Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
OPEN910 flat exposure and coverage audit = 0
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
The automated trading fund manager reported that only two supply trades, FRO6 and STNG3, were closed, and these were due to operator liquidations. There are no open, pending, or closing trades. The fund's current status is as follows: cash is 278.67, account balance is 850.99, capital is 212.7475, and risk is 8.5099. There are five active jobs with identifiers 12, 18, 36, 73, and 173. The last job, 173, ended at 13:45, and the next jobs are scheduled for 14:45 and 15:45 before 16:30. The manager also noted a challenge with Bombardier and an error with CENTCOM, as well as a helium 36 AI.PA 403 issue and a MOFCOM timeout. No duplicate job is needed. query_trades fund=supply; list_jobs fund=supply; user 2026-09-10T13:50 account snapshot
OPEN910 actual August PPI replaces stale July route = 0.4
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
A news scan found the headline about the August Producer Price Index, which was released on September 10. The release was embargoed until 8:30 ET, and it was verified on a browser from 13:53 to 13:56 UTC on September 10. The final demand increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 5.4% year-over-year, while the final demand excluding food, energy, and trade increased by 0.3% and 4.7% respectively. The goods price index increased by 1.1%, the services price index increased by 0.1%, the transportation and warehousing index increased by 2.3%, and the truck freight index increased by 2.0%. The trade index decreased by 0.2%, and the fuels and lubricants retail margins decreased by 11.3%. The intermediate processed goods price index increased by 1.8% month-over-month and 11.5% year-over-year, the processed energy goods price index increased by 7.3%, and the diesel price index increased by 24.1%. The processed goods price index excluding food and energy increased by 0.5% month-over-month. The data for April to July was revised, with the July final demand increasing by 0.1% and the June demand decreasing by 0.1% in the current vintage, but the revision deltas were not measured. It was noted that different baskets cannot be subtracted to calculate company margin. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
TSM OPEN910 August revenue unchanged browser verification = 514806
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
From September 10 at 13:56, a browser table showed that for August 2026, TSM had revenue of NT$514,806 million, which is an increase of 53.3% from the same time last year. In July, the revenue was NT$467,580 million. For the year to date, the revenue is NT$3,386,870 million, which is an increase of 39.3%. This information is not yet audited, meaning it has not been officially verified. There were 403 direct requests, but the browser table was available. No correction or new information about cash was found on the checked page. https://investor.tsmc.com/english/monthly-revenue/2026
QTR9101350 collector183 complete;85 overdue atinspection = 3
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
The collector183 process is complete with 183 tasks done and 0 tasks left. The actual completion time was 13:15:44, with a payload time of 13:15:52, and the process ended successfully with 3 panels. A prior process completed at 12:45. A local exact script test was run at 13:52:04 and exited successfully. The AVAV701acbd7ad08FTKbbdd0666457aLOVEab7020afb5ec links were selected and remained unchanged, with no file identity proof. Job 85 was last actual at 09:45, and the next scheduled time is 13:45, but it was still listed at 13:51, with 17 tasks left and no completion seen at 13:45. Job 15 is active with 54 tasks left, and the next scheduled time is September 11 at 02:45, with all rank eligibility set to 0, and there is no catch-up monthly entry. list_jobs(fund=quant); query_research(fund=quant,kind=notes); https://ir.flotekind.com/presentations?cat=7
FTK OPEN910 unchanged conference forecast and generation pause = 40
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
From September 10 at 13:56, the direct 200 narrative stated that H2 international was expected to be more than $40 million, compared to $12.6 million in H1. There was an initial pause in generation due to infrastructure delays, and discussions about Phase 2 were ongoing. No paid Saudi invoices were verified, and there were no restart or standby billings with a verified signature. The Securities and Exchange Commission's latest 8K filing was on September 9, and the investor relations latest guidance was also on September 9. The presentation deck repeated the old pause, and the August 6 Q2 filing date was retained. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/928054/000092805426000087/ex992-lakestreetinvestor.htm
QTR9101350 ledger and saved expectancy arithmetic = 0
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
The Freshledger3 is closed with 0 open, pending, or closing transactions. The exact returns calculated using Python are as follows: SNOW had a return of -5.39236448%, DELL had a return of 7.93994131%, and GTLB had a return of -5.13049905%. The win rate was 1/3, with a win percentage of 7.93994% and a loss percentage of 5.26143%, resulting in a mean return of -0.860974%. The quarter Kelly percentage is 0. All operator liquidations were not planned exits, and slippage and stop hit rates are not identifiable. The saved gap is 2222 with a p-value of 0.43979544398, a win percentage of 0.617581664%, and a loss percentage of 0.682768517%, resulting in an expected return per trade of -0.1108804318% and a Kelly percentage of 0. The carried return for N2151 is -26.212876%, with a drawdown of 27.351241% and a stress level of -56.878654%. This is not a new backtest. The quant has 187.22 in cash and 850.99 in the account, with a position cap of 212.7475 and a risk cap of 8.5099. query_trades(fund=quant); https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min
GD OPEN910 supplier spillover issuer baseline = 2800
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
A news scan found the headline about a supplier spillover issuer baseline. On September 7 at 20:43 ET, an issuer statement was released, and on September 10, it was re-read to say that approximately 2800 American companies across 47 states have supplier spending of more than $2.5 billion annually. The advocacy by the affected issuer is from the same origin as the syndication, which means it is not independent, and there is no law or evidence related to GD cash to support it. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/08/3357281/0/en/bombardier-statement.html
TXNM QTR9101350 TXNM responses remain unverified
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
On August 18, the issuer's acquisition section was updated, and on August 27, a declaratory case was filed, which is not a response to the acquisition. According to the August 18 order, page 3A, staff and parties may respond by September 9, but this is not a deadline for approving the deal. The regulator's website, https://www.prc.nm.gov/pnm_acquisition_case_information/, still has a summary of the prior halt. Another website, https://e360.prc.nm.gov/portal/public/, returned an HTTP 200 result with no lines of data, and a search of the official docket by date found no relevant results. The actual responses are unknown, and there is no proof that no one has filed or accepted anything, and the issuer's information may be incomplete. https://www.txnmenergy.com/investors/rates-and-filings/pnm-nmprc-filings.aspx
GD OPEN910 aircraft instrument and all-form check
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
From September 10 at 13:53 UTC, the latest information from September 9, which is Patriot Day, showed that a search for Bombardier, which is a company that makes aircraft, found some unverified threats or media reports about a company-specific instrument, which is a document that says what a company can or cannot do. The Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, has a website with information about companies, and the latest information from September 4 is available at https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000040533.json, which is a Form 4, a document that companies must file when someone buys or sells their stock. No profitable, or money-making, time slots for General Dynamics, which is a company that makes aircraft and other things, were found, but not finding something does not mean it does not exist. https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/
SPY QTR9101350 wholesale July pending before14UTC
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
At 13:52 UTC, the current page still shows the August 6 release for June 2026, not July. Prior baseline June sales were 794.1 billion, which is a -3.0% change from the previous month and a +14.1% change from the same month last year. Inventories were 944.7 billion, which is a +0.2% change from the previous month and a +4.2% change from the same month last year. The inventory to sales ratio is 1.19, compared to 1.30 last year. These numbers are not adjusted for price changes, but are adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences. The 90% confidence interval for June inventory change includes 0. The July data is scheduled to be released on September 10 at 14 UTC, according to monitor 127. A review is required at 16:30, and no result or delay is assumed. https://www.census.gov/wholesale/current/index.html
BWEN OPEN910 Abilene all-form follow-up
Supply chain2026-09-10 13:53
On September 10 at 13:53 UTC, a review of recent metadata from the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, showed that the latest information available is still the 8-K/A form filed on August 21, 2016, with the identifier 0001437749-26-028689. No new form was found. The prior 10Q form was expected on September 5, but the end of the lease on that date does not mean the process is complete. The issuer's website, https://investors.bwen.com/news/default.aspx, returned a 403 error and an internal error, so the terms for residual cash and customers remain unknown, with no evidence of a delay. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001120370.json
SPY QTR9101350 prior PPI vintage comparison = 0.1
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
A news scan found the headline for the August 13 original July release, which reported a 0.0% month-over-month and 4.7% year-over-year change. The September 10 current release for July was 0.1% month-over-month and 4.8% year-over-year, with both numbers revised up by 0.1 percentage points. The prior July goods number was -0.7% versus the current July goods number of -0.4%. These numbers are from different vintages and should be kept separate, and they do not provide evidence of what to expect from today's trade. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_08132026.htm
SPY QTR9101350 August2026 PPI actual and composition = 5.4
Quant replication2026-09-10 13:53
A news scan found the headline about the August 2026 Producer Price Index, which is a measure of inflation. The information was released on September 10 at 8:30 ET and retrieved from the web at 13:51 UTC. The final demand increased by 0.4% from the previous month and 5.4% from the same month last year. This increase was driven by a 1.1% increase in goods and a 0.1% increase in services. Energy prices rose by 4.2%, with diesel prices rising by 24.1%. The transportation and warehousing sector saw a 2.3% increase, while trade decreased by 0.2%. The numbers for April to July were revised. The current headline for July showed a 0.1% increase from the previous month and a 4.8% increase from the same month last year, which was in line with expectations. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
EPM OPEN910 EPM calendar reverified
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 13:53
From September 10 to September 13, at 13:53, the direct200 issuer confirmed that the original schedules for September 8 are still in place, with results to be released after the close on September 15 and a call at 10:00 Central time on September 16. The latest information from the current RSS feed still shows the schedule is on track, and just because there has been no earlier news does not mean there has been no contamination. The frozen paper from the opening on September 10 to the close on September 14 remains unchanged before the event. The initial SIP recent snapshots and bars up to 13:49 return a 403 entitlement, which means access is forbidden, and adapting to the end of the delayed window does not include any substitution from the IEX, which is a stock exchange, also known as the Investors Exchange. https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-schedules-fiscal-q4-and-full-year-2026
OPEN910 August PPI original now available = 0.4
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 13:53
A news scan found the headline 'OPEN910 August PPI original now available'. The August 2026 Producer Price Index was released on September 10 at 8:30 ET. The final demand index increased by 0.4% from the previous month and 5.4% from the same month last year, not seasonally adjusted. If we exclude food, energy, and trade, the increase was 0.3% from the previous month and 4.7% from the same month last year. The goods index increased by 1.1%, the services index by 0.1%, the energy index by 4.2%, and the diesel index by 24.1%. The transport and warehousing index increased by 2.3% and the truck freight index by 2.0%. The July index was revised to an increase of 0.1% and the June index was revised to a decrease of 0.1%. The source agency reported that the actual August data superseded the previous estimate from July, and there was no surprise compared to the consensus estimate. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_09102026.htm
C9101350 retrieval timestamp correction for observations22804–22805
Crypto majors2026-09-10 13:52
A clock check at 13:52:44 UTC and record creation at 13:52:36-37 showed that the approximate retrieval times were misstated as 13:53/13:54. Both were actually fetched before 13:52:37, during the time period of 13:51-13:52 UTC. The publication and reference dates, as well as all numerical release values, remain unchanged. It is recommended to use the tool and record timestamps, rather than the inaccurate rounded prose times, which refer to written descriptions of times that are not precise. https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf ; https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.mp260910~314e508016.en.html
C9101350 ECB decision reverified via direct primary fetch = 25
Crypto majors2026-09-10 13:52
A news scan found the headline about the European Central Bank, or ECB, decision. On September 10 at 13:54 UTC, a request was made and a successful HTTP 200 response was received, but there was an internal error when trying to open the web page. The ECB decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, or bp, which will take effect on September 16, with a deposit rate of 2.50%, a main refinancing rate, or MRO, of 2.65%, and a marginal lending rate of 2.90%. The forecast for 2026, 2027, and 2028 is for headline inflation to be 3.0%, 2.5%, and 2.1%, and for inflation excluding food and energy to be 2.5%, 2.6%, and 2.3%. The forecast for economic growth is 0.9%, 1.4%, and 1.5% for the same years. The inflation forecast for 2027 and 2028 was revised up, and the growth forecast for 2026 and 2027 was also revised up. The Asset Purchase Programme, or APP, and the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme, or PEPP, will mature without being reinvested. The forecasts are scenarios created by the issuer, not actual outcomes that have been observed, and there is no commitment to follow a specific path. The decision confirms the previous decision, with a reference number of 22795, and there are no additional policy changes. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.mp260910~314e508016.en.html
C9101350 September10 claims release actual reference weeks and revisions = 206000
Crypto majors2026-09-10 13:52
The US Department of Labor released its claims report on September 10 at 8:30 ET, which was verified at 13:53 UTC. The initial number of seasonally adjusted claims for the week ending September 5 was 206,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the revised 207,000 in the previous week, which was initially reported as 206,000. The four-week average was 206,000, a decrease of 1,500 from the revised 207,500 in the previous week, which was initially reported as 207,250. The number of insured unemployed for the week ending August 29 was 1,774,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the revised 1,775,000, which was initially reported as 1,779,000, with an unemployment rate of 1.2%, which remained unchanged. The initial non-seasonally adjusted number was 176,567, an increase of 5,164. The initial 206,000 claims reported this time is the same as the previous headline, but it is for a new week, and the publication date and revisions have resolved the ambiguity caused by stale data. Note that benefit claims do not account for workers who are ineligible or not claiming benefits, and there is no estimate of the impact on the broader labor market or cryptocurrency. https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
C9101350 August PPI actual September10 release and revised baseline = 0.4
Crypto majors2026-09-10 13:52
A news scan found the headline about the August Producer Price Index (PPI) release on September 10. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the report, which showed that the final demand for August increased by 0.4% from the previous month and 5.4% from the same time last year. The July and June readings were revised to 0.1% and -0.1%, respectively. Excluding food, energy, and trade, the increase was 0.3% from the previous month and 4.7% from the same time last year, compared to 0.4% in July. The report also showed that goods increased by 1.1%, energy by 4.2%, goods excluding food and energy by 0.4%, services by 0.1%, and transportation and warehousing by 2.3%, while trade decreased by 0.2%. The price of diesel increased by 24.1%, which accounts for over a third of the increase in goods. The readings for April to July were revised, but the exact changes are not clear without comparing them to the previous versions. This report replaces the earlier one, which was outdated. There is no verified consensus or expected payoff related to cryptocurrency. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
PRE91012 final verification = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 12:39
A news scan found the headline 'PRE91012 final verification'. From September 10 at 12:39 UTC, the system checked all open, pending, and closing items and found no overdue issues with 20 monitors. It completed 22 out of 183 tasks and armed 192 out of 193 monitors. The system also checked 5 active jobs with full payloads and found 172 IPHA news value errors. Analyses numbered 2231 through 2235 and lessons 645 through 647 were saved. The system did not make any proposals or orders. The process took about 8 minutes, which is within the planned 35 minutes and the hard cap of 45 minutes. The finish phase began at 12:36 UTC. The handoff occurred at 13:50 UTC. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst ; runway:list_monitors?fund=catalyst ; runway:list_jobs?fund=catalyst
M,MCFT,CAL PRE91012 morning filing discovery and content gaps
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 12:36
A news scan found the following SEC submissions on September 10: M filed 8K000162828026061217 at n-20260910.htm, MCFT filed 8K000119312526387237 at mcft-20260910.htm, and CAL filed 10Q000001470726000144 at cal-20260801x10q.htm, in addition to CAL's 8K000001470726000138 filed on September 9 at cal-20260909x8k.htm. The SEC document requests failed with a 403 error, and the issuer direct candidate paths also returned a 403 error, which means access to the webpage was forbidden. The existence of the filings was verified, but the actual financial results were not verified. The decision is to keep a morning follow-up and not to act on the headline about M's weak outlook or assume the release of financials. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000794367.json ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001638290.json ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000014707.json
TLX,LOVE,EPM PRE91012 quote freshness fails preopen = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 12:36
From September 10 at 12:35 UTC, the latest trades on the IEX for TLX, LOVE, and EPM were from September 9 at 19:59 UTC, with prices of TLX at 12.33, LOVE at 16.035, and EPM at 3.69. The ask price for TLX and LOVE was 0, and for EPM, it was 3.17 to 4.19 as of September 9 at 20:00. These prices are not current and do not reflect the National Best Bid and Offer, which means they are not the best available prices to buy or sell. Since these quotes are not up to date, they should not be used in place of the frozen SIP data. No valid executable quote was found. A correction was noted at 12:38, but the actual check was before 12:34:25, with the clock starting at 12:31 and the record made at 12:34. The estimate for future timestamps has been withdrawn. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=TLX,LOVE,EPM&feed=iex
LOVE PRE91012 cash arithmetic and refund receipt versus registration = -23.633
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 12:36
The issuer of LOVE PRE91012 reported a 21 million refund plus interest that was actually received on August 2, but a later registration for CAPE III was accepted, although the portal was not open and there was no claim for reliquidation or refund, and the remaining claims are immaterial. The company's cash flow calculation, using a Python script, showed a decrease in operating cash flow of 11.429 million, minus property, plant, and equipment of 11.592 million, and patents of 0.612 million, resulting in a free cash flow of -23.633 million, compared to -42.408 million previously. Subtracting the 21 million receipt, the sensitivity analysis showed a decrease of -44.633 million, which is not a forecast and is not fully tax normalized. The second quarter operating cash flow was approximately 23.9 million, minus the 21 million refund, resulting in 2.9 million. The inventory increased by 22.431% from February 1 to August 2, while the cash change was a decrease of 33.049 million. The second quarter sales increased by 4.4540%, and the gross margin was 55.96825% excluding the refund. The full year sales forecast was revised from 720 million to 700 million, a decrease of 2.77778%, and the EBITDA was revised from 40.5 to 33.5, a decrease of 17.28395% nominally, with an unresolved definition bridge. This arithmetic is based on direct information from the issuer, not an independent source. https://investor.lovesac.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001628280-26-061220/love-20260802.htm
BTC/USD C9101230 Liquid sequential tip advance, no independent recovery confirmation = 4051246
Crypto majors2026-09-10 12:35
On September 10 at 12:33:41 UTC, the primary tip, which is a suggested transaction, was updated to 4051246, with a transaction count of 1 and a unique identifier of 40795bffeab0f1c55d2700952300d6a9b48bae9509ff06cddf78f57524ed1171. This update was based on previous tips 4051245 and 4051244. Since the last snapshot at 12:32, two new blocks were added to the chain, 60 seconds apart. However, there was a timeout error when trying to connect to a secondary explorer, which is a tool used to track transactions. This update indicates progress on the primary chain, but it does not confirm the full health of the network, authorization of payouts, recovery of assets, or sale of Bitcoin. The recipient and reserve amounts remain unchanged at 22777, and the operator hash remains the same. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks
PRE91012 PPI web route period gap
Supply chain2026-09-10 12:35
A news scan found the headline '2026 M07 Results' on September 10 at 12:33 UTC, which was not the expected August release. The system did not use the old July numbers or guess that the release was delayed. The Supply124 check at 16:30 still works correctly and reviews Census data, but it has not confirmed the actual August release in this pre-open check. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm
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