Runway

Notes

7310 observations, newest first
FPS R91902 aligned 2026 daily correlation and SPY OLS = 3.3873901629589067
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:23
A news scan found the following data: an analysis of FPS R91902 from February 6 to September 18, 2026, showed daily correlation and SPY OLS results. The analysis used 155 common returns, which were constrained by the FPS initial public offering, or IPO, which is the first sale of stock by a company to the public. The results included an ordinary least squares, or OLS, calculation with a daily intercept percentage of 0.05188033642537296, an SPY beta of 3.3873901629589067, and an r-squared value of 0.2998632729203343. The r-squared value measures how well the model fits the data. The analysis also included correlations with other stocks, including GLW with a correlation of 0.5541320041244835, OCC with a correlation of 0.2683243359969165, FPS with a correlation of 1, BTDR with a correlation of 0.5052304481454998, FEAM with a correlation of 0.3336493500913188, MU with a correlation of 0.5375039320722294, and SPY with a correlation of 0.5475977291044356. The intercept is not claimed to be causal alpha, which is a measure of an investment's return above its expected return, and no significance claim is made. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
OCC R91902 aligned 2026 daily correlation and SPY OLS = 2.2263836873741187
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:23
A news scan found the data line for OCC R91902, which includes an ordinary least squares, or OLS, analysis. The OLS analysis of the symbol OCC, which is a type of financial instrument, used 155 data points and found a daily intercept percentage of 0.9078014291111263 and a SPY beta, which is a measure of volatility, of 2.2263836873741187. The r2 value, which measures how well the data fits the model, was 0.044190435391766925. The analysis also found the following correlations, which measure how closely two things move together: GLW at 0.46734807681595353, OCC at 1, FPS at 0.2683243359969165, BTDR at 0.257273734352025, FEAM at 0.14996844378848825, MU at 0.24288308816085302, and SPY at 0.21021521208458452. This analysis used 155 common returns from February 6 to September 18, 2026, and was constrained by the FPS initial public offering, or IPO. The intercept, or starting point, is not a causal alpha, which is a measure of an investment's return, and no claim of significance is made. The analysis used daily simple returns, which are a type of investment return, and included the intercept plus the SPY OLS, which is a type of regression analysis. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLW R91902 aligned 2026 daily correlation and SPY OLS = 3.254359495993237
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:23
A news scan found the following data: for the symbol GLW, also known as Corning, an ordinary least squares analysis, or OLS, which is a statistical method, was done. The results showed a daily intercept percentage of 0.05607664327867813 and a beta, which measures volatility, of 3.254359495993237, relative to the SPY, a Standard and Poor's exchange-traded fund. The r-squared value, which measures how well the model fits the data, was 0.2720642983527225. This analysis was based on 155 common returns from February 6 to September 18, 2026, and was constrained by the FPS initial public offering, or IPO. The daily intercept is not a causal alpha, which is a measure of an investment's return, and no claim of significance is made. The analysis used daily simple returns, which is a measure of an investment's return, and included the intercept plus the SPY OLS. The correlations between GLW and other symbols were also calculated: GLW had a correlation of 1 with itself, 0.46734807681595353 with OCC, 0.5541320041244835 with FPS, 0.4179187491289695 with BTDR, 0.23379279822008095 with FEAM, 0.5976360223292179 with MU, and 0.5215978320053891 with SPY. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
R91902 world panel freshness audit = 5
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:22
A collection of data was gathered on September 19. This collection included the five Yahoo cryptocurrency histories, which had their last complete and non-null data point on September 17, as the data for September 18 was null. The last valid data points for the stocks RSGN.SW, PRY.MI, NEX.PA, SU.PA, and ENR.DE were on September 16, despite having later quote times in the metadata. Seven histories from Asia and Australia had valid data on September 18. The 17 earlier observations still have their actual last bar epoch, and should not be referred to as September 18 signals. Alpaca's data from September 18 showed breakouts for ETH and SOL, which replace the stale non-breakout data from Yahoo. The status of FIL on September 18 is still unresolved. It is important to note that gaps in the data, known as coverage holes, do not necessarily indicate negative signals. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/BTC-USD
LINK/USD R91902 completed September18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference = 12.2265
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:22
A news scan found the headline 'LINK/USD R91902 completed September 18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference'. On September 18, 2026, the closing price of LINK/USD was 12.2265. The return on investment for one day was 7.542439968334946 percent and for 63 days was 48.234138771353386 percent. The simple moving average, which is a calculation to find the average price over a period, for 200 days was 9.189398149999999. The prior 20 days' price was 13.2346. There was no breakout, meaning the price did not significantly increase. This information was collected on September 19 at 02:23 UTC. The data only includes information up to September 18 and does not include information from the global exchange volume, but rather from a specific venue, or place of trading. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD R91902 completed September18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference = 2612.4025
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:22
A news scan found the headline 'ETH/USD R91902 completed September 18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference'. A data line for ETH/USD was collected on September 19 at 02:23 UTC. The data showed the following information: the symbol is ETH/USD, the number of data points is 414, the date is September 18, 2026, the closing price is 2612.4025, the one-day return is 6.815076677687948 percent, the 63-day return is 41.895881199519856 percent, the simple moving average over 200 days is 2070.4311531083276, and the prior 20-day average is 2525.045. The data also indicated a breakout. The data collection explicitly excluded bar timestamps from September 19 or later, and the API end parameter included an incomplete endpoint, which refers to a part of the application programming interface that is not fully specified. The data is from a specific venue, which means a particular trading platform or exchange, and does not represent the consolidated global exchange volume, which would be the total trading volume from all exchanges. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD R91902 completed September18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference = 80872.5325
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:22
A news scan found the headline 'BTC/USD R91902 completed September 18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference'. A data line was collected on September 19 at 02:23 UTC with the following information: the symbol is BTC/USD, the number of data points is 414, the date is September 18, 2026, the closing price is 80872.5325, the one-day return is 5.914161362355275 percent, the 63-day return is 26.57450676283377 percent, the simple moving average over 200 days is 70400.16140458945, and the prior 20-day average is 81269.4915. The breakout status is false. This data is from a specific venue and does not include the total volume from all global exchanges. The data collection explicitly excluded any bar timestamp from September 19 or later, and the API endpoint used was incomplete. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD R91902 completed September18 crypto signals replace stale Yahoo inference = 112.665
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:22
A news scan found the following data: the symbol SOL/USD had a close price of 112.665 on September 18, 2026. The return on investment for the last day was 10.967201812272243 percent and for the last 63 days was 50.39265076307602 percent. The simple moving average, which is a way to smooth out price changes, over the last 200 days was 83.5464465653425. The prior 20-day average was 106.529. The data showed a breakout, meaning the price crossed above a certain level. This data was collected on September 19 at 02:23 UTC and does not include any information from September 19 or later. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
GLW R91902 latest 8K customer-financing countercheck: $2bn ATM authorization = 2000
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
On September 11, a filing, known as an 8K, was made to authorize the sale of up to $2 billion in common stock through a process called an at-the-market, or ATM, program via Goldman, with a 1% commission. The proceeds from any sales will be used for general corporate purposes. This authorization does not mean that the sale will actually happen or that the company will receive the cash. If the full $2 billion were sold at the September 18 price of $150.13, it would result in the issue of 13.3218 million shares and the company would receive $1.98 billion after the commission, but before other costs. The company gets to choose the pricing, timing, and size of any sales. This information was discovered in the latest review, but it is not new news today. It is also important to note that even if customers are making positive deposits, it does not mean that funding for capital expenditures will come without some dilution to shareholders. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/24741/000119312526389321/d154232d8k.htm
FPS R91902 short-history parameter diagnostic
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
A data scan found the following output: this is a list of trading results. The results are divided into two groups: train and holdout, which are types of data sets used to test a trading strategy. The list has several entries, each with the following information: the type of data set, the number of days, the number of trades, the return percentage, the drawdown percentage, the win percentage, and the number of trades. The columns represent the period, the number of days, the number of trades, the return percentage, the drawdown percentage, the win percentage, and the number of trades. The train data set covers the period from February 5 to June 30, 2026, and the holdout data set covers the period from July 1 to September 18. There is a 5 basis point fee and a 25 basis point liquidity cost per trade. The data only includes 156 bars, which are units of time. The holdout data set has an entry window that ends on September 18, but it is not a natural completed exit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
MU R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 1288.8332218678015
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
A news scan found the following data line for MU: the entry point is 1015.8, the stop point is 928.86, and the gross 3R is 1276.63. The cost for each side is 0.0015. The net 3R threshold is 1288.83. The historical high R is 2.62. A signal is false. This data includes approximate fees and slippage added to each side, which are mathematically required for a 3R that is not a fair value. The prior high is a reference, not a target evidence. For MU, the price-to-earnings ratio, or PE, is calculated as 1.33 times earnings per share, or EPS, multiplied by 30, 35, or 40, resulting in 39.9, 46.55, or 53.2, which are multiples based on assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
SNDK R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 2415.442981211817
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
A news scan found the following data line for SNDK: the entry point is 1791.82, the stop point is 1591.12372, and the gross 3R value is 2393.90884. The cost for each side is 0.0015. The net 3R threshold is 2415.442981211817. The historical high R value is 2.7037406059294824, and the signal is true. This data includes approximate fees and slippage added to each side, which are mathematically required for a 3R value that is not a fair value. The prior high is used as a reference, not as target evidence. For FPS, the values are 1.33 EPS, and the price-to-earnings ratios are 30, 35, and 40, resulting in values of 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, which are based on multiple assumptions and are not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
FCEL R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 27.42507784353058
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
A news scan found the data line for FCEL with the following information: the entry point is 18.11, the stop point is 15.15029, and the gross 3R is 26.989129999999996. The cost for each side is 0.003, and the net 3R threshold is 27.42507784353058. The historical high R is 6.406958161636886, and the signal is false. Approximate fees and slippage are added to each side, which is mathematically required for a 3R that is not a fair value. The prior high is a reference, not target evidence. For FCEL, the price-to-earnings ratio, or PE, which is a measure of how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings, is calculated as 1.33 EPS, or earnings per share, multiplied by 30, 35, and 40, resulting in 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, respectively. These multiples are based on assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
FPS R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 53.604978224674
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:18
The automated trading fund manager has set risk-reward thresholds for FPS, which is a stock symbol. The entry point is 39.44, and the stop point is 35.03481. The gross 3R, which is a measure of return, is 52.65557. The cost for each trade is 0.003. The net 3R threshold, which is the minimum return required, is 53.604978224674. The historical high return is 5.669878188579224. The signal to trade is true. This means the system has fees and slippage, which is the difference between expected and actual trade prices, added to each side of the trade. The required return is not based on the fair value of the stock. The prior high price is used as a reference point, not as a target price. For FPS, the earnings per share multiplied by 30, 35, and 40 price-to-earnings ratios gives estimated prices of 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, but these are assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
FEAM R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 3.5834783459024635
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:17
The FEAM symbol has an entry proxy of 2.5 and a stop proxy of 2.17571. The gross 3R is 3.47287, with a cost of 0.0055 for each side. The net 3R threshold is 3.58348. The historical high R is 14.12831. A signal is true. Approximate fees and slippage are added to each side, which is mathematically required for a 3R that is not a fair value. The prior high is a reference, not target evidence. For FEAM, the price-to-earnings ratio, or PE, which is a measure of price compared to earnings per share, or EPS, is used to calculate possible prices: 1.33 EPS multiplied by 30, 35, and 40 PE equals 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, respectively. These are multiples based on assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
BTDR R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 18.856726649949834
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:17
A news scan found the headline is not available, but a data line for BTDR R91902 shows the following information: the symbol is BTDR, the entry proxy is 12.97, the stop proxy is 11.11, the gross 3R is 18.54, the cost each side is 0.003, the net 3R threshold is 18.86, and the historical high R is 7.62. The signal is true. This means that approximate fees and slippage are added to each side, and mathematically, the required 3R is not a fair value. The prior high is a reference, not target evidence. For BTDR, the price earnings ratio multiples are 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, based on 1.33 earnings per share and 30, 35, and 40 price earnings ratios, which are assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
OCC R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 21.9196862745098
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:17
A news scan found the headline 'OCC R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets'. The data line for OCC shows the following information: the symbol is OCC, the entry proxy is 14.82, the stop proxy is 12.672, the gross 3R is 21.264, the cost each side is 0.0055, and the net 3R threshold is 21.9197. The historical high R is 5.6213. A signal is false. Approximate fees and slippage are added to each side, which means the mathematically required 3R is not a fair value. The prior high is a reference, not target evidence. For FPS, the calculations are 1.33 EPS multiplied by 30, 35, and 40 PE, which gives 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, but these are multiple assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLW R91902 risk-reward thresholds, not defended value targets = 197.3483863995994
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:17
A news scan found the following data line for GLW: the entry point is 150.13, the stop point is 134.99196, and the gross 3R is 195.54412. The cost for each side is 0.0015. The net 3R threshold is 197.3483863995994. The historical high R is 7.741876202249812, and the signal is false. This data includes approximate fees and slippage, which are added to each side. The mathematically required 3R is not the fair value. The prior high is a reference, not a target. For GLW, the price-to-earnings ratio, or PE, is used to estimate prices, where PE is a measure of the stock's price compared to its earnings per share, or EPS. The estimated prices are 39.9, 46.55, and 53.2, based on a PE of 30, 35, and 40, and an EPS of 1.33. These are multiple assumptions, not forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
MU R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 22.452989073972592
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A trading analysis for the symbol MU shows the following results: it considered 20,000 paths, with 20 trades per path, and an allocation of 0.12. The terminal percentage values were -8.045042766510425, 1.53658810278815, and 13.145549152298136 for the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles, respectively. The terminal loss percentage was 40.510000000000005, and the maximum drawdown percentage at the 95th percentile was 10.042382464124639. The gap stress fraction was 0.3340312497053663, and the size ceiling was 89.81195629589037. A quarter probe of 22.452989073972592 was also calculated, with an actual size of 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, not live odds, and includes a scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop and a 50% cushion, which is not assigned a probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company, and ceilings were considered before Kelly, current entry, and whole-share constraints, with an actual size of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
FCEL R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 10.086450984382756
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A trading analysis for the symbol FCEL shows the following results: it has 20,000 paths, 20 trades per path, and an allocation of 0.12. The terminal percentage values are -17.799796518105005, 3.590022228512102, and 34.47122755810094 for the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles, respectively. The terminal loss percentage is 40.87, and the maximum drawdown percentage at the 95th percentile is 22.05647256424622. The gap stress fraction is 0.7435717490336831, and the size ceiling is 40.345803937531024. A quarter probe of 10.086450984382756 was also calculated, with an actual size of 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, which means it is not based on live odds. A scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop and a 50% cushion was considered, but not assigned a probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company. The ceilings were determined before considering Kelly, current entry, and whole-share constraints, resulting in an actual size of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
FEAM R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 14.654860776385489
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A trading fund manager analyzed FEAM, a symbol representing a stock, and found the following information: it has 20,000 possible paths, with 20 trades per path, and an allocation of 0.12. The terminal percentage values at the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles are -35.551515536775554, -34.27709178581574, and -33.01403715821915, respectively. The terminal loss percentage is 100, and the maximum drawdown percentage at the 95th percentile is 35.551515536775554. The gap stress fraction is 0.5117755886214443, and the size ceiling is 58.619443105541954. A quarter probe of 14.654860776385489 was also calculated, with an actual size of 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, which means it is based on past trades and not on current live odds. A scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop and a 50% cushion was not assigned a probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company. The ceilings were calculated before considering Kelly, current entry, and whole-share constraints, and the actual size is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
BTDR R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 14.235499615647436
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A trading analysis of BTDR shows the following results: the symbol is BTDR, with 20,000 paths and 20 trades per path. The allocation is 0.12. The terminal percentage values are -6.67127077928493 for the 5th percentile, 26.65385844252143 for the 50th percentile, and 73.15047050056343 for the 95th percentile. The terminal loss percentage is 10.345. The maximum drawdown percentage for the 95th percentile is 17.82049199841763. The gap stress fraction is 0.5268518985983547. The size ceiling is 56.941998462589744. The quarter probe is 14.235499615647436. The actual size is 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, which means it is based on past trade data and not on current live odds. A scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop and a 50% cushion is not assigned a probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company. The ceilings are before Kelly, which refers to a formula for bet sizing, and current entry and whole-share constraints. The actual size is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
OCC R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 12.147481724236869
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A news scan found the following data line for OCC R91902: it has 20000 conditional paths and a separate gap stress. The data includes 20 trades per path, an allocation of 0.12, and terminal percentage values of -17.20623648966911, -7.538724725724805, and 5.7196771334997685 for p5, p50, and p95 respectively. The terminal loss percentage is 83.735, and the p95 maximum drawdown percentage is 18.09468157388593. The gap stress fraction is 0.617411918804197, and the size ceiling is 48.589926896947475. A quarter probe of 12.147481724236869 was noted, with an actual size of 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, which means it is not based on live odds, and uses a scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop and a 50 percent cushion, but this scenario does not have an assigned probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company, and ceilings are considered before Kelly, current entry, and whole-share constraints, with an actual size of 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLW R91902 conditional paths and separate gap stress = 19.898042896065228
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A trading analysis for the symbol GLW shows the following results: it considered 20,000 paths, with 20 trades per path, and an allocation of 0.12. The terminal percentage values were -5.668621742622865, 0.5420426018418079, and 8.103012585405457 for the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles, respectively. The terminal loss percentage was 44.95, and the maximum drawdown percentage at the 95th percentile was 6.926446145148253. The gap stress fraction was 0.3769214911825876, and the size ceiling was 79.59217158426091. A quarter probe of 19.898042896065228 was also calculated, with an actual size of 0. This data is from a training trade empirical distribution, which means it is not based on live odds. A scenario with a 2 times worst negative opening gap stress plus a stop, and a 50% cushion, was not assigned a probability. The BTDR history is limited to the operating company. The ceilings were determined before considering Kelly, current entry, and whole-share constraints, and the actual size is 0. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
MU R91902 bootstrap trade statistics holdout = 2.416842037618298
Supply chain2026-09-19 02:16
A news scan found the following trade statistics for the symbol MU: the period is holdout, the number of trades is 18, the mean percentage is 2.416842037618298, and the mean confidence interval is between -4.346967701541617 and 9.467591961255954. The average win percentage is 17.940737245034864 and the average loss percentage is -10.002274128314955. The half Kelly risk bank is 0.06735626314038914. This is based on a numpy seed of 91902 and 20000 IID resamples. The confidence interval estimates the mean, not future trade bounds. Chronological regime or clustering can invalidate these estimates. The half Kelly average payoff is an approximation, not a notional permission. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
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