Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
EFA Sunday conditional exits and carried delayed-exit scenario = 25.447316122674685
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 12:33
The fund manager has set conditions for exiting a trade with the symbol EFA. The details are as follows: the size of the trade is 91.5, the entry price was 106.7, the stop loss is at 104.93826, and the target price is 116.97551184268325. The percentage gain needed to reach the target is 9.630282889112697 percent. The risk-to-reward ratio, or R, is 5.832592688298649. The normal loss is 1.5107704779756304 and the target gain is 8.811708843538117. The stress level is 25.447316122674685. The prices and other metrics were refreshed, but remain unchanged. The stress levels are based on historical data from analysis3115, which includes a doubled crisis adverse execution envelope plus 50 basis points and initial stop risk. Note that this is not a guaranteed loss bound or live probability, and the reference prices are not the actual fills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM Sunday conditional exits and carried delayed-exit scenario = 25.411794034436106
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 12:33
A trading plan for the symbol IWM has the following details: the size is 93.5, the entry price is 288.89, the stop price is 282.74895, and the target price is 325.93680479074. The percentage gain needed to reach the target is 12.823844643545982 percent. The risk-to-reward ratio, or R, is 6.032649919922496. The normal loss is 1.987566807435353 and the target gain is 11.990294741715493. The stress level is 25.411794034436106. This information is based on refreshed prices, Average True Range, or ATR, and a 90th percentile, or P90, calculation, which is a measure of volatility. The historical stress fractions come from analysis3115, which includes a crisis adverse execution envelope with a 50 basis point addition and initial stop risk. Note that this is not a guaranteed loss bound or live probability, and the reference prices are not necessarily the actual fills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ Sunday conditional exits and carried delayed-exit scenario = 24.93454579612259
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 12:33
A trading plan for QQQ has been set. The symbol is QQQ, with a size of 104.34. The entry price is 714.88, the stop price is 699.14315, and the target price is 830.4731316245595. The percentage gain needed to reach the target is 16.16958533244174 percent. The risk-to-reward ratio, or R, is 7.3453792610693736. The normal loss is 2.296865108829453, and the target gain is 16.871345335869712. The stress level is 24.93454579612259. This plan is based on unchanged prices, average true range, or ATR, and a 90th percentile, or P90, value. Historical stress fractions come from analysis3115, which includes a crisis scenario with a 50 basis point increase and initial stop risk. Note that this plan does not guarantee a loss bound or live probability, and reference prices are not actual trade fills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
ETH/USD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = -46.433545367857086
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides price aggregates from the closest source vendor. The signal uses intervals of 252 trading days for ETFs and 365 days for cryptocurrencies, and a 20-day average true range, which is a measure of volatility. It also considers the gain over the last 60 bars, with a 90% probability, excluding the partial data from September 13. The data includes the symbol ETH/USD, the date September 12, 2026, and the following information: 1961 bars, a close price of 2525.045, a return percentage of -46.43%, a 200-day simple moving average of 2055.8333, an average true range over 20 days of 94.4036, a highest price over 20 days of 2664.8535, a 90% probability percentage of 42.9343, target windows of 1826, eligibility set to true, a rank of 7, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = -33.45056899540282
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from Alpaca, a source of financial data, the information about the Bitcoin to US Dollar exchange rate includes the following details: the symbol is BTC/USD, the date is September 12, 2026, and there are 1961 bars of data. The closing price is 77266.385, which represents a return percentage of -33.45056899540282. The simple moving average over 200 periods, or sma200, is 70095.06604458945. The average true range over 20 periods, or atr20, which measures price volatility, is 2335.032182487298. The highest price over the last 20 periods is 82233.502538071. The percentage of price gain over a five-year period, or p90_pct, is 37.16910440529673. There are 1826 target windows, and this signal is eligible. It is ranked 6, and the chosen quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
TLT 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = -5.756904789651552
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'TLT 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides aggregated price data from vendors. The data uses intervals of 252 trading days for ETFs and 365 days for cryptocurrencies, and calculates the average true range over 20 days, referred to as ATR20, which is a measure of price volatility. The five-year endpoint is based on a 60-bar gain at the 90th percentile, or P90, which means 90% of the time the gain is below this level. The data from September 13 is partially excluded. The signal is for the symbol TLT, with data from September 11, 2026, including 1347 bars, a closing price of 80.87, and a return percentage of -5.756904789651552. The simple moving average over 200 days, or sma200, is 84.50049999999999, and the average true range over 20 days, or atr20, is 0.6911250000000002. The highest price over 20 days, or high20, is 83.28, and the 90th percentile of price gains, or p90_pct, is 6.150557763249668. The target windows are 1255, the signal is not eligible, the rank is null, and the chosen quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 18.94350653224364
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'GLD 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides aggregated price data from various sources, also known as a vendor. The data is based on 252 trading days for exchange-traded funds, like GLD, and 365 days for cryptocurrency, with a 20-day average true range, a measure of price volatility, also known as ATR. The signal looks at the last 60 bars, or periods, over a five-year endpoint and excludes the partial data from September 13. The data for the GLD symbol shows that on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the closing price was 398.77, with a return percentage of 18.94%. The simple moving average, a way to smooth out price data, over 200 days was 415.93, and the average true range over 20 days was 7.95. The highest price over 20 days was 429.42, and the 90th percentile gain was 16.78%. The target windows, or time periods, were 1255, and the signal was not eligible, with a rank of null, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 34.203758654797234
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'EEM 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides price aggregates from vendors. The signal uses intervals of 252 trading days for ETFs and 365 days for cryptocurrencies, and a 20-day average true range, which is a measure of volatility. It also considers the gain over 60 bars, or periods, over the past five years, with a 90th percentile, or P90, threshold. The data from September 13 is partially excluded. The details are as follows: the symbol is EEM, the date is September 11, 2026, the number of bars is 1347, the closing price is 67.84, the return percentage is 34.20%, the 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, is 61.76, the 20-day average true range, or atr20, is 0.95, the highest price over 20 days, or high20, is 69.13, the 90th percentile percentage, or p90_pct, is 10.72%, the target windows are 1255, the signal is eligible, the rank is 1, and the chosen quantity, or chosen_qty, is 1. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EFA 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 19.45812807881775
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'EFA 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides price aggregates from various vendors. The signal uses a type of analysis called trend signal, which looks at price movements over time, specifically using 252-day intervals for ETFs and 365-day intervals for cryptocurrencies, and a 20-day average true range, a measure of price volatility. The signal also considers the highest price in the last 20 days and the percentage gain over a 60-bar period with a 90% probability, excluding partial data from September 13. The data for the symbol EFA includes the date September 11, 2026, 04:00:00 UTC, with 1347 bars of data, a closing price of 106.7, a return percentage of 19.46%, a 200-day simple moving average of 100.67, an average true range of 0.88 over 20 days, a highest price in the last 20 days of 108.89, a 90% probability percentage of 9.63%, 1255 target windows, and the signal is eligible with a rank of 4 and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
IWM 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 23.457264957264947
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'IWM 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides price aggregates from vendors. This uses 252 trading day intervals for ETFs and 365 day intervals for cryptocurrencies, with a 20 day average true range, which is a measure of price volatility. The five year endpoint is based on a 60 bar gain at the 90th percentile, excluding September 13 partial data. The signal is for the symbol IWM, with data from September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, showing 1347 bars, a close price of 288.89, and a return percentage of 23.46. The simple moving average over 200 days is 273.17, the average true range over 20 days is 3.07, and the highest price over 20 days is 305.18. The 90th percentile percentage is 12.82, with 1255 target windows, and this signal is eligible, ranked 3, with a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
QQQ 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 23.69878183831673
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'QQQ 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from the Alpaca venue, which provides bar data from the closest source vendor price aggregates. This uses a type of analysis called ETF, or exchange-traded fund, intervals, and crypto, or cryptocurrency, intervals, with a 20-day average of the true range, which is a measure of volatility, over the last five years, with the endpoint being a 60-bar gain at the 90th percentile. The data from September 13 was partially excluded. The signal included the following data: the symbol is QQQ, the date is September 11, 2026, there were 1347 bars of data, the closing price was 714.88, the return percentage was 23.70%, the 200-day simple moving average, which is a type of trend indicator, was 659.26, the 20-day average true range was 7.87, the highest price over 20 days was 734.58, the 90th percentile percentage was 16.17%, there were 1255 target windows, the signal was eligible, it was ranked 2, and the chosen quantity was 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal = 18.489062524223687
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the headline 'SPY 12:34UTC completed daily fixed trend signal'. Fetched on September 13 at 12:34 UTC from Alpaca, a source of financial data, the information about the SPY, a type of investment fund, includes the following details: the data is based on price aggregates from vendors, using intervals of 252 days for ETFs and 365 days for cryptocurrencies, with a mean true range, called ATR20, of 5.452859999999982, and a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 712.0451999999999. The data also shows a return percentage of 18.489062524223687, a high price over 20 days, or high20, of 778.8, and a percentage gain over 90% of the time, or p90_pct, of 10.842338318374644, with 1255 target windows, and the investment is eligible, ranked 5, with a chosen quantity of 0, based on data from September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, with 1347 bars and a closing price of 764.29. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
Vendor adjustment and pagination semantics verified Sep13 12:34UTC
Core trend2026-09-13 12:33
The primary vendor's documentation states that it applies split, cash-dividend, and spin-off price adjustments. The Securities Information Processor, or SIP, covers US exchanges. The limit for responses is per response, not per symbol, and the next_page_token must be followed. We applied pagination in a new data fetch. The adjusted-close return is a proxy for the vendor's total return, which means it is a way to estimate the total return, but it is not a separately audited ledger that tracks cash reinvestment. We fixed the initial request error, which was returning a 400 error, by removing the fund query parameter from the passthrough data request. The fund remains a trend on all research and order APIs. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars
SOL/USD T91312 funding and coin OI refresh = -0.0397
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
On September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC, a direct exchange observation was made. The data showed that the funding rate for SOL, a type of cryptocurrency, was -0.0397 basis points, and the settled rate was 0.9007 basis points. Basis points are units used to measure small changes in rates. The open interest, which is the total number of outstanding contracts, in SOL coins was 2,820,716.26. This represents a 0.6603 percent change since 11:46 UTC, covering about 46.5 minutes. The forecast indicates that the funding is not settled, meaning it has not been finalized, and one venue is not showing aggregate positioning, which refers to the overall market position, or an extreme percentile, which is a measure of how extreme a value is compared to others. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
ETH/USD T91312 funding and coin OI refresh = 0.914
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
On September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC, a direct exchange observation was made. The data showed that the Ethereum symbol is ETH, with two timestamps: 1789302724696 and 1789302751048, which are 26.7 and 0.3 seconds old, respectively, and the data is fresh. The funding basis points are 0.914, and the settled basis points are 1. The open interest in coins is 647198.862, which has changed by 0.2978878853329592 percent since 11:46 UTC. This change covers about 46.5 minutes, compared to collector 260. The forecast is not settled funding, meaning one venue does not aggregate positioning or an extreme percentile, which is a measure of the data's distribution. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
BTC/USD T91312 funding and coin OI refresh = 0.3244
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A direct exchange observation was made on September 13, 2026, at 12:32:29 UTC. The observation included data on Bitcoin, with timestamps of 1789302724650 and 1789302751044, and ages of 26.7 and 0.3 seconds, indicating the data is fresh. The funding basis points were 0.3244 and the settled basis points were 0.7179. The open interest in coins was 28048.262, with a change of 0.20318034235458082 percent since 11:46 UTC, which is about 46.5 minutes earlier. This change is compared to collector 260 and the forecast is that the funding is not settled, with one venue not showing aggregate positioning or an extreme percentile. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
LINK/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 11.2905
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for LINK/USD T91312. The daily regime for LINK was completed on 2026-09-12. The daily close was 11.51335. The simple moving average, or average price over 200 days, was 9.115938649999999. The average true range, or price volatility, over 20 days was 0.6552373145750001. The highest price over 20 days was 13.677 and the close 20 days ago was 13.2346. The return over the last 7 days was -4.474930928339704 percent. The hourly entry on 2026-09-13 at 11:00:00 was 11.2905. The highest price over 480 minutes was 13.677. The signal was false. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily close was -1.9355791320510685 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes was -17.449001974117127 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
HYPE/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 77.51995
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for HYPE/USD as of 2026-09-13T12:32:58.014817+00:00. The daily regime for HYPE completed on 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z with a close of 79.685, a simple moving average of 54.64919975, and an average true range of 5.1964314106500025. The highest price in the last 20 days was 89.9954713195 and the average close in the last 20 days was 87.96325, with a return of -6.736266758738529 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly entry as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 had a close of 77.51995, with the highest price in the last 480 minutes being 89.9954713195. The signal was false and there were no recent available data points, with 0 eligible points. The difference between the hourly and daily close was -2.7170107297483925 percent, and the price was -13.862387891952554 percent below the highest price in the last 480 minutes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
XRP/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 1.34265
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for XRP/USD T91312. The daily data for XRP as of 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z includes a close of 1.366315, with a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 1.2734800244825002, and an average true range, or atr20, of 0.07411583860000001 over 20 days. The highest price over 20 days was 1.54995, and the close 20 days ago was 1.51966, with a return of -3.2889055620832663 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly data for XRP as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 shows a close of 1.34265, with the highest price over the last 480 minutes at 1.5488. The hourly signal is false. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily data is -1.732031047013316 percent, and the percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes is -13.310304752066116 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
LTC/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 53.7753
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for LTC/USD T91312. The daily regime for LTC was completed on 2026-09-12. The symbol is LTC, which is a type of cryptocurrency. On that day, the closing price was 53.6502. The simple moving average, or sma, over 200 days was 50.431057172025. The average true range, or atr, over 20 days was 2.3818997281499996. The highest price over 20 days was 59.34355, and the closing price over 20 days was 55.20535. The return over 7 days was -1.9583584984791402 percent. On 2026-09-13 at 11:00, the hourly data showed a closing price of 53.7753 for LTC. The highest price over 480 minutes was 59.34355. The signal was false, meaning no action was taken. The percentage difference between the hourly and daily data is 0.23317713633872472 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes is -9.383075330006374 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 99.8035
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for SOL/USD T91312. The daily data for the symbol SOL on 2026-09-12 showed a close of 101.7655, with a simple moving average of 200 days, or sma200, of 83.0413278153425, which is a calculation of the average price over 200 days. The average true range, or atr20, over 20 days was 5.457558567074999, which measures price volatility. The high price over 20 days was 110.5357 and the close price over 20 days was 109.15. The return over 7 days was -1.3565647264091485 percent. The hourly data for SOL on 2026-09-13 at 11:00 showed a close of 99.8035, with the high price over 480 minutes, or high480, of 110.5357. The signal was false and there were no recent available data points. The hourly data was eligible 0 times. The difference between the hourly and daily data was -1.9279618338238436 percent. The price was -9.709261351762377 percent below the high480 price. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 2480.3475
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for ETH/USD T91312. The daily data for ETH as of 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z includes a close price of 2525.045, a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 2055.8333431083274, and an average true range, or atr20, of 94.40364558315002 over 20 days. The highest price over 20 days, or high20, was 2664.8535 and the average close price over 20 days, or close20, was 2516.066. The return over 7 days, or return7_pct, was 1.8196972641837394 percent. The hourly data for ETH as of 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 includes a close price of 2480.3475. The highest price over 480 minutes, or high480, was 2664.8535. The signal was false and there were no recent available items. The hourly data was eligible 0 times. The difference between the hourly and daily data as a percentage, or hour_vs_daily_pct, was -1.7701664722806987 percent. The percentage below the highest price over 480 minutes, or below_HIGH480_pct, was -6.923682671486453 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD T91312 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 76760.58
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data for BTC/USD as of 2026-09-13T12:32:58.014817+00:00. The daily data for BTC on 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z shows a close of 77266.385, with a simple moving average, or sma, of 200 at 70095.06604458945, and an average true range, or atr, of 20 at 2335.032182487298. The high of the last 20 days was 82233.502538071 and the close of the last 20 days was 81269.4915, with a return of -3.225830491040993 percent over the last 7 days. The hourly data for BTC on 2026-09-13T11:00:00+00:00 shows a close of 76760.58, with a high of 82233.502538071 over the last 480 hours. The signal is false and there are no recent available data. The difference between the hourly and daily data is -0.6546249057724052 percent, and the price is -6.655344074073999 percent below the high of the last 480 hours. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Sunday 12:31UTC completed daily momentum signal and conditional size = -46.433545367857086
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the following data line: a daily momentum signal for ETH/USD was completed on Sunday at 12:31UTC. The details are as follows: the symbol is ETH/USD, the number of bars is 2081, the date is September 12, 2026, the closing price is 2525.045, and the return is -46.433545367857086. The simple moving average, or sma, is 2055.8333431083274, the average true range, or atr, is 94.40364558315002, and the p90 value is 0.42934306094151997. The high price over the last 20 days, or high20, is 2664.8535, and the rank is 7. The size is 0. This data was measured on September 13, and an adjustment was made to the ETF SIP, which is a strategy for investing in exchange-traded funds. The return over a 252 out of 365 day interval is used as a proxy, and an arithmetic average true range over 20 days, or ATR20, and a simple moving average over 200 days, or SMA200, are used to calculate rolling 60-day gains over the last 5 years, excluding partial data from September 13. The proposed size was zero, and the actual order was also zero, with only one provider involved. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Sunday 12:31UTC completed daily momentum signal and conditional size = -33.45056899540282
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 12:33
A news scan found the data line for the BTC/USD symbol, which shows the following information: the daily momentum signal was completed on Sunday at 12:31 UTC. The data includes a close price of 77266.385, a return of -33.45056899540282, and a simple moving average, or sma, of 70095.06604458945. The average true range, or atr, is 2335.032182487298. Measured on September 13, there was an adjustment to the ETF SIP, which is a strategy for investing in exchange-traded funds. The data also includes information about the return over a 252 or 365 day interval, using an arithmetic average true range over 20 days, a simple moving average over 200 days, and rolling 60 day gains over the last 5 years. The data from September 13 is partially excluded. A proposed size, or amount to invest, was determined, but the actual order was zero, meaning no investment was made, and this was done through one provider. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
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