TLT 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = -5.709643727515379
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'TLT 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data came from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The data covers 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals. It uses a Simple Moving Average of 200, which is a calculation to find the average price of a stock over a certain time period, an arithmetic Average True Range of 20, which measures how much a stock's price moves, and a rolling 60-day return with a 90th percentile endpoint over five years. The adjusted equity return is used as a proxy for the total return provided by the data source. The data for the symbol TLT on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 shows the following: 1519 bars, a close price of 81.25, an annual return of -0.05709643727515379, a simple moving average of 84.36059999999999, an average true range of 0.6628700000000016, a 90th percentile return of 0.06150557763249668, 1255 days for the 90th percentile return, a high price over 20 days of 83.28, and the price is not above the simple moving average, with a rank of null and a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLD 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 19.05214114016085
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'GLD 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data comes from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The data covers 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals. It uses a Simple Moving Average of 200, which is a way to smooth out price changes, an arithmetic Average True Range of 20, which measures price volatility, and a rolling 60-day return with a 90th percentile endpoint over five years. The adjusted equity return is a proxy, or substitute, for the total return provided by the data source. The data for the symbol GLD on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 shows 1519 bars, a close of 401.17, an annual return of 0.1905214114016085, a Simple Moving Average of 416.22065, an Average True Range of 7.923445000000004, a 90th percentile return of 0.16781703911009302, 1255 days for the 90th percentile return, a high of 429.42 over 20 days, and the price is not above the threshold, with a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 28.311638591117916
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'EEM 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data came from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The measurement used 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals, along with a Simple Moving Average of 200, also known as SMA200, which is a calculation to find the average price of a stock over a certain period. It also used an arithmetic Average True Range of 20, or ATR20, which measures how much a stock's price moves on average. Additionally, it used a rolling 60-day return with a 90th percentile endpoint over five years. The adjusted equity return is a proxy, or substitute, for the total return provided by the data source. The data for the symbol EEM on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 showed 1519 bars, a close of 67.03, an annual return of 0.28311638591117916, an SMA of 62.091550000000005, an ATR of 0.9432499999999997, a 90th percentile return of 0.10717963493264468, and 1255 data points for this return. The high over the last 20 days was 69.125, and the price was above a certain threshold, so it is marked as true. The rank is 1, the size is 93.33, the stop loss is 65.1435, the target price is 74.21425092953517, and the risk-to-reward ratio, or rr, is 3.8082432703605487.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EFA 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 16.737099644128108
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'EFA 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data came from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The data includes 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals. It also includes SMA200, which is a simple moving average over 200 days, arithmetic ATR20, which is the average true range over 20 days, and rolling60 return P90 endpoints over five years. The adjusted equity return is used as a proxy for the total return provided by the fund. The data for the symbol EFA on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 shows the following: 1519 bars, a close of 104.97, an annual return of 0.16737099644128106, an SMA of 101.03105, an ATR of 1.0289949999999997, a P90 of 0.09630282889112697, a P90_n of 1255, a high20 of 108.83, and the price is above the average, with a rank of 5 and a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
IWM 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 20.131929468476486
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'IWM 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data came from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The data includes 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals. It uses a Simple Moving Average of 200, which is a way to smooth out price changes, an arithmetic Average True Range of 20, which measures price volatility, and a rolling 60-day return with a 90th percentile endpoint over five years. The adjusted equity return is a proxy, or substitute, for the total return provided by the data source. The data for the symbol IWM on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 shows 1519 bars, a close of 284.1, an annual return of 0.20131929468476484, a Simple Moving Average of 273.51065, an Average True Range of 3.2170000000000045, a 90th percentile return of 0.12821050854556687, and other values.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
QQQ 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 22.86901578759135
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline about QQQ 08UTC completing its daily signal and reference size. Measured on 2026-09-19, the data comes from the Alpaca daily feed, which is a direct venue. The measurement looks at 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals, using a Simple Moving Average of 200, which is a way to smooth out price changes, an arithmetic Average True Range of 20, which measures price volatility, and a rolling 60-day return with a 90th percentile endpoint over five years. The adjusted equity return is used as a proxy for the total return from the provider. The data for the symbol QQQ on 2026-09-18 at 04:00:00+00:00 shows 1519 bars, a close price of 721.45, an annual return of 0.2286901578759135, a Simple Moving Average of 661.77265, an Average True Range of 8.27367999999999, a 90th percentile return of 0.1616958533244174, a high of 724.125 over 20 days, and the price is above the average, with a rank of 2, a size of 93.33, a stop loss at 704.90264, a target price of 838.105473380901, and a risk-reward ratio of 7.049793645687354.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size = 17.127216250711207
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 08:02
A news scan found the headline 'SPY 08UTC completed daily signal and reference size'. Measured on 2026-09-19, using the Alpaca daily feed as the direct venue, the analysis considered 252 equity and 365 crypto intervals. It used the Simple Moving Average over 200 days, arithmetic Average True Range over 20 days, and rolling 60-day return at the 90th percentile endpoints over five years. The adjusted equity return is based on the provider's total-return proxy. The data for the symbol SPY as of 2026-09-18 04:00:00+00:00 includes 1519 bars, a close price of 761.69, an annual rate of 0.17127216250711208, a Simple Moving Average of 712.4730999999999, an Average True Range of 6.002450000000005, a 90th percentile return of 0.10841930825440019, 1255 days at the 90th percentile return, a high price over 20 days of 773.38, and the price is above the average, ranked 4th, with a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: correlation
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation used a basket of stocks with equal weights of 93.33 each for EEM, QQQ, and IWM, measured as of September 19. The simulation was based on historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The correlation between the stocks was as follows: EEM was correlated with itself at 1, with QQQ at 0.6929633476476149, and with IWM at 0.6507916837227055. QQQ was correlated with EEM at 0.6929633476476149, with itself at 1, and with IWM at 0.7785802945417117. IWM was correlated with EEM at 0.6507916837227055, with QQQ at 0.7785802945417117, and with itself at 1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: independent_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation used a basket of stocks with equal weights of 93.33 each for EEM, QQQ, and IWM, measured on September 19. The simulation was based on historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. A stop is a rule to sell a stock when it falls to a certain price. The results are model diagnostics, which are not the same as live odds or independent validation. The simulation found the following probabilities and returns: a 1% chance of a return of -19.57%, a 5% chance of a return of -13.44%, a median return of 2.58%, a mean return of 2.68%, a 39.83% chance of loss, a 0.015% chance of a 30% loss, and an expected shortfall of -17.20% at the 5% level.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed the current basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at $93.33 each. It used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The results showed the following probabilities and returns: a 1% probability of loss of -32.76%, a 5% probability of loss of -22.42%, a median return of 1.96%, a mean return of 2.53%, a probability of loss of 44.90%, a probability of loss of 30% or more of 1.50%, and an expected shortfall of -28.61% at the 5% level.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_block
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at $93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The results are model diagnostics and should not be taken as live odds or independent validation. The simulation found the following probabilities and values: a 1% probability of loss of -32.80, a 5% probability of loss of -21.66, a median return of 2.91, a mean return of 2.71, a probability of loss of 42.17%, a probability of loss of 1.58% over 30 days, and an expected shortfall of -28.43.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: seed = 91906
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19. The simulation fixed today's EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The simulation was given the seed 91906.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: end
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19 and the basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM was fixed at a price of 93.33 each as of today. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not account for stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation, as of the date 2026-09-18.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: start
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation started on September 20, 2021, at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed the prices of the EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket at $93.33 each for today. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalancing. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: sample = 1255
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the text: Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at 93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops, which are orders to sell when a stock hits a certain price, or ratchets, which are automatic increases in investments, or costs, or rebalance, which is the act of adjusting investments to match a target mix. Model diagnostics, which are tests to see how well a model works, are not live odds, which are current probabilities of something happening, or independent validation, which is verification by a separate source. 1255
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: block = 5
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was measured on September 19. Today, the EEM, QQQ, and IWM basket was fixed at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The result is 5.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: H = 20
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation, and the simulation ran 20 times.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: N = 20000
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A joint-risk simulation was run at 06UTC. The simulation measured data from September 19 and fixed today's basket of EEM, QQQ, and IWM at 93.33 each. The simulation used historical adjusted close returns and did not include stops, ratchets, costs, or rebalance. The model diagnostics are not live odds or independent validation. The simulation ran 20,000 times.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
ETH/USD 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = -0.43082804809764197
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime'. Measured from September 19, using data from a provider, the results were authenticated through a proxy. The data was adjusted for total return and used one provider. The measurement used 252 out of 365 annual intervals, with an arithmetic average true range of 20, and a rolling 60-day period with a 90th percentile evaluated over the last 5 years. The results showed the following: the symbol is ETH/USD, the date is September 18, 2026, with 2087 bars, a close of 2612.4025, an annual return of -0.43082804809764197, a simple moving average of 2070.4311531083276, an average true range of 102.69994243532499, a 90th percentile of 0.42387299348060825, and a notional value of 1826. The results also showed that the price was above a certain level, with a high of 2664.8535 over 20 days, a realized volatility of 0.5023620903380691 over 20 days and 0.611675557757322 over 60 days, a simple moving average of the average true range of 5.277231262646301, a rank of 7, and a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z
BTC/USD 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = -0.3095310208682954
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the signal data for BTC/USD as of September 18, 2026. The data was measured from September 19, using bars from a provider, with an authenticated proxy and adjusted close total return proxy. The signal used 252 out of 365 annual intervals, arithmetic Average True Range of 20 days, and a rolling 60-day evaluation of the 90th percentile over the last 5 years. The data showed the following: the symbol is BTC/USD, the date is September 18, 2026, there were 2087 bars, the close price was 80872.5325, the annual return was -0.3095310208682954, the simple moving average was 70400.16140458945, the Average True Range was 2297.23361440355, the 90th percentile was 0.36778582915826996, the notional value was 1826, and the signal was above, with a high of 82233.502538071, and volatility ratios of 0.4222517733513944 and 0.4154559559484917. The simple moving average to Average True Range ratio was 4.558687906075055, with a rank of 6 and a size of 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z
TLT 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = -0.05709643727515379
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the signal data for TLT as of September 18, 2026. The data was measured from September 19, using bars from a provider, and was authenticated through a proxy. The data used a total-return proxy with an adjusted close. The annual intervals were calculated over 252 or 365 days. The arithmetic Average True Range over 20 days, or ATR20, was used to measure volatility. A rolling 60-day evaluation of the 90th percentile, or P90, was done over the last 5 years. The data showed the following: the symbol was TLT, the date was September 18, 2026, there were 1519 bars, the close was 81.25, the annual return was -0.05709643727515379, the simple moving average, or sma, was 84.36059999999999, the atr was 0.6628700000000016, the p90 was 0.06150557763249668, the p90 notional was 1255, and the signal was not above, with a high20 of 83.28, rv20 of 0.08715413290888699, and rv60 of 0.09328490770712505. The sma atr was -4.692624496507586, the rank was null, and the size was 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLD 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = 0.1905214114016085
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the headline 'GLD 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime'. Measured from September 19, using data from a provider through September 18, the signal was authenticated. The data used a total-return proxy with an adjusted close. The measurement used 252 out of 365 annual intervals, which is a common way to calculate a year, and an arithmetic Average True Range, or ATR, of 20 days. A rolling 60-day evaluation of the 90th percentile, or P90, was done over the last 5 years. The signal was conditional and did not fill a notional, or theoretical, position. The data for the symbol GLD on the date 2026-09-18 showed 1519 bars, a close of 401.17, an annual value of 0.1905214114016085, a simple moving average, or sma, of 416.22065, an ATR of 7.923445000000004, a P90 of 0.16781703911009302, and a P90 notional, or p90_n, of 1255. The signal was not above, the high 20 was 429.42, the realized volatility, or rv, over 20 days was 0.24422366642064655, the rv over 60 days was 0.23863792442144555, the sma ATR was -1.8995083577913339, the rank was null, and the size was 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = 0.28311638591117916
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
A news scan found the headline 'EEM 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime'. Measured from September 19, using provider bars through September 18, the system used an authenticated proxy, one provider, and adjusted-close total-return proxy. The system looked at 252 out of 365 annual intervals, using arithmetic Average True Range, or ATR, over 20 days, and a rolling 60-day evaluation of the 90th percentile over the last 5 years. The conditional notional did not fill. The data for the symbol EEM on date 2026-09-18 showed 1519 bars, a close of 67.03, an annual value of 0.28311638591117916, a simple moving average, or sma, of 62.091550000000005, an atr of 0.9432499999999997, a 90th percentile, or p90, of 0.10717963493264468, a p90_n of 1255, and the value was above, with a high20 of 69.125, an rv20 of 0.1932396140694298, an rv60 of 0.24840144812103848, an sma_atr of 5.235568513119531, a rank of 1, and a size of 93.33.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EFA 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = 0.16737099644128106
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:02
A trading signal for EFA was completed at 06UTC. The signal was measured from September 19, using data from a provider, and was authenticated through a proxy. The measurement used one provider and adjusted close total return data from September 18. The signal used 252 and 365 day intervals, and an arithmetic average true range of 20 days. A rolling 60 day period was evaluated over the last 5 years, with a 90th percentile value of 0.0963. The signal was conditional and did not fill a notional value. The details of the signal are as follows: the symbol is EFA, the date is September 18, 2026, and the closing price is 104.97. The annual value is 0.1674, the simple moving average is 101.03, and the average true range is 1.029. The 90th percentile value over 60 days is 0.0963, and the number of days above this value is 1255. The high value over 20 days is 108.83, and the realized volatility over 20 and 60 days is 0.1142 and 0.1289 respectively. The simple moving average divided by the average true range is 3.828, and the rank is 5. The size is 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
IWM 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime = 0.20131929468476484
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:02
A news scan found the headline about IWM 06UTC completed signal and volatility regime. Measured from September 19, using data from a provider, the analysis used a total-return proxy that was adjusted for closing prices. The analysis looked at 252 out of 365 days in a year and used an arithmetic average true range over 20 days. It also evaluated the 90th percentile over a 60-day rolling period for the last 5 years. The results showed the following data for the symbol IWM on the date 2026-09-18: 1519 bars, a close price of 284.1, an annual rate of 0.20131929468476484, a simple moving average of 273.51065, an average true range of 3.2170000000000045, a 90th percentile of 0.12821050854556687, and 1255 days above a certain threshold. The high price over 20 days was 299.61, the realized volatility over 20 days was 0.11570688235583014, and the realized volatility over 60 days was 0.12955340911025792. The simple moving average of the average true range was 3.291684799502645, the rank was 3, and the size was 93.33.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all