Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json Yara_EBITDA_growth_pct 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 38.95705521472392 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json ammonia_Q2_margin_increase_perton 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 140 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json ammonia_Q2_prior_margin_perton 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 125 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json ammonia_Q2_gross_margin_perton 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 265 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json project_avg_annual_CF_outlay_m 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 507.5 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json project_CF_share_plus_infra_m 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 2030.0 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json cash_ex_BluePoint_m 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 2139 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json CFO_to_consolidated_net_income_pct 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 88.93203883495146 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json CFO_growth_pct 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 19.582245430809397 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json H1_CFO_minus_PPEm 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 880 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC fundamental.json sales_growth_pct 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 18.591549295774644 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324404/000132440426000019/cf-20260630.htm
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json montecarlo 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"seed":2026090807,"draws":20000,"horizon_days":10,"start":133.35,"risk":4.8571750000000025,"day_blocks":170,"scenarios":{"fixed":{"mean_return_pct":0.6836877035546921,"median_return_pct":5.159885492854366,"loss_probability":0.4775,"p05_return_pct":-6.984635995595231,"target_probability":0.5119,"stop_probability":0.47145,"BE_stop_probability":0.0,"timeout_probability":0.01665,"half_taken_probability":0.0,"mean_poll_steps":64.805},"half_at_1R_breakeven":{"mean_return_pct":0.5289568733645713,"median_return_pct":1.5748610537565044,"loss_probability":0.41265,"p05_return_pct":-6.300074793431065,"target_probability":0.4562,"stop_probability":0.3945,"BE_stop_probability":0.1454,"timeout_probability":0.0039,"half_taken_probability":0.5114,"mean_poll_steps":55.7808}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json baseline_available_extended 2/2
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. hy":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-13","entry_i":1136,"entry_price":130.89,"stop":125.37499999999999,"target":139.1625,"exit":"2026-03-16 05:30:00-04:00","exit_price":124.84,"return":-0.049079065434398994,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-31","entry_i":1148,"entry_price":134.66,"stop":127.89399999999999,"target":144.809,"exit":"2026-03-31 13:00:00-04:00","exit_price":126.37,"return":-0.06437354817861562,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-05-13","entry_i":1178,"entry_price":128.06,"stop":123.19200000000001,"target":135.362,"exit":"2026-05-14 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":121.78,"return":-0.05188811985522945,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-07-09","entry_i":1216,"entry_price":116.62,"stop":112.9345,"target":122.14825,"exit":"2026-07-20 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":122.92,"return":0.05086428138707544,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-07-21","entry_i":1224,"entry_price":123.55,"stop":120.024,"target":128.839,"exit":"2026-07-23 08:45:00-04:00","exit_price":129.28,"return":0.04324355388107248,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-08-24","entry_i":1248,"entry_price":129.99,"stop":125.781755,"target":136.3023675,"exit":"2026-08-26 11:30:00-04:00","exit_price":124.915,"return":-0.0419200210600954,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-09-02","entry_i":1255,"entry_price":133.57,"stop":128.870825,"target":140.6187625,"exit":"2026-09-02 14:45:00-04:00","exit_price":140.87,"return":0.05149377237571384,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-09-03","entry_i":1256,"entry_price":138.6,"stop":133.546325,"target":146.1805125,"exit":"2026-09-04 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":133.03,"return":-0.04306271329480493,"why":"stop"}]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json baseline_available_extended 1/2
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"N":16,"return_pct":-13.633519211776157,"drawdown_pct":26.423374482013507,"win_rate_pct":37.5,"avg_win_pct":4.944025923843202,"avg_loss_pct":4.260733047775025,"ledger":[{"entry":"2026-01-09","entry_i":1093,"entry_price":80.82,"stop":78.9185,"target":83.67224999999999,"exit":"2026-01-14 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":85.65,"return":0.056587911108869404,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-01-15","entry_i":1097,"entry_price":84.24,"stop":82.16749999999999,"target":87.34875,"exit":"2026-01-15 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":82.15,"return":-0.027731253036869186,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-01-21","entry_i":1100,"entry_price":88.64,"stop":86.352,"target":92.072,"exit":"2026-01-26 08:45:00-05:00","exit_price":92.37,"return":0.0389587678314145,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-01-30","entry_i":1107,"entry_price":92.01,"stop":89.2305,"target":96.17925000000001,"exit":"2026-02-02 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":89.12,"return":-0.03431104692293441,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-02-11","entry_i":1115,"entry_price":95.5,"stop":92.564,"target":99.904,"exit":"2026-02-12 15:15:00-05:00","exit_price":92.56,"return":-0.0336886279101557,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-02-20","entry_i":1121,"entry_price":98.49,"stop":95.5025,"target":102.97125,"exit":"2026-02-20 10:45:00-05:00","exit_price":95.47,"return":-0.03356666550595,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-06","entry_i":1131,"entry_price":110.97,"stop":107.1255,"target":116.73675,"exit":"2026-03-06 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":117.48,"return":0.05549326884644645,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-03-09","entry_i":1132,"entry_price":115.63,"stop":111.559,"target":121.73649999999999,"exit":"2026-03-09 15:15:00-04:00","exit_price":110.59,"return":-0.04645224357844879,"w https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json baseline_RTH 2/2
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. hy":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-13","entry_i":1136,"entry_price":130.89,"stop":125.37499999999999,"target":139.1625,"exit":"2026-03-16 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":121.67,"return":-0.07322532755049116,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-31","entry_i":1148,"entry_price":134.66,"stop":127.89399999999999,"target":144.809,"exit":"2026-03-31 13:00:00-04:00","exit_price":126.37,"return":-0.06437354817861562,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-05-13","entry_i":1178,"entry_price":128.06,"stop":123.19200000000001,"target":135.362,"exit":"2026-05-14 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":121.78,"return":-0.05188811985522945,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-07-09","entry_i":1216,"entry_price":116.62,"stop":112.9345,"target":122.14825,"exit":"2026-07-20 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":122.92,"return":0.05086428138707544,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-07-21","entry_i":1224,"entry_price":123.55,"stop":120.024,"target":128.839,"exit":"2026-07-27 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":119.54,"return":-0.03535477698837097,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-08-24","entry_i":1248,"entry_price":129.99,"stop":125.781755,"target":136.3023675,"exit":"2026-08-26 11:30:00-04:00","exit_price":124.915,"return":-0.0419200210600954,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-09-02","entry_i":1255,"entry_price":133.57,"stop":128.870825,"target":140.6187625,"exit":"2026-09-02 14:45:00-04:00","exit_price":140.87,"return":0.05149377237571384,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-09-03","entry_i":1256,"entry_price":138.6,"stop":133.546325,"target":146.1805125,"exit":"2026-09-04 09:30:00-04:00","exit_price":133.03,"return":-0.04306271329480493,"why":"stop"}]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json baseline_RTH 1/2
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"N":16,"return_pct":-21.519426198511905,"drawdown_pct":28.64887785579918,"win_rate_pct":31.25,"avg_win_pct":5.24117606460091,"avg_loss_pct":4.414312217108778,"ledger":[{"entry":"2026-01-09","entry_i":1093,"entry_price":80.82,"stop":78.9185,"target":83.67224999999999,"exit":"2026-01-14 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":85.65,"return":0.056587911108869404,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-01-15","entry_i":1097,"entry_price":84.24,"stop":82.16749999999999,"target":87.34875,"exit":"2026-01-15 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":82.15,"return":-0.027731253036869186,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-01-21","entry_i":1100,"entry_price":88.64,"stop":86.352,"target":92.072,"exit":"2026-01-29 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":93.14,"return":0.04761956951194035,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-01-30","entry_i":1107,"entry_price":92.01,"stop":89.2305,"target":96.17925000000001,"exit":"2026-02-02 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":89.12,"return":-0.03431104692293441,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-02-11","entry_i":1115,"entry_price":95.5,"stop":92.564,"target":99.904,"exit":"2026-02-12 15:15:00-05:00","exit_price":92.56,"return":-0.0336886279101557,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-02-20","entry_i":1121,"entry_price":98.49,"stop":95.5025,"target":102.97125,"exit":"2026-02-20 10:45:00-05:00","exit_price":95.47,"return":-0.03356666550595,"why":"stop"},{"entry":"2026-03-06","entry_i":1131,"entry_price":110.97,"stop":107.1255,"target":116.73675,"exit":"2026-03-06 09:30:00-05:00","exit_price":117.48,"return":0.05549326884644645,"why":"target"},{"entry":"2026-03-09","entry_i":1132,"entry_price":115.63,"stop":111.559,"target":121.73649999999999,"exit":"2026-03-09 15:15:00-04:00","exit_price":110.59,"return":-0.04645224357844879,"w https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json complete_RTH_days 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 170 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json RTH_bars 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 4420 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC intraday_results.json source_bars 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:14
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. 6676 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json regimes 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"regime_high":{"N":11,"mean_pct":-2.3068527765053486,"win_rate_pct":18.181818181818183,"compound_pct":-23.1540113472657},"regime_low":{"N":6,"mean_pct":0.23222610106734173,"win_rate_pct":50.0,"compound_pct":1.0592891538474758},"market_down":{"N":1,"mean_pct":-5.309005753545848,"win_rate_pct":0.0,"compound_pct":-5.309005753545848},"market_up":{"N":16,"mean_pct":-1.1670636363505584,"win_rate_pct":31.25,"compound_pct":-17.98585441655376}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json simulation 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"seed":2026090806,"draws":20000,"mean_CI95_pct":[-3.05763575204786,0.39292658963502103],"block3_20trade_paths":{"0.05":{"loss_probability":0.9744,"median_return_pct":-1.3665206685023024,"p95_maxdrawdown_pct":2.736919760085133,"prob_loss_5pct":0.0},"0.1":{"loss_probability":0.97495,"median_return_pct":-2.7219409845209706,"p95_maxdrawdown_pct":5.405789479204364,"prob_loss_5pct":0.06735},"0.25":{"loss_probability":0.97615,"median_return_pct":-6.7208626632523085,"p95_maxdrawdown_pct":13.022957185144218,"prob_loss_5pct":0.6812}},"target_frequency":0.29411764705882354,"stop_frequency":0.7058823529411765,"timeout_frequency":0.0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json statistical 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"N":1255,"correlations":{"CF":{"CF":1.0,"MOS":0.6311859748830367,"NTR":0.6781221390821514,"SPY":0.1661377340562368},"MOS":{"CF":0.6311859748830367,"MOS":1.0,"NTR":0.7258274968464534,"SPY":0.3405289472144},"NTR":{"CF":0.6781221390821514,"MOS":0.7258274968464534,"NTR":1.0,"SPY":0.2789713208579252},"SPY":{"CF":0.1661377340562368,"MOS":0.3405289472144,"NTR":0.2789713208579252,"SPY":1.0}},"CF_quantiles_pct":{"0.01":-6.545919726185004,"0.05":-3.82170659746814,"0.5":0.1066951288200002,"0.95":3.883205748196729,"0.99":6.1535550922036375},"CF_annual_vol_pct":38.337412209689134,"ols_coefficients":{"intercept":0.0008977882263747272,"SPY":-0.16320572287446095,"MOS":0.28437531004175076,"NTR":0.5244887252130057},"R2":0.5052590161717023} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json current 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"close":133.35,"SMA20":125.689,"SMA50":120.7736,"prior20high":141.27,"ADR20":4.8571750000000025,"signal":false,"reference_stop":128.49282499999998,"reference_target":140.6357625} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json audit 1/1
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. {"CF":{"N":1258,"first":"2021-09-01","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0,"median_dollar_volume_20":302443484.36,"max_abs_logreturn_pct":12.40456476093188},"MOS":{"N":1256,"first":"2021-09-01","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0,"median_dollar_volume_20":11250092.379999999,"max_abs_logreturn_pct":14.202931929491358},"NTR":{"N":1256,"first":"2021-09-01","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0,"median_dollar_volume_20":9927895.715,"max_abs_logreturn_pct":15.204663045430067},"SPY":{"N":1258,"first":"2021-09-01","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0,"median_dollar_volume_20":936260323.59,"max_abs_logreturn_pct":8.924159325219794}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CF Sep8 06UTC results_sip.json stress 9/9
Supply chain2026-09-08 06:13
MeasuredSep8 06UTC; JSON concatenation by metricpart. Marketdata throughSep4; outputs conditionalmodels not forecasts. :-0.03739563897508069,"why":"stop","sessions":2},{"entry":"2026-07-14","entry_i":1219,"entry_raw":121.09,"stop":117.6255,"target":126.28675000000001,"adr":3.464500000000001,"regime":"low","market":"up","exit":"2026-07-15","exit_raw":117.6255,"return":-0.0344218448827972,"why":"stop","sessions":2},{"entry":"2026-07-21","entry_i":1224,"entry_raw":123.55,"stop":120.024,"target":128.839,"adr":3.525999999999999,"regime":"low","market":"up","exit":"2026-07-23","exit_raw":128.839,"return":0.03657045023086236,"why":"gap_target","sessions":3},{"entry":"2026-08-24","entry_i":1248,"entry_raw":129.99,"stop":125.781755,"target":136.3023675,"adr":4.208245,"regime":"high","market":"up","exit":"2026-08-25","exit_raw":125.781755,"return":-0.038161991634601655,"why":"stop","sessions":2},{"entry":"2026-09-02","entry_i":1255,"entry_raw":133.57,"stop":128.870825,"target":140.6187625,"adr":4.699175000000001,"regime":"high","market":"up","exit":"2026-09-02","exit_raw":140.6187625,"return":0.04647431713980632,"why":"target","sessions":1},{"entry":"2026-09-03","entry_i":1256,"entry_raw":138.6,"stop":133.546325,"target":146.1805125,"adr":5.053675000000002,"regime":"high","market":"up","exit":"2026-09-04","exit_raw":133.546325,"return":-0.04222622879125659,"why":"stop","sessions":2}]}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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