Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
TEN R91306 open_manager train = 0.6225738218486931
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The automated trading fund manager reported the following results: a return of 0.6225738218486931, a drawdown of 66.32889841157808, and a win rate of 41.37931034482759. The sample size was 29, with a mean percentage of 0.928868925351959 and a median percentage of -6.713998098143503. The manager set 5 targets, 21 stops, and 10 partials, and had 149 missing checks, affecting 20 trades. The average trade lasted 15.620689655172415 days. This data was computed from September 13, using the SIP2020 signal from September 11, 2026, with all adjustments made for signal and split-only ADR, and using automatic raw 15-minute and manager 5-minute data, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a slip of 5 basis points, and a base fee of 15 basis points with stress testing on fixed paths. The training period ended before 2025, and the holdout period started in 2025 for testing. The report noted one open trade that was not closed, and the drawdown was sampled, not the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0015 = 68.40833247733099
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The return on this investment was 68.40833247733099. A total of 9 trades were closed. The open mark percentage is 19.095687805040118. The current mark price is 47.93, which was recorded on September 11, 2026, at 19:55:00. The trade was opened on July 24, 2026, at 13:30:00. The stop loss is set at 39.61 and the target price is 48.365919999999996. This is a partial open trade. The drawdown, which is the difference between the highest and lowest prices, is 18.995177134767115. The unliquidated mark return is 68.61331473561872. This data was computed from September 13, using the SIP2020 method from September 11, 2026. The signal was adjusted and split-only ADR was used. The manager used 5-minute intervals and the data was sampled every 15 minutes. Fees were set at 1 basis point per side, with a 5 basis point slip and a base fee of 15 basis points, under stress test conditions with fixed paths. The training data only included trades that exited before 2025, while the test data included trades that started in 2025 or later. The open trade was marked but not closed. The sampled drawdown is not the worst possible loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0005 = 71.81041018760877
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
A news scan found the headline 'TEN R91306 open_all15 holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0005'. The details are as follows: the return is 71.81041018760877, the number of closed trades is 9, and the open mark percentage is 19.334117789457082. The mark price is 47.93, which was recorded on 2026-09-11 at 19:55:00. The open entry date was 2026-07-24 at 13:30:00. The stop price is 39.61 and the target price is 48.365919999999996. The open partial is true. The full period sampled drawdown is 18.833005195468377 and the unliquidated mark return is 71.88875373550212. This information was computed from September 13, using data from SIP2020 to September 11, 2026. The strategy used all adjusted signals and split-only ADR, which stands for American Depositary Receipt, a certificate representing a foreign stock. The manager used automatic raw 15-minute and 5-minute data. Fees were 1 basis point per side, with a 5 basis point slip and a 15 basis point stress on fixed paths. The training data excluded trades that exited before 2025, and the holdout entries were from 2025 or later, which is a test period. The marked open trade was not closed, and the sampled drawdown was not the worst possible loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 holdout_stress = 41.405902750245474
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The automated trading fund manager reported the following results: a return of 41.405902750245474, a drawdown of 15.303281738044848, and a win rate of 66.66666666666666. The sample size was 9, with a mean percentage of 4.338278593252445 and a median percentage of 4.921927782891999. The manager set 2 targets, 4 stops, and 5 partials, and had 12 missing checks, affecting 3 trades, with an average duration of 23.77777777777778 days. This data was computed from September 13, using the SIP2020 signal, and adjusting for splits and dividends, with a 15-minute automatic raw signal and a 5-minute manager signal. The fees were 1 basis point per side, with a 5 basis point slip and a 15 basis point stress test, using fixed paths. The training data included exits before 2025, while the holdout data included entries from 2025 onwards, which is a known test period. The manager marked one open trade that was not closed, and sampled the drawdown, which is not the worst possible loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 holdout = 43.97425763077778
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The trading fund manager reported the following results: a return of 43.97425763077778, a drawdown of 15.086858178523121, and a win rate of 66.66666666666666. The sample size was 9, with a mean percentage of 4.547164192702616 and a median percentage of 5.131981850065537. The manager set 2 targets and 4 stops, and made 5 partial trades. There were 12 missing checks and 3 affected trades, with an average duration of 23.77777777777778 days. The data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an adjusted signal and split-only ADR, which is a type of stock that trades on a US exchange. The manager used automatic 15-minute and 5-minute signals, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a 5 basis point slip, and a base fee of 15 basis points with stress testing on fixed paths. The training data excluded trades that ended before 2025, while the holdout data included trades that started on or after 2025, which is a known test period. The manager marked one open trade that had not been closed, and sampled the drawdown, which is the largest peak-to-trough decline, rather than the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 train_stress = -11.171146118387398
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The automated trading fund manager reported the following results: a return of -11.171146118387398, a drawdown of 66.99427977229666, and a win rate of 41.37931034482759. The sample size was 29, with a mean percentage of 0.45536600953599415 and a median percentage of -6.900383855978731. The manager set 5 targets, 21 stops, and 11 partials, with 149 missing checks and 20 affected trades. The average duration of trades was 15.620689655172415 days. This data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an adjusted signal and split-only ADR, which is a type of stock that represents ownership in a foreign company. The manager used 15-minute and 5-minute intervals, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a 5 basis point slip, and a base fee of 15 basis points, under stress conditions with fixed paths. The training data included trades that exited before 2025, while the test data included trades that entered in 2025 or later. The manager marked open trades that were not closed, and sampled the drawdown, which is the largest decline in value, rather than the worst quote loss, which is the largest decline in a single quote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_all15 train = -5.86672557518143
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The trading fund manager reported the following results: a return of -5.86672557518143, a drawdown of 66.46981123047043, and a win rate of 41.37931034482759. The sample size was 29, with a mean percentage change of 0.6564780043839195 and a median percentage change of -6.713998098143503. The manager set 5 targets, 21 stops, and 11 partials, with 149 missing checks and 20 affected trades. The average trade lasted 15.620689655172415 days. This data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an adjusted signal and split-only ADR, which is a type of stock ratio. The manager used automatic 15-minute and 5-minute signals, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a 5 basis point slip, and a base fee of 15 basis points with stress testing on fixed paths. The training period ended before 2025, and the holdout period started in 2025 with known test entries. The manager marked one open trade that was not closed, and the sampled drawdown was not the worst possible loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0015 = 57.28802654527825
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
A trading fund manager made notes about a trade. The return on the trade was 57.28802654527825 percent. The trade was closed 9 times. The open mark percentage was 20.618200031602196 percent. The mark price was 47.93. The mark time was September 11, 2026, at 19:55. The open entry time was July 24, 2026, at 13:30. The stop price was 36.69136. The target price was 48.365919999999996. The trade was not partially open. The full period sampled drawdown was 18.995177134767115 percent. The unliquidated mark return was 57.54006702150254 percent. A news scan found the headline is not available, but the notes also mentioned that the signal was computed on September 13, 2026, for the period from 2020 to September 11, 2026. The signal was adjusted and split-only, using automatic raw 15-minute and manager 5-minute data, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a 5 basis point slip, and a base fee of 15 basis points with stress on fixed paths. The training data only included exits before 2025, and the test data only included entries from 2025 or later. The trade was marked as open and not closed. The sampled drawdown was not the worst possible loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0005 = 60.4654589284134
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
A trading fund manager made notes about a trade. The return on investment was 60.4654589284134 percent. The trade was closed 9 times. The open mark percentage, which is the percentage of the price movement when the trade was opened, was 20.859678090833157 percent. The mark price, which is the current price of the trade, was 47.93. The mark time, which is the time when the trade was marked, was September 11, 2026, at 19:55:00. The open entry, which is the time when the trade was opened, was July 24, 2026, at 13:30:00. The stop, which is the price at which the trade will be automatically closed to limit losses, was 36.69136. The target, which is the price at which the trade will be automatically closed to lock in profits, was 48.365919999999996. The trade was not partially closed. The full period sampled drawdown, which is the maximum loss during a certain period, was 18.833005195468388 percent. The unliquidated mark return, which is the return on investment of the trade that has not been closed, was 60.561787973107826 percent. A news scan found the headline about a computation on September 13, 2026. The computation was based on data from September 11, 2026, to September 13, 2026, and used a signal called SIP2020 and an adjustment called all-adjusted signal/split-only ADR. The manager used automatic 15-minute and 5-minute signals and fees of 1 basis point per side and 5 basis points per slip, with a base fee of 15 basis points and stress fixed paths. The manager trained the model on data before 2025 and tested it on data from 2025 and later. The manager marked an open trade that was not closed. The sampled drawdown was not the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_stress = 30.401569998614207
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The trading results show a return of 30.401569998614207, a drawdown of 17.362647547615552, and a win rate of 55.55555555555556. The sample size is 9, with a mean percentage of 3.47584479453269 and a median percentage of 4.921927782891999. There were 2 targets, 4 stops, and 0 partials, with 14 missing checks and 3 affected trades. The average duration of trades was 24.444444444444443 days. The data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an adjusted signal and split-only ADR, which is a type of stock price comparison. The system used automatic 15-minute and manager 5-minute settings, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a 5 basis point slip, and a base fee of 15 basis points, with stress testing using fixed paths. The training data only included trades that exited before 2025, while the holdout data included trades that entered on or after 2025, which is a known test period. The results marked one open trade that was not closed. The sampled drawdown was not the worst possible loss, but rather a quote loss, which refers to the loss based on the current market quote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout = 32.77005322471087
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The results of a trading strategy are as follows: the return was 32.77%, the drawdown was 17.03%, and the win rate was 55.56%. The sample size was 9, the mean percentage change was 3.68%, and the median percentage change was 5.13%. There were 2 targets, 4 stops, and 0 partials. The strategy had 14 missing checks and affected 3 trades, with an average duration of 24.44 days. This data was computed from September 13, using the SIP2020 signal from September 11, 2026, with all adjustments made for signal and split-only ADR, and using 15-minute raw data and 5-minute manager data. The fees were 1 basis point per side, with a 5 basis point slip and a 15 basis point base stress, using fixed paths. The training exits were before 2025, and the holdout entries were from 2025 onwards, using a known test. One open trade was marked as not closed. The sampled drawdown was not the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed train_stress = -12.637925240348268
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
A news scan found the following data: the return was -12.637925240348268, the drawdown was 72.72044559862007, and the win rate was 31.03448275862069. This data is based on a sample of 29 items, with a mean percentage of 0.657512817393008 and a median percentage of -7.725917816739591. There were 6 targets, 18 stops, and 0 partials, with 151 missing checks and 20 affected trades. The average duration of trades was 16.79310344827586 days. The data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an all-adjusted signal and split-only ADR, which is a type of stock ratio. The data also used automatic raw 15-minute and manager 5-minute signals, with fees of 1 basis point per side and a slip of 5 basis points, and a base stress of 15 basis points with fixed paths. The training data excluded trades that ended before 2025, and the test data included trades that started in or after 2025. The data marked open trades that were not closed, and sampled drawdown, which is a measure of loss, rather than the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 open_fixed train = -7.421093503784282
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:15
The results of the open_fixed train for TEN R91306 show a return of -7.421093503784282, a drawdown of 72.28046176718908, and a win rate of 31.03448275862069. This is based on a sample of 29 trades, with a mean percentage change of 0.8590295108587924 and a median percentage change of -7.541184780787347. The strategy used 6 targets and 18 stops, with no partials. There were 151 missing checks and 20 affected trades, with an average duration of 16.79310344827586 days. The data was computed from September 13, 2020, to September 11, 2026, using an all-adjusted signal and split-only ADR, with automatic raw 15-minute and manager 5-minute signals. The fees were 1 basis point per side, with a 5 basis point slip and a base 15 basis point stress, using fixed paths. The train exits before 2025 and the holdout entries are from 2025 onwards, which is a known test period. The results marked one open trade that was not closed. The sampled drawdown is not the worst quote loss. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 CLI diagnostic metrics = 60.3219443267
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:13
A news scan found the line: Sep 13 CLI breakout L20 days 1825 fixed 5% stop 15% target: 1250 bars, 95 trades, +60.3219443267% return, 18.279506433% drawdown, 36.842105263% wins, 0.46710684% average trade, buy and hold 493.742255266%. This is a diagnostic metric for a trading system, where drawdown refers to the largest loss from a peak, and it does not include holdout or SIP manager cadence, it is for diagnostic purposes only, with a full invocation analysis of 3160. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 net reward-risk on unchanged Friday reference barriers = 2.9095920021
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:13
A model calculated on September 13, based on the September 11 close of 47.90 and an ADR of 1.243575, set a stop at 45.41285 and a target at 55.36145. This means a stop-loss order would be placed at 45.41285 and a target price would be 55.36145. The fees are 1 basis point per side, plus 5 basis points for slippage, resulting in a net reward-risk ratio of 2.909592. The maximum gross entry is 47.842554, with a 47.15 basis points lip stress giving 2.76744494, and an entry at 47.74696488. If the target was raised to 47.90, the algebra would require a target of 55.59150802 or 55.97555247, but this was not adopted as it would force a hurdle. A fixed-reference cheaper-entry gate is a different policy and still needs its own review. The algebra does not provide evidence for limit-fill. No order was placed, and the trading day ended with a fractional close during regular trading hours. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
R91306 live trade calibration sample = 2
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:11
A query of trades for the supply fund from September 13 found two closed trades. The first trade, identified as FRO with id6, started at $44.49 and ended at $46.18. The second trade, identified as STNG with id3, started at $79.76 and ended at $80.36. Both trades were liquidated by the operator on September 4. The results showed 2 out of 2 positive trades with no strategy exits or paired arrival quotes. There was no estimated stop or target frequency or execution slippage from this record. The fund has $170.20 in cash and $850.99 in the account. All existing close lessons are complete, and no duplicate trade lessons are needed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
TEN R91306 five versus fifteen-minute sampling audit = 42422
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:11
On September 13, an audit was done on raw SIP data from January 2020 to September 11. The audit looked at 123,209 five-minute bars and 47,537 fifteen-minute bars. It found that 42,422 timestamps had the same opening price for both five-minute and fifteen-minute bars. However, 5,115 fifteen-minute timestamps did not have a matching five-minute bar at the same time, which is likely due to sparse trades. The audit also found that 1,678 regular 09:30 bars matched the daily dates, but 14 opening prices were different, with a difference of 0 basis points at the 1st, 50th, and 99th percentiles. Since neither bar open is guaranteed to be a quote at the exact clock time, the original 15-minute bars will be used for automatic checks and the 5-minute bars will be used for off-grid manager samples. It's important to note that current-time snapshots are not the same as historical executions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 July24 target divergence from ADR price basis = 0.21642
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:07
A news scan found the headline 'TEN R91306 July24 target divergence from ADR price basis'. Fetched on September 13 at 06:02-03UTC, the daily data for all, split, and raw from January 2020 to September 11, 2026, shows that on July 23, the trailing 20 mean high-low all adjusted was 1.42325, versus split-only which was 1.45932. On July 24, at the 09:30 entry of 39.61, the E+6 ADR targets were 48.1495 versus 48.36592, with a difference of 0.21642. The September 11 daily high of 48.239 lies between these two targets, which explains a possible divergence between an old target being hit and a new one still being open, independently of the manager's timing. Note that all adjusted past ranges incorporate dividend scaling, which means adjusting prices to account for dividends paid. Execution barriers, or the prices at which trades are made, should use consistent price units. The data is based on trade samples provided by the data provider, not actual trades made. The old vintage, or original data, should be preserved, and the new split-unit audit is not a direct revision of the timing, but rather a review of the data in terms of split units, which refers to the units of stock after a split has occurred. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 refreshed issuer H1 cash bridge = 32.855
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:04
A news scan found the release from the issuer on September 10 for the first half of the year, which ended on June 30. The operating cash flow was 281.167 million, and the investing cash flow was -248.312 million, resulting in a total of 32.855 million. The financing cash flow was 135.159 million, which accounts for most of the 168.014 million cash growth. This information is from the same issuer as before and has not been independently verified. The total equity is 2054.657 million, but the current non-controlling interest line is not available. The prior common book value of 56.99755 remains provisional. The capital gains were 38 million in the first half income of 228.1 million. The closest source is the company itself, which may have a promotional bias, and there has been no updated quarter since the release was found on September 13 at 06:03 UTC. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/10/3359616/0/en/ten-ltd-reports-profits-for-the-first-half-and-second-quarter-of-2026.html
TEN R91304 completed signal and final accounting = 47.9
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:14
The trading signal for TEN R91304 was completed on September 11. The closing price was 47.90, which is higher than the prior 20-day average of 44.71 and the 50-day Simple Moving Average, or SMA, of 40.3494. The Average Daily Range, or ADR, over 20 days was 1.243575. The system analyzed 1682 daily trades, 47537 raw 15-minute trades, and 43084 calendar trades during regular trading hours, or RTH. The system made 1250 trades over 95% confidence intervals, resulting in a return of 60.321944%, a maximum drawdown of 18.279506%, and a win rate of 36.842105%, with no trades currently out of scope. The system queried its own open, pending, and closing trades separately and found no current orders, with 170.20 in cash and 850.99 in the account context. Two jobs, 25004 and 25103, were completed with no errors. The next job is scheduled for 04:16. The current whole price of 47.9 exceeds the conditional probe price of 21.27475, and this is not due to venue capacity. There were no completed stock bars before Monday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing holdout = 10
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:12
A simulation used 10 samples, finding a mean percentage of 6.0138454487611686. The term'mean percentage' refers to the average percentage. A confidence interval, which is a range of values, was calculated. The results showed a 95% confidence interval of -0.1930783078353961 to 11.983453800237022 for independent and identically distributed data, and 1.1565697922817697 to 10.980763991357453 for block data. The term 'confidence interval' means a range of values that likely includes the true value. The 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles were -8.053478776971206, 8.402702516453608, and 18.19837275214087, respectively. The term 'percentile' refers to a value below which a certain percentage of data falls. This simulation was run with a seed of 91304 and used fixed raw managed paper. The results are from a bootstrap simulation model, which is a statistical method, and are not a forecast. The stress test assumes a 5% chance of a 30% gap in trade, which has not been observed. The actual size is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing size = 21.27475
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:12
The automated trading fund manager considered a trade with the following details: the half Kelly risk was 0.022537462906204536, the percentage return was 5.192379958246347 percent, the full notional gap was 85.099, and the quarter notional was 21.27475. The number of shares at 47.9 was 0.44414926931106474, the stop loss was 45.41285, and the target price was 55.36145. This information is based on a bootstrap simulation model, which is a type of statistical model that uses random sampling to estimate results, and is not a forecast. The stress test assumes a 5 percent chance of a 30 percent gap, which is a large price movement, although this frequency has not been observed. The actual size of the trade was 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing stress = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:12
A simulation used 20,000 paths and 20 trades with an allocation of 2.5 percent. The return percentages at the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles were -3.0561443439370617, -0.4951192535856186, and 2.401927587792095 percent respectively. The odds of a loss were 61.55500000000001 percent. The maximum drawdown at the 95th percentile was 3.512793545025467 percent. This stress test assumes a 5 percent chance of a 30 percent trade gap, which is not based on observed frequency. The actual size is 0. A news scan found the seed as 91304, with a fixed raw managed paper, using a bootstrap simulation conditional model that provides outputs, not a forecast. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing base = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:12
A simulation of 20 trades was run on 20000 paths. The allocation percentage was 2.5%. The return percentages at the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles were -2.054831115395713%, 0.25727986644485945%, and 3.0287834972138% respectively. The odds of loss were 43.335%. The maximum drawdown at the 95th percentile was 2.5778943002513395%. This simulation used a seed of 91304 and a fixed raw managed paper. The bootstrap simulation model provided conditional outputs, which are not forecasts. The stress test assumed a 5% chance of a 30% trade gap, which is not based on observed frequency. The actual size was 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing train = 29
Supply chain2026-09-13 04:12
A news scan found the headline 'TEN R91304 uncertainty and conditional sizing train'. The given data is a simulation output, not a forecast. It shows the results of a bootstrap simulation, which is a statistical method, also known as a conditional model. The numbers are: 29 samples, with a mean percentage of 0.6674101100774836. The uncertainty range, or confidence interval, is between -4.027612972876492 percent and 5.788505236283171 percent. Another range, called block3, is between -3.528847164777429 percent and 5.132607093026194 percent. The percentages for the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles are -13.01716592393981 percent, -6.713998098143503 percent, and 28.163777057696187 percent. This is based on a seed value of 91304 and a fixed raw managed paper. The stress test assumes a 5 percent chance of a 30 percent gap in trade, which has not been observed. The actual size is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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