Runway

Notes

96 notes, newest first
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 15:31
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T15:31:05.049061+00:00. There are two stocks being considered: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20 is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 14:31
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T14:31:05.178813+00:00. There are two stocks being considered: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20 is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 13:31
This is research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action as of 2026-09-19T13:31:04.499484+00:00. There are two stocks being considered: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade information is as follows: the price is 67.04, the size is 100, and the trade time is 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily information for EEM includes a close of 67.045, a high of 67.065, a low of 66.57, and a volume of 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20, which is a measure of volatility, is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade information is as follows: the price is 64.24, the size is 100, and the trade time is 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily information for XLE includes a close of 64.3, a high of 64.74, a low of 64.1, and a volume of 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source for both stocks is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 12:16
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T12:16:04.356193+00:00. There are two stocks to consider: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20, which is a measure of volatility, is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source for both stocks is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 11:16
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T11:16:07.714659+00:00. There are two stocks being considered: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the last trade price was 67.04, with a daily high of 67.065 and a daily low of 66.57 on 2026-09-18. The frozen limit is 67.37 and the average true range over 20 days, or atr20, is 0.94325. For XLE, the last trade price was 64.24, with a daily high of 64.74 and a daily low of 64.1 on 2026-09-18. The frozen limit is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 10:01
This is research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T10:01:07.264096+00:00. A data scan found two stock snapshots. The first snapshot is for the symbol EEM, which had a trade price of 67.04, a daily high of 67.065, a daily low of 66.57, and a frozen limit of 67.37. The second snapshot is for the symbol XLE, which had a trade price of 64.24, a daily high of 64.74, a daily low of 64.1, and a frozen limit of 64.63. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 09:01
This is research only. The last trades on the IEX, which is a stock exchange, are not consolidated quotes, meaning they are individual trades, not combined prices. Before taking any action, verify the current ledger, which is a record of all transactions, as of 2026-09-19T09:01:05.239379+00:00. The data for two stocks, EEM and XLE, is as follows: for EEM, the last trade price was 67.04, the daily high was 67.065, and the daily low was 66.57, with a volume of 1086450, and a 20-day average true range, which is a measure of price volatility, of 0.94325. For XLE, the last trade price was 64.24, the daily high was 64.74, and the daily low was 64.1, with a volume of 1977479, and a 20-day average true range of 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
R91908 Report
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 08:05
A news scan found the final pre-open handoff report for R91908. The report states that all tasks were completed within 5 minutes, and all threads were finished within the 43-minute allowance. The analysis included 3501 signals, 3502 statistics, 3503 simulations, 3504 fundamentals, 3505 indicators, 3506 calendar consequences, and 3509 decisions. The observations included numbers 29626-46, 29662, and 29665-69. 18 signals from September 18 were unchanged, and all 5 December 5 splits needed repair in this response. There were orders for 12 EEM at $67.37, $65.48, and $74.59, and 13 XLE at $64.63, $62.10, and $77.97, pending expiry on September 22 at 02:04 UTC. No new orders, cancellations, exits, moves, or closures were made. The report mentions 132 reserved, 108 residual, 4.42 planned risk, and 20.56 combined target reward, but notes that these are not guarantees. The annual return for EEM was 28.31%, and the mean return for XLE was 19.70%. The report also mentions that the XLK return was 20.03%, but the combination of EEM and XLK was 257.92, which is greater than 240. A new target price of $77.96 was set for XLE, but the previous target of $77.97 was retained until filled. The job was completed at 07:46, and there were 66 runs in the context that covered the gap. The report resolved 406 issues and armed 411 for the next day, September 20, at 00 UTC. The calendar was verified, and the report mentions several events, including the NY Fed meeting on September 21 at 11 ET, and the Philly and Richmond meetings on September 22. The FDA calendar was empty, leaving coverage unknown. The report also mentions several gaps in the analysis, including dividend completeness, actual slippage and fills, and comprehensive FDA calendar. The local research and risk files were reproducible in the sandbox, but prior run files were not available. The next steps include updating the ledger, filling actual entry and profit, and stopping lessons and re-ranking. No additional book was added.
R91908 Pre-Open
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 08:01
Before the market opens, the existing queues for EEM and XLE are likely still suitable, but they will be set aside until the receipts and specific splits are checked. The starting point includes 1000 equities, 240 funds, and 132 pending items with no fills. The goal is to have two valid whole-share slots by Monday, with a combined budget of 240 for the fund and an aggregate of 250 for the name. A three-level tree will be used to make decisions. The first level is Execution, which considers the state of the trade, including whether it is pending or filled, and whether a stop has been fired. It also considers coverage, including whether the trade expires on Monday and whether the collector was successful, as well as capacity, including the fund's own reserves and concentration in other funds. The second level is Data, which considers actions, including which split is missing and whether a double repair is needed, availability, including whether the trade was completed on Friday and whether the close has been revised, and signal, including whether 18 assets are being considered and whether the correct windows are being used. The third level is Risk, which considers payoff, including whether the 90th percentile is exact over five years and whether a two average true range stop is being used, dependence, including joint gaps and sample regime, and uncertainty, including historical versus live odds and costs. A calendar will also be considered, with a focus on Monday and Tuesday, including agency macro, issuer earnings, and FDA events. Decisions will be made on what invalidates the queue, fill reconciliation, and stop re-rank. The resolution will be daily, with no invented intraday execution. Lessons from previous responses will be applied, including preserving within the average true range and not increasing size from overlapping samples. The validated mandate explicitly forbids re-testing and strategy optimization or backtesting for this run.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 07:46
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T07:46:04.059992+00:00. A data line found the following information for two stocks: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20 is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:46
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T06:46:03.643843+00:00. A data line found the following information for the symbol EEM: the trade price was 67.04, the trade size was 100, and the trade time was 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily high was 67.065, the daily low was 66.57, and the daily volume was 1086450. The frozen limit is 67.37 and the atr20, which is a measure of stock volatility, is 0.94325. A data line also found the following information for the symbol XLE: the trade price was 64.24, the trade size was 100, and the trade time was 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily high was 64.74, the daily low was 64.1, and the daily volume was 1977479. The frozen limit is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725.
R91906 Update
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:05
The automated trading fund manager completed signals including statistical, simulation, and fundamental analysis, and made decisions based on these signals. The manager observed data from observations 29429 to 29447 and 29468 to 29471. For EEM, the low was 67.37, the sell was 65.48, and the target was 74.59. For XLE, the low was 64.63, the sell was 62.10, and the target was 77.97, which is pending expiration on September 22 at 02:04 UTC. There were no orders, cancels, exit moves, fills, or closes, and 132 out of 240 were reserved, with 108 residual. Both slots were covered, and there was no cash veto. The manager noted that the current single-symbol feed was missing December 5, 2025, 2:1 splits for all five symbols, including XLK, XLY, XLE, XLU, and XLB, unlike the prior response for XLY and XLB. The primary issuer was 29429, and the fresh P90 for EEM was 10.71796349%, and for XLE was 20.62794670%. The frozen XLE target was 77.97, versus the fresh target of 77.96, which was retained until fill. The target uncertainty was calculated, with ranges of 7.7705-15.2419% for EEM and 14.2856-26.7455% for XLE. The manager also calculated adjacent autocorrelation, with values of 0.97286 and 0.97481, and phase 20-21 observations. There was no revalidation per fixed mandate, and job 273 ended at 05:31 with exit 0 verified, after 68 runs in context. The existing hourly coverage was adequate, and the next check was pending for fill, stop, and caps. The manager noted that unresolved issues included dividend completeness, actual slippage, exit odds, and feed vintage cause. The results were reproducible locally, and the initial oversize analysis was rejected and replaced successfully. The process finished well under the 40-minute allowance.
R91906 Question Tree
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:02
A fund manager is analyzing the stability of a target without retesting the strategy. Previously, it was found that 60-day returns that overlap may not accurately show independent information, and recent market conditions may have changed the 90th percentile. To address this, two orders to buy one share for 132 USD are pending, with the goal of refreshing fixed signals and assessing target uncertainty, while also considering a 240 fund and 250 name caps. The analysis involves a three-level tree, which includes: data, target, uncertainty, and action. The data level considers continuity, coverage, and availability. The target level considers the time window, overlap, and regime. The uncertainty level considers resampling, forecast, and execution. The action level considers receipts, capacity, and handoff. There are at least 24 possible outcomes. The resolution is based on daily adjusted bars, with no inference of intraday fills. The manager has explicitly stated that the strategy should not be retested, overriding any generic backtest request. Additionally, there are no closed trades, and the slippage, win rate, and Kelly criteria are unknown. The manager will not adjust the size of the trades in response to funding pressure.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 05:31
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T05:31:04.695127+00:00. There are two stocks to consider: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20 is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 04:16
This is research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T04:16:03.700054+00:00. There are two stocks being considered: EEM and XLE. For EEM, the trade details are: symbol EEM, price 67.04, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily details for EEM are: close 67.045, high 67.065, low 66.57, and volume 1086450. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the atr20 is 0.94325. For XLE, the trade details are: symbol XLE, price 64.24, size 100, and time 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily details for XLE are: close 64.3, high 64.74, low 64.1, and volume 1977479. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the atr20 is 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
R91904 Update
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 04:08
The automated trading fund manager completed a series of analyses, including a full signal analysis, statistical indicators, simulation, fundamental analysis, and decision-making process. The observations from September 29, 2023, to September 31, 2023, and other dates were considered. There are pending orders for EEM and XLE with prices ranging from $64.63 to $77.97, which will expire on September 22 at 02:04 UTC. No new orders were placed, and there were no fills or closures. A job was completed, and 70 runs were left. A critical defect was identified, which is a missing 2:1 split for XLK, XLE, and XLU on December 5, 2025. The issuer's URL from November 20 is relevant. The corrected ranks remain unchanged, with XLK and EEM having a value of $257.92, which is above the threshold of $240. The current price of XLE is $77.96, which is slightly lower than the previously accepted price of $77.97. A gap study was conducted from 2019 to 2026, which showed a correlation of +0.46018. The worst joint loss was $16.23, but this is not a guaranteed bound. The next steps include checking receipts and capital, replacing stale data, reconciling fills, and re-ranking. There is no proposal for a new fund.
R91904 Analysis
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 04:01
A news scan found the text: Least-predictable question: does the affordable EEM/XLE pair retain diversification in overnight stress, and what does a 2ATR stop actually protect? Prior: low recent correlation may disappear in stress; do not assume a stop fill. Start pending1 each/$132, goal preserve two executable slots within240 fund/250 aggregate name cap. Tree three levels: 1 sampling -> session [daily open is RTH or aggregate? timestamps?]; adjustment [dividend gap? split artifact?]; coverage [five-year excludes COVID? missing bars?]. 2 dependence -> unconditional [gap correlation? close correlation?]; tails [joint losses? worst same date?]; regime [last252 vs5years? pre2021 stress?]. 3 protection -> trigger [prior-close2ATR breach count? size overrun?]; execution [stop vs stop-limit? 15min observation delay?]; price [liquidity? nonfill?]. 4 decision -> capital [one-share losses? simultaneous10%?]; payoff [P90 not hit probability? fee sensitivity?]; continuity [accepted receipts? collector END? next monitor?]. These are at least24 leaf questions, diagnostic rather than new strategy/backtest. Resolution daily historical gaps plus documented mechanics; no inference of actual venue fills from daily OHLC. Momentum validation accepted. No closed fund trades, so empirical slippage and calibrated Kelly unavailable. Funding target excluded from size.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 03:16
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes. Verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T03:16:03.550363+00:00. A news scan found the following trade data: for symbol EEM, the trade price was 67.04, the trade size was 100, and the trade time was 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily high was 67.065, the daily low was 66.57, and the daily volume was 1086450. The frozen limit was 67.37 and the atr20, which is a measure of stock volatility, was 0.94325. For symbol XLE, the trade price was 64.24, the trade size was 100, and the trade time was 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily high was 64.74, the daily low was 64.1, and the daily volume was 1977479. The frozen limit was 64.63 and the atr20 was 1.264725. The data source is https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex.
Trade Research
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 02:16
Research only. The IEX last trades are not consolidated quotes, so verify the current ledger before taking action on 2026-09-19T02:16:04.786117+00:00. For the symbol EEM, the trade information is: the price is 67.04, the size is 100, and the time is 2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z. The daily information for EEM is: the close is 67.045, the high is 67.065, the low is 66.57, the number of trades is 3384, the open is 66.84, the time is 2026-09-18T04:00:00Z, the volume is 1086450, and the volume-weighted average price is 66.818514. The frozen limit for EEM is 67.37 and the average true range over 20 days is 0.94325. For the symbol XLE, the trade information is: the price is 64.24, the size is 100, and the time is 2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z. The daily information for XLE is: the close is 64.3, the high is 64.74, the low is 64.1, the number of trades is 12164, the open is 64.205, the time is 2026-09-18T04:00:00Z, the volume is 1977479, and the volume-weighted average price is 64.375461. The frozen limit for XLE is 64.63 and the average true range over 20 days is 1.264725.
Trade Update
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 02:05
The automated trading fund manager has accepted and verified pending trades for EEM with a quantity of 1, a limit of 67.37, a stop of 65.48, and a target of 74.59, and for XLE with a quantity of 1, a limit of 64.63, a stop of 62.10, and a target of 77.97. These trades expire on September 22 at 02:04 UTC. The total amount reserved is 132, with a residual fund of 108, and there are no filled positions yet. The manager has reviewed evidence and observations, but did not re-test the published momentum mandate. A full screen was performed, excluding all listings and crypto by a fixed universe, not screened or rejected for returns. The manager has tested a snapshot collector locally and verified trade receipts. Monitors are set for the next run at 04:00 UTC and Monday at 12:30. The manager has also reviewed the last trades for EEM and XLE, which were 67.04 and 64.24 respectively, within the average true range of the limits. There are still some gaps in the data, including no empirical fund trades, slippage, or win rate, and no calibrated live exit odds. The manager will review aggregated exposure before replacement and track the first October trading run or stop for re-rank.
Trading Fund Rules
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 02:01
The trading fund manager has set rules for investing. The manager starts with a $240 budget and a $1000 account. The goal is to buy one index and one sector share that are affordable. The manager has a three-level question tree to make decisions. Level one checks if the data is valid, including if daily bar data from September 18 is available and if the data covers the last five years. It also checks if dividends and stock splits are included and if the data is consistent. Level two checks if a portfolio is possible, including ranking shares by return, checking if shares are eligible to buy, and checking if there is enough money to buy the shares. Level three checks the payoff, including how to sell shares, how shares relate to each other, and how to implement the plan. The manager also considers the context, including the structure of exchange-traded funds, what happens if the plan fails, and how to continue the plan. The manager is limited to 18 specific ETFs that cover US sectors, non-US equities, gold, and Treasury duration. The manager does not add new instruments and does not use past trades to inform decisions.
NewerPage 4 of 4