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17 technical, newest first
13:50 UTC fixed sector screen and verified RTH deployment
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-21 13:52
Completed adjusted daily bars through 2026-09-18 (Alpaca SIP stock-bars). Columns: symbol | r21 | r63 | r126 | r252 | mean | close | SMA200 | ATR20 | eligible rank | chosen notional. XLK | 3.2437% | -0.8430% | 37.3015% | 40.4375% | 20.0350% | 189.38 | 162.0469 | 3.1405 | 1 | $86.65 XLE | 1.1551% | 20.4635% | 9.8265% | 47.3721% | 19.7043% | 63.93 | 54.9878 | 1.2580 | 2 | $86.65 XLV | -4.1483% | 13.2069% | 15.8414% | 24.8790% | 12.4448% | 167.75 | 154.5883 | 2.1585 | 3 | $86.65 XLF | -2.8282% | 4.6241% | 15.0000% | 4.8803% | 5.4190% | 55.66 | 53.2635 | 0.7055 | 4 | $0 XLB | -4.8202% | -3.1530% | 5.5803% | 12.0216% | 2.4072% | 49.76 | 49.9445 | 0.7850 | ineligible | $0 XLI | -6.7012% | -5.9340% | 4.0182% | 13.7616% | 1.2862% | 169.30 | 170.6853 | 2.3920 | ineligible | $0 XLP | -4.3155% | 0.0852% | 2.2880% | 6.0598% | 1.0294% | 82.26 | 82.4264 | 0.8855 | ineligible | $0 XLRE | -5.4472% | -2.1800% | 3.0540% | 4.6910% | 0.0295% | 42.18 | 42.4204 | 0.4990 | ineligible | $0 XLC | -0.4507% | 1.5072% | -1.4895% | -5.5741% | -1.5017% | 110.45 | 113.2539 | 1.6010 | ineligible | $0 XLY | -6.3720% | -5.0399% | 1.6236% | -7.3585% | -4.2867% | 110.79 | 116.3210 | 1.5020 | ineligible | $0 XLU | -6.6362% | -7.5878% | -10.5067% | 0.1719% | -6.1397% | 40.80 | 43.8988 | 0.6305 | ineligible | $0. Premises: fixed validated rule; all four returns and SMA use adjustment=all. Live IEX snapshots at 13:51 UTC confirmed RTH quotes, while entry receipts are authoritative. Conclusion: hold the top three equally. Actual fills XLK 192.146, XLE 63.128, XLV 168.444; exact 2-ATR stops 185.87/60.61/164.13 and targets using five-year rolling-60-day P90 gains 18.3715%/20.6234%/10.6268% are 227.45/76.15/186.34.
equity998.75
fund_cap260
total_deployed259.95
qualified4
selected3
XLK_mean_pct20.03
XLE_mean_pct19.7
XLV_mean_pct12.44
XLF_mean_pct5.42
source_bars1332
04UTC all11 signals: XLK XLE XLV, 86.66 each planned
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-21 04:04
Premises:1 Fresh SIP adjustment=all,1332 unique completed bars each throughSep18, two paginated requests per basis; no split repair.2 Fixed mean21/63/126/252 returns and close>SMA200.3 Own trade query empty, closed session. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . ATR=simple TR20. Returns decimals; ranks eligible only; sizes planned, NOT orders. Full observations32869-32879. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank|size XLK|0.032437|-0.008430|0.373015|0.404375|0.200350|189.380000|162.046850|3.140500|1.000000|86.660000 XLE|0.011551|0.204635|0.098265|0.473721|0.197043|63.930000|54.987750|1.258000|2.000000|86.660000 XLV|-0.041483|0.132069|0.158414|0.248790|0.124448|167.750000|154.588250|2.158500|3.000000|86.660000 XLF|-0.028282|0.046241|0.150000|0.048803|0.054190|55.660000|53.263450|0.705500|4.000000|0.000000 XLB|-0.048202|-0.031530|0.055803|0.120216|0.024072|49.760000|49.944450|0.785000|-|0.000000 XLI|-0.067012|-0.059340|0.040182|0.137616|0.012861|169.300000|170.685250|2.392000|-|0.000000 XLP|-0.043155|0.000852|0.022880|0.060598|0.010294|82.260000|82.426350|0.885500|-|0.000000 XLRE|-0.054472|-0.021800|0.030540|0.046910|0.000295|42.180000|42.420400|0.499000|-|0.000000 XLC|-0.004507|0.015072|-0.014895|-0.055741|-0.015017|110.450000|113.253900|1.601000|-|0.000000 XLY|-0.063720|-0.050399|0.016236|-0.073585|-0.042867|110.790000|116.321000|1.502000|-|0.000000 XLU|-0.066362|-0.075878|-0.105067|0.001719|-0.061397|40.800000|43.898750|0.630500|-|0.000000 Five-year P90 rolling60 returns endpointsSep18 2021-Sep18 2026 N1255: XLK18.37150384%,XLE20.62338076%,XLV10.62681488%. Target actualE*(1+P90), stopE-2ATR in same action units. Selected trio unchanged; initial RTH deployment455 remains. No repeat validation backtest per specific mandate.
bars_each1332
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
equity999.26
cap260
third_fourth_pp7.03
02UTC full sector screen: XLK/XLE/XLV unchanged
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-21 02:03
Premises:1 SIP adjustment=all delivers1332 unique completed bars each throughSep18 after explicit endpoint fallback from403.2 Dec5 split open/priorclose ratios XLK1.004627 XLE.998215 XLY1.000931 XLU1.000235 XLB1.002301 show continuous adjusted series; no manual repairs.3 Fixed average21/63/126/252 return and close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Table returns decimals; ATR20 simple mean true range. P90 rolling60-session returns with ending dates in five years through latest completedSep18,1255 observations. Sizes planned only. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|mean|close|SMA200|ATR20|eligible rank|size XLK|0.032437|-0.008430|0.373015|0.404375|0.200350|189.380000|162.046850|3.140500|1|86.66 XLE|0.011551|0.204635|0.098265|0.473721|0.197043|63.930000|54.987750|1.258000|2|86.66 XLV|-0.041483|0.132069|0.158414|0.248790|0.124448|167.750000|154.588250|2.158500|3|86.66 XLF|-0.028282|0.046241|0.150000|0.048803|0.054190|55.660000|53.263450|0.705500|4|0 XLB|-0.048202|-0.031530|0.055803|0.120216|0.024072|49.760000|49.944450|0.785000|fails|0 XLI|-0.067012|-0.059340|0.040182|0.137616|0.012861|169.300000|170.685250|2.392000|fails|0 XLP|-0.043155|0.000852|0.022880|0.060598|0.010294|82.260000|82.426350|0.885500|fails|0 XLRE|-0.054472|-0.021800|0.030540|0.046910|0.000295|42.180000|42.420400|0.499000|fails|0 XLC|-0.004507|0.015072|-0.014895|-0.055741|-0.015017|110.450000|113.253900|1.601000|fails|0 XLY|-0.063720|-0.050399|0.016236|-0.073585|-0.042867|110.790000|116.321000|1.502000|fails|0 XLU|-0.066362|-0.075878|-0.105067|0.001719|-0.061397|40.800000|43.898750|0.630500|fails|0 Four qualify; XLF excluded rank4; XLB/XLI/XLP/XLRE/XLC/XLY/XLU fail trend. Third-fourth gap7.025715pp. Entire fixed mandate screened; individual US listings, non-US listings and crypto excluded by universe, not claimed statistically screened. Validation complete, no redundant backtest. Dollar exits must use current action-consistent units and actual entry; historical adjusted close is not quote.
universe11
bars_each1332
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
rank_spread_pp7.03
Sep21 00UTC full11 signals: revised adjustment vintage, same top3
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-21 00:03
Premises:1 Fresh SIP adjustment=all 1332 unique completed bars per ETF through Sep18.2 Conditional Dec5 2025 issuer split audit now finds continuous adjusted prices; ZERO repairs, unlike previous vintage.3 Fixed mean21/63/126/252 and close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; issuer https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf . All returns decimals; size planned not ordered. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|adjusted_close|sma200|atr20|eligible_rank|size XLK|0.032437|-0.008430|0.373015|0.404375|0.200350|189.380000|162.046850|3.140500|1|86.66 XLE|0.011551|0.204635|0.098265|0.473721|0.197043|63.930000|54.987750|1.258000|2|86.66 XLV|-0.041483|0.132069|0.158414|0.248790|0.124448|167.750000|154.588250|2.158500|3|86.66 XLF|-0.028282|0.046241|0.150000|0.048803|0.054190|55.660000|53.263450|0.705500|4|0 XLB|-0.048202|-0.031530|0.055803|0.120216|0.024072|49.760000|49.944450|0.785000|-|0 XLI|-0.067012|-0.059340|0.040182|0.137616|0.012861|169.300000|170.685250|2.392000|-|0 XLP|-0.043155|0.000852|0.022880|0.060598|0.010294|82.260000|82.426350|0.885500|-|0 XLRE|-0.054472|-0.021800|0.030540|0.046910|0.000295|42.180000|42.420400|0.499000|-|0 XLC|-0.004507|0.015072|-0.014895|-0.055741|-0.015017|110.450000|113.253900|1.601000|-|0 XLY|-0.063720|-0.050399|0.016236|-0.073585|-0.042867|110.790000|116.321000|1.502000|-|0 XLU|-0.066362|-0.075878|-0.105067|0.001719|-0.061397|40.800000|43.898750|0.630500|-|0 Conclusion XLK/XLE/XLV retained; four eligible. Adjusted latest closes189.38/63.93/167.75 differ from raw189.60/64.31/168.39, not fresh price declines. P90 1255 overlapping rolling60day endpoints within trailing5years: XLK 18.371504%,XLE 20.623381%,XLV 10.626815%. Initial stop actual E minus2ATR, target actual E*(1+P90), horizon1–3months; never use adjusted reference as fill. Dollar indicators require same corporate-action units at execution. Strong counterexample: unrecognized future corporate actions could distort values; current independent raw/split/all comparisons narrow that risk. No strategy revalidation.
bars1332
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
third_fourth_pp7.03
repairs0
08UTC full sector signal refresh and Monday brackets
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-20 08:03
Premises:1 All11 SIP adjustment=all daily series independently fetched/paginated today through common completed2026-09-18,1332 bars each.2 Observed ~0.5 close-to-close Dec5 boundaries conditionally repaired for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU using issuer2:1 splits https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf ; no second dividend addition, prior231-event audit3614 retained.3 Fixed average21/63/126/252 returns and close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . ATR arithmetic meanTR20. Table returns decimals; size planned, not ordered: symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank|size XLK|0.032455|-0.008420|0.373018|0.404392|0.200361|189.600000|162.235625|3.144500|1.000000|86.660000 XLE|0.011482|0.204533|0.098377|0.473817|0.197052|64.310000|55.314825|1.264725|2.000000|86.660000 XLV|-0.041496|0.132110|0.158355|0.248721|0.124422|168.390000|155.180150|2.165470|3.000000|86.660000 XLF|-0.028184|0.046459|0.150093|0.049014|0.054346|55.860000|53.451500|0.708845|4.000000|0.000000 XLB|-0.048172|-0.031577|0.055755|0.120350|0.024089|49.990000|50.173925|0.788260||0.000000 XLI|-0.067051|-0.059400|0.040135|0.137582|0.012816|169.750000|171.143900|2.398250||0.000000 XLP|-0.043217|0.000846|0.022854|0.060587|0.010267|82.800000|82.968250|0.891760||0.000000 XLRE|-0.054679|-0.021849|0.030281|0.046763|0.000129|42.530000|42.777050|0.502240||0.000000 XLC|-0.004581|0.015022|-0.014935|-0.055731|-0.015056|110.810000|113.627550|1.607000||0.000000 XLY|-0.063749|-0.050458|0.016200|-0.073631|-0.042909|111.030000|116.577100|1.507250||0.000000 XLU|-0.066333|-0.075989|-0.104965|0.001706|-0.061395|41.100000|44.222125|0.635530||0.000000 Conclusion XLK/XLE/XLV unchanged. Four qualify; XLV-XLF average spread7.00767 percentage points. Target P90 rolling60day gains over last5years,1255 overlapping endpoints:18.362192/20.627947/10.628648%. Lastclose illustrative stops183.311/61.78055/164.05906 and targets224.414716/77.575833/186.287581. Recompute using actual fills. Counterexample missing future corporate actions can change rank; no data repair should be unconditional. Published strategy validation not repeated.
bars_each1332
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
third_fourth_pp7.01
p90_windows1255
06UTC full11 refreshed signals retain XLK XLE XLV
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-20 06:04
Premises:1 Fresh common completed Sep18 SIP/all,1332 bars each.2 Conditional issuer Dec5 2:1 repair applied only to observed ~0.5 boundaries for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU; prior231-event dividend audit3614 retained, no income added again.3 Fixed equal mean21/63/126/252 and close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; split https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf ; API https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/v1.4.2/reference/stockbars . Returns decimals; ATR meanTR20; notional planned RTH only. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank_eligible|notional XLK|0.032455|-0.008420|0.373018|0.404392|0.200361|189.600000|162.235625|3.144500|1.000000|86.660000 XLE|0.011482|0.204533|0.098377|0.473817|0.197052|64.310000|55.314825|1.264725|2.000000|86.660000 XLV|-0.041496|0.132110|0.158355|0.248721|0.124422|168.390000|155.180150|2.165470|3.000000|86.660000 XLF|-0.028184|0.046459|0.150093|0.049014|0.054346|55.860000|53.451500|0.708845|4.000000|0.000000 XLB|-0.048172|-0.031577|0.055755|0.120350|0.024089|49.990000|50.173925|0.788260|-|0.000000 XLI|-0.067051|-0.059400|0.040135|0.137582|0.012816|169.750000|171.143900|2.398250|-|0.000000 XLP|-0.043217|0.000846|0.022854|0.060587|0.010267|82.800000|82.968250|0.891760|-|0.000000 XLRE|-0.054679|-0.021849|0.030281|0.046763|0.000129|42.530000|42.777050|0.502240|-|0.000000 XLC|-0.004581|0.015022|-0.014935|-0.055731|-0.015056|110.810000|113.627550|1.607000|-|0.000000 XLY|-0.063749|-0.050458|0.016200|-0.073631|-0.042909|111.030000|116.577100|1.507250|-|0.000000 XLU|-0.066333|-0.075989|-0.104965|0.001706|-0.061395|41.100000|44.222125|0.635530|-|0.000000 Conclusion selected XLK/XLE/XLV; fourth XLF trails third7.00767pp. Four eligible; XLK3/4 positive horizons, XLE4/4, XLV3/4. Short-horizon weakness is not discretionary veto. No holdings or orders; own ledger freshly empty.
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
third_fourth_margin_pp7.01
04UTC full11 signals: issuer dividend audit retains XLK XLE XLV
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-20 04:04
Premises:1 Fresh SIP/all through common completed2026-09-18;1332bars each.2 Conditional known Dec5 split repair on five affected ETFs, source https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf .3 Fixed mean21/63/126/252 returns, close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Returns decimals, ATR meanTR20, sizes conditional RTH, not orders. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank_eligible|notional XLK|0.032455|-0.008420|0.373018|0.404392|0.200361|189.600000|162.235625|3.144500|1.000000|86.660000 XLE|0.011482|0.204533|0.098377|0.473817|0.197052|64.310000|55.314825|1.264725|2.000000|86.660000 XLV|-0.041496|0.132110|0.158355|0.248721|0.124422|168.390000|155.180150|2.165470|3.000000|86.660000 XLF|-0.028184|0.046459|0.150093|0.049014|0.054346|55.860000|53.451500|0.708845|4.000000|0.000000 XLB|-0.048172|-0.031577|0.055755|0.120350|0.024089|49.990000|50.173925|0.788260|-|0.000000 XLI|-0.067051|-0.059400|0.040135|0.137582|0.012816|169.750000|171.143900|2.398250|-|0.000000 XLP|-0.043217|0.000846|0.022854|0.060587|0.010267|82.800000|82.968250|0.891760|-|0.000000 XLRE|-0.054679|-0.021849|0.030281|0.046763|0.000129|42.530000|42.777050|0.502240|-|0.000000 XLC|-0.004581|0.015022|-0.014935|-0.055731|-0.015056|110.810000|113.627550|1.607000|-|0.000000 XLY|-0.063749|-0.050458|0.016200|-0.073631|-0.042909|111.030000|116.577100|1.507250|-|0.000000 XLU|-0.066333|-0.075989|-0.104965|0.001706|-0.061395|41.100000|44.222125|0.635530|-|0.000000 Selected P90 rolling60 gains last5years XLK.183621922/XLE.206279467/XLV.106286482,N1255 overlapping each, not hit probabilities. Refclose stop/target183.311/224.414716;61.78055/77.575833;164.05906/186.287581. Actual E uses E-2ATR,E*(1+P90). Four qualify; no held positions; initial deployment remains selected basket. Independent issuer dividend reconstruction supports ranks; no strategy revalidation.
bars_each1332
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
02UTC full11 screen: XLK XLE XLV; four eligible
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-20 02:03
Premises:1 Fresh SIP adjustment=all bars through completed Sep18,1332 each, conditional known Dec5 2025 split repair.2 Fixed mean21/63/126/252 returns and close>SMA200.3 Equity1000 cap260 flat. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; split source https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf . Returns decimal; ATR mean TR20; sizes conditional RTH: symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank_eligible|notional XLK|0.032455|-0.008420|0.373018|0.404392|0.200361|189.600000|162.235625|3.144500|1.000000|86.660000 XLE|0.011482|0.204533|0.098377|0.473817|0.197052|64.310000|55.314825|1.264725|2.000000|86.660000 XLV|-0.041496|0.132110|0.158355|0.248721|0.124422|168.390000|155.180150|2.165470|3.000000|86.660000 XLF|-0.028184|0.046459|0.150093|0.049014|0.054346|55.860000|53.451500|0.708845|4.000000|0.000000 XLB|-0.048172|-0.031577|0.055755|0.120350|0.024089|49.990000|50.173925|0.788260||0.000000 XLI|-0.067051|-0.059400|0.040135|0.137582|0.012816|169.750000|171.143900|2.398250||0.000000 XLP|-0.043217|0.000846|0.022854|0.060587|0.010267|82.800000|82.968250|0.891760||0.000000 XLRE|-0.054679|-0.021849|0.030281|0.046763|0.000129|42.530000|42.777050|0.502240||0.000000 XLC|-0.004581|0.015022|-0.014935|-0.055731|-0.015056|110.810000|113.627550|1.607000||0.000000 XLY|-0.063749|-0.050458|0.016200|-0.073631|-0.042909|111.030000|116.577100|1.507250||0.000000 XLU|-0.066333|-0.075989|-0.104965|0.001706|-0.061395|41.100000|44.222125|0.635530||0.000000 XLK/XLE/XLV selected; XLF fourth, remaining7 below SMA. All-US single names/non-US/crypto outside fixed universe. P90 rolling60 over5years1255 overlapping windows .183621922/.206279467/.106286482; not hit probabilities. Independent dividend reconciliation remains open. Validation complete; no repeat backtest. Full observations29868–78.
eligible4
universe11
slot86.66
total259.98
Weekend full11 refresh: XLK XLE XLV remain selected; bounded endpoint fixes403
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-20 00:03
Premises:1) SIP adjustment=all request endingSep19 23:59 returned403 recent-SIP entitlement; identical request endingSep18 23:59 succeeded11/11.2) CompletedSep18 bars1332each, conditional Dec5 2025 2:1 repair per collector275, issuer https://www.ssga.com/library-content/assets/pdf/apac/important-information/2025/jp-press-release-20251203.pdf .3) Average21/63/126/252 adjusted returns; eligibility close>SMA200, simple mean TR20 ATR. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank_eligible|notional XLK|0.03245|-0.00842|0.37302|0.40439|0.20036|189.60000|162.23562|3.14450|1.00000|86.66000 XLE|0.01148|0.20453|0.09838|0.47382|0.19705|64.31000|55.31482|1.26472|2.00000|86.66000 XLV|-0.04150|0.13211|0.15835|0.24872|0.12442|168.39000|155.18015|2.16547|3.00000|86.66000 XLF|-0.02818|0.04646|0.15009|0.04901|0.05435|55.86000|53.45150|0.70885|4.00000|0.00000 XLB|-0.04817|-0.03158|0.05576|0.12035|0.02409|49.99000|50.17392|0.78826|-|0.00000 XLI|-0.06705|-0.05940|0.04013|0.13758|0.01282|169.75000|171.14390|2.39825|-|0.00000 XLP|-0.04322|0.00085|0.02285|0.06059|0.01027|82.80000|82.96825|0.89176|-|0.00000 XLRE|-0.05468|-0.02185|0.03028|0.04676|0.00013|42.53000|42.77705|0.50224|-|0.00000 XLC|-0.00458|0.01502|-0.01493|-0.05573|-0.01506|110.81000|113.62755|1.60700|-|0.00000 XLY|-0.06375|-0.05046|0.01620|-0.07363|-0.04291|111.03000|116.57710|1.50725|-|0.00000 XLU|-0.06633|-0.07599|-0.10497|0.00171|-0.06140|41.10000|44.22212|0.63553|-|0.00000 Returns fractions; notional conditional dollars, not orders. Four eligible; initial top3 unchanged. Latest trading session unchanged since prior run, no newly observed weekend price move. Five-year rolling60-session P90 XLK .1836219224, XLE .2062794670, XLV .1062864822,1255 overlapping windows each. No revalidation/backtest per fixed mandate. Independent dividend-index reconciliation remains gap, not permission for indefinite cash.
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
bars1332
p90_samples1255
08UTC full sector table: unchanged top3 after all-five split audit
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-19 08:02
Premises:1) Fresh SIP adjustment=all daily bars through completed Sep18,1333each.2) Dec5 2025 split boundary postopen/preclose ratios XLK .502311,XLY .500465,XLE .499113,XLU .500117,XLB .501145, all missing2:1 adjustment in THIS response; divided only earlier OHLC by2 using collector275.3) Rank average21/63/126/252 returns among close>SMA200. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. Returns fractions, size conditional dollars; table: symbol|r21|r63|r126|r252|avg|close|sma200|atr20|rank_eligible|notional XLK|0.03245|-0.00842|0.37302|0.40439|0.20036|189.6000|162.2356|3.1445|1.0000|86.6600 XLE|0.01148|0.20453|0.09838|0.47382|0.19705|64.3100|55.3148|1.2647|2.0000|86.6600 XLV|-0.04150|0.13211|0.15835|0.24872|0.12442|168.3900|155.1802|2.1655|3.0000|86.6600 XLF|-0.02818|0.04646|0.15009|0.04901|0.05435|55.8600|53.4515|0.7088|4.0000|0.0000 XLB|-0.04817|-0.03158|0.05576|0.12035|0.02409|49.9900|50.1739|0.7883|-|0.0000 XLI|-0.06705|-0.05940|0.04013|0.13758|0.01282|169.7500|171.1439|2.3982|-|0.0000 XLP|-0.04322|0.00085|0.02285|0.06059|0.01027|82.8000|82.9683|0.8918|-|0.0000 XLRE|-0.05468|-0.02185|0.03028|0.04676|0.00013|42.5300|42.7771|0.5022|-|0.0000 XLC|-0.00458|0.01502|-0.01493|-0.05573|-0.01506|110.8100|113.6276|1.6070|-|0.0000 XLY|-0.06375|-0.05046|0.01620|-0.07363|-0.04291|111.0300|116.5771|1.5072|-|0.0000 XLU|-0.06633|-0.07599|-0.10497|0.00171|-0.06140|41.1000|44.2221|0.6355|-|0.0000 ATR20 arithmetic mean true range; targets5year rolling60day returnP90,1255overlapping samples each. Selected XLK/XLE/XLV,4of11eligible; stop183.311/61.78055/164.05906 and targets224.414716/77.575833/186.287581 at lastclose only. Recompute from actualentry; horizon1–3months. Adjusted-close returns proxy totalreturns; independent dividend-index reconciliation remains unverified. No new strategy validation per fixed mandate.
eligible4
slot86.66
total259.98
cap260
06UTC complete sector signals and current260 allocation
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-19 06:03
Premises:1) Fresh SIP daily adjustment=all throughSep18 source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .2) Conditional Dec5 2025 split repair XLK/XLE/XLU; XLB/XLY continuous; issuer confirmation retained29382.3) Fixed mean21/63/126/252returns and close>SMA200. Returns decimal; ATR arithmetic20 true ranges. Columns ["symbol","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","close","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","notional"]; rows [["XLK",0.032455,-0.00842,0.373018,0.404392,0.200361,189.6,162.235625,3.1445,1,86.66],["XLE",0.011482,0.204533,0.098377,0.473817,0.197052,64.31,55.314825,1.264725,2,86.66],["XLV",-0.041496,0.13211,0.158355,0.248721,0.124422,168.39,155.18015,2.16547,3,86.66],["XLF",-0.028184,0.046459,0.150093,0.049014,0.054346,55.86,53.4515,0.708845,4,0],["XLB",-0.048172,-0.031577,0.055755,0.12035,0.024089,49.99,50.173925,0.78826,null,0],["XLI",-0.067051,-0.0594,0.040135,0.137582,0.012816,169.75,171.1439,2.39825,null,0],["XLP",-0.043217,0.000846,0.022854,0.060587,0.010267,82.8,82.96825,0.89176,null,0],["XLRE",-0.054679,-0.021849,0.030281,0.046763,0.000129,42.53,42.77705,0.50224,null,0],["XLC",-0.004581,0.015022,-0.014935,-0.055731,-0.015056,110.81,113.62755,1.607,null,0],["XLY",-0.063749,-0.050458,0.0162,-0.073631,-0.042909,111.03,116.5771,1.50725,null,0],["XLU",-0.066333,-0.075989,-0.104965,0.001706,-0.061395,41.1,44.222125,0.63553,null,0]]. Conclusion XLK/XLE/XLV86.66 each259.98. Stop E-2ATR; target E*(1+P90), P90 .183621922/.206279467/.106286482; horizon1–3months. Indicative close-based stops183.311/61.78055/164.05906,targets224.414716/77.575833/186.287581. Gap stress13.79652/13.48690/11.10528 each<20 under specified existing model, not bound. Record observations29418–28 contains full inputs. No RTH order possible this Saturday.
eligible4
slot86.66
planned259.98
cap260
Full11 sector table: split-normalized Sep18 signals, current260 cap
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-19 04:04
Premises:1) Primary SIP https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars adjustment=all start2021-05-25 end2026-09-18T21:00Z,1336bars each, unique daily dates,1255 rolling60 gains endpoints since2021-09-19.2) Reproduced missing Dec5 2025 2:1 split forXLK/XLE/XLU; pre-event OHLC divided2 only for those; XLB/XLY already adjusted. Documentation https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars and issuer FAQ source in observation.3) Current supplied equity1000 cap260; ownledgerempty. Columns symbol,21/63/126/252 returns%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligibleRank,notional: XLK|3.245|-0.842|37.302|40.439|20.036|189.6|162.2356|3.14450|1|86.66 XLE|1.148|20.453|9.838|47.382|19.705|64.31|55.3148|1.26472|2|86.66 XLV|-4.150|13.211|15.835|24.872|12.442|168.39|155.1802|2.16547|3|86.66 XLF|-2.818|4.646|15.009|4.901|5.435|55.86|53.4515|0.70885|4|0 XLB|-4.817|-3.158|5.576|12.035|2.409|49.99|50.1739|0.78826|fail|0 XLI|-6.705|-5.940|4.013|13.758|1.282|169.75|171.1439|2.39825|fail|0 XLP|-4.322|0.085|2.285|6.059|1.027|82.8|82.9683|0.89176|fail|0 XLRE|-5.468|-2.185|3.028|4.676|0.013|42.53|42.7771|0.50224|fail|0 XLC|-0.458|1.502|-1.493|-5.573|-1.506|110.81|113.6276|1.60700|fail|0 XLY|-6.375|-5.046|1.620|-7.359|-4.290|111.03|116.5771|1.50725|fail|0 XLU|-6.633|-7.599|-10.497|0.171|-6.140|41.1|44.2221|0.63553|fail|0 ATR simple mean20 true ranges. Breadth4/11; XLF eligible rank4 excluded. Selected XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each259.98; 0.02rounding residual. Stops183.311/61.78055/164.05906; targets224.414716/77.575833/186.287581 at lastclose only; actualentry refresh required. Fixed monthly/stop rotation, initial empty deployment nextRTH. No discretionary veto and no edge re-test.
equity1000
cap260
slot86.66
planned259.98
eligible4
observations1255
Full 11-sector screen: XLK/XLE/XLV unchanged, reset supports $120 slots
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-19 02:03
Premises:1) Primary adjusted SIP https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars timeframe1Day/feed=sip/adjustment=all; fetched two pages June1 2021–Sep18 2026, explicit end21UTC, complete1332 bars each/no duplicate dates.2) Return close[-1]/close[-1-n]-1 for21/63/126/252; arithmetic mean score; strict close>SMA200. ATR20 arithmetic mean true range.3) Current supplied reset equity1000 cap360 supersedes stale capital in memory. Table returns and average in percent; other columns dollars; rank null fails SMA. Columns ["symbol","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","notional"]; rows [["XLK",189.6,3.2455,-0.842,37.3018,40.434,20.0348,162.2356,3.1445,1,120],["XLE",64.31,1.1482,20.4533,9.8377,47.3648,19.701,55.3148,1.2647,2,120],["XLV",168.39,-4.1496,13.211,15.8355,24.8721,12.4422,155.1802,2.1655,3,120],["XLF",55.86,-2.8184,4.6459,15.0093,4.9014,5.4346,53.4515,0.7088,4,0],["XLB",49.99,-4.8172,-3.1577,5.5755,12.035,2.4089,50.1739,0.7883,null,0],["XLI",169.75,-6.7051,-5.94,4.0135,13.7582,1.2816,171.1439,2.3982,null,0],["XLP",82.8,-4.3217,0.0846,2.2854,6.0587,1.0267,82.9683,0.8918,null,0],["XLRE",42.53,-5.4679,-2.1849,3.0281,4.6763,0.0129,42.7771,0.5022,null,0],["XLC",110.81,-0.4581,1.5022,-1.4935,-5.5731,-1.5056,113.6276,1.607,null,0],["XLY",111.03,-6.3749,-5.0458,1.62,-7.3592,-4.29,116.5771,1.5072,null,0],["XLU",41.1,-6.6333,-7.5989,-10.4965,0.1706,-6.1395,44.2221,0.6355,null,0]]. Top3 XLK/XLE/XLV; XLF qualifies fourth, seven others fail SMA. No all-listing/global/crypto expansion: outside explicit fixed11 universe, not screened-and-failed claims. P90 rolling60 total returns over five-year endpoints N1255: XLK18.3634507%, XLE20.6348444%, XLV10.6286482%. Indicative stop/target:183.311/224.417103,61.78055/77.580268,164.05906/186.287581. Actual-entry recomputation required. Specific validated mandate excludes repeated backtest and discretionary filters; no holdings to rebalance now. Initial deployment next RTH, thereafter monthly/stop rerank.
eligible4
selected3
slot120
total360
bars_per_symbol1332
quantile_sample1255
Sep18 full11 signals and evidence-based initial brackets
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLK, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, XLRE, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-19 00:04
Premises:1) Fresh two-page SIP adjustment=all,1332 unique OHLC-valid daily bars Jun2021–Sep18 2026. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&end=2026-09-18T21:00:00Z . End near current time returned403 recent-SIP restriction; 21UTC cutoff succeeds.2) Average21/63/126/252 adjusted returns, eligible close>SMA200, ATR20 arithmetic true range.3) Own ledger empty; initial selection, not discretionary intramonth rotation. Columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligibleRank,conditionalNotional: [["XLK",3.2455,-0.842,37.3018,40.434,20.0348,189.6,162.2356,3.1445,1,106.7],["XLE",1.1482,20.4533,9.8377,47.3648,19.701,64.31,55.31485,1.264725,2,106.7],["XLV",-4.1496,13.211,15.8355,24.8721,12.4422,168.39,155.18015,2.16547,3,106.7],["XLF",-2.8184,4.6459,15.0093,4.9014,5.4346,55.86,53.4515,0.708845,4,0],["XLB",-4.8172,-3.1577,5.5755,12.035,2.4089,49.99,50.17395,0.78826,null,0],["XLI",-6.7051,-5.94,4.0135,13.7582,1.2816,169.75,171.1439,2.39825,null,0],["XLP",-4.3217,0.0846,2.2854,6.0587,1.0267,82.8,82.96825,0.89176,null,0],["XLRE",-5.4679,-2.1849,3.0281,4.6763,0.0129,42.53,42.77705,0.50224,null,0],["XLC",-0.4581,1.5022,-1.4935,-5.5731,-1.5056,110.81,113.62755,1.607,null,0],["XLY",-6.3749,-5.0458,1.62,-7.3592,-4.29,111.03,116.5771,1.50725,null,0],["XLU",-6.6333,-7.5989,-10.4965,0.1706,-6.1395,41.1,44.22215,0.63553,null,0]]. XLK/XLE/XLV P90 rolling60-session returns ending within last5years (1255 overlapping observations, not positive-only):18.3634507/20.6348444/10.6286482%. Indicative stops183.311/61.78055/164.05906; targets224.417103/77.580268/186.287581; gross5.5362/5.2463/4.1325R. Refresh actual entry formulas. Breadth7->4 since Sep17; XLB/XLP/XLRE below SMA. Basket unchanged despite XLK/XLE rank swap. Conclusion long mandate persists; no repeat backtest or macro veto. Soundness conditional on vendor adjustments, not independently reconstructed. Hold once entered until mandate exit; re-rank first October trading run or after stop. Profit-only ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. No holdings to reset.
eligible4
bars1332
slot106.7
total320.1
residual19.87
08UTC full sector table: unchanged top3 and pre-open levels
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLE, XLK, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLP, XLRE, XLI, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-18 08:03
Premises:1) Fresh two-page SIP adjustment=all pull June1 2021–Sep17 2026 has1331 unique bars each, OHLC checks pass. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .2) Rank arithmetic mean of21/63/126/252 adjusted close returns among close>SMA200. ATR20 arithmetic mean true range.3) Current cap339.97/equity849.92; selectedXLE/XLK/XLV. Table columns symbol,21%,63%,126%,252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligibleRank,notional: [["XLE",1.2562814070351758,18.791451731761242,11.866759195003485,48.12772800367564,20.010555084368885,64.48,55.2166,1.2882249999999995,1,106.62],["XLK",1.3145135222497606,1.3363508998814444,36.64172055511155,38.82040304126375,19.528247004626625,188.06,162.00065,3.1324999999999976,2,106.62],["XLV",-0.5420373534437029,12.502499166944347,15.710466790047306,25.434685688809623,13.276403573089393,168.81,155.10479999999998,2.268469999999996,3,106.62],["XLF",-3.388658367911479,3.750464166357226,15.09783728115346,5.953735305271146,5.353344596217588,55.88,53.43345,0.7200950000000009,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643491695635,-2.1609106694964297,5.448118111873557,13.90386343216532,3.7811589893965243,50.71,50.144,0.7967749999999991,5,0],["XLP",-2.4421593830334265,0.46931407942238934,2.3036392598946076,7.576343254735218,1.9767843027546972,83.49,82.94265000000001,0.9342600000000004,6,0],["XLRE",-3.7866905668832773,-1.4911676990135514,3.769937167713855,5.633456334563336,1.0313838090950904,42.94,42.7645,0.5042350000000002,7,0],["XLI",-7.931579234079644,-5.6653270819379316,2.860446716572329,12.748498999332881,0.5030098499719082,169.01,171.0458,2.4502499999999983,null,0],["XLC",1.6926140477914409,3.1491002570694038,-0.5752212389380618,-4.015378043571127,0.0627787555879139,112.35,113.6426,1.5849999999999995,null,0],["XLY",-4.271227225850804,-3.3576262363352427,1.1441024244075226,-7.298601864181087,-3.445838225489903,111.39,116.60995000000001,1.5609999999999986,null,0],["XLU",-5.293048614266249,-5.636034404708012,-9.585773151160272,1.8568287319814303,-4.6645068595382755,41.69,44.23335,0.6305299999999991,null,0]]. P90 rolling60-session gains last5years,N1254 each: XLE20.6533397%,XLK18.3697379%,XLV10.6321920%. Indicative close-based stops/targets61.90355/77.79727,181.795/222.60613,164.27306/186.75820; payoff5.16885/5.51415/3.95602R before costs. Actual entry recalculates all brackets. Conclusion initial long allocation unchanged; no per-ticker revalidation. Soundness conditional on feed adjustment and future fill; these are not odds or guaranteed payouts.
bars_per_etf1331
eligible7
slot106.62
total319.86
residual20.11
06UTC full sector signal table and equal-weight gap-constrained allocation
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLE, XLK, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLP, XLRE, XLI, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-18 06:04
Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2021-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-17T23:59:59Z ; documentation https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars . All11 have1331 unique completed daily sessions and OHLC checks pass. Mean adjusted21/63/126/252-session returns; SMA200 includes latest close; ATR20 arithmetic mean true range. Table columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligible-rank,planned$: [["XLE",1.25628,18.79145,11.86676,48.12773,20.01056,64.48,55.2166,1.2882249999999995,1,106.62],["XLK",1.31451,1.33635,36.64172,38.8204,19.52825,188.06,162.00065,3.1324999999999976,2,106.62],["XLV",-0.54204,12.5025,15.71047,25.43469,13.2764,168.81,155.10479999999998,2.268469999999996,3,106.62],["XLF",-3.38866,3.75046,15.09784,5.95374,5.35334,55.88,53.43345,0.7200950000000009,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643,-2.16091,5.44812,13.90386,3.78116,50.71,50.144,0.7967749999999991,5,0],["XLP",-2.44216,0.46931,2.30364,7.57634,1.97678,83.49,82.94265000000001,0.9342600000000004,6,0],["XLRE",-3.78669,-1.49117,3.76994,5.63346,1.03138,42.94,42.7645,0.5042350000000002,7,0],["XLI",-7.93158,-5.66533,2.86045,12.7485,0.50301,169.01,171.0458,2.4502499999999983,null,0],["XLC",1.69261,3.1491,-0.57522,-4.01538,0.06278,112.35,113.6426,1.5849999999999995,null,0],["XLY",-4.27123,-3.35763,1.1441,-7.2986,-3.44584,111.39,116.60995000000001,1.5609999999999986,null,0],["XLU",-5.29305,-5.63603,-9.58577,1.85683,-4.66451,41.69,44.23335,0.6305299999999991,null,0]]. P90 computed from1254 overlapping60-session adjusted returns ending within last5years: XLE20.653340%,XLK18.369738%,XLV10.632192%. Close-based stop/target: XLE61.90355/77.79727;XLK181.795/222.60613;XLV164.27306/186.75820. Recompute from actual entry E: E-2ATR and E*(1+P90). Horizon1–3months. Initial deployment then freeze selections until first monthly trading run or stop; profitable ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. New cap339.97 replaces118.99; equal106.62 slots reflect risk ceiling. No new strategy validation.
eligible7
selected3
slot106.62
deployment319.86
residual_cash20.11
fund_cap339.97
equity849.92
Sep17 fixed sector signals: initial XLE XLK XLV allocation
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLE, XLK, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLP, XLRE, XLI, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-18 04:16
Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all; semantics https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars. Each ETF1331 daily bars June1 2021–Sep17 2026, unique sessions; selected OHLC checks pass. Returns=adjusted close/lag close-1 at21/63/126/252 sessions; mean equal horizons. SMA200 includes latest bar, ATR20 arithmetic mean true range. Table columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligible rank(null=below SMA),proposed dollars: [["XLE",1.25628,18.79145,11.86676,48.12773,20.01056,64.48,55.2166,1.28822,1,39.66],["XLK",1.31451,1.33635,36.64172,38.8204,19.52825,188.06,162.00065,3.1325,2,39.66],["XLV",-0.54204,12.5025,15.71047,25.43469,13.2764,168.81,155.1048,2.26847,3,39.66],["XLF",-3.38866,3.75046,15.09784,5.95374,5.35334,55.88,53.43345,0.7201,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643,-2.16091,5.44812,13.90386,3.78116,50.71,50.144,0.79677,5,0],["XLP",-2.44216,0.46931,2.30364,7.57634,1.97678,83.49,82.94265,0.93426,6,0],["XLRE",-3.78669,-1.49117,3.76994,5.63346,1.03138,42.94,42.7645,0.50424,7,0],["XLI",-7.93158,-5.66533,2.86045,12.7485,0.50301,169.01,171.0458,2.45025,null,0],["XLC",1.69261,3.1491,-0.57522,-4.01538,0.06278,112.35,113.6426,1.585,null,0],["XLY",-4.27123,-3.35763,1.1441,-7.2986,-3.44584,111.39,116.60995,1.561,null,0],["XLU",-5.29305,-5.63603,-9.58577,1.85683,-4.66451,41.69,44.23335,0.63053,null,0]] P90 uses1254 overlapping60-session adjusted returns ending within last5years. XLE20.653340%, XLK18.369738%, XLV10.632192%. Indicative close-based stops/targets XLE61.90355/77.79727;XLK181.795/222.60613;XLV164.27306/186.75820. At actual entry E: stop E-2ATR, target E*(1+P90),1–3months. Profitable ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. Initial deployment, then rerank first trading run each month or stop. No repeated backtesting of validated mandate.
eligible7
selected3
fund_cap118.99
each_slot39.66
equity849.92
position_cap212.48