XLP Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row5 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row5","data":{"symbol":"XLP","bars":792,"returnPct":-5.803937478818666,"buyAndHoldPct":14.6886769773219,"maxDrawdownPct":12.859597708959297,"winRate":30,"avgTradePct":-0.5297073566152355,"sample":10}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLE Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row4 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row4","data":{"symbol":"XLE","bars":1536,"returnPct":-51.3254545109485,"buyAndHoldPct":70.67128396377196,"maxDrawdownPct":81.33267246622276,"winRate":32,"avgTradePct":-1.924529717286182,"sample":25}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLB Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row3 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row3","data":{"symbol":"XLB","bars":1536,"returnPct":-61.04373955816569,"buyAndHoldPct":-15.85786476297425,"maxDrawdownPct":70.27990617375434,"winRate":28.000000000000004,"avgTradePct":-3.0059943933792828,"sample":25}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLI Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row2 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row2","data":{"symbol":"XLI","bars":1536,"returnPct":44.750262329263094,"buyAndHoldPct":142.8997158500243,"maxDrawdownPct":18.981770276371087,"winRate":47.61904761904761,"avgTradePct":1.940710912106278,"sample":21}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SMH Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row1 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC cli_summary.json row1","data":{"symbol":"SMH","bars":1536,"returnPct":94.79877586636836,"buyAndHoldPct":241.71989875858745,"maxDrawdownPct":43.80827708030054,"winRate":45,"avgTradePct":4.626400208685396,"sample":20}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row3 bundled = 7
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row3","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","n":221,"base_mean_pct":-0.28801598878994666,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.5867042071842181,"mean_change_bps":-29.868821839427152}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row4","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","n":647,"base_mean_pct":-0.15364901823750188,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.45273973419957797,"mean_change_bps":-29.909071596207607}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row5","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","n":379,"base_mean_pct":-0.3520172673904568,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.6505137693318913,"mean_change_bps":-29.849650194143443}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row6","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","n":296,"base_mean_pct":-0.4476940612016959,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.7459039623762479,"mean_change_bps":-29.820990117455192}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC sweep_summary.json row1","data":{"gate":"base","cases":54,"positive":8,"median_return":-14.11447251164397,"min_return":-40.199818573913774,"max_return":30.02140103856547}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC sweep_summary.json row2","data":{"gate":"trend","cases":54,"positive":1,"median_return":-16.759835507737534,"min_return":-31.92770135305735,"max_return":4.686673796882297}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC sweep_summary.json row3","data":{"gate":"trend_lowvol","cases":54,"positive":1,"median_return":-18.540155533375508,"min_return":-39.46935735520032,"max_return":5.236769447213628}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row6 bundled = 9
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row6","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":20,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":30.645,"pnl_q05_usd":-4.670621880050135,"pnl_median_usd":-0.7307114028541264,"pnl_q95_usd":2.7405157028074427,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.5881422070480036,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row1","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","median_cost_R_approx":0.19607642662116048,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.3270008055348174}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","median_cost_R_approx":0.19989183423035536,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.3286264229398663}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row3","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","median_cost_R_approx":0.22869398275862085,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.3399260061728405}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row4","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","median_cost_R_approx":0.17348629007633612,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.3422182044724487}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row5","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","median_cost_R_approx":0.1910676101694915,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.3525769959964409}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC friction.json row6","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","median_cost_R_approx":0.2085655187050361,"p95_cost_R_approx":0.36057257599146225}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row1","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","n":598,"base_mean_pct":0.032292964131532695,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.26735474284811384,"mean_change_bps":-29.96477069796465}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC fixed_cohort_costs.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","n":413,"base_mean_pct":-0.2509079736393196,"fixed_cohort_double_cost_mean_pct":-0.5497073494540694,"mean_change_bps":-29.879937581474984}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row1 bundled = 5
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row1","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":10,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":51.65,"pnl_q05_usd":-9.98663563168929,"pnl_median_usd":0.27044108264595934,"pnl_q95_usd":11.229092698536112,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.4828414575918936,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":24.84}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":20,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":53.97,"pnl_q05_usd":-10.1040236623611,"pnl_median_usd":0.6029816403984114,"pnl_q95_usd":10.703348570344701,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.478481657295172,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":24.98}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row3","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":10,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":36.345,"pnl_q05_usd":-8.498054649596156,"pnl_median_usd":-1.514682818230142,"pnl_q95_usd":5.641130378778706,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.1673259951876636,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":10.625}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row4","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":20,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":33.7,"pnl_q05_usd":-8.115164377712404,"pnl_median_usd":-1.4739672437605122,"pnl_q95_usd":4.5911842699207455,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.14020786421144,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":10.725}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC mc_robustness.json row5","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"block_sessions":10,"paths":20000,"profit_probability_pct":32.79,"pnl_q05_usd":-4.716698565192314,"pnl_median_usd":-0.9067097059829621,"pnl_q95_usd":2.9771628761182,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.6351530983662789,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0.105}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row19 bundled = 6
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row19","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":379,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.3520172673904568,"ci95_low_pct":-0.6444575817524805,"ci95_high_pct":-0.05904490918393646,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.8250000000000001}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row20","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":379,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.3520172673904568,"ci95_low_pct":-0.6324644812172757,"ci95_high_pct":-0.06605576842780368,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.885}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row21","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":296,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.4476940612016959,"ci95_low_pct":-0.7724521534606853,"ci95_high_pct":-0.11301313083299733,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.51}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row22","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":296,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.4476940612016959,"ci95_low_pct":-0.7713581014039784,"ci95_high_pct":-0.12553905185786846,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.27999999999999997}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row23","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":296,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.4476940612016959,"ci95_low_pct":-0.7806465973285661,"ci95_high_pct":-0.11993542839240118,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.44999999999999996}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row24","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":296,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.4476940612016959,"ci95_low_pct":-0.7630310005367904,"ci95_high_pct":-0.14689146923939306,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":0.22999999999999998}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row13 bundled = 6
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row13","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":647,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.15364901823750188,"ci95_low_pct":-0.4458592047106142,"ci95_high_pct":0.13977813186271526,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":14.965}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row14","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":647,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.15364901823750188,"ci95_low_pct":-0.4361188536290747,"ci95_high_pct":0.12850851957600196,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":14.71}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row15","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":647,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.15364901823750188,"ci95_low_pct":-0.42557284702286957,"ci95_high_pct":0.11011690163799631,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":12.945}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row16","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":647,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.15364901823750188,"ci95_low_pct":-0.38934088619337515,"ci95_high_pct":0.06944673907265209,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":9.235}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row17","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":379,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.3520172673904568,"ci95_low_pct":-0.6649951606342321,"ci95_high_pct":-0.04069189928847172,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.35}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row18","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":148,"trade_n":379,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.3520172673904568,"ci95_low_pct":-0.6394952217730133,"ci95_high_pct":-0.057194018135961866,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.02}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row7 bundled = 6
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row7","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":413,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.2509079736393196,"ci95_low_pct":-0.476540520664674,"ci95_high_pct":-0.021830948305451136,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.53}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row8","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":413,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.2509079736393196,"ci95_low_pct":-0.46914933353354066,"ci95_high_pct":-0.03505584951124174,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.01}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row9","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":221,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.28801598878994666,"ci95_low_pct":-0.5619107598372018,"ci95_high_pct":-0.012686590830816982,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":2.0549999999999997}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row10","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":221,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.28801598878994666,"ci95_low_pct":-0.5707823858085566,"ci95_high_pct":-0.008811309922014742,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":2.145}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row11","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":221,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.28801598878994666,"ci95_low_pct":-0.578046774677805,"ci95_high_pct":-0.025140818459470415,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.5699999999999998}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row12","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":221,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.28801598878994666,"ci95_low_pct":-0.600138241385527,"ci95_high_pct":-0.03708055465712408,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row1 bundled = 6
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row1","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":598,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.032292964131532695,"ci95_low_pct":-0.23181001935612006,"ci95_high_pct":0.2944237607055617,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":59.37}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":598,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.032292964131532695,"ci95_low_pct":-0.22120560552720733,"ci95_high_pct":0.29491991005396306,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":59.585}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row3","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":598,"block_weeks":4,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.032292964131532695,"ci95_low_pct":-0.21027726755805215,"ci95_high_pct":0.2859664200046841,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":59.915}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row4","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":598,"block_weeks":8,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.032292964131532695,"ci95_low_pct":-0.17138057214052968,"ci95_high_pct":0.25831758526486226,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":60.565000000000005}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row5","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":413,"block_weeks":1,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.2509079736393196,"ci95_low_pct":-0.4990049327951622,"ci95_high_pct":-0.0010071432884054938,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":2.445}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC block_robustness.json row6","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","calendar_weeks":139,"trade_n":413,"block_weeks":2,"paths":20000,"mean_pct":-0.2509079736393196,"ci95_low_pct":-0.482315158407245,"ci95_high_pct":-0.013923518156706336,"bootstrap_mean_positive_pct":1.965}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SPY Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row7 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row7","data":{"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-04","close":770.18,"ATR14":5.476428571428561,"ADR20":4.337000000000001,"SMA50":756.8225,"vol":0.007110582683825289,"vol_median126":0.01128680649878415,"trend":true,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":0}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IYT Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row6 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row6","data":{"symbol":"IYT","date":"2026-09-04","close":84.17,"ATR14":1.1460714285714277,"ADR20":0.9369999999999991,"SMA50":86.8936,"vol":0.013616150986948173,"vol_median126":0.017614588720350977,"trend":false,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":2}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLP Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row5 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row5","data":{"symbol":"XLP","date":"2026-09-04","close":84.59,"ATR14":1.0342857142857125,"ADR20":0.80475,"SMA50":85.02780000000001,"vol":0.012227044736797641,"vol_median126":0.01463091522808899,"trend":false,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":2}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLE Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row4 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row4","data":{"symbol":"XLE","date":"2026-09-04","close":64.07,"ATR14":1.1217857142857162,"ADR20":1.0197500000000008,"SMA50":59.202600000000004,"vol":0.017508751588664214,"vol_median126":0.022134880014274695,"trend":true,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":3}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLB Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row3 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row3","data":{"symbol":"XLB","date":"2026-09-04","close":52.45,"ATR14":0.8574999999999987,"ADR20":0.686249999999999,"SMA50":51.8225,"vol":0.016348903717826477,"vol_median126":0.01696127414467693,"trend":true,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":4}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLI Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row2 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row2","data":{"symbol":"XLI","date":"2026-09-04","close":175.24,"ATR14":2.3328571428571405,"ADR20":2.015249999999999,"SMA50":181.1799,"vol":0.01331235530048585,"vol_median126":0.017215965567758465,"trend":false,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":1}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SMH Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row1 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC indicators.json row1","data":{"symbol":"SMH","date":"2026-09-04","close":567.05,"ATR14":15.288928571428544,"ADR20":11.311749999999972,"SMA50":573.8605,"vol":0.026962223033997965,"vol_median126":0.033581160827252265,"trend":false,"lowvol":true,"whole_affordable":0}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC correlation.json row2 bundled = 1
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC correlation.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","daily_n":672,"mean_pair_corr":0.3988422381983408,"effective_dimension":2.875260470481985,"matrix":{"SMH":{"SMH":1,"XLI":0.6389593717645421,"XLB":0.45580637676731445,"XLE":0.15955880455337837,"XLP":-0.12799632959454643,"IYT":0.4981078220513318},"XLI":{"SMH":0.6389593717645421,"XLI":1,"XLB":0.759498000025545,"XLE":0.31945522354128975,"XLP":0.2648897886509928,"IYT":0.8013209273819445},"XLB":{"SMH":0.45580637676731445,"XLI":0.759498000025545,"XLB":1,"XLE":0.3656428699804071,"XLP":0.43351822286397507,"IYT":0.6723739955704535},"XLE":{"SMH":0.15955880455337837,"XLI":0.31945522354128975,"XLB":0.3656428699804071,"XLE":1,"XLP":0.18391891080501002,"IYT":0.2876354657603014},"XLP":{"SMH":-0.12799632959454643,"XLI":0.2648897886509928,"XLB":0.43351822286397507,"XLE":0.18391891080501002,"XLP":1,"IYT":0.2699441228531729},"IYT":{"SMH":0.4981078220513318,"XLI":0.8013209273819445,"XLB":0.6723739955704535,"XLE":0.2876354657603014,"XLP":0.2699441228531729,"IYT":1}}}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row5 bundled = 3
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row5","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend","sample":379,"weeks":120,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":35.88390501319261,"stop_probability_pct":59.63060686015831,"time_probability_pct":4.485488126649076,"target_ci95_pct":[29.120879120879124,42.93077280583272],"stop_ci95_pct":[52.499510443864224,66.49218059427483]}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row6","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","sample":296,"weeks":97,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":33.108108108108105,"stop_probability_pct":62.16216216216216,"time_probability_pct":4.72972972972973,"target_ci95_pct":[25.249087740319155,41.156462585034014],"stop_ci95_pct":[54.10916248232829,70.06380259110013]}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC correlation.json row1","data":{"window":"train","daily_n":855,"mean_pair_corr":0.5707154651396601,"effective_dimension":2.154663120645702,"matrix":{"SMH":{"SMH":1,"XLI":0.6079217103845441,"XLB":0.6165662343336712,"XLE":0.2594255999914148,"XLP":0.38270362531240554,"IYT":0.5986526618236601},"XLI":{"SMH":0.6079217103845441,"XLI":1,"XLB":0.8775622023222037,"XLE":0.5549661193508103,"XLP":0.6449337924361802,"IYT":0.8574997025749724},"XLB":{"SMH":0.6165662343336712,"XLI":0.8775622023222037,"XLB":1,"XLE":0.5488284422603723,"XLP":0.596629468729317,"IYT":0.7657033699213172},"XLE":{"SMH":0.2594255999914148,"XLI":0.5549661193508103,"XLB":0.5488284422603723,"XLE":1,"XLP":0.2632251754425691,"IYT":0.4496073004312055},"XLP":{"SMH":0.38270362531240554,"XLI":0.6449337924361802,"XLB":0.596629468729317,"XLE":0.2632251754425691,"XLP":1,"IYT":0.5365065717802584},"IYT":{"SMH":0.5986526618236601,"XLI":0.8574997025749724,"XLB":0.7657033699213172,"XLE":0.4496073004312055,"XLP":0.5365065717802584,"IYT":1}}}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row24 bundled = 5
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row24","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":34.949999999999996,"pnl_q05_usd":-4.846303820616259,"pnl_median_usd":-0.8456417469550956,"pnl_q95_usd":3.145799482016332,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0.1,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0.2,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.6458563557578121}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row1","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","sample":598,"weeks":126,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":40.96989966555184,"stop_probability_pct":53.51170568561873,"time_probability_pct":5.518394648829431,"target_ci95_pct":[35.201300235044705,46.65606307775965],"stop_ci95_pct":[47.656118917785236,59.39622234035483]}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row2","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","sample":413,"weeks":121,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":36.803874092009686,"stop_probability_pct":58.83777239709443,"time_probability_pct":4.358353510895883,"target_ci95_pct":[31.03448275862069,42.64705882352941],"stop_ci95_pct":[53.08051840895141,64.69194312796208]}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row3","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","sample":221,"weeks":84,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":35.74660633484163,"stop_probability_pct":61.53846153846154,"time_probability_pct":2.7149321266968327,"target_ci95_pct":[28.358016617941225,43.34801929431425],"stop_ci95_pct":[54.01785714285714,69.09110417479516]}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC exit_odds.json row4","data":{"window":"train","gate":"base","sample":647,"weeks":132,"bootstrap_paths":10000,"target_probability_pct":38.94899536321484,"stop_probability_pct":56.568778979907265,"time_probability_pct":4.482225656877898,"target_ci95_pct":[33.1811088768799,44.81159415006853],"stop_ci95_pct":[50.6006006006006,62.5]}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row20 bundled = 4
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row20","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":37.1,"pnl_q05_usd":-8.886942247372831,"pnl_median_usd":-1.4186403385403423,"pnl_q95_usd":5.666334600099411,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":5.84,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":10.945,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.1972878776248312}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row21","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":0,"pnl_q05_usd":0,"pnl_median_usd":0,"pnl_q95_usd":0,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row22","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.25,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":34.949999999999996,"pnl_q05_usd":-1.2115759551540122,"pnl_median_usd":-0.21141043673878812,"pnl_q95_usd":0.7864498705041342,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.16156087180031917}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row23","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.5,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":34.949999999999996,"pnl_q05_usd":-2.4231519103081323,"pnl_median_usd":-0.4228208734775194,"pnl_q95_usd":1.572899741008166,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.32310453554426466}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row16 bundled = 4
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row16","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":51.51,"pnl_q05_usd":-10.512266262897384,"pnl_median_usd":0.27038251379400435,"pnl_q95_usd":11.810468844822877,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":9.005,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":23.875,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.532704490649907}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row17","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":0,"pnl_q05_usd":0,"pnl_median_usd":0,"pnl_q95_usd":0,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row18","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.25,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":37.1,"pnl_q05_usd":-2.2217355618432064,"pnl_median_usd":-0.35466008463504295,"pnl_q95_usd":1.4165836500248812,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.29951592360117846}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row19","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"trend","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.5,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":37.1,"pnl_q05_usd":-4.443471123686413,"pnl_median_usd":-0.7093201692701996,"pnl_q95_usd":2.8331673000496544,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0.04,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0.09,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.5989112946500051}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row12 bundled = 4
Supply chain2026-09-06 06:14
[{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row12","data":{"window":"train","gate":"trend_lowvol","deployment_fraction_of_fund":1,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":33.6,"pnl_q05_usd":-7.626977881309244,"pnl_median_usd":-1.2333321058295041,"pnl_q95_usd":4.360407059982839,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":3.18,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":5.475,"drawdown_q95_pct":1.0207033546033382}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row13","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":0,"pnl_q05_usd":0,"pnl_median_usd":0,"pnl_q95_usd":0,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row14","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.25,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":51.51,"pnl_q05_usd":-2.628066565724373,"pnl_median_usd":0.06759562844848688,"pnl_q95_usd":2.9526172112056934,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.38389873480720316}},{"metric":"Sep6 06UTC monte_carlo.json row15","data":{"window":"holdout","gate":"base","deployment_fraction_of_fund":0.5,"paths":20000,"horizon_sessions":20,"block_sessions":5,"profit_probability_pct":51.51,"pnl_q05_usd":-5.256133131448746,"pnl_median_usd":0.13519125689697375,"pnl_q95_usd":5.90523442241149,"prob_equity_loss_gt1pct_pct":0.35500000000000004,"prob_drawdown_gt1pct_pct":0.95,"drawdown_q95_pct":0.7671996981189908}}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars