Notes

A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD C91200 OKX 100-settlement funding distribution'. The data is about Bitcoin, symbol BTC, from the website https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history. There are 100 settlements, which is a type of payment, from August 10 to September 12. The first settlement was on 1786320000000 and the last on 1789171200000. The last basis point, a measure of interest, was 0.324728593233, the mean basis point was 0.6270772876817899, the fifth percentile basis point was 0.005875445090100004, and the ninety-fifth percentile basis point was 1. The last percentile was 18. The sum of basis points was 62.707728768178995. This data was accessed on September 12 at 00:04 UTC. The observed rates are for settled funding, not forecasts. The 100 eight-hour settlements were from August 10 to September 12 and are not independent trades or global exchanges. The fifth to ninety-fifth percentile criterion is a fixed descriptive measure. The last rate is not extreme in any major way. The sum is the swap funding carry before costs, which is the interest earned from lending, and does not include spot return, which is the return from buying and selling. No leveraged trade, which is a trade using borrowed money, is permitted. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history

A news scan found the announcement that the issuer of FRO, on September 11, 2026, says two very large crude carrier sales are completed. The issuer has declared a special dividend of $0.80 per share, in addition to $2.61 for the second quarter, making a total of $3.41 per share. Both the record date and the expected New York Stock Exchange ex-dividend date are September 18, and the expected Oslo ex-dividend date is September 17, with payment expected around September 28. This announcement supersedes previous monitor notes that stated the special dividend was conditional and undated. The cash distribution comes from the sale of assets, which is different from the earnings from the vessels. The issuer is the original source of this information, and there is no new independent confirmation of the tanker rates. https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/

A news scan found the headline 'C91200 90-day major hourly correlation matrix'. The correlation matrix is as follows: for Bitcoin, the correlation with Bitcoin is 1, with Ethereum is 0.8680597883097442, and with Solana is 0.7972226144449818. For Ethereum, the correlation with Bitcoin is 0.8680597883097442, with Ethereum is 1, and with Solana is 0.8025502145706219. For Solana, the correlation with Bitcoin is 0.7972226144449818, with Ethereum is 0.8025502145706219, and with Solana is 1. This data is based on aligned hourly log returns from June 14 to September 11, with no imputation. The correlation between Bitcoin and Ethereum is 0.86806, between Bitcoin and Solana is 0.79722, and between Ethereum and Solana is 0.80255. This means that the three allocations have a substantial amount of common risk, and are not three independent bets. Note that regime conditional correlations and causal macro effects were not estimated. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: a 48-hour block-bootstrap paths analysis for SOL/USD C91200. The analysis includes 20,000 paths, using 2,136 historical blocks, which are not independent samples. The blocks are based on 24-hour overlapping periods from 90-day hourly log returns, considering only hourly closes and excluding intrahour extremes, costs, and gap fills. The stop loss is set at -9.704828894774241 percent and the target at 29.114486684322728 percent. The analysis also shows a stop first percentage of 0.32 percent and a target first percentage of 0 percent. Additionally, 99.68 percent of the paths resulted in neither a stop nor a target. The terminal percentage at the 1st percentile is -7.428159826499003 percent and at the 99th percentile is 13.377535831076415 percent. This analysis uses a stop of 2 ATR, or Average True Range, and a target of 6 ATR, at the current close, for illustration purposes only, and not as a net 3R order or breakout-conditioned forecast. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: Fetched on September 12 at 00:03 UTC, the 90-day daily and hourly statistics and signals for SOL/USD are as follows: the data covers 90 days and 2160 hours with no missing hours. The symbol is SOL, with 2160 hours and 0 missing hours, spanning 90 days, and the last data point is from September 11, 2026, at 23:00:00 UTC. The close price is 102.4335, and the prior 480 highs shifted, excluding the signal bar, is 110.5357. The gap percentage is 7.9097, and there were 0 signals on September 11. The return percentage on September 11 is 3.8853. ATR, which stands for Average True Range, a measure of price volatility, is 4.9705, and the ATR percentage is 4.8524. The SMA20, or 20-day Simple Moving Average, is 102.1288, and the SMA50, or 50-day Simple Moving Average, is 86.8755. The hourly log return at the 1st percentile is -1.5603, and at the 99th percentile is 2.0162. The hourly range at the 95th percentile is 2.1719. The annual volatility percentage is 57.3566, calculated using the square root of 8760. The daily and hourly OHLC, or Open, High, Low, Close, data matches exactly for September 11. Note that ATR is the simple mean of 14 true ranges, and annual volatility uses the square root of 8760. Historical distribution is not causal or guaranteed risk. A separate intraday audit is required for the one signal on September 11 for ETH. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: a descriptive analysis of 48-hour block-bootstrap paths for ETH/USD C91200. The analysis includes 20,000 paths, 2,136 historical blocks, and a time frame of 48 hours. The stop percentage is -7.5800953419402735 and the target percentage is 22.74028602582081. The stop first percentage is 0.9900000000000001 and the target first percentage is 0.22499999999999998. The neither percentage is 98.785. The terminal p01 percentage is -6.325585355528784 and the terminal p99 percentage is 17.783107943397127. This data is based on 20,000 paths of two sampled 24-hour overlapping blocks from 90-day hourly log returns, with 2,136 blocks that are not independent samples, using hourly closes only, and excluding intrahour extremes, costs, and gap fill. The stop and target percentages are set at 2ATR and 6ATR, respectively, at the current close for range illustration, and do not represent a net 3R order or breakout-conditioned forecast. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following statistics and signals for ETH/USD: Fetched on September 12 at 00:03 UTC, the data covers 90 days and 2160 hours with no missing hours. The data was measured using pandas and has the following figures: the symbol is ETH, there are 2160 hours, 0 missing hours, 90 days, the last close was on September 11, 2026, at 23:00:00 UTC, with a close price of 2516.066, a prior 480 highs of 2664.8535, a gap percentage of 5.9135, 1 signal on September 11, a return percentage on September 11 of 3.2526, an Average True Range of 14 days of 95.3601, an ATR percentage of 3.7900, a Simple Moving Average of 20 days of 2467.8536, a Simple Moving Average of 50 days of 2160.6424, a hourly log return percentage at 1% of -1.4725, a hourly log return percentage at 99% of 1.8222, a hourly range percentage at 95% of 1.6207, and an annual volatility percentage of 52.0656. ATR is a measure of volatility, or simple mean of 14 true ranges, which is a measure of the range of prices over 14 days. Annual volatility uses the square root of 8760, which is the number of hours in a year. The historical distribution of prices is not a guarantee of future risk. The data shows an exact match of daily and hourly Open, High, Low, and Close prices on September 11. One signal on September 11 requires a separate intraday audit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data: a set of 20,000 paths for the BTC/USD exchange rate, based on 48-hour blocks of data. These paths are part of a larger analysis that includes 2,136 historical blocks, which are not independent samples. The data is based on hourly log returns from the past 90 days, using only hourly closes and excluding intrahour extremes, costs, and gap fills. The analysis includes a stop loss of -5.7564100854460065 percent and a target gain of 17.269230256338 percent. Other parameters include a stop first percentage of 1.125 percent, a target first percentage of 0.03 percent, and a neither percentage of 98.845 percent. The terminal percentages are -4.97046302414147 percent at the first percentile and 9.644197150503597 percent at the 99th percentile. This data is from Seed91200, using 20,000 paths of two sampled 24-hour overlapping blocks. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following statistics and signals for BTC/USD: Fetched on September 12 at 00:03 UTC, with a cutoff time of 00:00 UTC, using pandas software. The data covers 90 days and 2160 hours with no missing hours. The prior 480 highs were shifted, excluding the signal bar. The measured figures are as follows: the symbol is BTC, the number of hours is 2160, the number of missing hours is 0, the number of days is 90, the last close was on September 11, 2026, at 23:00:00 UTC, with a close price of 77212.8315. The prior 480 high was 82233.502538071, the gap percentage is 6.50237912602778, there were 0 signals on September 11, the return percentage on September 11 was 0.8844956695144512. ATR, which stands for Average True Range, a measure of price volatility, is 2222.3436098622137, and the ATR percentage is 2.878205042723001. The SMA20, or 20-day Simple Moving Average, is 78613.982625, and the SMA50, or 50-day Simple Moving Average, is 70646.23602000001. The hourly log return percentage at the 1st percentile is -0.9786104791581245, at the 99th percentile is 1.120591941682866, and the hourly range percentage at the 95th percentile is 1.3237065227129978. The annual volatility percentage is 38.64174380319844, which uses the square root of 8760. The daily and hourly maximum OHLC error is 0, indicating an exact match. Note that ATR is the simple mean of 14 true ranges, and historical distribution is not causal or guaranteed risk. Additionally, ETH on September 11 had one signal that requires a separate intraday audit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the headline 'Explicit feed equals sip returns HTTP 403 for five daily 2021-2026 symbols'. This means that a specific data feed, called Explicit feed, which is set to sip, is getting an error message, HTTP 403, when trying to access data for five symbols from 2021 to 2026. The Explicit IEX 200 feed was also mentioned, and it was noted that another feed, feed 200, was omitted because it had different volume and prices, and its identity was not established. IEX is a partial market, meaning it only provides some market data. A Generic CLI, which is a type of computer interface, completed 752 bars, but its default feed and history and cost assumptions need to be audited separately. There were no quoted executable prices or new SIP claims. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

A news scan found the headline about SCHL. On July 23, the issuer, which had a fiscal year that ended on May 31, reported that its free cash flow, or FCF, was 436 million, which includes more than 400 million from net sale leaseback proceeds. Its operating cash flow, or OCF, was 50.9 million, compared to 124.2 million in the prior period. The issuer's net cash was 48.9 million, compared to net debt of 136.6 million. For the fiscal year 2027, the forecast for FCF is 35 to 40 million. In 2026, the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or EBITDA, was 151.5 million, compared to a comparable 132.4 million after considering the full rent impact. The source notes that the 436 million FCF should not be valued as annual repeatable earnings, and that the marketing and non-GAAP definitions require a full cash bridge. https://investor.scholastic.com/news-releases/news-release-details/scholastic-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2026-results

A news scan found the headline that the issuer of SCHL confirms that the earnings release for SEP 1200 will be on September 24, 2026, at 16:00 ET and the call will be at 16:30 ET. The pre-event exit is on September 23 as per mandate. The T5 paper entry on September 17 remains unchanged. The annual meeting is on September 16 at 09:00 ET as per the IR homepage, which may disclose relevant news before entry. The future date and clinical or earnings calendar can change, and there will be no automatic order. https://investor.scholastic.com/news-releases/news-release-details/scholastic-corporation-announces-date-first-quarter-fiscal-2027

The company KR provided a quarterly update on September 11. The second quarter, which ended on August 15, showed identical sales with a 0.2% increase. The full-year identical sales guide is 0.2-0.8%, which is lower than the previous guide of 1-2%. The midpoint of this range is a 1.5 to 0.5 percentage point cut. The earnings per share, or EPS, is expected to be between 5.10 and 5.30. The operating profit is expected to be between 5 and 5.2 billion, and the free cash flow is expected to be between 2.7 and 2.9 billion, which is unchanged. There is an approximately 140 basis point headwind from the International Revenue Account, or IRA, in the full-year sales guide. The sales cut is not the same as the organic volume contraction. The adjusted EPS is 1.09, and the operating profit is 1076 million. The GAAP, or Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, operating profit is 971 million. The net debt to adjusted EBITDA, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, is 1.91, compared to 1.63. The year-to-date repurchases are 1.2 billion, with 0.8 billion remaining. A news scan found the headline from the direct IR 403, corporate IR feed, with a full HTTP 200 response, but this is from the same issuer and does not serve as corroboration. https://www.thekrogerco.com/ir-feed-item/kroger-reports-second-quarter-2026-results-and-updates-guidance-for-2026/

A snapshot was taken at 00:02:56 UTC. The bid and ask prices for Bitcoin were 77250.89 and 77268.6, with a 72-second age, and depth of 76.7 and 77.9 in USD. For Ethereum, the prices were 2514.5 and 2515.5, with a 71-second age, and depth of 83.1 and 84.3. For Solana, the prices were 102.401 and 102.501, with a 79-second age, and depth of 96.9 and 97.3. Other prices were also observed: XRP at 1.35362 and 1.359, UNI at 6.0015 and 6.01431, LTC at 53.2 and 53.320647, HYPE at 79.31 and 79.668, and LINK at 11.5419 and 11.565. The USDC and USDG prices were stale, with ages of 15145 and 159054 seconds, respectively. 8 out of 10 quotes were fresh. The roundtrip spread with credited fees was plus 25 basis points. The fees were 0.525% for Bitcoin, 0.542% for Ethereum, 0.600% for Solana, 0.901% for XRP, 0.716% for UNI, 0.730% for LTC, 0.956% for HYPE, and 0.703% for LINK. Note that slippage was not included. The primary fee table for Alpaca has a tier 1 maker fee of 15 basis points and a taker fee of 25 basis points, with fees applied to the credited asset. Marketable limits are considered taker fees. The snapshot depth is not guaranteed to be the fill depth, and the actual fee ledger for the account is unavailable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

On September 12, at 00:02 UTC, after 7 completed UTC days from September 5 to 11, a report was published showing the volume of 36 USD pairs that are not live assets, but rather a global volume ranking. The ranking by volume is as follows: USDC with 10,367,949, USDG with 1,899,981, which is stale for 2 out of 7 days, BTC with 677,156, ETH with 459,605, LTC with 254,429, XRP with 199,205, SOL with 192,379, HYPE with 150,543, and LINK with 146,046, and UNI with 107,781. The other 7 pairs have data for all 7 days. The only pair that had a breakout in its daily close price was ETH, which rose from 2515.445 to 2516.066. This ranking is different from the frozen 480-hour high rule and does not determine trade eligibility. Stablecoins are included in this ranking, and the stale USDG is not assumed to be liquid. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

The primary issuer of USDC, a type of cryptocurrency, released data on September 10. This data, which was accessed at 00:02 UTC, shows that there are currently 74.06 billion USDC in circulation. Over the past 7 days, 6.66 billion USDC were issued and 6.91 billion were redeemed, resulting in a net decrease of 0.25 billion USDC. Over the past 30 days, 38.06 billion USDC were issued and 36.04 billion were redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 2.02 billion USDC. Over the past 365 days, 334.68 billion USDC were issued and 332.88 billion were redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 1.80 billion USDC. The rates of issue and redemption are -35.714286 million per day over 7 days and +67.333333 million per day over 30 days. These rates represent -0.337564% and +2.727518% of the current stock, but do not represent growth from the initial stock. A previous snapshot from September 7 showed 74.28 billion USDC in circulation and a net increase of 0.94 billion USDC over 7 days, but this data is not directly comparable. A data aggregator called Llama reported a timestamp of 1789084800 with 74.359078093 billion USDC in circulation, including 46.698049087 billion on the Ethereum blockchain, 6.988449606 billion on the Solana blockchain, and 6.839110360 billion on the Hype blockchain. Note that the issuer may have a promotional bias and that liquidity is not the same as allocation to cryptocurrency. https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2

The primary agency released information on September 11 at 8:30 ET for August 2026, which was accessed on September 12 at 0 UTC. The Consumer Price Index, or CPI, which measures inflation, had a headline increase of 0.4% from the previous month and 3.4% from the same time last year. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.3% from the previous month and 2.4% from the same time last year. In July, the headline CPI increased by 0.1% and the core CPI increased by 0.2%, with the core CPI increasing by 2.5% from the same time last year. Energy prices increased by 2.1%, gasoline prices increased by 3.9%, shelter costs increased by 0.3%, and food prices increased by 0.1%. Real hourly earnings for all employees decreased by 0.1% from the previous month and 0.3% from the same time last year, but weekly earnings increased by 0.2% from the previous month and 0.3% from the same time last year due to longer working hours. The CPI only measures prices in urban areas, so it does not account for prices in non-metropolitan or institutional areas. There was no consensus, or agreed-upon expectation, before the release, and the information does not imply any surprising effects from cryptocurrency. The monthly increase in prices and the lower core inflation rate from the same time last year are not contradictory. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm ; https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

On September 9, the issuer provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, with revenue midpoint increasing from 345 million to 365 million and adjusted EBITDA increasing from 49 million to 52 million. This represents an incremental margin of 15%, calculated as 3 out of 20. The forecast for the second half of the year is over 40 million for international sales, compared to 10.6 million realized in the second quarter. There is a risk associated with delivery, security, and logistics in the Middle East. The forecast does not guarantee cash collection or the restart of power projects. https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales

A news scan found the headline about ATI R91200 10K raw material risk and extraction error. The fiscal year 2025 risk is that long lead times can prevent full raw-cost recovery via surcharge or index, with graphite electrodes, helium, and argon being critical. The raw supply is generally adequate from multiple sources as of the report date. A script output, specifically the CLI section extractor, returned a business cross-reference instead of Item 1A, indicating that genuine risks can be found by re-reading the full SEC page lines 288 onward. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018963/000162828026010140/ati-20251228.htm

On August 6, the issuer reported that for the second quarter of 2026, the margin for HPMC was 24.1 percent, which is less than the 24.9 percent in the first quarter. Sales were 637.1 million dollars, up from 614.3 million dollars. The company had to pay more for qualifying a furnace in Mexico, which offset the benefit of higher prices. The group's EBITDA, which is a measure of profitability, includes a one-time gain of 9.9 million dollars from closing a facility. The backlog, or the amount of orders waiting to be filled, was 4.4 billion dollars, an increase of 18 percent from the same time last year. The working capital, which is the money needed to run the business, was 34.3 percent of annualized sales. https://ir.atimaterials.com/news-events/news-details/2026/ATI-Announces-Second-Quarter-2026-Results/default.aspx

A news scan found the headline about HWM R91200 Limited or sole supplier risk. The FY2025 10K risk section mentions that the company relies on limited or sole sources for titanium sponge and specialized alloys, which means that if there are problems with these suppliers, the company may not be able to find other suppliers to replace them, and this can cause delays in production, leading to customer claims. Some of the company's major customers have their own furnaces, which they use to make these materials. The company is exposed to this risk every year, but there is no evidence that a specific outage occurred on September 11. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4281/000000428126000012/hwm-20251231.htm

On August 6, the issuer reported its second-quarter results for 2026, which included a chief financial officer report of 583 million in cash, 104 million in capital expenditures, and 479 million in free cash flow, which is the amount of cash a company has after paying for capital expenditures, with revenue of 2547 million, EBITDA of 817 million, and an engine margin of 37.7 percent. The company also forecast its full-year adjusted earnings per share to be between 5.23 and 5.31, and its free cash flow to be between 1850 and 1950 million. The actual cash realized was different from what was forecast, and the issuer's announcement was promotional, not new information, as of September 11. https://www.howmet.com/press-release/2026-08-06/howmet-aerospace-reports-second-quarter-2026-results/

An authority decision was made on August 28, 2026, regarding the allocation of LPG, which is a type of fuel, for September 13. For the booking dates in September 13, there will be 63 Neo slots available per week. The minimum allocation of LPG will be 3 units per day, which will be determined by customer rank, and the minimum allocation of LNG, which is another type of fuel, will be 3 units per week. Customers are allowed to make repeat or consecutive bookings. The scarcity allocation, which is a system used to manage limited resources, will not be paid to the shipowner as a netback, which refers to the profit made after deducting costs. https://pancanal.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/ADV-31-2026-Transit-Reservation-Booking-System-Rule-modifications.pdf

A news scan found the headline about LPG R91200 August canal actual transit and booking distinction. The authority originally reported 33.19 transits per day for August 2026, with 34.90 hours of waiting time in waters and 11.27 hours of transit time. Neo booked 175 out of 178, excluding auctions, while auctions booked 204 out of 227. There is a tentative 3-hour maintenance scheduled for September 14. The throughput was revalidated on September 11, but it is not new information. https://pancanal.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/adv-34-2026-monthly-canal-operations-summary-august-2026.pdf

On September 12 at 00UTC, a check was done to see the latest news from the company. The most recent item found was an announcement from September 3 about an institutional conference that took place on September 10. No public update on the company's operations was found after that date, but this does not mean one was not released. The information came from the company itself, which is trying to promote its interests, and not from an independent source that could confirm the information. https://www.aehr.com/newsroom/