XLE R91906 latest available IEX pending-limit distance = 0.39000000000000057
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the data line for XLE with the following information: the daily bar for September 18, 2026, had a close price of 64.3, a high of 64.74, a low of 64.1, and a volume of 1,977,479. The latest quote as of September 18, 2026, 20:00:00, had an ask price of 66.46, a bid price of 62.38, and a trade size of 100. The latest trade on September 18, 2026, 20:12:51, had a price of 64.24 and a size of 100. The minute bar for September 18, 2026, 20:12:00, had a close price of 64.24, a high of 64.24, and a low of 64.24, with a volume of 206. The previous daily bar for September 17, 2026, had a close price of 64.46, a high of 64.515, and a low of 63.46, with a volume of 3,141,821. A system note on September 19 stated that trades and quotes from September 18 were no longer executable based on current consolidated quotes, and there was no trigger greater than one Average True Range, or ATR, which is a measure of price volatility. The system also reported that 12 or 13 of its own orders were pending, with no fills or closures, and that job 273 had its last actual end on September 2, with an exit at 0 verified on September 19 at 05:31.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM,XLE&feed=iex
XLE R91906 P90 overlap regime and block-bootstrap sensitivity = 0.20627946697730823
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the following data: the XLE R91906 P90 overlap regime and block-bootstrap sensitivity analysis has the following results. The analysis has 1255 data points, with a p90 value of 0.20627946697730823. The phase with the minimum number of data points has 20 data points, with a minimum p90 value of 0.12392865415798004, a maximum p90 value of 0.24968612680477076, and a median p90 value of 0.19552896672617723. The lag1 autocorrelation is 0.9748081682080109. The analysis is divided into regimes, which are descriptive and not used for strategy performance. The regimes are: 2021-2023, with 574 data points, a p90 value of 0.23007116163363708, a median value of 0.0714872194060826, and a positive fraction of 0.6358885017421603; and 2024-2026, with 681 data points, a p90 value of 0.17315436241610738, a median value of 0.02623419985690445, and a positive fraction of 0.6431718061674009. The bootstrap analysis, which is a statistical method to estimate uncertainty, used 3000 replicates for each of the 20, 60, and 120 contiguous blocks, with the following results: for 20 blocks, the p025 value is 0.16790915033887197, the p50 value is 0.20514469344614333, and the p975 value is 0.24985695212664516; for 60 blocks, the p025 value is 0.1428556477243169, the p50 value is 0.20465267149470234, and the p975 value is 0.26745474695234583; and for 120 blocks, the p025 value is 0.13197114410645705, the p50 value is 0.20514469344614333, and the p975 value is 0.27155452738871005. The returns are decimal, measured from September 19, with endpoints from September 20, 2021, to September 18, 2026. The phase offsets are from 0 to 59, selecting every 60th gain, with 20-21 observations per phase, and the phases are mutually dependent. The bootstrap samples are already-computed overlapping 60-day gains, not price paths, with 3000 replicates each for 20, 60, and 120 contiguous blocks, trimmed to 1255 data points, with a shared seed of 190906 across symbols.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2020-09-01&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&symbols=XLE
EEM R91906 latest available IEX pending-limit distance = 0.3299999999999983
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the latest available data for EEM. The daily bar for September 18, 2026, shows a closing price of 67.045, a high of 67.065, a low of 66.57, and a volume of 1,086,450. The latest quote, as of September 18, 2026, 20:58:12, has an ask price of 67.2 and a bid price of 67. The latest trade, which occurred on September 18, 2026, 20:06:00, was at a price of 67.04. A minute bar, which is a measure of price movement over a short period of time, shows a closing price of 67.04 at 20:06:00 on September 18, 2026. The previous daily bar, from September 17, 2026, had a closing price of 66.9. As of September 19, 06:03, trades and quotes from September 18 are no longer executable due to current consolidated quotes. There was no trigger greater than one Average True Range, which is a measure of price volatility. The system had 12 pending orders and 0 fills or closed orders. The last actual job, number 273, ended at 05:31 on September 19, with an exit of 0 verified.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM,XLE&feed=iex
EEM R91906 P90 overlap regime and block-bootstrap sensitivity = 0.10717963493264468
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the following data: it is about the EEM R91906 P90 overlap regime and block-bootstrap sensitivity. The data includes the total number of observations, which is 1255, and the p90 value, which is 0.10717963493264468. The phase n min is 20, the phase p90 min is 0.07540263543191794, the phase p90 max is 0.14458626760563376, and the phase p90 median is 0.10173991473304134. The lag1 autocorrelation is 0.9728633701779442. There are regimes for 2021-2023 and 2024-2026. For 2021-2023, the number of observations is 574, the p90 is 0.06266292439569249, the median is -0.028084907181099905, and the positive fraction is 0.32926829268292684. For 2024-2026, the number of observations is 681, the p90 is 0.1214176329030845, the median is 0.05283289505139854, and the positive fraction is 0.8575624082232012. The bootstrap results are also provided, with 3000 draws for 20, 60, and 120 contiguous blocks. The returns are decimal and were measured from September 19 to September 20, 2021-2026. Phase offsets select every 60th gain, with 20-21 observations per phase, and phases are mutually dependent. Bootstrap samples are already-computed overlapping 60-day gains, not price paths, with a seed of 190906 shared across symbols. The regimes are descriptive and do not represent holdout strategy performance.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2020-09-01&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&symbols=EEM
06UTC ledger and collector receipt = 0
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:04
The automated trading fund manager's own query of trades is empty, meaning there are no closed trades. The current equity is $1000, cash is $1000, and the capital is $260, based on the supplied account state. Job 275 is active, with 28 runs left, and the last run was on 2026-09-19 at 04:16, which resulted in an exit of 0, with an actual end of 11/11 confirmed. The next run is scheduled for September 20 at 04:16. The fund manager preserved Monday's amounts of $401 and $382. Another fund, XLE, has a pending amount of $64.63, plus a planned amount of $86.66, totaling $151.29, which is less than $250. There were no changes to orders or monitors during this run. The first technical analysis was rejected because the body exceeded 4000 characters, but a compact full table retry was accepted with 3460 characters.
query_trades:sector-rot; list_jobs:sector-rot; supplied2026-09-19T06:01 context
06UTC synchronized bootstrap 2026_ohlc_stop_first
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the calculation results for September 19, based on data up to September 18. The results are from 10,000 paths, 63 sessions, and 5-day circular blocks, with a seed of 91906, and orders for XLK, XLE, and XLV. The calculation used fixed bracket sensitivity and produced the following output: the stop fraction was 0.6653, 0.4315, and 0.6444, the target fraction was 0.2613, 0.3675, and 0.2239, and the still open fraction was 0.0734, 0.201, and 0.1317. There were no same day dual touches. The cost results for a cost of 0.0006 were a mean of 10.487126523557388 USD, with a 5th percentile of -9.006085060265521 USD, a 50th percentile of 12.002785508622797 USD, and a 95th percentile of 31.210347145549537 USD, a loss probability of 0.1854, and no lots with a loss over 20. The cost results for a cost of 0.002 were a mean of 9.730876411947547 USD, with a 5th percentile of -9.707830420686625 USD, a 50th percentile of 11.242297479853287 USD, and a 95th percentile of 30.396153068217362 USD, a loss probability of 0.1939, and no lots with a loss over 20.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC synchronized bootstrap 2026_close
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the calculation results for September 19, based on data up to September 18. The calculation used 10,000 paths, 63 sessions, and 5-day circular blocks, with a seed of 91906 and an order of XLK, XLE, and XLV. The results had a fixed bracket sensitivity and showed the following output: there were 179 sources and 10,000 paths. The stop fraction was 0.5906, 0.3507, and 0.563. The target fraction was 0.2923, 0.3731, and 0.232. The still open fraction was 0.1171, 0.2762, and 0.205. There were 0 same day dual touches. The cost results for 0.0006 were a mean of 12.8759 USD, with a 5th percentile of -10.0542 USD, a 50th percentile of 12.1888 USD, and a 95th percentile of 32.8963 USD. The loss probability was 0.1428 and there were no lots with a loss over 20. The cost results for 0.002 were a mean of 12.1130 USD, with a 5th percentile of -10.7530 USD, a 50th percentile of 11.4278 USD, and a 95th percentile of 32.0774 USD. The loss probability was 0.1524 and there were no lots with a loss over 20.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
A news scan found the calculation results from September 19, based on data up to September 18. The calculation used 10,000 paths, 63 sessions, and 5-day circular blocks, with a seed of 91906, and ordered XLK, XLE, and XLV. The results had a fixed bracket sensitivity. The output showed the following results: there were 1255 sources and 10,000 paths. The stop fraction was 0.694, 0.6351, and 0.6699. The target fraction was 0.1858, 0.1868, and 0.1752. The still open fraction was 0.1202, 0.1781, and 0.1549. There were no same day dual touches. The cost results for 0.0006 and 0.002 are also given, including mean USD, p05 p50 p95 USD, loss probability, and any lot loss over 20.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC synchronized bootstrap five_year_close
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:04
A news scan found the calculation results for September 19, based on data from September 18. The calculation used 10,000 paths, 63 sessions, and 5-day circular blocks, with a seed of 91906 and the order XLK, XLE, and XLV. The results showed fixed bracket sensitivity only, with the following output: the number of source data points was 1255, the number of paths was 10,000, the stop fraction was 0.6169, 0.5497, and 0.6001, the target fraction was 0.2, 0.1923, and 0.1782, and the still open fraction was 0.1831, 0.258, and 0.2217. There were no same day dual touches. The cost results for a cost of 0.0006 showed a mean of 6.10 USD, with a 5th percentile of -12.83 USD, a 50th percentile of 4.63 USD, and a 95th percentile of 34.66 USD, and a loss probability of 0.396. The cost results for a cost of 0.002 showed a mean of 5.35 USD, with a 5th percentile of -13.52 USD, a 50th percentile of 3.89 USD, and a 95th percentile of 33.84 USD, and a loss probability of 0.4121. In both cases, there was no lot loss over 20.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC joint-risk simulation: correlation
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation used a basket of stocks with equal weights of 93.33 each for EEM, QQQ, and IWM, measured as of September 19. The simulation was based on historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The correlation between the stocks was as follows: EEM was correlated with itself at 1, with QQQ at 0.6929633476476149, and with IWM at 0.6507916837227055. QQQ was correlated with EEM at 0.6929633476476149, with itself at 1, and with IWM at 0.7785802945417117. IWM was correlated with EEM at 0.6507916837227055, with QQQ at 0.7785802945417117, and with itself at 1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: independent_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation used a basket of stocks with equal weights of 93.33 each for EEM, QQQ, and IWM, measured on September 19. The simulation was based on historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. A stop is a rule to sell a stock when it falls to a certain price. The results are model diagnostics, which are not the same as live odds or independent validation. The simulation found the following probabilities and returns: a 1% chance of a return of -19.57%, a 5% chance of a return of -13.44%, a median return of 2.58%, a mean return of 2.68%, a 39.83% chance of loss, a 0.015% chance of a 30% loss, and an expected shortfall of -17.20% at the 5% level.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed the current basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at $93.33 each. It used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The results showed the following probabilities and returns: a 1% probability of loss of -32.76%, a 5% probability of loss of -22.42%, a median return of 1.96%, a mean return of 2.53%, a probability of loss of 44.90%, a probability of loss of 30% or more of 1.50%, and an expected shortfall of -28.61% at the 5% level.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_block
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at $93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The results are model diagnostics and should not be taken as live odds or independent validation. The simulation found the following probabilities and values: a 1% probability of loss of -32.80, a 5% probability of loss of -21.66, a median return of 2.91, a mean return of 2.71, a probability of loss of 42.17%, a probability of loss of 1.58% over 30 days, and an expected shortfall of -28.43.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: seed = 91906
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19. The simulation fixed today's EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The simulation was given the seed 91906.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: end
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19 and the basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM was fixed at a price of 93.33 each as of today. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation, as of the date 2026-09-18.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: start
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation started on September 20, 2021, at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed the prices of the EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket at $93.33 each for today. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: sample = 1255
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the text: Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at 93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops, which are orders to sell when a stock hits a certain price, or ratchets, which are automatic increases in investments, or costs, or rebalance, which is the act of adjusting investments to match a target mix. Model diagnostics, which are tests to see how well a model works, are not live odds, which are current probabilities of something happening, or independent validation, which is verification by a separate source. 1255
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: block = 5
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19. Today, the EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket was fixed at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The result is 5.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: H = 20
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation, and the simulation ran 20 times.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: N = 20000
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The simulation ran 20,000 times.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC quantitative eligible
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
A computer calculation was made at 06UTC on September 19, using a special method to normalize stock price data from September 18. This calculation is descriptive, meaning it simply reports what happened, and does not try to explain why it happened or suggest a trading strategy. The calculation was based on 4 pieces of data.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative indicator_corr
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the quantitative indicator correlation data: Computed at 06UTC on September 19, based on split-normalized bars through September 18. This is a descriptive analysis, with no claim of causal relationship or strategy validation. The correlation data is as follows: {
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative five_year
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
A computer analysis was done at 06UTC on September 19, looking at stock market data from September 18 and earlier. This analysis is just a description of the data and does not try to explain why things happened or suggest a trading strategy. The analysis found the following information about three stock market groups, or sectors, represented by the tickers XLK, XLE, and XLV. The correlation, or how closely the sectors move together, is as follows: XLK and XLE have a correlation of 0.241529, XLK and XLV have a correlation of 0.388204, and XLE and XLV have a correlation of 0.2488. The annual volatility, or how much the sectors typically fluctuate in price, is 0.259766 for XLK, 0.256309 for XLE, and 0.151973 for XLV. The volatility of a basket, or group, of these sectors is 0.162776. The fraction of time all sectors had negative returns is 0.149004. The worst day for the basket had a return of -0.070897.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative 2026
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the following data: Computed at 06UTC on September 19, based on split-normalized bars through September 18, this report is descriptive and does not claim to validate any causal relationships or strategies. The report includes the following information: there are 179 data points, and the correlation between certain stocks is as follows: XLK is perfectly correlated with itself at 1, and has a correlation of -0.247776 with XLE and -0.158572 with XLV, XLE is perfectly correlated with itself at 1 and has a correlation of -0.247776 with XLK and -0.078192 with XLV, and XLV is perfectly correlated with itself at 1 and has a correlation of -0.158572 with XLK and -0.078192 with XLE. The annualized volatility is 0.2835588873548983 for XLK, 0.23328115676346114 for XLE, and 0.16834922354661147 for XLV. The basket annualized volatility is 0.11010394791947922, the fraction of all negative days is 0.061452513966480445, and the worst day for the basket is -0.02626755283184627.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLRE R91906 full daily momentum signal and target = 0.0001291348666397074
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:03
A daily momentum signal for XLRE was measured on September 19, based on data up to September 18, 2026. The data included 1519 bars, with a closing price of 42.53. The returns were -0.054678817515003364 over 21 days, -0.021849126034958477 over 63 days, 0.030281007751937983 over 126 days, and 0.04676347526458269 over 252 days. The score was 0.0001291348666397074. A simple moving average, which is a way to smooth out price changes, over 200 days was 42.77705. The average true range, which measures price volatility, over 20 days was 0.5022400000000001. The highest price over 20 days was 45.465. The p90, which is a measure of the stock's performance, was 0.10853497921567627, based on 1255 data points and 60-session returns over the past 5 calendar years. The stock was not above the limit, which was 42.74. The chosen quantity was 0, indicating no existing or pending orders. The rank was 8, including ineligible names with an above flag.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2020-09-01&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&symbols=XLRE