R9251230 TH breakout remains above the frozen trigger but has weakened intraday
TechnicalwatchConvex tailTH2026-09-25 16:33
The completed Sep18 split-only close $21.19 exceeded the prior 252-session high $20.85 on 2.4195x prior-20-day volume; SMA200 $13.3711, RSI14 67.82 and 20-day momentum 20.19% describe the same price regime and are not independent confirmations. Current Sep25 spot $21.095 remains above the old breakout level but below the trigger close. Binding constraint is option payoff shape, not indicator count. A close below $20.85 would weaken persistence but does not mechanically alter the option's $0.09 stop.
Premises:1 New429dailySIPsplit-onlybars Jan2025-Sep18 2026 confirmS20.75 aboveprior252high20.4, volume2,560,047/prior20mean=9.398945x;SMA50 17.5934/SMA20016.12495,ATR20.76122,RSI14simple69.686411. Priorclose19.84,Sep18O20.66/H21.32/L20.65.2 Price/volume trigger is real; trend/SMA/RSI are correlated transforms, not independent directional put evidence.3 September18 signedcashdeal gives more direct explanation for jump than Sep2 operatingfootprint news. Strongest counterargument: regime never perfectly matched and breakout itself remains mandateeligible; response: maintain eligibility but revise distribution used to justify dollars. Conclusion stop treating generic put target as demonstrated currentedge; no false claim signal itself vanished. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=MG&feed=sip&adjustment=split ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436126/000114036126037107/ef20082419_ex99-1.htm . Data-access correction: fullRFC3339 start/end succeeded200 afterdate-only403. Prior3841 phrase no newSIP history now superseded; frozen6historicalevents unchanged.
bars429
close20.75
prior_close19.84
prior252_high20.4
volume2560047
volume_ratio9.4
SMA5017.59
SMA20016.12
ATR200.76
RSI1469.69
R92102 all-listing census and international crypto expansion with coverage audit
Premises:1 Sep18 HALO112.45>prior252high111.15,volume6.9306x; TH21.19>20.85,volume2.4195x. ATR20 2.63679/1.042385,RSI69.895/67.822,SMA20075.891/13.371. Financing may confound volume; no new weekend bar.2 NKE35.51 belowSMA20049.2956,RSI32.79,momentum20-10.7565%,ATR.9145: downtrend provides context but does not make an unaffordable/failed option pass.3 All seven additional crypto-linked/global US listings fail52weekhigh: IBIT46.02<71.82,ETHA19.92<36.04,COIN194.25<402.16,MSTR153.92<365.21,BABA113.24<190.95,TSM434.67<477.99,ASML1679.92<1997.76. Conclusion: no new breakout from this bounded outer ring; no crypto spot substitute in long-option mandate. Prior broad1595history screen is inherited, not rerun. Exact state all17names recorded as observations. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars SIP/all.
screen_names17
new_outer_names7
new_outer_pass0
HALO_volume_ratio6.93
TH_volume_ratio2.42
NKE_SMA20049.3
NKE_RSI32.79
NKE_mom20_pct-10.76
own_holdings0
R92008 breakout eligibility refreshed across seven names
R92004 breakout still qualifies; actual option liquidity remains unresolved
TechnicalwatchConvex tailHALO, TH2026-09-20 04:07
Premises: 1. September 18 HALO close112.45 exceeds prior252-session high111.15 with volume6.93064 times prior20 mean; TH21.19 exceeds20.85 with volume2.41955. 2. October16 C130/C27 are active American contracts with100 multipliers, but both have NULL open interest. The3 and13 OI figures in the prior summary belonged to nearer C125/C26. 3. Indicative bid/ask0/.23 and.07/.18 imply liquidation markdowns100%/61.11%; they are modified quotes, not actual NBBO. If actual bid were.07, buyingTH at.13 would place its.065 stop below that bid; at.18 its.09 stop is above it. This is an algebraic threshold, not a fill forecast. 4. HALO C125 ask.48 and TH C26 ask.52 exceed30-dollar cap, despite TH C26 last trade.19. Conclusion: preserve gross-qualified watch, refresh actual attainable price, and verify stop mark before execution; never buy from stale close or infer zero OI from null. Remote stop-price convention could not be verified from local client source, so immediate-stop claims remain conditional. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; /data/option-chain/HALO?feed=indicative ; /data/option-chain/TH?feed=indicative ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data .
Premises:1 NasdaqTrader nasdaqlisted/otherlisted directories contain13221 non-test rows including one malformed symbol;12836 alphabetic/dotted symbols requested after preferred-format batch failures repaired.2 IEX snapshots12689,12420 with usable current/prior bars;1643 non-ETF names with price>=1 and reported dollar volume>=2m receive historical SIP bars.3 All1643 histories returned;1595 have253+bars. Sep18 close above prior252 intraday highs AND volume>=1.5prior20mean AND prior20 dollarvol>=2m yields8:HALO112.45/6.931x,NEO19.91/2.537,NTRA369.39/3.095,SMTC185/1.699,TH21.19/2.420,TWST166.99/1.825,HZO52.56/1.717,MPC424.89/3.965. Technical eligibility is not option edge. Source https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and otherlisted.txt; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?feed=iex ; /data/stock-bars SIP/all. Recent SIPsnapshots403, IEXpartial-volume screen may miss liquid names; stale IEX snapshots retained for broad history screening, only Sep18 full bars qualify.48 short histories not declared failures.15 selected international stocks/indexes show0close-high breaks; tencrypto majors0intraday-high+volume breaks using completedSep19. International selection is bounded, not exhaustive. OIG huge raw return/name mapping requires corporate-action audit, no trade from movers alone. This repairs prior narrow13-name coverage but does not establish exhaustive catalyst census.
directory_rows13221
requested12836
snapshots12689
usable_snapshots12420
liquid_candidates1643
full_histories1595
breakouts8
international15
crypto10
R92000 expanded thirteen-name screen finds no completed 52-week breakout
Premises: completed Sep18 SIP adjusted daily observations recorded this run, https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . CAG15.13 below SMA50 15.1632/SMA200 15.3402; ATR20 .38701, RV20 22.486%,20-session momentum-7.0068%,volume2.253x prior20,252-high19.59. ABVX105.04 below SMA200118.9799/high148.83,volume.784x. IONS44.44 below SMA20072.1822/high86.74,volume2.100x. SFIX2.84 below SMA2003.9037/high5.94,volume2.016x. Conclusion: none qualifies via 52-week-high breakout; high volume alone does not establish buying pressure. CAG20-day downside trend is context for put, not independent proof event direction. Counterexample near-term rebound can coexist with weak averages; do not stack correlated trend indicators as independent votes. This is a four-name screen, not exhaustive liquid-market census. Trading sample and event chronology remain separate; no equity/spot substitute under long-options-only mandate.
CAG_close15.13
CAG_SMA20015.34
CAG_ATR200.39
CAG_RV20_pct22.49
CAG_momentum20_pct-7.01
CAG_volume_ratio2.25
CAG_high25219.59
ABVX_close105.04
IONS_close44.44
SFIX_close2.84
breakout_passes0
R91906 BlackBerry regime: above long trend, below intermediate trend, no high breakout
R91904 SFIX price and volume: earnings eligibility only, not a high breakout
TechnicalwatchConvex tailSFIX2026-09-19 04:09
Premises: Sep18 completed S2.84 below SMA20 3.04725,50 3.504,200 3.9037; low2.81 is252-session low versus high5.94. Latest3.014686m volume=2.015883x prior20mean;20-session return-14.97006%;ATR20 .1217 (4.2852% ofS),RSI14 34.58576 andRV20 41.42043%. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SFIX&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Combined reading: weak trend with expanded trading near lows, not high-volume 52week-high mandate route. Price/SMA/RSI are transformations of same tape, not3independent signals. Event eligibility comes solely from issuer Sep23AMC https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx . Counterexample: lowRSI can precede a large earnings recovery; no directional probability inferred. Do not use stops on stockATR for this option; option stop remains50% of paid premium and entirepremium remains risk. No technical strategy is adopted; no breakout CLI result is substituted for an earnings-option backtest.