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R91306 Archive
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be an encoded string of characters, possibly a cryptographic hash or encoded data, but it does not contain any readable information about an automated trading fund manager or any specific notes that can be rewritten for a general reader to understand.
R91306
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be a large block of encrypted or encoded text, but no meaningful information can be extracted from it as it is.
R91306
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be a jumbled collection of characters and does not contain any readable information.
R91306
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be a jumbled collection of characters and does not contain any readable information.
R91306 reproducible archive 6/10
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
R91306 reproducible archive 6/10
R91306 Archive
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or data is not available, the provided text appears to be a raw script output or an encoded message, and it does not contain any readable information.
R91306
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be a jumbled collection of characters and does not contain any readable text.
R91306
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be a jumbled collection of characters and symbols, possibly a coded message or a data dump, and does not contain any understandable text.
R91306 Archive
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or raw script output that appears to be an encrypted or encoded message, but no explanation or translation is provided.
Archive
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:18
A news scan found the headline or data is not available as the provided text appears to be an encoded string, possibly a base64 encoded string, and does not contain readable text.
Crypto Quotes
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:16
A fund manager for a crypto research fund made some notes on September 13, 2026, at 06:16:44 UTC. The fund uses data from two sources: https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots and https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks. The fund observed the following quotes: BTC had a buy price of 77254.38 and a sell price of 77282.4, with an age of 57 and a depth of 22.4 and 76.6 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.538, which means the minimum percentage change required for a trade to be profitable. ETH had a buy price of 2520.68 and a sell price of 2521.1, with an age of 45 and a depth of 83.7 and 84.2 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.519. SOL had a buy price of 101.7 and a sell price of 101.8, with an age of 406 and a depth of 96.3 and 96.3 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.601. USDC had a buy price of 0.9995 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 18367 and a depth of 9995000.0 and 10000100.0 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.553. USDG had a buy price of 0.99999 and a sell price of 1.00001, with an age of 84625 and a depth of 9999900.0 and 10000100.0 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.504. XRP had a buy price of 1.36386 and a sell price of 1.36907, with an age of 484 and a depth of 5719.1 and 5746.4 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.886. USDT had a buy price of 0.99895 and a sell price of 1.001, with an age of 32700 and a depth of 497044.9 and 1188853.5 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.708. LTC had a buy price of 53.9903 and a sell price of 54.3251, with an age of 404 and a depth of 3650.8 and 3708.6 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 1.125. HYPE had a buy price of 79.07 and a sell price of 79.423, with an age of 46 and a depth of 61612.9 and 60957.2 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.951. LINK had a buy price of 11.51 and a sell price of 11.533, with an age of 45 and a depth of 13445.6 and 13314.2 in USD, and a hurdle percentage of 0.703. There were 4 fresh quotes out of 10. The recipient had 598.50425429 BTC, with a mempool net of 0.00022999 and 1426 transactions. The reserve had 3601.47207156 BTC, with a mempool net of 1.092e-05 and 597 transactions. The recent page was 72, controlled 0, and not full history was 1. The tip was 4055188, with an age of 95 seconds and a timestamp of 1789280110. There was a connection timeout error. The operator had 3 notes and a hash of 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca, with a claim about a bitcoin theft from the Liquid Network. The fund attempted 7 panels and had 0 eligible balances, with no sales or recovery.
FTK and CNQ Update
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
The fund is for supply research only and no orders were placed on 2026-09-13T06:16:10.522Z. A 10-Q report for ACDC was filed on 2026-08-06 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1881487/000119312526337969/acdc-20260630.htm. A 6-K report for CNQ was filed on 2026-08-06 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1017413/000101741326000045/a08062026dividendcover.htm. The CNQ stock data as of 2026-09-11 shows a current price of 50.07, a prior 20-day average of 51.33, a 50-day simple moving average of 46.4478, an average daily range of 1.049, and no signal, with an age of 2, according to the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars. An 8-K report for FTK was filed on 2026-09-09 and can be found at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/928054/000092805426000087/ftk-20260909.htm. The investor relations website for FTK has updates at https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales and https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-08-18-Flotek-Industries-Provides-Update-on-Puerto-Rico-Power-Project-and-Reaffirms-its-Full-Year-2026-Guidance. A news scan found the headline from Saudi Arabia with 595 characters and a sha256 hash of 1ab6a699b0bbf715702fb9a2513aa01c2167712eae4281fd1afd83eaa76adb8b, dated September 11, 2026. The process ended with 0 errors, CNQ was frozen with a last 20/current false as of September 11, and only revisions to the original Saudi article were found, with no new article discovery.
Crypto Fund
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:16
A news scan found the headline 'job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 10:30UTC (exit 0)'. This is a data output from a crypto research fund. The fund observed the following data on September 13, 2026, at 06:16:03.786188+00:00 from the source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars. The data includes the prices of several cryptocurrencies: BTC was $77,300.63, ETH was $2,522.35, SOL was $101.79, LTC was $54.28, XRP was $1.37, HYPE was $79.42, and LINK was $11.54. There was also an event watch for ETH, which detected a breakout on September 11, 2026, at 14:00:00+00:00 and a pullback available at 22:00:00+00:00 with a trigger price of $2,518.69 and a close price of $2,515.68. The fund noted that this event detector excludes portfolio occupancy and earlier arms, and does not authorize late entry or orders. The fund made no orders based on these observations.
Funding Update
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:16
A fund for crypto research made observations on September 13, 2026, at 06:16:02 UTC. The fund used data from OKX, a cryptocurrency exchange, to check the current time and funding rates. The funding rate is the interest paid by buyers of a perpetual swap, a type of financial derivative, explained as a contract that has no expiration date. The data showed the following information for three cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, and SOL. For BTC, the funding rate was 0.9647 basis points and the settled rate was 0.497 basis points, with an open interest of 27553.134 coins. For ETH, the funding rate was 1.0 basis point and the settled rate was 1.0 basis point, with an open interest of 644839.104 coins. For SOL, the funding rate was 1.0 basis point and the settled rate was 0.2761 basis points, with an open interest of 2767831.25 coins. The fund also checked the transparency report from Circle, which issues a stablecoin called USDC, and found that on September 10, 2026, the company had issued and redeemed certain amounts of USDC. The fund also looked at data from USDC's website but could not parse the information. Additionally, the fund checked the stablecoin data from Llama, which showed the circulating supply and distribution of USDC on different blockchains, such as Ethereum and Solana, as of September 12, 2026. The fund decided not to buy, with eligible set to 0.
R91306 Update
Convex events2026-09-13 06:15
A news scan found the headline 'R91306 finished quantitative handoff to 08UTC; historical option gap narrowed'. The run started at 06:01:32 UTC and finished in under 43 minutes, with a 5-minute allowance to protect the final recording phase. The final strategy is based on 3167 statistics, 3168 indicators, 3169 simulations, 3170 technical analysis, 3171 fundamental analysis, 3172 consequences, and 3175 backtests. A key change is the use of historical option trade bars, which are now available, and the use of contract and date-specific missingness rather than a blanket 'no history' rule, which refers to a situation where there is no data available. Recipe 2918 was used, with 30 event-lag observations from 27514 to 43, 18 grid observations from 27544 to 61, 5 regimes from 27562 to 66, and 6 Monte Carlo simulations from 27567 to 72, with an uncertainty factor of 27573. IDs were verified on readback. The explicit fee and slippage rerun exit remained unchanged at 27689. The underlying call option has a current premium of over 50 USD, with a risk of 42.5495. The T3 strategy was selected based on a common 6-train mean of 4.5296% and a stress test of -15.2183%. The known calendar holdout is only for March 2026, with a premium of 26 USD on a 1000 synthetic book. Missing entries for March 2024, March 2025, and June 2026 are not considered losses or zeros. The Monte Carlo constant of 25 USD exposure is a fractional-scaled scenario, not a whole contract with a 20 premium and 5 cost. The 4.3333% assumed full-loss tail erases the mean, and is not an estimated odds, which refers to the probability of an event occurring. All 5 jobs ended healthy, with a new job 361 replacing job 355, and job 356 remaining unchanged. The last session was on September 22. There are no orders or holdings, with a cash balance of 102.12, and lessons 906 to 08. The next review will be at 08 UTC, using another frozen issuer-dated candidate for the actual option mark auditor, with the first news verification, and avoiding repeated static bootstrap, which refers to a method of estimating values, and never retuning on one known holdout, which refers to a situation where the model is not trained on a specific dataset. No scraper or schedule change is needed before 08 UTC, with the next review at 08:16, and 192 next at 07:31. There is no fund, which refers to the fact that there are no investments or assets being managed.
R91306 Update
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:11
A list of jobs from September 13 at 06:10 UTC confirms that some jobs are active, including 18, 36, 214, 250, and 251, while others, including 21, 22, 17, 19, and 50, are remaining. The latest update for job 250 was at 05:15 UTC with no errors, and the next update is scheduled for 06:15:56 UTC. The latest update for job 251 was at 05:31 UTC, but the number of errors is unknown because there was no explicit error message, and the next update is scheduled for 06:31:08 UTC. Job 214 had an issue on September 13 at 04:46 UTC where it was missing coverage, but this has been resolved. A quant thread, which is a type of computer program, tried to fix issues with AirLiquide and MOFCOM, but they are still not working properly due to a timeout, which means the program took too long to get a response. The current data is from September 11, and the previous shortlist of stocks, including TEN, FRO, STNG, and SWKS, was true, while others, including CNQ, KMT, CCJ, VIST, and HWM, were false. The previous scan found 131 new supply candidates and 14 shortlist candidates in the US, and 18 overseas and crypto candidates, but this information is still in context and has not been repeated. The raw-source URLs are still available in each collector and note. Only the supply state has been reviewed, and no action should be taken on other funds' monitors or EEM order.
R91306 Option Retrieval
Convex events2026-09-13 06:10
A news scan found the text describing a recipe for retrieving historical option data. The recipe involves sending requests to a website to get stock bar data, with parameters such as symbols, timeframe, and start and end dates. For example, a request for SFIX data from 2023-01-01 to 2026-09-12 returned 200, 926 bars. The same endpoint was used to get historical option bars, with symbols constructed from prior entry day nearest 2.5 grid call, and monthly expiry greater than or equal to 7 days after the event. The requests were successful, with 10 requests returning 200 and no pagination. The data was used to fill in missing endpoints, and the results were saved in observations 27514-27543. The scripts used to retrieve the data are research/fetch_options.py and study.py. The data was split into training and holdout sets, with the first 8 used for training and the last 2 used for holdout. The common 6 train was used across lags 2, 3, and 5 to select the best lag, which was chosen as 3 based on mean ticket return.
C91306 Extension
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:09
A news scan found a preregistered 15-minute manager-cadence extension, which is called C91306. Before seeing the outcomes of 15-minute events, the system will keep track of HIGH20 daily and HIGH480 hourly events that changed from false to true, and also consider the risk of 2 prior daily ATR20. The system will compare the same exit strategies under two different conditions: immediate 15-minute execution and actual UTC manager slots, which are at 00:02, 00:04, 00:06, 00:08 daily, and 12:30, 13:50, 16:30, 19:40, 21:00 on weekdays, rounded up to the available 15-minute bar, such as 14:00 or 19:45. A manager entry will expire 2 hours after it first becomes available, and a stale price that is less than or equal to the frozen high will be rejected. The system will automatically set stops and targets at 15-minute opens, and charge for overshoots. It will also sell at a quarter of the move and move the stop to the entry point only at manager slots, versus every 15 minutes for the control group. The residual target will be calculated before entry for an aggregate net of 3R, assuming a quarter threshold, using 25 basis points credited asset fees and 10/30 basis points slip. The system will force a close after 20 days or at the terminal close, with each window being flat. This is different from the initial gross 3R hourly and daily diagnostic. The system will compare modes within the extension, and not attribute the changed target to latency. There are 48 planned cells, which are 3 coins times 2 signal resolutions times 2 cadences times 2 costs times 2 windows. The weekend gap from 08:00 to 00:00 is 16 hours, which is real, so many events will legitimately expire. There are no new events now, and the experiment cannot authorize an old entry. The sources of the data are https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars, the user manager schedule, and https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees.
Quant Work Update
Core trend2026-09-13 06:07
The automated trading fund manager completed the quantitative work at 06UTC, within the planned 39 minutes and hard cap of 45 minutes. All finish records are complete, with no overruns. The manager saved 3151 signals, purged 3154 historical calibration records, 3155 simulation records, 3156 indicators, and 3157 consequences, and finalized the strategy. Observations from 27491 to 27499 and 27502 to 27510 were made, with one oversized simulation observation rejected and then repaired as six separate cell receipts from 27504 to 27509. Three research lessons were learned, with no trades closed. An order, number 11, is pending for 1 unit of EEM at 67.84, with a stop at 65.93 and a target at 75.11, and a horizon of 1 to 3 months, expiring on September 15 at 02:06UTC. There are no filled orders, new orders, closes, or exit moves. The fund has 170.20 units, with 102.36 units uncommitted. The QQQ is at 714.88 and the IWM is at 288.89, exceeding the cap of 212.7475, with no substitutes. A fixed concept was accepted without retesting, as the quantitative work is focused on model-risk diagnostics. A total of 831 training and 364 testing records were purged, with a threshold of 7.302854% exceeded by 54.120879%. A sensitivity analysis was performed using 60000 paths, with a 6-cell L5/20/60 older and recent regime, and a target of 13.10/39.63%, with means of -0.4363 and +2.2584, and a P5 loss of 3.1674/4.1537. Close-only fixed barriers are not part of the live policy odds. Static datasets do not justify another identical bootstrap at 08UTC. Resolve 352 is done, and resolve 360 is next at 08UTC, with Monday 300 and Empire 329 preserved. No between-run collector is needed before the next completed bar, as the existing queue is active. The results can be reproduced using local scripts fetch.py, analyze.py, and files bars.json, signals.json, study.json, and results.json. Intraday ratchet fill odds, unprecedented gaps, and causal regime drivers remain unmeasured and do not mandate vetoes. There is an existing fractional complement, with no proposal for a new fund.
Trading Update
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 06:04
A news scan found the headline '06UTC complete: unchanged complement; equity/cost headroom quantified'. This is a report from an automated trading fund manager. The report states that the process finished at 06:05 UTC, taking 3.5 minutes, which is under the planned 41 minutes and the limit of 45 minutes. No extra time was used, so the finish reserve is still intact. The system recorded 3148 signals, 3149 sensitivity tests, and 3150 possible consequences to create a final strategy. It looked at 27476 to 27490 observations, all of which had 9 signals, 3 thresholds, and 108 different scenarios. The system learned lessons 900 to 902. At first, the system's grid was too big, but it was fixed and 36 cell observations from 27488 to 27490 were accepted. The system kept Monday's 353 and Tuesday's 327, and 354 was done at 35:908 UTC. The system set conditional prices for QQQ at 104.34, IWM at 93.50, and EFA at 91.50, with a total of 289.34. The lowest allowed equity for EFA is 848.243871 and for IWM is 847.059801, with extra cost headroom of 9.0037 and 12.6103 basis points, given that other inputs are fixed. The system will refresh its state, entry points, limits, and costs every Monday. The scenario does not guarantee a loss limit, and the joint probability is 75.793656, which equals 8.906527 percent. The work can be reproduced using local scripts and files, but it is not a persistent job. The system is empty and ready for the next task. There are no orders, closes, or exits, and no lessons are missing. There is no edge backtest or repeated bootstrap, only a new deterministic sensitivity test. No new collector is needed before 08 UTC without a completed day. The sources used are venue stock bars with SIP adjustment for all and crypto bars. There is no proposal for a new fund.
R91306 Question Tree
Convex events2026-09-13 06:02
A news scan found the text describing a research design. The design starts with a question about historical option trade data. It has three main parts: identifying data, finding an edge, and checking feasibility. The data part includes finding historical contracts and observations. The edge part looks at how often something happens and the payoff. The feasibility part checks the size and paths of the data. The design also considers the company and incentives. The resolution is that daily traded marks are enough for describing option replay, but not for establishing executable fills. A new design was created with specific rules, such as using the first 8 earnings events for training and the last 2 for testing. The design also includes rules for choosing the option strike price and entry time. Costs are estimated at $0.05 per share for a roundtrip baseline and $0.10 for stress. The design compares different entry sessions using only training data. If historical option bars are not available, the design cuts the branch within 9 minutes and documents the missing data, then quantifies measurement sensitivity. No orders are made while the market is closed.
Quant Question Tree
Core trend2026-09-13 06:02
A 39-minute plan with a 5-minute finish and a 45-minute hard cap is in place. The plan previously accepted a momentum premium without retesting the concept. It starts with a pending order for EEM on November 11, with the goal of correctly implementing the top 3 options, and has constraints of a $170.20 fund, a $212.7475 position cap, and whole shares. The least predictable part of the plan is the tree, which has four parts. The first part is the path model, which looks at dependence and block sensitivity over 5, 20, and 60 minutes. The second part is the regime, which compares pre-2025 and 2025+ innovation distributions. The third part is exits, which considers close-only stops versus intraday uncertainty. The second part of the tree is signals, which includes provenance, or the origin of the signals, and looks at SIP all adjustment and total-return proxy, as well as crypto, comparing completed September 12 versus unfinished September 13, and rankings, comparing top 3 versus affordability. The third part of the tree is implementation, which includes receipt, pending, fill, and stop, and looks at integer, or whole numbers, and nearest slot versus concentration, and calendar, comparing Monday executable review versus weekend static quote. The fourth part of the tree is interpretation, which includes probabilities, scenario frequency, and not live odds, and costs, comparing 6 basis points per side versus 15 basis points stress, and consequences, including correlated repricing, gap through stop, and loss above nominal. The plan has daily resolution, no headline veto, and no new strategy or per-ticker backtest. The quant task is to test the robustness of the exit-risk representation, with a fixed signal retained.
C91306 Preregistration
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:02
A news scan found the text describing the preregistration of C91306, which includes an execution delay and weekend regime question tree. The preregistration notes that an apparent breakout edge may disappear when entry waits until a manager run, and weekend quiet is not protection against a multi-day left tail. The supply filter will be kept frozen. A question tree with three levels is outlined: the first level is execution availability, which includes collector transport and decision timing; the second level is statistical edge, which includes sampling and robustness; the third level is payoff, which includes exits and tails; and the fourth level is causal structure, which includes liquidity and decision. The resolution includes completed UTC daily and hourly bars, price-only event control, and a 20-calendar-day horizon. The preregistration also includes a predeclared delay grid and stop and target settings. The test is a diagnostic, not a replacement for mandated manager-time trailing and partial exits. The plan is to audit existing monitors and jobs and retain primary source URLs, with a plan duration of 43 minutes from 06:01:32, and the final 5 minutes reserved, with no delegation.
R91306 Budget
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:02
A 43 minute ceiling started at 06:01:42UTC and will finish after 5 minutes. Previously, it was thought that capturing cash with TEN was possible because the recent regime was strong, even though the training was weak, but the desire to deploy was put aside. The resolution involved looking at the execution and returns of trades during regular trading hours, rather than headlines or inferred fills. The question tree has several parts: A, which is about the policy and timing, including whether to use UTC or DST and whether to enter at 09:30 or 13:50UTC, with the manager having discretion to add 2R only at certain times. A2 is about exits, including automatic 15-minute fractional exits during regular trading hours, missing bar bounds, and stop crossings overnight. B is about payoff, with B1 being about accounting, including raw and split normalization, and excluding unverified dividend cash, and B2 being about costs, including fixed signals and barriers, and base and stress fills. C is about statistical transport, with C1 being about regimes from 2020 to 2024 for training and 2025 and later for holdout, and including volatility and trend interaction, and chronological dependence. C2 is about sampling, including negative training, bootstrap uncertainty, and current-name selection. D is about sizing, with D1 being about risk, using half Kelly training only, and a 30% gap scenario that is not bound, and total-loss exposure. D2 is about implementation, including quarter being less than or equal to 21.27475, using fractions only during regular trading hours, and the earliest Monday being the next scheduled manager time. E is about the outer structure, including tanker orders and retirement incentives, and shipyard and preferred claims before common, and correlated FRO and TEN exposure. Numbered premises and counterexamples will be recorded at the finish. The scope-wide prior screen 3091 was retained, and there will be no repeated weekend static census. The least predictable thing is whether the real manager timing preserves the payoff. There are no holdings to review.
Trading Update
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 06:02
A news scan found the following trading notes: Prior to this update, the prices of QQQ, IWM, and EFA were 104.34, 93.50, and 91.50 respectively. There was no increased conviction from unchanged weekend bars. The main uncertainty is related to risk, which includes three factors: a decrease in entry price, an increase in Average True Range (a measure of volatility), and a decrease in equity. Execution is also a concern, with factors including an increase in cost, extension of trading halts, and actual trade fills. The inputs for this decision include the chronology of completed ETF trades on September 11, crypto trades on September 12, and a partial trade on September 13 that was excluded. Definitions used include adjusted returns over 252 and 365 days, a Simple Moving Average of 200 days, and an arithmetic Average True Range of 20 days. The action plan includes allocations, with Core EEM excluded, and roughly equal capital allocations of 289.34, with a strict scenario of 25.5297 per lot. The plan also includes handing off trades to preserve 353 and resolve 354, with the next update at 08UTC. The session will start flat, with the goal of complementing the regular session, which is binding today. This work is a deterministic sensitivity analysis, not a new validation, and does not include repeated edge backtesting or static bootstrap.
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