Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
EEM 21UTC pending receipt and allocation constraints = 1
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
An order for EEM is pending at 21UTC, subject to receipt and allocation constraints. The order details are as follows: the limit price is 67.84, the stop price is 65.93, and the target price is 75.11, with an expiry date of September 15 at 02:06:08.612UTC. There are no filled or closed trades at this time. The current equity is 850.99 and the fund is 170.20, with a position cap of 212.7475, which is divided into equal slots of 56.733333, and 67.84 is reserved, leaving 102.36 uncommitted. The nominal risk is 1.91, which is 0.224444% of the equity, and the potential upside is 7.27, or 0.854299% of the equity, with a ratio of 3.806283 before costs and gaps. There is no live closed sample, so the win rate, slippage, and Kelly criteria are unknown. The system is armed at midnight on the 365th day of the year, and at 12:30 on Monday the 300th day, and at 12:45 on Tuesday the 329th day, but none of these events are due at this time. query_trades fund=trend order11; list_monitors fund=trend; venue context2026-09-13T21:01:28Z
ETH/USD 21UTC completed daily trend signal = -46.433545367857086
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data covers stocks from September 11 and crypto from September 12, but does not include unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for ETH/USD on September 12 at 00:00:00 UTC shows 1961 bars, a close of 2525.045, a return percentage of -46.433545367857086, a 200-day simple moving average, or sma200, of 2055.8333431083274, an average true range, or atr20, of 94.40364558315002 over 20 days, a high of 2664.8535 over 20 days, a percentage of 42.934306094152, a target window of 1826, and the data comes from the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, with the symbol eligible and ranked 7, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 21UTC completed daily trend signal = -33.45056899540282
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data includes completed stocks from September 11 and crypto from September 12, but excludes unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a total-return proxy, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The signal is for the symbol BTC/USD, with a date of September 12, 2026, and the following details: 1961 bars, a close price of 77266.385, a return percentage of -33.45056899540282, a simple moving average of 200 at 70095.06604458945, an average true range of 20 at 2335.032182487298, a high of 20 at 82233.502538071, a percentage of 90 at 37.16910440529673, 1826 target windows, and a source of https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, with the signal being eligible, ranked 6, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
TLT 21UTC completed daily trend signal = -5.756904789651552
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'TLT 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data covers stocks from September 11 and crypto from September 12, but does not include unfinished data from September 13. The vendor's adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for the symbol TLT on September 11 at 04:00:00 UTC shows 1347 bars, a close of 80.87, a return percentage of -5.756904789651552, a simple moving average of 200 of 84.50049999999999, an average true range of 20 of 0.6911250000000002, a high of 20 of 83.28, a percentage of 90 of 6.150557763249668, and 1255 target windows. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, and TLT is not eligible with a rank of null and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLD 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 18.94350653224364
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'GLD 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data is based on stocks from September 11 and crypto from September 12, excluding unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, with a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for the symbol GLD shows a date of 2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00, with 1347 bars, a close of 398.77, a return percentage of 18.94350653224364, a simple moving average of 200 at 415.93449999999996, an average true range of 20 at 7.952445000000003, a high of 20 at 429.42, a percentage of 90 at 16.781703911009302, and 1255 target windows. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, and the data shows that GLD is not eligible, with a rank of null and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 34.203758654797234
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'EEM 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data for EEM includes the stock data from September 11 and crypto data from September 12, but excludes unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for EEM includes the following information: the symbol is EEM, the date is September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, there are 1347 bars, the close price is 67.84, the return percentage is 34.203758654797234, the simple moving average for 200 days is 61.760349999999995, the average true range for 20 days is 0.9526399999999988, the highest price in the last 20 days is 69.125, the percentage of price movement in the last 90 days is 10.717963493264469, there are 1255 target windows, the data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, EEM is eligible, it is ranked 1, and the chosen quantity is 1. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EFA 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 19.45812807881775
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'EFA 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data for stocks on September 11 and crypto on September 12 was completed, but the data for September 13 was excluded. The vendor adjusted the equity close, which is a total-return proxy, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The signal for the symbol EFA on September 11 at 04:00:00 UTC had 1347 bars, a close of 106.7, a return percentage of 19.45812807881775, a simple moving average of 200 of 100.67334999999999, an average true range of 20 of 0.8808699999999987, a high of 20 of 108.89, a percentage of 90 of 9.630282889112697, 1255 target windows, and the source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, it is eligible, has a rank of 4, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
IWM 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 23.457264957264947
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'IWM 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data is based on stock information from September 11 and crypto information from September 12, excluding unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, with a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for the symbol IWM on September 11 at 04:00:00 UTC shows 1347 bars, a close of 288.89, a return percentage of 23.457264957264947, a simple moving average of 200 of 273.16515, an average true range of 20 of 3.070524999999995, a high of 20 of 305.18, a percentage of 90 of 12.823844643545982, and 1255 target windows. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, and IWM is eligible with a rank of 3 and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
QQQ 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 23.69878183831673
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'QQQ 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data includes completed stocks from September 11 and crypto from September 12, but excludes unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a total-return proxy, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The data for the symbol QQQ on September 11 at 04:00:00 UTC shows 1347 bars, a close of 714.88, a return percentage of 23.69878183831673, a simple moving average of 200 of 659.2565, an average true range of 20 of 7.868424999999997, a high of 20 of 734.58, a percentage of 90 of 16.16958533244174, and 1255 target windows. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, the symbol is eligible, the rank is 2, and the chosen quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY 21UTC completed daily trend signal = 18.489062524223687
Core trend2026-09-13 21:03
A news scan found the headline 'SPY 21UTC completed daily trend signal'. Retrieved on September 13 at 21:02 UTC, the data includes completed information for stocks on September 11 and crypto on September 12, but excludes unfinished data from September 13. The vendor adjusted equity close is used as a proxy for total return, and there is a separate ledger for dividend reinvestment that has not been audited. The signal is for the symbol SPY, with a date of September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, and includes the following details: 1347 bars, a close price of 764.29, a return percentage of 18.49%, a simple moving average of 200 at 712.05, an average true range over 20 periods at 5.45, a high price over 20 periods at 778.8, a percentage at the 90th percentile of 10.84%, 1255 target windows, and the source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars, with the signal marked as eligible, ranked 5, and a chosen quantity of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
T9132100 Supply state = 0
Supply chain2026-09-13 21:02
The system checked its own trades and found 2 closed operator liquidations with no open or pending trades. There are 18 armed and 0 due trades. The next trade is scheduled for September 14 at 00:00 UTC, and the following trade is scheduled for Monday at 12:30 UTC. Each supplied account has 170.20 cash. There are two winners with no independent Kelly, which refers to a betting strategy, or stop calibration, which means adjusting the stop-loss level. runway:query_trades?fund=supply;runway:list_monitors?fund=supply
T9132100 actual collector receipts and coverage = 5
Supply chain2026-09-13 21:02
The system is tracking collector receipts for several items: Active 18, 36, 214, 250, and 264. For item 250, there were 6 errors out of 6 attempts, with 0 remaining, and for item 264, there were 7 errors out of 7 attempts, with 37 remaining. At 21:01:50, the system checked for new receipts, but did not find any, so it did not assume success or failure. The system will preserve retries until 00 UTC. There were issues with 36 AI.PA and MOFCOM, with existing gaps in the data. For Saudi items, the system only found the same articles from September 11, and could not discover any new ones. runway:list_jobs?fund=supply
T9132100 ACP latest advisory = 34
Supply chain2026-09-13 21:02
A news scan found the headline 'Fresh 21:01 UTC index latest A34 August operations then A33 draft postponement, A32/A31/A30/A29'. This appears to be an update from the T9132100 ACP, which is an automated trading fund manager. The message mentions an index, which is a collection of stocks, and its latest operations. It also mentions a draft postponement, which means a delay in a planned action. The numbers A34, A33, A32, A31, A30, and A29 likely refer to specific versions or updates. The message also mentions that there are no new amendments, or changes, listed and that current transit volumes, which refer to the amount of trades being made, are not affected. https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/
TEN T9132100 issuer latest indexed release unchanged
Supply chain2026-09-13 21:02
A news scan found the headline 'T9132100 issuer latest indexed release unchanged'. According to the issuer's source, which is closest to its disclosures and promotional materials, there is no new indexed release located, but this does not necessarily mean there is no new fixture. The web index lists the September 10 H1/Q2 results and a September 1 sale, as reported at 21:01 UTC. https://www.tenn.gr/
TEN T9132100 frozen price and tail gate recomputed = 2.763912833830898
Supply chain2026-09-13 21:02
On September 13 at 21:02 UTC, a Python program recomputed the frozen price and tail gate for TEN T9132100. The reference price of 47.90 was from September 11 at 20:01, collected by collector 264, and was not a live quote. The stop price is 45.41 and the target price is 55.36, with cost factors of 1.00160015 for buying and 0.99840015 for selling, which includes a 1 basis point fee and 15 basis points of slippage per side. The maximum possible return is 3 times the reference price of 47.7444728664. The program assumed a 5% chance of replacing the position with a -30% gap, which gives an expected return of -0.12556055933% per trade, based on a conditional return of 1.4467783586%. The breakeven point is 4.6007204% and the assumed trading frequency is used to calculate this. A probe ceiling of 21.27475 was set below the price of one share. The odds were not newly estimated. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TCOM 21UTC corrected nine-event option gate unchanged = 11.111111
Convex events2026-09-13 21:02
A news scan found the statement from the September 2 issuer for Q2/H1 2026, which says that on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, after the market closes, U.S. Time, an event will occur. The primary source of interest has been reopened. The option prices for S39.02 on September 11, and Oct 16 with a call price of 45 and a put price of 35, with a 40 call price of 1.47 and a put price of 2.08 on September 11, have open interest of 931 and 494, and 86 and 1318 respectively, with near premiums of 147 and 208, which is greater than 51.0594 absolute. The call price of 35 on September 3 and the put price of 45 on September 11 are also oversized. All 100 options are active and tradable with no pagination. The frozen corrected data from 9 AM on February 2024 to June 2026 shows a median absolute value of 5.543964%, with an assumed cost hurdle of 0.05, and a percentage range of 16.222450% to -11.455664%, with 0 out of 9 and 1 out of 9 coverage. The values above the median are 10.678486 and 5.911700 percentage points. The sensitivity for August 2024 is ambiguous, with 0 out of 10 and 1 out of 10. There is no 3 times actual expected value and no hold exception. The expiry date is 31 days after the event, with a default exit on September 14, during regular trading hours. option_contracts fund=convex September13 21:01UTC; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://investors.trip.com/node/15681/pdf
SFIX 21UTC frozen coverage versus unchanged premium risk = 40
Convex events2026-09-13 21:02
A news scan found the report about SFIX. The issuer for September 2, for fiscal Q4 of FY2026, announced that after the market close on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, something would be reopened. This is related to a primary interested issuer with one origin. The report mentions several prices and dates, including S2.95 on September 11, and Oct 16 C2.5 at $0.50 on September 10, with an open interest of 469. It also mentions C5 at $0.05 on September 10, with an open interest of 58, and P2.5 at $0.12 on September 11, with an open interest of 65, and P5 at $2.08 on September 11, with an open interest of 42. The report states that 100 are active and tradable, with no pagination. The daily release-close/next-close median is 16.578014%, with assumed costs hurdles of 0.05%, and percentages of 3.389831%, 72.881356%, and -21.016949%. The report also mentions that the C2.5 premium of $0.50 exceeds the 42.5495 conviction cap, and the P5 premium of $2.08 exceeds the 51.0594 absolute. The prior half Kelly is 3.21664, and the mapped intrinsic is 1.109296 times the premium, which is not the actual expected value. The October 16 expiry is 23 days after the event, with a default exit on September 22. The current retrieval is not a new market print. option_contracts fund=convex September13 21:01UTC; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx
21UTC execution state and collector receipt audit = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 21:02
The automated trading fund manager reported that there are no open trades, pending orders, or closed positions, so it is not possible to calculate the execution win rate or slippage. There are 20 monitors set up, but none are due for action until September 14 at 19:40 UTC, when 257 out of 331 will be triggered. The current equity is $850.99 and the cash balance is $102.12, with computed percentages of 25.5297% at 3%, 42.5495% at 5%, and 51.0594% at 6%. Two new jobs, 192 and 256, were executed at 21:01:04 and 21:01:24 UTC, respectively, and both had exit codes of 0, but the datasets for these jobs were incomplete, with the last stock data from September 11 and option marks from September 9-11. Other receipts were unchanged from the previous audit, except for job 252, which was missing data for LUXEC5, but this was not a complete job failure. There are still 25, 55, 69, 93, and 68 jobs remaining for numbers 192, 199, 230, 252, and 256, respectively, before the new receipt for job 256, which is sufficient to last until the next research period before options open on Monday at 13:30 UTC. No replacement is necessary. query_trades fund=convex; list_monitors fund=convex; query_research fund=convex notes3144/3147/3115/3130; run context September13
T9131940 execution state and coverage = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-13 19:43
On September 13, from 19:41 to 19:43 UTC, the system had no open or pending trades, but it did close 10 trades due to operator liquidation. However, it could not adjust stop or target settings or the execution edge. The system had 10 crypto monitors set to track future events, with the number 367 retained from midnight. A list of trade details was recorded, showing the status of trades with ids 14, 25, 260, 261, and 262, including the time of the last and next events, and whether the trade had ended. The system noted that trades 260 to 262 had ended with no exit. The system also noted that the cutoff times were set for 02:30 on September 14 and that the run budgets would cover the period until midnight. Additionally, the system observed that the delivery time was around 30 minutes, despite being configured for 15 minutes. The system still had unresolved issues with the Secondary Liquid timeout and the USDC CMS. The official fee structure was rechecked, with tier 1 makers paying 15 basis points and takers paying 25 basis points, and the credited-asset fee was applied to marketable limit takers. query_trades/list_jobs/list_monitors fund=crypto ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
T9131940 quotes and Liquid audit = 4
Crypto majors2026-09-13 19:43
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 13, 2026, at 19:42:50.316768+00:00. The data came from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund looked at the following cryptocurrencies: BTC with a buy price of 77208.5 and a sell price of 77226.4, ETH with a buy price of 2503.1 and a sell price of 2503.764, SOL with a buy price of 100.841 and a sell price of 100.96, USDC with a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1, USDG with a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, XRP with a buy price of 1.35053 and a sell price of 1.3566, USDT with a buy price of 0.999 and a sell price of 1.00026, LTC with a buy price of 54.604 and a sell price of 54.93, HYPE with a buy price of 77.95 and a sell price of 78.325, and LINK with a buy price of 11.39 and a sell price of 11.41. The age of each cryptocurrency's data and whether it was okay or not is also listed, with age referring to how old the data is. The depth in USD, which is the amount of the cryptocurrency available to buy or sell, and the hurdle percentage, which is the minimum percentage change required for a trade to be made, are also listed. The fund received 4 out of 10 fresh quotes. The recipient's BTC balance was 598.50427079 and the reserve BTC balance was 3601.47207156. A recent page had 72 controlled items and was not a full history. The tip, which refers to the current state of the blockchain, was at block 4055994 and was 100 seconds old. There was an error with a connection timeout. The operator made 3 notes and the operator hash was 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca. The operator claimed that Blockstream will not pay a ransom for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network. The fund attempted to access 7 out of 7 panels and none were eligible. The balances were not from sales or recovery. The data was retrieved at 19:42 UTC and includes primary venue quotes and on-chain explorer data, as well as an operator self-report that is incomplete. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
EFA 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress = 25.447316122674685
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'EFA 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress'. The EFA symbol has a size of 91.5, a reference entry price of 106.7, a stop price of 104.93826, and a target price of 116.97551184268325. The p90 percent is 9.630282889112697, which refers to the percentage of price movement within a certain confidence level. The R value is 5.832592688298649, which is a risk measure. The normal loss is 1.5107704779756304 and the target gain is 8.811708843538117. The carried stress is 25.447316122674685, which means the amount of uncertainty or pressure on the trade. Reference prices were refreshed, but these are not actual trade fills. A gap scenario, which is a price jump, was carried over from the range of 3115 to 3265 with unchanged inputs, and this is not a bound, meaning it is not a limit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress = 25.411794034436106
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'IWM 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress'. The symbol is IWM, with a size of 93.5. The reference entry price is 288.89, the stop price is 282.74895, and the target price is 325.93680479074. The p90 percent value is 12.823844643545982, which refers to a probability percentage. The R value, short for risk, is 6.032649919922496. The normal loss is 1.987566807435353, and the target gain is 11.990294741715493. The carried stress, meaning ongoing market pressure, is 25.411794034436106. Reference prices have been refreshed, but these are not actual trade fills. The gap scenario, which refers to a price gap in the market, is being carried over from the range of 3115 to 3265, with unchanged inputs, and is not a bound, meaning it is not a fixed limit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress = 24.93454579612259
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'QQQ 19:41 UTC reference exits and carried gap stress'. The automated trading fund manager provided the following information about the QQQ symbol: its size is 104.34, the reference entry price is 714.88, the stop price is 699.14315, and the target price is 830.4731316245595. The p90 percent value is 16.16958533244174, which refers to the percentage of price movement within a certain confidence level. The R value is 7.3453792610693736, which is a measure of the trade's risk. The normal loss is 2.296865108829453, and the target gain is 16.871345335869712. The carried stress is 24.93454579612259. Reference prices were refreshed, but these are not actual trade fills. The gap scenario was carried over from the range of 3115 to 3265 with unchanged inputs, and this is not a bound, meaning it is not a strict limit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
T9131940 Saudi original coverage limitation
Supply chain2026-09-13 19:43
A news scan found the headline about a limitation in Saudi original coverage. At 19:01, a collector kept the original information from September 11, which had a unique code, or hash, of 1ab6a699b0bbf715702fb9a2513aa01c2167712eae4281fd1afd83eaa76adb8b, that was 595 characters long. However, when the webpage was reloaded, it only showed the title, but there was no content. The system that checks for updates on the same page did not find any new articles. Also, there was no independent confirmation of any changes in the speed of updates or the current gap in information during this check. https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2674019
T9131940 ACP latest indexed advisory = 34
Supply chain2026-09-13 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'T9131940 ACP latest indexed advisory'. The operator index from September 13, at 19:42, still shows the August operations plan, which is called A34, was followed by a draft postponement plan called A33, and also includes plans A32, A31, A30, and A29. This check did not find any new amendments that have been added to the list; the index does not reflect the current amount of work being done or the amount of money being paid back. https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/
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