Notes

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":true,"compression":null,"stress":2,"period":"train","return":-13.8999311,"drawdown":16.5484369,"win_rate":42.8571429,"N":14,"mean_trade_pct":-1.04072297,"avg_win_pct":1.02801616,"avg_loss_pct":2.59227732,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":62.8819603,"exposure_pct":9.5890411},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":true,"compression":null,"stress":2,"period":"holdout","return":-5.69084479,"drawdown":5.69084479,"win_rate":60,"N":5,"mean_trade_pct":-1.13907889,"avg_win_pct":0.694803835,"avg_loss_pct":3.88990299,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":24.2703458,"exposure_pct":3.8}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":true,"compression":null,"stress":1,"period":"train","return":-13.1212067,"drawdown":15.835854,"win_rate":42.8571429,"N":14,"mean_trade_pct":-0.977022693,"avg_win_pct":1.08692687,"avg_loss_pct":2.52498486,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":63.172876,"exposure_pct":9.5890411},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":true,"compression":null,"stress":1,"period":"holdout","return":-5.40735046,"drawdown":5.44498759,"win_rate":60,"N":5,"mean_trade_pct":-1.07950618,"avg_win_pct":0.762022917,"avg_loss_pct":3.84179984,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":24.3091388,"exposure_pct":3.8}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":1,"stress":2,"period":"train","return":-9.93081259,"drawdown":13.3731746,"win_rate":50,"N":12,"mean_trade_pct":-0.848644886,"avg_win_pct":0.74071921,"avg_loss_pct":2.43800898,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":54.6069459,"exposure_pct":8.76712329},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":1,"stress":2,"period":"holdout","return":-14.5241971,"drawdown":15.1383716,"win_rate":37.5,"N":8,"mean_trade_pct":-1.91056074,"avg_win_pct":1.2065935,"avg_loss_pct":3.78085329,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":37.3067696,"exposure_pct":7.2}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":1,"stress":1,"period":"train","return":-9.20709637,"drawdown":13.0259079,"win_rate":50,"N":12,"mean_trade_pct":-0.782486623,"avg_win_pct":0.799486127,"avg_loss_pct":2.36445937,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":54.8314792,"exposure_pct":8.76712329},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":1,"stress":1,"period":"holdout","return":-14.1172068,"drawdown":14.7769599,"win_rate":37.5,"N":8,"mean_trade_pct":-1.85200182,"avg_win_pct":1.28248775,"avg_loss_pct":3.73269556,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":37.3890216,"exposure_pct":7.2}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":0.75,"stress":2,"period":"train","return":-8.28313315,"drawdown":9.13610071,"win_rate":33.3333333,"N":6,"mean_trade_pct":-1.41686292,"avg_win_pct":0.438101461,"avg_loss_pct":2.34434511,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":28.5934234,"exposure_pct":4.38356164},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":0.75,"stress":2,"period":"holdout","return":-10.479771,"drawdown":10.479771,"win_rate":25,"N":4,"mean_trade_pct":-2.70378912,"avg_win_pct":0.927645403,"avg_loss_pct":3.91426729,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":18.7985007,"exposure_pct":3.6}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":0.75,"stress":1,"period":"train","return":-7.91539263,"drawdown":8.81734872,"win_rate":33.3333333,"N":6,"mean_trade_pct":-1.35106322,"avg_win_pct":0.488370781,"avg_loss_pct":2.27078023,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":28.6499258,"exposure_pct":4.38356164},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":0.75,"stress":1,"period":"holdout","return":-10.2555894,"drawdown":10.2555894,"win_rate":25,"N":4,"mean_trade_pct":-2.64247635,"avg_win_pct":1.02862359,"avg_loss_pct":3.86617634,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":18.8204028,"exposure_pct":3.6}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":null,"stress":2,"period":"train","return":-13.8999311,"drawdown":16.5484369,"win_rate":42.8571429,"N":14,"mean_trade_pct":-1.04072297,"avg_win_pct":1.02801616,"avg_loss_pct":2.59227732,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":62.8819603,"exposure_pct":9.5890411},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":null,"stress":2,"period":"holdout","return":-19.6411791,"drawdown":20.2185862,"win_rate":41.6666667,"N":12,"mean_trade_pct":-1.77680295,"avg_win_pct":0.955309318,"avg_loss_pct":3.72831171,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":53.5285438,"exposure_pct":9.6}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ComputedSep8 06:11UTC correctedentry-bar/exactfees model. Frozen note968;2025train/2026Jan1–Sep7holdout;nextopen,ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget,+1Rhalf/BE,5dayhorizon,stopfirstbarambiguity. 25bpfee eachside; slipstress1=5bpmajors/30bpXRP-LTC/15bpUNI-LINK,stress2doubles. Results [{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":null,"stress":1,"period":"train","return":-13.1212067,"drawdown":15.835854,"win_rate":42.8571429,"N":14,"mean_trade_pct":-0.977022693,"avg_win_pct":1.08692687,"avg_loss_pct":2.52498486,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":1.13686838e-13,"buyhold_pct":-6.3109966,"fees_usd":63.172876,"exposure_pct":9.5890411},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","tf":"1Day","trend":false,"compression":null,"stress":1,"period":"holdout","return":-19.0967872,"drawdown":19.718287,"win_rate":41.6666667,"N":12,"mean_trade_pct":-1.72133211,"avg_win_pct":1.02098168,"avg_loss_pct":3.68012768,"quarter_kelly":0,"boundary_exits":0,"reconciliation_usd":2.27373675e-13,"buyhold_pct":-9.61774125,"fees_usd":53.7018408,"exposure_pct":9.6}]. Return/drawdown/winrate/means inpercent;Nexcludesboundaryforcedexit. Barresolution is not15minvenuevalidation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":1.0405814486,"range":0.0582888275,"rv":0.0466002907,"close":12.75,"threshold":13.345}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":1.0330532411,"range":0.0475412422,"rv":0.0341856863,"close":55.20535,"threshold":55.4165}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":17,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":1.1808016779,"range":0.1050474232,"rv":0.0561463447,"close":6.85844,"threshold":7.4795}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":0.7231207079,"range":0.0532075185,"rv":0.0546302833,"close":1.397,"threshold":1.70007}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":0.5819727742,"range":0.0578684571,"rv":0.0393011942,"close":103.8095,"threshold":110.5357}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":0.5973681804,"range":0.0375106385,"rv":0.0444551197,"close":2490.4615,"threshold":2565.9}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

CollectedSep8 06:03UTC; 2024Sep1–2026Sep7, currentpartialdayexcluded. Audit {"bars":737,"expected":737,"missing":0,"missing_first":[],"duplicates":0,"zero_volume":0,"invalid_ohlc":0,"first":"2024-09-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"}. Indicators {"breakout":false,"trend":true,"compression":0.9088984437,"range":0.0301384217,"rv":0.0288968004,"close":79096.805,"threshold":82233.502538071}. AllpricesUSD; compression prior5/20logreturnstd, trendSMA100, thresholdprior20high,rangeADR14fraction. Present-dayuniverse survivorship limitation; zero-volume bars may be syntheticquotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

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 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

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