QQQ Candidate QQQ260908C00733000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.019483587977044504
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"QQQ","occ":"QQQ260908C00733000","S":719.1,"K":733,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-08","T":0.010958904109589,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.550975895Z","bid_size":146,"ask_size":133,"iv":0.0952,"delta":0.0074,"forecast":0.1634886938907712,"fair":0.8642500956286767,"low":0.1210874091117411,"high":3.551375970659336,"net_gap":0.8422500956286767,"robust_gap":0.099087409111741,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":1,"session_fair":0.09557345375727877,"session_low":0.0025164120229554943,"session_gap":-0.019483587977044504}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/QQQ?feed=indicative
QQQ Candidate QQQ260909C00739000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.018819817518933336
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"QQQ","occ":"QQQ260909C00739000","S":719.1,"K":739,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-09","T":0.0136986301369863,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.246061585Z","bid_size":173,"ask_size":172,"iv":0.1097,"delta":0.0057,"forecast":0.1634886938907712,"fair":0.5136458510715016,"low":0.0369970887151325,"high":2.968574670755544,"net_gap":0.4916458510715016,"robust_gap":0.0149970887151325,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":2,"session_fair":0.13266393490177464,"session_low":0.0031801824810666623,"session_gap":-0.018819817518933336}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/QQQ?feed=indicative
TLT Candidate TLT260909P00081000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.018745099016643764
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"TLT","occ":"TLT260909P00081000","S":82.22,"K":81,"type":"P","expiry":"2026-09-09","T":0.0136986301369863,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.505774368Z","bid_size":2,"ask_size":311,"iv":0.0892,"delta":-0.047,"forecast":0.1139528564650405,"fair":0.0659621887891201,"low":0.0117562910252035,"high":0.1311745829481605,"net_gap":0.0439621887891201,"robust_gap":-0.0102437089747964,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":2,"session_fair":0.024062002859205123,"session_low":0.003254900983356235,"session_gap":-0.018745099016643764}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
SOFI Candidate SOFI260911C00020500 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.01804529070146
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"SOFI","occ":"SOFI260911C00020500","S":18.215,"K":20.5,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-11","T":0.0191780821917808,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.966070927Z","bid_size":2024,"ask_size":1090,"iv":0.5,"delta":0.0335,"forecast":0.6066404078716822,"fair":0.0597834347972745,"low":0.0077134745589905,"high":0.1181934783588767,"net_gap":0.0377834347972745,"robust_gap":-0.0142865254410094,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":4,"session_fair":0.039640637887820684,"session_low":0.003954709298539999,"session_gap":-0.01804529070146}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SOFI?feed=indicative
QQQ Candidate QQQ260910C00743000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.01725167283059579
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"QQQ","occ":"QQQ260910C00743000","S":719.1,"K":743,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-10","T":0.0164383561643835,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.532002503Z","bid_size":58,"ask_size":173,"iv":0.1139,"delta":0.005,"forecast":0.1634886938907712,"fair":0.4205498659437765,"low":0.0216434500181419,"high":2.857799224241859,"net_gap":0.3985498659437765,"robust_gap":-0.000356549981858,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":3,"session_fair":0.18319475913682837,"session_low":0.0047483271694042095,"session_gap":-0.01725167283059579}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/QQQ?feed=indicative
QQQ Candidate QQQ260909C00737000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.013623374459691842
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"QQQ","occ":"QQQ260909C00737000","S":719.1,"K":737,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-09","T":0.0136986301369863,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.759261698Z","bid_size":24,"ask_size":227,"iv":0.1006,"delta":0.0062,"forecast":0.1634886938907712,"fair":0.6952215556344044,"low":0.0684366674645424,"high":3.410655461693437,"net_gap":0.6732215556344043,"robust_gap":0.0464366674645424,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":2,"session_fair":0.2103426950949583,"session_low":0.008376625540308158,"session_gap":-0.013623374459691842}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/QQQ?feed=indicative
QQQ Candidate QQQ260909C00736000 independent pricing and sensitivity = -0.008756330793975956
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:09
{"symbol":"QQQ","occ":"QQQ260909C00736000","S":719.1,"K":736,"type":"C","expiry":"2026-09-09","T":0.0136986301369863,"bid":0.01,"ask":0.02,"quote_time":"2026-09-04T19:59:59.220501554Z","bid_size":401,"ask_size":25,"iv":0.0961,"delta":0.0064,"forecast":0.1634886938907712,"fair":0.8044810112412506,"low":0.091748282348341,"high":3.650126724898115,"net_gap":0.7824810112412506,"robust_gap":0.069748282348341,"affordable":true,"spread":0.01,"sessions":2,"session_fair":0.2622535446952412,"session_low":0.013243669206024045,"session_gap":-0.008756330793975956}; Pricing anchoredSep4close, not liveSep6. Fee allowance0.002/share=$0.20/contract roundtrip. BSM r4%,q0 main; calendar low min acrosssigma0.8*min(forecast,RV21,RV63),rates0/6%,q0/4%; session_low r0,q4% and actual sessions/252. This is an adverse scenario not a proven fair-value bound; American/dividend adjustments unresolved.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/QQQ?feed=indicative
IBIT All12 vectorbt parameter/cost cells; train and holdout = 12
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:08
{"columns":["period","threshold","one_way_cost_fraction","return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_pct","closed_trades","avg_win_pct","avg_loss_pct"],"rows":[["train",1.5,0.001,9.37193,15.90236,57.14286,21,3.74771,-3.75586],["train",1.5,0.003,0.55996,18.18364,57.14286,21,3.33668,-4.1444],["train",2,0.001,6.21277,9.13711,50,14,3.46347,-2.47193],["train",2,0.003,0.42832,12.65983,50,14,3.05329,-2.86432],["train",2.5,0.001,-0.94394,1.98334,33.33333,3,1.24275,-1.08283],["train",2.5,0.003,-2.12551,2.95842,33.33333,3,0.83923,-1.47939],["holdout",1.5,0.001,-30.64149,35.79822,50,6,1.61833,-12.49423],["holdout",1.5,0.003,-32.28628,36.69066,33.33333,6,1.88083,-9.6726],["holdout",2,0.001,-23.24315,25.34159,25,4,1.76054,-8.81892],["holdout",2,0.003,-24.46148,26.37938,25,4,1.35547,-9.19229],["holdout",2.5,0.001,-6.34195,6.34195,33.33333,3,0.79332,-3.60391],["holdout",2.5,0.003,-7.45913,7.45913,33.33333,3,0.39114,-3.99292]],"method":"20day population z, next-close trades, fees/slippage split equally; train beforeDec15 2025, holdoutJan1-Sep4 2026. No option returns; no optimized choice."}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=IBIT&timeframe=1Day&start=2023-01-01&end=2026-09-05&adjustment=all&feed=iex
SOFI All12 vectorbt parameter/cost cells; train and holdout = 12
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:08
{"columns":["period","threshold","one_way_cost_fraction","return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_pct","closed_trades","avg_win_pct","avg_loss_pct"],"rows":[["train",1.5,0.001,62.74688,18.21911,59.25926,27,5.41539,-3.06352],["train",1.5,0.003,46.08607,18.87075,59.25926,27,4.99936,-3.45414],["train",2,0.001,18.09484,20.58898,64.28571,14,4.88892,-4.92845],["train",2,0.003,11.66328,21.69283,64.28571,14,4.47447,-5.31348],["train",2.5,0.001,-0.37969,3.8961,33.33333,6,3.98094,-2.01686],["train",2.5,0.003,-2.74212,5.0605,33.33333,6,3.56921,-2.41061],["holdout",1.5,0.001,-20.87081,26.0591,45.45455,11,1.61482,-5.00964],["holdout",1.5,0.003,-24.27701,27.79843,45.45455,11,1.21018,-5.39443],["holdout",2,0.001,3.36226,11.95401,57.14286,7,2.21199,-1.78567],["holdout",2,0.003,0.50826,12.12975,57.14286,7,1.80556,-2.18012],["holdout",2.5,0.001,-2.73774,2.73774,0,2,0,-1.3787],["holdout",2.5,0.003,-3.51274,3.51274,0,2,0,-1.77436]],"method":"20day population z, next-close trades, fees/slippage split equally; train beforeDec15 2025, holdoutJan1-Sep4 2026. No option returns; no optimized choice."}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SOFI&timeframe=1Day&start=2023-01-01&end=2026-09-05&adjustment=all&feed=iex
F All12 vectorbt parameter/cost cells; train and holdout = 12
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:08
{"columns":["period","threshold","one_way_cost_fraction","return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_pct","closed_trades","avg_win_pct","avg_loss_pct"],"rows":[["train",1.5,0.001,14.20396,13.86024,58.82353,34,2.69635,-2.76062],["train",1.5,0.003,-0.31793,15.04514,52.94118,34,2.55793,-2.7752],["train",2,0.001,11.23602,6.23956,64.70588,17,2.09683,-1.97587],["train",2,0.003,3.92341,7.54287,58.82353,17,1.87238,-2.04915],["train",2.5,0.001,3.03737,5.12196,57.14286,7,2.31183,-2.00061],["train",2.5,0.003,0.19234,6.62793,57.14286,7,1.9051,-2.39441],["holdout",1.5,0.001,-4.64996,9.06615,60,5,2.31235,-5.57444],["holdout",1.5,0.003,-6.53802,9.60994,60,5,1.90562,-5.95753],["holdout",2,0.001,-0.85975,5.29058,50,2,3.82208,-4.50998],["holdout",2,0.003,-1.64971,5.47962,50,2,3.41083,-4.89626],["holdout",2.5,0.001,-3.78974,3.78974,0,1,0,-3.79163],["holdout",2.5,0.003,-4.17381,4.17381,0,1,0,-4.18007]],"method":"20day population z, next-close trades, fees/slippage split equally; train beforeDec15 2025, holdoutJan1-Sep4 2026. No option returns; no optimized choice."}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=F&timeframe=1Day&start=2023-01-01&end=2026-09-05&adjustment=all&feed=iex
QQQ Primary ETF structure and holiday calendar
Options mispricing2026-09-06 00:07
Issuer registration filedDec19 2025, effectiveDec22: objective tracks Nasdaq100 before fees; annual expenses0.18%; non-diversified, significant technology exposure as ofOct31 2025. Older source statements about unit investment trust structure need updating: filing reclassifies to open-end management company. Structural facts, notSep2026 holdings weights. Exchange primary https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars confirmsSep7 2026 LaborDay closure. ThereforeSep4close toSep8close has1 regular session, not4. Not evidence zero weekend variance.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067839/000110465925123273/tm2529177d1_485bpos.htm
SOFI September4 chain census, volatility and technical measurements = 448