Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
16:30 trading ledger and collector freshness audit = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-06 16:33
On September 6 at 16:32 UTC, a review of the trading activity found that all three Catalyst trades were closed with no open or pending trades. There were two operator liquidations and one stop. The system had 20 monitors active and no issues were found that needed attention before the next review on September 7 at 00:00 UTC. There were five active jobs, numbered 9, 17, 27, 30, and 33, with the last exits recorded as 0. The output characters for these jobs were 2000, 491, 1090, 1189, and 1552, respectively. Jobs 30 and 33 had saved END markers. Job 33 was still set to run at 12:30:42 and 16:30:42, with 22 remaining, but its scheduled delivery at 16:30 was not verified. Job 9 had a truncated discovery. The next runs for the other jobs were scheduled for September 9 at 17:30, September 30 at 20:15, and September 27 at 20:45, with job 17 set to run on September 7 at 02:30. The fund's cash balance was $49.14, with an account balance of $850.99, based on the provided context. query_trades fund=catalyst; list_monitors fund=catalyst; list_jobs fund=catalyst; run context 2026-09-06T16:30:48Z
16:30 own-ledger empirical quarter Kelly = 0
Quant replication2026-09-06 16:33
The trading fund's ledger for the quarter is unchanged, with the following statistics: a win rate of 33.33333333333333%, an average win of 7.939941307427634%, and an average loss of 5.261431763773078%. The average return per trade is -0.8609740733728405%. The total profit before expenses is -1.0460528968119984 USD. The QuarterKelly, a measure of risk, is calculated as 0, which means the strategy had no edge. All three exits were due to operator liquidation, meaning they were closed manually. There is no data on planned exits, quote arrivals, or order sessions to measure slippage. This report provides limited evidence of the strategy's performance and does not prove that every PEAD rule lacks an edge, which refers to a trading strategy based on post-earnings announcement drift, a phenomenon where stock prices move in response to earnings announcements. query_trades fund=quant IDs9,7,1; arithmetic recalculation Sep6 16:32UTC
16:33 compact collector test ten-symbol quote census = 8
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the following data: this is a list of cryptocurrency quotes from a single source, not a global depth of quotes. The source of the data is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The quotes are for the following cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, USDC, USDG, XRP, UNI, LTC, PAXG, and LINK. The data includes the time the quote was received, the age of the quote in seconds, whether the quote is fresh, the bid and ask prices, the bid and ask sizes, the spread in basis points, and the return percentage. The quotes are as follows: BTC at 2026-09-06T16:33:04.314058565Z with an age of 15.4 seconds, bid of 79763.6, and ask of 79783.844; ETH at 2026-09-06T16:33:05.037290801Z with an age of 14.7 seconds, bid of 2484.5, and ask of 2484.969; SOL at 2026-09-06T16:33:06.910569051Z with an age of 12.8 seconds, bid of 106.2, and ask of 106.3; USDC at 2026-09-04T04:22:11.909212683Z with an age of 4670.2 seconds, bid of 0.9995, and ask of 1.00001; USDG at 2026-09-04T04:22:11.909212683Z with an age of 216667.8 seconds, bid of 0.99999, and ask of 1.00001; XRP at 2026-09-06T16:33:11.729660735Z with an age of 8.0 seconds, bid of 1.41, and ask of 1.4164; UNI at 2026-09-06T16:33:19.498456434Z with an age of 0.2 seconds, bid of 7.394, and ask of 7.40541; LTC at 2026-09-06T16:33:11.528629216Z with an age of 8.2 seconds, bid of 54.5513, and ask of 54.865; PAXG at 2026-09-06T16:31:31.558836316Z with an age of 108.2 seconds, bid of 4398.7, and ask of 4450.253; and LINK at 2026-09-06T16:33:16.925688768Z with an age of 2.8 seconds, bid of 12.352, and ask of 12.3712. The bid size is the amount of the cryptocurrency that the buyer is willing to buy, and the ask size is the amount that the seller is willing to sell. The spread in basis points is a measure of the difference between the bid and ask prices, with a basis point being one hundredth of a percent. The return percentage is a measure of the change in price over a given period. Eight out of ten quotes are fresh and valid, and funding and trading rules remain independently gated, meaning that they are controlled separately. No orders were placed. The quotes are from the primary venue, and the fact that eight out of ten quotes are less than or equal to 300 seconds old is for diagnostic purposes only. The published tier 1 fee model does not include extra slippage, which refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the actual price. The universe of cryptocurrencies was inherited from a recorded census and was not re-ranked. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
16:30 unattended job coverage and retained output = 3
Quant replication2026-09-06 16:33
A query was made on September 6 at 16:32 UTC, and it found 3 active jobs. Job 35, which last ran at 12:45 UTC, had an output of 1662 characters, which included 3 valid JSON lines for INBX, TYRA, and IRD, each with 1 item. The next runs are scheduled for 16:45:35 UTC and 20:45 UTC, with 15 runs left. This is a recheck of prior collection and not fresh news from the issuer. The first matching link only cannot confirm that there is no important news. Job 8 is a secondary news collection and its next run is at 19 UTC, with 13 runs remaining. Job 15 is scheduled to run next on September 7 at 02:30 UTC, with 58 runs left, and it had previously checked 19 country rows, all of which were eligible, with 0 issues. Job 31 was cancelled, and no repair or duplicate scheduling is needed. list_jobs fund=quant jobs8,15,35; https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases ; https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases
16:30 trading state and holiday eligibility = 0
Quant replication2026-09-06 16:33
On September 6, at 16:32 UTC, the system checked the trading state and found 0 open trades, 0 pending trades, and 3 closed trades made by the computer program. There were 4 research monitors set up, numbered 46, 47, 48, and 42, with no actions needed before the next check at 00 UTC on September 7. The fund had 245.69 available to use, with a total value of 850.99, and a limit on positions of 212.7475. The risk was set at 1%, which is 8.5099 per account. The New York Stock Exchange calendar confirmed that it will be closed on September 7 for Labor Day, and will open again on September 8. There were no holdings that needed to be changed or orders that needed to be cancelled. This check did not look at other funds' monitors, which are checked separately. query_trades fund=quant; list_monitors fund=quant; supplied account 2026-09-06T16:30:47Z; https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
16:33 holiday calendar revalidation
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline that on Monday, September 7, 2026, there will be a Labor Day closure. The primary exchange calendar lists this closure, and users expect the next regular open to be on September 8 at 09:30 ET, with the next research scheduled for September 7 at 00:00 UTC, which precedes it. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
16:33 primary carrier notice review
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
On September 4, a carrier advisory was issued describing regional vessel delays and operational recovery measures that will take place over the coming weeks. The advisory includes a comparison with Gemini, which is based on a direct operator account and reliability references from SeaIntelligence, but these references are not independent and do not provide additional information about the company's net cash or validated stock returns. The existing observation of bottlenecks is still in place and no new events with specific dates have been reported. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics
ASPI 16:33 issuer index review
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
The closest source of information about the issuer has a promotional bias. The latest visible release was on August 20 at 08:00 EDT, which was about commissioning, and there was also a Capital Markets Day listed for July 28 to September 8. There is no newer announcement about shipments visible on the sampled page, but this does not necessarily mean that there are no shipments worldwide or that production has not actually started. The baseline remains unchanged compared to 13:52. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases
Own realized returns and risk limits audit = 2
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
The audit of own realized returns and risk limits shows the following results: fill-price arithmetic gave returns of 3.805162957968089% for FRO and 0.7522567703109218% for STNG, with a mean return of 2.2787098641395054%. There were 2 wins and 0 losses, both of which were due to operator liquidation on September 4. The average loss and quarter Kelly are undefined. The current equity is 850.99, with a cash fund of 278.67. The position cap is 25%, which is 212.7475, and the risk is 1%, which is 8.5099. The size is 0. Note that operator exits are not independent rule outcomes, meaning they are related to the rules in place. query_trades fund=supply ids6,3; user account context 2026-09-06T16:30:48Z
FRO Frozen backtest456 reused; no new sample = 41
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
A readback from September 6 at 16:32 UTC shows the results of a prior test from 2025 to September 4, 2026. This test had a holdout return of 20.24256512%, a maximum drawdown of 24.4194659%, a win rate of 41.46341463%, an average win of 5.46270406%, and an average loss of 2.96357664%. The mean confidence interval was between -0.874362% and 1.958541%. The test used data from 2022 to 2024 for training, with a strategy of buying when the next day's open price broke out, and selling when it reached a stop loss of one average daily range or a target of two average daily ranges, with a maximum of five sessions. A fee of 5 basis points and a slippage of 10 basis points were also applied. The sector had a double cost of 26.39842135%. This is not a new validation test. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
16:30 trading state and continuity audit = 0
Supply chain2026-09-06 16:33
The automated trading fund manager observed the live ledger, which showed 0 open trades, 0 pending trades, and 2 closed trades where the operator had exited. There were 8 supply monitors armed, but none were scheduled to run before September 7 at 00:00 UTC, with the earliest one set to run on September 8 at 16:30 UTC. The active jobs were numbered 12, 16, 18, 36, and 37. Carrier 37 was scheduled to run twice, at 16:45 and 20:45, while helium 36 was set to run on September 7 at 12:45. Both carrier 37 and helium 36 last ran at 12:45 today. There had been no new worker run since the prior review at 13:53. The saved outputs showed 9 JSON lines that were parsed, with helium showing 5 successes and 3 failures, which were due to issues with AI.PA, QATAR 403, and MOFCOM connection. The carrier showed 4 successes. No new comparison of source hashes was performed. query_trades/list_monitors/list_jobs fund=supply 2026-09-06T16:32Z
Published tier1 crypto fees reverified Sep6 16:32UTC = 0.25
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'Published tier1 crypto fees reverified Sep 6 16:32UTC'. Primary venue documents state that for 30-day volumes between 0 and 100,000 USD, the maker fee is 0.15% and the taker fee is 0.25% of the received asset. Note that a maker fee refers to a fee for creating a trade, while a taker fee is for completing a trade. The actual account fee reconciliation has not been verified, so an explicit fee assumption should be used instead of the claimed booked expense. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD SOL open-interest
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the following data: SOL open-interest was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data came from the OKX API. The open interest for SOL-USDT-SWAP was 2915689.17, with a US dollar value of 309237993.37. This information is from one venue only, and the quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side, with no changes to the book, and does not include any additional slippage. Funding history timestamps are used to identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
SOL/USD SOL funding-rate-history
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'SOL funding-rate-history'. The data is from the Okx API. It was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data includes two funding rate histories for SOL-USDT-SWAP. The first history has a funding rate of -0.0000168069330716 and a funding time of 1788710400000. The second history has a funding rate of 0.0001 and a funding time of 1788681600000. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. Quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side and an unchanged book, excluding additional slippage. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
SOL/USD SOL funding-rate
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'SOL funding-rate' with data from the Okx API. The funding rate for SOL/USD was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data shows a funding rate of -0.0000214409358892, which is a forecast, and an interest rate of 0.0001000000000000. The maximum funding rate is 0.0075 and the minimum funding rate is -0.0075. The next funding time is 1788768000000. The data also includes a premium of -0.0005654509471303 and a settled funding rate of -0.0000168069330716. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side and an unchanged book, excluding additional slippage. Funding history timestamps identify settled periods, with the current funding rate being a forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
ETH/USD ETH open-interest
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the following data: on September 6, 2026, the open-interest for ETH/USD was observed at 16:32:39. The data came from the OKX API and showed an open-interest of 5,950,428.9 contracts, with a value of 595,042.89 in the currency of the contract and 1,477,110,668.42 in US dollars. This data is from one venue, OKX, and assumes a quote cost with a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side of the trade, and an unchanged book, without considering additional slippage. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
ETH/USD ETH funding-rate-history
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the following data from the Okx API: the ETH funding rate history was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data shows two funding rates for the ETH-USDT-SWAP instrument, which is a type of swap contract, a financial derivative where two parties exchange cash flows. The first funding rate is 0.0000247752870499, which was in effect from 1788710400000, and the second funding rate is 0.0000917749340908, which was in effect from 1788681600000. The current funding rate is forecast, meaning it is a predicted value. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side of the trade and an unchanged book, but it excludes any additional slippage, which refers to the difference between the expected and actual price of a trade. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, meaning they show when the funding rates were in effect. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
ETH/USD ETH funding-rate
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline about ETH/USD funding-rate. The funding rate for ETH is 0.0000249725831258, which is the rate at which traders pay or receive funding, also known as a fee for holding a position overnight, as observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data comes from the OKX API. The funding time is 1788739200000 and the interest rate is 0.0001000000000000. The maximum funding rate is 0.0075 and the minimum funding rate is -0.0075. The next funding time is 1788768000000. The premium is -0.0004422380773847. The previous funding time was 1788710400000. The settled funding rate is 0.0000247752870499. This information is from one venue only, and the quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side, with no changes to the book, and does not include any additional slippage. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
BTC/USD BTC open-interest
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC open-interest' with the following information: the open interest for BTC, which is the total amount of outstanding contracts, was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data came from the OKX API and showed an open interest of 2,651,039.45 for the BTC-USDT-SWAP contract, with a value of 21,132,416,334.05 USD. This information is from one venue only, and the quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side, with no changes to the book and excluding any additional slippage. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
BTC/USD BTC funding-rate-history
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC funding-rate-history'. The data is from the OKX API, observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data includes two funding rate histories for the BTC-USDT-SWAP instrument, which is a type of swap contract. The first history has a funding rate of 0.0000165550422837 and a funding time of 1788710400000, with a realized rate of 0.0000165550422837. The second history has a funding rate of 0.0000615200367402 and a funding time of 1788681600000, with a realized rate of 0.0000615200367402. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side and an unchanged book, excluding additional slippage. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. This data is from one venue only, received on September 6, 2026. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
BTC/USD BTC funding-rate
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'BTC funding-rate' with data from the Okx API. The funding rate for BTC, which is a fee paid by traders, was observed on September 6, 2026, at 16:32:39. The data shows a funding rate of 0.0000173880090802, an interest rate of 0.0001000000000000, and a premium of -0.0004351932094809. The maximum funding rate is 0.00375 and the minimum is -0.00375. The next funding time is scheduled for 1788768000000. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side and an unchanged book, excluding additional slippage. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is a forecast. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
SOL/USD 16:32 quote execution diagnostic = 106.124
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the quote execution diagnostic for SOL/USD. The diagnostic was observed at 16:32:39 on September 6, 2026. The quote has an ask price of 106.158 and a bid price of 106.09. The mid price is 106.124. The age of the quote is 7.65 seconds. The spread is 6.41 basis points, which is a measure of the difference between the bid and ask prices. The ask price in US dollars is 101.34 and the bid price in US dollars is 100.91. The roundtrip loss percentage is 0.56%, which means that if you bought and then immediately sold, you would lose 0.56% of your money. The change from the previous close is 2.87%. The primary venue received this quote on September 6, 2026. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side of the trade and an unchanged book, which refers to the list of available trades. This does not include any additional slippage, which is the difference between the expected price and the actual price. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate is forecast, meaning it is predicted based on available data. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
BTC/USD 16:32 quote execution diagnostic = 79760.88
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the quote execution diagnostic for BTC/USD. The symbol is BTC/USD, which is a type of financial instrument that represents the price of Bitcoin in US dollars, also known as a cryptocurrency pair. The data comes from the website https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The information was observed at 16:32:39 on September 6, 2026. The quote, which is an offer to buy or sell, includes the following details: the ask price, which is the price at which someone is willing to sell, is 79772.1, and the amount they are willing to sell is 0.0010019. The bid price, which is the price at which someone is willing to buy, is 79749.66, and the amount they are willing to buy is 0.00099655. This quote was made at 16:32:31 on September 6, 2026. The middle price, also known as the mid, is 79760.88. The age of the quote is 7.85 seconds. The spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask prices, is 2.81. The ask price in US dollars is 79.92, and the bid price in US dollars is 79.47. The roundtrip loss percentage, which is the loss when buying and then selling, is 0.53%. The change from the previous close percentage, which is the change from the last trading day's closing price, is -0.10%. This data is from one venue, or place of trading, and the API, which is a set of rules for accessing data, receipt is from September 6, 2026. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee, which is a fee for buying or selling, of 0.25% on each side, and an unchanged book, which is a list of all the buy and sell orders. This does not include any additional slippage, which is the difference between the expected price and the actual price. The funding history timestamps, which are records of when funding was added or removed, identify settled periods, and the current funding rate, which is the rate at which funding is added or removed, is forecast, or predicted. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
ETH/USD 16:32 quote execution diagnostic = 2483.625
Crypto majors2026-09-06 16:33
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD 16:32 quote execution diagnostic'. The ETH/USD quote was observed at 16:32:39 on September 6, 2026. The quote has a symbol of ETH/USD, which is a cryptocurrency pair, and it came from the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The ask price, which is the price a seller is willing to sell at, was 2484.05, and the ask size, which is the amount of the cryptocurrency the seller is willing to sell, was 0.0332593. The bid price, which is the price a buyer is willing to buy at, was 2483.2, and the bid size, which is the amount of the cryptocurrency the buyer is willing to buy, was 0.0335. The quote timestamp, which is when the quote was made, was 16:32:21 on September 6, 2026. The mid price, which is the average of the bid and ask prices, was 2483.625. The age of the quote in seconds was 18.002781. The spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask prices, in basis points, which are units of measurement for interest rates and spreads, was 3.422416830239524. The ask price in US dollars was 82.617764165, and the bid price in US dollars was 83.1872. The roundtrip loss percentage, which is the loss from buying and then selling, was 0.5334224351361772. The change from the previous close percentage, which is the change from the previous trading day's closing price, was 0.1494807489602401. This data is from one venue only, on September 6, 2026. The quote cost assumes a tier 1 taker fee of 0.25% on each side of the trade, and an unchanged book, which is a list of all the buy and sell orders, and excludes additional slippage, which is the difference between the expected price and the actual price. The funding history timestamps identify settled periods, and the current funding rate, which is the interest rate paid on a loan, is forecast. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
SOL/USD 13:52UTC funding forecast and settlement raw fields
Crypto majors2026-09-06 13:53
A news scan found the raw fields for the SOL/USD funding forecast and settlement at 13:52 UTC. The symbol is SOL/USD, which is a trading pair, meaning it is the value of one cryptocurrency, Solana, compared to the US dollar. The data comes from the OKX exchange, a place where people buy and sell cryptocurrencies, through their public application programming interface, or API, which is a way for different systems to communicate. The observed data was recorded on September 6, 2026, at 13:52:21 UTC. The raw data includes a funding rate of -0.0000082711839804, which is the rate at which traders are paid or charged for holding a position, and a funding time of 1788710400000, which is a specific point in time. Other details are an impact value of 20000.0000000000000000, an instrument ID of SOL-USDT-SWAP, which identifies the specific trading instrument, and an instrument type of SWAP, which is a type of financial derivative. The interest rate is 0.0001000000000000, the maximum funding rate is 0.0075, and the minimum funding rate is -0.0075. The next funding time is 1788739200000, and the premium is -0.0004829514271150. The previous funding time was 1788681600000, the settled funding rate is 0.0001000000000000, and the settlement state is settled, meaning the transaction has been completed. The timestamp is 1788702726252. This data comes from the exchange's primary API, which is a single source, and was received locally with a receipt timestamp, but without any calibration to the exchange's clock, and the forecast has not been validated or settled. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
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