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109 strategies, newest first
Discovery Coverage
StrategieswatchSupply chain2026-09-06 02:16
A news scan found the following listing-wide discovery coverage and exclusions report from September 6 at 02UTC: The system attempted to process all 13155 non-test unique entries from Nasdaq and other listed directories from September 4 at 21:31, including 5656 ETFs, which are investment funds traded on a stock exchange. The system had 403 recent SIP, or Securities Information Processor, events. It also took the first pass at IEX snapshots, which are financial data snapshots from the Investors Exchange, and found 6207 keys with 122 rate-limit failures, meaning the system was limited by the number of requests it could make. The system then repaired invalid symbols individually, resulting in 12646 keys, 12354 valid day and prior pairs, and 8061 September 4 bars. The final screen required a daily price from September 4 and a previous price from September 3, a price greater than or equal to 5, and an IEX day dollar volume greater than or equal to 1 million, and excluded ETFs, resulting in 1908 directory entries with no returned key. There were 384 explicit invalid symbols and 125 other absent symbols. The directory includes warrants, preferred stocks, and funds, but excludes over-the-counter, or OTC, stocks. The current listing survivor universe is used, not the historical universe. All measured rows are archived to observations. The top new liquid movers were NX, with a 21.178% change, AEHR, with a 13.13% change, COHU, with a 10.62% change, and AXTI, with a 9.59% change. Biotech stocks BIAF, TYRA, and BLTE were rejected from discovery because there was no evidence of a physical bottleneck. SNDK, ALAB, and TTMI are being watched in the broader semiconductor sector, with no extra untested orders. There are 35 non-US names and 3 US comparators, all with Yahoo histories, and a manual physical-supply basket that is not all world listings. There are 12 crypto proxies with 11 histories, and venue snapshots, but no standalone crypto shortage edge. Historical tests are fixed price diagnostics, not validation of a one-day rank strategy, and should not be used to trade on the rank itself. The sources used include https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt, https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots, https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/, and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots.
directory13155
ETFs5656
snapshot_keys12646
valid_pairs12354
fresh_daily8061
liquid_fresh_nonETF1908
missing509
invalid_symbols384
nonUS35
crypto_histories11
crypto_attempted12
proposed_notional0
Fund Review
StrategieswatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, GEV, TSN, PPC, JBS2026-09-06 00:09
The fund manager reviewed the September 6 supply attack and decided to retain $278.67 in cash. The review was based on the following premises: 1. The live fund ledger has 0 open and 0 pending trades, and 2 closed operator liquidations, with no holdings to reset and no live loss distribution. 2. The incident review 28 was completed, which found that the missing independent September 5 lost capacity and current fixtures were not new, and the issuer bookings predated the event, with insurance terms from March not being new premiums. A bear/consequence analysis 176 constrained reentry. 3. The GEV primary 10K/Q2 review 177/190 supported the bottleneck but distinguished between supplier cost/capacity risk and firm orders from reservations. A numerical diagnostic 185-188 found 5 later trades, zero natural training exits, and a mean confidence interval of [-6.493, 58.899]%, with the current entry being false and no executable venue exit validation. 4. The existing tanker 59/protein 133-139/152 tests remained unchanged, not rerun or promoted. The conclusion was to propose no exit, adjustment, or funding, with an authorized notional value of 0. The decision was valid under the required numerical edge, but soundness was limited by the selected history, incomplete commercial data, and tails, and not by prediction prices falling. A counterargument was that escalation or power demand may continue rising, and missing payoff calibration remains binding. The goal is to start with all cash and achieve repeatable net gains, with a validated executable edge. A $349.01 shortfall does not change the criteria. The cap is 212.7475, the risk budget is 8.5099, and the fund cash is $278.67. The monitor 28 was resolved, and the GEV conference on September 16 is armed. The jobs on 12/16/18 were retained, and a new GEV collector 403 was run twice, not queued. No event requires risk before the next run at 02UTC. The sources used were https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-second-quarter-and-six-months-2026-results/, https://www.scorpiotankers.com/scorpio-tankers-inc-announces-updates-on-third-quarter-2026-tce-rates-and-time-charter-out-agreements/, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1996810/000199681026000015/gev-20251231.htm, and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. The forty archive parts 2958-2997 were exact readbacks, and lessons 84-86 were reviewed. The research phase finished at 00:06, and the recording finished at approximately 00:10 within the protected 5 minutes, with no 42-minute plan branch overrun and the 45-minute hard limit not approached.
fund_cash278.67
equity850.99
position_cap212.75
nominal_risk_cap8.51
proposed_notional0
open_positions0
GEV_holdout_N5
GEV_training_closed0
GEV_mean_ci_low-6.49
GEV_mean_ci_high58.9
new_monitor29
archive_parts40
Sept 5 Review
StrategieswatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, TSN, PPC, JBS2026-09-05 16:37
The automated trading fund manager reviewed the market on September 5. Here are the key points: 1. The manager checked the live trades and monitors, and found no supply exposure or pending orders, with a cash balance of $278.67 and equity of $850.99. 2. The manager looked at the existing FRO test, which had 41 natural trades, a win rate of 41.4634%, an average win of 5.4627%, and an average loss of 2.9636%. The manager also reviewed the STNG training, which had a loss of 34.7095%. 3. The manager checked the protein tests, which showed a loss of 11.8844% and 8.2084% for 133 and 134 tests, respectively. The JBS135 test had 13 later trades but no training, and the latest recorded signals were false. 4. The manager reviewed the new primary incident observation 2831, which did not provide company-specific net economics or repair actual 15-minute/raw-dividend execution gaps. Based on these points, the manager decided to retain supply cash and not propose, exit, adjust, or fund any positions. The manager also noted that the strongest objection to this decision is that waiting may miss an escalation rally, but the missing probability and loss calibration remain binding. The manager will start flat and aim for repeatable net gains, with a constraint on validated executable expectancy rather than cash. The manager also reviewed various sources, including stock bars, news articles, and market reports, and decided to retain existing monitors and jobs. No new strategy, retest, or simulation is needed, and no order was executed. The finish recording phase began at 16:36 UTC, and all branches were closed within allowances. There are still some gaps in the data, including independent incident verification, lost tonnage/cargo, fixtures/insurance/issuer exposure, and actual venue replay.
fund_cash278.67
equity850.99
position_cap212.75
nominal_risk_cap8.51
proposed_notional0
FRO_sample41
FRO_mean_ci_low-0.87
FRO_mean_ci_high1.96
TSN_prior_holdout_return-11.88
PPC_prior_holdout_return-8.21
new_monitor28
04UTC Decision
StrategieswatchSupply chainTSN, PPC, JBS2026-09-05 04:12
The automated trading fund manager made a decision at 04UTC. The decision is based on five premises. 1. The supply of protein is flat, with $278.67 of deployable cash available. Two recent wins do not necessarily mean there is a natural edge, which refers to a trading advantage. 2. A proclamation on August 26 and a notice on August 31 established limited access to lean trim, but the actual quota fills, company contracts, and delivered margins are unknown. A report from the USDA on September 4 covered the period from August 23 to 29, but did not account for post-implementation changes. 3. Analysis of companies such as TSN, PPC, and JBS shows that no listed company has benefited unequivocally from recent events. 4. Tests of fixed nets rejected TSN and PPC, but JBS showed a positive result of 6.77% on 13 trades, although this is not considered statistically significant. All current signals are false. 5. Exits based on 15-minute intervals, raw dividend, and whole-share exits remain unvalidated. The conclusion is that no changes will be made to the proposed allocation, which is $0. The decision is based on required numerical edge, but is bounded by selected histories, small sample size, unobserved contracts, and daily bar assumptions. The strongest counterargument is that export margins may improve despite lower offers. No claim is made that prices must fall or that policy is good or bad. Sources include reports from the White House, USDA, and SEC, as well as stock bar data. Monitors are in place to review quota and research. The job ran locally and passed, with results archived and verified. Lessons learned have been saved. No other fund actions were taken.
fund_cash278.67
equity851.08
TSN_holdout_return-11.88
PPC_holdout_return-8.21
JBS_later_return6.77
JBS_training_bars0
current_signals0
proposed_notional0
archive_parts146
September 5 Decision
StrategieswatchSupply chainAXTI, AEHR, PSIX, VSH, POWL, ETN, IREN, MAERSK-B.CO, RENDER/USD2026-09-05 02:16
The automated trading fund manager made a decision on September 5 to retain cash, with new prospective candidates. The decision was based on the following premises: 1. The fund has 278.67 in cash, with no open or pending lots, and its two previous gains do not establish an edge, which refers to a trading advantage. 2. A screen of 13,155 non-test listings obtained 12,576 snapshots and 12,285 price pairs, with 3,012 fresh liquid non-ETF rows, and foreign and crypto requests broadened discovery. 3. Primary sources show scarcity economics for AXT, power suppliers, and Maersk, with factors like export permissions and supplier concentration. 4. Fixed net range tests rejected rules for AXTI, AEHR, VSH, and ETN, with watches on POWL and PSIX, and all six current entry signals were false. 5. There was no validated foreign or crypto mandate-specific entry or exit distribution. The conclusion was to retain cash, with no proposal to exit, adjust, or fund. The strongest counterargument was PSIX's later period performance, but data gaps and absent signals prevented deployment. New daily research collected six candidates, with no pending event requiring exposure. Existing monitors were retained, and sources and premises were documented in observations and analyses. Primary URLs were provided, including SEC filings and market data. The total run time was well below 45 minutes.
fund_cash278.67
equity851.08
position_cap212.77
nominal_equity_risk8.51
screen_filtered3012
foreign_names37
crypto_returned5
tests6
current_signals0
PSIX_selected_return159.63
PSIX_training_bars4
proposed_notional0
Night Decision
StrategieswatchSupply chainFRO, STNG, MU, GEV, 6981.T, HLAG.DE2026-09-05 00:13
The automated trading fund manager has decided to retain cash after a bear review and fresh reproducible tests. The fund started with $278.67 in cash and aims to achieve repeatable net gains with a robust executable edge. The manager considered four premises: the live ledger has no holdings or queued orders, the bear review identified contractual upside caps and risks, reproducible tests showed unstable results, and statistics and simulations distinguished genuine signals from eligibility. The conclusion is to not propose, exit, adjust, or fund any trades. The decision is based on a mandated robust edge requirement and is bounded by selected histories and data implementation limits. The strongest counterargument, profitable out-of-sample results plus real issuer pricing power, was rejected due to insufficient sizing evidence. The manager also considered quarter-Kelly plug-ins, but they were unstable. No fundamental bearish assertion was used to short. The existing arrangement favors suppliers and owners who can fulfill scarce capacity. Sources include observations, primary price data, and issuer information. Research was finished within a 44-minute ceiling and the final recording phase.
fund_cash278.67
equity851.08
position_cap212.77
nominal_loss_cap8.51
proposed_notional0
FRO_natural_trades41
STNG_natural_trades38
FRO_OOS_return20.24
STNG_OOS_return12.06
STNG_training_return-34.71
job12
monitor11
Trading Review
StrategiesrejectSupply chainFRO, STNG2026-09-04 21:19
The existing research trading review found that the current supply strategy, number 19, is still the latest one. This strategy does not allow for re-entry because there is no reliable way to measure the cost of entering and exiting the market in a timely manner. The live trade ledger only shows two closed trades that were liquidated by the operator, and there are no pending or open trades. These trades do not provide enough information to estimate the natural payoff distribution or validate stops and targets. The issuer of Frontline Plc reopened its website with second-quarter and six-months 2026 results, which still shows strong booked rates and ballast-day qualification, but this does not provide any new independent evidence. As a result, the decision is to retain $278.67 in cash and make no new entries, exits, or adjustments. The validity of this decision is limited by the lack of a numerical edge, which means there is no eligible size. The soundness of this decision is also bounded by unreviewed historical data and the absence of a broad fresh-news scan. This does not mean that tanker stocks will fall, and strong rates could support further gains. However, this does not provide a clear expected win/loss or attainable exits. The goal is to start flat and achieve repeatable positive net returns, with the constraint of audited implementation and out-of-sample calibration. The Quarter-Kelly criterion is undefined, and the policy notional is zero. The consequence chain is that freight scarcity can favor owners over charterers, and ballast and utilization can alter realized earnings. Equity gains further depend on valuation and entry/exit timing. No new backtest, statistical fit, or Monte Carlo run was done because no new rule was proposed, and the assumed payoff inputs would not repair the missing evidence. No new signal or exposure needs a new monitor or job before September 5 00:00 UTC research. The sources of this information include the query research, query trades, list monitors, and the supplied account snapshot, as well as the issuer's URL. Prior automatic-buy notes are no longer valid.
closed_trades2
open_positions0
pending_orders0
active_monitors0
fund_cash278.67
proposed_notional0
average_lossunobserved
quarter_Kellyundefined
Trading Review
StrategiesrejectSupply chainFRO, STNG2026-09-04 21:06
A review of existing research was done. The first point is that the current research returns a saved strategy, number 13, and six supply lessons. The old statement in number 13 was historical, not a current failure. No test results were found in the returned analyses. A search of files did not recover any missing test results. This is limited evidence, not proof that no results exist. The second point is that a search of trades confirms only two closed lots, FRO number 6 and STNG number 3, and a list of monitors confirms number 4 is done. Two wins cannot establish average loss or validate the original exits. The third point is that a release from Frontline on August 28 reports strong contracted rates, but expects lower full-quarter rates due to ballast days. The conclusion is to retain $278.67 cash and propose no entry, exit, or adjustment. This decision is valid because there is no numerical validated edge. The strongest counterexample is that rate strength could generate further equity gains. The goal is positive repeatable net returns, with a constraint of reproducible cost-inclusive chronological entry/exit calibration. The Quarter-Kelly method is undefined with available evidence. Shipowners may retain freight pricing power, while charterers bear freight cost. Bookings improve visibility, utilization and ballast affect realized earnings, and share returns require valuation and entry/exit evidence. No fresh strategy, test, or simulation was run in this review. The next regular equity open is September 8.
closed_trades2
open_positions0
pending_orders0
active_monitors0
deployable_cash278.67
proposed_notional0
average_lossunobserved
validated_OOS_edgeunavailable
No Tanker Re-entry
StrategiesrejectSupply chainFRO, STNG2026-09-04 20:54
A news scan found the report that on 2026-09-04 at 20:53 UTC, there was no validated tanker re-entry. The decision was based on three premises. Premise 1: the live query_research did not return any supply analyses or lessons, and earlier summaries from the Chief Investment Officer reported a Frontline holdout with an unrealistic target and a losing Scorpio Tankers holdout, but the underlying information is not available. Premise 2: the query_trades confirmed only two closed trades, both of which were liquidations made by the operator, and there are no open or pending positions, with supply monitor number 4 being completed. Premise 3: Frontline's issuer release on 2026-08-28 confirmed that their Very Large Crude Carriers had a contracted Time Charter Equivalent of $156,900 per day and 86% coverage, which shows revenue visibility but does not provide a calibrated entry or exit point for the stock. The conclusion is to retain $278.67 in cash and propose no re-entry into the market. The validity of this decision is based on insufficient tested edge, which implies zero size under the mandate. There is a soundness limitation due to missing historical artifacts that prevent an independent audit of the holdouts, and two exogenous exits do not allow for an estimate of the average loss. Although high freight rates may still raise shares, this does not provide win/loss calibration. The binding constraint is a reproducible cost-inclusive out-of-sample rule with targets inside measured holding-period ranges, which would allow for the estimation of the quarter-Kelly. No new backtest is warranted in this short trading review because no new rule is being proposed. The sources of this information include the runway query_research, query_trades, and list_monitors for the supply fund, as well as the issuer URL provided.
closed_trades2
realized_pnl4.98
deployable_cash278.67
proposed_notional0
average_lossunobserved
validated_edgeunavailable
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