Notes

A news scan found the headline 'HWM R91200 completed Sep 11 SIP technical panel'. The report is from September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00. It shows 1620 bars, a close of 229.61, and a prior 20-day average of 292.65. The 50-day simple moving average, which is a calculation of the average price over 50 days, is 272.24. The average daily range over 20 days is 8.20. The return over the last day is 0.75 percent. The 60-day volume percentage is 37.99. The signal, which means a trigger to buy or sell, is false. The reference stop, a price level to stop trading, is 213.20, and the reference target, a desired price level, is 278.83. The max whole, which is the maximum whole number, is 0. This data was retrieved on September 12, using data up to September 11 at 23:40. The 2ADR stop and 6ADR target are examples, not actual orders, and the daily price is not a price that can be used to make a trade. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

A news scan found the headline 'PLAY Sep12 PLAY last-session retrospective hurdle review'. This is a review of the PLAY fund's performance. On September 1, the issuer confirmed that something will happen after the market closes on September 14, 2026. This was reverified on September 12 using the gcs-web system, after the iralias system failed. There were delayed trades on September 11, with prices of $8.14 for the S8 and $10.35/$7.45 for the Oct16 C and P, and a cost reserve of $0.05 was assumed. The frozen returns from the issuer, dated September 12, are listed as follows: there are two sets of returns, one with a K value of 10, a price of $0.35, and a hurdle of 27.764127764127757, and another with a K value of 7, a price of $0.45, and a hurdle of 20.147420147420153, both with 0 hits. A hurdle is a target value that must be met. The fund did not hold through the gate, and the default exit window on September 11 passed with no change. This review did not occur at 15:40 ET as it normally would, but rather at midnight. https://daveandbusters.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dave-busters-entertainment-inc-report-second-quarter-2026 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars

A data scan found the following trading results for BB on September 12: the results are divided into training and holdout periods with different entry and exit prices. For an entry price of 35 and exit price of 45, during the training period, the return was 2.1908765719181473 percent, the maximum drawdown was -24.727400007446764 percent, there were 10 trades, and the win rate was 60 percent. During the holdout reused period, the return was 12.558574526791347 percent, the maximum drawdown was -8.622787404987065 percent, there were 4 trades, and the win rate was 75 percent. For an entry price of 35 and exit price of 50, during the training period, the return was 46.36174639935934 percent, the maximum drawdown was -25.050458376513507 percent, there were 10 trades, and the win rate was 70 percent. During the holdout reused period, the return was 1.6251841481479345 percent, the maximum drawdown was -14.90545050055616 percent, there were 3 trades, and the win rate was 66.66666666666666 percent. For an entry price of 35 and exit price of 55, during the training period, the return was -4.042104145380347 percent, the maximum drawdown was -39.478206221928346 percent, there were 7 trades, and the win rate was 57.14285714285714 percent. During the holdout reused period, the return was -10.449439161149826 percent, the maximum drawdown was -16.12903225806449 percent, there were 2 trades, and the win rate was 0 percent. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; vectorbt

A data scan found the following list of trading results: the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 45 during the train period, with a return of 27.138467765180064 and a drawdown of -11.406541117940572, with 6 trades and a win rate of 66.66666666666666, the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 45 during the holdout_reused period, with a return of -3.2582522478786133 and a drawdown of -6.758783371754584, with 1 trade and a win rate of 0, the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 50 during the train period, with a return of 49.771614710900344 and a drawdown of -11.406541117940572, with 6 trades and a win rate of 83.33333333333334, the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 50 during the holdout_reused period, with a return of -1.9982294841027963 and a drawdown of -6.758783371754584, with 1 trade and a win rate of 0, the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 55 during the train period, with a return of 17.101736721667 and a drawdown of -28.611111111111143, with 4 trades and a win rate of 75, the entry price was 30 and the exit price was 55 during the holdout_reused period, with a return of -2.558239601336493 and a drawdown of -11.533183018381587, with 1 trade and a win rate of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; vectorbt

A data scan found the following trading results: the entry point was 25 and the exit point was 45 during the train period, with a return of 11.695061852744107 and a drawdown of -11.406541117940572, with 2 trades and a 50 win rate. During the holdout_reused period, the return was 1.0097660353031983 and the drawdown was -5.681818181818199, with 1 trade and a 100 win rate. The entry point was 25 and the exit point was 50 during the train period, with a return of 14.522807128723503 and a drawdown of -11.406541117940572, with 2 trades and a 50 win rate. During the holdout_reused period, the return was 2.325378038657368 and the drawdown was -5.681818181818199, with 1 trade and a 100 win rate. The entry point was 25 and the exit point was 55 during the train period, with a return of 28.24429644992058 and a drawdown of -11.406541117940572, with 2 trades and a 100 win rate. During the holdout_reused period, the return was 1.740661592722188 and the drawdown was -11.267605633802791, with 1 trade and a 100 win rate. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; vectorbt

On August 4, the issuer of HITI forecast a minimum year-over-year revenue increase of 30%, a gross profit increase of 27%, and an EBITDA increase of 43%. They also reported that they would distribute more than 10 tonnes in Germany, which is a 33% increase from the previous quarter and a 60% increase from the same time last year. This information was retrieved on September 12. These forecasts are for the quarter that ended on July 31 and do not include new cash information from September 14. The margins, working capital, and new guidance remain unknown, where EBITDA refers to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, a measure of a company's overall financial performance. https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-announces-preliminary-q3-2026-guidance/

A news scan found the headline about General Mills' fiscal 2026 comparability bear-case baseline. On July 1, the issuer, retrieved on September 12, reported on its fiscal year that ended on May 31. The company had organic sales that were down 2 percent and an adjusted operating profit of 2.8 billion, which was down 16 percent in constant currency. In the fourth quarter, organic sales were flat, which included a one-point favorable trade expense timing. The reported fourth-quarter sales were up 1 percent, which included a 7-point extra week, 1 point from foreign exchange, and a -7 point net portfolio effect. The extra week is not expected to be a recurring volume. The countercase for the fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share is 0.95, which is up 27 percent in constant currency, and there is a cost savings plan of 3 billion by 2030. The issuer is interested in the original plan, but the forecasts did not achieve the expected savings. https://investors.generalmills.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/General-Mills-Reports-Fiscal-2026-Fourth-quarter-Adjusted-Results-in-Line-with-Company-Expectations/default.aspx

A data scan found the following results from a Monte Carlo simulation, which is a method to estimate the performance of a system, in this case, a trading fund. The results are as follows: a list of simulations with different parameters, including the sample used, block number, number of paths, terminal median, loss probability percentage, median drawdown percentage, and p05 value, which is a measure of the fifth percentile of the results. The results are: for the all sample with block 1, 20000 paths were used, resulting in a terminal median of 29.059532618500526, a loss probability of 90.69500000000001 percent, a median drawdown of 83.9348665435622 percent, and a p05 of 8.518357154455941. For the all sample with block 3, the results were a terminal median of 28.710000000000008, a loss probability of 87.325 percent, a median drawdown of 83.9348665435622 percent, and a p05 of 16.670739030023157. For the first8 sample with block 1, the results were a terminal median of 29.00411764705892, a loss probability of 95.365 percent, a median drawdown of 83.9348665435622 percent, and a p05 of 4.088616123976635. For the first8 sample with block 3, the results were a terminal median of 28.710000000000008, a loss probability of 91.33 percent, a median drawdown of 83.9348665435622 percent, and a p05 of 16.670739030023157. For the last4_reused sample with block 1, the results were a terminal median of 45.724849381886855, a loss probability of 71.47 percent, a median drawdown of 75.39088876617026 percent, and a p05 of 9.358715314837523. For the last4_reused sample with block 3, the results were a terminal median of 34.53949094744996, a loss probability of 72.94500000000001 percent, a median drawdown of 83.05094187142026 percent, and a p05 of 18.743994334277886. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; local NumPy/vectorbt

A news scan found the following data line: Recomputed Python from 3 closed lots: RARE had a return of -45.8600619%, a loss of -29.804454 USD, and -6.440348 R, versus a planned target of 1.71739 R; IONS had a return of -2.842420%, a loss of -1.847289 USD, and a target of 1.403846 R; MIRM had a return of -0.439321%, a loss of -0.285515 USD, and a target of 1.081999 R. There were 0 wins out of 3, with a mean return of -16.380601%. The strategy used 2 operator liquidation censors, which means it stopped trading to avoid more losses. All numbers are fractional, meaning they are part of a whole. A stop loss order for 24 shares of RARE was filled at 13.98976, which is a shortfall of 10.01024 per share, and does not include any losses from buying or selling at a bad time. There are no open or pending trades. The current fund value is 49.14, with a 50% gap scenario of 24.57 USD, which is 2.887225% of the equity, and a total loss of 5.774451%. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst

A transcript from a September 9 conference hosted by Quartr, where the speaker claims that the information about contracts has not been audited and the audio has not been verified, states that Plant says major aerospace long-term agreements define the share beyond a decade and IGT multi-year pricing includes a share with an exclusive clone. It is also mentioned that GE is among the customers requesting more capacity. The transcript explains that expansion requests are distinct from accepted firm cash orders. This information contradicts the assumption of instant displacement, but it does not refute the possibility of longer-run competitive pressure. https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/hwm/transcripts/740198-jefferies-global-industrials-conference-2026/

A September 8 file presented the growth rate and acquisition scale of GE's R91200 airfoil. The demand for airfoil parts is expected to be more than 30 percent from 2026 to 2030, which is equivalent to a compound annual growth rate of more than 6.779 percent over four years. The projected revenue for CPP in 2027 is approximately 2 billion dollars, which results in a price-to-revenue ratio of 5.875. The net synergies are expected to be around 200 million dollars within three years and more than double that amount within six years, as shown in the chart. The forecasts assume that the company will not achieve full capacity and will not gain any additional market share through displacing competitors. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40545/000095014226002501/eh260827362_ex9901.htm

On September 8, the issuer announced a definitive agreement for the acquisition, which has not yet closed. The purchase price is 11.75 billion dollars, with 7 billion dollars in cash and the remainder in new debt. The price is 26 times the expected earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for 2027, or 18 times with expected synergies. The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2027, subject to certain conditions. The customer has been in existence for over 15 years. The buyer and seller are promoting the original product, but it is possible that the scarcity of the product could lead to it being captured by the original equipment manufacturer, although it is not disclosed if orders will be diverted. A news scan found the terms of the acquisition. https://www.geaerospace.com/news/press-releases/ge-aerospace-acquire-consolidated-precision-products-cpp-expanding-mission-critical

A historical backtest and sizing audit of ETH/USD from January 1, 2026, to September 11, 2026, was conducted, using a holdout period that was not re-run or re-tested with a new independent sample. The hourly return of ETH was 17.2404388093%, with a drawdown of 19.8301966136%, and a win rate of 4 out of 6, with an average win of 5.848427% and an average loss of 3.072019%. The training set had a return of 33.250114% with 19 samples, and a stress test return of 15.841958%. A daily comparator with a 20-day high had a return of -17.632466% with 5 samples, and a win rate of 20%, with a drawdown of 27.353641%. A 15-minute comparator had a return of 22.171852% with 6 samples, from a total of 2469 samples. The fractional return using the Kelly formula, which is a method to determine the optimal bet size, was 16.001716, and half of that was 8.000858, implying that leverage is not available. The notional value was clipped to a minimum of 235.86 for the fund, 212.7475 for the venue, and 25.5297 with a risk of 0.07246072, resulting in a notional value of 212.7475. The quarterly return was 53.186875 with a nominal stop risk of 3.853959 using past entry data. These values represent model ceilings, not recommended sizes. The N6 confidence interval cross was 0, and the current entry was absent, resulting in an actual value of 0. A prior value of 29.4825 remains only as a legacy illustration, and is not a mathematical current quarter cap. query_research crypto analyses2605/2606/2469 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

A news scan found the following data line: a diagnostic report for SOL/USD with the following results: it analyzed 731 bars of data, resulting in a return of 80.47%, a drawdown of 18.80%, and a win rate of 53.13%. The report also included the following statistics: 32 trades, with an average trade duration of 2.05 days. The return from a buy and hold strategy was -24.65%. The diagnostic was run on September 12 at 00:02 UTC, using a strategy breakout with a lookback of 20 days and 730 days of data. The analysis included 731 bars, which may include the current partial day, and used the same close for entry and close, with a channel and no explicit fees or slippage, and no time holdout. It also did not use a frozen high rule or deployment edge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD C91200 fresh CLI breakout diagnostic'. The diagnostic report includes the following information: the number of bars is 731, the return is 28.85%, the drawdown is 24.94%, the win rate is 21.05%, and the average trade is 0.85. The report is based on a strategy that ran from September 12 at 00:02 UTC, using a breakout strategy with a lookback of 20 and 730 days. The report notes that the 731 bars may include the current partial day, and that the same close entry and close channel were used, with zero explicit fees or slippage, and no time holdout. Additionally, there is no frozen high rule or deployment edge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD C91200 fresh CLI breakout diagnostic'. The diagnostic report includes the following information: the number of bars is 731, the return is 25.66649251667488, the drawdown is 13.536723623989975, the win rate is 32.6530612244898, the number of trades is 49, and the average trade is 0.5336831560087856. The buy and hold return is 32.888403395690034. This data is based on a strategy that started running on September 12 at 00:02 UTC, using a breakout strategy with a lookback of 20 days and 730 days of data. The report notes that the 731 bars may include the current partial day, and that the same close entry and close channel were used, with zero explicit fees or slippage, and no time holdout. Additionally, there is no frozen high rule or deployment edge. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; /app/agent/dist/backtest.js

A news scan found the following information about an automated trading fund manager's notes: The manager looked back at a trade that started on September 11 at 14UTC with a raw open price of 2629.65 and a 10 basis points slip entry price of 2632.27965, with a 25 basis points Ethereum fee credited. The manager knew that on September 10, the Average True Range, or a measure of how much a price moves, was 88.0134936902, and the stop loss, or the price at which to automatically sell, was set at 2456.25266262, with a target price of 3223.79684108. The manager also knew that the trade had 40 completed 15-minute periods through 23:45, with a maximum high price of 2664.8535 and a minimum low price of 2506.24, but did not hit the stop loss or target price, and did not reach a 2R, or two times the risk, return, with a current return of -0.660204R. The manager used a vectorbt initialization with an initial cash amount of 1.0 and an effective entry price, and found a marked return of -4.653905788%, a hypothetical exit net return of -4.987378753%, and a close daily drawdown of 4.079390856%, with a win rate that is undefined, and a wealth reconciliation of 0. The manager also noted that if the initial investment had been 29.4825 USD, the loss would have been -1.372088 USD, with a net stop risk of 2.136323 USD. This review was done after the fact, not as a prospective trade or a complete exit policy backtest, and the actual position is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

A news scan found the headline 'BLS Sep11 forAug2026'. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that for August 2026, all employee real hourly earnings decreased by 0.1 percent from the previous month and 0.3 percent from the same month last year. Real weekly earnings increased by 0.2 percent from the previous month and 0.3 percent from the same month last year. The average workweek increased by 0.3 percent from the previous month. For production and nonsupervisory employees, real weekly earnings decreased by 0.1 percent from the previous month. This shows weak hourly purchasing power, but the increase in weekly hours offset this, meaning it cannot be simplified into a universal demand collapse. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

A news scan found the headline about the August Consumer Price Index, which was released on September 11. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the headline Consumer Price Index increased by 0.4 percent from the previous month and 3.4 percent from the same month last year, not seasonally adjusted. The core Consumer Price Index, which is a measure of inflation that excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.3 percent from the previous month and 2.4 percent from the same month last year. Energy prices increased by 2.1 percent from the previous month, with gasoline prices increasing by 3.9 percent, food prices increasing by 0.1 percent, and shelter prices increasing by 0.3 percent. In July, the headline Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent and the core Consumer Price Index increased by 0.2 percent. There was no preregistered consensus for this report, so it is not possible to measure the surprise of the result, and it is not proof of a specific supplier's margin or the cause of the stock move on September 11. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

A news scan found the headline 'SRRK SEP1200 full issuer-hosted prescribing label retrieved'. This is a report about a drug label. The label was approved in 2026 for people aged 2 and above who are undergoing a specific type of therapy that targets the SMN2 gene. The recommended dosage is 10 milligrams per kilogram, given through an intravenous infusion every 4 weeks, which takes 60 to 120 minutes. The label includes a warning about the risk of fractures, but does not list any contraindications, which are conditions under which the drug should not be used. This information is from the issuer-hosted prescribing information, and the FDA approval letter was not retrieved separately. The report notes that this information does not confirm that all manufacturing sites for the drug have been approved. https://www.scholarrock.com/documents/label/us/ISEMBYLD_PI.pdf

A news scan found the headline that in August, there were 531,728 business applications, which is a decrease of 7.8% from the previous month. This is based on data from the Sep 11 agency. The projected formations within the next four quarters are 28,501, which is a decrease of 4.6%. These formations are expected to come from the August application cohort, not the actual births in August. Note that the January 2026 restated 2022 NAICS, or North American Industry Classification System, which is a way to categorize businesses, removed internet sales from the Home-Based Businesses and Other-Based Businesses per the United States Census Bureau website. It is also important to note that administrative applications are not independent demand orders, meaning they are not separate requests, but rather part of a larger process. https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/current/index.html

A news scan found the headline for the September 11 release, which reported preliminary sentiment at 47.8, a decrease of 7.5% from August's 51.7. The current conditions were 50.9, down from 51.9, and expectations were 45.8, down from 51.5. The expected inflation rate for the next year was 4.6%, up from 4.0%, and the long-run inflation rate was 3.4%, up from 3.3%. The survey showed that people's beliefs about their spending were not realized. A preliminary revision is possible. The final report will be released on September 25 at 10 ET, as stated on the homepage, but this is not a signal to enter a trade. https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

A news scan found the headline about the August real earnings actual release. On September 11, 2026, at 8:30 ET, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, or BLS, released data for all private employees. The data showed that real hourly earnings decreased by 0.1 percent from the previous month and by 0.3 percent from the same month last year. Real weekly earnings increased by 0.2 percent from the previous month and by 0.3 percent from the same month last year. The average hours worked increased by 0.3 percent from the previous month and by 0.6 percent from the same month last year. For production and nonsupervisory employees, real weekly earnings decreased by 0.1 percent from the previous month and increased by 0.1 percent from the same month last year. The wage data excludes people who are not employees, and the increase in hours worked offset the decline in hourly earnings. This information is not a traded edge, meaning it does not provide a specific advantage for trading. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

A news scan found the headline for the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on September 11 at 8:30 ET for August 2026 inflation data. The headline inflation rate was 0.4 percent month-over-month, which is higher than the 0.1 percent in July. The year-over-year rate was 3.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, was 0.3 percent month-over-month, compared to 0.2 percent previously, and 2.4 percent year-over-year, compared to 2.5 percent previously. Gasoline prices increased 3.9 percent month-over-month, energy prices increased 2.1 percent, shelter costs increased 0.3 percent, and food prices increased 0.1 percent. The faster monthly rate and lower core annual rate are not contradictory because they are based on different time periods and bases. There was no preregistered consensus, so there is no claimed surprise or causal price attribution. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

A trading fund manager made one trade on September 3. The trade involved buying and selling Bitcoin for US dollars. The manager entered the trade at a price of 81614.8 and exited at 81548.7, with a quantity of 0.001681857. The total value of the trade was 137.2644226836. The manager had set a stop loss at 73440 and a target at 97900, with a time horizon of 3 to 4 weeks. However, the trade was held for approximately 47 minutes and 56 seconds before being liquidated by the operator. The gross price change was a loss of 0.08099 percent, and the cash profit and loss was a loss of approximately 0.11117 percent. This trade did not result in a win, and there is not enough information to estimate the average win, slippage, or stop and target hit rates. The old gross return on investment is approximately 1.99, which is below the current mandate of 3. There is no evidence that the trading thesis was stopped, and there are no current holdings or orders, and no lessons to be learned from this trade. query_trades fund=crypto trade10