Notes

Base64-zlib JSON files; concatenate numeric parts. SHA256 cb4c3a89a97ac342156bf565df2931d94678e54fc7619aed764a3827c8230d10. Includes code/results/daily bars/settled rates; hourly raw refetch required. PAYLOAD: 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 https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

NumPyseed90504,10000paths; 72h resampledcomplete24hlogreturnblocks; closeonly/unconditional, not live stopfill probability. Separate circular3trade payoffbootstrap and10trade scenario at10%capital pertrade. {"symbol":"SOL","complete_day_blocks":325,"simulations":10000,"horizon_hours":72,"stop_width_pct":6.40512695806768,"target_width_pct":12.81025391613536,"target_first_pct":3.73,"stop_first_pct":24.099999999999998,"neither_pct":72.17,"terminal_p5_p50_p95_pct":[-9.595757370072555,-0.69036363873205,9.650840108123537],"nominal_risk_notional_cap":132.87480569421166,"block3_trade_mean_ci95_pct":[-4.588873214808713,-0.6560181892143068],"ten_trade_10pct_terminal_pct":[-4.998537737329034,-2.5810837972862988,0.2858579697524455],"ten_trade_loss_prob":0.9333,"ten_trade_dd95_pct":5.086665124159485,"authorized_notional":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate

NumPyseed90504,10000paths; 72h resampledcomplete24hlogreturnblocks; closeonly/unconditional, not live stopfill probability. Separate circular3trade payoffbootstrap and10trade scenario at10%capital pertrade. {"symbol":"ETH","complete_day_blocks":324,"simulations":10000,"horizon_hours":72,"stop_width_pct":4.834346620886827,"target_width_pct":9.668693241773655,"target_first_pct":7.02,"stop_first_pct":31.759999999999998,"neither_pct":61.22,"terminal_p5_p50_p95_pct":[-9.028993557019337,-0.49566440533883593,9.244301355622841],"nominal_risk_notional_cap":176.0486094072988,"block3_trade_mean_ci95_pct":[-3.369556690021336,1.72255341113823],"ten_trade_10pct_terminal_pct":[-3.206045905041799,-0.8805155659015185,1.7284121330063629],"ten_trade_loss_prob":0.7176,"ten_trade_dd95_pct":3.4110872131695342,"authorized_notional":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate

NumPyseed90504,10000paths; 72h resampledcomplete24hlogreturnblocks; closeonly/unconditional, not live stopfill probability. Separate circular3trade payoffbootstrap and10trade scenario at10%capital pertrade. {"symbol":"BTC","complete_day_blocks":325,"simulations":10000,"horizon_hours":72,"stop_width_pct":3.6671272051627737,"target_width_pct":7.334254410325547,"target_first_pct":5.57,"stop_first_pct":30.270000000000003,"neither_pct":64.16,"terminal_p5_p50_p95_pct":[-6.423047173449447,-0.38014680822435754,6.225528734163666],"nominal_risk_notional_cap":212.77,"block3_trade_mean_ci95_pct":[-2.1334227958923524,1.6219746457453654],"ten_trade_10pct_terminal_pct":[-2.14485197315768,-0.24128343146382347,1.7010876805242159],"ten_trade_loss_prob":0.577,"ten_trade_dd95_pct":2.406981051975342,"authorized_notional":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"close":101.95,"adr20":6.530026933750001,"stop_reference":95.41997306625001,"target_reference":115.0100538675,"stop_width_pct":6.40512695806768,"last_completed_funding_bp":0.24220000000000003,"prior30_q10_bp":-1.07644,"signal_for_sep5":false,"sma50":83.215017,"return20_pct":35.418742113302805} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"extreme":{"n":44,"mean_pct":-3.5425788785081416,"win_pct":31.818181818181817},"other":{"n":279,"mean_pct":0.01836631365654646,"win_pct":51.61290322580645},"extreme_uptrend":{"n":10,"mean_pct":-2.119855823196665,"win_pct":30},"extreme_downtrend":{"n":34,"mean_pct":-3.9610268359526946,"win_pct":32.35294117647059}} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"overlap":93,"binance_bybit_correlation":0.8546868053137721,"binance_okx_correlation":0.9098267557188668,"binance_bybit_sign_agreement":79.56989247311827,"binance_okx_sign_agreement":83.87096774193549} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"binance":{"settlements":2934,"first":"2024-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00.009000+00:00","daily_complete":978,"negative_day_pct":30.470347648261757,"last_day_bp":0.24220000000000003,"mean_daily_bp":1.3192630879345604},"bybit":{"settlements":3000,"first":"2023-12-10 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00+00:00","daily_complete":1000,"negative_day_pct":27.800000000000004,"last_day_bp":-0.9447000000000001,"mean_daily_bp":1.7553287},"okx":{"settlements":281,"first":"2026-06-03 08:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00+00:00","daily_complete":93,"negative_day_pct":33.33333333333333,"last_day_bp":-0.247837798948,"mean_daily_bp":0.4581891426057957}} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"close":2456.376,"adr20":118.74973015227502,"stop_reference":2337.6262698477253,"target_reference":2693.8754603045504,"stop_width_pct":4.834346620886827,"last_completed_funding_bp":1.6130999999999998,"prior30_q10_bp":0.6970200000000001,"signal_for_sep5":false,"sma50":2077.13413,"return20_pct":30.566762237962976} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"extreme":{"n":29,"mean_pct":-0.08266769009586922,"win_pct":58.620689655172406},"other":{"n":294,"mean_pct":-0.34473741613635994,"win_pct":47.61904761904761},"extreme_uptrend":{"n":9,"mean_pct":1.5125053449382593,"win_pct":66.66666666666666},"extreme_downtrend":{"n":20,"mean_pct":-0.800495555861227,"win_pct":55.00000000000001}} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"overlap":93,"binance_bybit_correlation":0.8029178535585992,"binance_okx_correlation":0.7850915725941886,"binance_bybit_sign_agreement":90.32258064516128,"binance_okx_sign_agreement":79.56989247311827} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"binance":{"settlements":2934,"first":"2024-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00.009000+00:00","daily_complete":978,"negative_day_pct":13.190184049079754,"last_day_bp":1.6130999999999998,"mean_daily_bp":1.9465746421267895},"bybit":{"settlements":3000,"first":"2023-12-10 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00+00:00","daily_complete":1000,"negative_day_pct":16.6,"last_day_bp":2.4142,"mean_daily_bp":2.0304279999999997},"okx":{"settlements":281,"first":"2026-06-03 08:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-04 16:00:00+00:00","daily_complete":93,"negative_day_pct":26.881720430107524,"last_day_bp":2.187146701945,"mean_daily_bp":0.7465184300892367}} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

MeasuredSep5 04UTC. Direct exchange settled records; previousUTCday signal and spot bars; all quantities descriptive except fixed experiment. Ratesbp/day, price returnspercent. {"close":79676.7475,"adr20":2921.84768376135,"stop_reference":76754.89981623864,"target_reference":85520.4428675227,"stop_width_pct":3.6671272051627737,"last_completed_funding_bp":1.9511000000000003,"prior30_q10_bp":1.24586,"signal_for_sep5":false,"sma50":68776.32566999999,"return20_pct":26.424702154773925} https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars