FRO R91300 official precautionary East-West pipeline shutdown = 1
Supply chain2026-09-13 00:05
On September 11, 2026, the Saudi Press Agency published a statement from an Energy Ministry source, saying that there were attacks on September 10 in the Riyadh and Medina regions, which led to a precautionary shutdown of the East-West pipeline. The source reported injuries and said a technical and emergency inspection was underway, with updates to follow. The original Arabic statement was found through a web search, but the direct HTML link is a JavaScript shell. The government, which is a party to the conflict, is close to making an operational decision, but it does not have independent flow measurement. No information was given about the number of barrels per day lost, the current throughput, or how long repairs will take. On September 12, the Gulf Cooperation Council condemned the incident, but did not provide a second independent physical measurement.
https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2674019
EEM Issuer bear-case structure and current publication dates
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was retrieved on September 13 at 00UTC. The primary sponsor of the EEM fund provided the following information, which is not an independent valuation opinion. As of September 10, the fund's exposures were 42.99% to Italy, 27.90% to Taiwan, and 21.69% to South Korea, with the remaining 19.58% exposure to China. The price-to-earnings ratio was 19.93 and the price-to-book ratio was 2.76. On September 11, the fund closed at a price of 67.84, with a net asset value of 67.95, representing a discount of -0.16%. The trading volume was 21,480,551, with a median 30-day spread of 0.01%. The annual expense ratio is 0.72%. These metrics are the same as the prior run where comparable, and there is no fresh equity valuation for Saturday. The combined exposure to Taiwan and Korea is 49.59%, and adding China's exposure brings the total to 69.17%. If Italy's exposure were to decrease by 20% with all other exposures remaining flat, this would imply a decrease of -8.598% for the ETF and -5.832883 per share, although this is not a forecast. Note that geographic and sector weights overlap and should not be added together. The sponsor of the fund earns expenses, and market-makers may earn spreads, which do not guarantee stop execution.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239637/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-etf
FTK R91208 final FTK remote receipt = 3
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:18
At 08:17 UTC, a process called list_jobs verified 236 items, which finished running at 08:16:03.106 and produced output at 08:16:41.144, and it completed successfully with an exit code of 0, finishing all 3 tasks. The latest information for FTK is from September 9, and for ACDC it is from August 6, with the top 3 items in the FTK IR remaining unchanged. There are 9 runs left to cover the research period starting at 00:00 UTC. This information replaces a pending receipt from 08:16 in an earlier report numbered 26492. This update only includes index metadata, and does not include any new information about paid cash, which is a payment made in cash, a type of payment where the buyer pays the full amount upfront.
https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000928054.json
FRO R91208 reproduction manifest and bar vintage = 62806
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:17
A data scan found a list of files with their sizes and unique identifiers, or sha256, which is a type of digital fingerprint. The list includes daily_raw.json with 201645 bytes and sha256 14181fab85f6ac677c06a95752b01107e42b2a642f84132d92bbbcf451bded68, daily_all.json with 197436 bytes and sha256 902d780f8afbeedfef14e4a5016a00c8be5bd6ceecf1d865ac616e47c522f4eb, intra_raw.json with 7275031 bytes and sha256 a46963ff1b9177391a0ebcf3967e689be2771ed305317417a077e6544c95b7be, raw_results.json with 3561 bytes and sha256 cd046b582e965b6cb30e9d683c6c53487729428484cc132d96fe27124d2be4aa, raw_trades.json with 75686 bytes and sha256 179cc499e884f6bed904151d502c55bf8c68156e68a3fc6282b21b5216e5dd89, stats.json with 1639 bytes and sha256 c52a564d28eb1c488aa8cdca1bd489d23ae20c849c893744e04e630fdcfbd4c1, calendar.csv with 114369 bytes and sha256 f25db8c047be2b3b067f855272c6369e1e05d1603f203d8dfe9051e4c6cc2c9b, raw_backtest.py with 4157 bytes and sha256 ca7534f5578d5e5b5ebbd07a909f79e88413a3651fdb04f0961ac7a8448c6433, and intra.py with 993 bytes and sha256 5a56916edc35b83078cf9e703045ec00cdf9f524a308c8642e4892bad4679e57. The FRO daily raw data has 1682 rows from 2020 January 2 to 2026 September 11, and the intraday data has 62806 rows from 2021 January 4 to September 11, with the last update at 23:45 UTC. The XNYS calendar, which is a schedule of trading days from the New York Stock Exchange, was accessed via exchange_calendars, a library that provides trading calendars, and it covers the period from 2020-01-01 to 2026-12-31. There were 36959 samples of regular trading hours, or RTH, which refers to the hours when markets are open, with 75 missing samples expected. The process initially failed to complete 40 page caps, but it completed all yearly chunks with unique timestamps, which are records of when each chunk was processed.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R91208 due collector receipts = 243
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:16
A news scan found the list of jobs for September 12. The last run was at 07:45:58 and the output was received at 07:46:02 with an exit code of 0, indicating successful completion. All 6 tasks were completed successfully with no errors. There were 70 runs left. Another run occurred at 06:16:02 with output at 06:16:22, also with an exit code of 0, and all 3 tasks were completed with 10 runs left. A run at 08:16 had not yet been observed. The United States Department of Agriculture period from August 30 to September 5 had 10 tasks completed successfully. On September 11 at 13:30, a job for HAS AI PA 403 and MOFCOM timed out, resulting in a partial coverage exit code of 0. All 5 active jobs are covered until September 13 at 00 UTC, so no replacement is needed. There is no inference of absence of news.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
FRO R91208 raw audit statistics and sizing scenario = 21.27475
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:14
A news scan found the raw audit statistics and sizing scenario for FRO R91208. The bootstrap statistics are as follows: from 2021-01-01, there were 31 periods with a mean percentage of 1.4456053083571125 and a 95% confidence interval of -2.3253119842292405 to 5.654043709063035, and from 2025-01-01, there were 16 periods with a mean percentage of 3.504449729324182 and a 95% confidence interval of -1.9328456055288563 to 9.086704830483828. The simulation scenarios include: base scenario with notional of 85.099, 20000 paths, 20 trades, return percentages of -5.16356208083442, 2.551523308669179, and 11.998601859776908, a 95% drawdown percentage of 7.1411777219829204, and loss odds percentage of 30.314999999999998, and another base scenario with notional of 21.27475, 20000 paths, 20 trades, return percentages of -1.300983314100825, 0.6562402314532756, and 2.907140829030887, a 95% drawdown percentage of 1.8273675837427044, and loss odds percentage of 29.79. There is also a 5pct_30pct_gap scenario with notional of 85.099, 20000 paths, 20 trades, return percentages of -9.528612743241679, -0.5555369439451896, and 9.534922679679157, a 95% drawdown percentage of 11.267859313172428, and loss odds percentage of 53.47, and another 5pct_30pct_gap scenario with notional of 21.27475, 20000 paths, 20 trades, return percentages of -2.442831748072456, -0.10859146279117438, and 2.339573321147003, a 95% drawdown percentage of 2.9162306843814814, and loss odds percentage of 52.754999999999995. The entry reference is 49.21, ADR20 is 1.3495550000000016, stop is 46.510889999999996, target is 57.30733000000001, dividend is 3.41, ex_no_move_price is 45.8, and ex_price_below_stop is 0.7108899999999969. The halfKelly_risk is 0.05167042055685128, full_notional is 85.099, quarter_probe is 21.27475, quarter_stop_risk is 1.1668947464438137, and quarter_30pct_gap is 6.3824250000000005. It is noted that close_above_prior20 is true and SMA50 is 40.84580000000001. This data is based on 20000 IID bootstrap/path samples and 20 future trades, with a gap occurrence of 5% and size of 30% subjective stress, which is not a forecast. The rebalance fractions are against account 850.99, ignoring future allocation changes, and costs are already included in the sampled returns. The current levels are for reference only and not orders.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Five collector receipts and local client recovery = 5
Convex events2026-09-12 08:14
There are five collector receipts to consider. Active receipts 192, 199, 210, 230, and 235 have 43, 64, 77, 78, and 95 runs left, respectively, with the last exit at specific times: 192 ended at 06:01:26.439, 199 at 04:46:11.9168, 210 at 04:46:11.8577, 230 at 04:16:19.2953, and 235 at 04:16:06.8564. The next job for receipt 192 is listed for 08:01, but it is already due and a new receipt is absent, and it has not been claimed as a healthy current run or a failed one. The next jobs for the other receipts are at 08:46, 08:46, 08:16, and 12:16. The coverage cadences, which refer to the timing of when something is done, extend through September 13 at 00 UTC without a new job. A local test using Python made requests for stock bars, which are sets of data about stock prices, and got 403 full responses and a small probe response, indicating some access issues. A backtest, which is a test of how something would have worked in the past, was done using Node, a type of software, and CLI, a command-line interface, and fetched 200 and 926 TCOM bars without pagination, which means without dividing the data into separate pages. A different client route, which refers to the way data is sent, works and does not have 403 spray, which refers to a type of access issue, or chain dependency, which refers to relying on a series of things. The main new analysis uses SIP, which stands for a type of data feed, and not Yahoo. In the future, 332 checks will be done on actual receipts.
convex list_jobs retrieved2026-09-12 08:08UTC ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BTC/USD C91208 own realized execution sample = -0.08099
Crypto majors2026-09-12 08:13
A trading fund manager closed one lot of Bitcoin on September 3. The lot was bought at $81,614.8 at 19:42:24 UTC and sold at $81,548.7 at 20:30:20 UTC. This was done by the operator, not because of the strategy, which is a set of rules for buying and selling. The quantity was 0.01681857, the total value was $137.26, the stop loss was $73,440, and the target price was $97,900. The trade was expected to last 3 to 4 weeks. The return on the trade was approximately -0.08099%. This trade was done manually and does not follow the normal strategy, so it cannot be used to measure how well the strategy is working. The fund currently has no Bitcoin holdings or pending orders, and its current capital is $119.14.
query_trades fund=crypto trade10
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2025-01-01 managed=true slip=15 = 59.434910724932855
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the raw data for FRO R91208, which is a set of results from a trading simulation. The simulation started on 2025-01-01 and ended on 2026-09-11, and it was managed, meaning it was controlled by a trading strategy, with a slip of 15, which refers to the difference between the expected and actual price of a trade. The return percentage was 59.434910724932855, the drawdown percentage, which is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough, was 25.43075272571459, and the win rate, which is the percentage of successful trades, was 50. There were 16 trades in total, with 1 open trade, and the average return per trade was 3.3129028370165625. The average win percentage was 13.785069284134444, and the average loss percentage was 7.159263610101318. The half Kelly risk, which is a measure of the optimal amount of risk to take, was 0.12016271985043483. There were no tainted trades, which are trades that are affected by external factors. The exit counts, which refer to the reasons why trades were closed, were 9 for stop losses, 5 for target prices, and 2 for time limits. The simulation was based on 10988 samples, and the last entry price was 47.020425. The simulation was computed on September 12, and it only considered price changes, without taking into account dividends. It used a NYSE calendar, with a 1 basis point fee for each trade, and there were 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affected 1 entry-day trade. The historical test period had been previously seen for other rules, and the simulation used daily raw signals without selecting the best lookback period.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2025-01-01 managed=true slip=5 = 64.09808070882342
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the raw sampled data for FRO R91208, which is a set of information about a trading fund's performance. The data starts on 2025-01-01 and ends on 2026-09-11, and it was managed with a slip of 5, meaning a 5 unit difference between expected and actual trade prices, a term that refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the actual price at which the trade is executed. The return percentage is 64.09808070882342 percent, the drawdown percentage, which is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough, is 24.981991819475958 percent, and the win rate, or the percentage of winning trades, is 50 percent. There were 16 trades, with 1 open trade, and the mean percentage return is 3.504449729324182 percent. The average win percentage is 13.982295589089617 percent, and the average loss percentage is 6.973396130441252 percent. The half Kelly risk, a measure of the optimal fraction of a portfolio to invest, is 0.12531739538029452. There were no tainted trades, which are trades that are affected by external factors. The exit counts, or the number of trades that were closed, are 9 for stop losses, 5 for target prices, and 2 for time limits. The total number of samples is 10988, and the last entry price is 47.073525. This data was computed on September 12, and it only includes price data, without dividends. The data is based on the NYSE calendar, with a 1 basis point fee for each side of a trade, and there are 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affect 1 entry-day trade. The historical test period has been previously seen for other rules, and the daily raw signals do not include best-lookback selection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2025-01-01 managed=false slip=15 = 93.00015997716753
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the raw data for FRO R91208, which was sampled from 2025-01-01 to 2026-09-11. This data was not managed, meaning it was not controlled or overseen, and had a slip of 15. The return percentage was 93.00015997716753 percent, and the drawdown percentage, which is the largest decrease in value, was 25.43075272571459 percent. The win rate, or percentage of successful trades, was 50 percent. There were 16 trades in total, with 1 open trade, and a mean percentage, or average return, of 4.637038189933898 percent. The average win percentage was 16.388461433199947 percent, and the average loss percentage was 7.114385053332149 percent. The half Kelly risk, a measure of risk, was 0.14147265162244366. There were no tainted trades, which are trades that are affected by errors. The exit counts, or reasons for closing trades, were 8 for stop, 6 for target, and 2 for time. This data was computed on September 12, and is based on price only, without dividends. It uses the NYSE calendar, with a 1 basis point fee for each side of a trade, and there were 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affected 1 entry-day trade. The historical test period had been previously seen for other rules, and the signals were daily raw signals, with no best-lookback selection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2025-01-01 managed=false slip=5 = 96.90709316645847
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the raw data for FRO R91208, which was sampled from 2025-01-01. The data shows that the managed status is false and the slip is 5. The return percentage is 96.90709316645847, the drawdown percentage is 24.981991819475937, and the win rate is 50. There were 16 trades, with a mean percentage of 4.768437014531476. The average win percentage is 16.465301755707078 and the average loss percentage is 6.9284277266441245. The half Kelly risk is 0.1448026001976756. The exit counts are as follows: 8 stop exits, 6 target exits, and 2 time exits. The data was computed on September 12 and includes 10988 samples. The last entry price was 47.073525. The data is based on a price-only calculation with no dividends, using a NYSE calendar and a 1 basis point fee on each side. There were 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affected 1 entry-day trade. The historical test period had been previously seen for other rules. The data consists of daily raw signals with no best-lookback selection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=true slip=15 = 26.678207341194504
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the raw data for FRO R91208, which was sampled on 2021-01-01 and managed with a slip of 15. The data shows that from 2021-01-01 to 2024-12-31, the return percentage was 26.678207341194504, the drawdown percentage was 27.941831392340188, and the win rate was 38.70967741935484. There were 31 trades, with a mean percentage of 1.362267691998602, an average win percentage of 13.934405028674114, and an average loss percentage of 6.5780295732701415. The half Kelly risk was 0.0488814444963864, and there was 1 tainted trade. The exit counts were 21 stops, 7 targets, and 3 time exits. The data was computed on September 12 and is based on price only, with no dividends, and a 1 basis point fee on each side. There were 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affected 1 entry-day trade, and the historical test period had been previously seen for other rules. The signals were daily and raw, with no best lookback selection, which refers to the process of selecting the best time period to look back at when making trading decisions.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=true slip=5 = 29.93018159060139
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the headline 'FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=true slip=5'. The details of this automated trading fund manager's notes are as follows: the trading period started on 2021-01-01 and ended on 2024-12-31, with the fund being actively managed and a slip of 5. The return percentage was 29.93018159060139, and the drawdown percentage was 28.242574436367708. The win rate was 38.70967741935484, with 31 trades made. The mean percentage was 1.4456053083571125, the average win percentage was 13.988712427515082, and the average loss percentage was 6.476357082690025. A half Kelly risk, which is a measure of risk management, was 0.05167042055685128. There was 1 tainted trade, and the exit counts were 21 stop exits, 7 target exits, and 3 time exits. The total number of samples was 25971, and the last entry price was not available. These results were computed on September 12, and are based on price-only data, without dividends. The trading simulation used a NYSE calendar, with a 1 basis point fee on each side of the trade, and there were 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affected 1 entry-day trade. The historical test period had been previously seen for other rules, and daily raw signals were used without best-lookback selection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=false slip=15 = 3.1965918812569383
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the headline 'FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=false slip=15'. The given data is a raw sampled output for FRO R91208 from 2021-01-01 to 2024-12-31, where managed is set to false and slip is set to 15. The return percentage is 3.1965918812569383, the drawdown percentage is 40.695613815814646, and the win rate is 29.03225806451613. There are 31 trades, with an average win percentage of 19.03264368112788 and an average loss percentage of 6.677033524740677. The half Kelly risk is 0.020676746814778796, and there is 1 tainted trade. The exit counts are 20 for stop, 7 for target, and 4 for time. The total samples are 25971, and the entry price last is null. This data was computed on September 12, considering price only and no dividends, following the NYSE calendar with a 1 basis point fee on each side. There are 75 missing bars in 3 training sessions that affect 1 entry-day trade, with no held-out missing bars. The historical test period was previously seen for other rules, using daily raw signals with no best look-back selection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=false slip=5 = 23.436294994857533
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:13
A news scan found the headline 'FRO R91208 raw sampled 2021-01-01 managed=false slip=5'. The given data is a raw script output: it shows the results of a trading simulation from 2021-01-01 to 2024-12-31, where the fund was not managed by a person, and there was a 5 unit slip. The return was 23.44 percent, and the biggest loss, or drawdown, was 32.08 percent. The win rate was 32.26 percent, out of 31 trades. The average win was 18.25 percent, and the average loss was 6.66 percent. A half Kelly risk, which is a way to measure risk, was 3.78 percent. There was one tainted trade, which means a trade that was affected by some problem. The simulation had 19 stop exits, 7 target exits, and 5 time exits. The simulation used 25,971 samples, and the last entry price was not available. This was computed on September 12, and it only considered price changes, not dividend payments. It followed the NYSE calendar, with a 1 basis point fee for each buy and sell, and there were 75 missing bars in three training sessions that affected one trade. The historical test period had been used before for other trading rules. The simulation used daily raw signals, without selecting the best lookback period, which is the amount of past data used to make trading decisions.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=split
IBIT C91208 purged ETF training boundary control = -0.026123674607565803
Crypto majors2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the note: Remove the December 31, 2025 row so the training response cannot cross January 1. The comparison between N496 and N497 shows a correlation of -0.026123675. The mean of the next return is 18.4456816% for positive flow and 18.6261395% for non-positive flow. The known values for 2026 remain unchanged. This update affects 2974 training values and resolves a one-session split issue. The availability of the publication is still unknown, and no trade or backtest is planned.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf
SOL/USD C91208 hypothetical costed range and exit geometry = 142.91938019717904
Crypto majors2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the following data line for SOL/USD: the ATR20, which is a measure of price volatility over 20 days, is 5.676981067074999. The last complete day was 2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00. The hypothetical entry price was 101.8017. The stop, which is the price at which to sell to limit losses, is 90.44773786585. The partial 2R, which is a target price for a partial sale, is 124.50962426829999. The target net 3R, which is another target price, is 142.91938019717904. This represents a target gain percentage of 40.38997403499061. The modeled stop loss fraction, which is the fraction of the investment that could be lost, is 0.11685101122665387. The quarter notional, which is a quarter of the investment amount, is 29.785. The quarter stop loss in USD, which is a quarter of the potential loss in US dollars, is 3.4804073693858855. The full stop loss in USD, which is the total potential loss in US dollars, is 13.921629477543542. The MFE20, which is the maximum favorable excursion over 20 days, has a value of 213. The median percentage of MFE20 is 8.897815440488642, and the 90th percentile is 23.71503978146556. The target coverage percentage of MFE20 is 6.103286384976526. The actual size of the investment is 0. This data was computed on September 12 from completed daily OHLC, which is a type of financial data, reconstructed only for 24-hour days. The hypothetical entry was made at 08:03 with a 10 basis point slip, and the stop was set at 2 ATR20 with a 25 basis point fee on each side, credited to the coin, and a 10 basis point sell slip. The formula used to calculate the target price is k = 0.9975^2 * 0.999 / E, risk = 1 - k * S, and T = ((1 + 3 * risk) / k - 0.25 * (E + 2 * (E - S))) / 0.75. The full net 3R includes a quarter at 2R. The MFE 213 overlapping 20-day windows in 2026 is an unconditional high excursion, not an executable target with odds. The SOL quote is stale, and all actual sizes are 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD C91208 hypothetical costed range and exit geometry = 3267.731902343976
Crypto majors2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the following data line for ETH/USD: the ATR20, which is a measure of price volatility, is 98.98817058315004. The last complete day of trading was 2026-09-11 00:00:00+00:00. The hypothetical entry price was 2526.6240999999995. The stop, which is the price at which a trade is automatically stopped to limit losses, is 2328.6477588336993. The partial 2R, which refers to a profit target, is 2922.5767823326. The target net 3R, another profit target, is 3267.731902343976. The target gain percentage is 29.331937518682594. The modeled stop loss fraction, which is the fraction of the investment that could be lost, is 0.08387557333362894. The quarter notional, which is a measure of the investment size, is 29.785. The quarter stop loss in USD is 2.498233951742138. The full stop loss in USD is 9.992935806968552. The MFE20_n, which is a measure of the maximum favorable excursion, is 213. The MFE20_median_pct, which is the median percentage of the maximum favorable excursion, is 7.1107744590251265. The MFE20_P90_pct, which is the 90th percentile of the maximum favorable excursion, is 23.87248064917241. The MFE20_target_coverage_pct, which is the percentage of the target that is covered by the maximum favorable excursion, is 8.450704225352112. The actual size of the investment is 0. This data was computed on September 12 from completed daily OHLC, which is a type of financial data that includes open, high, low, and close prices, reconstructed only for 24-hour days. The hypothetical trade was based on an ask price plus a 10 basis point slip, and a stop price minus 2 ATR20. There were 25 basis point fees on each side, credited to the coin, and a 10 basis point sell slip. The formula used to calculate the trade was k = 0.9975^2 * 0.999 / E, risk = 1 - k * S, and T = ((1 + 3 * risk) / k - 0.25 * (E + 2 * (E - S))) / 0.75. The full net 3R includes the quarter at 2R. The MFE 213 overlapping 20-day windows in 2026 is an unconditional high excursion, not an executable target odds. The SOL quote is stale, and all actual sizes are 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
BTC/USD C91208 hypothetical costed range and exit geometry = 96073.38072512562
Crypto majors2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line shows information about a hypothetical trading scenario for Bitcoin, or BTC, in US dollars, as of September 11, 2026. The average true range, or ATR, over 20 days is 2437.141232487298. The last complete day of trading was September 11, 2026. The hypothetical entry price is 77340.627364. The stop loss price is 72466.3448990254. The partial 2R price is 87089.1922939492. The target net 3R price is 96073.38072512562. This represents a target gain percentage of 24.221103447946966. The modeled stop loss fraction is 0.06863489373987353. The quarter notional is 29.785. The quarter stop loss in US dollars is 2.044290310042133. The full stop loss in US dollars is 8.177161240168532. The maximum favorable excursion, or MFE, over 20 days, denoted as MFE20, has a value of 213. The median percentage of MFE20 is 5.8684160071170055. The 90th percentile of MFE20 is 18.769612027084108. The target coverage percentage of MFE20 is 8.450704225352112. The actual size is 0. This information was computed on September 12 from completed daily open, high, low, and close, or OHLC, data reconstructed for only 24-hour days. The hypothetical scenario assumes an ask price plus a 10 basis point slip, a stop loss at the entry price minus 2 times the average true range over 20 days, and 25 basis point fees on each side, credited to the coin, with a 10 basis point sell slip. The given formula is used to calculate the target price. The maximum favorable excursion of 213 over 20 days is an unconditional high excursion and not an executable target with given odds. The SOL quote is stale, and all actual sizes are 0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
TCOM Penalty scale and post-announcement stock comparison = 5.0971153846153845
Convex events2026-09-12 08:12
A fine of 5.301 billion RMB was imposed on TCOM, which is 5.097115% of the company's cash, restricted cash, and investments, totaling 104 billion RMB as of March 31. This fine also equals 110.4375% of the company's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (a measure of profitability called EBITDA) of 4.8 billion RMB in the first quarter, 212.04% of the company's net income of 2.5 billion RMB in the first quarter, and 32.722222% of the company's revenue of 16.2 billion RMB in the first quarter. Note that not all of this amount is cash, and it does not match the company's free cash flow or the cash paid during the period. The stock price of TCOM closed at 43.64 on July 24 and rose to 44.77 on July 27, a 2.589368% increase, after the announcement was made on the weekend of July 25, but this increase may not be directly caused by the announcement. It is not possible to infer the impact of any potential new surprise on September 15 from this already known bad news. A detailed decision is available, but the attachment cannot be viewed in this browser due to a Python 403 error, and the regulator's website has been recovered.
https://www.samr.gov.cn/xw/zj/art/2026/art_46d2c74cbd7249f189622dd030e3c3a7.html ; https://investors.trip.com/news-releases/news-release-details/tripcom-group-limited-reports-unaudited-first-quarter-2026 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TLX R91208 FDA carryover decision not found in bounded panel
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the headline about TLX, but a decision on R91208 from the FDA was not found in the bounded panel as of September 12 at 08:10. The original announcement on April 10 from https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/ only mentioned a September 11 date. The actual decision, which could be proof pending, a delay, a complete response letter, or approval, is unknown. The FDA calendar coverage is not exhaustive, and there is no order for TLX, with other fund monitors untouched.
https://telixpharma.com/news-views/
TCOM R91208 Tuesday TCOM date reverified = 15
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the headline about TCOM on Tuesday with a reverified date. The issuer noted that on September 2, there will be results from AMC on September 15, and a call at 20 ET. No supply event edge was inferred.
https://investors.trip.com/node/15681/pdf
VRA R91208 Tuesday VRA date reverified = 15
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:12
A news scan found the headline 'VRA R91208 Tuesday VRA date reverified'. The issuer will release information on September 1 and make a call at 8:30 ET on September 15. This is for inventory and margin context only, and no order will be placed.
https://investors.verabradley.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vera-bradley-inc-announces-reporting-date-second-quarter-1
PLAY R91208 Monday PLAY date reverified = 14
Supply chain2026-09-12 08:11
A news scan found the headline about PLAY stock with the identifier R91208 for Monday. The issuer of the stock confirmed that on September 1, the results for AMC will be released on September 14. There will be a call at 17 ET to discuss the quarter that ended on August 4. The call will cover costs, food inputs, and traffic context, but no order will be made.
https://daveandbusters.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dave-busters-entertainment-inc-report-second-quarter-2026