Stats

1. Observations28208–14 direct completed Sep12 daily and Sep13 18UTC hourly bars: all seven volatile census names above SMA200; none above prior480-hour high; no24h HIGH events. BTC77314.761<82233.50254, ETH2507.971<2664.8535, SOL101.17<110.5357. ETH Sep11 22UTC pullback expired, arm absent28216. Positive prior-close census rule is different. 2. ATR20 BTC2335.03218/ETH94.40365/SOL5.45756; ranges do not establish target probability. 3. Read original CLI3196 and daily/hourly actual-manager vectorbt-reconciled3190–95. Hourly baseline return/DD/win/N BTC+.6012/15.139/33.33/6, ETH−4.7617/21.227/28.57/7, SOL+2.2388/23.011/33.33/6; 30bp slip stress−8.9811/−7.1782/−6.4973. Daily baseline−8.4405/−12.5180/−23.1143. Existing inspected holdout remains rejected, no new test represented. Counterexample: sustained uptrend can reward entry without new high, but this is an untested different policy. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .

1. Direct Sep13 13:52UTC bars exclude unfinished candles. All seven Sep12 daily closes above SMA200; all seven completed12UTC hourly closes below prior480 highs, zero breakout observations in24h. ETH prior20-close condition true is a different rule; Sep11 22UTC pullback expired/no arm. Observations28143–49/28153. 2. BTC/ETH/SOL ATR20=2335.0322/94.40365/5.45756, measured ranges not permission to set arbitrary3R targets. 3. Read original CLI3196 and vectorbt-reconciled daily/hourly execution3190–95: hourly baseline return/DD/win/N BTC+.6012/15.139/33.33/6, ETH-4.7617/21.227/28.57/7,SOL+2.2388/23.011/33.33/6; stress-8.9811/-7.1782/-6.4973%; daily-8.4405/-12.5180/-23.1143%. No new rule adopted or static backtest repeated. Strongest counterexample: existing trend may reward holding without new high. That is missed-upside risk, not validation of late entry. Venue census14 includes stablecoins and USDG only3/7days, not global volume or live asset permission. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .

1. Directbar refresh12:32UTC excludes unfinishedSep13 daily/12UTC hourly bars. CompletedSep12 allseven closes aboveSMA200; completed11UTC allseven belowprior480hourhighs, no24hfreshbreakout andETHnoarm. Daily/hourly tables28074–80 retainclose,SMA200,ATR20,priorHIGH/CLOSE,7dayreturn andthresholdgap. BTC/ETH/SOL11UTC76760.58/2480.3475/99.8035, belowHIGH480by6.6553/6.9237/9.7093%; currentdaythrough11close-0.6546/-1.7702/-1.9280%. 2. ETHdaily2525.045>prior20CLOSE2516.066 but <HIGH2664.8535: compatible distinct rules. ItsSep11 22UTCpullback2515.682 is old andnoarm, not authorization for today'slowerprice. 3. ATR20BTC2335.0322/ETH94.40365/SOL5.45756 measuresrange,notentry. 4. FrozenCLI3196 pluscosteddaily/hourly3190–95 remain decisionevidence; allactual-managerdailyholdoutsnegative,hourlystressnegative. No newlyadoptedrule, no duplicatebacktest or holdoutretune. Strongestcounterexample: longregimes cancontinuewithoutnewhigh; thissupports missedupsiderisk but doesnotestablish testedlateentry. Conclusion size0, no blindlimit. Venuevolume census14 ranks36publishedpairs includingstables,USDGonly3/7days; notgloballiquidity or liveassetpermission. HistoricalHYPE208dailyrows lacks pre2026training. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .

Premise1: local collector atSep13 08:02 verifies all7completed07UTC closes below their prior480hour intrabar highs, with completecalendarwindows and no24h availability. Exactpairs are observation27903. Premise2: ETH's latest event remainsSep11 22UTC pullback; no newarm. Census14 ETHclose2525.045 exceedsprior20CLOSE2516.066, but HIGH4802664.8535 is a different rule. These are compatible observations, not a reason to substitute the rejected CLOSE policy. Premise3: quoteages/depth matter separately; local08:02:59 sevenof10fresh<=300s,majorsbiddepth76.8/83.2/95.1USD,roundtripbreak-even.535/.517/.592% under25bpfeeassumption beforeextraslip. These snapshotsare not currentfills. Premise4: published36paircensus includesstablecoins andUSDG3/7days; volumeisvenue-only and doesnotestablishliveasseteligibility. Conclusion:no freshentry; retain119.14cash. Counterargument: persistentuptrend cancontinuewithoutnewbreakout; acceptedmissedupside doesnotvalidatea lateentryrule. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots . No newpricepolicy adopted or duplicatebacktest run.

Remote job259 at06:16:03UTC verifies completedSep13 05:00hour; closes versus prior480hourhighs: BTC77300.6305/82233.502538071; ETH2522.35/2664.8535; SOL101.789/110.5357; LTC54.2805/59.34355; XRP1.36755/1.5488; HYPE79.4206/89.9954713195; LINK11.5411/13.677. Allcalendarwindowscomplete, allsignalsfalse and last24h highbreakoutavailabilityempty. ETH72h eventreplay retainsSep11 14UTCbreakout and22UTCpullbackat2515.682; no currentarm. Replayis aneventdetector, notfullportfoliooccupancy, so itdoesnotauthorize lateentry. CompletedSep12dailyBTC/ETH/SOL closes77266.385/2525.045/101.7655 aboveSMA20070095.0660/2055.8333/83.04133; positive trend alone is not freshpolicyentry. Universe comes from retainedjob14 seven-completed-day venuevolume census across36USDpairs, includes3stablecoins; USDGonly3/7days, publishedinventory notliveasseteligibility. Quotejob257 at06:16:45 has4/10quotesaged<=300s;BTC77254.38/77282.4,ETH2520.68/2521.1, topbiddepth$22.4/$83.7;SOLquote406s stale. Small displayeddepth and timing requirefreshquotes foranyfutureorder. Premises: currententry is absent independentlyof modelconfidence; costs andcadence cannot be bypassed witholdETHsignal. Conclusion noorder; all$119.14cash. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Sep12completedcloses BTC77266.385 ETH2525.045 SOL101.7655 exceedSMA20070095.0660/2055.8333/83.04133. ATR202335.03218/94.40365/5.45756. Nonetheless Sep13completed03UTC HIGH480fails BTC77184.35<82233.50254, ETH2520.3465<2664.8535, SOL101.575<110.5357; samecollectorall7false, ETHlastpullbackavailableSep11 22UTC,no newarm. Positive200daytrend does notretroactively createfreshHIGH/pullback. Illustrationonly: entrySep12close*1.001,stopE-2ATR,full-exitnet3R with25bpentrycoin/exitUSDfee+10bpsellslip requiresgains20.5241/24.8197/34.5551%; targets93217.7762/3154.9047/137.06755.235unconditional2026rolling20dayMFE P9018.1013/23.8079/23.1779%; coverage8.5106/8.5106/7.2340%,notstop-adjustedodds. These full-exit targets are NOT the mandated +2Rquarter/trailingpolicy; its finaltarget bridge mustbe solvedseparately. Illustrativequarter29.785netstoploss1.9660/2.3900/3.3507USD;noactuallevelsadopted. Low unconditionalcoverage isnotautomaticvetoonfat-tailtrades, butitdoesnotvalidate anentry. Bindingconstrainttodayfreshpolicyentry,andnewstablecoinfilterfailedincrementalholdout;actualsize0. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .

Current Nasdaq directory5605+otherlisted7609=13214security rows; broadnamefilter361, refinedcrypto terms+manualproxies165;163have>=21dailybars andfreshSep11close, HBIT11bars/BITF0. SIPadjustmentall Jun1–Sep11. 16prior20HIGHsignals mostlyETHfunds/incomeproducts plusSTRC: relatedexposure not16independentbets. ASST20return119.555%,27.62<28.53high;CAN57.290%,.3366<.455;BMNR36.851%,25.03<26.91;ETHA34.645%,19.16>19.135;FTFTFriday40.488%but20return-11.466%,2.88<3.64. ETFsessionHIGH versuscontinuousETHHIGH aredifferentwindows. USmovers50eachside and100volumeactives asSep11 23:59 sourcedFTFT/BMNR/ETHA leads. ForeignYahoo:3350.T20+12.670%,60-2.353%,belowSMA200;HUT.TO+18.055/-19.621%,above;9984.T+13.957/-4.942%,above. GLXY.TO/BTCT.AS404,0835.HKmissingclose; USGLXYcovered. Premises namefilter isdiscovery notcompleteeconomicexposure/history; foreignFX/venue unverified. Noequityentry: absentfreshvalidatedrule, ETHfundsrequireownsessionpolicy. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/3350.T . Allrows observations26628–26841.

36 published USD pairs screened over7completedUTCdays Sep6–12 using sum(v*vw); includes stablecoins. Top10 USDC10.350216m,USDG1.899983m,BTC676586,ETH383393,SOL196860,XRP185076,HYPE150323,LTC144752,LINK141496,USDT102726USD. USDG only3/7days; missing days notzero, rank provisional but far above tenth. Dailyprior20CLOSE signals ETH andXTZ; XTZ outside top10, ETH is separate policy from prior480HIGH. RemoteSep13 01UTC closes BTC77295.452 ETH2524.085 SOL102.255 LTC53.8985 XRP1.36796 HYPE79.382 LINK11.5162 allbelowHIGH480; no recent24hHIGH, ETHSep11 22UTCpullbackold/noarm. LocalSep12 dailyOHLCV versus24hour aggregate all3majors agree within2.3e-14%roundoff. Premises valid for observedfeed, not all-exchangevolume/liveAssets or guaranteedfills. Conclusion no universe expansion intoXTZ/ADA just for headline; currententryabsent. Observations26628–26841,26627; source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .

Start119.14cash/no own holdings or queued crypto; goal positive net expectancy. (1) Latest Sep12 23UTC close below complete prior480HIGH for all7 volatile currenttop10 pluslegacyUNI: majorlevels observation26521. (2) ETH daily close2525.045 exceeds prior20CLOSE2516.066 but not prior20HIGH2664.8535; same-day OHLC reconciles24hours. (3) ETH pullbackfirstavailableSep11 22UTC alreadypassed;no arm. Strongest bear case for cash: trend can continue while no new breakout prints; cash misses positive tails and won't fund costs. Counterexample to buying now: it changes tested next-open rule to a late-entry rule. Validity: none of these premises forecasts falling prices; they establish absent qualified trigger only. Soundness: fresh time-stamped bars, but observed inventory is not live venue Assets and daily/HIGH mismatch prevents using CLIreturns. Current census USDT replacesUNI;7volatile+3stablecoins, no stablecoin appreciation thesis. Watch current7; maintainUNI as legacy comparison only. No held thesis or stop/target exists to reset. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; query_trades fundcrypto.

Premise1 refreshed 36-pair published USD census on seven completed UTC days through Sep11 ranks USDC/USDG/BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP/SOL/HYPE/LINK/UNI. USDG2/7 days incomplete, not proven live Assets inventory. Premise2 07UTC completed hourly close/prior480HIGH: BTC77260.8/82233.502538,ETH2523.0075/2664.8535,SOL101.645/110.5357,LTC54.05235/59.34355,XRP1.36914/1.54995,HYPE79.085/89.995471,LINK11.5695/13.677,UNI6.35425/7.4795; all windows complete, all false. ETH daily close2516.066 exceeds prior20CLOSE2515.445, a different rule from hourlyHIGH. Premise3 ETH first recent breakout available Sep11 14UTC and halfATR pullback22UTC; no new arm as of08:03 collection. Strong counterargument: positive long trend and hourly pullback holdout gains support exposure; response: buying now substitutes untested late entry for next-open execution. Prior studies2883/2884/2897/2899 retained, not refitted. No holdings to review or exits to move. Conclusion size0 under current119.14cap, cash specifically for absent fresh policy-matched entry; counterfactual opportunity cost remains. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .

Premise1 sourcecollector actualEND06:01/locally06:04: all8volatilecoinsinlatest7dayvolumetop10 belowprior480calendarhourHIGH on05UTCbarcompleted06UTC. BTC77199.993<82233.502538;ETH2511.935<2664.8535;SOL101.6<110.5357;LTC53.82085<59.34355;XRP1.36405<1.54995;HYPE78.61<89.995471;LINK11.5088<13.677;UNI6.22845<7.4795. All480hourwindowscomplete. ETHonlyrecentbreakoutavailableSep11 14UTC,pullback22UTC;nowarmedNone. Premise2 frozenoldbreakout2632.27965/S2456.252663/T3223.796841through05:45barN64missing0,low2506.24,high2664.8535,marked-4.571879%,-.683672R;pullback2516.639125/S2327.78978/T3143.83652,N32missing0,low2506.24,high2523.0025,marked-.186921%,-.024909R. Zero stop/target/+2Rtouches inboth,closedN0;liquidationproxies-5.143375/-.784677%. Counterexample: trendispositiveandmissedupsidecouldresume;thatdoesnotcreatenextopenentrynow. Conclusion unchangedcash153.18,nofundholdingsorqueuedcryptoorders. Frozenpaths timeoutOct1 14/22UTC retained asretrospectiveonly. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .

All8volatilecoinsfromlatestliteral7dayvolume top10census belowprior480calendarhourHIGH onSep12 03UTCbarcompleted04UTC:BTC77262.873<82233.502538;ETH2513.175<2664.8535;SOL101.625<110.5357;LTC54.006<59.34355;XRP1.363745<1.54995;HYPE78.8659<89.9954713;LINK11.48965<13.677;UNI6.149985<7.4795. Full480hourscurrentcoverage; noholdings/queuedcryptoordersreviewed. FrozenoldETHbreakoutavailableSep11 14UTC retainedentry2632.27965/stop2456.25266262/target3223.79684108/Oct1 14UTCtimeout. Through03:45:56completed15minbars,low2506.24,0stop/target/+2Rtouches,marked-4.76346%,liq-5.09655%,gross-.676627R,closedN0. NewhalfATRrulewouldenterSep11 22UTCafter21UTCclose2515.682<=2518.6876647trigger;entry2516.639125/stop2327.78978383/target3143.83651593/Oct1 22UTCtimeout. 24bars,0stop/target/+2Rtouches,marked-.387305%/liq-.735700%,closedN0. Bothretrospectiveopenpaths,notorders/notprospectiveOOS; knownrecentpathmotivatedquestion. Premise1 currentcheappriceisnotfreshsignal;2 positivehistoricalhourlypayoffdoesnotauthorizead-hoc6hourdelay. Conclusion noexitstomove andnofreshentry; prospectiveeventwatch239recordsactualavailabilityfornextreview. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .

Boundedcross-marketquote screen, not allforeignlistings: Sep11Tokyo3350JPY249/−8.118%,3825JPY218/−6.838%,8473JPY3262/−3.032%;HongKong0863HKD10.34/−9.773%;GermanyADEEUR27.64/+1.468%;LondonBTCWUSD18.7975/−.922%. Twoinitialqueriesexcluded:BC8wasmistakenforBitcoinGroup(ADE),0380cryptolinkunestablishedandOSL0863queriedseparately. Premises:1 Single-daypricesdonotprovideentryorstock-specificcryptoedge.2 MetaplanetSep11primarySARreductionraisesBTCpersharethroughdenominator,not43kBTCpurchase;financialreclassificationnotcashflow.3 DifferentFX, preferredclaims,treasurydilutionandtradinghoursmeantheseare notspotBTCsubstitutes. Conclusion noforeignorders ornewFUNDproposal; retainprimaryMetaplanetfollowup2828 anddatedEGMmonitor308. Noindependentforeigndaily/hourlycostedstrategyorvenueeligibilityconfirmed. Thisnamescoveragegapwithoutclaimingworldwidefinancialscreen. Sources https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/3350.T ; https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/0863.HK ; https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ADE.DE ; https://metaplanet.jp/en/disclosures . Full8queryrows(including2rejections) observations25865–72.

Premises:1 Reverified Alpaca March2026 published inventory36USDpairs; all36 have dailybars, USDG only2/7calendar days and staleSep10. RankSep5–11sum(v*vw), not globalvolume: USDC10.368m,USDG1.900m,BTC677156,ETH459605,LTC254429,XRP199205,SOL192379,HYPE150543,LINK146046,UNI107781. Stablecoins retained in literal top10 but rejected directionalpriceupside; eightvolatilepairs candidate universe.2 All8 latestdailyclose below prior20dailyHIGH, although all aboveSMA50 and ETH2516.066 barely>prior20CLOSE2515.445. ETHHIGH2565.9 daily comparator differs from hourly2664.8535.3 Nasdaq directory13181 non-test listings screened by crypto/issuer names yielded181;180 have21SIPadjustedbars.19close>prior20sessionHIGH; ETHA19.16>19.135 and STRC98.64>98.2; bulkETHwrappers share onefactor, not independent signals. MSTR130.97<144.92,COIN175.26<195.85,CRCL90.6<103.28. Conclusion retainETHfrozenhourlywatch; noanticipatorycryptoentry, and noautomaticETF/preferred-stock order on an untestedcrypto-transferred rule. Name screen misses undisclosed treasury pivots;20stock sessions versus20calendarcryptodays not identical horizons. Full36rows observations25464–25499 and180stockrows saved separately. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqtraded.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://alpaca.markets/support/what-cryptocurrencies-does-alpaca-currently-support . Cash153.18 current constraint.

Start: no holdings or queued orders, crypto cash $235.86. Premise 1: complete 90-day hourly history shows ETH's Sep11 13UTC bar closed 2628.4075 above prior480h high2565.9, available14UTC. Premise 2: the next-open window passed; latest23UTC close2516.066 is below new2664.8535 threshold. BTC77212.8315<82233.502538 and SOL102.4335<110.5357; no Friday BTC/SOL signals. Premise 3: broad daily CLOSE screen is true for ETH2516.066>2515.445, but it is a different rule. Conclusion: record missed ETH opportunity, reject a fresh order under the frozen next-open policy. Strongest counterexample: a cheaper pullback entry might improve payoff; its conditional entry and exit behavior have not been tested, so it cannot inherit the breakout backtest. No position exists to tighten or widen. Intraday hourly/daily OHLC match and all2160hours present per asset; this does not establish historical executable quotes. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Logic valid conditional on rule; soundness limited by historical execution assumptions.

Premise1 Sep11 completed07UTC closeBTC77204.4035/ETH2466.268/SOL99.743; prior480hourHIGH82233.502538071/2565.9/110.5357,required upside6.514005/4.039788/10.820509%,allfalse withfullcoverage. Premise2 quotes08:02BTC77232.224/77251.23,ETH2467.2/2468.013,SOL99.636/99.751,ages6/7/55s;ETHaskdepth82.5USD,bid82.6;roundtripspread+assumedcredited25bpfees .535%,before slippage.9/10watchedquotesfresh,USDGstale101424s. Premise3 latestjob14daily36paircensus no20closebreakout,includesstables andUSDG3of7daycoverage. Conclusion zeroentry; ETH remains watch candidate, currentprice cannot inherit conditional backtest before signal. Old2ATR88.01349day ATR and hypothetical29.4825probe not standinglevels; reprice ATR,net3R and quoteat actualentry. A marketable buy limit at2565.9 now fills below breakout and does not implement conditionalclose, so noqueuedlimit. Current source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Premise1 Sep11completed05UTChourBTC77229.185/ETH2467.145/SOL99.8787;prior480hourHIGH82233.502538071/2565.9/110.5357;distance6.479827/4.002805/10.669943%,allfalse withcomplete480history. NativeSep10dailyclose76535.875/2436.8075/98.6025 >50SMA70403.34736/2147.85729/86.343249 andSMA5dayslopepositive: broadtrendandabsententrycoexist. Premise2 native14dayATR2283.570431/88.013494/4.975069;currentETH2ATR7.134846%risk beforecosts,netstop7.783209%,net3Rtargetrequires24.216882%priceup. These illustrative currentmarklevels2291.118/3064.611 arenotentryorders; actualbreakoutwouldrecomputeATRandpayoff. Premise3 36USDpair7completeddaydollarvolume census includesUSDC/USDG,thenBTC/ETH/XRP/LTC/SOL/LINK/HYPE/UNI;USDGonly3/7days incomplete. No20dayclosebreakoutamong36,notglobalvolumeuniverse. 06:03quotes7/10fresh<=300s,ETH283snearcutoff,topask82.7USD;hypothetical29.4825probe fitsobserveddepth,but117.93fullneedsmorebook. ETHspread+fee hurdle.530%,additionalexecutioncostnotincluded. Conclusion noorder;recheckfreshquotesonlywhenactualfrozenentryoccurs. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

1 Sep11 03UTChour completed04UTC closesBTC76864.9/ETH2445.725/SOL99.29365; prior480hourhighs equal20completeddayhighs82233.502538071/2565.9/110.5357. Allfalse; distance6.984466/4.913676/11.322023%. 2 Completednative14dayATR2283.570431/88.013494/4.975069,2ATRrisk5.941777/7.197334/10.020922%atcurrentmarks. Stop should come fromthisrisk/thesis, notmonthlyshortfall; currentmarksnotentries. 3 04:05:30snapshotBTCspread+25bpeachfee hurdle.525%,ETH.523%,SOL.609%,freshby<=300s;topaskUSD76.5/81/93.9 below212.7475venuepositioncap. Displayeddepth notentirebook, but fullcappurchasewouldneedadditionaldepthvalidation; potential29.4825ETHprobe belowdisplayedaskdepth atobservationonly. Conclusion zeroentrydespitehourlywatch; daily/hourlybothbacktested withoutrequiring identical returns fromdifferentpolicies. All36USD inventoryprevious03UTCcensusno20closebreakouts,toptenUSDC/USDG/BTC/ETH/XRP/LTC/SOL/LINK/HYPE/UNI,stablecoinsincluded; USDG3/7daysincomplete, volumevenue-specific, notglobal ranking. Fullbarhistory18panels9.13MB. Validity: completedprice/threshold arithmetic; soundness: quoteage/depth onlysnapshot, notguaranteedfill. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Premises1 27symbol/year/timeframepanelsfullypaginated; BTC/ETH984dailybars,SOL746; hourly23614/23614/17883missing4/4/7;15min94321/94326/71464missing151/146/96. 2 15mincoverage99.840/99.845/99.866%,butzero-volume21891/35494/32053andmaxgaps195/195/150min. 3 Pricebaravailabilityisnotexecutablequotehistory. Conclusion15minnextactualopenbacktestsarebettercadencediagnostics,notfillproof; usegapsandzero-volumeauditbeforeanyorder. Newdynamic+2Rbreakeven/absolute2ATRtrail alsodiffersfromstaticvenuepercentage trail andrequiresverifiedoff-runimplementation; no suchautomationauthorizedbycollectoroutput. Validity: donotfillmissingprices; soundness: historicalmarksandrecordedvolume maymisspotentialquoteexecutionbothways. Counterexamplezeroexecutedvolumedoesnotmeanzerobidaskliquidity. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots . Pandasmicrosecond.asi8labelbugfixedusingexplicitnsbeforepublishedmetrics. No risk added.

Premises1 scanned13209NASDAQ/otherlistingsecuritynames,165crypto-keywordmatches plusissuer-linkedSLE. 166barrequests,165with>=21bars,HBIT10bars;4staleBIXI/BIXIW/KOYNW/KOYNU. 2 LiquidityleadersMSTR128.56/prior20high144.92,IBIT43.68/46.37,IREN43.64/49.29,COIN172.28/195.85,BMNR24.20/26.91,ETHA18.56/19.135; no breakout. 3 OnlyrawsignalsWTIB36.3428>35.16,DAAQU11.76>11.50,KOYNW.236>.22; prior20mean$volume13478.91/4307.34/1536.41,KOYNWstaleSep9. Conclusion no liquidmajor-linkedentry; ETFWTIBbundlesoilandbitcoinusingleverage perissuer,notisolatedcryptoedge; units/warrantsdifferfromunderlyingandnoindependentnettests. Thisnewcensus reachesbeyondholdingsbutnamefilterisnotexhaustivebusinessclassification. Counterexampleaquietproductcanhaveunderlyingliquidity; executablequote/spreadandhistorywouldberequired,notsimplyassumedfromETFwrapper. Rejectallcurrentorders,retainBTC/ETHdirectwatch. Source https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.uscfinvestments.com/wtib .

Premises1 Sep10completeUTC dailyfalls BTC-2.2323%,ETH-1.2519%,SOL-2.9059%; closes76535.875/2436.8075/98.6025 remainaboveSMA50and200. 2 Prior20dayhighs82233.5025/2565.9/110.5357 exceedcurrentcloses; dailyandlatestcompletedhourlysignalsfalse. 3 ATR14percent2.98366/3.61184/5.04558%; a2ATRriskunitimpliesstopdistances5.9673/7.2237/10.0912%, targets6ATR17.902/21.671/30.273%gross. Conclusion bullishlongerregime can coexistwithshorterweakness; noactualentryorstopreset. Strongestbearcase loss ofrecent10daylows76222.3285/2355.79/97.132857 could extenddrawdown; thesearetechnicalcontext,notauthorizedstoporders. Soundness: range/sourceaggregation andmissinghours matter; target3Rgrossbelow3Rnetaftercosts, andtrailingpolicyunvalidated. 2026dailycorrelations .879–.912 mean3positionswould largely be one riskfactor. NohalfKellydeploymentwithoutpresentruleandsoundexecution. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

Premises: 1. Re-fetchedOct1,2024–Sep9,2026:709dailyrows each;17014/17014/17009 hourlyBTC/ETH/SOL, missing2/2/7hours. Excluded returnedSep10boundarybar explicitly. 2. Complete-day daily/hourly OHLC differs>.01bp on300/295/295days, max584.37/732.74/1014.05bp. 3. CoinbaseDec2 controls show suppliedopeningprice discrepancies619.22/792.95/1031.66bp, whileSep9maximumOHLCdifferences3.94/7.17/10.45bp. Conclusion: recentagreement cannot certifyhistory. Reconstructedstudies are sensitivitychecks, not approvedtruth; missing-dayfiltersalso alter sample. Counterexample: legitimate venueprice differences exist, so these samples alone do not identify faultowner; large oldopeningdifferences still undermine executable simulation. SOL429 recovered withslowerpagination; no syntheticfill. Independentcashchecks268baselineclosedrows matchvectorbtwithin4.51e-16. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles ; correspondingETH-USD/SOL-USD endpoints; observations21474–79/21552–54.

Premises: 1. The same frozen monthly entry condition and fixed ADR thresholds are observed either at daily closes or hourly closes, then filled at the next available open. 2. Supplied-history 2025 training daily/hourly returns are BTC+11.0372/+1.2896%, ETH-22.9129/-14.5782%, SOL-.5283/-2.0384%; counts7/6/4 unchanged. 3. BTC hourly cash mean+.2771% has bootstrapCI[-3.0491,+3.2910]%; ETH and SOL hourly means are negative. Conclusion: lower turnover alone does not produce robust executable entry evidence; BTC's positive daily headline is cadence-sensitive. Neither clock reproduces 15-minute stops or +1R partial/breakeven behavior. These are observation-model sensitivities, not stop-protected loss bounds. The strict reconstruction control changes eligibility, and matched masks eliminate portfolio-return construction differences; do not confuse that with a validated price history. No order, stop or target is recommended. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .

Premises1 2024Oct1–2026Sep9 downloaded709daily bars each,17014/17014/17009hourly;0duplicates,2/2/7missinghours. Only24hourdays compared.2 Every25offset(-12..12) comparison has bestmeanOHLCerror atUTC;2025max584.37/732.74/1014.05bpBTC/ETH/SOL remains.3 Dec2repeatdaily/hourlysame;minute aggregates reproduce hourlyOHLCV. Coinbase independent24hourcontrol opens86282.35/2798.25/126.65vsAlpacahourly86270.82/2798.84/126.67 (within2.11bp);supplieddaily91625.132/3020.1375/139.716 (619.22/792.95/1031.66bpfromCoinbase).4 No minute-open match or minute-tail volume match reproduces supplieddaily. Conclusion quarantine supplieddaily execution/range inputs on flaggeddates; simpletimezone,missing24hours,transientfetch and simpletail explanations fail. Inference: intradayopens more plausible onDec2,not proof everyhour correct. CounterexampleSOLhourlylow124.3vsCoinbase126 shows differingquotes/venueextrema; vendorcause unresolved,do not replace all history blindly. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles ; sameETH-USD,SOL-USD paths. Observations19902–16.

Premises1 CompletedSep9frozenpullbackall8true:BTCclose78283.41>SMA5070194.26,mom3-2.5641%;ETH2467.7>2137.79,-1.8981%;SOL101.5535>85.93,-4.6706%;LINKmom3-10.8443%,UNI-15.5985%.2 ADR20BTC2598.90USD/ETH101.55/SOL6.327/LINK.7850/UNI.5733; annualRV3047.84/74.19/65.21/83.69/115.49%,bigmovementsnotautomaticallyoverreaction.3 Localfreshquote7/10(rejectUNInegativeage),costrecoveryBTC.5225%,ETH.5449%,SOL.5914%,LINK.714%,UNI.7197%,LTC1.0881%; fees25bpeachside. Displayedmajoraskdepth78–96USDbelow212.75positioncap.4 Priortrend-followingfailed;newdaily/hourlypullbackoutcomespendingcannotauthorizeentrynow. Conclusionrange-basedfuturestop/targetmustbevalidatedwithentryandexits;do notconvertADRintoanorderbeforepayoffedge. Countercasesustaineduptrendwouldbenefitpullbacks,structuralbreakwouldamplifylosses. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-trading .