Notes

7310 observations, newest first

TSN 10K cattle sourcing and buyer concentration = 18.7

Supply chain2026-09-05 04:04

FY2025 filedNov10: Beeflivecattle purchasedspot andprocurementarrangements; noowncattle-raisingfacilities. Chickenverticallyintegrated; feed53%costofgrowinglivechicken. Walmart18.7%consolidatedsales,noothercustomer>10%. Riskfactors warn inabilitytopassinputcost, demandloss, disease/borders and buyerscale. Supplierstructure not singlevendorshare; no numericcattlesupplierconcentrationdisclosed in readsections. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100493/000010049325000095/tsn-20250927.htm

TSN Q3 FY26 beef price volume and earnings = -138

Supply chain2026-09-05 04:04

Aug3issuer release,quarterJune27: Beef sales5391mvs5603m, reportedvolume-15.9%,price+12.1%; adjustedsegmentloss138mvs116m; GAAP142mvs459m. 9monthGAAP701mvs707m, NOT707mcurrentperiod. Recast2025segments exclude corporate/amortization since2026presentationchange. Chicken adjusted488mvs448m. Legal98m affectsChicken sales/margin. Issuerinterested; use directreconciliation. https://www.tysonfoods.com/sites/default/files/2026-08/TSN%202026%20Q3%20Earnings%20Release%20FINAL.pdf

Mexico cattle border operational constraint = 1

Supply chain2026-09-05 04:04

APHIS page modifiedAug25 2026: Douglas reopeningAug24; SantaTeresa/Columbus datesTBD; allother livestockportsclosed. Agency administering border; permittedaccess is not measured headcount or immediate finishedbeef. https://www.aphis.usda.gov/live-animal-import/cattle-bison-germplasm/mexico

July herd and August production/import baseline = 24.967

Supply chain2026-09-05 04:04

USDA Aug18 2026 survey/forecast: July total94.2mhead +.2%, beefcows28.45m -.7%, replacementheifers3.8m +2.7%; calf crop32.5m -1.5%. 2026 beef24.967bnlb -4%,2027 24.980bn;2026 imports6.132bnlb,+14%. July1 feedlot11.370m +2.2% but >150daycattle +14.2%; inventories are stocks, not slaughterflow. H1imports3297m vs2943.4m; Brazil716.9vs741.7m. Direct official estimates, preAug26policy; no claim forecast includes newquota. https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/29466/ldp-m-386.pdf?v=56616

August26 lean-trim quota terms = 300000

Supply chain2026-09-05 04:04

Signed Aug26 2026; Sep1-Sep30,Oct1-Oct30,Oct31-Nov30 tranches100000mt, firstcome, othercountries pool. Four HTS lean-trim codes. 25%below-market monitoring may lead to termination, not guaranteed realized discount; separate Argentina quota unaffected. Primary policymaker, interested in stated affordability outcome; tonight headline not new instrument. https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/08/further-ensuring-affordable-beef-for-the-american-consumer/

ETN CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = 17.584707955182964

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":502,"return":17.584707955182964,"drawdown":12.791750824618276,"win_rate":47.22222222222222,"sample":36,"avg_trade":0.48693749308298234,"buy_hold":43.92999789783476}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

POWL CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = -14.100882614068045

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":502,"return":-14.100882614068045,"drawdown":23.07070909700622,"win_rate":30.952380952380953,"sample":42,"avg_trade":-0.2949567106546258,"buy_hold":21.25794580127134}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

VSH CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = 35.551836462470085

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":502,"return":35.551836462470085,"drawdown":8.935243913541255,"win_rate":44.73684210526316,"sample":38,"avg_trade":0.8736366003947863,"buy_hold":68.23716251985176}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

PSIX CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = -22.306546658443715

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":424,"return":-22.306546658443715,"drawdown":30.48572023653332,"win_rate":26.82926829268293,"sample":41,"avg_trade":-0.5366848420681785,"buy_hold":35.133333333333326}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

AEHR CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = 21.805666224534303

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":502,"return":21.805666224534303,"drawdown":18.129187678047547,"win_rate":40.909090909090914,"sample":44,"avg_trade":0.5375661824076999,"buy_hold":515.1569186875892}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

AXTI CLI full-window breakout control, not executable edge = 9.49348456932051

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:15

{"bars":502,"return":9.49348456932051,"drawdown":24.977371272292974,"win_rate":35.84905660377358,"sample":53,"avg_trade":0.2572502859223575,"buy_hold":2494.5263157894738}; 730-day prior20 breakout, stop3% target6%; same-close, no costs, no independent holdout. Different from registered range+SMA50 rule. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

SOL/USD Supply-relevant crypto completed daily screen = 101.95

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Sep5 retrieval, completed Sep4 only; partial venue volume proxy v*vw, not global liquidity. {"symbol":"SOL/USD","bars":66,"last":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","close":101.95,"ret20":35.418742113302805,"prior20":109.15,"signal":false,"dollar_volume7":274122.513229318} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

RENDER/USD Supply-relevant crypto completed daily screen = 1.4278

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Sep5 retrieval, completed Sep4 only; partial venue volume proxy v*vw, not global liquidity. {"symbol":"RENDER/USD","bars":66,"last":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","close":1.4278,"ret20":13.012505936362185,"prior20":1.5343,"signal":false,"dollar_volume7":2498.6247966739966} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FIL/USD Supply-relevant crypto completed daily screen = 0.7599535

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Sep5 retrieval, completed Sep4 only; partial venue volume proxy v*vw, not global liquidity. {"symbol":"FIL/USD","bars":66,"last":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","close":0.7599535,"ret20":12.504450489461295,"prior20":0.8095955,"signal":false,"dollar_volume7":4025.19871085063} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ETH/USD Supply-relevant crypto completed daily screen = 2456.376

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Sep5 retrieval, completed Sep4 only; partial venue volume proxy v*vw, not global liquidity. {"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":66,"last":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","close":2456.376,"ret20":30.566762237962976,"prior20":2515.933,"signal":false,"dollar_volume7":384256.8498453086} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

BTC/USD Supply-relevant crypto completed daily screen = 79676.7475

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Sep5 retrieval, completed Sep4 only; partial venue volume proxy v*vw, not global liquidity. {"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":66,"last":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","close":79676.7475,"ret20":26.424702154773925,"prior20":81269.4915,"signal":false,"dollar_volume7":2048156.8346646214} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MAERSK-B.CO Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 21620

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"MAERSK-B.CO","currency":"DKK","date":"2026-09-03 07:00:00+00:00","close":21620,"ret20":27.2887842213718,"sma50":18156.4,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/MAERSK-B.CO"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/MAERSK-B.CO

HLAG.DE Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 135.6999969482422

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"HLAG.DE","currency":"EUR","date":"2026-09-03 07:00:00+00:00","close":135.6999969482422,"ret20":9.171354478356264,"sma50":125.74999969482423,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/HLAG.DE"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/HLAG.DE

2899.HK Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 36.599998474121094

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"2899.HK","currency":"HKD","date":"2026-09-04 01:30:00+00:00","close":36.599998474121094,"ret20":0.5494421424680374,"sma50":33.41919998168945,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/2899.HK"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/2899.HK

1772.HK Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 36.619998931884766

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"1772.HK","currency":"HKD","date":"2026-09-04 01:30:00+00:00","close":36.619998931884766,"ret20":-9.17658926325442,"sma50":40.82280006408691,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/1772.HK"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/1772.HK

LYC.AX Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 15.319999694824219

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"LYC.AX","currency":"AUD","date":"2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00","close":15.319999694824219,"ret20":-5.723078801081726,"sma50":16.119999923706054,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/LYC.AX"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/LYC.AX

AUR.AX Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 0.017000000923871994

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"AUR.AX","currency":"AUD","date":"2026-09-04 00:00:00+00:00","close":0.017000000923871994,"ret20":21.42857427955882,"sma50":0.015360000245273113,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/AUR.AX"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/AUR.AX

HPS-A.TO Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 242.1199951171875

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"HPS-A.TO","currency":"CAD","date":"2026-09-04 13:30:00+00:00","close":242.1199951171875,"ret20":-9.777907164512456,"sma50":273.8104010009766,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/HPS-A.TO"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/HPS-A.TO

ABBN.SW Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 77.76000213623047

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"ABBN.SW","currency":"CHF","date":"2026-09-04 07:00:00+00:00","close":77.76000213623047,"ret20":-4.892367778238437,"sma50":81.32359985351563,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ABBN.SW"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ABBN.SW

PRY.MI Foreign supply universe daily screen baseline = 119.80000305175781

Supply chain2026-09-05 02:13

Retrieved Sep5; indicative Yahoo 1y daily history, not exchange quote. {"symbol":"PRY.MI","currency":"EUR","date":"2026-09-03 07:00:00+00:00","close":119.80000305175781,"ret20":-3.775097950395334,"sma50":128.1320007324219,"signal":false,"source":"https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/PRY.MI"}; close breakout only, unvalidated; currency native, venue eligibility unconfirmed. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/PRY.MI