Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
ETH/USD 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = -46.433545367857086
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was found for ETH/USD. The data shows that as of September 12, 2026, the closing price was 2525.045. The return was -46.433545367857086. The simple moving average, which is a way to smooth out price changes, was 2055.8333431083274. The average true range, a measure of price volatility, was 94.40364558315002. The percentage of times the price was above a certain level was 0.42934306094151997. The highest price in the last 20 days was 2664.8535. This data was measured on September 13 and is part of a larger table of completed daily signals. The return was calculated using an adjusted close price and an arithmetic average true range over 20 days, based on data from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = -33.45056899540282
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the data line: a daily signal and conditional notional for BTC/USD was completed at 13:51 UTC. The details are as follows: the symbol is BTC/USD, the number of bars is 2081, the date is September 12, 2026, the close price is 77266.385, the return is -33.45056899540282, the simple moving average, which is a calculation to smooth out price data, is 70095.06604458945, the average true range, which measures price volatility, over 20 periods is 2335.032182487298, the percentage of times the price was above a certain level is 0.37169104405296727, the highest price over 20 periods is 82233.502538071, and the rank is 6. The size is 0. This data was measured on September 13 and the latest completed dates are in a table. The return is based on an adjusted close price and an arithmetic average true range over 20 periods, which is a way to measure price movement, from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
TLT 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = -5.756904789651552
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows information about the TLT symbol. The data line includes the following information: the symbol is TLT, it has 1682 bars, the date is September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the close price is 80.87, the return is -5.756904789651552, the simple moving average, which is a calculation to find the average price of a stock over a certain period, is 84.50049999999999, the average true range, which measures price volatility, over 20 days is 0.6911250000000002, the p90, which is a probability measurement, is 0.06150557763249668, the high price over 20 days is 83.28, and the rank is null. The size is 0. This data was measured on September 13. The latest completed dates are in a table. The adjusted close return proxy and arithmetic average true range over 20 days were used, with data from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
GLD 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 18.94350653224364
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows information about the stock GLD. The data is from September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC. The closing price was 398.77. The return, which is a measure of how much the stock has changed in value, was 18.94%. The simple moving average, or sma, which is a way to smooth out price changes, was 415.93. The average true range, or atr, which measures price volatility, was 7.95. The p90, which is a measure of the stock's performance, was 0.17. The highest price in the last 20 days, or high20, was 429.42. The rank, which compares the stock to others, is not available. The size, which refers to the proposed number of shares to trade, is 0. This data was measured on September 13 and is part of a table of completed daily signals and conditional notional values for GLD at 13:51 UTC. The adjusted close return proxy and arithmetic ATR20, which are ways to calculate stock performance, were used by one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 34.203758654797234
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows information about the stock symbol EEM. The data includes the date 2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00, the closing price of 67.84, and the return of 34.203758654797234. The simple moving average, or average price over a certain period, is 61.760349999999995. The average true range, or a measure of price volatility, over 20 days is 0.9526399999999988. The percentage of days the price is above a certain level is 0.10717963493264468. The highest price in the last 20 days is 69.125. This data was measured on September 13. The table shows the latest completed dates. The return is based on the adjusted closing price and the arithmetic average true range over 20 days, using data from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EFA 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 19.45812807881775
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows that the EFA fund had a daily signal and conditional notional completed at 13:51 UTC. The details are as follows: the symbol is EFA, it has 1682 bars of data, the date is September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the closing price is 106.7, the return is 19.45812807881775 percent, the simple moving average, which is a calculation to smooth out price changes, is 100.67334999999999, the average true range, which measures price volatility, over 20 days is 0.8808699999999987, the 90th percentile is 0.09630282889112697, the highest price in the last 20 days is 108.89, the rank is 4, and the size is 91.5. This data was measured on September 13, and the latest completed dates are in a table. The return is calculated using an adjusted close price as a proxy, and an arithmetic average true range over 20 days, from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 23.457264957264947
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the data line for IWM, which is a stock market symbol. The data shows that as of September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the closing price was 288.89. The return, which is a measure of how much the price changed, was 23.46%. The simple moving average, or sma, which is a way to smooth out price changes, was 273.17. The average true range, or atr, which is a measure of price volatility, was 3.07. The p90, which is a measure of the percentage of time the price is above a certain level, was 0.13, or 12.8%. The highest price in the last 20 days, or high20, was 305.18. The rank, which is a way to compare this stock to others, was 3. The size, which is a proposed investment amount, was 93.5. This data was measured on September 13 and is part of a table of latest completed dates. The return is based on an adjusted close price and uses an arithmetic average true range, or atr, over 20 days. The proposed sizes are not actual orders to buy or sell. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 23.69878183831673
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was found for QQQ. The data line shows that on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the QQQ symbol had a close price of 714.88. The return was 23.69878183831673 percent, and the simple moving average, which is a way to smooth out price changes, was 659.2565. The average true range, a measure of price volatility, was 7.868424999999997, and the percentage of days with a positive return over the last 90 days was 0.1616958533244174. The highest price over the last 20 days was 734.58. This data was measured on September 13. The proposed size is 104.34, but this is not an actual order. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SPY 13:51 UTC completed daily signal and conditional notional = 18.489062524223687
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:52
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was found for the SPY symbol. The data shows that as of September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the closing price was 764.29. The return was 18.49%. A simple moving average, which is a way to smooth out price changes, was 712.05. The average true range, a measure of price volatility, was 5.45. The percentage of days with a positive return over a certain period was 10.84%. The highest price over 20 days was 778.8. This data was ranked 5th. The size, which refers to the proposed trade amount, was 0. This data was measured on September 13 and the latest completed dates are in a table. The return was calculated using an adjusted close price and an arithmetic average true range over 20 days, based on data from one provider. The proposed sizes are not actual orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
T9131230 UKMTO original lookup incomplete
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:36
A news scan found the headline 'T9131230 UKMTO original lookup incomplete'. On September 13 at 12:35 UTC, a browser search of the recent incidents page returned 27 lines without a noticeable September 13 notice. Two bounded searches did not find a relevant primary match. A secondary new incident lead, 28107, remains unknown and not disproved, so we cannot infer the identity of the vessel, lost capacity, or cash involved. The next handoff at 00 UTC should try to find the exact original information if it is accessible. https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents
TEN T9131230 derived H1 operating contribution proxy = 30835
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:36
A calculation was done on September 10 using the issuer's first half data up to June 30. The result was 43503 in total cash expenses, minus 10298 in operating expenses, minus 2370 in overhead, which equals 30835 US dollars per vessel per day. This is compared to 30754 minus 9743 minus 2063, which equals 18948, an increase of 62.7348533 percent. The operating cash flow is 281.167 divided by 115.944 minus 1, which equals 142.502415 percent. This calculation does not include debt service, dry dock or capital expenditure costs, taxes, or claims on residual values, and is not the same as common free cash flow or September spot guidance. The numbers are not annualized. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/10/3359616/0/en/ten-ltd-reports-profits-for-the-first-half-and-second-quarter-of-2026.html
T91312 remote delivery gap resolved and midnight coverage audit = 3
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
A list of job schedules was found. The list includes five jobs with the following details: the first job has an id of 14, runs every 1440 minutes, and will run next on 2026-09-14T03:16:10.776Z; the second job has an id of 25, runs every 1440 minutes, and will run next on 2026-09-14T05:31:08.563Z; the third job has an id of 260, runs every 60 minutes, and will run next on 2026-09-13T12:46:00.518Z; the fourth job has an id of 261, runs every 15 minutes, and will run next on 2026-09-13T12:46:06.279Z; the fifth job has an id of 262, runs every 15 minutes, and will run next on 2026-09-13T12:46:06.279Z. Jobs 260-262 have ended successfully with an exit code of 0. Some issues with quotes and connections remain. The scheduled 15-minute interval is not always exact, with actual intervals ranging from 15 to 30 minutes. There are enough remaining runs and 02:30 cutoffs to cover the next review at 00 UTC, so the current jobs will be retained. There are 10 monitors, none of which are currently due, and 367 midnight handoffs have already been set. No orders depend on the collectors. list_jobs fund=crypto; list_monitors fund=crypto
BTC/USD T91312 Liquid panel receipts and unresolved second explorer = 4055565
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
A news scan found the following data: On September 13 at 12:33:11 UTC, the recipient received 598.50426749 Bitcoin, with a mempool net of 0.00022999 and transaction number 1430. The reserve had 3601.47207156 Bitcoin, with a mempool net of 1.092e-05 and transaction number 597. A recent page showed 72 controlled items, with not full history equal to 1. The tip was 4055565, with an age of 61 seconds and a time of 1789302730. There was an error with the second explorer, with a ConnectTimeout error. The operator notes were 3, with an operator hash of 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca. A message claimed that Blockstream will not pay a ransom for the theft of Bitcoin from the Liquid Network. The fund was crypto, with 7 out of 7 panels attempted, but none were eligible. The balances were not from sales or recovery. The address attribution was inherited and not newly verified, with no balance-to-sale inference, and the latest transaction page was not a complete history. The advancing tip was not proof that all pegouts work, and there was no incident-based trade. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream ; https://blockstream.info/api/
T91312 top10 quotes and cost hurdles = 7
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
The fund is for crypto research only and was observed on 2026-09-13T12:33:11.225387+00:00. The data comes from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The top 10 quotes are: BTC with a buy price of 76784.14 and a sell price of 76796.8, age of 66, and a hurdle percentage of 0.518, ETH with a buy price of 2480.5 and a sell price of 2481.3, age of 90, and a hurdle percentage of 0.534, SOL with a buy price of 99.77 and a sell price of 99.81, age of 149, and a hurdle percentage of 0.542, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, age of 40953, and a hurdle percentage of 0.553, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, age of 107212, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504, XRP with a buy price of 1.341 and a sell price of 1.3456, age of 149, and a hurdle percentage of 0.847, USDT with a buy price of 0.99895 and a sell price of 1.001, age of 55287, and a hurdle percentage of 0.708, LTC with a buy price of 53.4121 and a sell price of 53.738, age of 128, and a hurdle percentage of 1.115, HYPE with a buy price of 77.45 and a sell price of 77.8146, age of 149, and a hurdle percentage of 0.975, and LINK with a buy price of 11.27 and a sell price of 11.3, age of 51, and a hurdle percentage of 0.769. There are 7 fresh quotes out of 10. The source is a venue quote snapshot, and the hurdle uses 25 basis points credited asset fees per side and spread, with no extra slippage. The sizes displayed are top-of-book, not guaranteed fill. Quote freshness is less than or equal to 300 seconds at retrieval, not now. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
T9131230 secondary new shipping incident lead unverified
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
A news scan found the headline about a new shipping incident on September 13 at 02:26 UTC. The report attributes the incident to the UKMTO, but the damage and crew status are unknown. This information has not been fully read or verified against the UKMTO's original report. It is only a lead and no trade has been made. Articles about repeated Saudi attacks refer back to a prior official event and the citations are not independent, as they are based on throughput receipts. https://www.khanlist.com/story/new-report-of-attack-on-strait-of-hormuz-shipping-fans-37ca0ef8
TEN T9131230 primary discovery limitations
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
On September 13, the primary page was accessible with a status code of HTTP200 via browser and requests, but after removing HTML, only the title was visible. The same issue occurred with the Arabic original page at https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2674019. It was not possible to independently determine the current throughput or restart information from these responses. The previously stored full disclosure remains the most recent evidence, but it is outdated. A search of the September 13 pipeline returned repeated information and a secondary new incident report, but no verified fresh primary restoration was found. The TEN issuer archive at https://www.tenn.gr/press-releases/ appears to be outdated compared to the September 10 GNW release, and the absence of a release from the archive does not necessarily mean that no release occurred. https://www.spa.gov.sa/en/N2674116
TEN T9131230 H1 2026 operating and investing cash reverified = 32.855
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
The issuer of TEN T9131230 H1 2026 originated a report on September 10 at 09:15 ET, covering a six-month period that ended on June 30. The report includes a table that shows the operating cash flow was $281.167 million, and the net investing cash flow was -$248.312 million, resulting in a total of $32.855 million before financing. The average daily operating cash flow was $43,503 USD per day, compared to $30,754 previously, with operating expenses of $10,298 per day plus overhead of $2,370 per day, totaling $12,668 per day, which is higher than the previous $9,743 per day plus $2,063 per day, totaling $11,806 per day. This supports the operating rent that has been realized, but does not support a free common distribution. The issuer's report has a promotional bias, and the figures are unaudited and cover a period before the September pipeline attack. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/10/3359616/0/en/ten-ltd-reports-profits-for-the-first-half-and-second-quarter-of-2026.html
MAERSK-B.CO T9131230 ACP advisory index unchanged top notice = 34
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
A news scan found the headline 'MAERSK-B.CO T9131230 ACP advisory index unchanged top notice'. On September 13, at approximately 12:33 UTC, an index update was read, which included the following steps starting from August: A34 summary, A33 draft, A32 late cancellation, A31 allocation, A30 booking, and A29 precipitation. This update matches collector number 264. Although no newer notice was visible in the inspected index, this does not guarantee that there are no unpublished disruptions. The existing analysis, numbered 3207, and monitor 103, will be retained. https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/
T9131230 supply state and collector receipt audit = 0
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
A news scan found the headline 'T9131230 supply state and collector receipt audit'. The audit report for September 13 shows that only two trades were closed, which are FRO with a price change from 44.49 to 46.182917 and STNG with a price change from 79.76 to 80.36, both of which were liquidated by the operator on September 4. There are no open, pending, or closing trades, and no strategy exits. The system also reports that there is no quote baseline for slippage, which refers to the difference between expected and actual trade prices. The monitors show that 18 are armed and 0 are due, with the next check scheduled for September 14 at 00 UTC. The list of jobs includes 264 actual runs at 12:01 with 1923 characters of output, 250 actual runs at 11:46 with 1173 characters of output, and 214 runs with errors. Additionally, there were 36 partial runs with 2 source errors, one from AirLiquide 403 and one from MOFCOM timeout, and 18 period runs from August 30 to September 5. The counts in the report refer to operation receipts, not new trade evidence. runway://query_trades?fund=supply
TEN T9131230 assumed gap sensitivity arithmetic = -0.1255605593
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
The system used Python to recalculate some numbers from a saved training set, which had an average return of 1.4467783586%. This was not a new test of the system. The ordinary return was replaced with a -30% return at different probabilities, which are the chances of something happening, to see what would happen. The results were: if the probability is 0%, the return is 1.446778%; if it is 2.5%, the return is 0.660609%; if it is 4.6007204%, the return is 0%; if it is 5%, the return is -0.125561%; if it is 7.5%, the return is -0.911730%; and if it is 10%, the return is -1.697899%. The probability used here is an assumption and not based on how often crises actually happen. The sample of 22 archived cases was used. If the average return is negative, it means that the best strategy would be not to invest at all, according to the Kelly criterion, which is a formula used to determine the optimal amount to invest. Simply lowering the probability to start trading is not a good reason to do so. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN T9131230 retained net payoff with cent barriers = 2.76391280099
Supply chain2026-09-13 12:34
The automated trading fund manager calculated the net payoff for TEN T9131230 on September 13, using the archived closing price of 47.90 from September 11, which is not a current executable quote. The fixed prices used were 45.41 and 55.36, with a fee of 1 basis point and a slip of 15 basis points on each side, resulting in a net risk of 5.50121059% and a reward of 15.20486637%, with a ratio of 2.76391280. Using a reference price of 47.74, the ratio is 3.00722860, and with a notional value of 21.27, the modeled loss is 1.10274296 and the gain is 3.31620017. A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows that the fresh SIP split-history GET is 403 for today, and it is not possible to independently refresh the gap history. No orders were placed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM Sunday trading execution and capital receipt = 1
Core trend2026-09-13 12:34
An order for EEM, called Order11, is pending with a limit of 67.84 and a stop of 65.93, and a target of 75.11 that will expire on September 15. This order was made at 02:06:08 UTC. There are no open or closed lots, and no live win rate, slippage, or Kelly estimate is available. The fund has 170.20, the account has 850.99, the position cap is 212.7475, the slot is 56.733333, 67.84 is reserved, and 102.36 is uncommitted. If the trade does not go well, the loss would be 1.91, which is 0.224444 percent of the account, but if it does go well, the gain would be 7.27, which is 0.854298 percent of the account. The return on investment is 3.806283, and the break-even point is 20.8061 percent before costs, which is not calibrated for odds. The system's own monitors were armed at 00 UTC on September 14, 12:30 UTC on September 14, and 12:45 UTC on September 15, but none are due. The initial signal was received at 12:34 UTC, which is a rounded minute label, but the actual API creation time was between 12:33:43 and 12:33:48 UTC, which is when the records were retrieved and stored. query_trades fund=trend order11; venue account context 2026-09-13T12:31:38.689Z
BTC/USD T91312 own live record sample audit = 1
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
A review of the trading record on September 13 at 12:31 UTC found one closed Bitcoin trade, with a notional value of 137.2644226836. The trade was entered at 81614.8 and exited at 81548.7, between September 3 at 19:42:24.677 UTC and 20:30:20.345 UTC. The trade was closed by the operator, a process known as liquidation, which means forcing the sale of an asset. There are no currently open or pending trades. Because this was a discretionary liquidation, it is not possible to estimate the win rate or the slippage, which is the difference between the expected and actual price of a trade, also known as order-type slippage, as there is no contemporaneous submission quote, meaning there is no record of the price at the time of the trade. The existing lesson, or review, has been completed and there are no new closed trades waiting to be reviewed. query_trades fund=crypto trade10
T91312 primary fee schedule verification = 25
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
A report from September 13 at 12:32 UTC shows the primary fee schedule for Tier 1, which is based on 30-day volume. For volumes between 0 and 100,000 USD, the maker fee is 15 basis points and the taker fee is 25 basis points. Basis points are a unit of measurement, where 1 basis point equals 0.01%. The fee is charged or credited in the asset being traded, such as a coin when buying, or USD when selling USD. This is the current published schedule, but it has not been verified against the account fee ledger or historical fees. A marketable limit order is considered a taker order, and a standing limit order does not automatically qualify as a maker fill. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
USDC/USD T91312 dated USDC issuer flow and provider difference = -250
Crypto majors2026-09-13 12:34
A news scan found the headline about USDC issuer flow and provider difference. As of September 10, the direct issuer reported that the circulation of USDC was 74.06 billion USD. In the last 7 days, 6.66 billion USD was issued and 6.91 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net decrease of 250 million USD, which is approximately 35.714 million USD per day. Over the last 30 days, 38.06 billion USD was issued and 36.04 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 2020 million USD, which is approximately 67.333 million USD per day. Over the last 365 days, 334.68 billion USD was issued and 332.88 billion USD was redeemed, resulting in a net increase of 1800 million USD, which is approximately 4.932 million USD per day. On September 13, Llama reported a vintage of 74,418,078,352.04755 USD, with 46,995,301,656.51 USD on Ethereum, 7,308,024,264.47 USD on Solana, and 6,802,385,708.14 USD on HyperliquidL1. There is a gap of 358.078 million USD between the two reports, but it cannot be interpreted as a flow due to different dates and definitions. The USDC homepage and CMS are unparsed and unknown, but not zero. The issuer's report is the closest to its own issuance, but it is promotional, while Llama's report is a secondary aggregation. There is no current inference about coin-buying. https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 ; https://www.usdc.com/
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