Runway

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1149 analyses, newest first
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold5 parent
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":12.865081727387583,"dd":37.63788589387206,"n":184,"win":53.80434782608695,"W":2.3597914903225576,"L":2.5491279251241306,"K":0.009755539000241592},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":36.48550173624512,"dd":16.063040196864588,"n":193,"win":49.740932642487046,"W":2.701416688485293,"L":2.239292728457233,"K":0.02019886598904745},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-12.20194949823724,"dd":34.10251247927442,"n":26,"win":50,"W":2.0066348695899716,"L":2.908671848463277,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-21.88414011932236,"dd":52.14647466571043,"n":184,"win":48.369565217391305,"W":2.408934903017791,"L":2.4122182486593102,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-7.221181721392256,"dd":29.69681332883217,"n":193,"win":44.559585492227974,"W":2.800588552127959,"L":2.2184261869932183,"K":0.001609123958900463},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-16.650776567326297,"dd":35.9220498829311,"n":26,"win":50,"W":1.8028254602125402,"L":3.1026604676499816,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-55.02116068711342,"dd":67.98693545920926,"n":184,"win":42.934782608695656,"W":2.3828721277847897,"L":2.457957848736056,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-48.00137119088569,"dd":51.15189975404733,"n":193,"win":41.968911917098445,"W":2.654127041729616,"L":2.4047235368813964,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-22.904943868249404,"dd":38.55759454773965,"n":26,"win":42.30769230769231,"W":1.8070520624444655,"L":2.9675423596384833,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-7.22
drawdown29.7
sample193
win rate44.56
average win2.8
average loss2.22
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":5.292599226370132,"dd":27.473967253095,"n":216,"win":51.85185185185185,"W":1.6438869534527396,"L":1.6977900957115,"K":0.0053123082939352945},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-10.202011508626384,"dd":27.686617875075836,"n":226,"win":49.557522123893804,"W":1.6238102524693745,"L":1.6808316989348209,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":10.501787331870482,"dd":13.746340817525804,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.0446849675252436,"L":2.5077874363999006,"K":0.04590500395525951},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-31.643059747535972,"dd":44.361311515968296,"n":216,"win":49.074074074074076,"W":1.5267248937742357,"L":1.7642798338844912,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-42.85667774298522,"dd":48.31653675159423,"n":226,"win":48.67256637168141,"W":1.4480657163386441,"L":1.8173767641208003,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":4.0666636864922,"dd":16.211754605080042,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":1.840799533995107,"L":2.702577023242843,"K":0.023752558753860592},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-64.24314625484038,"dd":65.80811534916656,"n":216,"win":43.51851851851852,"W":1.398138489855362,"L":1.8710606733560446,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-70.99229886782948,"dd":71.94756827655912,"n":226,"win":42.92035398230089,"W":1.3169036069377134,"L":1.913273578151662,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-4.890245689606276,"dd":19.778261899687166,"n":30,"win":60,"W":1.6299445152577567,"L":2.757866962422842,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-42.86
drawdown48.32
sample226
win rate48.67
average win1.45
average loss1.82
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback10 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":56.120090644066046,"dd":22.10445897697333,"n":216,"win":50.92592592592593,"W":2.0220656742358876,"L":1.6361569382865166,"K":0.028043945661882397},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":201.76288200982572,"dd":15.32557494292045,"n":226,"win":56.63716814159292,"W":2.140865794935093,"L":1.621130263611272,"K":0.0595037029823698},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":3.1947600804187237,"dd":27.22170598151532,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.5669331146771954,"L":3.8767437497279538,"K":0.01989257107643086},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":1.354623086300344,"dd":34.91411599719515,"n":216,"win":47.68518518518518,"W":1.947861189572226,"L":1.695788156370882,"K":0.005351097650602363},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":92.02806100216318,"dd":19.511378944363933,"n":226,"win":54.424778761061944,"W":2.020010688980972,"L":1.7034019435223424,"K":0.039982108243445766},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-2.814835390451298,"dd":29.30194943099331,"n":30,"win":63.33333333333333,"W":2.362004228566192,"L":4.068798159804796,"K":0.0004279578314533017},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-46.98237778479285,"dd":57.23062373791789,"n":216,"win":43.05555555555556,"W":1.8336934757907097,"L":1.8394946265451622,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-2.5206728882973373,"dd":32.06172502697457,"n":226,"win":44.690265486725664,"W":2.1231798548245093,"L":1.6747798047927527,"K":0.0026538555033067124},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-11.179461306886063,"dd":32.31126311073951,"n":30,"win":56.666666666666664,"W":2.3222406613393005,"L":3.718744862129698,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return92.03
drawdown19.51
sample226
win rate54.42
average win2.02
average loss1.7
quarter Kelly0.04
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":37.85167382133729,"dd":31.569796413557725,"n":207,"win":55.072463768115945,"W":1.8460874444497817,"L":1.8565951150032425,"K":0.02472301576893672},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-15.395888683188208,"dd":27.617333845158885,"n":216,"win":50,"W":1.8370139292573417,"L":1.9450529604995472,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-18.127959110970572,"dd":29.208299030155327,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.9509161605610281,"L":2.3406679222055544,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-8.879915614136602,"dd":39.823020909845766,"n":207,"win":53.14009661835749,"W":1.7047714807843874,"L":1.9708080068552891,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-45.07421960433745,"dd":48.48517810909432,"n":216,"win":48.148148148148145,"W":1.7006008147144807,"L":2.068430530098789,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-22.895815984073188,"dd":31.403482152596617,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.7472180772477492,"L":2.535791414088366,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-51.03150371008547,"dd":58.87860903093265,"n":207,"win":48.792270531400966,"W":1.5377661837855563,"L":2.084472033867475,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-71.2688559611813,"dd":72.43363203647814,"n":216,"win":46.2962962962963,"W":1.4554054408074064,"L":2.2834580153434705,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-29.53209281167666,"dd":34.70803954035231,"n":30,"win":40,"W":1.4424332954039907,"L":2.8277463993232512,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-45.07
drawdown48.49
sample216
win rate48.15
average win1.7
average loss2.07
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold5 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":86.36513181881706,"dd":27.740808246048942,"n":191,"win":56.02094240837696,"W":2.4800246783185784,"L":2.351717466410113,"K":0.03579299239578107},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":107.90924126859669,"dd":18.944399326719196,"n":192,"win":52.604166666666664,"W":2.804524571159137,"L":2.18753792567008,"K":0.039088171554589754},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-5.583647690517268,"dd":22.61710442039382,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.5234807689980228,"L":2.4743114210848143,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":27.19327650733161,"dd":40.721617175904576,"n":191,"win":49.73821989528796,"W":2.576847049542439,"L":2.19359779879941,"K":0.01737943176372299},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":41.61351369746931,"dd":24.575618434527424,"n":192,"win":47.91666666666667,"W":2.8651786412410325,"L":2.179352471289304,"K":0.020750773038634998},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-10.72564423998158,"dd":24.452185017037387,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.3186387007388305,"L":2.669167893056532,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-28.284508150767884,"dd":59.872464584277616,"n":191,"win":46.07329842931937,"W":2.461880667607956,"L":2.327642186371886,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-20.39311338117049,"dd":42.78748157831549,"n":192,"win":44.79166666666667,"W":2.7435952554610212,"L":2.33904310821243,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-17.918379012512087,"dd":27.12353817405484,"n":28,"win":42.857142857142854,"W":2.191219379083653,"L":2.7842271167578376,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return41.61
drawdown24.58
sample192
win rate47.92
average win2.87
average loss2.18
quarter Kelly0.02
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":59.97368759152757,"dd":29.81022345137012,"n":220,"win":54.090909090909086,"W":1.7187416587001598,"L":1.5368362571746057,"K":0.03260167584674045},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-15.95680931627732,"dd":30.42212413623958,"n":226,"win":49.11504424778761,"W":1.5923488121080531,"L":1.65108363307683,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-1.6930232625908315,"dd":21.405062441430356,"n":32,"win":56.25,"W":1.7961916036008188,"L":2.3405951273812953,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":3.02887744619893,"dd":40.43839177684758,"n":220,"win":52.27272727272727,"W":1.5713926352445222,"L":1.6417845747955488,"K":0.006018671614850382},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-46.51876718586996,"dd":48.81563640331201,"n":226,"win":47.34513274336283,"W":1.4457328197448056,"L":1.7894615435189238,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-7.78756482335824,"dd":23.278914502865767,"n":32,"win":56.25,"W":1.592802660184282,"L":2.5357187647082693,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-46.74944870532379,"dd":58.86441339507407,"n":220,"win":46.36363636363636,"W":1.4481089725030527,"L":1.739919385783308,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-72.85128766796774,"dd":73.68383990691979,"n":226,"win":42.47787610619469,"W":1.2897049481918736,"L":1.9199093149590576,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-16.228334881628292,"dd":26.672707752038082,"n":32,"win":46.875,"W":1.5831585336542084,"L":2.3613038699220836,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-46.52
drawdown48.82
sample226
win rate47.35
average win1.45
average loss1.79
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback5 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":175.8283886899252,"dd":21.253678219967952,"n":220,"win":54.090909090909086,"W":2.1583565288578708,"L":1.4923836109597985,"K":0.05586830914695308},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":285.83272178559554,"dd":11.976007599474304,"n":226,"win":55.75221238938053,"W":2.3306972758157762,"L":1.4985730844569578,"K":0.0682553099418681},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":2.2025676070838163,"dd":22.562052132229226,"n":32,"win":59.375,"W":1.993935624917742,"L":2.625033707451924,"K":0.014729579552927086},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":77.64352177140124,"dd":27.742829922679224,"n":220,"win":52.27272727272727,"W":2.0253895548931333,"L":1.5999558210208566,"K":0.03642645921029544},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":145.5262520764989,"dd":17.217858291954037,"n":226,"win":52.654867256637175,"W":2.2567692537887605,"L":1.5905342099277493,"K":0.04821697224045533},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-4.133481130965555,"dd":24.019464822877623,"n":32,"win":56.25,"W":1.8910324952038555,"L":2.6200258713014093,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-8.184814755506997,"dd":46.44350516270843,"n":220,"win":45.45454545454545,"W":2.0014746999457493,"L":1.67765606878144,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":24.636647976180946,"dd":28.05473168185515,"n":226,"win":44.24778761061947,"W":2.3541994646543047,"L":1.627339278469829,"K":0.014272742203898361},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-12.908731893080672,"dd":26.182379835333446,"n":32,"win":40.625,"W":2.2703230588051753,"L":2.1965102483356693,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return145.53
drawdown17.22
sample226
win rate52.65
average win2.26
average loss1.59
quarter Kelly0.05
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback3 hold5 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":36.46621444966183,"dd":36.52017439650815,"n":208,"win":54.807692307692314,"W":1.8833406823410361,"L":1.8921461979628689,"K":0.023510222575773426},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-34.14788463255884,"dd":36.2648688269676,"n":218,"win":47.24770642201835,"W":1.8337631445070866,"L":1.9782590369987232,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-10.839267664442719,"dd":28.36439069683374,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":1.986430403359285,"L":2.535250879632849,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":-9.975933860697205,"dd":47.66720306803334,"n":208,"win":53.36538461538461,"W":1.726186499707914,"L":2.0247385776887263,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-57.41885646018016,"dd":58.179469585029196,"n":218,"win":45.412844036697244,"W":1.6992787269588354,"L":2.0870230114370956,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-15.86348002478426,"dd":30.724432402043377,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":1.7826613625356709,"L":2.729985594475038,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-51.765431918014414,"dd":64.64753060418012,"n":208,"win":48.07692307692308,"W":1.588386044288932,"L":2.091886945370463,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-77.8594588123534,"dd":78.2222651584462,"n":218,"win":43.57798165137615,"W":1.4573659263599839,"L":2.3060081129224757,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-22.87399097490309,"dd":34.11950123017583,"n":29,"win":48.275862068965516,"W":1.4777704099859235,"L":3.021358869152878,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-57.42
drawdown58.18
sample218
win rate45.41
average win1.7
average loss2.09
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback3 hold5 parent
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":48.77545160177237,"dd":39.29767978388606,"n":193,"win":55.44041450777202,"W":2.3119261469649968,"L":2.3584674745007703,"K":0.024959502781631282},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":44.398438556889985,"dd":29.820176916222042,"n":195,"win":49.23076923076923,"W":2.7030711903185742,"L":2.165110420324871,"K":0.021413867582827206},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-6.05867915929772,"dd":34.34440185422142,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.7283458203282254,"L":2.650244807428019,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":1.1331636905506315,"dd":53.66109453097343,"n":193,"win":49.22279792746114,"W":2.3864554051386575,"L":2.205186670975646,"K":0.005756238895566784},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-2.234047685646634,"dd":41.904799998744394,"n":195,"win":45.64102564102564,"W":2.7000293178619894,"L":2.189095838778625,"K":0.003921348863267934},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-11.174805082396999,"dd":36.284818186261184,"n":28,"win":46.42857142857143,"W":2.52309443138937,"L":2.844749764230093,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-43.31911166140715,"dd":69.1738223034061,"n":193,"win":46.1139896373057,"W":2.2274626053311497,"L":2.360426031140123,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-45.53407063968488,"dd":59.10194814382071,"n":195,"win":42.05128205128205,"W":2.6081904380607863,"L":2.336728704098118,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-18.331351469335743,"dd":39.08845142832404,"n":28,"win":42.857142857142854,"W":2.412049600730154,"L":2.9483420361046155,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-2.23
drawdown41.9
sample195
win rate45.64
average win2.7
average loss2.19
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback3 hold3 managed
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":57.561133899861574,"dd":29.861548652970704,"n":222,"win":56.30630630630631,"W":1.6227748745722292,"L":1.5904928974286408,"K":0.033704535999435015},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":-22.208872138807433,"dd":29.493413423926707,"n":229,"win":50.21834061135371,"W":1.5474508185655607,"L":1.743316424035256,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":0.9659536928172452,"dd":18.154360502988364,"n":31,"win":64.51612903225806,"W":1.719362710101032,"L":2.9236998316555805,"K":0.01044346088387832},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":1.0700153235180254,"dd":43.334201201894196,"n":222,"win":54.5045045045045,"W":1.4688874027739587,"L":1.7032840265695304,"K":0.004372747185910436},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-50.79342027812728,"dd":51.7729925500063,"n":229,"win":48.90829694323144,"W":1.3838047004279765,"L":1.8929920346574185,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-5.103828465875903,"dd":21.008912862460438,"n":31,"win":61.29032258064516,"W":1.596183035514082,"L":2.8582645775160604,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-48.07437884687624,"dd":62.02121675364932,"n":222,"win":46.3963963963964,"W":1.3957741419407173,"L":1.7191466306731444,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-75.24503322924035,"dd":75.70137267541043,"n":229,"win":42.79475982532751,"W":1.2530391011615423,"L":1.967097428317588,"K":0},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-13.531239367945059,"dd":25.105143855603927,"n":31,"win":54.83870967741935,"W":1.4699061999476264,"L":2.7310203973278426,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. PriorATR14stop1ATR/target1.5ATR/half+1RthenBE,adversesamebarordering. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return-50.79
drawdown51.77
sample229
win rate48.91
average win1.38
average loss1.89
quarter Kelly0
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 sweep total lookback3 hold3 parent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:16
Frozen strategy926/notes920,not optimized. This record groups 9 cells across training2016-2020,heldout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4;zero/base/stresscosts. Figures report baselineholdout only; fullrows:[{"period":"train","cost":"zero","return":157.2376751549046,"dd":21.85065904086422,"n":222,"win":56.75675675675676,"W":1.9509019905451188,"L":1.5220071509609814,"K":0.057550743840970336},{"period":"holdout","cost":"zero","return":218.1310155544387,"dd":14.85950485915012,"n":229,"win":56.33187772925764,"W":2.141249846591393,"L":1.5274802362260107,"K":0.06295205450936715},{"period":"recent","cost":"zero","return":-5.965511546571456,"dd":27.559279495896583,"n":31,"win":61.29032258064516,"W":1.9611548390478195,"L":3.420650013447061,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":65.00906744055428,"dd":29.352425101313106,"n":222,"win":54.95495495495496,"W":1.806692781632022,"L":1.6375142481824891,"K":0.035319808686136545},{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":101.2329633118632,"dd":18.361352392195585,"n":229,"win":53.275109170305676,"W":2.0543943258078947,"L":1.618353599437685,"K":0.04116868692601096},{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":-11.618593991104898,"dd":29.840685568307624,"n":31,"win":54.83870967741935,"W":1.965995686085745,"L":3.099573241386964,"K":0},{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-15.22512096864499,"dd":48.11617293381142,"n":222,"win":45.4954954954955,"W":1.8523504816501044,"L":1.6288624873899358,"K":0},{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":1.2367725642259186,"dd":29.513550522847908,"n":229,"win":45.414847161572055,"W":2.078852519798742,"L":1.6604610498778587,"K":0.00453886126159006},{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":-19.467450404366314,"dd":33.21945413695785,"n":31,"win":48.38709677419355,"W":1.9115124587950023,"L":2.9938121403109634,"K":0}]. Liquid12countryETFweeklynegativeworstreturn,priorclose signal,nextopen,oneposition,skipoverlaps. Timeexitonly;notvenue-ready. Fractional model,fees/slippageexplicitvectorbt andindependentcashreconciliation. Chronologicalholdoutpreviouslyinspectedforotherstrategies;dailyOHLCandadjustmentsnot15min/cashdividendvalidation. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . All metrics separatelyrecordedQREV90804variant001..240observations; nofamilywinnerselection.
return101.23
drawdown18.36
sample229
win rate53.28
average win2.05
average loss1.62
quarter Kelly0.04
cells9
actual allocation0
QREV90804 EWG ranks as current loser, but the validated action is zero exposure
TechnicalrejectQuant replicationEWG, EWJ, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:14
1. September4 completedSIPadjustedbars,12fixedETFs allprior20daymedianvolumeabove5m: EWGlowesttotal5day-1.569859%andUSintradaylogsum-1.413947%;close43.89,ATR14.350293,MA10042.1814. EWLtotal-.284315%;other10positivetotal. FollowingUSLaborDay,Sep8isfirstweeklysessionscheduledinusersnapshot;Fridaypricesarehistorical,notqueuedlimits.2. IllustrativeatFridayclose(notorders):1ATRstop43.539707,target44.415439,4whole-sharescost175.56,risk1.401171,targetgross2.101757. At+1ATRhalfexit2shares fitsrounding, butprice/path/actualvenuechecksremainunvalidated. Actualsize0becausemanagedrulefails.3. PrimarymanagedholdoutN216:64stop,41gapstop,53target,42time,16samebarBE;94partialprofits,22same-dayroundtrips,mean3.194444sessions. Netp48.148148%,W1.700601%,L2.068431%,quarterKelly0. Gaplossworsttrade6.276828%showsATRstopnotguaranteedlossbound.4. Parentvsmanaged samplesdiffer(192vs216):earlierexitsallowmorefutureweeklyentries; theirreturndifferenceisnotpurepairedcausalestimateofpartialprofiteffect. Parenthasnostops,notvenue-ready. Barstopfirst/partialBEpathisassumedratherthanobserved;at15minsamplingatargetmaynotbehitwhereOHLCsuggests.5. Allnonzerocostmanagedholdoutvariantsreject;nostaleentryoroptimizingEWGbecauseitlooksaffordable. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; study.py andprimary_diagnostics.py inarchive.
EWG close43.89
EWG ATR140.35
EWG 5day pct-1.57
EWG MA10042.18
illustrative shares4
illustrative stop43.54
illustrative target44.42
illustrative risk USD1.4
gap stops41
day trades22
worst trade pct-6.28
actual size0
QREV90804 positive parent return is uncertain and mostly matched market exposure
StatisticalrejectQuant replicationEFA, EWJ, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:11
1. Primarytotal5dayparent baseline2021-25+41.613514%,N192,training+27.193277%,butstressholdout-20.393113%. Matched entry/exit EFAgrossmean.212457% pertrade vsstrategy netmean.237819%,difference .025362percentagepoints. This comparison mixesnetstrategy/grossbenchmark and doesnotclaimformalalpha. ContinuousgrossEFA+50.789600%,SPY+94.645163% preservesopportunitycost ofcash.2. 261calendarweeklyreturns,20000circular13weekblockbootstrap,seed90804:parentmean .176101%/week,95%CI[-.084090,.474054]%;managedmean-.209919%,CI[-.422146,-.001114]%. USintradayparentCI[-.156326,.468542]%,managed[-.447964,-.033861]%. Intervalsconditionalonhistoricalsample,notfutureguarantees.3. DailyOLSvsEFA withHAC5:parentbeta.733053,zero-riskfreeannualintercept2.336558%CI[-13.397885,18.071002]%;managedbeta.263032,intercept-13.656251%CI[-25.775216,-1.537287]%. NotproperexcessreturnCAPMalpha.4. Weeklycrosssectionregressions260formations:mean next5dayreturn slopeonprior5dayreturn-.029300CI[-.080490,.021891];USintraday-.084993CI[-.172683,.002697],HAC13. Spearmanmeans-.003712/-.025202; weakrelation, neitherCIexcludeszero. Uncontrolledcountryrisk/currencies,12survivorwrappers andpreviouslyinspectedperiods limitidentification.5. Parent2022+40.594921% vs2024-15.915858%;managedloses4of5years. No ruleparameterchangefromthese diagnostics. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; fullfiguresrecorded asQREV90804observations, reproducibleprimary_diagnostics.py.
parent return41.61
managed return-45.07
parent stress return-20.39
weekly sample261
parent weekly CI low-0.08
parent weekly CI high0.47
managed weekly CI low-0.42
managed weekly CI high0
parent EFA beta0.73
matched excess mean0.03
cross section sample260
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed stress recent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"stress","period":"recent","return_pct":11.80706782012544,"drawdown_pct":15.654258918747011,"n":29,"win_pct":55.172413793103445,"avgwin_pct":2.2491980684160264,"avgloss_pct":1.8295700987638936,"mean_pct":0.42078475209399335,"quarterKelly":0.046770531017564676,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":3,"daytrades":2,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return11.81
drawdown15.65
win rate55.17
sample29
average win2.25
average loss1.83
mean trade0.42
quarter Kelly0.05
day trades2
overlaps skipped3
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed stress holdout
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"stress","period":"holdout","return_pct":-72.38141854276972,"drawdown_pct":73.72960985843812,"n":211,"win_pct":45.023696682464454,"avgwin_pct":1.445620007084565,"avgloss_pct":2.2487278484362516,"mean_pct":-0.585395875571429,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":5.4569682106375694e-12,"skipped_overlap":14,"daytrades":26,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-72.38
drawdown73.73
win rate45.02
sample211
average win1.45
average loss2.25
mean trade-0.59
quarter Kelly0
day trades26
overlaps skipped14
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed stress train
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"stress","period":"train","return_pct":-75.81119474064985,"drawdown_pct":77.97399678573255,"n":214,"win_pct":46.26168224299065,"avgwin_pct":1.275671929121131,"avgloss_pct":2.2848410832740313,"mean_pct":-0.6376878672594473,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":8,"daytrades":29,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-75.81
drawdown77.97
win rate46.26
sample214
average win1.28
average loss2.28
mean trade-0.64
quarter Kelly0
day trades29
overlaps skipped8
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed base recent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"base","period":"recent","return_pct":21.969977623984583,"drawdown_pct":13.605470426584187,"n":29,"win_pct":58.620689655172406,"avgwin_pct":2.4205091094284854,"avgloss_pct":1.6830129511608938,"mean_pct":0.7224999809087421,"quarterKelly":0.0746227289637565,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":3,"daytrades":2,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return21.97
drawdown13.61
win rate58.62
sample29
average win2.42
average loss1.68
mean trade0.72
quarter Kelly0.07
day trades2
overlaps skipped3
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed base holdout
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"base","period":"holdout","return_pct":-47.98719724238867,"drawdown_pct":55.69676095921634,"n":211,"win_pct":48.81516587677725,"avgwin_pct":1.6298930478631921,"avgloss_pct":2.1145691682909344,"mean_pct":-0.286703726282048,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":14,"daytrades":26,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-47.99
drawdown55.7
win rate48.82
sample211
average win1.63
average loss2.11
mean trade-0.29
quarter Kelly0
day trades26
overlaps skipped14
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday managed base train
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":true,"cost":"base","period":"train","return_pct":-54.03450266833326,"drawdown_pct":58.853320097046435,"n":214,"win_pct":50,"avgwin_pct":1.4738097609417955,"avgloss_pct":2.1521154204816773,"mean_pct":-0.3391528297699408,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":5.4569682106375694e-12,"skipped_overlap":8,"daytrades":29,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). PriorATR14 stop1ATR/target1.5ATR,half+1R thenbreakeven. Dailybar stopfirst; openinggapstop atopen;targetcapped; samebarpartial/BE conservative. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-54.03
drawdown58.85
win rate50
sample214
average win1.47
average loss2.15
mean trade-0.34
quarter Kelly0
day trades29
overlaps skipped8
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress recent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"stress","period":"recent","return_pct":19.824254694571096,"drawdown_pct":13.053110923837696,"n":26,"win_pct":57.692307692307686,"avgwin_pct":2.7974367058143366,"avgloss_pct":2.0487054393374917,"mean_pct":0.7471457982501014,"quarterKelly":0.06677057220787114,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":6,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return19.82
drawdown13.05
win rate57.69
sample26
average win2.8
average loss2.05
mean trade0.75
quarter Kelly0.07
day trades0
overlaps skipped6
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress holdout
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"stress","period":"holdout","return_pct":-40.33272838568423,"drawdown_pct":56.97857905290351,"n":191,"win_pct":47.12041884816754,"avgwin_pct":2.6638921045719104,"avgloss_pct":2.757888187205773,"mean_pct":-0.2031226046927285,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":5.4569682106375694e-12,"skipped_overlap":37,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-40.33
drawdown56.98
win rate47.12
sample191
average win2.66
average loss2.76
mean trade-0.2
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent stress train
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"stress","period":"train","return_pct":-55.327371019122126,"drawdown_pct":64.61808586632517,"n":191,"win_pct":46.596858638743456,"avgwin_pct":2.0579540905413096,"avgloss_pct":2.4964007033982627,"mean_pct":-0.37421443815940436,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":34,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-55.33
drawdown64.62
win rate46.6
sample191
average win2.06
average loss2.5
mean trade-0.37
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent base recent
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"base","period":"recent","return_pct":29.544734491454207,"drawdown_pct":10.324723875008567,"n":26,"win_pct":61.53846153846154,"avgwin_pct":2.9275334664678354,"avgloss_pct":1.9544654331061804,"mean_pct":1.049841582016291,"quarterKelly":0.08965239800340857,"reconciliation_usd":3.637978807091713e-12,"skipped_overlap":6,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return29.54
drawdown10.32
win rate61.54
sample26
average win2.93
average loss1.95
mean trade1.05
quarter Kelly0.09
day trades0
overlaps skipped6
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent base holdout
BacktestsinconclusiveQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"base","period":"holdout","return_pct":5.824774831534096,"drawdown_pct":45.257728879512406,"n":191,"win_pct":50.26178010471204,"avgwin_pct":2.7956042643107883,"avgloss_pct":2.6305774157315547,"mean_pct":0.09671808837349746,"quarterKelly":0.008649121909726151,"reconciliation_usd":7.275957614183426e-12,"skipped_overlap":37,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return5.82
drawdown45.26
win rate50.26
sample191
average win2.8
average loss2.63
mean trade0.1
quarter Kelly0.01
day trades0
overlaps skipped37
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
QREV90804 delay intraday parent base train
BacktestsrejectQuant replicationEWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, FXI2026-09-08 04:10
Frozen notes920/924; original protocolanalysis926. {"signal":"intraday","lookback":5,"horizon":5,"managed":false,"cost":"base","period":"train","return_pct":-20.769447384957964,"drawdown_pct":42.91665420056017,"n":191,"win_pct":51.832460732984295,"avgwin_pct":2.142545142650252,"avgloss_pct":2.461038450308932,"mean_pct":-0.07488779217825554,"quarterKelly":0,"reconciliation_usd":5.4569682106375694e-12,"skipped_overlap":34,"daytrades":0,"lag":2}. Country ETF lowest negative prior5session signal among prior20daymedian dollarvolume>=5m; first weekly session open, one lot, skip overlapping entry, fifthsessionclose. Signal two sessions before entry (one full skipped session). Parent has time exit only, not venue-ready stop/target strategy. Perfill zero or base5bpfee+5bpslip,stress5+20. Cash ledger reconciled to vectorbt events. Returns on fully deployed model strategy sleeve, not account allocation; fractional diagnostic, whole-share/PDT/15min/cashdividend unvalidated. Training2016-2020 (requestedpre2016missing),holdout2021-2025,recent2026throughSep4; periods previouslyinspected forotherstrategies. Recentpositivecannotrescuefailedtraining/coststress. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No proposal based on this individual cell.
return-20.77
drawdown42.92
win rate51.83
sample191
average win2.14
average loss2.46
mean trade-0.07
quarter Kelly0
day trades0
overlaps skipped34
reconciliation USD0
actual allocation0
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