Runway

Notes

3935 observations, newest first
NXT.L Overseas quote screen; provider reference not guaranteed prior-day close = 15000
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:15
RetrievedSep10~02:08UTC viaworldCLI. {"symbol":"NXT.L","currency":"GBp","exchange":"LSE","price":15000,"previousClose":15175,"changePct":-1.1532125205930808,"asOf":"2026-09-09T16:41:12.000Z"}. chartPreviousClose from5drange is notverifiedprevioussessionclose; do notlabelchangePctdaily. Mixedasof/currencies; GBpis pence. Venue/FX/lotcosts unverified. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/NXT.L?range=5d&interval=1d
BTRW.L Overseas quote screen; provider reference not guaranteed prior-day close = 293.8
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:15
RetrievedSep10~02:08UTC viaworldCLI. {"symbol":"BTRW.L","currency":"GBp","exchange":"LSE","price":293.8,"previousClose":304.5,"changePct":-3.5139573070607515,"asOf":"2026-09-09T15:47:05.000Z"}. chartPreviousClose from5drange is notverifiedprevioussessionclose; do notlabelchangePctdaily. Mixedasof/currencies; GBpis pence. Venue/FX/lotcosts unverified. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/BTRW.L?range=5d&interval=1d
SUNE Price leader facility announcement is not a dated earnings/FDA event
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:15
Sep8issuerexhibit fetchedHTTP200directafterwebfailure. ProposedSuniva/SUNationreversemerger, newSouthCarolinafacility expectedlate2027/fullramp2028, notexactlaunchdate; do not convert Sep9+90.295% adjustedmove into preevententry. No independentlycalibratedrun-upedge or exactqualifyingevent fromthissource. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/22701/000121390026098099/ea030487601ex99-1.htm
EPM Descriptive holdout bootstrap sizing simulation
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:14
NumPyseed2026091003,50000ten-eventpathswithreplacementfrom6stressholdoutreturns1928;49.14initial,betsrawquarterKelly6.38059% capital each independentevent. Ignoresmissingsamples/gaps/regimes/overlap/fixedcosts; not22dayforecast. {"paths":50000,"events_per_path":10,"allocation_fraction":0.06380589638335647,"mean":49.352116038941645,"percentiles":[48.845874684917085,49.35217769120061,49.856085621155266],"loss_pct":24.837999999999997,"prob_reach_398_15_pct":0,"approved_allocation":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all
IPHA CLI momentum20 diagnostic; uncosted in-sample = -75.24775423304435
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:14
Sep10 node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols EPM,IPHA --strategy momentum --lookback20 --days1800 --stop-pct5 --target-pct7.5. 1157IEXbars,110trades,return-75.24775423304435%,DD75.76279484263829%,win25.454545454545453%,mean-1.150143509774947%,buyhold-65.69468267581475%. CLIcode hardcodesIEX,defaultadjustment, noindependentOOS/costs; diagnosticrejection only, no eventedge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=iex&timeframe=1Day
EPM CLI momentum20 diagnostic; uncosted in-sample = -51.844505143474876
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:14
Sep10 node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols EPM,IPHA --strategy momentum --lookback20 --days1800 --stop-pct5 --target-pct7.5. 1236IEXbars,109trades,return-51.844505143474876%,DD67.35059660773946%,win32.11009174311927%,mean-0.5520752144895912%,buyhold-41.42857142857142%. CLIcode hardcodesIEX,defaultadjustment, noindependentOOS/costs; diagnosticrejection only, no eventedge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=iex&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop1.5ADR/slip0.0025
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-01,4.499,4.2782,0.1472,stop,-0.05476603 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-04-30,4.695,4.502475,0.12835,stop,-0.04674313 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-05,4.184,4.0046,0.1196,stop,-0.04860318 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-06,4.399,4.6432375,0.10855,target,0.04920696 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-10,4.503,4.588,0.1059,time,0.01278134 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.03707027 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.731,0.1038,time,0.01723966 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.0100784 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03434107 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-06,4.759,4.5439,0.1434,stop,-0.05091024 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop1.5ADR/slip0.0025 = 5.943251903855717
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-10.056016,"drawdown_event_close":14.274316,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-2.522635,"avg_win_pct":4.920696,"avg_loss_pct":5.003745,"mean_CI_pct":[-5.276031,2.475443],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":5.943252,"drawdown_event_close":5.091024,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.010008,"avg_win_pct":2.230215,"avg_loss_pct":5.091024,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.591728,2.881165],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.113219},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-10.056016,"drawdown_sampled":14.274316,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":5.943252,"drawdown_sampled":5.091024,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop1.5ADR/slip0.001
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-01,4.499,4.2782,0.1472,stop,-0.05192607 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-04-30,4.695,4.502475,0.12835,stop,-0.04387906 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-05,4.184,4.0046,0.1196,stop,-0.04574469 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-06,4.399,4.6432375,0.10855,target,0.05235932 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-10,4.503,4.588,0.1059,time,0.01582426 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.04018616 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.731,0.1038,time,0.02029597 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.01311319 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03744877 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-06,4.759,4.5439,0.1434,stop,-0.04805868 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop1.5ADR/slip0.001 = 7.867502997117226
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-8.970182,"drawdown_event_close":13.4993,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-2.229762,"avg_win_pct":5.235932,"avg_loss_pct":4.718327,"mean_CI_pct":[-4.991431,2.783332],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":7.867503,"drawdown_event_close":4.805868,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.313494,"avg_win_pct":2.537367,"avg_loss_pct":4.805868,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.296058,3.190273],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.129415},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-8.970182,"drawdown_sampled":13.4993,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":7.867503,"drawdown_sampled":4.805868,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop1ADR/slip0.0025
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-01,4.499,4.3518,0.1472,stop,-0.03850471 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-04-30,4.695,4.56665,0.12835,stop,-0.0331561 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-04,4.184,4.0644,0.1196,stop,-0.03439614 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-06,4.399,4.561825,0.10855,target,0.03081063 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-07,4.503,4.3971,0.1059,stop,-0.02935902 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.03707027 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.7787,0.1038,target,0.02749591 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.0100784 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03434107 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-06,4.759,4.6156,0.1434,stop,-0.03593417 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop1ADR/slip0.0025 = 4.177144989869297
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-7.470246,"drawdown_event_close":10.235934,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-1.881158,"avg_win_pct":3.081063,"avg_loss_pct":3.535232,"mean_CI_pct":[-3.716756,1.450894],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":4.177145,"drawdown_event_close":3.593417,"win_rate":66.666667,"sample":6,"mean_pct":0.728208,"avg_win_pct":2.724641,"avg_loss_pct":3.26466,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.659787,3.006616],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.066817},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-7.470246,"drawdown_sampled":10.235934,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":4.177145,"drawdown_sampled":3.593417,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop1ADR/slip0.001
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-01,4.499,4.3518,0.1472,stop,-0.03561588 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-04-30,4.695,4.56665,0.12835,stop,-0.03025121 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-04,4.184,4.0644,0.1196,stop,-0.03149496 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-06,4.399,4.561825,0.10855,target,0.03390771 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-07,4.503,4.3971,0.1059,stop,-0.02644271 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.04018616 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.7787,0.1038,target,0.03058304 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.01311319 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03744877 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-06,4.759,4.6156,0.1434,stop,-0.03303762 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop1ADR/slip0.001 = 6.069318219755915
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-6.353197,"drawdown_event_close":9.424408,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-1.586358,"avg_win_pct":3.390771,"avg_loss_pct":3.245402,"mean_CI_pct":[-3.427471,1.755704],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":6.069318,"drawdown_event_close":3.303762,"win_rate":66.666667,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.030847,"avg_win_pct":3.033279,"avg_loss_pct":2.974017,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.364323,3.316101],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.084961},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-6.353197,"drawdown_sampled":9.424408,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":6.069318,"drawdown_sampled":3.303762,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop0ADR/slip0.0025
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-05,4.499,4.059,0.1472,time,-0.10319652 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-05-06,4.695,4.446,0.12835,time,-0.05869993 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-09,4.184,3.847,0.1196,time,-0.08604516 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-11,4.399,4.65,0.10855,time,0.05073505 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-10,4.503,4.588,0.1059,time,0.01278134 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.03707027 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.731,0.1038,time,0.01723966 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.0100784 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03434107 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-11,4.759,4.642,0.1434,time,-0.03041997 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop0ADR/slip0.0025 = 8.23050140577437
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-18.933143,"drawdown_event_close":22.84748,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-4.930164,"avg_win_pct":5.073505,"avg_loss_pct":8.26472,"mean_CI_pct":[-9.462084,1.654],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":8.230501,"drawdown_event_close":3.041997,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.351513,"avg_win_pct":2.230215,"avg_loss_pct":3.041997,"mean_CI_pct":[-0.567214,2.881165],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.1515},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-18.933143,"drawdown_sampled":22.84748,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":8.230501,"drawdown_sampled":3.041997,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T5/stop0ADR/slip0.001
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-01-30,2024-02-05,4.499,4.059,0.1472,time,-0.10050206 2024-05-07,2024-04-30,2024-05-06,4.695,4.446,0.12835,time,-0.05587178 2024-09-10,2024-09-03,2024-09-09,4.184,3.847,0.1196,time,-0.08329917 2024-11-12,2024-11-05,2024-11-11,4.399,4.65,0.10855,time,0.053892 2025-02-11,2025-02-04,2025-02-10,4.503,4.588,0.1059,time,0.01582426 2025-05-13,2025-05-06,2025-05-12,3.648,3.806,0.1689,time,0.04018616 2025-09-16,2025-09-09,2025-09-15,4.623,4.731,0.1038,time,0.02029597 2025-11-11,2025-11-04,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1073,time,0.01311319 2026-02-10,2026-02-03,2026-02-09,3.747,3.899,0.11965,time,0.03744877 2026-05-12,2026-05-05,2026-05-11,4.759,4.642,0.1434,time,-0.02750686 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T5/stop0ADR/slip0.001 = 10.19629589397173
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-17.954477,"drawdown_event_close":22.149971,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-4.644525,"avg_win_pct":5.3892,"avg_loss_pct":7.9891,"mean_CI_pct":[-9.190061,1.959421],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":10.196296,"drawdown_event_close":2.750686,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.656025,"avg_win_pct":2.537367,"avg_loss_pct":2.750686,"mean_CI_pct":[-0.268467,3.190273],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.163164},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-17.954477,"drawdown_sampled":22.149971,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":10.196296,"drawdown_sampled":2.750686,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T3/stop1.5ADR/slip0.0025
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-02-01,2024-02-02,4.428,4.208925,0.14605,stop,-0.05516102 2024-05-07,2024-05-02,2024-05-06,4.398,4.446,0.14215,time,0.00486672 2024-09-10,2024-09-05,2024-09-06,4.061,3.901925,0.10605,stop,-0.04491911 2024-11-12,2024-11-07,2024-11-11,4.625,4.65,0.11085,time,-0.00060898 2025-02-11,2025-02-06,2025-02-07,4.623,4.465425,0.10505,stop,-0.03986316 2025-05-13,2025-05-08,2025-05-12,3.596,3.806,0.14065,time,0.05206683 2025-09-16,2025-09-11,2025-09-15,4.65,4.731,0.09925,time,0.01133311 2025-11-11,2025-11-06,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1076,time,0.0100784 2026-02-10,2026-02-05,2026-02-09,3.785,3.899,0.1169,time,0.02395667 2026-05-12,2026-05-07,2026-05-11,4.535,4.642,0.14375,time,0.01747108 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T3/stop1.5ADR/slip0.0025 = 7.505188250145989
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-9.376284,"drawdown_event_close":9.376284,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-2.39556,"avg_win_pct":0.486672,"avg_loss_pct":3.356303,"mean_CI_pct":[-5.004006,0.212887],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":7.505188,"drawdown_event_close":3.986316,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.250715,"avg_win_pct":2.298122,"avg_loss_pct":3.986316,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.134722,3.272296],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.136058},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-9.376284,"drawdown_sampled":9.321063,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":7.505188,"drawdown_sampled":3.986316,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T3/stop1.5ADR/slip0.001
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-02-01,2024-02-02,4.428,4.208925,0.14605,stop,-0.05232224 2024-05-07,2024-05-02,2024-05-06,4.398,4.446,0.14215,time,0.00788585 2024-09-10,2024-09-05,2024-09-06,4.061,3.901925,0.10605,stop,-0.04204955 2024-11-12,2024-11-07,2024-11-11,4.625,4.65,0.11085,time,0.00239371 2025-02-11,2025-02-06,2025-02-07,4.623,4.465425,0.10505,stop,-0.03697841 2025-05-13,2025-05-08,2025-05-12,3.596,3.806,0.14065,time,0.05522778 2025-09-16,2025-09-11,2025-09-15,4.65,4.731,0.09925,time,0.01437167 2025-11-11,2025-11-06,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1076,time,0.01311319 2026-02-10,2026-02-05,2026-02-09,3.785,3.899,0.1169,time,0.02703316 2026-05-12,2026-05-07,2026-05-11,4.535,4.642,0.14375,time,0.02052808 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T3/stop1.5ADR/slip0.001 = 9.457808849420758
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-8.282245,"drawdown_event_close":8.501266,"win_rate":50,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-2.102306,"avg_win_pct":0.513978,"avg_loss_pct":4.718589,"mean_CI_pct":[-4.718589,0.513978],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":9.457809,"drawdown_event_close":3.697841,"win_rate":83.333333,"sample":6,"mean_pct":1.554925,"avg_win_pct":2.605478,"avg_loss_pct":3.697841,"mean_CI_pct":[-0.83768,3.58258],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.149198},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-8.282245,"drawdown_sampled":8.501266,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":9.457809,"drawdown_sampled":3.697841,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T3/stop1ADR/slip0.0025
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-02-01,2024-02-01,4.428,4.28195,0.14605,stop,-0.03876803 2024-05-07,2024-05-02,2024-05-06,4.398,4.446,0.14215,time,0.00486672 2024-09-10,2024-09-05,2024-09-05,4.061,3.95495,0.10605,stop,-0.03194009 2024-11-12,2024-11-07,2024-11-11,4.625,4.65,0.11085,time,-0.00060898 2025-02-11,2025-02-06,2025-02-06,4.623,4.51795,0.10505,stop,-0.02856945 2025-05-13,2025-05-08,2025-05-12,3.596,3.806975,0.14065,target,0.05233635 2025-09-16,2025-09-11,2025-09-15,4.65,4.798875,0.09925,target,0.02584256 2025-11-11,2025-11-06,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1076,time,0.0100784 2026-02-10,2026-02-05,2026-02-05,3.785,3.6681,0.1169,stop,-0.03668236 2026-05-12,2026-05-07,2026-05-11,4.535,4.642,0.14375,time,0.01747108 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
EPM Frozen event test T3/stop1ADR/slip0.0025 = 3.8230318636496285
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Python/vectorbt Sep10 test; fees.0005perside;2024train4,2025–May26holdout6. Metrics rounded6dec;sampledDD excludes fullintradaypath. {"train":{"return":-6.551066,"drawdown_event_close":6.551066,"win_rate":25,"sample":4,"mean_pct":-1.661259,"avg_win_pct":0.486672,"avg_loss_pct":2.377236,"mean_CI_pct":[-3.535406,0.212887],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0},"holdout":{"return":3.823032,"drawdown_event_close":3.668236,"win_rate":66.666667,"sample":6,"mean_pct":0.674609,"avg_win_pct":2.64321,"avg_loss_pct":3.262591,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.778946,3.065121],"quarter_Kelly_raw":0.063806},"vbt":{"train":{"return":-6.551066,"drawdown_sampled":6.494123,"trades":4},"holdout":{"return":3.823032,"drawdown_sampled":3.956487,"trades":6}}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EPM&feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=1Day
EPM Event payoff ledger T3/stop1ADR/slip0.001
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 02:13
Actualdates19625;SIPdata cited siblingmetric. CSVevent,entrydate,exitdate,entry,exit,priorADR,exitreason,netreturnfraction: 2024-02-06,2024-02-01,2024-02-01,4.428,4.28195,0.14605,stop,-0.03587999 2024-05-07,2024-05-02,2024-05-06,4.398,4.446,0.14215,time,0.00788585 2024-09-10,2024-09-05,2024-09-05,4.061,3.95495,0.10605,stop,-0.02903154 2024-11-12,2024-11-07,2024-11-11,4.625,4.65,0.11085,time,0.00239371 2025-02-11,2025-02-06,2025-02-06,4.623,4.51795,0.10505,stop,-0.02565078 2025-05-13,2025-05-08,2025-05-12,3.596,3.806975,0.14065,target,0.05549811 2025-09-16,2025-09-11,2025-09-15,4.65,4.798875,0.09925,target,0.02892472 2025-11-11,2025-11-06,2025-11-10,4.023,4.088,0.1076,time,0.01311319 2026-02-10,2026-02-05,2026-02-05,3.785,3.6681,0.1169,stop,-0.03378806 2026-05-12,2026-05-07,2026-05-11,4.535,4.642,0.14375,time,0.02052808 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-events/news-releases
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