Notes

A research diagnostic was done on September 20, 2026, for the symbol LW. This is not based on actual trades or portfolio performance. The diagnostic used a 20-day lookback period, considered the holdout part, and accounted for 0.0005 slippage. The return was 2.56891216890001, the drawdown was 10.476429769689311, the win rate was 100, and the sample size was 1. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

A research diagnostic was done on September 20, 2026, for the symbol LW. This is not based on actual trades or portfolio performance. The diagnostic used 20 days of data for training, allowed for a slippage of 0.0015, and found a return of -42.1288720845598 and a drawdown of 49.8716977412859. The win rate was 25, based on a sample of 12. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

A research diagnostic was done on September 20, 2026, for the symbol LW. This is not based on actual trades or portfolio performance. The diagnostic results are as follows: the symbol is LW, the lookback period is 20, the part of the data used is for training, the slippage is 0.0005, the return is -40.72316244960492, the drawdown is 48.85903775433796, the win rate is 25, and the sample size is 12. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

A news scan found the headline 'LW R92006 historical option endpoint LW260821P00040000'. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The option details are as follows: the symbol is LW260821P00040000, it was released on 2026-07-24, and the entry date was 2026-07-09. The exit date was 2026-07-23, the spot entry price was 45.33, and the strike price was 40. The option expired on 2026-08-21. There were 9 available and 11 required, with an entry mark of 1 and an exit mark of 0.5. The return at the midpoint was -50 percent and the return after costs was -57.14285714285714 percent. This option was not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about the historical option endpoint LW260417P00035000. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The option details are as follows: the symbol is LW260417P00035000, it was released on 2026-04-01, the entry date was 2026-03-17, and the exit date was 2026-03-31. The spot entry price was 39.73, the strike price was 35, and the expiry date was 2026-04-17. There were 8 available and 11 required, with both an entry and an exit marked. The status is partial, the entry mark was 0.91, and the exit mark was 0.6. The return mid percentage was -34.065934065934066, and the return cost percentage was -42.70833333333335. This option is not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about a historical option endpoint for LW R92006. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The option details are as follows: the symbol is LW260116P00050000, released on 2025-12-19, with an entry date of 2025-12-04 and an exit date of 2025-12-18. The spot entry price was 59.52, the strike price was 50, and the expiry date was 2026-01-16. There were 6 available and 11 required, with both entry and exit marked, and a status of partial. The entry mark was 0.41 and the exit mark was 0.42, resulting in a return mid percentage of 2.4390243902439046 and a return cost percentage of -19.565217391304344, and it was considered affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about a historical option endpoint for LW R92006. The details are as follows: Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The option is for the symbol LW251017P00047500, which was released on 2025-09-30, entered on 2025-09-15, and exited on 2025-09-29. The spot entry price was 55.14, the strike price was 47.5, and the expiry date was 2025-10-17. There were 11 available and 11 required, with both entry and exit marked, and a status of partial. The entry mark was 0.47 and the exit mark was 0.42, resulting in a return mid percentage of -10.638297872340418 and a return cost percentage of -28.846153846153854. The option was not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline 'Measured2026-09-20; research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return.' It included data on the option LW250815P00042500, which has a symbol, release date of 2025-07-23, entry date of 2025-07-08, and exit date of 2025-07-22. The spot entry price was 49.33, the strike price was 42.5, and the expiry date was 2025-08-15. There were 11 available and 11 required, with an entry mark of 0.5 and an exit mark of 0.37. The return mid percentage was -26 and the return cost percentage was -41.81818181818182, and it was not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about the historical option endpoint LW250418P00042500 for LW R92006. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The details are as follows: the symbol is LW250418P00042500, the release date is 2025-04-03, the entry date is 2025-03-19, and the exit date is 2025-04-02. The spot entry price was 50.07, the strike price was 42.5, and the expiry date is 2025-04-18, with a status of no bars. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about the historical option endpoint LW250117P00065000 for LW R92006. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The option details are as follows: the symbol is LW250117P00065000, it was released on 2024-12-19, the entry date was 2024-12-04, and the exit date was 2024-12-18. The spot entry price was 75.03, the strike price was 65, and the expiry date is 2025-01-17. There were 10 options available, but 11 were required. The option did have an entry and an exit, and the status is partial. The entry mark was 0.81 and the exit mark was 0.6. The return at the midpoint was -25.92592592592593 percent, and the return after costs was -36.046511627906995 percent. This option is not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline 'Measured 2026-09-20'. This is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The details are as follows: the symbol is LW241018P00052500, the release date is 2024-10-01, the entry date is 2024-09-16, and the exit date is 2024-09-30. The spot entry price was 61.16, the strike price was 52.5, and the expiry date is 2024-10-18. There were 11 available and 11 required, with both entry and exit marked. The status is partial. The entry mark was 0.67 and the exit mark was 0.43. The return mid percentage was -35.82 and the return cost percentage was -47.22. This option is not affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline 'Measured 2026-09-20'. This is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The details are as follows: the symbol is LW240816P00065000, which was released on 2024-07-24, entered on 2024-07-09, and exited on 2024-07-23. The spot entry price was 75.21, the strike price was 65, and the expiry date was 2024-08-16. There were 10 available and 11 required, with an entry mark of 0.4 and an exit mark of 0.32. The return mid percentage was -20.000000000000007 and the return cost percentage was -40. The status is partial and it is considered affordable. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about a historical option endpoint for LW R92006. The details are as follows: the symbol is LW240419P00082500, the release date is 2024-04-04, the entry date is 2024-03-19, and the exit date is 2024-04-03. The spot entry price was 96.35, the strike price is 82.5, and the expiry date is 2024-04-19. The available amount is 0, the required amount is 11, and the status is partial, with no entry and no exit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about a historical option endpoint for LW R92006. Measured on 2026-09-20, this is a research diagnostic, not actual fills or portfolio return. The details are as follows: the symbol is LW240119P00082500, it was released on 2024-01-04, the entry date was 2023-12-18, and the exit date was 2024-01-03. The spot entry price was 97.53, the strike price was 82.5, and the expiry date was 2024-01-19. The status is listed as no bars. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A news scan found the headline about CSTM R92006 valuation sensitivity using July 29 guidance and September 18 price. The company has 135.527728 million shares, with a price of 25.55 dollars per share, resulting in a market capitalization of 3462.7334504 million dollars and an enterprise value of 5222.7334504 million dollars. The enterprise value to EBITDA guide midpoint is 5.2227334504. The floor yield percentage for free cash flow is 8.66367580113177 percent. The free cash flow conversion percentage for the first half of the year is 16.60839160839161 percent. The guidance for the second half of the year segment EBITDA is between 408 and 448 million dollars. The free cash flow needed for the second half of the year is 205 million dollars, with a ratio of free cash flow in the second half to the first half of 2.1578947368421053. The hurdle free cash flow at different yields is as follows: at a 7 percent yield, the hurdle free cash flow is 298.730671627351 million dollars, at an 8 percent yield, it is 341.4064818598297 million dollars, and at a 10 percent yield, it is 426.7581023247871 million dollars. A grid of possible free cash flows and yields shows the following prices: if the free cash flow is 200 million dollars, the price at a 7 percent yield is 21.08161111608731 dollars, at an 8 percent yield is 18.446409726576395 dollars, and at a 10 percent yield is 14.757127781261117 dollars, if the free cash flow is 300 million dollars, the price at a 7 percent yield is 31.62241667413096 dollars, at an 8 percent yield is 27.669614589864594 dollars, and at a 10 percent yield is 22.135691671891674 dollars, and if the free cash flow is 400 million dollars, the price at a 7 percent yield is 42.16322223217462 dollars, at an 8 percent yield is 36.89281945315279 dollars, and at a 10 percent yield is 29.514255562522234 dollars. Another grid of possible EBITDA and multiples shows the following prices: if the EBITDA is 720 million dollars, the price at a 5 times multiple is 13.576557558760227 dollars, at a 6 times multiple is 18.88912356001423 dollars, and at a 7 times multiple is 24.201689561268232 dollars, if the EBITDA is 1000 million dollars, the price at a 5 times multiple is 23.90654700564301 dollars, at a 6 times multiple is 31.285110896273565 dollars, and at a 7 times multiple is 38.663674786904124 dollars. The market capitalization to enterprise value ratio is in millions of dollars. The guide floor free cash flow is 300 million dollars, but this is not guaranteed cash. The yields of 7, 8, and 10 percent and the multiples of 5, 6, and 7 times are assumptions and not approved targets. The previous fiscal year segment EBITDA was 720 million dollars per the first quarter deck, and the guide midpoint is 1000 million dollars. The debt as of June 30 is not the same as the current debt as of September. The hurdle of 31.4886 is an arithmetic number, not a fair value. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1563411/000156341126000190/a2026-q2xearningspressre.htm

A simulation of CENX, which is a stock symbol, was run for the recent quarter using a policy called quarter_at2R_BE. This policy is a set of rules for buying and selling stocks. The simulation used 20,000 paths, which are like different possible outcomes, and had a stop loss of 66.33%, a target profit of 30.245%, and a timeout of 3.425%. The simulation also used a trim of 41.735%, which means that some trades were stopped early to limit losses. The average profit per share was 1.606397255146701, and the maximum affordable quantity was 3 shares. The simulation was observed on 2026-09-20. A regression analysis was done to compare the daily simple returns of CENX to the SPY, which is a stock market index, using a statistical method called OLS, or ordinary least squares, with an intercept. The simulation used a random seed of 92006, and had 20,000 paths per cell, 60 sessions, and 5-day blocks of open, high, low, and close prices. The simulation also included a 20 basis point slip, which is like a small fee, and an overnight gap stop, which is a rule to stop trading if the price changes too much overnight. The results of the simulation are based on a beta distribution, which is a way of modeling probabilities, with parameters of 1 and 1, and a win posterior, which is a measure of the probability of winning. The simulation compared the results of the quarter_at2R_BE policy to a policy called BE, or buy and hold, on the next day. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A simulation of the stock symbol CENX was recently run with a fixed policy. The simulation used 20,000 paths and had a stop percentage of 60.39%, a target percentage of 32.76%, a timeout percentage of 6.85%, and a trim percentage of 0%. The profit percentage was 38.56%. The mean profit and loss per share was $1.96, with a 1% chance of a loss of $6.07 per share and a 5% chance of a loss of $4.98 per share. There was a 95% chance of a profit of $13.66 per share. The maximum affordable quantity was 3. A news scan found the observation date to be 2026-09-20. A regression analysis was done using daily simple returns, comparing CENX to the SPY stock index, but no claims of causality or significance are made. The simulation used a beta of 1,1 and a win posterior. It also used 20,000 paths per cell, 60 sessions, and 5-day blocks of opening, high, low, and closing prices, with a 20 basis point cost per side and overnight gap stops. The simulation stopped on the first ambiguous intraday trade and used a 2R quarter then BE next day comparator. The unconditional model was not validated with live odds, and fractional trims would have exited the regular trading hours. A 15-minute venue path was not observed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A simulation for the stock symbol CENX was observed on 2026-09-20. The simulation used a long regime, meaning it was looking to buy and hold the stock, with a policy called quarter_at2R_BE, which means it aimed to make a certain amount of money over a quarter, then switch to a different strategy the next day. The simulation ran 20,000 paths, or possible scenarios, and used a stop loss, which is a rule to sell a stock when it falls by a certain percentage, in this case 71.8%. It also used a target percentage, which is a rule to sell a stock when it rises by a certain percentage, in this case 26.195%. The simulation found that the average profit per share was 0.7839162555960636, and the median number of days to complete a trade was 14. The simulation also found that the maximum number of shares that could be bought without exceeding a certain risk level was 3. A news scan found the headline was not available, but the simulation used a type of analysis called regression, which is a way of looking at how two things are related, in this case the daily returns of CENX and the SPY stock index. The simulation did not claim that one caused the other, just that they were related. The simulation also used something called bootstrap, which is a way of testing how well a model works by trying it many times, and something called beta, which is a measure of how much a stock's price moves compared to the overall market. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A simulation for the stock symbol CENX was run on September 20, 2026, with a long fixed policy. The simulation used 20,000 paths and had a stop percentage of 66.82%, a target percentage of 28.57%, and a timeout percentage of 4.61%. The results showed a profit percentage of 32.25% and a mean profit and loss share of 0.97. The maximum affordable quantity was 3. A regression analysis was also done, comparing the daily simple returns of CENX to the SPY stock symbol using a statistical method called ordinary least squares, or OLS, which is a way to find the best fit line. The simulation used a random number generator with a seed of 92006 and assumed 20,000 possible paths for each scenario, with 60 trading sessions and 5-day blocks of opening, high, low, and closing prices, or OHLC blocks. The simulation also accounted for overnight gaps and stop losses, with a 20 basis point, or 0.2%, cost per trade. The results were compared to a benchmark, with 2 times the return on the second day, and the performance was measured against a buy and hold strategy, or BE, the next day. The model used independent and identically distributed, or IID, data with 20,000 means and a beta distribution with parameters 1 and 1, which is a type of statistical distribution. The simulation did not claim to predict the future or show causality, and the results were not validated with live trading data. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A news scan found the headline about a simulation for the symbol CSTM, which is a stock ticker symbol, on 2026-09-20. The simulation used a policy called quarter_at2R_BE, which means it followed a certain set of rules for a quarter, then compared to a benchmark the next day. The simulation had 20000 paths, or possible outcomes, and used a stop loss, which is a rule to sell a stock when it falls by a certain percentage, of 64.725 percent. It also used a target percentage of 33.415 percent and a timeout percentage of 1.8599999999999999 percent. The trim percentage, which is the percentage of trades that are stopped, was 44.945 percent. The profit percentage was 46.915 percent. The mean profit and loss per share was 0.8587949744897898. The simulation also found that the maximum affordable quantity, or the most of the stock that could be bought, was 4. The results were observed on 2026-09-20. The simulation used a type of analysis called regression, which is a way of understanding the relationship between two things, to look at daily simple returns, which is a measure of how much a stock's price changes, compared to the SPY, which is a stock market index. The simulation did not claim that one thing caused another, and did not make any claims about significance, which is a measure of whether a result is due to chance. The simulation used a type of statistical analysis called bootstrap, which is a way of estimating how likely something is, and a type of probability distribution called beta, which is a way of understanding the likelihood of different outcomes. The simulation was run 20,000 times, and used a random number generator with a seed of 92006. The simulation used 60 sessions, which is a period of time, and 5-day blocks of open, high, low, and close prices, which are the prices of a stock at the start, highest point, lowest point, and end of a period of time. The simulation also used a 20 basis point, which is a unit of measurement for interest rates, per side, and accounted for overnight gaps, which is when a stock's price changes suddenly, and stop slip, which is when a stop loss is triggered. The simulation used a 2R quarter, which means it followed a certain set of rules for a quarter, and then compared to a benchmark the next day. The simulation did not validate live odds, which is a measure of how likely something is to happen, and did not use fractional trims, which is a way of stopping trades, that would exit during regular trading hours, and did not observe a 15-minute venue path, which is a period of time. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A simulation for the symbol CSTM was recently run with a fixed policy. The simulation used 20,000 paths and had a stop percentage of 58.675, a target percentage of 36.8, and a timeout percentage of 4.5249999999999995. The results showed a profit percentage of 40.81 and a mean profit and loss per share of 1.0728871754103801. The maximum affordable quantity was 4. This simulation was observed on 2026-09-20 and used a regression of daily simple returns, with no claim of causality or significance, compared to the SPY symbol. The simulation also used a beta distribution and overnight gap stops. The results are based on 20,000 paths per cell, 60 sessions, and 5-day blocks, with a 20 basis point cost per side. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A company called Lamb Weston, the primary issuer, reported financial results for the fiscal year that ended on May 31, 2026. The results showed operating cash flow of 942.9 million dollars and capital expenditures of 410.1 million dollars, which means the company's free cash flow was 532.8 million dollars. The growth in operating cash flow was 74.6 million dollars, including 55.1 million dollars from a favorable change in working capital. The company had 68.2 million dollars in cash and 1.28 billion dollars available from a revolver, but the revolver is not cash. For the next fiscal year, the company expects operating cash flow to be between 750 million dollars and 800 million dollars, and capital expenditures to be between 380 million dollars and 410 million dollars, which would result in free cash flow of between 340 million dollars and 420 million dollars. This would be a decrease of 36.19 percent to 21.17 percent compared to the previous fiscal year. The company also gave guidance on earnings per share, which is expected to be between 2.95 dollars and 3.25 dollars per diluted share, based on 137.5 million to 139 million diluted shares. The company's sales for the previous fiscal year were 6,612 million dollars, which includes 127.1 million dollars from a 53rd week. The next event is scheduled for October 6 at approximately 8 ET, with a release at 9 ET, and more information can be found on the company's website from September 8. This information comes directly from the company, which may be interested in presenting the information in a favorable way, and the guidance is not the actual result. https://news.lambweston.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lamb-weston-announces-q4-and-full-year-fiscal-2026-results

On 2026-09-20, a request for explicit OPRA feed returned a 403 error, indicating that the OPRA agreement is not signed. A default feed request returned a 200 response with a bid of 0.33 and an ask of 0.48, which is identical to the explicit indicative quote. However, the default feed does not establish an OPRA or executable Best Bid and Offer. The option_contracts data returns Open Interest and close prices, but does not include bid and ask prices. According to the documentation at https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data, indicative quotes are derived and trades are delayed. No order was attempted. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/LW?feed=opra

A news scan found the following data: a simulation for the stock symbol CSTM was observed on 2026-09-20. The simulation used a long regime and a policy called quarter_at2R_BE. This policy means the simulation first uses a 2R quarter strategy and then a break-even strategy the next day. The simulation had 20000 paths, a stop percentage of 72.605, a target percentage of 25.905, a timeout percentage of 1.49, and a trim percentage of 36.65. The profit percentage was 39.415. The mean profit and loss per share was 0.3011006561388332. The simulation also found the following percentiles for profit and loss per share: p01 was -3.3297562709988906, p05 was -2.080711453411382, and p95 was 5.262517531598313. The maximum affordable quantity was 4. The simulation used a type of statistical analysis called regression, specifically ordinary least squares, or OLS, with an intercept, to compare the stock's daily simple returns to those of the SPY stock, without claiming any causality or significance. The simulation also used a type of statistical method called bootstrap, which is a way of estimating how likely it is that a result is due to chance, and a type of probability distribution called beta, with parameters 1 and 1, to estimate the probability of winning after a trade. The simulation used 20,000 paths per cell, 60 sessions, and 5-day blocks of open, high, low, and close prices, with a 20 basis point cost per trade and overnight gap stops with slip, and stopped on the first ambiguous intraday trade. The unconditional model was not validated with live odds, and fractional trims would have exited the regular trading hours, but the fifteen-minute venue path was not observed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A simulation for the symbol CSTM was run with a long regime, fixed policy, and the following parameters: 20,000 paths, a stop percentage of 67.66, a target percentage of 28.59, a timeout percentage of 3.75, and a trim percentage of 0. The results showed a profit percentage of 31.75, a mean profit and loss per share of 0.3757279359885433, and a maximum affordable quantity of 4. The simulation was observed on 2026-09-20 and used a regression of daily simple returns with an intercept versus the SPY symbol, with no claim of causality or significance. The simulation used 20,000 paths per cell, 60 sessions, and 5-day OHLC blocks, with a stop loss and slip of 20 basis points per side, and overnight gap stops with intraday ambiguity resolved by stopping first. The results were compared to a 2R quarter and a next-day BE comparator. The unconditional model was not validated with live odds, and fractional trims would have exited the regular trading hours, but a fifteen-minute venue path was not observed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all