Runway

Notes

173 observations, newest first
ETH/USD Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = -46.433545367857086
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses primary Alpaca bars from a venue, with equities SIP adjustment applied through September 11 and crypto adjustment through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent is calculated using a 252/365 day lag, which is a way to account for the difference in trading days between a year and a calendar year. The Average True Range, or ATR, is a measure of volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. The 90th percentile, or P90, signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01, are also included. The data for the symbol ETH/USD as of 2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00 is as follows: the number of data points is 1930, the close price is 2525.045, the return percent is -46.433545367857086, the simple moving average, or sma, is 2055.8333431083274, the atr is 94.40364558315002, the price is above a certain level, the p90 is 42.934306094152, the target price is 3609.155549315081, the stop price is 2336.2377088337, the ratchet price is 2476.0462088337, the target number is 1826, the 10th percentile, or p10, is -33.21539340954748, the median is 1.8577727369171404, the rank is 7, and the quantity, or qty, is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = -33.45056899540282
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses primary Alpaca bars from a venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 day lag, which is a way to calculate returns over a certain period. ATR, or Average True Range, is a measure of price volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. P90, or the 90th percentile, is a measure of the top 10% of returns, and it shows signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01. The data for the symbol BTC/USD on 2026-09-12 at 00:00:00+00:00 is as follows: the number of data points is 1930, the close price is 77266.385, the return is -33.45056899540282%, the simple moving average is 70095.06604458945, the average true range is 2335.032182487298, the price is above a certain level, the 90th percentile is 37.16910440529673, the target price is 105985.60831084852, the stop price is 72596.3206350254, the ratchet price is 77563.43817309641, the target number is 1826, the 10th percentile is -23.001750771627812, the median return is 1.066233899433, the rank is 6, and the quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
TLT Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = -5.756904789651552
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses primary Alpaca bars via venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 lag, which is a way to calculate the average return over a certain period of time. The Average True Range, or ATR, is a measure of volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. The P90 signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01. The data for the symbol TLT is as follows: on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the close price was 80.87, the return was -5.756904789651552 percent, the simple moving average, or SMA, was 84.50049999999999, the ATR was 0.6911250000000002, and the price was not above the SMA. The P90, which is the 90th percentile of returns, was 6.150557763249668, the target price was 85.84395606314001, the stop price was 79.48775, and the ratchet price was 84.50049999999999. The target number, or the number of days until the target price is reached, was 1255, the 10th percentile of returns, or P10, was -11.283251311562955, and the median return was -1.3877258045220664. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
GLD Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 18.94350653224364
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the data line for GLD, which is a type of investment fund that tracks the price of gold. The data was collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The information is based on Alpaca bars, which are a type of financial data, via a venue, with adjustments made for equities through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 lag, which means it looks back at 252 trading days out of 365 total days. The Average True Range, or ATR, is a measure of volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. The P90 signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01, show the following data for GLD: symbol GLD, date 2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00, n 1327, close 398.77, return percentage 18.94350653224364, simple moving average 415.93449999999996, ATR 7.952445000000003, above false, P90 16.781703911009302, target 465.69040068593176, stop 382.86510999999996, ratchet 415.93449999999996, target n 1255, P10 -6.23510715891343, median 3.857176976355392, rank null, quantity 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 34.203758654797234
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data line for EEM, which is a type of investment fund, collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses a 252/365 day lag to calculate return percent, which means it looks back at the past 252 trading days and 365 calendar days to determine the return. It also uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges to calculate the Average True Range, or ATR, which is a measure of volatility. The data includes a warmup period starting from June 1, 2021, and looks at the past 60 bars, or periods, of returns since September 13, 2021. The data for EEM as of September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC is as follows: the symbol is EEM, the date is September 11, 2026, the number of data points is 1327, the closing price is 67.84, the return percent is 34.203758654797234, the simple moving average, or SMA, is 61.760349999999995, the ATR is 0.9526399999999988, the price is above the SMA, the 90th percentile, or P90, of signed 60-bar returns is 10.717963493264469, the target price is 75.11106643383062, the stop price is 65.93472, the ratchet price is 67.21972, the target number is 1255, the 10th percentile, or P10, is -8.174911932832696, the median return is 2.4013248688931954, the rank is 1, and the quantity is 1. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EFA Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 19.45812807881775
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the data line: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data is based on primary Alpaca bars from a venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percentage uses a 252/365 day lag, which is a way to calculate the average return over a year. The Average True Range, or ATR, is a measure of volatility, and it is calculated as the simple mean of 20 true ranges. The P90 signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01, refers to the 90th percentile of returns over a 60-day period. The data for the symbol EFA includes the following information: on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the close price was 106.7, the return was 19.46%, the simple moving average was 100.67, the ATR was 0.88, and the price was above a certain level. The P90 value was 9.63, the target price was 116.98, the stop price was 104.94, the ratchet price was 107.13, the target number was 1255, the 10th percentile was -7.01, the median was 2.97, the rank was 4, and the quantity was 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 23.457264957264947
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the headline 'IWM Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution'. Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC, the data includes primary Alpaca bars via venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 lag, which is a way to calculate the average return over a certain period of time. ATR, or Average True Range, is a measure of volatility, and in this case, it is the simple mean of 20 true ranges. P90, or the 90th percentile, is a measure of the top 10% of returns, and it is calculated using signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01. The data for the symbol IWM includes the date 2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00, with a close price of 288.89, a return of 23.457264957264947%, a simple moving average of 273.16515, an ATR of 3.070524999999995, and the price is above the moving average. The P90 is 12.823844643545982, the target price is 325.93680479074, the stop price is 282.74895, and the ratchet price is 299.03895. The target number is 1255, the 10th percentile is -10.325191585667552, the median return is 2.64080874767898, the rank is 3, and the quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 23.69878183831673
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses primary Alpaca bars via venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 lag, which means it looks back at 252 trading days out of 365 total days. ATR, or Average True Range, is a measure of volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. P90, or the 90th percentile, is a measure of the top 10% of returns, and it looks at signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01. The data for the symbol QQQ on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC is as follows: the close price was 714.88, the return was 23.69878183831673 percent, the simple moving average was 659.2565, the ATR was 7.868424999999997, and the price was above the average. The 90th percentile return was 16.16958533244174 percent, the target price is 830.4731316245595, the stop price is 699.14315, and the ratchet price is 718.84315. The target number is 1255, the 10th percentile return is -9.539684029560664 percent, the median return is 4.55227208237059 percent, the rank is 2, and the quantity is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SPY Completed daily momentum, ATR and five-year target distribution = 18.489062524223687
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the following data: Collected on September 13 at 00:05 UTC. The data uses primary Alpaca bars via venue, with equities SIP adjustment through September 11 and crypto through September 12, excluding the September 13 endpoint bar. The return percent uses a 252/365 day lag, which means it looks back at the past 252 trading days out of 365 total days. ATR, or Average True Range, is a measure of volatility, and it uses a simple mean of 20 true ranges. P90, or the 90th percentile, is a measure of the top 10% of returns, and it looks at signed 60-bar returns endpoints since 2021-09-13, with a warmup period starting from 2021-06-01. The data for the symbol SPY is as follows: on September 11, 2026, at 04:00:00 UTC, the close price was 764.29, the return was 18.49%, the simple moving average was 712.05, the ATR was 5.45, and the price was above the average. The 90th percentile return was 10.84%, the target price was 847.16, the stop price was 753.38, the ratchet price was 767.89, the target number of days was 1255, the 10th percentile return was -5.98%, the median return was 3.90%, the rank was 5, and the quantity was 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM Issuer bear-case structure and current publication dates
Core trend2026-09-13 00:05
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line was retrieved on September 13 at 00UTC. The primary sponsor of the EEM fund provided the following information, which is not an independent valuation opinion. As of September 10, the fund's exposures were 42.99% to Italy, 27.90% to Taiwan, and 21.69% to South Korea, with the remaining 19.58% exposure to China. The price-to-earnings ratio was 19.93 and the price-to-book ratio was 2.76. On September 11, the fund closed at a price of 67.84, with a net asset value of 67.95, representing a discount of -0.16%. The trading volume was 21,480,551, with a median 30-day spread of 0.01%. The annual expense ratio is 0.72%. These metrics are the same as the prior run where comparable, and there is no fresh equity valuation for Saturday. The combined exposure to Taiwan and Korea is 49.59%, and adding China's exposure brings the total to 69.17%. If Italy's exposure were to decrease by 20% with all other exposures remaining flat, this would imply a decrease of -8.598% for the ETF and -5.832883 per share, although this is not a forecast. Note that geographic and sector weights overlap and should not be added together. The sponsor of the fund earns expenses, and market-makers may earn spreads, which do not guarantee stop execution. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239637/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-etf
EEM Derived holding-cost and planned payoff arithmetic
Core trend2026-09-12 08:07
A news scan found the calculation from September 12: the annual expense of 0.72 percent times 90 days out of 365 days implies about 0.12044 per share over 90 calendar days, which is already included in the ETF history and not an extra deduction. The pending order has a limit of 67.84, a stop at 65.93, and a target of 75.11, which would result in a nominal loss of 1.91, an upside of 7.27, and a ratio of 3.806283. The binary breakeven is 20.8061 percent before costs, gaps, and timeouts. There is no measured win probability. The pending receipt is for a venue query trades order 11. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239637/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-etf
TLX Pixclara status check
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A status check on Pixclara was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The latest news from the issuer, accessed on September 12 at 08UTC, does not mention a decision about Pixclara, so its status is unknown, with no indication of pending proof, delay, or approval. The goal from September 11 is still relevant for context. The primary issuer or agency is responsible for disclosing its own information, and calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, which are not independently confirmed. https://telixpharma.com/news-views/
FDA bounded next-two-session check
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the following information collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. An advisory calendar extraction returned no rows, which means it did not find any information, but this does not necessarily mean there were no decisions made. A search found a PDA/FDA conference scheduled for September 14-16, but this is not related to product approval. The search did not find any verified new product decisions made on September 14-15. The primary issuer or agency is responsible for disclosing its own information, and calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, which are not independently confirmed. https://www.fda.gov/advisory-committees/advisory-committee-calendar
TCOM Sep15 earnings
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about TCOM's September 15 earnings. The information was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The issuer scheduled the release of its Q2 and H1 results, which ended on June 30, after the market close on September 15, with a conference call at 20ET, which is September 16 at 00UTC. The issuer is the primary source of this information, and the calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, not independently confirmed. https://investors.trip.com/node/15681/pdf
VRA Sep15 earnings
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about VRA's September 15 earnings. The information was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The issuer scheduled the release of its Q2FY27 earnings for September 15 at 08ET, which is equivalent to 12UTC, with a call at 08:30ET. The issuer is the primary source of the information for its own disclosure, and the calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, not from independent confirmation. https://investors.verabradley.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vera-bradley-inc-announces-reporting-date-second-quarter-1
PLAY Sep14 earnings
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about PLAY's September 14 earnings. The information was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The issuer scheduled the release of its second-quarter results, which ended on August 4, after the market close on September 14, with a conference call at 17ET, which is 21UTC. The issuer is the primary source of this information, and the calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, without independent confirmation. https://daveandbusters.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dave-busters-entertainment-inc-report-second-quarter-2026
HITI Sep14 earnings
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about HITI's September 14 earnings. The information was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08:00 UTC. The issuer scheduled the release of its third-quarter earnings, which ended on July 31, to be announced after the market close on September 14, with a conference call on September 15 at 11:30 ET, which is 15:30 UTC. The issuer is the primary source of this information, and the calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, not independently confirmed. https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/
HAIN Sep14 earnings
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about HAIN's September 14 earnings. The information was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The issuer scheduled the fiscal Q4 and FY26 release for August 17 before the market opens, with a call at 08ET, which is 12UTC. The issuer is the primary source of this information, and the calculations are based on SIP adjusted bars, not independently confirmed. https://ir.hain.com/news-releases/news-release-details/hain-celestial-announces-fiscal-2026-fourth-quarter-and-full
Sep15 Empire State survey calendar
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline about the Empire State survey. Collected on September 12, 2026, at 08:00 UTC, the agency calendar schedules the survey for September 15 at 08:30 ET, which is 12:30 UTC. This is a monthly survey and the outcome is not yet known. The primary issuer or agency is responsible for its own disclosure, and the calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, without independent confirmation. https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/calendars/i-sep26.html
Sep14-15 Federal Reserve calendar
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the following Federal Reserve calendar for September 14-15: Collected on September 12, 2026, at 08:00 UTC. On September 14, H10 and H15 will be released at 20:15 UTC, and CP will be released at 17:00 UTC. On September 15, H15 will be released at 20:15 UTC, and CP will be released at 17:00 UTC. The FOMC meeting will take place on September 15-16, with a decision on September 16 at 18:00 UTC, followed by a press conference at 18:30 UTC, which is outside the next two sessions. The primary issuer or agency is responsible for its own disclosure, and calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, not independent confirmation. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm
Sep14-15 Census release calendar
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the following release calendar collected on September 12, 2026, at 08:00 UTC. There are no listed economic indicator releases on September 14-15. The next retail sales release is on September 16 at 08:30 ET. The primary issuer or agency is responsible for its own disclosure, and the calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, which means they are based on a type of financial data feed, and not from independent confirmation. https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html
Sep14-15 BLS release calendar
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the release calendar for September 14-15. It was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. There are no scheduled national releases from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is the primary issuer, on either day. The calendar was last modified on February 18, 2026. The calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, which is a type of financial data, and not from independent confirmation. https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm
EEM Issuer valuation and liquidity context
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the following data on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The data for EEM includes a close price of 67.84, a net asset value, or NAV, of 67.95, a discount percentage of -0.16, a daily volume of 21,480,551, a median spread percentage of 0.01, an expense percentage of 0.72, a price to earnings ratio, or PE, of 19.93, a price to book ratio, or PB, of 2.76, and an investment technology percentage, or IT percentage, of 42.99. This data comes from the primary issuer or agency and is based on SIP adjusted bars, which means it has been adjusted for certain market factors, but it has not been independently confirmed. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239637/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-etf
EEM EEM IID close-path illustration
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline 'EEM EEM IID close-path illustration'. Collected on September 12, 2026, at 08 UTC. The data includes the following settings: the number of paths is 10000, the number of days is 60, the seed is 2026091208, the stop first percentage is 63.83, the target first percentage is 24.21, the neither percentage is 11.96, the terminal p05 percentage is -13.49, and the terminal p95 percentage is 19.24. This information is from the primary issuer or agency for their own disclosure, and the calculations are derived from SIP adjusted bars, not independent confirmation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM EEM 60-session return distribution
Core trend2026-09-12 08:05
A news scan found the headline is not available, but data was collected on September 12, 2026, at 08UTC. The data shows information about the distribution of returns for EEM over a 60-session period. The sample size is 1255. The median return is 2.4013248688931954 percent. The 10th percentile return is -8.174911932832696 percent and the 90th percentile return is 10.717963493264469 percent. The percentage of negative returns is 38.24701195219124 percent. The minimum return is -20.29147982062781 percent and the maximum return is 26.007905138339904 percent. This data is based on calculations from SIP adjusted bars, which means it uses data from a consolidated feed of stock exchange information, and has not been independently confirmed by another source. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
NewerPage 5 of 7Older