Notes

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 QVM90806 reproducibility archive; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

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{"period":"recent","cost":"stress","return":0.3883577007847361,"drawdown":1.7058992137510942,"n":9,"win":55.55555555555556,"W":0.8903424016897254,"L":0.9282668226251898,"K":0.023044964266495188,"partial":7,"same_day":0,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":2,"target":5,"stop":2},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":10880} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"period":"recent","cost":"base","return":1.8270568454578084,"drawdown":1.5397404286932925,"n":9,"win":77.77777777777779,"W":0.9297095772245942,"L":1.5315234845823562,"K":0.10292700704603543,"partial":7,"same_day":0,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":2,"target":5,"stop":2},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":10880} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"period":"holdout","cost":"stress","return":-10.219205520157814,"drawdown":10.547213697120828,"n":60,"win":51.66666666666667,"W":1.0098601271398548,"L":1.6727483053177203,"K":0,"partial":34,"same_day":9,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":10,"target":24,"stop":26},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":79291} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"period":"holdout","cost":"base","return":-2.958619104193694,"drawdown":4.962779156876207,"n":60,"win":56.666666666666664,"W":1.2165123619899256,"L":1.5611579357533323,"K":0.002641821277265727,"partial":34,"same_day":9,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":10,"target":24,"stop":26},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":79291} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"period":"train","cost":"stress","return":-2.52328119981714,"drawdown":5.44836870040788,"n":24,"win":66.66666666666666,"W":1.79397636973347,"L":1.26470474223988,"K":0.1079189241481956,"partial":17,"same_day":6,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":3,"target":14,"stop":7},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":31421} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"period":"train","cost":"base","return":0.6230632020922888,"drawdown":3.29784660349125,"n":24,"win":70.83333333333334,"W":1.977108622265553,"L":1.1083149421567535,"K":0.1362081733705362,"partial":17,"same_day":6,"exit_counts":{"breakeven":3,"target":14,"stop":7},"reconcile":0,"fillerr":0,"rows":31421} Barclose-check proxy, regular+extended availablebars, buy09:30baropen thencheckeachcompletedclose;firststop/target fullcloseelsepartial+1R. Notactualquotefills/venuephase; 2016–18 dailycalibration; no retuning. UnitpayoffK is notweightedbookK. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SPY&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; QVM90806 study15.py

{"n":9,"p":0.6666666666666666,"weighted_W_pct":0.6753636120965096,"weighted_L_pct":1.6312984462986273,"quarterKelly_weighted":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.09352374070186928,"mean_unit_pct":-0.30025162216664647,"weight_return_cov":0.0006280603897663059,"mean_weight":0.5206625647861918,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":-0.15632977967850073} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json

{"n":60,"p":0.4666666666666667,"weighted_W_pct":0.818007438389351,"weighted_L_pct":1.303912058312398,"quarterKelly_weighted":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.3136829598515819,"mean_unit_pct":-0.45609735267125984,"weight_return_cov":0.0007177110301378117,"mean_weight":0.8451135719333723,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":-0.38545406286536343} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json

{"n":24,"p":0.7083333333333334,"weighted_W_pct":0.8761438585218292,"weighted_L_pct":1.336594875235529,"quarterKelly_weighted":0.06584584414936305,"mean_weighted_pct":0.23076172784259977,"mean_unit_pct":1.0140649178240537,"weight_return_cov":-0.0050381859930235685,"mean_weight":0.7243918157835422,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":0.7345803271449547} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json

{"n":9,"p":0.5555555555555556,"weighted_W_pct":0.5391210396651003,"weighted_L_pct":1.0839221952595595,"quarterKelly_weighted":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.18223150919030412,"mean_unit_pct":-0.4402736052345902,"weight_return_cov":0.0005467176187534095,"mean_weight":0.5380819296205966,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":-0.2369032710656451} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json

{"n":60,"p":0.5166666666666667,"weighted_W_pct":0.44835950556390725,"weighted_L_pct":0.805992515482285,"quarterKelly_weighted":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.1579106379417524,"mean_unit_pct":-0.2951614508879591,"weight_return_cov":0.0002597045534223983,"mean_weight":0.6229847858885602,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":-0.18388109328399196} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json

{"n":24,"p":0.7083333333333334,"weighted_W_pct":0.4055777329546049,"weighted_L_pct":0.9000180432434588,"quarterKelly_weighted":0.015273869152235858,"mean_weighted_pct":0.024778964896836342,"mean_unit_pct":0.8281471650369835,"weight_return_cov":-0.0045078468843126945,"mean_weight":0.5742501736474179,"mean_unit_times_mean_weight_pct":0.4755636533281047} Weightedreturns represent payoffofentirecashsleeve, notonlyinvestedpart. Arithmeticmean(w*r)=mean(w)*mean(r)+cov(w,r); thiscovariancecan reverseunitpayoffedge. Actualallocation0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; QVM90806 weighted.py/ledgers.json