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1524 backtests, newest first
06UTC SLV fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingSLV2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"SLV","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":0.3927247826723033,"dd":23.355444704194184,"n":18,"p":0.3888888888888889,"W":5.436416972857905,"L":3.224960097832085}; holdout {"s":"SLV","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":2.548621934408675,"dd":16.825986420917992,"n":4,"p":0.5,"W":8.493313943206598,"L":6.3882640387378355}. All variants [{"s":"SLV","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":12.605447820575943,"dd":14.971486370086296,"n":24,"p":0.5,"W":3.764484523417159,"L":2.611962136469102},{"s":"SLV","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":0.3927247826723033,"dd":23.355444704194184,"n":18,"p":0.3888888888888889,"W":5.436416972857905,"L":3.224960097832085},{"s":"SLV","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":-17.000752700604096,"dd":29.30871562786509,"n":11,"p":0.45454545454545453,"W":3.43525980703389,"L":5.633666741191252},{"s":"SLV","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":20.063567133137916,"dd":14.992526002249173,"n":6,"p":0.6666666666666666,"W":7.246787413103023,"L":4.432606771306272},{"s":"SLV","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":2.548621934408675,"dd":16.825986420917992,"n":4,"p":0.5,"W":8.493313943206598,"L":6.3882640387378355},{"s":"SLV","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":0.7385568143881073,"dd":26.388593450284304,"n":3,"p":0.3333333333333333,"W":12.529967603276853,"L":5.287202754703545}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SLV&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return2.55
drawdown16.83
win rate50
sample4
train_return0.39
train_drawdown23.36
train_sample18
avg_win8.49
avg_loss6.39
option_holdout0
allocation0
06UTC GLD fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingGLD2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"GLD","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":5.536199058952457,"dd":8.509858541862636,"n":13,"p":0.38461538461538464,"W":3.079819037777228,"L":1.1807710189360685}; holdout {"s":"GLD","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-6.972057425478703,"dd":9.057571430924849,"n":2,"p":0.5,"W":0.000002830015985769015,"L":6.975546086897011}. All variants [{"s":"GLD","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":0.983993906468936,"dd":6.974682048947479,"n":18,"p":0.3888888888888889,"W":1.8253659147175778,"L":1.0494802403589294},{"s":"GLD","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":5.536199058952457,"dd":8.509858541862636,"n":13,"p":0.38461538461538464,"W":3.079819037777228,"L":1.1807710189360685},{"s":"GLD","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":19.60484080551473,"dd":10.401464075548372,"n":9,"p":0.7777777777777778,"W":3.733845044738794,"L":3.6201616272937427},{"s":"GLD","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":-8.423295163342392,"dd":9.665601988506756,"n":3,"p":0.3333333333333333,"W":1.827834499290729,"L":5.105655807200766},{"s":"GLD","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-6.972057425478703,"dd":9.057571430924849,"n":2,"p":0.5,"W":0.000002830015985769015,"L":6.975546086897011},{"s":"GLD","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":-7.913103185292118,"dd":8.158821689010798,"n":1,"p":0,"W":null,"L":7.917059736884766}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=GLD&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return-6.97
drawdown9.06
win rate50
sample2
train_return5.54
train_drawdown8.51
train_sample13
avg_win0
avg_loss6.98
option_holdout0
allocation0
06UTC TLT fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingTLT2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"TLT","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":-14.619583883751613,"dd":23.23682555001839,"n":28,"p":0.42857142857142855,"W":2.839725178656158,"L":3.0122692217263602}; holdout {"s":"TLT","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-3.035077446758885,"dd":6.578091832048072,"n":6,"p":0.3333333333333333,"W":0.30556687266432536,"L":0.9178928422002173}. All variants [{"s":"TLT","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":-9.013655192877435,"dd":22.980612459117168,"n":39,"p":0.5128205128205128,"W":1.6069882094907881,"L":2.1297611328464456},{"s":"TLT","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":-14.619583883751613,"dd":23.23682555001839,"n":28,"p":0.42857142857142855,"W":2.839725178656158,"L":3.0122692217263602},{"s":"TLT","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":-19.183496663988137,"dd":28.671921332027328,"n":19,"p":0.5263157894736842,"W":2.8638497380518437,"L":5.27852200677722},{"s":"TLT","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":-2.4582818390906485,"dd":5.060143562187969,"n":9,"p":0.4444444444444444,"W":0.2676058071843199,"L":0.7074613113256234},{"s":"TLT","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-3.035077446758885,"dd":6.578091832048072,"n":6,"p":0.3333333333333333,"W":0.30556687266432536,"L":0.9178928422002173},{"s":"TLT","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":-0.5982328677306782,"dd":5.2544170076018855,"n":4,"p":0.25,"W":3.0880904275632037,"L":1.204198503205299}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return-3.04
drawdown6.58
win rate33.33
sample6
train_return-14.62
train_drawdown23.24
train_sample28
avg_win0.31
avg_loss0.92
option_holdout0
allocation0
06UTC EEM fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingEEM2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"EEM","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":-3.438617505551065,"dd":15.595172168610748,"n":17,"p":0.5294117647058824,"W":2.434750920734669,"L":3.0424574915913767}; holdout {"s":"EEM","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-3.7926818201905688,"dd":11.404525868136561,"n":4,"p":0.5,"W":0.9578497215174376,"L":2.817554666199297}. All variants [{"s":"EEM","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":-8.04788057257348,"dd":19.0418298012341,"n":26,"p":0.46153846153846156,"W":2.7468862013395285,"L":2.8410878567268227},{"s":"EEM","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":-3.438617505551065,"dd":15.595172168610748,"n":17,"p":0.5294117647058824,"W":2.434750920734669,"L":3.0424574915913767},{"s":"EEM","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":18.389295622044905,"dd":26.518679658901647,"n":14,"p":0.7142857142857143,"W":4.929805302736331,"L":7.338731271229007},{"s":"EEM","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":-0.9640447297328819,"dd":7.578798411770493,"n":6,"p":0.16666666666666666,"W":8.939111828836865,"L":1.8819590678546227},{"s":"EEM","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-3.7926818201905688,"dd":11.404525868136561,"n":4,"p":0.5,"W":0.9578497215174376,"L":2.817554666199297},{"s":"EEM","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":-7.930981587230769,"dd":12.27574639859178,"n":2,"p":0,"W":null,"L":4.0383102544153555}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EEM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return-3.79
drawdown11.4
win rate50
sample4
train_return-3.44
train_drawdown15.6
train_sample17
avg_win0.96
avg_loss2.82
option_holdout0
allocation0
06UTC XLE fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingXLE2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"XLE","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":90.97344971104472,"dd":15.526998968204675,"n":26,"p":0.7307692307692307,"W":4.775203251956376,"L":3.1619576031513636}; holdout {"s":"XLE","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":10.696243283290562,"dd":4.6281784033169515,"n":4,"p":0.75,"W":4.594270670367002,"L":3.15831994868343}. All variants [{"s":"XLE","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":28.744461945869084,"dd":17.088594303863335,"n":33,"p":0.7272727272727273,"W":2.559349761677472,"L":3.765042981293808},{"s":"XLE","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":90.97344971104472,"dd":15.526998968204675,"n":26,"p":0.7307692307692307,"W":4.775203251956376,"L":3.1619576031513636},{"s":"XLE","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":64.66789428026767,"dd":16.73720672369915,"n":17,"p":0.5882352941176471,"W":7.53729031579105,"L":2.871482226918713},{"s":"XLE","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":3.4455501990069024,"dd":2.8566229985444114,"n":4,"p":0.75,"W":1.9357712924501076,"L":2.327219667349665},{"s":"XLE","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":10.696243283290562,"dd":4.6281784033169515,"n":4,"p":0.75,"W":4.594270670367002,"L":3.15831994868343},{"s":"XLE","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":-3.421129237329626,"dd":9.842062442158294,"n":2,"p":0.5,"W":3.0614511032446132,"L":6.291767772863162}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=XLE&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return10.7
drawdown4.63
win rate75
sample4
train_return90.97
train_drawdown15.53
train_sample26
avg_win4.59
avg_loss3.16
option_holdout0
allocation0
06UTC XLF fixed downside-regime stock diagnostic, 2026 holdout
BacktestsrejectOptions mispricingXLF2026-09-08 06:10
Premises:1 Signal at close must fill next open.2 Holdout results cannot be selected for an option payoff.3 Stops are not part of this fixed-horizon stock diagnostic. Frozen note963: negative5day return AND belowSMA50 AND RV20>RV60; enter nextopen,exit10sessions later atopen; neighboring5/20sessions sensitivity. Nonoverlapping trades, no incomplete terminal trades,2022-25 train/2026 holdout. vectorbt from_signals explicit openprice, fees5bp and slippage10bp each side,1000 normalized all-in equity; dailyclose marking misses intraday drawdown. Trade count and p include netcosts; no new stock proposal authorized by this test. Primary train {"s":"XLF","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":6.639887450161826,"dd":13.221007687259211,"n":23,"p":0.5652173913043478,"W":3.3037040293149587,"L":3.4481328243019242}; holdout {"s":"XLF","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-6.455030075496722,"dd":7.615842236544101,"n":4,"p":0,"W":null,"L":1.6448197783722456}. All variants [{"s":"XLF","period":"train","hold":5,"ret":-12.631752374025087,"dd":26.028483074553975,"n":31,"p":0.4838709677419355,"W":3.4001898061428593,"L":3.7998625190829034},{"s":"XLF","period":"train","hold":10,"ret":6.639887450161826,"dd":13.221007687259211,"n":23,"p":0.5652173913043478,"W":3.3037040293149587,"L":3.4481328243019242},{"s":"XLF","period":"train","hold":20,"ret":0.3736530913380648,"dd":28.498943492138718,"n":16,"p":0.5625,"W":5.351890201644434,"L":6.235918385512589},{"s":"XLF","period":"test","hold":5,"ret":-7.460626034008272,"dd":9.769433309137431,"n":6,"p":0.3333333333333333,"W":0.8393908103091665,"L":2.316370743870734},{"s":"XLF","period":"test","hold":10,"ret":-6.455030075496722,"dd":7.615842236544101,"n":4,"p":0,"W":null,"L":1.6448197783722456},{"s":"XLF","period":"test","hold":20,"ret":-5.588785312956509,"dd":7.275713674932749,"n":2,"p":0,"W":null,"L":2.835697430891199}]. ETHA/IBIT shorter inception histories. Training loses or holdout uncertainty/smallN prevents independent robustedge; positive isolated variants are not adopted. Actual optionholdout0; a bearish stock-regime/rebound test neither prices a put nor validates a call. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=XLF&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; research/analyze.py. CLI XLF mean-reversion separately gross+3.244%,DD1.622%,N7,win85.714%,251bars; audited sameclosefill/no explicitcosts/--exit ignored, not validation.
return-6.46
drawdown7.62
win rate0
sample4
train_return6.64
train_drawdown13.22
train_sample23
avg_winunavailable
avg_loss1.64
option_holdout0
allocation0
CLI breakout audit: four gross winners are not an executable edge
BacktestsrejectCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, XRP/USD, UNI/USD, LTC/USD, LINK/USD2026-09-08 06:08
Premise1: command node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols BTC/USD,ETH/USD,SOL/USD,XRP/USD,UNI/USD,LTC/USD,LINK/USD --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days615 --stop-pct3 --target-pct4.5 (actualflagswithspaces) returns616bars/pair includingpartialSep8. Premise2: sourceengineusesclose-derivedsignalsandfillsatthesameclose,noexecutioncosts,andbarfetchignorespagination. Premise3: noheldoutwindowinCLI; fixedstop/targetdiagnosticonly. Grossreturns BTC+2.3668,ETH-20.7311,SOL+27.8476,XRP+6.0689,UNI-34.6682,LTC-29.1255,LINK+8.1187percent; closedN40/37/33/23/33/37/36. Fullper-symbolreturn/drawdown/winrate/sample/buyholdinobservationsandcli_summary.json. Conclusion noCLIwinnertrusted; usecompletehistory,nextopen,costedcustomexitsandholdoutforfrozencompressionablation. Validity sourceomissionspreventpromotinggrossresultintoexpectednetedge; soundnessCLIresultsareonlyreproductionoftheprovidedengine. This is not evidence compression works. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
return2.37
drawdown8.48
win rate30
sample40
BTC buyhold percent-16.89
SOL gross return27.85
pairs7
costed0
out of sample0
eligible0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback10 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":19.20315865283131,"dd":33.40625556193522,"n":213,"win":51.64319248826291,"W":1.9008148335984225,"L":1.8059848878178024,"K":0.01424715673942091},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-32.59505817592977,"dd":41.18284700195467,"n":215,"win":45.58139534883721,"W":1.936638954642452,"L":1.9503213003356727,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-0.6619567187630349,"dd":26.80240913305211,"n":29,"win":51.724137931034484,"W":2.4087084868495134,"L":2.511965588285353,"K":0.003446936154310132},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-22.14647181522935,"dd":49.41723665717414,"n":213,"win":50.23474178403756,"W":1.746401445743688,"L":1.9471254588434133,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-56.1524738853473,"dd":57.54547500939253,"n":215,"win":44.651162790697676,"W":1.7708817126454235,"L":2.078899873135273,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-6.259661132264083,"dd":28.395171636410012,"n":29,"win":51.724137931034484,"W":2.204095733782102,"L":2.7067468271745665,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-58.90739824686072,"dd":66.51451618422648,"n":213,"win":46.478873239436616,"W":1.5685020352183263,"L":2.092613152303241,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-76.99487145071846,"dd":77.37911290851906,"n":215,"win":43.25581395348837,"W":1.517826188328262,"L":2.3173272899491697,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-14.070391505872426,"dd":30.719571506426945,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":2.0431757020192935,"L":2.807332017631263,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-56.15
drawdown57.55
sample215
win rate44.65
average win1.77
average loss2.08
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback10 hold5 parent
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":28.574383008983272,"dd":46.54132884809891,"n":193,"win":51.29533678756477,"W":2.4951337624906547,"L":2.257545747764133,"K":0.01807089625473733},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":13.195003419584928,"dd":33.963443942162044,"n":193,"win":49.740932642487046,"W":2.670176104155006,"L":2.4493457848997466,"K":0.00909604327231281},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":3.7190990572059546,"dd":22.12992746572924,"n":26,"win":50,"W":2.868860836570745,"L":2.4811769380823376,"K":0.016891891963981595},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-12.598926884358352,"dd":56.74938850801248,"n":193,"win":47.15025906735752,"W":2.5017745447329562,"L":2.2694462610132167,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-23.053375496196605,"dd":43.17746533544277,"n":193,"win":47.15025906735752,"W":2.6054882532665067,"L":2.4711671999486193,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-1.5364656487320771,"dd":23.976561119026265,"n":26,"win":50,"W":2.66332869841881,"L":2.676019692740803,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-51.015371366220606,"dd":69.73443047616958,"n":193,"win":40.932642487046635,"W":2.550091876346059,"L":2.307729667959877,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-56.87465048678973,"dd":60.21371556545858,"n":193,"win":44.559585492227974,"W":2.438977765136447,"L":2.6400022173697506,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-8.924745845132964,"dd":26.664732226394595,"n":26,"win":50,"W":2.355799698294729,"L":2.9675546228024285,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-23.05
drawdown43.18
sample193
win rate47.15
average win2.61
average loss2.47
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback10 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":18.811604785940396,"dd":34.076871024217404,"n":226,"win":51.32743362831859,"W":1.6308109096713586,"L":1.5364205023791104,"K":0.013680019241828448},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-21.508531739366134,"dd":34.416192615683386,"n":226,"win":49.557522123893804,"W":1.597559587152703,"L":1.7749040900783206,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":5.317340389966785,"dd":22.270196455129078,"n":29,"win":55.172413793103445,"W":2.2251699747298166,"L":2.2271122745606933,"K":0.025764246536110647},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-24.393742730570033,"dd":49.288735960179444,"n":226,"win":49.557522123893804,"W":1.4813319108773715,"L":1.6614310720940186,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-50.05162876588778,"dd":53.319393572679765,"n":226,"win":47.78761061946903,"W":1.4508507159004824,"L":1.8785560173649973,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-0.617297757173596,"dd":23.96157884918472,"n":29,"win":55.172413793103445,"W":2.020923931884738,"L":2.4224626507977223,"K":0.0035950117380198487},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-61.61994738896384,"dd":67.12708150642099,"n":226,"win":43.36283185840708,"W":1.362864068326875,"L":1.7553343000372528,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-74.64467644563737,"dd":74.77011390657093,"n":226,"win":42.47787610619469,"W":1.3079135088669465,"L":1.9849331390076825,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-8.898167022160708,"dd":26.42989977499982,"n":29,"win":51.724137931034484,"W":1.838695497001656,"L":2.5305119104271943,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-50.05
drawdown53.32
sample226
win rate47.79
average win1.45
average loss1.88
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback10 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":57.84436043079979,"dd":35.49557826654425,"n":226,"win":50.442477876106196,"W":2.0620547392991644,"L":1.6446534768620291,"K":0.027290981989570917},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":125.27921857208568,"dd":25.253188262610806,"n":226,"win":57.07964601769911,"W":2.0675476216243016,"L":1.8696893649306698,"K":0.04566661076180269},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":5.390037197775399,"dd":27.31440360804992,"n":29,"win":58.620689655172406,"W":2.5929814814071315,"L":3.078719834291388,"K":0.023724676970989816},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":0.4449131443079457,"dd":48.987150697084225,"n":226,"win":48.23008849557522,"W":1.9461583681420875,"L":1.7510540351152963,"K":0.004125406669214404},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":43.35736469096787,"dd":33.27948641698967,"n":226,"win":54.424778761061944,"W":1.9604452651638928,"L":1.9162568565605127,"K":0.024692055913787758},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-0.5486974186376781,"dd":28.89602523105851,"n":29,"win":58.620689655172406,"W":2.3880005506203643,"L":3.2723686973475137,"K":0.00479258608510999},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-49.01108466126618,"dd":66.6326231969882,"n":226,"win":41.150442477876105,"W":1.944511572184224,"L":1.8142999800205468,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-27.227409506441635,"dd":46.839860567821,"n":226,"win":45.57522123893805,"W":2.007031425995159,"L":1.8763701613440202,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-8.835282672646317,"dd":31.204166643972687,"n":29,"win":51.724137931034484,"W":2.3908006389507688,"L":3.0875271146641285,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return43.36
drawdown33.28
sample226
win rate54.42
average win1.96
average loss1.92
quarter Kelly0.02
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback5 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":52.227473811057855,"dd":34.93389636286501,"n":222,"win":54.95495495495496,"W":1.8644265687214512,"L":1.797086682432509,"K":0.028842148977253776},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-21.182971924873883,"dd":37.43068337612203,"n":214,"win":51.4018691588785,"W":1.6965850185567808,"L":1.9985488674016068,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-2.78327190421227,"dd":25.13463563534557,"n":31,"win":54.83870967741935,"W":2.010316052254626,"L":2.550292790710057,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-2.351343063306033,"dd":47.64123339705238,"n":222,"win":52.702702702702695,"W":1.7354252393032972,"L":1.9023278138156476,"K":0.0021416023132878603},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-48.626163252452095,"dd":53.41515686636533,"n":214,"win":50.467289719626166,"W":1.5224578927170382,"L":2.135570300510461,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-8.627661425036425,"dd":27.637272325848205,"n":31,"win":51.61290322580645,"W":1.9207218149502172,"L":2.563401698034291,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-49.83213221076598,"dd":64.83902029350193,"n":222,"win":48.64864864864865,"W":1.5593162934500748,"L":2.0317195556956738,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-72.96511939062655,"dd":73.57239554301023,"n":214,"win":47.66355140186916,"W":1.294579716528172,"L":2.3027721599953983,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-16.74213253388731,"dd":31.235249486976446,"n":31,"win":48.38709677419355,"W":1.7318792186366745,"L":2.685038819370337,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-48.63
drawdown53.42
sample214
win rate50.47
average win1.52
average loss2.14
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback5 hold5 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":178.34105018617214,"dd":27.685643940413595,"n":198,"win":57.07070707070707,"W":2.5557181831279046,"L":2.084903459982115,"K":0.05512463462690349},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":93.30510233270614,"dd":32.15689256459794,"n":192,"win":52.604166666666664,"W":2.8384663546067106,"L":2.3232415947262686,"K":0.034528492574095765},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-2.823530697969112,"dd":26.785563246036446,"n":28,"win":57.14285714285714,"W":2.3869897520176,"L":3.2938106761033703,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":87.32538434780786,"dd":37.86009014691455,"n":198,"win":52.52525252525253,"W":2.563886030968309,"L":2.050717172509798,"K":0.0363817666472635},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":31.666176019651537,"dd":40.308013308002074,"n":192,"win":51.041666666666664,"W":2.715957132854908,"L":2.4158202250728835,"K":0.01873413847130169},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-8.115845616070306,"dd":29.091336289654734,"n":28,"win":53.57142857142857,"W":2.3293191622449383,"L":3.2204168148812924,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":3.4249354802157628,"dd":54.6296543356668,"n":198,"win":46.464646464646464,"W":2.5689925239825833,"L":2.094367644776468,"K":0.0070500566208592935},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-25.984928470010615,"dd":53.18048154084121,"n":192,"win":48.4375,"W":2.5440826608630376,"L":2.5773114248441544,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-15.51884893830584,"dd":32.414562498344324,"n":28,"win":53.57142857142857,"W":2.022790690936683,"L":3.5103209980660695,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return31.67
drawdown40.31
sample192
win rate51.04
average win2.72
average loss2.42
quarter Kelly0.02
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback5 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":71.53304834541699,"dd":29.193445685189435,"n":231,"win":56.27705627705628,"W":1.6420679143841104,"L":1.5490123080117293,"K":0.03757970398632536},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-1.0317451232329078,"dd":26.154841612524258,"n":222,"win":54.95495495495496,"W":1.4485794223149535,"L":1.756779813479074,"K":0.0008152660846985349},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":0.758468782019972,"dd":20.65114740830539,"n":31,"win":58.06451612903226,"W":1.8005264340188565,"L":2.346786979479145,"K":0.008515632603908502},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":8.069648335272039,"dd":41.64260374672444,"n":231,"win":55.41125541125541,"W":1.4625410560149192,"L":1.6981408725902127,"K":0.00909934517524194},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-36.51528908586076,"dd":45.6056164341927,"n":222,"win":52.702702702702695,"W":1.3035095581904221,"L":1.848251133021885,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-5.298839981793913,"dd":22.64896291756815,"n":31,"win":51.61290322580645,"W":1.8007883468594652,"L":2.20726478720401,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-45.95728791190342,"dd":61.62619753893107,"n":231,"win":48.917748917748916,"W":1.3267050032493817,"L":1.7530002532063407,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-67.3841639640466,"dd":68.2230200007498,"n":222,"win":44.5945945945946,"W":1.210442405425759,"L":1.8517510907884023,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-13.708932564812804,"dd":25.551754132641356,"n":31,"win":41.935483870967744,"W":1.8797162270502987,"L":2.111437755156899,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-36.52
drawdown45.61
sample222
win rate52.7
average win1.3
average loss1.85
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback5 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":178.1938990668753,"dd":16.39947720096234,"n":231,"win":55.41125541125541,"W":2.0825150207934087,"L":1.5412069940990074,"K":0.056031152513499966},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":293.19855280009165,"dd":17.430076245682258,"n":222,"win":60.36036036036037,"W":2.1788715158626197,"L":1.691020766295331,"K":0.07399015454540013},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-3.5964203195659183,"dd":24.204642329198002,"n":31,"win":61.29032258064516,"W":1.8219494062971981,"L":3.0702480564975207,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":75.2683644998524,"dd":24.664730330157692,"n":231,"win":54.54545454545454,"W":1.9094592792091198,"L":1.6914799391298918,"K":0.03569973033564726},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":152.2232658083544,"dd":22.351464394474295,"n":222,"win":57.20720720720721,"W":2.0884837396574873,"L":1.737184233963215,"K":0.054031252697204504},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-9.391925701100046,"dd":25.823788821665705,"n":31,"win":51.61290322580645,"W":1.9276043951547694,"L":2.6171310333549127,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-12.353025047036681,"dd":47.25899957864242,"n":231,"win":48.05194805194805,"W":1.8384011517094314,"L":1.7538416971052357,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":29.581950734311448,"dd":33.228683495225894,"n":222,"win":47.2972972972973,"W":2.189904323715891,"L":1.679790616730518,"K":0.01717774860314092},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-17.438525061406708,"dd":28.52340307978135,"n":31,"win":38.70967741935484,"W":2.2242321499971003,"L":2.3351027918447667,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return152.22
drawdown22.35
sample222
win rate57.21
average win2.09
average loss1.74
quarter Kelly0.05
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback3 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":10.35996768260623,"dd":42.13637086814445,"n":215,"win":50.697674418604656,"W":1.8801974034012479,"L":1.7883084679461931,"K":0.00951212550973582},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-7.786242848370528,"dd":27.495592033600158,"n":209,"win":50.23923444976076,"W":1.8247914054620427,"L":1.8943552397297145,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-21.582225844787207,"dd":40.1356334297864,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":2.304727332792503,"L":3.6237969986631993,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-28.209839901571264,"dd":55.20695763954622,"n":215,"win":48.372093023255815,"W":1.7599079793943575,"L":1.8976339965516806,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-39.28994746495813,"dd":45.828911956183184,"n":209,"win":49.282296650717704,"W":1.6539701868202707,"L":2.0342040446388596,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-26.00107189798383,"dd":41.788586497025314,"n":29,"win":44.827586206896555,"W":2.2635056788161365,"L":3.5791508185220513,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-62.33443461965437,"dd":70.07919697601497,"n":215,"win":46.04651162790698,"W":1.5346235309032943,"L":2.102202031600124,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-67.56921269011691,"dd":68.30837477261838,"n":209,"win":46.411483253588514,"W":1.440162590357214,"L":2.209223457956847,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-32.16688783509485,"dd":44.40826073291989,"n":29,"win":44.827586206896555,"W":1.957174352437925,"L":3.867980410508113,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-39.29
drawdown45.83
sample209
win rate49.28
average win1.65
average loss2.03
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback3 hold5 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":37.433821099280415,"dd":31.102256434358623,"n":195,"win":50.256410256410255,"W":2.5764100362494182,"L":2.1638226048325797,"K":0.021196951892784102},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":48.52587654538867,"dd":34.37929333597173,"n":190,"win":50.526315789473685,"W":2.667200203380421,"L":2.235534364540271,"K":0.022648917136101593},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-6.453622785150381,"dd":35.73506118318185,"n":28,"win":50,"W":3.306179777888696,"L":3.606215450686397,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-6.9494896603194185,"dd":45.33366519372382,"n":195,"win":45.64102564102564,"W":2.619510318317559,"L":2.16589779554648,"K":0.0017380680467813658},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":1.5711120224150443,"dd":42.26340011565154,"n":190,"win":47.368421052631575,"W":2.6300425156599867,"L":2.243844603309714,"K":0.006163281434402715},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-11.548239735368393,"dd":37.75898392497052,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":3.339838108241981,"L":3.5469604279585765,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-48.161068315413594,"dd":63.46933754440982,"n":195,"win":42.56410256410256,"W":2.4897092572170663,"L":2.3349794099055656,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-42.55900961188118,"dd":55.75225922584459,"n":190,"win":44.21052631578947,"W":2.497998157904116,"L":2.400604404281518,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-18.67469891091449,"dd":40.67598962008465,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":3.030282617597715,"L":3.8358864465728115,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return1.57
drawdown42.26
sample190
win rate47.37
average win2.63
average loss2.24
quarter Kelly0.01
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback3 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":32.31424135822174,"dd":34.546199164080285,"n":226,"win":53.09734513274337,"W":1.640806320731402,"L":1.5811748158003767,"K":0.019748160818580607},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-4.382806977449949,"dd":22.017927679650374,"n":221,"win":51.58371040723983,"W":1.5591065326186637,"L":1.6985859058079489,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-4.528947283584362,"dd":28.25234339262941,"n":30,"win":66.66666666666666,"W":1.9147662089778008,"L":4.088743646423883,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-15.801283969165347,"dd":49.60693867783458,"n":226,"win":51.32743362831859,"W":1.4902686200023112,"L":1.687602367708467,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-38.54208630517213,"dd":41.4413903152086,"n":221,"win":50.2262443438914,"W":1.396342510979817,"L":1.8160181973911302,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-10.088749017283282,"dd":29.918756424066196,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":1.804324706690401,"L":3.8966461058701003,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-57.25815206631386,"dd":66.78068797620116,"n":226,"win":46.46017699115044,"W":1.3228756140789912,"L":1.8126224953864054,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-68.33058305254215,"dd":68.52034556386918,"n":221,"win":45.248868778280546,"W":1.2271023708841489,"L":1.9301229934477213,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-17.827316762377265,"dd":32.346072448942785,"n":30,"win":53.333333333333336,"W":1.8159963539952153,"L":3.3284074508303214,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-38.54
drawdown41.44
sample221
win rate50.23
average win1.4
average loss1.82
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep intraday lookback3 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":109.22542474738881,"dd":23.449315758242694,"n":226,"win":53.53982300884957,"W":2.065147794771529,"L":1.6402083515764312,"K":0.04159905309147767},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":235.313674320911,"dd":12.247881483112721,"n":221,"win":55.65610859728507,"W":2.188694845972555,"L":1.4692578518167978,"K":0.0647207941235848},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-2.9414491043999957,"dd":28.750513844466884,"n":30,"win":66.66666666666666,"W":2.022511173889352,"L":4.149465437721803,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":33.1414664355137,"dd":32.15602043875791,"n":226,"win":51.76991150442478,"W":1.927791607636057,"L":1.7424472486260612,"K":0.020442064204121257},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":115.52273399460948,"dd":21.34944603383886,"n":221,"win":53.39366515837104,"W":2.0729836875816168,"L":1.561779235704626,"K":0.04570150637527981},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-8.593699542473153,"dd":30.132956608632444,"n":30,"win":60,"W":2.025470442368664,"L":3.624568048713787,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-32.413312455136534,"dd":50.63509911740378,"n":226,"win":46.017699115044245,"W":1.8454832012525304,"L":1.836972290938241,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":11.05940495187545,"dd":35.66505588560342,"n":221,"win":47.05882352941176,"W":2.024375056693326,"L":1.651605363069235,"K":0.00966567131221266},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-16.46094463902911,"dd":32.299343592723254,"n":30,"win":50,"W":2.101684803272841,"L":3.1684714941996996,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return115.52
drawdown21.35
sample221
win rate53.39
average win2.07
average loss1.56
quarter Kelly0.05
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":13.655646889746965,"dd":22.33490997742823,"n":202,"win":53.960396039603964,"W":1.851446289885078,"L":1.9639528096566397,"K":0.012807778365723249},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-19.520461888408335,"dd":32.01786088912038,"n":218,"win":48.62385321100918,"W":1.8910575531193008,"L":1.936515835345826,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-6.024799083709819,"dd":22.610909614229502,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":2.367975025144074,"L":2.5249426270415953,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-24.118478059718107,"dd":40.24554059463301,"n":202,"win":51.48514851485149,"W":1.7299650786494412,"L":2.052594346297908,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-47.96050597271413,"dd":51.94985122698166,"n":218,"win":46.788990825688074,"W":1.7580662312708704,"L":2.0627932646618428,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-11.320307023598254,"dd":24.672440239264194,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":2.1634436575941995,"L":2.719697937787914,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-58.60450156098065,"dd":61.34654802592547,"n":202,"win":46.53465346534654,"W":1.5914177406607561,"L":2.1414520710623126,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-72.94148383267489,"dd":73.61083225466925,"n":218,"win":45.412844036697244,"W":1.5015225086762456,"L":2.3002898240073937,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-18.709368977282338,"dd":27.66212351475493,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":1.857412067974245,"L":3.0111020292414787,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-47.96
drawdown51.95
sample218
win rate46.79
average win1.76
average loss2.06
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold5 parent
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":12.865081727387583,"dd":37.63788589387206,"n":184,"win":53.80434782608695,"W":2.3597914903225576,"L":2.5491279251241306,"K":0.009755539000241592},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":36.48550173624512,"dd":16.063040196864588,"n":193,"win":49.740932642487046,"W":2.701416688485293,"L":2.239292728457233,"K":0.02019886598904745},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-12.20194949823724,"dd":34.10251247927442,"n":26,"win":50,"W":2.0066348695899716,"L":2.908671848463277,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-21.88414011932236,"dd":52.14647466571043,"n":184,"win":48.369565217391305,"W":2.408934903017791,"L":2.4122182486593102,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-7.221181721392256,"dd":29.69681332883217,"n":193,"win":44.559585492227974,"W":2.800588552127959,"L":2.2184261869932183,"K":0.001609123958900463},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-16.650776567326297,"dd":35.9220498829311,"n":26,"win":50,"W":1.8028254602125402,"L":3.1026604676499816,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-55.02116068711342,"dd":67.98693545920926,"n":184,"win":42.934782608695656,"W":2.3828721277847897,"L":2.457957848736056,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-48.00137119088569,"dd":51.15189975404733,"n":193,"win":41.968911917098445,"W":2.654127041729616,"L":2.4047235368813964,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-22.904943868249404,"dd":38.55759454773965,"n":26,"win":42.30769230769231,"W":1.8070520624444655,"L":2.9675423596384833,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-7.22
drawdown29.7
sample193
win rate44.56
average win2.8
average loss2.22
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":5.292599226370132,"dd":27.473967253095,"n":216,"win":51.85185185185185,"W":1.6438869534527396,"L":1.6977900957115,"K":0.0053123082939352945},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-10.202011508626384,"dd":27.686617875075836,"n":226,"win":49.557522123893804,"W":1.6238102524693745,"L":1.6808316989348209,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":10.501787331870482,"dd":13.746340817525804,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.0446849675252436,"L":2.5077874363999006,"K":0.04590500395525951},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-31.643059747535972,"dd":44.361311515968296,"n":216,"win":49.074074074074076,"W":1.5267248937742357,"L":1.7642798338844912,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-42.85667774298522,"dd":48.31653675159423,"n":226,"win":48.67256637168141,"W":1.4480657163386441,"L":1.8173767641208003,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":4.0666636864922,"dd":16.211754605080042,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":1.840799533995107,"L":2.702577023242843,"K":0.023752558753860592},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-64.24314625484038,"dd":65.80811534916656,"n":216,"win":43.51851851851852,"W":1.398138489855362,"L":1.8710606733560446,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-70.99229886782948,"dd":71.94756827655912,"n":226,"win":42.92035398230089,"W":1.3169036069377134,"L":1.913273578151662,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-4.890245689606276,"dd":19.778261899687166,"n":30,"win":60,"W":1.6299445152577567,"L":2.757866962422842,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-42.86
drawdown48.32
sample226
win rate48.67
average win1.45
average loss1.82
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":56.120090644066046,"dd":22.10445897697333,"n":216,"win":50.92592592592593,"W":2.0220656742358876,"L":1.6361569382865166,"K":0.028043945661882397},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":201.76288200982572,"dd":15.32557494292045,"n":226,"win":56.63716814159292,"W":2.140865794935093,"L":1.621130263611272,"K":0.0595037029823698},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":3.1947600804187237,"dd":27.22170598151532,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.5669331146771954,"L":3.8767437497279538,"K":0.01989257107643086},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":1.354623086300344,"dd":34.91411599719515,"n":216,"win":47.68518518518518,"W":1.947861189572226,"L":1.695788156370882,"K":0.005351097650602363},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":92.02806100216318,"dd":19.511378944363933,"n":226,"win":54.424778761061944,"W":2.020010688980972,"L":1.7034019435223424,"K":0.039982108243445766},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-2.814835390451298,"dd":29.30194943099331,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.362004228566192,"L":4.068798159804796,"K":0.0004279578314533017},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-46.98237778479285,"dd":57.23062373791789,"n":216,"win":43.05555555555556,"W":1.8336934757907097,"L":1.8394946265451622,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-2.5206728882973373,"dd":32.06172502697457,"n":226,"win":44.690265486725664,"W":2.1231798548245093,"L":1.6747798047927527,"K":0.0026538555033067124},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-11.179461306886063,"dd":32.31126311073951,"n":30,"win":56.666666666666664,"W":2.3222406613393005,"L":3.718744862129698,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return92.03
drawdown19.51
sample226
win rate54.42
average win2.02
average loss1.7
quarter Kelly0.04
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":37.85167382133729,"dd":31.569796413557725,"n":207,"win":55.072463768115945,"W":1.8460874444497817,"L":1.8565951150032425,"K":0.02472301576893672},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-15.395888683188208,"dd":27.617333845158885,"n":216,"win":50,"W":1.8370139292573417,"L":1.9450529604995472,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-18.127959110970572,"dd":29.208299030155327,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.9509161605610281,"L":2.3406679222055544,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-8.879915614136602,"dd":39.823020909845766,"n":207,"win":53.14009661835749,"W":1.7047714807843874,"L":1.9708080068552891,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-45.07421960433745,"dd":48.48517810909432,"n":216,"win":48.148148148148145,"W":1.7006008147144807,"L":2.068430530098789,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-22.895815984073188,"dd":31.403482152596617,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.7472180772477492,"L":2.535791414088366,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-51.03150371008547,"dd":58.87860903093265,"n":207,"win":48.792270531400966,"W":1.5377661837855563,"L":2.084472033867475,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-71.2688559611813,"dd":72.43363203647814,"n":216,"win":46.2962962962963,"W":1.4554054408074064,"L":2.2834580153434705,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-29.53209281167666,"dd":34.70803954035231,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.4424332954039907,"L":2.8277463993232512,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-45.07
drawdown48.49
sample216
win rate48.15
average win1.7
average loss2.07
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold5 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":86.36513181881706,"dd":27.740808246048942,"n":191,"win":56.02094240837696,"W":2.4800246783185784,"L":2.351717466410113,"K":0.03579299239578107},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":107.90924126859669,"dd":18.944399326719196,"n":192,"win":52.604166666666664,"W":2.804524571159137,"L":2.18753792567008,"K":0.039088171554589754},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-5.583647690517268,"dd":22.61710442039382,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.5234807689980228,"L":2.4743114210848143,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":27.19327650733161,"dd":40.721617175904576,"n":191,"win":49.73821989528796,"W":2.576847049542439,"L":2.19359779879941,"K":0.01737943176372299},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":41.61351369746931,"dd":24.575618434527424,"n":192,"win":47.91666666666667,"W":2.8651786412410325,"L":2.179352471289304,"K":0.020750773038634998},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-10.72564423998158,"dd":24.452185017037387,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.3186387007388305,"L":2.669167893056532,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-28.284508150767884,"dd":59.872464584277616,"n":191,"win":46.07329842931937,"W":2.461880667607956,"L":2.327642186371886,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-20.39311338117049,"dd":42.78748157831549,"n":192,"win":44.79166666666667,"W":2.7435952554610212,"L":2.33904310821243,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-17.918379012512087,"dd":27.12353817405484,"n":28,"win":42.857142857142854,"W":2.191219379083653,"L":2.7842271167578376,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return41.61
drawdown24.58
sample192
win rate47.92
average win2.87
average loss2.18
quarter Kelly0.02
cells9
actual allocation0
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