Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
19:43 SCE direct retrieval confirms prior release = 3.2
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline '19:43 SCE direct retrieval confirms prior release'. This refers to a direct retrieval of data from the Survey of Consumer Expectations, which is a survey of about 1300 household heads. The data was released on September 8 and was collected from August 3 to 31. The survey found that the expected inflation rate over the next year is 3.6%, over the next three years is 3.2% (which is a decrease of 0.1 percentage points), and over the next five years is 3%. The probability of unemployment rising is 44.4% (an increase of 1.6 percentage points), and the probability of losing one's own job is 13.8% (a decrease of 0.4 percentage points). Note that these questions ask about expectations, not actual employment or cryptocurrency flows, and the data comes from a primary publishing agency, which means it is the original source of the information. https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/research/2026/20260908
19:43 Python derived statistics = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A data scan found the following statistics: there were 21 checks, all of which were complete, and 1 passed. The expectancy percentage is -0.6502808859016391, and the quarter Kelly is 0. The own return percentage is -0.08099021255949523. The credit monthly flow is 18.058333333333334 billion, and the credit monthly rate percentage is 0.35000000000000003. The open interest change since 1900 percentages are -0.4311358111014574, -0.05071308975881372, and -0.03027786418553502. backtest1112 ; query_trades fund=crypto ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
LINK/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: on September 8, 2026, between 16:00 and 18:00 UTC, the automated trading fund manager checked the price of LINK/USD every hour to see if it was higher than its high price in the 24 hours before. The results were: at 16:00, the price was 12.746, which is lower than the prior high of 12.966, so it did not pass the check; at 17:00, the price was 12.6755, which is also lower than the prior high of 12.966, so it did not pass the check; and at 18:00, the price was 12.634, again lower than the prior high of 12.966, so it did not pass the check. This check is part of a larger set of rules, looking at 25-hour windows, one after the other, and is a necessary condition, but not the only one, for the fund manager to make a decision. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
LTC/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: on September 8, 2026, between 16:00 and 18:00 UTC, the automated trading fund manager checked the hourly close prices of LTC/USD against the prior 24-hour high. The results were as follows: at 16:00, the close price was 54.4824, the prior high was 56.20325, and the check did not pass. At 17:00, the close price was 54.1991, the prior high was 56.20325, and the check did not pass. At 18:00, the close price was 53.9722, the prior high was 56.20325, and the check did not pass. This check is part of a full pagination, using contiguous 25-hour windows, and is a necessary condition, but not a full qualification or a new backtest. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
UNI/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: on September 8, 2026, between 16:00 and 18:00 UTC, the UNI/USD trading pair completed hourly checks to see if it reached a high price in the prior 24 hours. The results were as follows: at 16:00, the close price was 6.8579 and the prior high was 7.185655, so it did not pass the check. At 17:00, the close price was 6.83865 and the prior high was still 7.185655, so it did not pass. At 18:00, the close price was 6.820755 and the prior high was still 7.185655, so it did not pass. This was a full check of all the data, looking at 25-hour periods one after the other, but it was only checking one condition, not all the rules, and not testing a new strategy. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
XRP/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: on September 8, 2026, between 16 and 18 UTC, the XRP/USD trading pair completed hourly checks to see if it reached a high price in the prior 24 hours. The results were as follows: at 16:00 UTC, the price closed at 1.43581, which is higher than the prior high of 1.435, so it passed the check. At 17:00 UTC, the price closed at 1.42703, which is lower than the prior high of 1.45296, so it did not pass. At 18:00 UTC, the price closed at 1.4304, which is also lower than the prior high of 1.45296, so it did not pass. This check is part of a full pagination process that looks at contiguous 25-hour windows, and it is a necessary condition, but not the only condition, for a full-rule qualification or a new backtest. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: between 16:00 and 18:00 UTC on September 8, 2026, the SOL/USD trading pair was checked every hour to see if its closing price was higher than its highest price in the 24 hours before that hour. This is called a prior 24-hour high check, which is a condition where the current price must be higher than the highest price in the last 24 hours. The results were: at 16:00, the price was 104.16, which is lower than the prior high of 104.84193323, so it did not pass; at 17:00, the price was 103.685, also lower than the prior high, so it did not pass; and at 18:00, the price was 103.36, again lower than the prior high, so it did not pass. These checks were done in full pagination, meaning all the data was considered, and in contiguous 25-hour windows, meaning the data was looked at in continuous 25-hour blocks. This was a necessary condition check, which means it was only one part of a larger set of rules, and not a full qualification or a new test of the rules. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: on September 8, 2026, between 16:00 and 18:00 UTC, the ETH/USD trading pair completed hourly checks to see if it reached a high price in the prior 24 hours. The results were as follows: at 16:00, the close price was 2496.8 and the prior high was 2506.55, so it did not pass the check. At 17:00, the close price was 2488.115 and the prior high was still 2506.55, so it did not pass. At 18:00, the close price was 2486.334 and the prior high was 2506.55, so it did not pass. This check is part of a full pagination, which means looking at all the data, and uses contiguous 25-hour windows, meaning each 25-hour period is looked at one after the other. This is a necessary condition, which means it is one of the requirements, but not the full rule, and not a new backtest, which is a test of a trading strategy using historical data. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Sep8 16–18UTC completed hourly prior24high checks
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data: between 16 and 18 UTC on September 8, 2026, the automated trading fund manager checked the price of Bitcoin versus the US Dollar, also known as BTC/USD, every hour to see if it met a certain condition. This condition, called a prior 24-hour high check, looks at the highest price from the previous 24 hours, which is 79480.805 in this case. The results were: at 16:00 UTC, the price was 78734.134 and did not meet the condition; at 17:00 UTC, the price was 78489.4225 and also did not meet the condition; and at 18:00 UTC, the price was 78426.65, again not meeting the condition. This check is part of a larger process that looks at 25-hour windows of time and is a necessary condition, but not the only factor, in deciding what to do next. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
INBX QTR9081940 issuer notice recheck
Quant replication2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the issuer notice for INBX, which was last updated on September 8 at 19:42 UTC. The latest listing remains the same as the September 8 readout, which followed a webcast on September 4 and results on August 13. This listing is not a complete proof that there is no other news. The sponsor released direct information with promotional framing, which included results from a study with a cutoff date of August 19, involving 68 randomized patients, 63 of whom were evaluable, with 29 in a combination group and 34 in a control group. The overall response rate was 48.3% versus 26.5%, and the progression-free survival was 9.6 months versus 4.9 months, but these results are still maturing. There are plans to expand the study to include approximately 50 patients with HPV+, and the company is working on alignment with the FDA for future plans, but this does not mean approval. The information comes from the same source as the company's deck and news syndication, and is not independent confirmation. The clinical edge for the stock remains unvalidated. https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases ; https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/2026-09-08-Inhibrxs-INBRX-106-Nearly-Doubles-Response-Rate-and-Achieves-Interim-Median-PFS-of-9-6-months-in-Phase-2-HNSCC-Study
QTR9081940 ledger, collectors and frozen expectancy = 0
Quant replication2026-09-08 19:43
On September 8 at 19:41, a query closed three positions: SNOW9, DELL7, and GTLB1, which were all liquidated by the operator. There were no open, pending, or closing positions. The Quantcash account had $245.69 and the total account value was $850.99. The position cap was $212.75 and the risk was 8.51%. The frozen managed out-of-sample return was -20.22%, the maximum drawdown was 30.98%, and there were 59 trades with 28 wins and 31 losses, and a win rate of 1.76% and a loss rate of 2.27%. All 18 variants had negative results. The Python expectancy was -0.36% and the raw quarter Kelly was -0.05%. The latest job run at 19:00 had 2 remaining tasks and was scheduled to run again at 19:30, but this run was unverified. The script cutoff was 19:40, so any executions after this time would not capture the close. The latest data from 19:00 included 3 complete issuer rows and 42 remaining rows. Additionally, 85 headlines from 16:30 were partially processed, with 27 remaining, and 15 headlines from 02:30 had no eligible entries. There were no new backtests run. runway query_trades/query_research/list_jobs fund=quant; saved analyses1172/1198/1220
INBX QTR9081940 full returned delayed session path = 117.61
Quant replication2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the data line for INBX QTR9081940 full returned delayed session path. The data shows 299 entries, but 56 times are missing through the last entry at 19:24, and 57 times are missing through the requested time of 19:25, including the trailing time of 19:25, with no fill-forward. The missing entries may be due to no eligible trades or provider issues, but the cause is unknown. The first-minute open was 117.22, which is not authenticated by an auction, and the raw SIP, or Securities Information Processor, was delayed and did not provide executable fills. The last entry was at 19:24 with a price of 117.61, and the low and high prices were 94.0001 and 120.1825, respectively. The volume was 1278209, and the percentage change from the open was 0.3327, from the low was 25.117, and the close path drawdown percentage was 19.629. The percentage change from Friday was -2.938. The data was retrieved at 19:41:58 UTC on September 8, 2026. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=INBX%2CSPY&feed=sip&timeframe=1Min&start=2026-09-08T13%3A30%3A00Z&end=2026-09-08T19%3A25%3A58.675123%2B00%3A00&adjustment=raw&limit=10000
AVO Frozen expectancy Python recalculation = -1.2125949646
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 19:43
On September 8 at 19:42, a Python calculation was made. This calculation used a probability of 0.5, a win percentage of 1.3184425721%, and a loss percentage of 3.7436325013%. The calculation found that the expected value was -1.2125949646%. Another part of the calculation, which is a way to measure risk, was 0. Prior to this, from December 15 to November 15, the strategy was tested and found to have a return of -7.3318145933% and a maximum drawdown of 9.3719609469%. All 16 variations of the strategy had negative results. There was a cost of 10 basis points fee plus 10 basis points slippage on each side of the trade. This calculation did not use new data or quotes, and the technical and simulation data was frozen from a prior time. A news scan found the headline was not available, this is a raw script output. runway:query_research?fund=catalyst&kind=analyses&symbol=AVO ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
GIS September8 issuer guidance reaffirmation
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline that on September 8, General Mills reaffirmed its annual guidance. The company provided a business update at the 2026 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference. For fiscal year 2027, General Mills expects organic sales to be between -1.5% and +0.5%, and constant currency adjusted operating profit to be between -13% and -8%, which includes a 9-point comparability headwind. The company also expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $3 and $3.2, and free cash flow conversion to be 95%. The sales comparability effect is expected to be approximately -4%, and restructuring and integration costs are expected to be between $80 and $85 million. The company will hold a conference on September 8 at 15 ET and a Q&A session on September 23 at 8 CT. A website note said that dynamic indexes are empty and event requests are not available, and a replay of the conference was not reviewed. This notice is not a complete coverage of the company's filings. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260908596763/en/
AVO Preclose primary timing recheck
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 19:43
A notice was retrieved on September 8 at 19:41, from the RSS feed https://investors.missionproduce.com/rss/news-releases.xml, which was last updated at 19:42:15 UTC. The issuer, as of August 25, still confirmed that there would be a release after the close on September 8, with a 17:00 ET call to discuss the fiscal third quarter that ended on July 30. The latest notice in the RSS feed was from August 25, and there were no newer results in this feed, although this does not necessarily mean there were no newer results elsewhere. The same origin does not provide independent confirmation. The window to enter trades before the prior session has passed, and no same-day trading rule was validated. https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-release-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-financial
19:40 ledger and off-run coverage audit = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 19:43
On September 8, from 19:41 to 19:42 UTC, a direct read showed 0 open, pending, or closing jobs, and 3 closed jobs. There were 20 armed own monitors with none due through 21 UTC. The earliest job for CHWY is scheduled for September 9 at 12 UTC. There were 5 active jobs, numbered 48, 52, 67, 75, and 80, all with a last exit of 0. Full outputs were checked and are present. The latest actual times were 17:16 for job 52 and 19:00 for job 80, which was not the expected time of 18:45. The FDA status for job 80 was 200, with a date present, 0 matching links, and the output was not truncated, but this is not an exhaustive check for absence. The next run times are 20:00 for job 48, 20:15 for job 75, before 21 UTC, and then 21:15 for job 52, 23:00 for job 80, and September 9 at 00:30 for job 67. The static reminders for AVO, LOVE, SFIX, and GIS remain unarmed. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst ; runway:list_monitors?fund=catalyst ; runway:list_jobs?fund=catalyst
BTC/USD 19:43 headline primary-source date mismatch
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD 19:43' with a primary-source date mismatch. A search for information about a September 8 tanker attack found a release from a primary military participant dated September 5, which described 3 Iranian tankers being struck on September 5. This release is from an interested conflict participant and not independent corroboration. It cannot be used to authenticate a supplied September 8, 19:19, i24 current-strikes headline. The new September 8 event remains unverified in this bounded search, and the absence of information here does not disprove it. No price action has been attributed to this event and no trade has been authorized. https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4591744/centcom-destroys-3-irgc-oil-tankers-after-iran-targets-2-us-navy-warships/
19:42 issuer shares remain September4 baseline
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
The shares of IBIT1384960000 and ETHA464560000 remain at the September 4 baseline as of 19:42. This means that, as of September 4, the number of shares for both has not changed, with no new shares being created or redeemed. The primary issuer is working closely with the fund's accounting team, taking into account commercial interest. Just because the retrieved values have not changed, it does not mean that there were no transactions on September 8. The corporate-action normalization process for ETHA will continue to be monitored, specifically gate 37. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf
Sep8 G19 release covering July2026 = 4.2
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
On September 8, at 19:42 UTC, the primary statistical publishing agency released data for July 2026. The total growth rate for the month was 4.2% on an annualized basis, with revolving credit growing at 2.5% and non-revolving credit growing at 4.8%. The total annualized flow was 216.7 billion USD, which is equivalent to 18.0583 billion USD per month. The outstanding total was approximately 5186.2 billion USD, up from 5168.1 billion USD in June. The July data is preliminary, while the June data has been revised to show 3.4% annual growth. To put this in perspective, the annual growth rate of 4.2% translates to approximately 0.35% per month. This data represents the household credit stock and borrowing, and does not include crypto purchasing or causal risk signals. It also excludes loans secured by real estate, which is a standard benchmark. https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/
BTC/USD 19:42 Liquid custody and operator evidence
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline related to a crypto fund, which is for research only and not eligible, as of 2026-09-08T19:41:59.819634+00:00. The source of this information is https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The recipient has 598.49989509 confirmed bitcoin and 0.00021464 mempool net bitcoin, with 229 transactions. The reserve has 3597.47201026 confirmed bitcoin and 0.0 mempool net bitcoin, with 584 transactions. There are two controlled transactions, one with id 1d690f3b96b878067f3a445b74dfb8fab4201c0455d88ac98cc14a927e7858d7 and the other with id 7c0fb4ffff35bf9894211d3c97abbb58fc127573a1805880103dd19e40528523, both with a block time of 1788877531. The recent page number is 42, with 3 controlled transactions, and the page is not a complete history. The liquid tip is 4051232, with a time of 1788756550, and an age of 139970 seconds, with 1 transaction. The second tip is 4050335, with an age of 193790 seconds, and the source is https://liquid.network/api/blocks. A note from the operator says that balance movement is not proof of sale or recovery, and block production is not restored pegouts. The operator source is https://x.com/Blockstream, with an http status of 200, and 1 parsed note, which is relevant. The operator text has a sha256 of 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b, and says that following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream and the Liquid Federation have been working to resolve the situation and ensure the return of assets. The operator will continue to provide updates as progress is made, but this is an attributed claim, not payout proof, so no automatic trade will be made. https://x.com/Blockstream ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks
19:42 clock-calibrated funding and OI
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline about a fund that trades with cryptocurrency, which is for research only and is not eligible, meaning it does not meet the requirements, with a failed funding rule that remains reject. The sources of this information are the Okx website, specifically the public time, funding rate, and open interest pages. The clock offset, which is the difference between the local clock and the reference clock, is 0.218 seconds, with an uncertainty of 0.2995 seconds and a round trip time, which is the time it takes for data to travel from the source to the destination and back, of 0.5891 seconds. The data for Bitcoin, or BTC, shows that the funding rate, which is the rate at which a trader pays or receives for holding a position, is not eligible, with a forecast of 0.307532 and a settlement field of 0.640084, and the funding time is 1788912000000. The open interest, which is the total number of outstanding contracts, for Bitcoin is 2768830.6900000072 contracts, 27688.306900000072 coins, and 2170981998.5845156453688 US dollars. The data for Ethereum, or ETH, shows that the funding rate is not eligible, with a forecast of 0.383867 and a settlement field of 0.560016, and the funding time is 1788912000000. The open interest for Ethereum is 6084788.6100000197 contracts, 608478.86100000197 coins, and 1510694807.3591448909978 US dollars. The data for Solana, or SOL, shows that the funding rate is not eligible, with a forecast of -0.341401 and a settlement field of -0.000283, and the funding time is 1788912000000. The open interest for Solana is 2841380.86000000281 contracts, 2841380.86000000281 coins, and 293173677.1348002899358 US dollars. The coverage is 6 out of 6 and the data is fresh, but the eligibility is 0, meaning none of the data meets the requirements. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time
Live consolidated feed entitlement = 403
Supply chain2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the headline 'Sep 8 ~19:41:40 UTC request six symbols returns subscription does not permit querying recent SIP data. Historical access not current executable NBBO.' https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?feed=sip
19:42 ten-pair timestamped quotes, depth and fee hurdles
Crypto majors2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the following data line: fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots. The following quotes were recorded: BTC at 2026-09-08T19:41:52.526816449Z with a bid price of 78432.3 and an ask price of 78442.9, ETH at 2026-09-08T19:41:09.13187473Z with a bid price of 2482.825 and an ask price of 2483.495, SOL at 2026-09-08T19:41:16.105153998Z with a bid price of 103.21 and an ask price of 103.3, USDC at 2026-09-08T18:54:11.181608598Z with a bid price of 0.9995 and an ask price of 1.00001, USDG at 2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z with a bid price of 0.99999 and an ask price of 1.00001, XRP at 2026-09-08T19:41:46.325286437Z with a bid price of 1.423 and an ask price of 1.42848, UNI at 2026-09-08T19:41:53.728426612Z with a bid price of 6.772 and an ask price of 6.7875, LTC at 2026-09-08T19:41:24.360009489Z with a bid price of 54.1338 and an ask price of 54.45, USDT at 2026-09-08T19:00:19.542349404Z with a bid price of 0.99907 and an ask price of 0.99979, and LINK at 2026-09-08T19:41:19.729291697Z with a bid price of 12.5861 and an ask price of 12.608. The term 'bid' refers to the price at which someone is willing to buy, and 'ask' refers to the price at which someone is willing to sell. The'spread' is the difference between the bid and ask prices, and 'basis points' or 'bp' is a unit of measurement for the spread. The 'loss percentage' and'recovery percentage' are calculations of potential losses and recoveries. The 'fresh' indicator shows if the data is recent, with 1 being recent and 0 being not recent. The 'age' is the time elapsed since the data was recorded. The 'bd' and 'ad' values represent the total bid and ask amounts. The 'fresh_valid' indicator shows that 7 out of 10 quotes are recent. Funding and trading rules remain independently gated, and no orders were placed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
Supply ledger and caps = 278.67
Supply chain2026-09-08 19:43
On September 8 at 19:41, a query of trades showed only two closed trades, FRO6 and STNG3, with no open, pending, or closing trades. The user's account had an equity of $850.99, which was all in cash, with $278.67 available for deployment, a position cap of $212.75, and a risk cap of $8.51. Two trades were closed due to operator liquidation, not because they reached a target or stop price, and the average loss or slippage is unknown, where slippage refers to the difference between expected and actual trade prices. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
Collector79 complete output review at19:30 = 8
Supply chain2026-09-08 19:43
A news scan found the note: Note1181 dated September 8 at 19:30:34 UTC. It said the system ended with 8 panels. The following sources were accessible: Maersk, Typhoon, Hapag, SeaIntel, WH, and Canada, but there was a challenge with Bombardier that was 83 characters long. The system had exact data with 8K rows from August 7 and August 4 only. The note explained that changed hashes did not represent new incidents, but rather partial source and all-form coverage. The note also stated that there was no new evidence of aircraft policy in the output. https://www.maersk.com/news
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