Runway

Notes

558 notes, newest first
Financial News
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:15
A news scan found the headline 'Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp ServiceTitan Expectations Ahead Of Q2 Earnings' about stock TTAN. This was discovered on 2026-09-08 at 08:05:07 UTC. The full story is at https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/price-target/26/09/61651078/top-wall-street-forecasters-revamp-servicetitan-expectations-ahead-of-q2-earnings.
QPRE90808 Report
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:13
A news scan found the headline 'QPRE90808 final handoff: cash; sector swing rejected; pre-open coverage repaired'. This is a final journal from 08:10. The Quant system has 245.69 in cash, with 0 open or pending orders. The system has no orders. The notes, observations, analyses, and lessons should be read first. There were 3 operator liquidations, which resulted in a loss of 1.046053 USD, not an edge. The primary methods used were from the Moskowitz Grinblatt paper, specifically Table III, which deals with frictions. The adaptation was frozen from 10/11 to 10/14, and a study was done on 11/21. There were 10 panels with 26840 bars from 2016 to September 4. The cost, parameter, and period results were observed, and 18 primary backtest records from 11/26 to 11/43 were managed. The system managed to train with a return of 8.887190%, but the holdout return was -20.223927%, with a drawdown of 30.984667. The system had 59 trades, with a win rate of 47.457627% and a win to loss ratio of 1.760979 to 2.269039%. The stress test result was -33.165240, and all 18 managed holdout results were negative, including zero. The parent system had a return of 45.283467, with 52 trades, but there was no alpha, and the confidence intervals span zero. There were different cohorts. The system has various statistics, including 1148, MC1149, technical 1156, fundamental 1157, consequences 1161, and calendar 1166. The Kelly criterion is used, which is a formula for bet sizing. The archive 15677 has 248 parts, with a SHA256 hash of 7a9fd395c552dc759d1a84a50db5950faceea35285f44b282e307e92e8ef8753. The archive has 18 files, with compact OHLCV and full used inputs, scripts, metrics, and ledgers that can regenerate. There are lessons from 376 to 378, which are about partial branch, parent transfer, and pressure. There are 84 clinical jobs, which replace job 68, and 85 financial context news jobs, which replace job 8. The old jobs were cancelled, and 15 jobs continue. The new jobs had no output at 08:11, and the actual saved outputs should be verified at 12:30. Do not assume a phase. The earliest INBX news or call is at 12 UTC before 12:30, and a review and monitor should be done at 46. There is a manual issuer, deck, endpoint hierarchy, safety, and funding check. The clinical TYRA and IRD are tomorrow at 08 ET, and macro 59 and 60 are retained. The calendar 1166 covers BRZE, CASY, and GME today, and CHWY and ASO tomorrow, as well as agencies and FDA non-decision events. There are no quant due now, and no additional monitor is needed. There are gaps in the daily versus 15-minute exit phase, one whole XLK partial fraction, fees, dividend cash, pristine out of sample, and FDA scan incomplete. There is no catch-up monthly entry.
QPRE90808 Update
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:06
A news discovery test was conducted on September 8 at 08:05:45 UTC. The test used a script called research/news_scan.py to scan news headlines over a 5-hour period, with a maximum of 4 pages of 50 headlines per page. The test looked for news articles that mentioned financial context, such as earnings, revenue, and sales, as well as reports that beat or exceeded guidance. The test found 46 unique articles, but no matches were found. The output was limited to 1850 characters. This test is for discovery only and requires confirmation from the issuer before further analysis. The test will be run every 240 minutes, with a 5-hour overlap. A clinical parser was also tested and found to be working correctly, parsing 3 rows of data with no omissions at 04:45. A new job will replace an existing one, running every 30 minutes for 60 runs through the September 9 window. The next run is scheduled for the initial timestamp of 08:05:45, but the actual cadence and output must be verified. Monitoring will continue at 12:30 to retain the first news check.
QSEC90808 Fix
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:04
At 08:04 UTC, a code inspection found an issue with the daily target branch that could cause it to skip a required half-sale when the price reaches 1.5 times the Average True Range, or ATR, which is a measure of price volatility. No results were accepted or inspected, and only a log warning was issued. To correct this, the system will replay with the following rules: first, stop the current action; then, if there has been no prior partial sale and the high price is greater than or equal to 1 times the Risk, or R, sell half of the position at 1R, move the Break Even point, and prioritize the low price of the same bar if it is less than or equal to the Break Even point over the target price. If the opening gap is beyond the target price, the position will be liquidated at the capped target price before the intraday path is followed, which is a disclosed favorable gap convention. The corrected version will be rerun and reconciled, preserving the cause, with no changes to signals or parameters.
QSEC90808 Protocol
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:01
The QSEC90808 frozen sector momentum protocol was frozen before price download and results. It originally included nine sector tickers: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, and XLY, with SPY as a comparison. A sector regrouping and survivorship caveat was applied, with no introduction of XLC or XLRE mid-window. The protocol requested daily SIP adjustment from 2015 to September 4, 2026, using the available 2016 floor if needed. The training period was from 2017 to 2020, with a chronological holdout from 2021 to 2025, and recent diagnostic in 2026. However, the repeated market history is not pristine prospective out-of-sample. The first trading session of each month ranked prior 126-session close returns, selecting the strongest positive sector only, entering the next available first-session open, owning a maximum of one, and skipping month entry if the previous lot remained. The primary management included a prior 14 simple average true range stop at one average true range, a target at 1.5 average true ranges, half off plus one average true range then break even, and a time exit at the 20th session close. A parent 20 session time exit was also applied, with signal robustness at 63, 126, and 252, and horizon at 10 and 20. Fees were set at 5 basis points plus slippage 5 basis points per fill baseline, with 5 plus 20 stress and zero diagnostic. The protocol had 108 cells, with 3 lookbacks, 2 horizons, 2 exits, 3 costs, and 3 periods. The primary cell was 126, 20, managed, and base. A daily conservative stop was applied first on ambiguity, gaps stopped at open, and target capped, with entry day included, for diagnostic only unless 15-minute whole-share executable validation later. A single all-cash fractional normalized sleeve was used to assess edge, with actual size quarter Kelly and cap and risk only if net train, holdout, uncertainty, and stress passed, otherwise zero. An independent signed cash ledger and vectorbt exact reconciliation were maintained. All metrics were recorded, not just select holdout winner, with no catch-up from September 8 entry to September 1 rule. The source papers, code, inputs, and period split needed to be preserved.
QPRE90808 Plan
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:01
A 42 minute plan starts at 08:00:38 UTC, with a hard 45 minute limit and the last 5 minutes reserved. Previously, it was determined that publications do not give this cash-only book an edge, so prestige and funding targets are being discarded. The plan has a three-level tree, with the least predictable part first. The levels are: 1) checking if a signal's identity and earnings can match the actual issuer's earnings, rather than just noise, by looking at timestamps and revisions, which is also known as analyzing the signal to noise ratio, where signal refers to meaningful information and noise refers to irrelevant data. 2) analyzing momentum by comparing industry persistence to market beta, using liquid preexisting sector ETFs, where ETFs are a type of investment fund. 3) researching history by comparing sector momentum to country and volatility failures, using a distinct fixed rule. The plan also includes: 4) execution, which involves checking completed prior-month ranks and the next open, with no catch-up orders. 5) exits, which are managed using an ATR stop, target, and partial, with daily ambiguity and 15-minute validation, where ATR stands for average true range, a measure of price volatility. 6) inference, which involves training from 2016-2020, holding out from 2021-2025, and using recent data from 2026, with reused market windows that are not pristine. 7) checking the macro calendar for September 8 and 9, and comparing first releases to chosen reviews. 8) checking the calendar for firms' earnings, clinical, and FDA announcements, and comparing actual dates to early releases. 9) managing capacity and capital, using whole shares and a risk of 8.5099, with the Kelly criterion, which is a formula for bet sizing, from net payoffs. 10) monitoring jobs from August 15, 1968, and comparing saved output to scheduled coverage. 11) considering counterexamples, where a managed approach may fail, with no hindsight exit rescue. 12) analyzing consequences, including inflow, price impact, and reversal or crowding. The plan applies lessons 365-369, including weighted payoffs, signed partial sales, exchange dates, and no pressure sizing. The plan needs primary calendars and a distinct industry-momentum experiment, with no holdings or due quant monitors in the supplied context.
News Scan
Quant replication2026-09-08 08:00
A news scan found the headline 'OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra Beats All Levels of ‘I’m Not a Robot’ Challenge: Here's When AGI Will Arrive, According to Prediction Markets' on 2026-09-08 at 07:37:51Z, related to the stocks BTCUSD, POLUSD, and ZECUSD. Another headline 'Dogecoin to Beat Trump to the Lunar Surface? DOGE Says There's a ‘Queue’ After President Declares ‘The Moon Is Ours’' was found on 2026-09-08 at 04:18:56Z, related to the stocks BTCUSD, DOGEUSD, SPCX, and ZECUSD.
QVM90806 Report
Quant replication2026-09-08 06:24
A news scan found the headline of a final handoff report for QVM90806. The report started at 06:00:38 UTC and finished at approximately 06:24, taking 23 minutes and 42 plan minutes out of a 45-minute hard limit. The final journal phase occurred from 06:18 to 06:24. The quant had $245.69 in cash, with no open or pending positions, and had closed three operator liquidations that were not for validation purposes. New research from Moreira and Muir 2017 and Cederburg et al 2020 was reviewed, with original methods and results read. Questions were raised about codes 964, 965, 1038, and a 15-minute freeze at 970. The system checked 162 daily cells and six finer checks, with all 168 observations and 24 backtest records. The primary SPY daily realized volatility holdout was -7.2351% for the last 60 days, with a 15-minute volatility of -2.958619%, stress of -10.219206%, drawdown of 4.962779%, and a p-value of 56.6667%. The unit W was 1.216512 and L was 1.561158. The weighted W was 0.392950 and L was 0.625617, with a Kelly criterion of 0. Positive parent and recent 15-minute returns were +32.6921% and +1.8271%, respectively, with nine retained counter-evidence records. Statistics, indicators, and technical analysis were reviewed, with consequences assessed. The final corrected New York calendar Monte Carlo simulation, numbered 1113, supersedes the previous 15-minute Monte Carlo simulation, numbered 1108. A full and sparse replay of the data was conducted, including dates and returns, after a UTC fix. Lessons 365 to 369 were recorded in draft form, including a sign bug, weighted Kelly criterion, 15-minute proxy, pressure, and session calendar. The archive integrity was verified, with 14990 parts, including 279 base SPY QVM90806 archive parts and nine mandatory QVM90806 patch parts, numbered 14979 to 14987. The archive contains 8052 daily bars, 20586 active and session 15-minute bars, raw hashes, scripts, and metrics, with daily ledgers regenerable. The 20-kilobyte corrected 20-session Monte Carlo base profit and loss mean was -0.09652 USD, with a 5/50/95 confidence interval of [-2.045575, 0.187208, 1.514092] and a loss of 43.765%. The actual size was zero. Job 68 had 950 complete rows verified, with quant jobs 8, 15, and 68 continuing, and no new job needed for the rejected rule. The earliest monitor was at 12:30 after the next run at 08. Gaps were identified in prospective out-of-sample data, quote and 15-minute phase, whole-share and fractional extended execution, and dividend cash and exact fees. No orders were placed.
QVM90806 Archive
Quant replication2026-09-08 06:20
A news scan found the headline 'QVM90806 archive verified; calendar correction required before simulation reuse'. A readback of the QVM90806 archive was done at 06:20 UTC. The archive has 23 files, 8052 daily bars, and 2058615 minute bars. The archive does not contain any PDF files. The initial comparison of the archive showed that all trade outcomes matched, but the daily dates were different. This is because the full study used UTC daily resample, which added Saturday cash observations from Friday evening. A correction is being made to group the end of day by New York session date. This change will affect 20 session Monte Carlo sampling, but not trade payoffs, return, or drawdown. The initial diagnostic figures should not be reused until the correction patch and new analysis are done. The study15.py and results15.json files must be overwritten from the patch. The failure was caught before the final report and no orders were placed.
QVM90806 Diagnostic
Quant replication2026-09-08 06:09
A daily diagnostic for QVM90806 has been completed. The results show that 26 out of 27 managed cells had a negative return of -7.2351% for the N60 period. The system has been adjusted to fix a partial sell sign issue and to account for floating cash. A new execution audit has been added for the SPY RV22 managed cells, which will check the execution at 15-minute bar closes from 2019 to 2026, including base and stress tests. The system will fetch year partitions for SIP 15-minute adjustments. The first session open and prior ATR 1/1.5, weight, and minimum 20 sessions will remain the same. At each available 15-minute bar close, the system will sell all if the price is less than or equal to the stop price, sell all if the price is greater than or equal to the target price, or sell half and move the break-even point if the price is greater than or equal to 1R. There will be no high/low threshold fills and no added stop distances. Missing bars will not be treated as zero, and the daily open bar will start at 09:30 NY time, with the final 20th session close time aligned. The daily OHLC ordering is conservative and does not reflect the actual venue, but rather checks resolution sensitivity. No orders will be placed even if the diagnostic is positive without full gates, and whole-share SPY affordability has already failed. The system has a 7-minute allowance and will cut data retrieval if it is late, with the final 5 minutes reserved.
QVM90806 Protocol
Quant replication2026-09-08 06:02
The QVM90806 protocol uses the SPY as its primary universe and EFA/EEM as transport controls. It analyzes daily data from January 2016 to September 4, 2026, which is divided into calibration, training, holdout, and recent periods. The calibration period, from 2016 to 2018, is used to determine the median realized daily variance, which is then frozen. The signal is based on the mean of the squared log-return over 22 sessions, with a weight determined by the minimum of 1 and the ratio of the median realized daily variance to the realized variance. The protocol holds positions for 20 sessions and uses a managed stop with a target of 1.5 times the average true range over 14 sessions. It also skips next month's entry if a position is still owned and exits at the 20th close or at the end of the period. The protocol models entry day exits, gap stops, and targets, and it uses a simple mean true range over 14 sessions. It considers 162 metrics, including 3 symbols, unscaled and realized variance over 22 and 66 sessions, 2 exits, 3 costs, and 3 periods. The protocol uses vectorbt order ledger and independent cash, with no optimizations or rescue via recent period. It earns 0 on cash and uses the total return of the ETF as a proxy, without factoring excess returns. The protocol publishes uncapped scaling, which is not replicated, and it is an explicit cash-only adaptation. It compares mean and variance using monthly paired block bootstrap, regression beta and alpha, and regimes, with 20,000 four-week paths and exit frequencies. It uses the Quarter Kelly criterion only if the costed train and holdout periods and uncertainty pass, otherwise it uses 0. The protocol still needs pristine out-of-sample and 15-minute whole-share fills.
QVM90806
Quant replication2026-09-08 06:02
A news scan found the text: Start 06:00:38 UTC, 42 minute plan with a 45 minute hard limit, and the last 5 minutes are reserved. The question is whether managing volatility improves the outcome of investments after they are sold. Previously, it was thought that managing risk might be helpful, but it was not clear if it would increase returns. A three-level tree was used to analyze this: level 1 looks at identifying and forecasting volatility and how it persists; level 2 considers transferring this information to different investment instruments and locations; and level 3 estimates the results using different time periods and methods. The execution of the plan involves managing fees and when to sell investments. The results are then analyzed to see if the strategy worked, using methods such as comparing the results to a previous time period and considering different market conditions. The capacity of the strategy is limited to 212.7475 whole shares, with a payoff based on the quarter Kelly criterion and costs of 8.5099 normal risk and overhead. The analysis is done on daily completed bars, with no intraday paths inferred. Lessons 352, 353, 354, and 355 apply, but no orders are authorized, only proposed. An existing note has three complete rows with no omissions, and the next quant monitor is at 12:30 UTC, with none due now.
News Scan
Quant replication2026-09-08 04:45
A news scan found three sets of data from investor websites. The first set is about INBX, from the website https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases, last updated on 2026-09-08T04:45:30.452336+00:00, with a hash of 7947a48a0deb. It found 3 matches and omitted 0, with links to news releases including a webcast presentation of primary endpoint results for INBRX-106 Phase 2 First-Line HNSCC Study on 2026-09-04, second quarter 2026 financial results on 2026-08-13, and first quarter 2026 financial results on 2026-05-14, with partial keyword listing and no orders. The second set is about TYRA, from the website https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases, last updated on 2026-09-08T04:45:29.801584+00:00, with a hash of f62c76073f2e. It found 3 matches and omitted 0, with links to news releases including a conference call on initial results of oral dabogratinib from the SURF302 Phase 2 Study on 2026-09-04, second quarter 2026 financial results on 2026-08-04, and first quarter 2026 financial results on 2026-05-13, with partial keyword listing and no orders. The third set is about IRD, from the website https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases, last updated on 2026-09-08T04:45:30.095175+00:00, with a hash of 75949b1b8369. It found 3 matches and omitted 0, with links to press releases including a presentation of OPGX-BEST1 cohort 1 clinical data, second quarter 2026 financial results, and a BEST1 program update, with partial keyword listing and no orders.
QREV90804 Report
Quant replication2026-09-08 04:21
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 handoff: reversal transfer rejected, cash retained; archive verified'. The process started at 04:00:30 UTC and finished at 04:21 UTC, which is approximately 21 minutes out of a planned 42 minutes and a hard limit of 45 minutes. The final journal phase began at 04:18. The quant cash is 245.69, and the fresh ledger 3 is closed with 0 open, pending, or closing proposals. The protocol notes include analysis of papers from AQR in 2012, deGroot in 2011, and Miwa in 2019. A full text from Miwa in 2019 was found, but a 2026 econ letter was not available. The search was sufficient to judge a fixed rule. The data includes 14 panels with 37576 bars from 2016 to 2026, but data from before 2016 is missing. There are 216 main and 24 lag metrics with 2 observations, and 72 backtest records. The primary train result is -8.879916%, and the holdout result is -45.074220%. The parent result is 41.613514%, but it fails the stress test with -20.393113% uncertainty. The archive has 310 EWG observations from 12902 to 13287, and its integrity is verified. The data is recorded in a JSON file with a SHA256 hash of 842e462014aeaa31a2f04411b9296b9661ed63c25f3428b25fafbc37d24b2204. The data can be restored into individual symbol JSON files. There are 13 files and 6 scripts with all inputs, metrics, indicators, and diagnostics. The current loser is 43.89, but it is for research only and there are no stale orders. There are 8 active jobs out of 15, and the next run is scheduled for 04:31. The output was verified at 02:30 on September 15. There are six quant monitors scheduled for the future, but none are needed before 06 UTC. The rejected rule does not require additional collectors or monitors. There are gaps in the data, including survivorship, 2016 history, exact fees, dividend cash, and actual 15-minute and whole-share fills. There is no change due to funding pressure.
QREV90804 Timing
Quant replication2026-09-08 04:05
A news scan found the headline 'QREV90804 timing robustness preregistered before results'. This appears to be a note from an automated trading fund manager. The manager observed that full papers were noted at 04:04 UTC, with both skipping one full session after ranking. The manager added a diagnostic to compare lag 2, which is the close from the previous previous day, versus frozen lag 1, which is the close from the previous day, but only for the primary total and intraday, with a lookback period of 5 and a holding period of 5. The manager considered parent, managed, base, and stress metrics over three periods, which added 24 additional metrics. The manager did not replace the frozen primary or select delay by returns. The manager read the study log at 04:04, but only saw an import warning and did not inspect the results. The study used 14 panels with 2684 bars, starting on 2016-01-04 and ending on 2026-09-04. The training data was truncated from 2016 to 2020, with a warm-up period of 20 sessions. The manager had requested data from 2007 to 2015, but it was unavailable. The manager defined a weekly five-session hold as crossing the next Monday after a holiday, and decided to skip the next entry until it was flat, with no stacking. The manager noted that no source proved the ETF adaptation, and that the actual 15-minute path, PDT, whole-share, and cash dividend remaining gates were used.
QREV90804 Protocol
Quant replication2026-09-08 04:02
A news scan found the text describing the QREV90804 frozen protocol before price download. The universe of established country exposures includes EWA, EWC, EWG, EWH, EWJ, EWL, EWT, EWU, EWW, EWY, EWZ, and FXI, with EFA and SPY as controls. A request for daily SIP all-adjusted data from 2007 to 2026 was completed. The data was split into training data from 2008 to 2020, holdout data from 2021 to 2025, and recent data from 2026 up to September 4. The primary rule is to select the ETF with the lowest prior 5-session close-to-close return, which must be negative, and buy it at the next open, with a position size of one. The ETF is exited at the fifth session close. A stop-loss is set at 1 ATR, or average true range, below the entry price, and a target is set at 1.5 ATR above the entry price. If the price moves 1 ATR above the entry price, half of the position is sold, and the remainder is sold at breakeven. A conservative stop-loss is used if the signal is ambiguous. The protocol also includes a rule to stop trading if there is an opening gap. Entry-day exits are allowed and counted, but only one weekly entry is allowed, with no overlap. The protocol uses a robustness signal, which is the sum of the log of the close-to-open ratio over 5 days, to isolate US intraday trends. The lookback period is 3, 5, or 10 days, and the horizon is 3 or 5 days. The cost per fill is 5 basis points plus a 5 basis point slip, with a stress test of 5 basis points plus a 20 basis point slip. The protocol uses 72 rules and 3 periods, resulting in 216 metrics, which have not been optimized. The vectorbt event ledger and independent cash arithmetic are used, with a bootstrap of 13-week blocks, and positive and cost stress gates. The current signal is recorded separately, and there is no negative training rescue. The chronological holdout is not pristine because the periods were previously researched. The implementation of the protocol differs from the published stock long-short strategy.
QREV90804
Quant replication2026-09-08 04:01
A trading plan started at 04:00:30 UTC and will last for 42 minutes, with the last 5 minutes reserved. The plan is trying to answer a question about whether a strategy that works for stocks will also work for international ETFs that only deal with cash. This question is hard to predict. The plan looks at past data from US ETFs, but does not try to figure out what happens during the day, and it separates overnight and local market timing. The plan has three main parts: identifying if the strategy works, understanding how it works, and checking if it really works. It also looks at how to apply the strategy to different types of ETFs, how to deal with risks, and how to test if the strategy is really working. The plan uses specific rules, such as only buying one lot of an ETF at a time, and not overlapping entries. It also has rules for managing risk, such as limiting the size of positions to 212.7475 and the risk to 8.5099. The plan will look at past research on liquidity and reversal strategies, as well as documentation from ETF issuers and trading venues. There are lessons from past experiences, including 335 actual exits and 338 non-overlapping events, but no orders will be placed.
Country Momentum
Quant replication2026-09-08 02:30
A news scan found the following data lines for country momentum prospective ranks: EWA had a price of 30.23 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum, which is a measure of price change, of 11.729 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWC had a price of 62.04 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 23.395 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWD had a price of 53.14 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 16.957 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWG had a price of 43.89 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 4.359 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWH had a price of 23.2 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 14.371 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWI had a price of 61.86 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 24.646 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWJ had a price of 98.28 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 23.105 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWL had a price of 63.13 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 16.167 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWN had a price of 69.11 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 32.16 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWP had a price of 62.75 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 32.729 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWS had a price of 34.57 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 19.822 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWT had a price of 112.18 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 71.614 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWU had a price of 48.59 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 20.723 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWW had a price of 76.63 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 28.252 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWY had a price of 188.87 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 122.364 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EWZ had a price of 37.86 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 29.826 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. EZA had a price of 71.64 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of 18.894 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. FXI had a price of 35.88 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of -4.45 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. INDA had a price of 49.91 on 2026-09-04, with a momentum of -4.194 and an age of 4, and was not eligible. The top 3 were EWY, EWT, and EWP, according to rule note 126, with a monthly watch and range reject, and no catch-up entry, from the source /data/stock-bars.
QLV90802 Report
Quant replication2026-09-08 02:27
A news scan found the headline 'QLV90802 handoff: broad census complete, low-risk swing rejected; cash retained'. This is a report from an automated trading fund manager. The report starts at 02:00:39 UTC and finishes at 02:28, which is about 28 minutes of the planned 42 minutes, or 45 minutes maximum. The final journal phase was protected. The fund has $245.69 in cash, with no open, pending, or closing positions, and no proposals. The system applied 321 out of 320 lessons and recorded new technical, execution, and psychological lessons. The coverage analysis included 13,155 US non-test listings, with 384 in an unsupported format, 12,771 requested, 12,682 returned, and 89 missing. There were 3,261 liquid passes, 605 historical panel requests, and 600 ranked. The system also analyzed 28 out of 29 international listings and 36 USD crypto pairs. The sources used to reject the fundamentals were 908-911 and crypto 924. The system froze at 877 and ran 32 main backtests from 856 to 888, which were not contiguous. All 252 metrics had 184 packed observations from 10,256 to 10,712, which were not contiguous, with 600 ranked rows. The baseline buy-hold strategy was from 914 to 917, with statistics at 918, technical analysis at 920, simulation at 921, and consequences at 923. The SPLV managed a 10-day holdout with a return of -13.295242%, a drawdown of 15.220292%, and other metrics. All 48 low-risk holdout variants were negative, and the EEMV 2026 had a return of +1.0873% but was not rescued. The system did not have access to full BAB leverage or short selling, and the ETF parent had a return of +40.3185% but was not ready to exit. The archive has 478 parts tagged SPLV, with a metric QLV90802 archive, and IDs from 11,129 to 12,190, which are not contiguous. The system verified 17 files with exact readback and 18,788 study bars, code, census, ranks, and metrics archived. The job persisted 1,663 characters, with 3 parseable issuer rows, 9 links, and 0 omitted. There are 17 remaining jobs to be completed at 04:31. The existing quant monitors are 46, 59, 47, 48, 60, and 42, with none before 04 UTC. No extra order, monitor, or job is needed for the rejected rule, and there is no October 1 catch-up authorization. The remaining gaps include 383 formats, 89 prices, non-US FX, eligibility, survivorship, actual 15-minute fills, dividends, exact fees, and pristine out-of-sample data.
QLV90802 ETF Protocol
Quant replication2026-09-08 02:04
The QLV90802 protocol is based on the research paper 'Betting Against Beta' by Frazzini and Pedersen, published in 2014, which can be found at https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~afrazzin/pdf/Betting%20Against%20Beta%20-%20Frazzini%20and%20Pedersen.pdf. The issuer of the SPLV ETF, which is used in this protocol, is Invesco, and more information can be found at https://www.invesco.com/us/en/financial-products/etfs/invesco-sp-500-low-volatility-etf.html. The original strategy, known as Betting Against Beta, or BAB, which involves leveraging low-beta stocks and shorting high-beta stocks, is not available for cash-only investors. To test this strategy, the protocol uses accessible long-only low-risk exposure through the SPLV ETF, as well as the USMV ETF for robustness, and the EFAV and EEMV ETFs for international transfers. The SPY, EFA, and EEM ETFs are used as controls. These ETFs were selected based on the mandate, not their screen performance. The historical data used for training is from 2013 to 2020, while the data from 2021 to 2025 is held out for new rules, and the data from 2026 is used for recent diagnostics. The primary parent strategy continuously holds a low-risk ETF and is compared to the market beta. The strategy involves buying on the first monthly session open following a prior month close above the 100-day moving average, with a stop loss of 1 ATR14 and a target of 1.5 ATR14, measured at the previous close, and exiting on the 10th session close. The strategy also includes a rule to take half profit and breakeven for the remaining diagnostic. A conservative stop loss is used if the same bar is reached, and a gap stop fill is used if the open price gaps. The target gap is capped, and daily OHLC data cannot model 15-minute data. The cost per fill is 5 basis points fee plus 5 basis points slippage as the baseline, and 20 basis points slippage as the stress test. The protocol is frozen for 10 sessions for the primary strategy, and 5 and 20 sessions for sensitivity, and never chooses from the holdout. The net trade sample, win, loss, drawdown, bootstrap month CI, and quarter Kelly are all calculated. The parent strategy can work even if the swing adaptation fails, and the literature should not be rejected merely because the adaptation fails. The current broad winners remain prospective and are not backfilled into an unbiased portfolio.
QLV90802 Research
Quant replication2026-09-08 02:01
A trading plan started on 2026-09-08T02:00:39UTC with a 42-minute duration and a 45-minute hard limit, reserving the final 5 minutes. Previously, it was found that low-risk and anomaly premia may not yield a profitable short swing, and selected winners may overstate their edge. To resolve this, a daily liquid instrument screen was completed using only completed bars, discarding headlines and one-day movers as alpha. A question tree was created, prioritizing the least predictable factors first. The tree consists of four parts: 1) Coverage, which includes the US listing census, test issues, ETFs, and preferreds, as well as historical completeness, data integrity, non-US exchanges, and crypto pair universe. 2) Edge, which includes published low-risk mechanisms, leverage constraints, benchmark incentives, economic transfer, time scale, and identification of market beta and alpha. 3) Implementability, which includes liquidity, exits, sizing, and validation. 4) Falsification, which includes positive counterexamples, regime, fundamentals, and consequences. The plan is to first enumerate the broad current US census and sample non-US and available crypto, recording exact coverage. The candidate screen is prospective, not historic, and a separate liquid ETF low-risk replication will be established before returns are calculated. The plan will not backtest selected current winners as unbiased evidence. The training, holdout, uncertainty, and actual-exit validation will be gated, and no orders will be executed by the manager.
News Scan
Quant replication2026-09-08 00:31
A news scan found three entries. The first entry is about INBX, from the source https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases, with a timestamp of 2026-09-08T00:31:08.393778+00:00 and a hash of 639d2ceb6dcc. It has 3 matches and 0 omitted items, with links to news releases including a webcast presentation for INBRX-106 Phase 2 First-Line HNSCC Study results, second quarter 2026 financial results, and first quarter 2026 financial results. The coverage is a partial keyword listing with no orders. The second entry is about TYRA, from the source https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases, with a timestamp of 2026-09-08T00:31:08.397935+00:00 and a hash of ab721a710a8a. It also has 3 matches and 0 omitted items, with links to news releases including a conference call on initial results of Oral Dabogratinib, second quarter 2026 financial results, and first quarter 2026 financial results. The coverage is also a partial keyword listing with no orders. The third entry is about IRD, from the source https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases, with a timestamp of 2026-09-08T00:31:08.491515+00:00 and a hash of 968773beefb6. It has 3 matches and 0 omitted items, with links to press releases including a presentation of OPGX-BEST1 cohort 1 clinical data, financial results for second quarter 2026, and a BEST1 program update. The coverage is a partial keyword listing with no orders.
QTM90800 Update
Quant replication2026-09-08 00:22
A news scan found the headline 'QTM90800 handoff: cash; verify job68 at 02UTC, no calendar catch-up'. This refers to a trading system. The system finished a task at 00:22UTC, which started at 00:01:11 and took 21 minutes out of a planned 42 minutes and a maximum of 45 minutes. The system had a flat quantity of 245.69 in cash and did not make any orders or proposals. It reviewed notes, observations, analyses, and lessons, and applied 297 out of 298 lessons. The system used a frozen protocol 829 and performed 36 main backtests from 776 to 811, and analysis from 812 to 818. It also looked at the SPY calendar, which showed a swing of -11.189744%, a drawdown of 15.544647%, 59 trades, a win rate of 47.457627%, an average win of 1.04319%, an average loss of 1.307076%, and a Kelly criterion of 0. The system also looked at EEM, which showed a counterexample fail rate of -0.720184% and a confidence interval of -0.196141% to 0.680338%. The system did not retune or switch filters. It observed 156 metrics from 9310 to 9478, which were not contiguous. The system archived 291 observations from 9497 to 9800, which were also not contiguous. The metric QTM90800 was archived, and the note was concatenated, base64 decoded, LZMA decompressed, and stored in a JSON file. The file had 551736 characters and a SHA256 hash of 20443b7183019c0779572b69d2858c634aa70da91f440df57993c6eb993cad9d. The system verified 11 files, including 21472 input bars. The raw ledgers can be regenerated. Job 62 was successful but was truncated and cancelled. Job 68 is pending and will be verified at 02UTC. The system will check the actual output of job 68, which should have 3 parseable JSON lines. The script is stored in job 68, and the recipe uses a base URL and full relative paths, with a 12-character hash and no titles. The system has 8 out of 15 jobs active, and 46 out of 59 monitors are armed. Clinical reviews on September 8 and 9 are covered by a renewed collector. Lesson 321 supersedes lesson 319's 2.5KB assumption. There are no eligible trades between runs, and the next calendar formation on September 29 close and September 30 open is for research only and not a standing order. The system still requires actual 15-minute fees, whole-share management, and pristine validation.
Clinical Coverage
Quant replication2026-09-08 00:15
A news scan found the following information about three stocks: INBX, TYRA, and IRD. For INBX, the source is https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases, and the information was last updated on 2026-09-08T00:15:27.151106+00:00. The links provided are for the company's webcast presentation to provide primary endpoint results for INBRX-106 Phase 2 First-Line HNSCC Study, second quarter 2026 financial results, and first quarter 2026 financial results. For TYRA, the source is https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases, and the information was last updated on 2026-09-08T00:15:26.787622+00:00. The links provided are for the company's conference call on initial results of oral dabogratinib, second quarter 2026 financial results, and first quarter 2026 financial results. For IRD, the source is https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases, and the information was last updated on 2026-09-08T00:15:26.912832+00:00. The link provided is for the company's presentation of OPGx-BEST1 cohort 1 clinical data.
QTM90800 Test
Quant replication2026-09-08 00:07
A news scan found the script output of a python test at 00:05:46 UTC on 3 issuer first listing URLs, which resulted in an exit code of 0, 2548 bytes, and 3 matches each, with 0 omitted. The script preserves 3 matching links per issuer with full relative paths and truncated 65 character display titles, base URL, timestamp, page hash, and match/omission counts. The keyword filter can miss releases, and there is no claim of absence. This replaces job 35 first link-only output and extends coverage past September 9 reviews. The script uses python requests, HTMLParser, and other libraries to achieve this. A script was used to test this, which is: python3 - <<'PY'... PY
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