Runway

Stats

1524 backtests, newest first
R91906 Breakout CLI versus costed chronological holdout: not an option strategy
BacktestsinconclusiveConvex tailBB2026-09-19 06:10
Premises:CLI node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols BB --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days730 --stop-pct10 --target-pct30 diagnostic returns169.4115%,DD11.1785%,win35.4839%,N31 (501bars), buyhold230.3719%. Noindependentholdoutorcostcalibration inthatCLIresult; nottrustedfortrading. Separatevectorbt testJan2023–Dec2025train/2026holdout: closebreaksprior20/50/100sessionhigh,volume>1/1.5/2xprior20mean,close>SMA200; enterfollowingopen; exitfollowingopen afterclose<SMA20. One share per1000book,10bpfees+10bpslippageeachside, nooptionprices. Fixedbaseline20/1.5 train+.268038%,DD.132377%,win100%,N3;holdout+.428765%,DD.151146%,win100%,N1. Full9parametergridholdout+.18921–.428765%,N1–2; notindependentsamples, samefewtrendepisodes. Baselinefixedbeforeresults; noholdoutbest-selection. Last252high13.59 vs7.99, current52weekbreakoutabsent. Stockproxycannotestablishcalltheta/crush/netoptionedge; oneheldoutwinnernotreplication. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Figures arepercentof1000withone-share exposure, notpercentreturnonpremium.
return0.43
drawdown0.15
win rate100
sample1
train_return0.27
train_sample3
CLI_return169.41
CLI_drawdown11.18
CLI_sample31
holdout_min_return0.19
parameter_sets9
R91906 Corrected BlackBerry put mark backtest: training and holdout lose
BacktestsrejectConvex tailBB2026-09-19 06:10
Premises:13issuer-datedevents; historicaloptionbars retrieved9eventwindows;2023threeevents andApr2025 no bars, notzeros. NearestOTMhalf-dollarput with exactentryclose+.02<=.30; enter two sessions beforepre-eventclose, exitreactiondayclose, firstmonthlyexpiry>=7daysafterreaction. Selectionbeforeexitavailability. Sevenpre2026pairs training,2in2026holdout. vectorbt1000book,onecontract100multiplier,nooverlap,.02/sharefrictioneachside+$1roundtrip. Corrected implementation attaches$1fee atentry andvaluesexit max(mark-cost,0) with1e-6USDfloor to permitliquidation; all9intendedroundtripsreconcile. Initialfixed-exitfee atnearzero proceeds causedrejections andcontaminatedholdings; those unreconciledoutputs discarded. Trainreturn-6.50%,DD8.20%,win14.2857%,N7;holdout-3.80%,DD3.80%,win0%,N2. .05friction train-9.80%/holdout-4.90%;.10train-12.50%/holdout-2.70%N1(changingaffordabilitysample,notimprovement). Callcontroltrain-0.60%,DD2.4534%,win28.57%,N7;holdout-.40%,win0%,N1(noaffordableJune2026call). Marksnotbidasks, endpointDD omitsintra-trade risk; no validated15min -50%/3xexitpolicy. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars and issuerobservations29472–84. Genericcheapoptionsrule fails; historicalmarktestdoesnotveto a futureindependentlyqualifiedtail butcannotjustifythisentry.
return-3.8
drawdown3.8
win rate0
sample2
train_return-6.5
train_drawdown8.2
train_win_rate14.29
train_sample7
call_holdout_return-0.4
stress_holdout_return-4.9
missing_windows4
R91906 NVT fixed net3R breakout: calendar holdout and friction stress
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainNVT2026-09-19 06:08
Premises:1.SIP/all completed daily source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=PSIX,ETN,POWL,NVT,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Train2016–2023, holdout2024–2025, 2026 separate reused diagnostic. PSIX begins2024Dec26; no training. NVT begins2018May. 2.Frozen L20 prior closing high AND SMA50, next-open entry; prior arithmeticATR20, stopE-2ATR, target solves net3R at5bpfee+50bpslip per side; 60sessions max. Adverse opening stops, capped target, same-bar stop-first. Vectorbt longonly10000 fractional reinvestment; expanded open/close marks allow same-day exit; compounded trade returns reconcile <1e-8. Boundary liquidations counted separately. 3.Coststress100bpslip holds target fixed; L10/40 andSMA200 are sensitivities, not selected rules. PSIX SMA200 unavailable at2025entries; zero filteredtrades is warmup, not proof of protection. Summary [{"period":"train","return":26.578023309322376,"DD":37.10277433475685,"N":29,"win":31.03448275862069,"boundary":1,"without_best":3.3886674743498935},{"period":"holdout","return":87.17086632432587,"DD":22.11321555380127,"N":11,"win":54.54545454545454,"boundary":0,"without_best":33.423351254305175},{"period":"recent","return":-0.6491850271975519,"DD":26.604408244933385,"N":5,"win":20,"boundary":1,"without_best":-23.604175791528448}]. Conclusion: retrospective robustness only, previously viewed periods/current survivors; no primary bottleneck-event labels, actual15min exits or+2Rmanagement modeled. Best-trade deletion diagnoses concentration, not investable strategy. No allocation solely from this test.
return87.17
drawdown22.11
win rate54.55
sample11
train_return_pct26.58
train_n29
holdout_stress_pct67.67
recent_return_pct-0.65
recent_n5
recent_drawdown_pct26.6
without_best_holdout_pct33.42
recent_boundary_exits1
R91906 POWL fixed net3R breakout: calendar holdout and friction stress
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainPOWL2026-09-19 06:08
Premises:1.SIP/all completed daily source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=PSIX,ETN,POWL,NVT,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Train2016–2023, holdout2024–2025, 2026 separate reused diagnostic. PSIX begins2024Dec26; no training. NVT begins2018May. 2.Frozen L20 prior closing high AND SMA50, next-open entry; prior arithmeticATR20, stopE-2ATR, target solves net3R at5bpfee+50bpslip per side; 60sessions max. Adverse opening stops, capped target, same-bar stop-first. Vectorbt longonly10000 fractional reinvestment; expanded open/close marks allow same-day exit; compounded trade returns reconcile <1e-8. Boundary liquidations counted separately. 3.Coststress100bpslip holds target fixed; L10/40 andSMA200 are sensitivities, not selected rules. PSIX SMA200 unavailable at2025entries; zero filteredtrades is warmup, not proof of protection. Summary [{"period":"train","return":-68.54884354722476,"DD":73.1680251931859,"N":48,"win":20.833333333333336,"boundary":1,"without_best":-75.54253212651038},{"period":"holdout","return":33.287957806031734,"DD":51.38488012452538,"N":16,"win":37.5,"boundary":0,"without_best":-1.793485624584501},{"period":"recent","return":81.44926171139836,"DD":23.941248783294423,"N":5,"win":60,"boundary":0,"without_best":33.24684369271884}]. Conclusion: retrospective robustness only, previously viewed periods/current survivors; no primary bottleneck-event labels, actual15min exits or+2Rmanagement modeled. Best-trade deletion diagnoses concentration, not investable strategy. No allocation solely from this test.
return33.29
drawdown51.38
win rate37.5
sample16
train_return_pct-68.55
train_n48
holdout_stress_pct13.58
recent_return_pct81.45
recent_n5
recent_drawdown_pct23.94
without_best_holdout_pct-1.79
recent_boundary_exits0
R91906 ETN fixed net3R breakout: calendar holdout and friction stress
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainETN2026-09-19 06:08
Premises:1.SIP/all completed daily source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=PSIX,ETN,POWL,NVT,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Train2016–2023, holdout2024–2025, 2026 separate reused diagnostic. PSIX begins2024Dec26; no training. NVT begins2018May. 2.Frozen L20 prior closing high AND SMA50, next-open entry; prior arithmeticATR20, stopE-2ATR, target solves net3R at5bpfee+50bpslip per side; 60sessions max. Adverse opening stops, capped target, same-bar stop-first. Vectorbt longonly10000 fractional reinvestment; expanded open/close marks allow same-day exit; compounded trade returns reconcile <1e-8. Boundary liquidations counted separately. 3.Coststress100bpslip holds target fixed; L10/40 andSMA200 are sensitivities, not selected rules. PSIX SMA200 unavailable at2025entries; zero filteredtrades is warmup, not proof of protection. Summary [{"period":"train","return":45.87936291118282,"DD":21.63138452995964,"N":40,"win":45,"boundary":1,"without_best":23.870220764929705},{"period":"holdout","return":2.7270691743964237,"DD":27.000140816993767,"N":13,"win":30.76923076923077,"boundary":0,"without_best":-20.56053422537576},{"period":"recent","return":3.4519729420564804,"DD":14.484544522620036,"N":4,"win":50,"boundary":0,"without_best":-10.836246395344984}]. Conclusion: retrospective robustness only, previously viewed periods/current survivors; no primary bottleneck-event labels, actual15min exits or+2Rmanagement modeled. Best-trade deletion diagnoses concentration, not investable strategy. No allocation solely from this test.
return2.73
drawdown27
win rate30.77
sample13
train_return_pct45.88
train_n40
holdout_stress_pct-9.8
recent_return_pct3.45
recent_n4
recent_drawdown_pct14.48
without_best_holdout_pct-20.56
recent_boundary_exits0
R91906 PSIX fixed net3R breakout: calendar holdout and friction stress
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainPSIX2026-09-19 06:08
Premises:1.SIP/all completed daily source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=PSIX,ETN,POWL,NVT,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Train2016–2023, holdout2024–2025, 2026 separate reused diagnostic. PSIX begins2024Dec26; no training. NVT begins2018May. 2.Frozen L20 prior closing high AND SMA50, next-open entry; prior arithmeticATR20, stopE-2ATR, target solves net3R at5bpfee+50bpslip per side; 60sessions max. Adverse opening stops, capped target, same-bar stop-first. Vectorbt longonly10000 fractional reinvestment; expanded open/close marks allow same-day exit; compounded trade returns reconcile <1e-8. Boundary liquidations counted separately. 3.Coststress100bpslip holds target fixed; L10/40 andSMA200 are sensitivities, not selected rules. PSIX SMA200 unavailable at2025entries; zero filteredtrades is warmup, not proof of protection. Summary [{"period":"holdout","return":110.02245663389418,"DD":28.94803335298578,"N":4,"win":75,"boundary":0,"without_best":33.026122096773115},{"period":"recent","return":-11.168965671430408,"DD":44.555485542890914,"N":5,"win":40,"boundary":1,"without_best":-35.560295110382725}]. Conclusion: retrospective robustness only, previously viewed periods/current survivors; no primary bottleneck-event labels, actual15min exits or+2Rmanagement modeled. Best-trade deletion diagnoses concentration, not investable strategy. No allocation solely from this test.
return110.02
drawdown28.95
win rate75
sample4
train_return_pctunavailable
train_n0
holdout_stress_pct101.79
recent_return_pct-11.17
recent_n5
recent_drawdown_pct44.56
without_best_holdout_pct33.03
recent_boundary_exits1
R91904 SFIX historical put marks: costed training gain, two held-out losses
BacktestsinconclusiveConvex tailSFIX2026-09-19 04:11
Premises: ten issuer-dated events observations29367–76; observed option bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; full-entry mark plus assumed slippage<=.30 respects30USD premium cap. Rule for diagnostic: atT-3close select nearest OTM put in .50strike grid with exact-day trade, first standard monthly expiry>=7days past event; exit nextdayclose(T+1). Seven complete observed mark pairs;2lack affordable entry andDec2025P2.5 lacks exit. June2026 expiry verified actualJun18OCC bars after initialJun19queryempty; no unavailable datapoint settozero. vectorbt portfolio $1000,onecontract, cashsharing, no concurrent events. Baseline spread/slippage .02pershare EACHside +.50USDfixedfee eachside; endmark floor .0001pershare for distressed sale is modeling assumption. First5pre2026 train+5.05%,maxDD4.195166%,win40%; heldout2026N2 -1.85%,DD1.85%,win0%; pooledN7+3.20%,DD5.882353%,win28.5714%. Sweep .05eachside:train+2.90%,DD4.810361%;holdout-2.20%. .10:trainN3+5.45%,DD2.885572%;holdoutN2-3.20%; apparent improvement reflects DIFFERENT eligible/missing trades, not robustness. Baseline result dominated bySep2024 K3.5 .14->1.03; heldout .10->.01 and.06->.04. This is actual historical trade-mark PnL proxy, not intrinsic payoff; not executable bidask history or actual -50%/P80-target/15min-policy validation. Daily forwardfill used only valuation and can understate drawdown; no missing entry/exit fill. Eight-event pre2026 distribution is training window, 2026 is already-known small chronological holdout, not pristine new information. Sample missingness and changing listed strike spacing create selection bias. Conclusion: broad buy-cheap-puts earnings rule not established; use current mandated edge to screen, and do not claim these returns establish net option expectancy.
return3.2
drawdown5.88
win rate28.57
sample7
train_return5.05
train_drawdown4.2
train_sample5
holdout_return-1.85
holdout_drawdown1.85
holdout_sample2
holdout_stress_return-3.2
missing_events3
R91904 required CLI diagnostic and frozen evidence audit
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 04:05
CLI breakout20/days1460/stop15%/target45% returns19.0078%,DD36.4922%,win26.1905%,N42,buyhold282.0051% on1003bars. Its signalexit, execution/cost semantics and no independentholdout mean not a net stock edge. Retrieved prior properly costed vectorbt analyses3403/3404:2016–23train-83.8205%,DD84.2734%,win23.9130%,N46;2024–25holdout+19.1551%,DD51.3588%,win35.7143%,N14; doubleslippage+3.5876%. Same20closebreakout/SMA50/nextopen/2ATRstop6ATRtarget60session,fixedlongonly5bpfee50bpslip. No need rerun unchanged sweep or pretend knownholdout is fresh. New deep dive tests fundamental cash conversion, not reselecting a historical winningparameter. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No liveSupply trades to calibrateexecution afterreset.
return19.01
drawdown36.49
win rate26.19
sample42
prior_train_return-83.82
prior_holdout_return19.16
prior_holdout_drawdown51.36
prior_holdout_N14
R91902 Forgent IPO history cannot establish an independent full-cycle entry edge
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainFPS2026-09-19 02:18
SamefixedL20/SMA50,nextopen,2ATRstop/6ATRtarget/60day strategy; vectorbtlongonly,5bpfee25bpslippageeachside. Only156dailybarsFeb5–Sep18,2026. TrainFeb5–Jun30 return19.165689%,DD19.078171%,wins66.667%,N3; reservedJul1–Sep18 return-.749195%,DD.749195%,win0,N1. Thatoneholdouttrade isnewSep18entry forcedmarkedatwindowend, notanaturalfinishedtrade orcalibratedfailureprobability. NearbyL15/20settingssameN1, L30N0, so sixcellsarenotreplication. No separate8-eventearningssample or transferablevalidatedindustrialrule established. Thisdoesnotdisprovenewfundamentalcompanyupside; it preventsclaimingtheIPO pricepattern hasvalidatednetexpectancy. Current39.44>38.06prior20,SMA5035.4472;2ATRstop35.03481,net3Rthreshold53.60498 with30bpeachsideapproximation. FY27EPSmid1.33 implies40.30x atthatthreshold; assumed30–40x EPS yields39.9–53.2, a sensitivityrange notapprovedtarget. Currentpricealoneplusnewguidance isinsufficienttoassignpointodds/halfKellyandqueue. Watchcashconversionandprospectivepolicy; size0. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://ir.forgentpower.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/107/forgent-reports-record-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2026-results-exceeds-high-end-of-guidance-and-enters-fiscal-2027-with-all-time-high-backlog .
return-0.75
drawdown0.75
win rate0
sample1
train_return19.17
train_sample3
bars156
close39.44
stop_proxy35.03
net3R_threshold53.6
actual_size0
R91902 FEAM required CLI breakout diagnostic; not trade authorization
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainFEAM2026-09-19 02:13
Ran node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols GLW,OCC,BTDR,FEAM --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days1500 --stop-pct10 --target-pct30. CLI1030bars has itsownsignalexit and pricebasis; no reservedholdout or verifiedcostsemantics, so diagnosticonly. Separate vectorbtchronological/costedtestsrecordedandcontroldecision. CLIrawvscorporateadjusted maydiffer, especiallyFEAMsplits; donotborrow headlinepositiveCLIreturnasnetvalidatededge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
return10.48
drawdown29.61
win rate28.13
sample32
buy_hold-87.37
bars1030
R91902 BTDR required CLI breakout diagnostic; not trade authorization
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainBTDR2026-09-19 02:13
Ran node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols GLW,OCC,BTDR,FEAM --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days1500 --stop-pct10 --target-pct30. CLI1030bars has itsownsignalexit and pricebasis; no reservedholdout or verifiedcostsemantics, so diagnosticonly. Separate vectorbtchronological/costedtestsrecordedandcontroldecision. CLIrawvscorporateadjusted maydiffer, especiallyFEAMsplits; donotborrow headlinepositiveCLIreturnasnetvalidatededge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
return102.36
drawdown39.66
win rate30.43
sample69
buy_hold27.63
bars1030
R91902 OCC required CLI breakout diagnostic; not trade authorization
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 02:13
Ran node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols GLW,OCC,BTDR,FEAM --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days1500 --stop-pct10 --target-pct30. CLI1030bars has itsownsignalexit and pricebasis; no reservedholdout or verifiedcostsemantics, so diagnosticonly. Separate vectorbtchronological/costedtestsrecordedandcontroldecision. CLIrawvscorporateadjusted maydiffer, especiallyFEAMsplits; donotborrow headlinepositiveCLIreturnasnetvalidatededge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
return15.95
drawdown36.64
win rate27.91
sample43
buy_hold309.37
bars1030
R91902 GLW required CLI breakout diagnostic; not trade authorization
BacktestsinconclusiveSupply chainGLW2026-09-19 02:13
Ran node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols GLW,OCC,BTDR,FEAM --strategy breakout --lookback20 --days1500 --stop-pct10 --target-pct30. CLI1030bars has itsownsignalexit and pricebasis; no reservedholdout or verifiedcostsemantics, so diagnosticonly. Separate vectorbtchronological/costedtestsrecordedandcontroldecision. CLIrawvscorporateadjusted maydiffer, especiallyFEAMsplits; donotborrow headlinepositiveCLIreturnasnetvalidatededge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
return20.04
drawdown28.96
win rate35.37
sample82
buy_hold304.23
bars1030
R91902 MU fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestswatchSupply chainMU2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and10bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn27.199576%, DD56.992109%,win44.444444%,N18,targets6; doubleslippagereturn22.701826%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Promote to watch for current qualified entry and valuation; strong holdout alone does not repair all regime uncertainties.
return27.2
drawdown56.99
win rate44.44
sample18
targets6
stress_return22.7
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp10
R91902 MU fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestswatchSupply chainMU2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and10bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn7.793984%, DD68.718323%,win32.692308%,N52,targets14; doubleslippagereturn-2.853359%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Promote to watch for current qualified entry and valuation; strong holdout alone does not repair all regime uncertainties.
return7.79
drawdown68.72
win rate32.69
sample52
targets14
stress_return-2.85
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp10
R91902 FCEL fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainFCEL2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and25bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn-68.896891%, DD79.356427%,win21.428571%,N14,targets3; doubleslippagereturn-70.999683%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-68.9
drawdown79.36
win rate21.43
sample14
targets3
stress_return-71
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp25
R91902 FCEL fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainFCEL2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and25bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn-42.280418%, DD77.890289%,win29.787234%,N47,targets13; doubleslippagereturn-54.368738%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-42.28
drawdown77.89
win rate29.79
sample47
targets13
stress_return-54.37
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp25
R91902 FEAM fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainFEAM2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and50bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn-48.092675%, DD63.370939%,win22.222222%,N9,targets2; doubleslippagereturn-52.560526%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-48.09
drawdown63.37
win rate22.22
sample9
targets2
stress_return-52.56
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp50
R91902 FEAM fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainFEAM2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and50bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn-73.617440%, DD73.617440%,win0.000000%,N7,targets0; doubleslippagereturn-75.401164%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-73.62
drawdown73.62
win rate0
sample7
targets0
stress_return-75.4
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp50
R91902 BTDR fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainBTDR2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and25bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn-42.256837%, DD69.899156%,win28.571429%,N14,targets3; doubleslippagereturn-46.160687%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-42.26
drawdown69.9
win rate28.57
sample14
targets3
stress_return-46.16
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp25
R91902 BTDR fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainBTDR2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and25bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn31.385156%, DD46.217426%,win40.000000%,N5,targets2; doubleslippagereturn28.141198%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return31.39
drawdown46.22
win rate40
sample5
targets2
stress_return28.14
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp25
R91902 OCC fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and50bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn19.155072%, DD51.358801%,win35.714286%,N14,targets5; doubleslippagereturn3.587597%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return19.16
drawdown51.36
win rate35.71
sample14
targets5
stress_return3.59
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp50
R91902 OCC fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestsrejectSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and50bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn-83.820526%, DD84.273385%,win23.913043%,N46,targets8; doubleslippagereturn-89.786437%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Reject automatic baseline deployment; possible changed economics require a separately frozen prospective study.
return-83.82
drawdown84.27
win rate23.91
sample46
targets8
stress_return-89.79
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp50
R91902 GLW fixed breakout holdout: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestswatchSupply chainGLW2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and10bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. holdout: netreturn91.073550%, DD18.725890%,win56.250000%,N16,targets8; doubleslippagereturn85.055977%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Promote to watch for current qualified entry and valuation; strong holdout alone does not repair all regime uncertainties.
return91.07
drawdown18.73
win rate56.25
sample16
targets8
stress_return85.06
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp10
R91902 GLW fixed breakout train: net costs and chronological separation
BacktestswatchSupply chainGLW2026-09-19 02:13
Frozen inherited template, not selected best: close exceeds prior20 closes andSMA50; enter nextopen; stop2priorATR20, target6ATR, exit60sessions. Gapstops atworseopen; gaptargetscapped; samebarstopfirst includingentryday; forcewindowend. Twoeventrows/day vectorbt.from_orders direction='longonly',5bpfees and10bpslippage per side, fullyinvested isolatedtestbook. Compoundednettrades exactlyreconciledportfolio totalreturn. Training2016–23 availablehistory, BTDRstartsApr14,2023andwarmsuponpostSPACbars;holdout2024–25untuned. 2026separateknownperiod. train: netreturn1.438535%, DD43.776258%,win33.333333%,N39,targets9; doubleslippagereturn-6.172980%. All6L15/20/30xATR2/3cellsrecorded,diagnosticnotretuning. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Priceadjustments approximate corporateactionreinvestment; no historicalwholeuniversesurvivorship correction. Dailyfixedbracket doesnotvalidate15minute monitoring,+2Rquarter/trailing discretionarymanagement or thisspecificfundamentalevent. Wholepositionreturns not120USDfundportfolioforecast. Promote to watch for current qualified entry and valuation; strong holdout alone does not repair all regime uncertainties.
return1.44
drawdown43.78
win rate33.33
sample39
targets9
stress_return-6.17
L20
ATR_stop2
ATR_target6
max_sessions60
fees_bp5
slippage_bp10
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