GD Sep8 GD frozen test measured technical
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:13
{"c":359.4,"s20":382.46525,"s50":377.78380000000004,"adr":5.39325,"prior20":397.08,"signal":false,"date":"2026-09-04 04:00:00+00:00","raw_bar_counts":{"GD":1172,"GE":1173,"TXT":1172}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
GD Sep8 GD frozen test measured stats
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:12
{"daily_matched_n":1171,"correlation":{"GD":{"GD":1,"GE":0.3498455821482155,"TXT":0.5254546137132177},"GE":{"GD":0.3498455821482155,"GE":1,"TXT":0.4758017141810914},"TXT":{"GD":0.5254546137132177,"GE":0.4758017141810914,"TXT":1}},"GD_daily_quantiles_pct":{"p01":-3.5825872884847954,"p05":-1.887584784391949,"p50":0.07346896266930969,"p95":2.009759340020345,"p99":3.7212703803027267},"GD_realized_vol_ann_pct":20.913608106848134}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More GD Sep8 GD frozen test measured stress = -9.366835773268157
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:12
{"return":-9.366835773268157,"drawdown":10.591714042554889,"win_rate":14.285714285714285,"sample":7,"avg_win":1.9847630094397495,"avg_loss":1.9451390200734202,"mean":-1.3837244444286816,"quarter_kelly":0,"vectorbt_trades":7,"buy_hold":7.808141104478494,"start":"2026-01-02 05:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-04 04:00:00+00:00"}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More GD Sep8 GD frozen test measured holdout = -7.443407764963612
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:12
{"return":-7.443407764963612,"drawdown":9.512347858423375,"win_rate":14.285714285714285,"sample":7,"avg_win":2.291177686520407,"avg_loss":1.65053178977011,"mean":-1.0874304360143219,"quarter_kelly":0,"vectorbt_trades":7,"buy_hold":7.808141104478494,"start":"2026-01-02 05:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-04 04:00:00+00:00"}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More GD Sep8 GD frozen test measured train = -15.03920903738239
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:12
{"return":-15.03920903738239,"drawdown":23.345937582644073,"win_rate":38.775510204081634,"sample":49,"avg_win":1.652035669680707,"avg_loss":1.5662566512837033,"mean":-0.31834738397097273,"quarter_kelly":0,"vectorbt_trades":49,"buy_hold":76.01462329130018,"start":"2022-01-03 05:00:00+00:00","end":"2025-12-31 05:00:00+00:00"}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More Canadian retaliation schedule distinct from Bombardier sales claim = 630
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:12
FinanceCanadaprimarylistupdatedAug26,readSep8. StatesSept8 00:01effective(timezonenotspecifiedhere),rates15/25/50%,USoriginmarkingrules,intransitgoodsgrandfathered,CAD27.6bnimportscope. Downloaded630HTMLtabletrrows;regexaircraft|turbo.jet|turbo.prop|8802|8807|8411 matched0rows. That narrowtextscreenisnotproofallaircraftcomponentsfreeoftariffs:genericmetals/electronicsandclassification/remissionsneedmapping. CurrentCanadianretaliationisnotUSbanmechanism. Broaderinputmappingcutafterthisboundedcheck;donotassume50%onallaircraft.
https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2026/08/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-counter-tariffs-effective-september-8-2026.html
More IADA H1 transactions and Q2 dealer survey: used inventory bottleneck = 746
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:11
IndustryassociationprimaryJuly27 reportforQ2/H12026 readSep8. H1closed746transactions+21%;acquisitionagreements536+8%;dealerinventorypurchases118+87%;67pricereductions-11%;Q2retainers238. Sentiment3.45/5vs3.55Q1 and3.07priorQ2,buyer-sellerindex2.74;nearly2/3expectLargeJet+priceincreases. Survey distributed>1000members,97%accrediteddealeractivityreporting,respondents73%dealers/brokers27%services;actualsentimentrespondentNnotstated. Brokerreportslate-modelpremiums,OEMbacklogsatleast24months(PhilWinters),engine/prebuy/MROlimitations;AndresMadrazoCasasreportsmoreselectivebuyersandrealisticprices. Commercialseller/intermediarybias;membershipnotallglobaltransactions. Futurepricingopinionsnotrealizedrents. IndependentofOEMreportsbutquoteswithinsamesurveyarenotindependentmarketdatasets.
https://iada.aero/press-release/224/iada-reports-strong-start-to-2026-as-business-aircraft-market-stabilizes-at-elevated-levels
More GD Gulfstream cash timing and GD guidance = 13.8
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:10
July29 2026 Q2filing,readSep8. Aircraftrevenuegenerallyrecognizedoncustomeracceptanceoffullyoutfittedaircraft;depositsreceivedonexecution/milestonesliquidatedatrevenue. Q2manufacturingOPincrease99m/services32m/overheads-24m;H1manufacturing148m/services60m/overheads-40m. Issuerattributesmanufacturinggrowthtonumber/mix,servicesFBOactivity/maintenance/favorablemix—notidentifiedpurepricing. 2026Aerospaceguide13.8bnUSDsales/14.7%margin. DepositsconsolidatednotallAerospace. Noeventincrementalmarginassumed.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40533/000004053326000032/gd-20260705.htm
More RYCEY Rolls-Royce H1 contract margin and supply-chain cash caution = 574
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:08
July30 2026 issuerH1release readSep8. Grosscontractualmarginimprovement574mGBP acrosswidebody/businessaviation; guidanceunderlyingOP4.7–4.9bnGBP,FCF3.8–4.0bnGBP;150–200mGBP2026supplychaincashimpactremains. IncreasedlargeengineMROoutput13%,notPearlproductioncapacity. OE550–600 andshopvisits1480–1550areCivilAerospaceoverallnotbusinessjetspareslotcounts. RevisedmarginrecognitionandcontractcatchupsdistinguishfromincrementaldeliveredPearlcash. NoavailablePearl700slotsspecifiedinthepassagesreviewed.
https://www.rolls-royce.com/media/press-releases/2026/30-07-2026-rr-holdings-plc-2026-half-year-results.aspx
More GD Full GD annual risk review and concentration = 70
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:08
Fullrisktext23128charsfromAninvestmentthroughnextUNRESOLVEDheaderreadSep8, replacing1976charextractor. 2025USgovernment~70%revenue;38%aircraftbacklogoutsideNorthAmerica. Aircraftdemandcreditcyclicality/customerdefaultscanreducebacklogprofits;costassumptionslabor/materials/schedules;oneortwosuppliersandsemiconductorscaninterruptcommitments;timeconsumingregulatoryrequirementsandqualifiedlaborconstraints. Supplierconcentrationnotnumericvendorpercentage; nounverifiednamedGulfstreamsinglesupplierattributedtofiling.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40533/000004053326000006/gd-20251231.htm
More TXT Textron annual supplier qualification and cross-border exposure = 31
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:08
FiledFeb11 2026 periodJan3, readfullHTTP200Sep8 usingresearchUAafterCLI60000chartruncation. RiskFactors: ongoingmanufacturinginefficiencies/productiondelaysfromcriticalcomponentshortages; oneortwovendors;vendorpartsarecertifiedwithaircrafttypecertificate, replacementrequiresdesign/manufacture/certificationandcanstopline. 2025internationalrevenue31%. Aircraftproducts/subassemblies/componentsfromCanada/MexicolargelyqualifyUSMCApreferentialtreatment,notproofimmunityfromnewpolicy. Product https://cessna.txtav.com/citation/longitude?trk=NavCitation gives3500nm4passengerrange andHoneywellHTF7700L; notdirectultralongrangeGlobal8000replacement. ManufacturingUSdoesnotmeanallinputsUS.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/217346/000021734626000006/txt-20260103.htm
More AM.PA Falcon H1 capacity and 10X service date = 2029
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:07
IssuerJuly22 forH1June30 2026. Falconorders23vs8,deliveries13vs12,backlog83vs73Dec31;Falconsales1213mEUR,backlog5429m;annualguide40Falcondeliveriesunchanged. 10X firstflightJune19/serviceentry2029 rescheduled. Consolidatedsales4157m,adjoperating330m margin7.9%,availablecash10099m. Slides https://www.dassault-aviation.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2026/07/WEB-Slides-of-the-2026-half-year-Results-Conference-Copie.pdf explicitlyattributeincreasedcashtoRafaleexportadvances andFCF1.2bn;cannotassignitFalconscarcity. 2029not2026deliverablesubstitute. EUR/USD incomparablebacklogswithoutFX; modelmixmatters.
https://www.dassault-aviation.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2026/07/2026-first-half-year-Results-Financial-Release.pdf
More BDRBF Bombardier Q2 cash and backlog definition = 228
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:07
IssuerJuly30 quarterJune30 2026, readSep8fullrelease. USDm revenues2150vs2028,services674(+14%),deliveries32,unitbookbill1.5x;backlog21.8bnvs17.5bnDec31 includesmanufacturingANDservices. CFO338,PP&E+intangibles110,FCF228vs-164prior;reportednet191vs193,EBIT225,adjEBITDA325margin15.1%. Cash1454m,availableliquidity1897m,adjustednetdebt/EBITDA1.6x; debtprincipalreduction356mQ2,>1.1bnYTD, new750m revolverreplaces450m. NextmaturityNov2030issuerclaim. NonGAAPreconciliationsread; ordercashnotpureoperatingrent. CompanyPDFendpointreturned1161bytechallengeHTMLdespite200,notactualPDF; completeannualUSrevenuesegmentstillgap.
https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/07/30/3335861/0/en/Bombardier-Reports-Significant-Second-Quarter-Free-Cash-Flow-Growth-and-Strong-Profitability-as-Backlog-Lengthens.html
More BDRBF Full issuer September7 statement retrieved; US production components = 5200
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:07
HTTP200 directfetchSep8withbrowserUA nowretrievedcompleteissuer-originstatement, supersedesearlieropenerrorcoverage only. Issuer saysGlobalfastestjetwingsmadeRedOakTexas,flightcontrolcomponentsLosAngelesfacility; FortWaynefacilityinaugurationlater2026,dateunconfirmed. Fleet>5200 and10servicecentres6countries. Repeats~2800USsuppliers47statesandannualspend>2.5bn; no implementingban/effective date nor USfinalassemblyexemptionconfirmed. PublisherYahoo hostsBombardierGlobeNewswiretext, notindependentcorroboration.
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/bombardier-statement-004300095.html
More GD Canadian Gulfstream operational authorization narrows blocked claim
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:07
PrimaryTransportCanada register readSep8: NCR0132026 issuedMay13 expiryFeb28 2030 allowsCanadianoperators GV/GVSP/GVI/GVIIG500/GVIIG600/GVIIIG700/GVIIIG800 on-demandcharter; NCR0122026 May12 similarly authorizesPartVII Subpart4 despiteweightthreshold. Scope operational exemptions, notproofallmodelsunrestrictedinalltransactions or fulltypecertification chronology. CountersblanketclaimGulfstreamcannotdobusinessinCanada; archivedJan2026dispute andSeptpoliticalclaim differdates/scopes.
https://tc.canada.ca/en/aviation/reference-centre/exemptions-canadian-aviation-regulations-cars
More GD Annual section extractor silently incomplete = 1976
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
FiledJan30 2026 year2025. CLI RiskFactors returns1976chars,truncatedfalse,endsmid-sentenceafterfirstpage. FullHTTPdocument2454323bytes/plaintext334339charsfetchedseparately. Rawmaterialsparagraphwarnsoneortwosources,capacityandpricefluctuations,tradeconflictdisruption; mitigateslongtermagreementsandflexiblecustomerpricing. Fullriskreviewongoing; noclaimcompletefromCLI.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40533/000004053326000006/gd-20251231.htm
More RYCEY Pearl 700 powers Gulfstream G800
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
SupplierprimaryJuly8 2026 first100%SAF G800flight. Productpage https://www.rolls-royce.com/products-and-services/civil-aerospace/business-aviation mapsPearl15toGlobal5500/6500,Pearl700G700/G800,Pearl10XFalcon10X. Productfamilyoverlapdoesnotmeanenginesinterchangeableorspareproductioncapacity.
https://www.rolls-royce.com/media/press-releases/2026/08-07-2026-gulfstream-and-rolls-royce-take-sustainable-aviation-to-new-heights.aspx
More GE Global 8000 uses GE Passport not Rolls-Royce Pearl = 500
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
GE primaryOct13 2025: planned500thPassportshipmentthatmonth,firstcertifiedenginesforGlobal8000delivered. Productsource https://www.geaerospace.com/pl/node/5142 identifiesGlobal7500/8000. Historicalengineallocation,notcurrentorderloss; modeledordertransferfromtheseplatformscouldhurtGE; noassumptionallBombardierjetsRolls-powered.
https://www.geaerospace.com/news/press-releases/ge-aerospace-shipping-500th-passport-engine
More BDRBF Issuer September7 response US supplier footprint = 2800
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
Issuer-originGlobeNewswire syndicationSep7 20:43EDT (Sep8 00:43UTC), retrievedsearchtextSep8; directopenerror. Claim~2800UScompaniesacross47states,over2.5bnannualsupplierspend,directemploymentpresence>20states. SameclaimYahoo https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/bombardier-statement-004300095.html isduplicateorigin. CompanydefendingUSaccess,claimnotindependentlyaudited; footprintdoesnotprovefinalassemblyoriginorbanexemption.
https://www.streetinsider.com/Globe%2BNewswire/Bombardier%2BStatement/27031948.html
More BDRBF September7 political sales-ban claim attribution
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
ClaimSept7 13:39 archive displayedtimezoneunverified, readSep8. Archive https://www.trumpstruth.org/?per_page=100 links thisexactoriginal and reproduces demand tohaltBombardierUSsalesunlessbuiltUS,claimover50%USrevenue andCanadaGulfstreamblocked. Original page returnednoextractabletext. Statementauthenticatedonlythrougharchive/link atthisstage; no signed instrument orscope/effective dateverified; revenuepercentage andCanadianban remain speakerclaims. Mediarepeats sameorigin,notcorroboration.
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/117230978314061095
More July9 aircraft proclamation scope = 180
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
Government primary July9 2026, readSep8. Operative clauses direct Commerce/USTR negotiations and updatewithin180days; paragraph9 recommends no immediate232tariffs. This text does not establish aSeptember7 Bombardierban. SearchWhiteHouse/CBP/FederalRegister found no specific implementingban in scopedqueries; absenceofretrieval is not proofnoneexists. Politicalnational-security framing, not neutral economicstudy.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/adjusting-imports-of-commercial-aircraft-jet-engines-and-aircraft-and-engine-parts-into-the-united-states/
More GD GD Q2 2026 deliveries orders and segment cash baseline = 41
Supply chain 2026-09-08 04:04
Issuer July29, period endedJuly5 2026, collectedSep8. Q2 deliveries41 vs38, large35 vs32/mid6 vs6; H1 79 vs74. Aerospace Q2 sales3525m, earnings510m, margin14.5% vs13.2%; H1 sales6804m, profit1003m. Q2 orders5278m vs4003m, funded aerospacebacklog22992m, unfunded985m, total23977m, options potential1170m separate. Consolidated H1 CFO4035m capex437m simpleFCF3598m; deposits cash inflow1168m, unbilledreceivables use846m; netdebt3183m, dilutedEPS8.35. Issuer marketing bias; segment cash not disclosed here; cannot infer spare aircraft slots.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40533/000004053326000029/gd-20260705exhibit991.htm
More Sep8 collector73 remote completion and empty book = 0
Supply chain 2026-09-08 02:18
Livejobs:73 actualrun02:15:29UTC exit0,1413characters,END complete marker verified;24runsremain,nextSep9 02:15. All8signals0 andfullBWENthreefilings visible. Carrier39nextSep8 03:01 before04UTCnextresearch;18next04:30/36next13:01/12nextSep9 00:31. No newdatedcatalyst needsnewmonitor; existingASPI43/BWEN69/QFR58 retained. Supplynoopen/pendinginquerytrades; cash278.67/equity850.99supplied. Noorderplaced.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
More Sep8 02UTC complete measured archive part 448/448 = 448
Supply chain 2026-09-08 02:18
kqdG2TIpe7OTgh2/q2nYfpdeHOyertfnq9u3btFEll9ZAlDnx5Pk6/h0sUiOF2e3Ptlb+cVbx6fj5frW7l9Xcd38omLLfj8QXxVnC8IXIWqypKWnC+ykwYdfrSbLm3d/Idjp3pPFv6dEg7dUku7W+G1MH//nQcFxaXdhdrvv3gL4ixn+lb6786+Df76lb9MKj9cQ4HT7XxcLYgq4+zZnF+/urFcYh8/Rq8/O6cr44O0e6cD7QDH9DST/e3q+R2v1r31iUcfv7hwfzM+T8XI5/rpHa8KqxRi/Kw2FQjh53rRaXCyPCSMXBV8av73JMA/w/0K5GO+XTOwYtwtS5WnOVvzVW/QnZ+A74Jd47nj/bzz1Mmfn6f87YHIE2pabaGoANsTUwCoWWL4k5oGaHZAZIGARB+wWaEA1mkLKWLDJdsAuggbYdCsgTxNJAtUkoFH5ScWgKAVVn0DHJ9YS7g1hDwyULlItSf0ZE01IF6bKFtyHReq9ADt7KBVmFXqmBufG+AygNmBbEEuuRmo0RldnW5WB+0jZOmXgGIZVdcDAz1a0RQ2JWpDCRHCCiUVts9UCACazP2A=
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
More Sep8 02UTC complete measured archive part 447/448 = 447
Supply chain 2026-09-08 02:18
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
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots
More