly_risk_unit_fraction0.04
capital_formula(p/L-(1-p)/W)/4
operational_fraction0
QIR90908 verified September9–10 calendar and pre-open invalidation plan