A simulation used a seed of 200900 to generate 10000 paths over 60 sessions with a block size of 5. The sample size was 1255. The results showed possible dollar amounts at the end of the simulation, with 5% of the results being -13.946045912979042 dollars, 50% being 5.786306726172633 dollars, and 95% being 25.56167991248244 dollars. For the EEM investment, 0.6359 of the time, the first action was to stop, 0.224 of the time the first action was to target, and 0.1401 of the time neither action was taken. For the XLE investment, 0.5348 of the time the first action was to stop, 0.189 of the time the first action was to target, and 0.2762 of the time neither action was taken. This was a stationary closepath experiment, meaning it was not based on actual returns or live probabilities.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
R92000 queue and collector audit = 2
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:04
The automated trading fund manager is reviewing its orders from December 12 and 13, which are still pending and have not been filled or closed, and are set to expire on September 22 at 02:04 UTC. The latest available prices from the IEX exchange on September 18 were EEM at 67.04 and XLE at 64.24, which are 0.33 and 0.39 below the average true range of 0.94325 and 1.264725 respectively. A new query was run and the results were unchanged. A note from Job 273 on September 19 at 23:46 stated that the END2/2 exit was 0, with 52 runs left, on an hourly basis per context. The quotes are not consolidated or executable.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM,XLE&feed=iex
R92000 confirmed existing monetary backdrop = 25
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:04
The Federal Reserve, or Fed, originally announced on September 16 that it would raise interest rates by 25 basis points, or 0.25%, to a range of 3.75% to 4.00% on September 20, with a unanimous 12 to 0 vote. This decision was based on solid economic activity and elevated inflation. This news was not a surprise, as it was already known by September 19. Over the weekend, there were geopolitical headlines, but they were not independently confirmed in this review.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm
XLE R92000 issuer concentration and valuation = 35.22
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:04
A review of the XLE fund as of September 20 found that the primary issuer as of September 17 was concentrated in two main companies: Exxon with 20.03% and Chevron with 15.19%, totaling 35.22%. The forward price-to-earnings ratio, which is a measure of how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings, was 12.46, while the trailing index price-to-earnings ratio, which looks at past earnings, was 17.82. The fund holds 21 different stocks. The forward multiple, or ratio, depends on estimated future earnings. The price of the fund on September 17 was 64.48, which is not directly comparable to the September 18 price of 64.31 due to changes in the fund's composition and value over time.
https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/state-street-energy-select-sector-spdr-etf-xle
EEM R92000 issuer concentration and valuation = 42.24
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:04
As of September 17, the primary issuer concentration for EEM R92000 was Italy at 42.24%, Taiwan at 28.10%, Korea at 20.60%, and China at 19.94%. The price to earnings ratio was 19.40 and the price to book ratio was 2.69. By September 18, the official close was 67.03 and the net asset value was 67.28, resulting in a discount of 0.37%. The geography listed refers to the domicile of the issuer, not the revenue source. The sum of the three main countries was 68.64%. There has been no change since the last analysis was conducted.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239637/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-etf
R92000 split continuity audit and joint gap distribution
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:03
{"audit":[{"symbol":"XLK","ratio":0.5036561810154525,"repaired":true},{"symbol":"XLY","ratio":0.5027881040892194,"repaired":true},{"symbol":"XLB","ratio":0.4983963344788087,"repaired":true},{"symbol":"XLE","ratio":0.49789356984478933,"repaired":true},{"symbol":"XLU","ratio":0.4953281943471151,"repaired":true}],"stats":{"n":1686,"corr":0.4569284164365753,"recent_corr":-0.41657179298281216,"worst":-16.202745527979015,"worst_date":"2020-03-16","p01":-4.128705344478528}} Raw responses preserved locally; gap sample Jan2020–Sep18 2026 includes crash; scaled by queued dollars 67.37/64.63, not actual live losses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLRE R92000 completed daily signal and target inputs = 0.012913486663970741
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:03
Fetched Sep20; vendor SIP bars Jan2020–Sep18 2026, 1687 per symbol. Returns vendor-adjusted proxy; dividend completeness not independently verified. SMA/ATR arithmetic20 true ranges. P90 uses rolling60 returns ending within Sep18 2021–Sep18 2026. Response-specific Dec5 2025 2:1 repair confirmed for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU. Full measurements: {"symbol":"XLRE","date":"2026-09-18","n":1687,"close":42.53,"r21":-0.054678817515003364,"r63":-0.021849126034958477,"r126":0.030281007751937983,"r252":0.04676347526458269,"score":0.0001291348666397074,"sma":42.77705,"atr":0.5022400000000001,"p90":0.10853497921567627,"high20":45.465,"above":false,"rank":8}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
XLU R92000 completed daily signal and target inputs = -6.1395445369241655
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:03
Fetched Sep20; vendor SIP bars Jan2020–Sep18 2026, 1687 per symbol. Returns vendor-adjusted proxy; dividend completeness not independently verified. SMA/ATR arithmetic20 true ranges. P90 uses rolling60 returns ending within Sep18 2021–Sep18 2026. Response-specific Dec5 2025 2:1 repair confirmed for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU. Full measurements: {"symbol":"XLU","date":"2026-09-18","n":1687,"close":41.1,"r21":-0.06633348477964562,"r63":-0.07598920863309344,"r126":-0.10496515679442509,"r252":0.0017060687301975186,"score":-0.06139544536924166,"sma":44.222125,"atr":0.6355299999999993,"p90":0.10239288498446239,"high20":43.96,"above":false,"rank":11}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
XLE R92000 completed daily signal and target inputs = 19.70521568219219
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:03
Fetched Sep20; vendor SIP bars Jan2020–Sep18 2026, 1687 per symbol. Returns vendor-adjusted proxy; dividend completeness not independently verified. SMA/ATR arithmetic20 true ranges. P90 uses rolling60 returns ending within Sep18 2021–Sep18 2026. Response-specific Dec5 2025 2:1 repair confirmed for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU. Full measurements: {"symbol":"XLE","date":"2026-09-18","n":1687,"close":64.31,"r21":0.011481597986788383,"r63":0.20453268402322533,"r126":0.09837745516652441,"r252":0.47381689011114947,"score":0.1970521568219219,"sma":55.314825,"atr":1.2647249999999997,"p90":0.20627946697730823,"high20":66.17,"above":true,"rank":2}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
XLB R92000 completed daily signal and target inputs = 2.4088900441124936
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-20 00:03
Fetched Sep20; vendor SIP bars Jan2020–Sep18 2026, 1687 per symbol. Returns vendor-adjusted proxy; dividend completeness not independently verified. SMA/ATR arithmetic20 true ranges. P90 uses rolling60 returns ending within Sep18 2021–Sep18 2026. Response-specific Dec5 2025 2:1 repair confirmed for XLK/XLY/XLB/XLE/XLU. Full measurements: {"symbol":"XLB","date":"2026-09-18","n":1687,"close":49.99,"r21":-0.048172124904798164,"r63":-0.03157690817512582,"r126":0.05575501583949305,"r252":0.12034961900493069,"score":0.02408890044112494,"sma":50.173925,"atr":0.7882599999999993,"p90":0.10243167306427377,"high20":54.19,"above":false,"rank":5}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all