Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
CVX REF91006 sweep rows 9-16 = 8
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:10
{"cols":["split","ma","hold","relative","slip","ret","dd","n","win","mean","avgwin","avgloss","bh"],"rows":[["train",40,5,false,0.001,-0.54244,31.481248,53,58.490566,0.062239,2.405365,3.239439,38.539095],["train",40,5,false,0.003,-19.542419,37.211851,53,54.716981,-0.337412,2.145419,3.3375,38.539095],["test",40,5,false,0.001,-10.673394,21.003081,27,44.444444,-0.327906,3.157878,3.116532,58.085028],["test",40,5,false,0.003,-19.818011,25.576996,27,44.444444,-0.725999,2.745869,3.503493,58.085028],["train",40,5,true,0.001,4.365355,20.586383,30,53.333333,0.188331,2.509969,2.464971,38.539095],["train",40,5,true,0.003,-7.436282,24.780298,30,46.666667,-0.211824,2.437348,2.529849,38.539095],["test",40,5,true,0.001,-13.702762,21.627962,18,50,-0.701483,2.853994,4.25696,58.085028],["test",40,5,true,0.003,-19.697778,23.219952,18,50,-1.098085,2.443198,4.639368,58.085028]],"method":"REF91006 note1827; fees5bp; ret/dd in%; trade denominators exclude entryfee; divide trade return1.0005 for capital basis."} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CVX&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CVX REF91006 sweep rows 1-8 = 8
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:10
{"cols":["split","ma","hold","relative","slip","ret","dd","n","win","mean","avgwin","avgloss","bh"],"rows":[["train",40,3,false,0.001,26.728348,17.268388,63,60.31746,0.410137,1.949861,1.930242,38.539095],["train",40,3,false,0.003,-1.501166,23.015703,63,52.380952,0.009098,1.809352,1.971182,38.539095],["test",40,3,false,0.001,5.363345,10.077595,31,61.290323,0.205962,1.760538,2.25545,58.085028],["test",40,3,false,0.003,-6.924195,10.796777,31,54.83871,-0.194262,1.54955,2.311749,58.085028],["train",40,3,true,0.001,12.436888,10.822168,36,50,0.345719,1.919671,1.228232,38.539095],["train",40,3,true,0.003,-2.642337,15.001613,36,41.666667,-0.055063,1.86012,1.423051,38.539095],["test",40,3,true,0.001,1.257868,10.077595,19,57.894737,0.108313,1.71835,2.105487,58.085028],["test",40,3,true,0.003,-6.152597,10.25762,19,52.631579,-0.291522,1.48192,2.262013,58.085028]],"method":"REF91006 note1827; fees5bp; ret/dd in%; trade denominators exclude entryfee; divide trade return1.0005 for capital basis."} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CVX&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
VLO Feedstock contracting and customer concentration distinction = 10
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:08
2025 annual report item1 recovered via full web after CLI Business section lookup failed. Term/spot mix, most term crude at producer official market prices; renewal notice examples60days/6months. Note segment disclosure: no customer>=10% revenues, NOT a supplier concentration statistic. No top-supplier percentage found in bounded full-text search. Geographic access includes Canada Quebec and UK Pembroke marine supplies; integrated upstream competitors are structural controls. No current tariff/legal interpretation inferred. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1035002/000162828026011499/vlo-20251231.htm
05UTC actual supply collector complete; coverage gaps retained = 21
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:07
Queried list_jobs06UTC. Job173 actual05:15:53.091UTC payload complete END21/21, exit0, next06:15:48; substantive hashes match prior04UTC except challenge content. Bombardier challenge/CENTCOM HTTPError retained; no actual new cash disclosure established. Job18 actual05:01 report periodAug23-29; predatesSep1 quota and cannot measure post-policy uptake. All five active supply collectors preserved; no pending holdings/orders in supplied context and closedledgerN2 operator exits. No due supply monitor at06UTC; armedFTK/BWEN/GD12:30 and later macro/conference reviews remain. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
XLE September STEO current vintage versus stale search excerpt = 2
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:04
Read06UTC Sep10. Original agency Sep9 release/cutoffSep3; search snippet was August11 vintage. Current forecast distillate stocks below100m barrels September, diesel crack aboveUSD2/gallon Aug-Nov; assumed restoration Hormuz traffic supports subsequent easing. Forecast not observed margin or Valero realized dollars. Independent of issuer but same macro mechanism, not corroboration of company profits. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/petro_prod.php
VLO 2025 10K purchased feedstock and supplier/logistics risk
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:04
FiledFeb25 2026; operator original risk disclosure retrieved SEC CLI. Nearly all primary feedstocks purchased before finished-product sale; cheaper-grade differential important. Non-waterborne plants more transport-constrained; alternative supply may be inadequate or expensive. Critical catalysts/chemicals sourced globally. Texas electricity scarcity pricing and water challenges can offset product premiums. Integrated rivals can offset downstream losses with own production. No quantified top-supplier share identified in Item1A; not evidence of no concentration. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1035002/000162828026011499/vlo-20251231.htm
VLO Q2 cash bridge and refining margin; July30 issuer, period June30 = 4139
Supply chain2026-09-10 06:04
Issuer original, interested party. USDm: CFO5580-WC706-other DGD owner389=adjusted4485; attributable investments346=>4139 adjusted post-investment proxy, not GAAP FCF. Consolidated5580-350=5230. Total refining margin6342;4065 is Gulf Coast only, no contradiction. Gulf margin24.42/bbl versus11.78 prior, throughput1829 vs1841kb/d. Total operating income4470; total throughput~3mb/d. Q3 StCharles230m project expected, not actual startup. Tables verified; historical Q2 not current daily netback. https://investorvalero.com/news/news-details/2026/Valero-Energy-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Results/default.aspx
Job173 remote completion verified = 21
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:17
list_jobs lastRunAt04:15:46.451UTC, actualpayload04:16:07.918UTC,exit0,all21resultlinesandEND21/21visible,next05:15:46.451. FTKslidesLakeStreetPDFandAVAVQ1FY27prioritized; SSL/SSLnewsOK, ACSArelayAug28notlive. BombardierCHALLENGEandCENTCOMHTTPErrorpersist. FullsourceURLsinscript. Supersedes2054/1790pendingremoteverification, notnewphysicalevent. Savedoutput 1016characters. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
04UTC supply edge and capital constraints = 0
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:16
Runcontext equity/cash850.99,supplycash278.67,noopen/queuedpositions; query_tradesfundsupplytwo closedFROid6/STNGid3 bothoperatorliquidation. Noobservedlosers, noarrivalquoteforexecutionslippage;100%N2notedge. Caps25%equity212.7475,loss1%8.5099. AtSSL14.58referencewhole-shareaffordability14shares204.12,notapprovedsize/quote. FrozenN7p.428571,w.429894,l.058732quarterKellypoint1.49196 isunstable/abovevenuecap; approved0becauseuncertainmean,negative training,unvalidatedvenueexits. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
FTK Lake Street deck available; cash table visually verified = -7.819
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:14
Read04UTCviahttps://ir.flotekind.com/presentations?cat=7; genericpresentations routehademptylist. Directrequestsredirectfilecache.investorroom.com/mr5ir_flotek/367/Lake-Street-Investor-Presentation.pdf HTTP20028pages. p26cashflowtableembeddedimageextractedandviewed: H1netincome14.617m,ARchange-24.570m,relatedAR-19.486m,inventory-16.585m,AP+26.233m,CFO-6.580m,capex-1.239m=>FCF-7.819m;cash4.402m+restricted.104m=4.506m. p8selfclaimprimaryfluidchemistrysupplierSaudi,extendedsupplyoperationssupportmid2027; H2international>40mvsH1 12.6mexpected. FYguide360-370m/50-54munchangedfromSep9. No new datedinternationalreceipts identified. Publicationminuteunknown; observed04UTC, noautomaticentry. https://ir.flotekind.com/image/Lake-Street-Investor-Presentation.pdf
AVAV 04UTC Q1 deck recovered and funding definitions = 1366.5
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:12
Sep9Q1FY27deck linkedlive04UTCevents page; directrequestsHTTP200 recoveredafterweb403. p7guidanceunchangedrevenue2125-2225m/EBITDA305-325m,45/55halfyearrevenueand1/3vs2/3EBITDA. AppendixH unfundedbacklog1457.7-177.6+86.4=1366.5m atAug1. AppendixF definesfundedbacklog as appropriated/obligatedfunds authorizedtospendandbill, notcashalreadycollected. NoQ1transcriptlinkoneventspage; decknot necessarilynewthishour. DoesnotrepairQ1FCFbaseline-35.954m; noorder. https://investor.avinc.com/static-files/f4f2cf5b-081f-4a73-848b-52666a7e9bcc
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 7/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":11.36,"h":11.42,"l":11.226,"n":11287,"o":11.24,"t":"2026-08-26T04:00:00Z","v":1216694,"vw":11.340821},{"c":11.61,"h":11.65,"l":11.275,"n":12484,"o":11.49,"t":"2026-08-27T04:00:00Z","v":1424573,"vw":11.515362},{"c":11.82,"h":11.84,"l":11.64,"n":8164,"o":11.75,"t":"2026-08-28T04:00:00Z","v":867680,"vw":11.778273},{"c":12.02,"h":12.2081,"l":11.965,"n":7620,"o":12.01,"t":"2026-08-31T04:00:00Z","v":821354,"vw":12.036409},{"c":12.45,"h":12.485,"l":11.85,"n":19757,"o":11.89,"t":"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","v":1982371,"vw":12.218677},{"c":12.68,"h":12.73,"l":12.17,"n":22568,"o":12.19,"t":"2026-09-02T04:00:00Z","v":3633021,"vw":12.572134},{"c":12.35,"h":12.68,"l":12.33,"n":11451,"o":12.52,"t":"2026-09-03T04:00:00Z","v":1434420,"vw":12.494262},{"c":12.27,"h":12.365,"l":12.13,"n":11569,"o":12.32,"t":"2026-09-04T04:00:00Z","v":1950067,"vw":12.259229},{"c":13.3,"h":13.33,"l":13.03,"n":13719,"o":13.08,"t":"2026-09-08T04:00:00Z","v":1378695,"vw":13.205015},{"c":14.58,"h":14.76,"l":14.118,"n":36197,"o":14.118,"t":"2026-09-09T04:00:00Z","v":4945804,"vw":14.512568}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 6/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":11.48,"h":11.6,"l":11.435,"n":7166,"o":11.6,"t":"2026-08-12T04:00:00Z","v":639533,"vw":11.50032},{"c":11.19,"h":11.38,"l":11.14,"n":11687,"o":11.37,"t":"2026-08-13T04:00:00Z","v":1257342,"vw":11.209094},{"c":11.53,"h":11.555,"l":11.275,"n":7238,"o":11.31,"t":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","v":782829,"vw":11.483209},{"c":11.71,"h":11.755,"l":11.465,"n":12102,"o":11.49,"t":"2026-08-17T04:00:00Z","v":1484005,"vw":11.639536},{"c":11.85,"h":12.0855,"l":11.77,"n":8153,"o":12,"t":"2026-08-18T04:00:00Z","v":1095958,"vw":11.883014},{"c":12.1,"h":12.305,"l":12.04,"n":11506,"o":12.06,"t":"2026-08-19T04:00:00Z","v":1320371,"vw":12.141139},{"c":12.27,"h":12.395,"l":12.16,"n":8812,"o":12.2,"t":"2026-08-20T04:00:00Z","v":813864,"vw":12.278368},{"c":12.49,"h":12.55,"l":12.35,"n":10833,"o":12.35,"t":"2026-08-21T04:00:00Z","v":1226961,"vw":12.477803},{"c":12.27,"h":12.5,"l":12.23,"n":8514,"o":12.44,"t":"2026-08-24T04:00:00Z","v":831324,"vw":12.302362},{"c":11.45,"h":11.835,"l":11.395,"n":10334,"o":11.75,"t":"2026-08-25T04:00:00Z","v":1381888,"vw":11.527005}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 5/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":11.54,"h":11.645,"l":11.485,"n":11155,"o":11.49,"t":"2026-07-29T04:00:00Z","v":1024810,"vw":11.557316},{"c":11.71,"h":11.725,"l":11.56,"n":13145,"o":11.62,"t":"2026-07-30T04:00:00Z","v":1461497,"vw":11.646165},{"c":11.7,"h":11.71,"l":11.47,"n":9036,"o":11.64,"t":"2026-07-31T04:00:00Z","v":864032,"vw":11.636499},{"c":11.24,"h":11.315,"l":11.13,"n":9783,"o":11.29,"t":"2026-08-03T04:00:00Z","v":829586,"vw":11.224436},{"c":11.14,"h":11.17,"l":10.99,"n":9646,"o":11.04,"t":"2026-08-04T04:00:00Z","v":1152193,"vw":11.101315},{"c":10.94,"h":11.22,"l":10.91,"n":14894,"o":11.1,"t":"2026-08-05T04:00:00Z","v":1378329,"vw":11.048283},{"c":11.3,"h":11.33,"l":11.01,"n":9212,"o":11.11,"t":"2026-08-06T04:00:00Z","v":1069684,"vw":11.239182},{"c":11.07,"h":11.23,"l":11.04,"n":10830,"o":11.22,"t":"2026-08-07T04:00:00Z","v":1276612,"vw":11.107698},{"c":11.51,"h":11.555,"l":11.17,"n":10180,"o":11.17,"t":"2026-08-10T04:00:00Z","v":1021710,"vw":11.46997},{"c":11.51,"h":11.7,"l":11.5,"n":7213,"o":11.63,"t":"2026-08-11T04:00:00Z","v":629226,"vw":11.572764}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 4/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":10.87,"h":10.89,"l":10.69,"n":10424,"o":10.84,"t":"2026-07-15T04:00:00Z","v":909402,"vw":10.814507},{"c":10.9,"h":11.16,"l":10.9,"n":8999,"o":10.98,"t":"2026-07-16T04:00:00Z","v":856519,"vw":11.018468},{"c":11.37,"h":11.45,"l":11.26,"n":11122,"o":11.31,"t":"2026-07-17T04:00:00Z","v":1054968,"vw":11.344159},{"c":11.45,"h":11.565,"l":11.3485,"n":13996,"o":11.43,"t":"2026-07-20T04:00:00Z","v":1661218,"vw":11.468573},{"c":11.54,"h":11.54,"l":11.2803,"n":7843,"o":11.36,"t":"2026-07-21T04:00:00Z","v":786104,"vw":11.474523},{"c":11.32,"h":11.5,"l":11.23,"n":8665,"o":11.38,"t":"2026-07-22T04:00:00Z","v":877994,"vw":11.338533},{"c":12.05,"h":12.375,"l":12.005,"n":15045,"o":12.04,"t":"2026-07-23T04:00:00Z","v":1592559,"vw":12.180074},{"c":11.83,"h":11.895,"l":11.7201,"n":9173,"o":11.78,"t":"2026-07-24T04:00:00Z","v":806871,"vw":11.816904},{"c":11.45,"h":11.7614,"l":11.4,"n":9758,"o":11.61,"t":"2026-07-27T04:00:00Z","v":916876,"vw":11.510673},{"c":10.97,"h":11.235,"l":10.945,"n":13304,"o":11.16,"t":"2026-07-28T04:00:00Z","v":1463232,"vw":11.070957}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 3/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":9.82,"h":9.87,"l":9.72,"n":15675,"o":9.78,"t":"2026-06-30T04:00:00Z","v":2120249,"vw":9.79036},{"c":9.59,"h":9.625,"l":9.405,"n":10207,"o":9.47,"t":"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","v":1503478,"vw":9.53971},{"c":9.69,"h":9.805,"l":9.56,"n":12188,"o":9.58,"t":"2026-07-02T04:00:00Z","v":1488311,"vw":9.703802},{"c":9.88,"h":9.89,"l":9.625,"n":10716,"o":9.7,"t":"2026-07-06T04:00:00Z","v":1284734,"vw":9.817399},{"c":10.05,"h":10.12,"l":9.895,"n":8541,"o":9.92,"t":"2026-07-07T04:00:00Z","v":878103,"vw":10.015513},{"c":10.33,"h":10.445,"l":10.09,"n":13998,"o":10.25,"t":"2026-07-08T04:00:00Z","v":1757064,"vw":10.311417},{"c":10.35,"h":10.48,"l":10.3,"n":11997,"o":10.41,"t":"2026-07-09T04:00:00Z","v":925802,"vw":10.371404},{"c":10.47,"h":10.48,"l":10.25,"n":10094,"o":10.28,"t":"2026-07-10T04:00:00Z","v":1620052,"vw":10.380885},{"c":10.89,"h":10.905,"l":10.59,"n":15159,"o":10.59,"t":"2026-07-13T04:00:00Z","v":2307486,"vw":10.762498},{"c":10.77,"h":11.06,"l":10.69,"n":11709,"o":11.03,"t":"2026-07-14T04:00:00Z","v":1350099,"vw":10.840953}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 2/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":11.39,"h":11.55,"l":11.295,"n":15676,"o":11.49,"t":"2026-06-15T04:00:00Z","v":2602072,"vw":11.402849},{"c":10.99,"h":11.32,"l":10.9601,"n":12330,"o":11.26,"t":"2026-06-16T04:00:00Z","v":2022834,"vw":11.04027},{"c":10.74,"h":11.15,"l":10.7,"n":17034,"o":10.97,"t":"2026-06-17T04:00:00Z","v":1968799,"vw":10.892787},{"c":10.77,"h":10.91,"l":10.6,"n":24184,"o":10.88,"t":"2026-06-18T04:00:00Z","v":3340479,"vw":10.701191},{"c":11.29,"h":11.39,"l":11.1,"n":20393,"o":11.31,"t":"2026-06-22T04:00:00Z","v":2425972,"vw":11.287807},{"c":11.11,"h":11.4,"l":11.03,"n":19059,"o":11.32,"t":"2026-06-23T04:00:00Z","v":2176422,"vw":11.181072},{"c":10.5,"h":10.575,"l":10.345,"n":16798,"o":10.46,"t":"2026-06-24T04:00:00Z","v":1990730,"vw":10.484756},{"c":10.15,"h":10.235,"l":10.0239,"n":9372,"o":10.16,"t":"2026-06-25T04:00:00Z","v":1136199,"vw":10.138024},{"c":9.67,"h":9.82,"l":9.5901,"n":14137,"o":9.77,"t":"2026-06-26T04:00:00Z","v":1774983,"vw":9.680638},{"c":9.7,"h":9.82,"l":9.58,"n":9364,"o":9.81,"t":"2026-06-29T04:00:00Z","v":1075170,"vw":9.693139}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP raw bar block 1/7
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
[{"c":12.79,"h":12.91,"l":12.66,"n":9579,"o":12.78,"t":"2026-06-01T04:00:00Z","v":851552,"vw":12.784252},{"c":13.11,"h":13.175,"l":12.88,"n":8811,"o":12.88,"t":"2026-06-02T04:00:00Z","v":826905,"vw":13.081573},{"c":13.19,"h":13.525,"l":13.19,"n":11803,"o":13.29,"t":"2026-06-03T04:00:00Z","v":1050090,"vw":13.368912},{"c":13.29,"h":13.445,"l":12.95,"n":16395,"o":13.01,"t":"2026-06-04T04:00:00Z","v":1901006,"vw":13.193255},{"c":13.47,"h":13.81,"l":13.43,"n":12513,"o":13.75,"t":"2026-06-05T04:00:00Z","v":1218911,"vw":13.57821},{"c":13.45,"h":13.755,"l":13.37,"n":15927,"o":13.75,"t":"2026-06-08T04:00:00Z","v":1500001,"vw":13.492243},{"c":13.58,"h":13.74,"l":13.315,"n":26823,"o":13.68,"t":"2026-06-09T04:00:00Z","v":2791283,"vw":13.514905},{"c":13.54,"h":13.745,"l":13.52,"n":13379,"o":13.6,"t":"2026-06-10T04:00:00Z","v":1477975,"vw":13.613338},{"c":13.42,"h":13.8199,"l":13.395,"n":13683,"o":13.72,"t":"2026-06-11T04:00:00Z","v":1635603,"vw":13.616099},{"c":13,"h":13.29,"l":12.86,"n":19750,"o":13.06,"t":"2026-06-12T04:00:00Z","v":2097418,"vw":13.023402}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&start=2026-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-09T20:00:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC descriptive 69-return distribution
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
{"sample":69,"mean_pct":0.24630316389150209,"median_pct":0.6102212051868783,"std_pct":3.3648738375040907,"p05_pct":-4.514294318841823,"p95_pct":5.048884058743808,"absret_range_corr":0.23503327880585725,"ret_volume_corr":0.028548120888872958} Measured Sep10 from dated primaryinputs; computedscenarios not forecasts. Economics monetaryvalues asnamedRm/US$m; airportstocksAug28notlive; temporarycapacityeconomics7-8break-evenyardsticknotverifiedincrementalcost. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC SIP technical and historical-capital valuation
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
{"bars":70,"last":{"c":14.58,"h":14.76,"l":14.118,"n":36197,"o":14.118,"t":"2026-09-09T04:00:00Z","v":4945804,"vw":14.512568},"prior20high":13.33,"sma20":12.139000000000001,"sma50":11.440600000000002,"adr20":0.32172999999999996,"return20pct":26.67245873153781,"last2session_pct":18.826405867970664,"rsi14":66.82850100816735,"ordinary_equity_proxy_usdm":9444.923999999999,"FY26_FCF_at_historical_closing_fx_usdm":725.3813300793166,"trailing_FCF_yield_proxy_pct":7.680118231542326,"EV_inclleases_proxy_usdm":13767.923999999999,"EV_EBITDA_proxy_at_FY26avgFX":3.830660346923647} Measured Sep10 from dated primaryinputs; computedscenarios not forecasts. Economics monetaryvalues asnamedRm/US$m; airportstocksAug28notlive; temporarycapacityeconomics7-8break-evenyardsticknotverifiedincrementalcost. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SSL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SSL 04UTC conditional inventory stress outputs
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
{"0.25":{"path_share_below3days":1,"median_first_cross_day":5,"end_stock_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0,0],"unmet_supply_days_p05_p50_p95":[9.18824864178234,10.26517426684272,11.349718792972022]},"0.5":{"path_share_below3days":1,"median_first_cross_day":7,"end_stock_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0,0],"unmet_supply_days_p05_p50_p95":[4.164021637423924,4.994369764290052,5.829244948696645]},"0.75":{"path_share_below3days":1,"median_first_cross_day":14,"end_stock_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0.25821548894028123,0.8322484577426514],"unmet_supply_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0,0.33482582814796413]},"0.9":{"path_share_below3days":0.1013,"median_first_cross_day":28,"end_stock_days_p05_p50_p95":[2.9246817505936646,3.410045727942568,3.877391147212703],"unmet_supply_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0,0]},"1.0":{"path_share_below3days":0,"median_first_cross_day":null,"end_stock_days_p05_p50_p95":[5.048973193166273,5.494854048592856,5.949350425959832],"unmet_supply_days_p05_p50_p95":[0,0,0]}} Measured Sep10 from dated primaryinputs; computedscenarios not forecasts. Economics monetaryvalues asnamedRm/US$m; airportstocksAug28notlive; temporarycapacityeconomics7-8break-evenyardsticknotverifiedincrementalcost. https://www.sanews.gov.za/south-africa/acsa-reassures-passengers-over-jet-fuel-supply
SSL 04UTC computed cash and throughput sensitivities
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:10
{"incremental_bbl_m":11.100000000000001,"prax_pct_of_reported":26.744186046511626,"prax_pct_of_growth":62.162162162162154,"own_share_output_excess_access_m":18.9,"own_share_output_growth_pct":28.57142857142856,"prax_annualized_reported_bpd":18904.109589041094,"external_purchase_change_pct":-50.588235294117645,"fcf_change_pct":-5.327281414237939,"generated_change_pct":-12.202163044160407,"fcf_ebitda_pct":19.584877687175684,"capex_increase_rm":[2128,3628,5128],"nwc_gap_samebasis_pp":[0.10000000000000142,1.1000000000000014],"inventory_growth_rm":8528,"raw_plus_wip_growth_rm":7058,"raw_wip_share_inventory_growth_pct":82.76266416510319,"inventory_at_nrv_pct":24.035690864648952,"inventory_writedown_growth_rm":1150,"jet_supply_m3_day":[2695,3080],"jet_total_stock_m3":[19250,23100],"jet_stock_above_crisis_m3":[7700,11550],"days_to_crisis_full_natref_loss_no_extra_imports":[2.5,4.285714285714286],"jet_28day_natref_equivalent_m3":[75460,86240],"lost_30d_output_at_10_25_50pct_m_bbl":[0.21205479452054796,0.5301369863013699,1.0602739726027397],"lost_gross_margin_30d_at25_10_usdm":[5.322575342465754,13.306438356164383,26.612876712328767],"annual_1usd_crack_ebit_rm":840,"annual_50cent_rand_strengthening_ebit_rm":-4050,"prax_margin_above_est_break_even_usdm":[117.99000000000001,124.89000000000001],"prax_loss_equiv_crack_usd":[2.372441785714286,2.511181071428572]} Measured Sep10 from dated primaryinputs; computedscenarios not forecasts. Economics monetaryvalues asnamedRm/US$m; airportstocksAug28notlive; temporarycapacityeconomics7-8break-evenyardsticknotverifiedincrementalcost. https://www.sasol.com/sites/default/files/2026-09/Additional%20Information%20for%20Analysts%20for%20the%20year%20ended%2030%20June%202026.pdf ; https://www.sasol.com/sites/default/files/2026-09/Annual%20Financial%20Statements%20for%20the%20year%20ended%2030%20June%202026_0.pdf ; https://www.sanews.gov.za/south-africa/acsa-reassures-passengers-over-jet-fuel-supply
SSL ORTIA dated operating baseline recovered = 3850
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:06
GovcommunicationserviceAug28 relaysairportoperator: demand3850m3/day,Natref70-80%,5-6daysstock; baseline5days/crisis3days. PriorSep6-Oct4repairriskwindow andAug25/boiler account relayedfromSasol; Sep1operator saysmidAug andmitigationuntilendSep. Two origins forstockvsplant, notindependentfailureconfirmation; currentSep10stockunknown. Replacesobservation19884narrowsearchgap withdatedfallback,notliveupdate. https://www.sanews.gov.za/south-africa/acsa-reassures-passengers-over-jet-fuel-supply
SSL SSL FY26 risk-factor constraint map
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:06
FullFY26Form20F retrieveddirectHTTP2003.7MB afterCLI60ktruncation/sectionfailure; Item3.D read. PraxSAbusinessrescueOct2025 expecteddivestment; contractedcommitments notguaranteed. Transnet dependency/delays; IVRS~81%waterdemand; immatureMozambiqueserviceproviders. Crudehedges do notcoverrefiningmargins; insurance maynotcoverallloss. Jan2025fire caused2monthNatrefoutage. August2026distinctevent. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/314590/000110465926104048/ssl-20260630x20f.htm
SSL SSL equity instrument and debt inputs = 647.8
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:06
p4/6 asJun30 ordinaryshares647.8m; total654.1m incl6.3mBEE, treasury14m. Netdebtexleases3259mUSD inclleases4323mUSD, notsameEVdefinition; closingFX16.39. AFS ADS eachrepresents1ordinary. Historicalcapitalbasis forvaluation only; market price reverifyseparately. https://www.sasol.com/sites/default/files/2026-09/Additional%20Information%20for%20Analysts%20for%20the%20year%20ended%2030%20June%202026.pdf
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