Runway

Stats

66 technical, newest first
R92104 Elmos complete-bar trend fails; current quote is a different data object
TechnicalrejectSupply chainELG.DE, LFUS2026-09-21 04:14
LastcompleteELGbarSep16 close139.800003, prior20closehigh144, SMA50 146.36,SMA200144.400983,trueATR20 4.8400009. Bothbreakoutandtrendfalse. Sep18quote140.6 isnotrepairedhistoricalbar; no currentATRclaimbeyondSep16. Hypotheticalquoteentry140.6 withstale2ATRstop130.919998 andexact20bp/side net3R gives~171.99EUR (compute beforefutureuse); thisisrequiredpayoff,notvaluationorthesisiinvalidation. Do notqueueoffstaleindicators. LFUSSep18 completedSIP407.88<prior20432.30/SMA50421.8353 withATR14.438935 fromexisting3821; no new completedbar duringweekend. HeldoutLFUS3789 +3.891% becomes-3.905%stressN13. No fresh implementationadvantage from contractannouncement. Source https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ELG.DE ; LFUS https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . WholeELGshareindicative161.38USD>120fund,LFUS407.88>120; nooptionsorfractionalsubstitutionwithoutindependentvalidatedpayoff.
ELG_close139.8
ELG_SMA50146.36
ELG_SMA200144.4
ELG_prior20144
ELG_ATR204.84
ELG_entry_signal0
LFUS_entry_signal0
R92102 execution worksheet: signals, size ceilings and no live brackets
TechnicalwatchSupply chainLFUS, ATI, VSH, UMC, PXS, SEI2026-09-21 02:24
Premises:completedSep18 SIP/all https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ;close>prior20closemax AND SMA50,notindependentvotes. LFUS407.88<432.30/421.835;ATI191.63<215.23/203.004;VSH32.51<33.21/34.079 fail. UMC24.61>24.47/20.424,PXS7.36>7.34/5.3217,SEI69.66>69.22/58.6648 pass. All sixtrueATRobserved;onlypassingSEIhaspositivecostedholdout,buttargetcashbridgeincomplete. StartSupply120cash,account999.38,maxposition249.845. SEIhypotheticalone69.66sharestop61.646/net3R94.81879 gives8.276612stoplossafter20bpside. HalfKellyriskpoint.0497797ofequity exceedsnormal3%riskcap; notionalthenfundcap120;quarterfullnotionalprobe30 wouldrisk3.5645atstop and15.09ina50%gapmodel. Onewhole69.66share50%gaploss35.03898>normal29.9814 stressbudget; fractional30probeRTHonlycouldfit, butdoesnotfixunsupportedtarget. Actualsize0. UMC/PXSestimatedhalfKelly0. LFUS/ATIwholeprice>fundcap, fractionalRTHpossibleonlyifjointentryandvaluequalify. Noneofhypotheticalstoppricesestablishfundamentalthesisinvalidation; noqueuedlimit oractualexits. CLI diagnostic usesdifferent sameclose/signalexit logic, notourcostedpolicy.
fund_cash120
account_equity999.38
signals_true3
signals_false3
SEI_stoploss8.28
SEI_gap5035.04
SEI_target_hurdle94.82
actual_size0
R92008 Pre-open order and exit worksheet: no live brackets; explicit cost and gap limits
TechnicalwatchSupply chainLPG, BWLP, CSTM2026-09-20 08:12
Premises:Supply120cash,account1000,25%venuecap250,ownledgerempty; prices andtrueATR https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . AtLPG58.15 stopproxyE−2ATR=54.31223;20bpside cost makesone-shareloss4.062694. Net3Rrequires70.595575, versusgross69.66331 usedindiagnostic. FormulaT=[4E(1+c)−3S(1−c)]/(1−c),c=.002. BWLPstop23.961/nettarget31.168383/one-shareloss1.798242;CSTM23.707/31.488619/1.941514. Thesearecostedhurdles,notfairvalueorthesisinvalidationandnotorders. Budgetaffords2LPG/4BWLP/4CSTMwholesatcloseincludingcost. Hypothetical50%gapLPGoneshare29.24945<30normalrisk,twoshares58.50fails;oneroundlotthusupperboundforthisstress,notrecommendation. BWLPoneshare12.90698 andCSTM12.85165. ConditionalLPGhistoricalhalfKellypositive butuncertain; grossquarterprobeof120notional~30cannotbuyoneLPGshare,sofractionalRTHorcoarserwholelotrequiresfreshdecision—neverroundupriskimplicitly. Actualsize0becausecurrententryanddefendedtargetmissing. NoSupplyholdingsmeannoRmultiple/dayheld/exitreviewapplicable; noqueuedSupplyordertocancel. Otherfundordersarenotmanagedhere. FreshpaidQ4cashplusqualifyingsignalcouldchangemind;normalization/unpaidwaits/cashcostsweakencase. Never widenatargettofundrunway.
fund_cash120
LPG_stop_proxy54.31
LPG_net3R_hurdle70.6
LPG_one_share_stoprisk4.06
LPG_one_share_50pctgap29.25
BWLP_net3R_hurdle31.17
CSTM_net3R_hurdle31.49
live_orders0
exit_changes0
R92006 True range includes gaps; no current aluminum entry or defensible live bracket
TechnicalwatchSupply chainAA, CENX, CSTM, KALU2026-09-20 06:16
1. CompletedSep18 SIP/all bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . CSTM25.55<prior20close27.48/SMA5027.9176/SMA20027.0669,RSI2=26.8794; CENX39.01<47.95/45.1935/50.16675,RSI18.6690. AA44.43<51.85/48.262/57.89435,RSI11.4928; KALU150.13<167.8/163.7078 but>148.199SMA200,RSI27.0145. No frozenbreakoutorpullbacksignal. 2. TrueATR20 means max(H-L,|H-prevclose|,|L-prevclose|); AA2.082605,CENX2.203795,CSTM.9215,KALU6.30004. Collector214correctlylabeleditsseriesADR; priornarrativesmustnotcall1.84148/2.023295/.8385/5.79252ATR. Newcollector printsBOTH. 3. HypotheticalCSTMstop23.707/net3R31.4886; CENX34.60241/52.85818. These are range/hurdle calculations, notthesisinvalidation/fairvalue. Current120capaffords4CSTM102.20,3CENX117.03,2AA88.86,0KALUwhole. CSTM4sharestoprisk~7.77inclcost; one-sharequarterprobe25.55 operationallypossiblebutcurrentrulefalse. 4. FeedAAapparentNov1 2016-74.3565%openinggap isseparationboundary, notordinarytail. Issuer https://news.alcoa.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2016/Alcoa-Corporation-Launches-as-an-Independent-Industry-Leader-in-Bauxite-Alumina-and-Aluminum-Products/default.aspx confirmsdistinctnewAAandretainedArconicshares. RemovedpreNov1rows/rebuiltindicators; correctedworstAAopeninggap-13.2465%Mar16 2020. Noassumedscalarsplicerepair. Conclusion: noholdings/exits, allocation0; futureeligibilityrequiresfreshprices/valueandcaps. Corporateactionauditbounded, notallhistorycertified.
CSTM_price25.55
CSTM_ATR0.92
CSTM_ADR0.84
CSTM_stop_proxy23.71
CSTM_target_hurdle31.49
CENX_ATR2.2
CSTM_maxwhole4
CENX_maxwhole3
AA_bad_gap_pct-74.36
AA_valid_worst_gap_pct-13.25
current_entries0
R92004 Current price gates, hypothetical brackets and affordable risk
TechnicalwatchSupply chainCE, EMN2026-09-20 04:15
Premises: 1. Completed Sep18 SIP/all daily bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . CE45.41<prior20close47.22, SMA5045.4024/SMA20050.9966, ATR201.6915; EMN65.69<prior20 73.16 andSMA5069.6502/SMA20069.2333, ATR201.7138. Both jointentrysignals false. 2. Hypothetical2ATRstops42.027/62.2624; targets solving net3Rwith20bp/side56.2870/77.02595. These are hurdleprices, notfundamentalvalue oractualthesisinvalidation; noorders/exitsattached. 3. CE21/63sessionreturns-1.837/-11.187%; EMN-11.493/-8.229%. 20dayvolume1.708m/1.036mshares means tinyfundsize notvolumeconstraint. 4. Current120fundcap fits2CEshares90.82 or1EMN65.69. TwoCEstoploss incl20bp/side~7.12USD; worsthistoricalopeninggap20.756%implies~18.85USD beforefriction, notfuturebound. One-sharequarter-probe feasible operationally but halfKelly0 and failedcurrententry do notjustifyit. Conclusion: no cashdeployment ortechnicalexitadjustment. Any laterentry repriceitsvalue/risk, don'treuse stale levels. Corporateactions/adjustedreturns notseparatelyreconstructed; stops are rawcurrent researchlevels.
CE_price45.41
CE_prior2047.22
CE_ATR1.69
CE_stop42.03
CE_target_hurdle56.29
EMN_price65.69
EMN_prior2073.16
EMN_ATR1.71
EMN_stop62.26
EMN_target_hurdle77.03
CE_two_share_notional90.82
current_signals0
R92002 Completed price gates and net 3R research levels
TechnicalwatchSupply chainCE, IMOS, BTDR, AMTX, RSGN.SW2026-09-20 02:21
Premises:1.Sep18 adjusted SIP daily https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars : CE45.41 belowprior20 47.22,nearSMA5045.4024;IMOS61.30>58.39/56.9911;BTDR12.97>12.67/11.0138;AMTX2.16>2.07/1.7527. Breakout meansprior20 CLOSE high, not intradayhigh. 2.ATR20 1.6915/2.15041/.929085/.12773 gives2ATRstops42.027/56.99918/11.11183/1.90454; costednet3Rtargets56.2870/75.1852/18.7524/2.9610. Targets are required prices not supported valuations. 3.RSGN.SW17.40<20.56prior20/SMA5019.6576, dailyclose source https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/RSGN.SW?range=1y&interval=1d . Conclusion:no actual bracket adjustment because no ownholdings. CE andRSGN price gatesfalse; otherthree pricegatestrue butfundamental/testgatesfail. WarmupBTDR operatinghistoryonly; FPS SMA200missing notzero. No tape signal substitutes for bottleneck cash.
CE_entry45.41
CE_hurdle56.29
IMOS_entry61.3
IMOS_hurdle75.19
BTDR_hurdle18.75
AMTX_hurdle2.96
R92000 completed signals and ex-dividend audit before any exit reset
TechnicalwatchSupply chainFRO, POWL2026-09-20 00:10
1.New2693dailybars each all/raw2016-Sep18 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .2.FROaboveprior20 50.66/SMA50 39.7668/SMA20031.5307;POWLbelow197.67/203.2032/203.6842. Stops use2ATR20simplemean; targets are requirednet3R price hurdles, NOTdefensiblevaluation. No holdings means zeroactualexitadjustments.3.FROrawFridayreturn-4.83065%,cashinclusive+1.48066% withdeclared3.41 distribution https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ ; APIall+1.50020%,1.95bp discrepancy recorded. No false breakdown fromrawprices. POWLall handlesApr6split; don't apply secondrepair. Validity: signals identify pricecondition; no causal attribution to sanctions. Soundness limited byvendor corporate-action methodology, exact executablequotes unavailable closedmarket.
FRO_close51.42
FRO_ATR1.61
FRO_stop48.2
FRO_target_hurdle61.9
POWL_close183.96
POWL_SMA50203.2
POWL_ATR8
POWL_stop167.96
POWL_target_hurdle234.92
FRO_ex_total_return1.48
R91908 shipping pre-open levels and gap sizing
TechnicalwatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, LPG, BWLP2026-09-19 08:08
1.CompletedSep18SIP/all https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ;FRO51.42>50.66prior20/39.7668SMA50/31.5307SMA200;ATR1.6095. Other3failprior20entry.2.FROhypothetical48.2012ATRstop;net3R61.90137using5bpfee15bpslipeachside;onecost51.52288/risk3.41824,50%gap25.86428(account2.586%);twogap51.7286breaches30normalbudget. Technicalstopisresearchproxy,notindependentproofbusinessinvalidatesspecificallythere.3.Sep11issuer3.41totalexSep18 https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ ;newbuyerdoesnotearnthatdistribution. Retainadjustedhistoricalsignalversusrawliveexitdistinction. Noownholdings:R/daysheldn/a,noexitstomove. Affordabilitypermits1shareifentry/payoffapproved;actual0.
FRO51.42
stop_proxy48.2
target_hurdle61.9
one_share_risk3.42
one_share_gap5025.86
STNG87.16
LPG58.15
BWLP25.66
signals_pass1
R91906 PSIX alone passes breakout; long trend and gap size differ
TechnicalwatchSupply chainPSIX, ETN, POWL, NVT2026-09-19 06:12
Premises:1.SIP/allSep18 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=PSIX,ETN,POWL,NVT,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all .2.PSIX45.87>prior20close45.55/SMA5036.0078,but<SMA20055.48675;ATR202.3018,simpleRSI1471.0399,20dayannvol79.4489%.3.ETN424.77<425.37trigger;POWL183.96<197.67/SMA50203.2032;NVT157.88<162.57trigger. Allthreefailentry. PSIXIEX45.82/SIP45.87feeddifference,notgain.4.HypotheticalE45.87/S41.2664/T61.710237 netrisk5.082862/gain15.248585persharewith5bpfee50bpslip/side. Onecost46.1224/two92.2448fit120fund,buttwohistorical34.187%gaprepeatloss32.2002>30normalbudget,one16.1001. Assumed50%gapone23.3135/two46.627;notprobabilities/bounds. Noorders,holdings,Rordaysheld.
close45.87
trigger45.55
SMA5036.01
SMA20055.49
ATR202.3
RSI1471.04
stop41.27
target61.71
one_share_net_risk5.08
two_share_historical_gap_loss32.2
actual_size0
R91904 OCC trend recovery has not met the inherited breakout entry
TechnicalwatchSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 04:11
Measured SIP/all2693 completed daily bars Jan2016–Sep18,2026, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OCC&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Premises:1.Close14.82 aboveSMA50 14.7242 andSMA200 11.02025 but below prior20 closing high14.92.2.ATR20 true range1.074=7.247% of price, so2ATR stop12.672;55bp each-side cost raises3R target to21.919686.3.Price47.03% below252-day intraday high27.9799; a large drawdown alone is not value. Median20volume197561 shares; worst252 opening gap-18.854%, best+59.431%. Conclusion: no current inherited breakout entry; no support for a narrow noise stop. No holding so R achieved/days held/exit changes are not applicable. Price stop is a research risk proxy, not proof a fundamental thesis failed; a future investment requires aligned thesis and execution. Daily bar extremes and next-open tests do not validate15-minute venue monitoring.
close14.82
prior2014.92
SMA5014.72
SMA20011.02
ATR201.07
stop_proxy12.67
net3R_target21.92
median20_volume197561
worst252_gap_pct-18.85
R91902 current entry gates and world-data freshness audit
TechnicalwatchSupply chainGLW, OCC, FPS, BTDR, FEAM, NVT, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-19 02:23
Start: no Supply holdings, so no R/days-held or exit changes. SIP/all Sep18 closes versus prior20 closing highs: GLW150.13<168.46, OCC14.82<14.92, NVT157.88<162.57; none qualifies fixed closing breakout+SMA50. FPS39.44>38.06, BTDR12.97>12.67, FEAM2.50>2.06 qualify mechanically. ATR20 respectively FPS2.202595/BTDR.929085/FEAM.162145. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all Fixed stop/target/cost arithmetic gives net3R minimum FPS53.605, BTDR18.857, FEAM3.583; these are hurdle prices, not justified valuations. Backtests reject BTDR/FEAM; FPS lacks enough independent history. Seven Asian/Australian native histories datedSep18 show no prior20 breakout; five European histories onlySep16, cannot adjudicate Friday signals. Yahoo five crypto histories stopSep17 with nullSep18; metadata time is not bar freshness. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/BTC-USD Alternative venue414 completed daily bars throughSep18: ETH2612.4025>2525.045 and SOL112.665>106.529 prior20, both above200SMA; BTC80872.5325<81269.4915 and LINK12.2265<13.2346. Explicitly discardSep19partial endpoint despite API end parameter. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars This corrects stale Yahoo inference, but no measured tokenholder bottleneck rent or independently tested Supply crypto rule was found. FIL remains stale. Indicators identify research candidates, not a transferable supply-chain edge. Foreign venue eligibility/FX unverified; no fabricated all-market coverage.
FPS_close39.44
FPS_ATR2.2
FPS_net3R53.6
BTDR_close12.97
FEAM_close2.5
crypto_completed_bars414
foreign_fresh7
foreign_stale5
R91900 Friday signal deterioration and corrected FRO ex-dividend interpretation
TechnicalwatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, TEN, LPG, NVT, HUBB2026-09-19 00:13
1. Fresh Sep18 SIP/all eleven-name collector panel: only FRO closes above prior20high and SMA50. STNG87.16<87.85, TEN52.09<52.81, LPG58.15<58.31, BWLP25.66<26.14 and SWKS88.76<91.32 lost the previous-day breakout condition; VIST/CCJ/HWM/KMT still fail. NVT157.88>50SMA156.4076 but belowprior20 162.57; HUBB446.92 below50SMA475.396 and200SMA484.0453. Recorded every panel datum. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all 2. FRO rawSep17close54.03 toSep18 51.42=-4.83065%; adjusted50.66to51.42=+1.5002%. Sep11 issuer declared.80special additionalto2.61ordinary, both expectedNYSEexSep18. https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ . Simple cash-inclusivereturn+1.48066%, not raw4.83%loss. This supersedes memory's conditional/undatedspecial. No after-exdate dividendcapture edge. 3. NVT2ATR stop proxy144.37482; gross3R198.39554 becomes only2.94466R after12bp roundtrip assumption; costed3Rthreshold199.15336. Old252high184.40 gives1.92269R. Current60daygainP90 28.1083% would project202.257, a statistical tail sensitivity rather than approved fundamental fairvalue. 4. TEN frozen business levels45.41/55.36 retained; at52.09 payoff roughly.455R after30bp roundtrip assumption, still below3R. No tighterstop or highertarget fabricated to pass. Signals+SMA correlated, not independent corroboration. No holdings so no live exits moved; no order until entry plus defended payoff.
panel_n11
signals_pass1
NVT_close157.88
NVT_prior20162.57
NVT_ATR206.75
NVT_stop_proxy144.37
NVT_net3R_threshold199.15
NVT_high_target_R1.92
TEN_net_R0.46
FRO_raw_return-4.83
FRO_adjusted_return1.5
FRO_declared_total_dividend3.41
R91808 unchanged completed signals; execution and dividend boundary remain separate
TechnicalwatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, VIST, SWKS, CCJ, HWM, TEN, KMT, BWLP, LPG2026-09-18 08:08
1. Fresh local08:02collector reads completed Sep17 SIP/all bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Ten-symbol existing panel, six pass close>prior20 close high AND SMA50: FRO50.66,STNG87.85,SWKS91.32,TEN52.81,BWLP26.14,LPG58.31. VIST73.31,CCJ92.80,HWM225.76,KMT29.84 fail. This differs from seven-of-eleven prior analysis3336 because universes differ; not a contradiction. Each close,prior20,SMA,ADR,age recorded. No current Sep18 partial daily used. 2. Read prior backtest3313 LPG holdout return-25.6595%,DD40.4370%,win20%,N10; no repeated sweep of unchanged samples. TEN analysis3336 frozen45.41stop/55.36target,52.81close net.31453R;47.74447 costed3Rprice ceiling is necessary geometry only, not an authorized dip order after failed baseline. 3. Source adjusted daily closes not executable quotes; FRO expected Sep18ex-date from prior issuer receipt requires raw prices before anynewstop. Signal and SMA are correlated evidence; do not double-count. HalfKelly/MC3330-35/3337 retained as model sensitivities, not live odds. Current no validated new entry, size0; no new backtest/simulation needed for this unchanged decision.
panel10
pass6
TEN_close52.81
TEN_net_R0.31
TEN_stop45.41
TEN_target55.36
TEN_3R_ceiling47.74
LPG_close58.31
LPG_holdout_return-25.66
LPG_holdout_n10
current_size0
R91806 current signal map and executable-payoff separation
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, FRO, STNG, LPG, BWLP, PSIX, ALM, AA, CENX, FTK, MU2026-09-18 06:22
1. Sep17 completed SIP/all bars, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Current close/prior20-close-high/SMA50: TEN52.81/52.31/41.4862; FRO50.66/50.32/39.424; STNG87.85/85.73/78.8874; LPG58.31/57.86/47.5036; BWLP26.14/25.84/22.0448; PSIX45.55/43.15/35.784; FTK30.60/28.13/27.2462. These seven pass breakout&SMA50. ALM14.13/19.12/15.2245,AA46.97/51.85/48.346,CENX40.75/47.95/45.3155,MU977.50/1027.77/926.7737 fail. 2. Positive screen is not an independent edge. TEN/FRO/STNG train ATR rules negative; LPG holdout negative; BWLP no long train/negative2024-25; PSIX2026 negative andbelow200day55.521; FTK train/holdout negative. AA/CENX/MU retain positive train/holdout experiments but inactive signals, and AA/CENX2026 negative. ALM new contract does not make its failed signal true. 3. TEN old defended45.41/55.36 at52.81 yieldsnet.314527R under1bpfee15bpslip eachside, old3Rentryceiling47.744473. New volatility-only stop49.67716/target62.20852 in simulation is a different, unvalidated valuation claim; not a reason to raise target or tighten stop to fit. 4. Fund cap101.99 allows oneTEN share, oneLPG, oneSTNG, up to2PSIX or7ALM, but affordability isnotedge. FRO dividends require raw-price/deliverable reconciliation before live stops; adjusted closes notquotes. No fresh snapshots claimed thisrun. Current SIP PSIX45.55 differsIEXcollector45.45 byfeed/sample; use internallyconsistent SIP forresearch. Conclusion no current order; preserve hypotheticallevels separately from committed exits.
screen_pass7
universe11
TEN_net_R0.31
TEN_frozen_stop45.41
TEN_frozen_target55.36
TEN_entry_ceiling47.74
ALM_signal0
AA_signal0
CENX_signal0
MU_signal0
cash101.99
orders0
T91804 fresh Sep17 signals and TEN net payoff rejection
TechnicalrejectSupply chainTEN, FRO, STNG, BWLP, LPG, VIST, SWKS, CCJ, HWM, KMT2026-09-18 04:11
1. Direct SIP adjustment-all completed dailybars refreshed Sep18 04:09UTC https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; observations28259–68 preserve10names. Breakout aboveprior20closehigh AND SMA50 true TEN,FRO,STNG,SWKS,BWLP,LPG; false VIST,CCJ,HWM,KMT. A signal is not independent strategy validation. 2. TEN52.81 vs52.31prior20/41.486SMA50, ADR1.497. Frozenstop45.41,target55.36; Python1bpfee15bpslippage eachside netR.31452696; max3Rreference47.74447287. Grossup4.82863/down14.01250%. Changing target or stop solely to fit is unjustified. 3. Snapshot https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots returns403 recentSIP entitlement; dailybars not quotes. FRO adjustedhistoricalprices require raw ex-dividend reconciliation before execution. Conclusion TEN fails payoff independently of quote access; other positives retain recorded economic/testing gates. No new sweep or backtest claimed.
TEN_close52.81
prior2052.31
SMA5041.49
ADR201.5
stop45.41
target55.36
netR0.31
max_entry47.74
signals_true6
signals_total10
T9131940 unchanged price gate and retained validation
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 19:43
Premises: 1. Dated Sep11 collector bars, newly delivered19:01, keep TEN47.90 above prior20closehigh44.71 and SMA50 40.349. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 2. Recomputed fee1bp/slippage15bp per side gives net2.763913R at E47.90,S45.41,T55.36; maximum3Rreference47.744473. 3. Retain prior backtest3214/technical3262: train19.191% N22 DD49.047%,win36.36%; known closed holdout1.924% N11,stress-.293%,marked16.577% includes open paper. No fresh data/policy warrant another test or parameter sweep. BWLP training-17.147%N10 remains rejection despite65.38%N7knownholdout; LPG55.18<55.20 andCNQ50.07<51.33 false. Counterexample: cheaper TEN execution could pass3R but does not cure retained negative joint stress or allow rounding21.27 probe up toone share. Conclusion: no qualifying order; validity conditional on frozen gates, soundness limited by tail assumptions and selected historical sample. No new backtest or simulation claimed.
netR2.76
max_entry_3R47.74
stop45.41
target55.36
train_return19.19
closed_holdout_return1.92
closed_stress_return-0.29
sample11
orders0
T9131630 unchanged execution gate; preserved chronological evidence
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 16:33
1. Actual collector26416:31 END7/7 retains Sep11TEN47.90, breakout above44.71/SMA50 40.349; not livequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 2. Python cost factors buy1.00160015/sell.99840015 give2.763913R with45.41stop/55.36target; 47.744473maximum3Rreference. 3. Backtest3214 reread: training19.191% N22 DD49.047%, win36.36%; closedknownholdout1.924% N11,stress-.293%; marked16.577% includesopenpaper, notclosedreturn. No newdata/policy to justify retest. 4. BWLP negative training remains binding; LPG55.18<55.20 andCNQ50.07<51.33 from datedcollectors. Counterexample: cheaperentry clearspricegate but not jointtail/sizegate. Positivehistoricalskew supportswatch, not currentqualifiedorder.
netR2.76
max_entry47.74
train_return19.19
closed_holdout_return1.92
closed_stress_return-0.29
sample11
orders0
T9131350 price-gate audit and frozen shortlist
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, FRO, STNG, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 13:54
1. Collector26413:16END confirms Sep11TEN47.90>44.71prior20 andSMA50 40.349;notquote. FreshdailySIP403. 2. Python buy=(1.0001*1.0015),sell=(.9999*.9985);R=(55.36*sell-E*buy)/(E*buy-45.41*sell). E47.90=>2.763912834;47.74=>3.007228642;maxE47.744472866. 21.27notional cheaper probe stoploss1.102743,targetgain3.316200. No rounding up toone47.74share. 3. Price validity does not establish positiveexpectancy; hypothetical research gate not standing limit order or newpolicy. 4. Retain BWLPnegative train-17.147187%N10 despiteknownholdout+65.37954%N7;STNGclosedstudyreject;FROdistributioncash/rawexitpolicyunresolved;LPG55.18<55.20/CNQ50.07<51.33 false. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; FRO https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ .
TEN_reference47.9
stop45.41
target55.36
netR2.76
qualifying_reference47.74
cheaper_netR3.01
probe_ceiling21.27
actual_size0
T9131230 recorded signals versus order eligibility
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, FRO, STNG, LPG, CNQ, SWKS2026-09-13 12:36
Latestcompletecollector264 receipt12:01UTC retainsSep11SIP: TEN47.90>44.71/SMA40.349, BWLP25.13>25/SMA21.461, FRO49.21>48.40,STNG84.52>84.51,SWKS88.35>84.03; LPG55.18<55.20,CNQ50.07<51.33 fail. These are recorded signals, not freshfillablequotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 1. FixedTENcentS45.41/T55.36 and1bpfee15bpslip yields E47.90 net2.763913R; E47.74 net3.007229R,21.27probe stoploss1.102743/gain3.316200. A cheaper entry passesonlypricegate; jointstressstillrejects. 2.BWLPfixedtrain-17.147187%N10 versusknown2026holdout65.37954%N7 is transportabilityfailure, no new parameter sweep. 3.STNGpriorholdout-3.982947%/stress-6.166% rejected; SWKS pricealone lacks verifiedRFcash. 4.FRO positive archivedtests deserveexecutionwork, butSep18distribution3.41 causesmechanical rawstoprisk and actualcashentitlement/wealthpolicy unresolved https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ . No standingorder inferred fromresearchlevels. No holdings=>Rprogress/agedexits notapplicable; no new stockstrategytrusted withoutbacktest.
TEN_reference47.9
TEN_stop45.41
TEN_target55.36
TEN_current_netR2.76
TEN_cheaper_reference47.74
TEN_cheaper_netR3.01
probe_USD21.27
BWLP_train_pct-17.15
BWLP_train_N10
BWLP_holdout_pct65.38
BWLP_holdout_N7
orders0
R91308 exact pre-open reference: net3R price gate is necessary, not sufficient
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN2026-09-13 08:09
CompletedSep11 C47.90,MondayADR20split1.243575 =>S45.41285,T55.36145. FixedcentS45.41/T55.36 withfee1bp/slip15bp: Eceiling47.74447287, conservativecent47.74. At47.74reference,allincost47.81639 approx,netrisk5.184499%,reward15.590974%,RR3.007229. Conditional21.27notional about.444827shares yields modeledstoploss1.102743USD/targetgain3.316200USD;partialprofitpathdiffers. CurrentFriday47.90failsgate; noquoteorfuturefillassumed. Stop/target unchanged forbetterratio; wideningtargettomeetfundingneedforbidden. Evenpricegatepass doesNOTauthorizeorder:jointstresssimulation rejectsallocation underretainedassumptions. If futureindependentcost/gap evidencechangesexpectancy, thenfreshcash/quote/firstRTHmanagerentryonly; failure meansskipday, no late-dayrescue. FractionalordersandexitsRTHonly; Sundaynoorder. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
close47.9
ADR201.24
stop45.41
target55.36
max_reference_entry47.74
rounded_entry47.74
net_RR3.01
net_risk_pct5.18
net_reward_pct15.59
probe_ceiling21.27
model_loss_USD1.1
model_gain_USD3.32
R91306 TEN current signal true; fixed reference gives net2.91R, not3R
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN2026-09-13 06:17
Sep11 completed47.90>prior20close44.71 andSMA50 40.3494; Monday trailing20 splitADR1.243575,not lagged-for-Friday1.184625. ReferenceS45.41285,T55.36145. Fee1bp plus5bpslip/side =>netrisk5.306081%,reward15.438530%,RR2.909592;15bpslipstress =>5.495280%,15.207884%,2.767445. HoldingS/Tfixed, maximumentry47.842554base/47.746965stress achievesnet3R. Raisingtarget to55.591508/55.975552wouldalso solvealgebra butisnotadoptedonlytoforcehurdle. Need explicit costed cheaper-entry rule before quoting these ceilings as trades; priceceiling is not limitfill evidence. Manager-time issue now quantified3183 rather than repeatedly left unknown.123209raw5+47537raw15 feedunion121603RTHmarks,1682daily; union labelRTH5 inlocalfile is notpure5mincount.42,422overlappingraw5/raw15 opens all equal;5,115missing5timestamps;trainmissing105auto+42manager/holdout4auto+10manager. Missingquote time remains proxy gap. Last paperJuly24entry39.79 stillopen withBE39.79 andT48.54592; final47.93RTHmark notactualexit, previous48.1495target belonged dividend-adjustedADRbasis. No actual holdings or entry this run. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars.
close47.9
prior2044.71
SMA5040.35
ADR201.24
reference_stop45.41
reference_target55.36
base_net_RR2.91
stress_net_RR2.77
base_entry_ceiling47.84
stress_entry_ceiling47.75
auto_missing_holdout4
manager_missing_holdout10
R91304 TEN signal remains true; raw quote and manager cadence limits
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN2026-09-13 04:12
Sep11completedSIPclose47.90,prior20close44.71,SMA50 40.3494,ADR20 1.243575: frozenL20ANDtrendtrue. 2ADRreference45.41285stop and6ADR55.36145target; at47.90gain15.5771%versusrisk5.19238%,gross3R. UnderrawRTHfixedexittestlastpaperJuly24entry39.61 reachesSep11target; firstnextentrywouldbeMondayopenifpriorcloseruletrue, notweekend. Actualfractionalmarketonlyregularsession; cannotqueuewhole-share21.27probe. Dataset1682daily/47537raw15min,43084calendarRTH; 2020reverse-splitfactor5explicitlynormalized. +2Rpaperquarter/BEcanoccurduringoff-runwindow,so notmatchedmanagerpolicy; fixedautomaticstop/targetbaselinepreserved andmanagedvariantinconclusive. Missingbarsaremissingtradesamples,notproofofuntradeability. No rulechangedtoL10evenwithpositivetraining41.10%, becauseL20frozen; L40train-36.02%. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . No holdings means no liveR/daysheldreviewor exitadjustment.
close47.9
prior2044.71
SMA5040.35
ADR201.24
signal1
reference_stop45.41
reference_target55.36
daily_bars1682
raw_15min_bars47537
RTH_bars43084
R91302 US-wide census and overseas/crypto supply screen with explicit coverage
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, KMT, ALM, SAND.ST, ETH/USD, PAXG/USD2026-09-13 02:15
Directory sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt :13181non-testdistinctentries (includesNAparsedmissing);12796syntax-compatiblerequested,385excludedpreferred/specialsyntax/missingNA. IEX12664snapshots96.08%ofdirectory;12387havepositivecurrent/priorbars,only8100datedSep11. SIPsnapshots403;25IEXbatch429 repairedsequentially, nofalsezeroquotes. Word-boundarysupplynames+ETF=N+close>=2+IEXdollarvolume>=1m+freshSep11=>131names;69positive, median+.1403%,P05/P95-4.1233/+5.2157%;15abovevenuewholecap. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?feed=iex . Notall-USfundamentalcoverage: namesomitunknowns, IEXliquiditynotconsolidated,currentlistingbias. Top12plusKMT/ALM completedSIP14:onlyTENtrue. FPS/ON/BE/BDC/MWH/SEI/POWI/AEIS/LSCC/NVT/NVTS false; rejectchasingdaygains. Overseas20attempts18valid,0L20signals;ALM.TO/AALI.Linvalidnotbearish. Source https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ . Crypto11returned,ETHonlypositiveamong10with50bars;USDG39insufficientcorrected,notzero-filledSMA. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . No physicalrent/valuecapture edgeidentifiedforETH;PAXGfalse andgoldtokenisnotproducerprofit. Boundedglobaluniverse,notallforeignlistings. Currentholdings0,noexitR/horizonreviewneeded. Screenisdiscovery; tradingrequiresrecordedindependentedge.
directory13181
requested12796
snapshots12664
valid_price_rows12387
fresh_rows8100
supply_screen131
SIP_shortlist14
SIP_signals1
overseas_valid18
overseas_signals0
crypto_attempted11
crypto_valid5010
R91300 completed signals and empty-book exit review
TechnicalwatchSupply chainCNQ, FRO, STNG, AA, XLE2026-09-13 00:20
FreshSIPall6x1682dailybars endSep11; currentclose/prior20/SMA50/ADR20: CNQ50.07/51.33/46.4478/1.049 fails; FRO49.21/48.4/40.8458/1.349555 passes; STNG84.52/84.51/77.9266/2.001845 passes; AA48.26/51.85/48.526/1.95495 fails; XLE65.14/65.31/60.1392/1.021975 fails. CNQ reference stop47.972,target56.364,3R gross,max40sessions, not orders or established fairvalue. CNQATR20=1.2165 versusADR1.049; use frozenADR not a quietly widenedstop. CNQ26.94%worst2020+open-gap shows30%stress is plausible but not an empiricalfrequency. FROdividend3.41 can mechanically breach existing46.51089reference stop; it is not thesisfailure by itself. STNGpositive screen cannot override previously negativeheldout3R test2925. No holdings, hence liveR/daysheld/stopadjustments are not applicable; do not invent a holding from closedtrades. EEMqueue belongs totrend and remains outsideauthority. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . NewCNQ testwatch does not authorize stale weekendentry.
CNQ_close50.07
CNQ_prior2051.33
CNQ_ADR1.05
CNQ_ATR1.22
CNQ_stop47.97
CNQ_target56.36
CNQ_signal0
FRO_signal1
STNG_signal1
AA_signal0
holdings0
exit_changes0
R91208 pre-open signal and illustrative FRO raw barriers
TechnicalwatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, HWM, VIST, CCJ, SWKS2026-09-12 08:14
CompletedSep11 SIP data: FRO49.21 exceeds prior20close48.40 and SMA50 40.8458. ADR20=1.349555; illustrative E49.21 gives stop46.51089, target57.30733 (3R), max40sessions. These are historical-rule barriers, not submitted orders or asset fair value. If price otherwise unchanged, subtract3.41 distribution gives45.80, belowstop by.71089; mechanical ex-date drop is not necessarily thesisfailure. Adjusting both barriers requires a separately specified wealth policy and account entitlement; do not silently widen raw stop. At+2R a quarter sale then remaining3R target realizes2.75R gross if both fill exactly, not3R on originalsize; no claimed net3R guarantee. Collector243 also reports STNG84.52>84.51 with positive screen but priorholdout2925negative; HWM229.61<292.65, VIST76.27<78.95,CCJ96.68<107.36 fail; SWKS88.35>84.03 passesprice but RF cash transmission unverified. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ . No holdings, hence no live R or daysheld review required. Quarterprobe21.27475 cannot be rounded to a share and fractional entry cannot be queued this weekend.
FRO_close49.21
prior2048.4
SMA5040.85
ADR201.35
reference_stop46.51
reference_target57.31
ex_neutral_price45.8
ex_below_stop0.71
quarter_probe21.27
gross_managed_target_R2.75
orders0
Page 1 of 3Older